P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 5' 11" 160 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 1 6.14 10 0 1 14.2 16 1.77
2025 1 6 2.91 54 0 22 52.2 61 1.14
2026 0 0 0.00 3 0 1 3 3 1.00
4 Seasons 6 10 3.74 94 0 24 98.2 113 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 10 0-1 6.14 14.2 16 1.77
2025 54 1-6 2.91 52.2 61 1.14
2026 3 0-0 0.00 3 3 1.00
4 Seasons 94 6-10 3.74 98.2 113 1.27
Player Apps
Random Video illustrator Visual Report 3D Pitches Player Similarity Swing Take Profile
Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?
  • ▾

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 494 70 5 7.1 4.2 91.4 112.0 15.2 34.3 .217 .355 .303 .307 .363 47.1 27.7 11.8 4.45 3.96
2024 24 263 40 2 5.0 2.9 92.5 109.0 7.1 30.0 .230 .344 .336 .335 .353 45.0 23.2 17.4 6.14 4.64
2025 25 841 136 6 4.4 2.8 90.1 113.0 14.4 38.2 .225 .354 .284 .282 .357 48.5 28.4 7.4 2.90 3.26
2026 26 38 8 1 12.5 9.1 90.7 108.1 10.3 62.5 .299 .541 .282 .358 .492 62.5 27.3 0.0 0.00 5.28
Player 1636 254 14 5.5 3.4 90.9 113.0 13.3 36.6 .226 .359 .298 .300 .362 48.0 27.3 10.1
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Palencia relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(65.8%) ,
Split Finger
(21.1%) ,
Slider
(13.2%) ,


  • ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  • ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 37.1 62.9 18.6 30.0 14.3 37.1 28.6 34.3 17.1 12.9 7.1 20.0 15.7 27.1
2024 52.5 47.5 15.0 27.5 5.0 30.0 52.5 17.5 22.5 22.5 7.5 7.5 30.0 10.0
2025 39.7 60.3 25.7 27.2 7.4 33.1 39.7 27.2 16.9 18.4 4.4 16.2 21.3 22.8
2026 25.0 75.0 25.0 50.0 0.0 12.5 75.0 12.5 0.0 12.5 12.5 12.5 62.5 0.0
Player 40.6 59.4 22.0 28.7 8.7 33.1 39.8 27.2 17.3 17.3 5.9 15.7 22.4 21.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 4.3 25.7 27.1 22.9 11.4 7.1 4.2
2024 0.0 42.5 20.0 22.5 10.0 5.0 2.9
2025 5.1 29.4 25.0 25.7 10.3 4.4 2.8
2026 0.0 25.0 12.5 25.0 25.0 12.5 9.1
Player 3.9 30.3 24.4 24.4 11.0 5.5 3.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

  • ▾

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Split-Finger CHC R 8 89.7 32.5 0.6 11.6ARM -1.1 1.4 1.1 11.6ARM 0.0
2026 Slider CHC R 5 89.6 30.4 -1.4 1.6GLV -2.1 3.6 -2.3 1.6GLV -2.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 25 99.3 10.9 1.1 9.1ARM 1.4 17.0 0.7 9.1ARM 1.3
2025 Sinker CHC R 3 97.9 18.2 -3.3 14.9ARM -0.7 10.0 -2.6 14.9ARM -0.2
2025 Split-Finger CHC R 39 88.3 31.1 -0.9 10.4ARM -1.4 3.9 -0.9 10.4ARM -0.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 602 99.6 12.3 0.4 11.9ARM 3.3 15.4 -0.4 11.9ARM 4.3
2025 Slider CHC R 194 88.5 33.7 1.0 2.4GLV -1.7 1.1 0.7 2.4GLV -2.0
2025 Curveball CHC R 3 82.2 38.4 -11.9 2.1GLV -7.0 1.7 -11.9 2.1GLV -6.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 5.0 1 25 65.8 8 .125 .250 .156 50.0 37.5 42.9 .259 .574 .350 80.0
2026 Split-Finger -4.0 0 8 21.1 2 .500 .500 .450 33.3 0.0 0.0 .310 .351 .296 0.0
2026 Slider -10.1 -1 5 13.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .594 .655 .544 100.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 5 602 71.6 148 .216 .366 .293 23.3 25.7 21.6 .233 .392 .302 55.7
2025 Slider 0.3 1 194 23.1 58 .259 .389 .323 39.4 36.2 30.9 .205 .276 .242 33.3
2025 Split-Finger 1.6 1 39 4.6 7 .143 .143 .129 37.5 28.6 11.1 .251 .278 .231 20.0
2025 Curveball 9.1 0 3 0.4 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .067 .091 .065 0.0
2025 Sinker 5.0 0 3 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 25 99.3 96 19.2 1:00 1:00 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 601 99.6 99 19.4 1:30 1:15 15
2025 Split-Finger 35 88.2 90 12.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Slider 194 88.5 24 3.5 10:15 9:00 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
▾
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 119 494 2 5 -2 -3 2
2024 69 263 1 2 -2 -2 -1
2025 214 841 4 12 -5 -3 7
2026 11 38 0 0 0 0 0
Player 413 1,636 7 19 -10 7 8
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 494 47.8 70.8 76.6 27.1 51.4 41.3 56.3 48.0 30.8 7.7 76.3
2024 263 53.6 66.7 78.7 21.3 46.2 40.3 53.6 45.6 28.3 9.5 80.0
2025 841 53.9 71.5 78.7 27.1 53.3 44.2 59.8 51.0 27.5 8.1 86.8
2026 38 47.4 72.2 76.9 55.0 27.3 50.0 81.8 63.2 45.8 2.6 100.0
Player 1,636 51.8 70.5 78.1 26.9 50.5 42.8 58.4 49.5 29.1 8.1 82.6
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2023 97 78 92
2024 98 46 87
2025 68 75 56 64 82 99 68 29 34 68 86 63 95 2 37 69
2026
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 23.71 3 2.9 0 1 2 1 33.3
2024 -- 0 1.0 -1 2 1 0 --
2025 22.47 6 3.6 2 4 4 1 16.7
2026 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
Player 22.88 9 7.5 2 8 7 2 22.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2023 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2024 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025 6 3 4 2 3 4 4 3 3 2 4 6 2 6 4 2 2 2 2 5 3 5 5 5 2 2 4 5 3 5 5
2026 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Player 9 5 7 6 7 8 8 7 7 5 8 11 6 9 8 5 5 6 6 9 8 10 10 9 5 6 8 9 9 9 9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .273 +.049 ↑ .224 -.026 ↓ .250 +.034 ↑ .216
xBA .299 +.074 ↑ .225 -.005 ↓ .230 +.013 ↑ .217
OBP .273 -.015 ↓ .288 -.103 ↓ .391 +.069 ↑ .322
xOBP .299 +.010 ↑ .289 -.086 ↓ .375 +.051 ↑ .324
SLG .364 +.002 ↑ .362 +.023 ↑ .339 -.014 ↓ .353
xSLG .541 +.187 ↑ .354 +.010 ↑ .344 -.011 ↓ .355
ISO .091 -.047 ↓ .138 +.049 ↑ .089 -.048 ↓ .137
xISO .242 +.112 ↑ .130 +.016 ↑ .114 -.023 ↓ .137
BABIP .375 +.077 ↑ .298 -.052 ↓ .350 +.062 ↑ .288
wOBA .282 -.002 ↓ .284 -.052 ↓ .336 +.033 ↑ .303
xwOBA .358 +.076 ↑ .282 -.053 ↓ .335 +.028 ↑ .307
wOBAcon .388 +.028 ↑ .360 +.005 ↑ .355 -.001 ↓ .356
xwOBAcon .492 +.135 ↑ .357 +.004 ↑ .353 -.010 ↓ .363
BACON .375 +.051 ↑ .324 -.026 ↓ .350 +.031 ↑ .319
xBACON .411 +.087 ↑ .324 +.002 ↑ .322 -.001 ↓ .323
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 62.5 +14.0 ↑ 48.5 +3.5 ↑ 45.0 -2.1 ↓ 47.1
Avg Exit Velocity 90.7 +0.6 ↑ 90.1 -2.4 ↓ 92.5 +1.1 ↑ 91.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 62.5 +24.3 ↑ 38.2 +8.2 ↑ 30.0 -4.3 ↓ 34.3
Barrel % 12.5 +8.1 ↑ 4.4 -0.6 ↓ 5.0 -2.1 ↓ 7.1
Avg Launch Angle 10.3 -4.1 ↓ 14.4 +7.3 ↑ 7.1 -8.1 ↓ 15.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.7 -0.2 ↓ 70.9 -0.2 ↓ 71.1 -0.2 ↓ 71.3
Attack Angle 5° -3° ↓ 8° +2° ↑ 6° -2° ↓ 9°
Ideal Attack Angle % 47.4 -4.7 ↓ 52.1 +6.8 ↑ 45.3 +3.1 ↑ 42.2
Attack Direction 12° +9° ↑ 3° 0° ↓ 3° +3° ↑ 0°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +3° ↑ 30° -1° ↓ 31° 0° ↑ 31°
Swing Length 6.8 -0.2 ↓ 7.0 -0.2 ↓ 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 99.3 -0.3 ↓ 99.6 +1.5 ↑ 98.1 -0.3 ↓ 98.4
Breaking Velocity 89.6 +1.2 ↑ 88.4 -1.1 ↓ 89.5 +0.5 ↑ 89.0
Offspeed Velocity 89.7 +1.4 ↑ 88.3 -0.7 ↓ 89.0 +1.8 ↑ 87.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -5 ↓ 6 +4 ↑ 2 -3 ↓ 5
Popup % 0.0 -7.4 ↓ 7.4 +2.4 ↑ 5.0 -9.3 ↓ 14.3
Flyball % 25.0 -0.7 ↓ 25.7 +10.7 ↑ 15.0 -3.6 ↓ 18.6
Line Drive % 50.0 +22.8 ↑ 27.2 -0.3 ↓ 27.5 -2.5 ↓ 30.0
Groundball % 25.0 -14.7 ↓ 39.7 -12.8 ↓ 52.5 +15.4 ↑ 37.1
Pull % 12.5 -20.6 ↓ 33.1 +3.1 ↑ 30.0 -7.1 ↓ 37.1
Straight Away % 75.0 +35.3 ↑ 39.7 -12.8 ↓ 52.5 +23.9 ↑ 28.6
Opposite Field % 12.5 -14.7 ↓ 27.2 +9.7 ↑ 17.5 -16.8 ↓ 34.3
Weak Contact % 0.0 -5.1 ↓ 5.1 +5.1 ↑ 0.0 -4.3 ↓ 4.3
Pull Airball % 12.5 -3.7 ↓ 16.2 +8.7 ↑ 7.5 -12.5 ↓ 20.0
Topped Contact % 25.0 -4.4 ↓ 29.4 -13.1 ↓ 42.5 +16.8 ↑ 25.7
Under Contact % 12.5 -12.5 ↓ 25.0 +5.0 ↑ 20.0 -7.1 ↓ 27.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.0 -0.7 ↓ 25.7 +3.2 ↑ 22.5 -0.4 ↓ 22.9
Solid Contact % 25.0 +14.7 ↑ 10.3 +0.3 ↑ 10.0 -1.4 ↓ 11.4
HR/FB % 0.0 -14.3 ↓ 14.3 +14.3 ↑ 0.0 -23.1 ↓ 23.1
Popups 0 -10 ↓ 10 +8 ↑ 2 -8 ↓ 10
Flyballs 2 -33 ↓ 35 +29 ↑ 6 -7 ↓ 13
Line Drives 4 -33 ↓ 37 +26 ↑ 11 -10 ↓ 21
Groundballs 2 -52 ↓ 54 +33 ↑ 21 -5 ↓ 26
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.4 -6.5 ↓ 53.9 +0.3 ↑ 53.6 +5.8 ↑ 47.8
Out of Zone % 52.6 +6.5 ↑ 46.1 -0.3 ↓ 46.4 -5.8 ↓ 52.2
Edge % 50.0 +5.8 ↑ 44.2 +3.9 ↑ 40.3 -1.0 ↓ 41.3
Zone Swing % 72.2 +0.7 ↑ 71.5 +4.8 ↑ 66.7 -4.1 ↓ 70.8
Out of Zone Swing % 55.0 +27.9 ↑ 27.1 +5.8 ↑ 21.3 -5.8 ↓ 27.1
In Zone Contact % 76.9 -1.8 ↓ 78.7 0.0 78.7 +2.1 ↑ 76.6
Out of Zone Contact % 27.3 -26.0 ↓ 53.3 +7.1 ↑ 46.2 -5.2 ↓ 51.4
Whiff % 45.8 +18.3 ↑ 27.5 -0.8 ↓ 28.3 -2.5 ↓ 30.8
First Strike % 81.8 +22.0 ↑ 59.8 +6.2 ↑ 53.6 -2.7 ↓ 56.3
First Pitch Swing % 63.6 +30.4 ↑ 33.2 -4.5 ↓ 37.7 -1.8 ↓ 39.5
Swing % 63.2 +12.2 ↑ 51.0 +5.4 ↑ 45.6 -2.4 ↓ 48.0
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +13.2 ↑ 86.8 +6.8 ↑ 80.0 +3.7 ↑ 76.3
Meatball % 2.6 -5.5 ↓ 8.1 -1.4 ↓ 9.5 +1.8 ↑ 7.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 23.1 +1.8 ↑ 21.3 0.0 21.3 -2.1 ↓ 23.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 72.7 +26.0 ↑ 46.7 -7.1 ↓ 53.8 +5.2 ↑ 48.6
In Zone 18 -435 ↓ 453 +312 ↑ 141 -95 ↓ 236
Out of Zone 20 -368 ↓ 388 +266 ↑ 122 -136 ↓ 258
Edge 19 -353 ↓ 372 +266 ↑ 106 -98 ↓ 204
In Zone Swings 13 -311 ↓ 324 +230 ↑ 94 -73 ↓ 167
Out of Zone Swings 11 -94 ↓ 105 +79 ↑ 26 -44 ↓ 70
In Zone Swing & Misses 3 -66 ↓ 69 +49 ↑ 20 -19 ↓ 39
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 8 -41 ↓ 49 +35 ↑ 14 -20 ↓ 34
Basic
Pitches 38 -803 ↓ 841 +578 ↑ 263 -231 ↓ 494
PA 11 -204 ↓ 215 +146 ↑ 69 -50 ↓ 119
AB 11 -185 ↓ 196 +140 ↑ 56 -46 ↓ 102
Hits 3 -41 ↓ 44 +30 ↑ 14 -8 ↓ 22
Singles 2 -28 ↓ 30 +21 ↑ 9 -6 ↓ 15
Doubles 1 -5 ↓ 6 +1 ↑ 5 +2 ↑ 3
Triples 0 -3 ↓ 3 +3 ↑ 0 -1 ↓ 1
Home Runs 0 -5 ↓ 5 +5 ↑ 0 -3 ↓ 3
Walks 0 -16 ↓ 16 +4 ↑ 12 -2 ↓ 14
Strikeouts 3 -58 ↓ 61 +45 ↑ 16 -17 ↓ 33
K% 27.3 -1.1 ↓ 28.4 +5.2 ↑ 23.2 -4.5 ↓ 27.7
BB% 0.0 -7.4 ↓ 7.4 -10.0 ↓ 17.4 +5.6 ↑ 11.8
HBP 0 -2 ↓ 2 +1 ↑ 1 -1 ↓ 2
Batted Balls 8 -128 ↓ 136 +96 ↑ 40 -30 ↓ 70
Number of Fastballs 25 -580 ↓ 605 +435 ↑ 170 -162 ↓ 332
Number of Offspeed 8 -31 ↓ 39 +12 ↑ 27 +21 ↑ 6
Number of Breaking 5 -192 ↓ 197 +131 ↑ 66 -90 ↓ 156
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 119 .303 69 3 4.3 50 2 4.0
2024 Shades 69 .336 40 0 0.0 29 5 17.2
2025 Shades 214 .284 109 0 0.0 105 35 33.3
2026 Shades 11 .282 4 0 0.0 7 1 14.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 116 17.7 5.2% 0.0% 93 20.0 2.2% 0.0%
2024 62 16.3 30.6% 3.2% 51 18.7 3.9% 3.9%
2025 212 17.2 4.2% 0.9% 129 19.2 0.8% 0.8%
2026 7 16.5 14.3% 0.0% 2 17.8 0.0% 0.0%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution

  • ▾