P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 5' 11" 160 lbs | Age: 25
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 5 3 4.45 27 0 0 28.1 33 1.27
2024 0 1 6.14 10 0 1 14.2 16 1.77
2025 1 6 2.91 54 0 22 52.2 61 1.14
3 Seasons 6 10 3.86 91 0 23 95.2 110 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 27 5-3 4.45 28.1 33 1.27
2024 10 0-1 6.14 14.2 16 1.77
2025 54 1-6 2.91 52.2 61 1.14
3 Seasons 91 6-10 3.86 95.2 110 1.28
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 494 70 5 7.1 4.2 91.4 112.0 15.2 34.3 .224 .359 .303 .309 .368 47.1 27.7 11.8 4.45 4.01
2024 24 263 40 2 5.0 2.9 92.5 109.0 7.1 30.0 .234 .336 .336 .331 .347 45.0 23.2 17.4 6.14 4.65
2025 25 841 136 6 4.4 2.8 90.1 113.0 14.4 38.2 .227 .354 .284 .283 .359 48.5 28.4 7.4 2.90 3.31
Player 1598 246 13 5.3 3.2 90.9 113.0 13.5 35.8 .227 .352 .298 .299 .359 47.6 27.3 10.4
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Palencia relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(70.7%) ,
Slider
(23.1%) ,
Split Finger
(4.6%) ,
Sinker
(1.2%) ,
Curveball
(0.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 37.1 62.9 18.6 30.0 14.3 37.1 28.6 34.3 17.1 12.9 7.1 20.0 15.7 27.1
2024 52.5 47.5 15.0 27.5 5.0 30.0 52.5 17.5 22.5 22.5 7.5 7.5 30.0 10.0
2025 39.7 60.3 25.7 27.2 7.4 33.1 39.7 27.2 16.9 18.4 4.4 16.2 21.3 22.8
Player 41.1 58.9 22.0 28.0 8.9 33.7 38.6 27.6 17.9 17.5 5.7 15.9 21.1 22.0
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 4.3 25.7 27.1 22.9 11.4 7.1 4.2
2024 0.0 42.5 20.0 22.5 10.0 5.0 2.9
2025 5.1 29.4 25.0 25.7 10.3 4.4 2.8
Player 4.1 30.5 24.8 24.4 10.6 5.3 3.2
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2025 Curveball CHC R 3 82.2 38.4 -11.7 2.1GLV -7.2 1.7 -11.6 2.1GLV -7.0
2025 Split-Finger CHC R 39 88.3 31.1 -0.9 10.4ARM -1.4 3.9 -0.9 10.4ARM -0.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 595 99.6 12.3 0.4 11.8ARM 3.3 15.4 -0.4 11.8ARM 4.2
2025 Slider CHC R 194 88.5 33.7 0.9 2.4GLV -1.8 1.1 0.6 2.4GLV -2.2
2025 Sinker CHC R 10 99.8 12.8 -7.7 18.1ARM 2.8 14.9 -7.5 18.1ARM 3.0
2024 Split-Finger CHC R 27 89.0 30.4 -1.0 8.3ARM -3.2 4.2 -1.6 8.3ARM -2.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 149 98.2 12.4 0.8 11.0ARM 2.5 16.1 0.4 11.0ARM 3.4
2024 Sinker CHC R 21 97.5 16.8 -4.5 15.4ARM 0.0 12.1 -4.9 15.4ARM 0.5
2024 Slider CHC R 66 89.5 30.9 -0.9 2.9GLV -0.8 3.4 -1.7 2.9GLV -1.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 5 595 70.7 148 .216 .366 .293 22.9 25.7 21.8 .236 .392 .304 55.7
2025 Slider 0.3 1 194 23.1 58 .259 .389 .323 39.4 36.2 30.9 .206 .271 .241 33.3
2025 Split-Finger 1.6 1 39 4.6 7 .143 .143 .129 37.5 28.6 11.1 .255 .290 .239 20.0
2025 Sinker 2.1 0 10 1.2 -- -- -- 33.3 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2025 Curveball 9.1 0 3 0.4 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .063 .086 .061 0.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 149 56.7 44 .314 .457 .408 22.5 22.7 30.3 .270 .383 .368 60.0
2024 Slider 3.0 2 66 25.1 15 .133 .133 .120 40.0 33.3 25.0 .213 .327 .235 20.0
2024 Split-Finger -1.4 0 27 10.3 4 .333 .333 .400 45.5 25.0 14.3 .081 .093 .232 0.0
2024 Sinker -1.0 0 21 8.0 6 .000 .000 .350 12.5 0.0 0.0 .078 .078 .387 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 594 99.6 99 19.4 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Split-Finger 35 88.2 90 12.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Sinker 10 99.8 100 23.8 1:30 1:45 -15
2025 Slider 194 88.5 24 3.5 10:15 9:00 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 146 98.2 99 19.3 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Split-Finger 20 89.3 84 11.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2024 Sinker 21 97.5 98 19.7 1:30 1:45 -15
2024 Slider 66 89.5 24 4.2 11:30 10:00 90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 119 494 2 5 -2 -3 2
2024 69 263 1 2 -2 -2 -1
2025 214 841 4 12 -5 -3 7
Player 402 1,598 7 19 -10 7 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 494 47.8 70.8 76.6 27.1 51.4 41.3 56.3 48.0 30.8 7.5 78.4
2024 263 53.6 66.7 78.7 21.3 46.2 40.3 53.6 45.6 28.3 9.5 80.0
2025 841 53.9 71.5 78.7 27.1 53.3 44.2 59.8 51.0 27.5 8.0 86.6
Player 1,598 51.9 70.5 78.1 26.2 51.7 42.7 57.7 49.2 28.6 8.1 82.9
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2023 97 78 92
2024 98 46 87
2025 80 71 75 76 76 97 95 29 2 86 63 68 34 99 68 69
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.71 3 2.9 0 1 2 1 33.3
2024 -- 0 1.0 -1 2 1 0 --
2025 22.47 6 3.5 3 4 4 1 16.7
Player 22.88 9 7.4 2 7 7 2 22.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2023 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2024 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025 6 3 4 2 3 4 3 3 3 2 4 6 2 6 4 2 2 2 2 5 3 5 5 5 2 2 4 5 3 5 5
Player 9 5 7 6 7 8 7 7 7 5 8 11 6 9 8 5 5 6 6 9 8 10 10 9 5 6 8 9 8 9 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .224 -.026 ↓ .250 +.034 ↑ .216
xBA .227 -.007 ↓ .234 +.010 ↑ .224
OBP .288 -.103 ↓ .391 +.069 ↑ .322
xOBP .291 -.088 ↓ .379 +.049 ↑ .330
SLG .362 +.023 ↑ .339 -.014 ↓ .353
xSLG .354 +.018 ↑ .336 -.023 ↓ .359
ISO .138 +.049 ↑ .089 -.048 ↓ .137
xISO .126 +.024 ↑ .102 -.033 ↓ .135
BABIP .298 -.052 ↓ .350 +.062 ↑ .288
wOBA .284 -.052 ↓ .336 +.033 ↑ .303
xwOBA .283 -.048 ↓ .331 +.022 ↑ .309
wOBACON .360 +.005 ↑ .355 -.001 ↓ .356
xwOBACON .359 +.012 ↑ .347 -.021 ↓ .368
BACON .324 -.026 ↓ .350 +.031 ↑ .319
xBACON .328 .000 .328 -.004 ↓ .332
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 48.5 +3.5 ↑ 45.0 -2.1 ↓ 47.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.1 -2.4 ↓ 92.5 +1.1 ↑ 91.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 38.2 +8.2 ↑ 30.0 -4.3 ↓ 34.3
Barrel % 4.4 -0.6 ↓ 5.0 -2.1 ↓ 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 14.4 +7.3 ↑ 7.1 -8.1 ↓ 15.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.9 -0.2 ↓ 71.1 -0.1 ↓ 71.2
Attack Angle 8° +2° ↑ 6° -2° ↓ 9°
Ideal Attack Angle % 52.1 +6.8 ↑ 45.3 +3.0 ↑ 42.3
Attack Direction 3° 0° ↓ 3° +2° ↑ 1°
Swing Path - Tilt 30° -1° ↓ 31° 0° ↑ 31°
Swing Length 7.0 -0.2 ↓ 7.2 +0.1 ↑ 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 99.6 +1.5 ↑ 98.1 -0.3 ↓ 98.4
Breaking Velocity 88.4 -1.1 ↓ 89.5 +0.5 ↑ 89.0
Offspeed Velocity 88.3 -0.7 ↓ 89.0 +1.8 ↑ 87.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 6 +4 ↑ 2 -3 ↓ 5
Popup % 7.4 +2.4 ↑ 5.0 -9.3 ↓ 14.3
Flyball % 25.7 +10.7 ↑ 15.0 -3.6 ↓ 18.6
Line Drive % 27.2 -0.3 ↓ 27.5 -2.5 ↓ 30.0
Groundball % 39.7 -12.8 ↓ 52.5 +15.4 ↑ 37.1
Pull % 33.1 +3.1 ↑ 30.0 -7.1 ↓ 37.1
Straight Away % 39.7 -12.8 ↓ 52.5 +23.9 ↑ 28.6
Opposite Field % 27.2 +9.7 ↑ 17.5 -16.8 ↓ 34.3
Weak Contact % 5.1 +5.1 ↑ 0.0 -4.3 ↓ 4.3
Pull Airball % 16.2 +8.7 ↑ 7.5 -12.5 ↓ 20.0
Topped Contact % 29.4 -13.1 ↓ 42.5 +16.8 ↑ 25.7
Under Contact % 25.0 +5.0 ↑ 20.0 -7.1 ↓ 27.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.7 +3.2 ↑ 22.5 -0.4 ↓ 22.9
Solid Contact % 10.3 +0.3 ↑ 10.0 -1.4 ↓ 11.4
HR/FB % 14.3 +14.3 ↑ 0.0 -23.1 ↓ 23.1
Popups 10 +8 ↑ 2 -8 ↓ 10
Flyballs 35 +29 ↑ 6 -7 ↓ 13
Line Drives 37 +26 ↑ 11 -10 ↓ 21
Groundballs 54 +33 ↑ 21 -5 ↓ 26
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 53.9 +0.3 ↑ 53.6 +5.8 ↑ 47.8
Out of Zone % 46.1 -0.3 ↓ 46.4 -5.8 ↓ 52.2
Edge % 44.2 +3.9 ↑ 40.3 -1.0 ↓ 41.3
Zone Swing % 71.5 +4.8 ↑ 66.7 -4.1 ↓ 70.8
Out of Zone Swing % 27.1 +5.8 ↑ 21.3 -5.8 ↓ 27.1
In Zone Contact % 78.7 0.0 78.7 +2.1 ↑ 76.6
Out of Zone Contact % 53.3 +7.1 ↑ 46.2 -5.2 ↓ 51.4
Whiff % 27.5 -0.8 ↓ 28.3 -2.5 ↓ 30.8
First Strike % 59.8 +6.2 ↑ 53.6 -2.7 ↓ 56.3
First Pitch Swing % 33.2 -4.5 ↓ 37.7 -1.8 ↓ 39.5
Swing % 51.0 +5.4 ↑ 45.6 -2.4 ↓ 48.0
Meatball Swing % 86.6 +6.6 ↑ 80.0 +1.6 ↑ 78.4
Meatball % 8.0 -1.5 ↓ 9.5 +2.0 ↑ 7.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 21.3 0.0 21.3 -2.1 ↓ 23.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 46.7 -7.1 ↓ 53.8 +5.2 ↑ 48.6
In Zone 453 +312 ↑ 141 -95 ↓ 236
Out of Zone 388 +266 ↑ 122 -136 ↓ 258
Edge 372 +266 ↑ 106 -98 ↓ 204
In Zone Swings 324 +230 ↑ 94 -73 ↓ 167
Out of Zone Swings 105 +79 ↑ 26 -44 ↓ 70
In Zone Swing & Misses 69 +49 ↑ 20 -19 ↓ 39
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 49 +35 ↑ 14 -20 ↓ 34
Basic
Pitches 841 +578 ↑ 263 -231 ↓ 494
PA 215 +146 ↑ 69 -50 ↓ 119
AB 196 +140 ↑ 56 -46 ↓ 102
Hits 44 +30 ↑ 14 -8 ↓ 22
Singles 30 +21 ↑ 9 -6 ↓ 15
Doubles 6 +1 ↑ 5 +2 ↑ 3
Triples 3 +3 ↑ 0 -1 ↓ 1
Home Runs 5 +5 ↑ 0 -3 ↓ 3
Walks 16 +4 ↑ 12 -2 ↓ 14
Strikeouts 61 +45 ↑ 16 -17 ↓ 33
K% 28.4 +5.2 ↑ 23.2 -4.5 ↓ 27.7
BB% 7.4 -10.0 ↓ 17.4 +5.6 ↑ 11.8
HBP 2 +1 ↑ 1 -1 ↓ 2
Batted Balls 136 +96 ↑ 40 -30 ↓ 70
Number of Fastballs 605 +435 ↑ 170 -162 ↓ 332
Number of Offspeed 39 +12 ↑ 27 +21 ↑ 6
Number of Breaking 197 +131 ↑ 66 -90 ↓ 156
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 119 .303 69 3 4.3 50 2 4.0
2024 Shades 69 .336 40 0 0.0 29 5 17.2
2025 Shades 214 .284 109 0 0.0 105 35 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 116 17.7 5.2% 0.0% 93 20.0 2.2% 0.0%
2024 62 16.3 30.6% 3.2% 51 18.7 3.9% 3.9%
2025 212 17.2 4.2% 0.9% 129 19.2 0.8% 0.8%

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Pitch Distribution

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