P | Texas Rangers
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 190 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd. 1, No. 15, Texas Rangers | Orange Lutheran HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 1 7.79 13 0 0 17.1 14 1.27
2025 0 1 1.51 33 0 0 41.2 35 0.96
2026 2 1 4.85 14 0 1 13 15 1.23
3 Seasons 2 3 3.63 60 0 1 72 64 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 13 0-1 7.79 17.1 14 1.27
2025 33 0-1 1.51 41.2 35 0.96
2026 14 2-1 4.85 13 15 1.23
3 Seasons 60 2-3 3.63 72 64 1.08
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 24 286 56 6 10.7 7.8 89.9 113.0 14.3 41.1 .278 .470 .315 .356 .402 41.1 18.2 5.2 7.79 5.34
2025 25 619 106 11 10.4 6.8 91.4 111.1 10.4 29.2 .216 .407 .255 .318 .355 48.1 21.6 10.5 1.51 4.22
2026 26 220 36 2 5.6 3.6 88.1 112.7 17.1 27.8 .207 .382 .310 .297 .364 38.9 26.8 8.9 4.85 3.45
Player 1125 198 19 9.6 6.4 90.3 113.0 12.8 32.3 .231 .419 .281 .324 .370 44.4 21.7 8.8
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Winn relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.9%) ,
Cutter
(23.6%) ,
Slider
(20.9%) ,
Split Finger
(14.5%) ,
Sinker
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.5 62.5 28.6 30.4 3.6 26.8 46.4 26.8 14.3 17.9 5.4 12.5 28.6 21.4
2025 48.1 51.9 28.3 19.8 3.8 33.0 41.5 25.5 20.8 19.8 7.5 12.3 21.7 17.9
2026 27.8 72.2 47.2 19.4 5.6 38.9 27.8 33.3 13.9 8.3 5.6 25.0 19.4 27.8
Player 41.4 58.6 31.8 22.7 4.0 32.3 40.4 27.3 17.7 17.2 6.6 14.6 23.2 20.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 0.0 30.4 23.2 32.1 3.6 10.7 7.8
2025 4.7 37.7 22.6 17.9 5.7 10.4 6.8
2026 5.6 16.7 41.7 19.4 11.1 5.6 3.6
Player 3.5 31.8 26.3 22.2 6.1 9.6 6.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider TEX R 46 85.0 42.9 6.2 2.6GLV -2.2 -5.1 6.6 2.6GLV -1.5
2026 Sinker TEX R 11 93.7 21.7 -1.6 16.3ARM 0.4 9.8 -2.0 16.3ARM 0.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 79 94.8 13.6 0.8 6.0ARM -2.0 17.0 0.9 6.0ARM -1.7
2026 Split-Finger TEX R 32 86.6 35.3 1.0 14.7ARM 2.5 1.3 1.4 14.7ARM 3.2
2026 Cutter TEX R 52 89.8 26.8 -0.9 1.6GLV -0.5 7.1 -1.1 1.6GLV -0.7
2025 Sinker TEX R 130 95.3 21.8 -0.8 15.6ARM -0.2 8.5 -1.1 15.6ARM 0.5
2025 Cutter TEX R 118 91.3 25.3 -1.2 2.8GLV 1.3 7.4 -1.0 2.8GLV 0.6
2025 Slider TEX R 119 86.1 42.4 7.3 2.5GLV -2.1 -5.6 7.4 2.5GLV -1.8
2025 Split-Finger TEX R 75 87.8 32.0 -1.1 14.8ARM 2.6 3.6 -0.6 14.8ARM 3.6
2025 Curveball TEX R 6 83.7 48.9 0.2 10.1GLV 2.4 -9.3 -0.9 10.1GLV 1.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 171 96.2 13.5 0.6 6.9ARM -1.3 16.2 0.4 6.9ARM -0.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 0 79 35.9 19 .214 .429 .384 31.0 36.8 25.0 .166 .402 .359 71.4
2026 Cutter 3.9 2 52 23.6 9 .125 .125 .100 20.0 0.0 0.0 .253 .335 .298 33.3
2026 Slider 1.4 1 46 20.9 12 .083 .083 .150 58.3 58.3 31.8 .147 .192 .148 40.0
2026 Split-Finger 1.9 1 32 14.5 10 .200 .300 .215 23.5 10.0 11.1 .159 .226 .166 11.1
2026 Sinker -24.4 -3 11 5.0 6 .667 1.667 .967 0.0 0.0 0.0 .443 1.036 .611 50.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 2 171 27.6 34 .226 .355 .288 16.9 20.6 14.0 .224 .428 .312 54.2
2025 Sinker -0.9 -1 130 21.0 35 .222 .519 .400 9.4 11.4 13.3 .250 .475 .389 58.3
2025 Slider 2.8 3 119 19.2 23 .095 .143 .154 34.0 30.4 18.4 .218 .332 .276 42.9
2025 Cutter 4.4 5 118 19.1 43 .158 .263 .213 23.2 18.6 36.4 .229 .481 .333 43.8
2025 Split-Finger 0.6 0 75 12.1 24 .100 .150 .206 43.3 37.5 23.7 .145 .243 .255 36.4
2025 Curveball 0.3 0 6 1.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .005 .005 .005 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 52 89.8 44 6.8 12:15 11:30 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 79 94.8 91 17.7 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Split-Finger 29 86.7 87 15.5 2:00 3:00 -60
2026 Sinker 11 93.7 85 19.3 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 46 85.0 31 7.6 7:45 6:45 60
2025 Cutter 110 91.3 48 7.4 12:15 11:00 75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 160 96.2 92 17.3 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Split-Finger 69 87.8 93 16.0 1:45 2:45 -60
2025 Sinker 122 95.4 87 18.0 1:15 2:15 -60
2025 Slider 109 86.1 34 8.0 7:45 6:45 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 77 286 -1 4 -2 -2 -1
2025 160 619 12 6 -5 -3 10
2026 56 220 1 2 -1 -1 0
Player 293 1,125 12 12 -9 12 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 286 53.5 70.6 77.8 30.1 65.0 42.0 74.0 51.7 25.7 8.7 92.0
2025 619 50.2 67.8 85.3 23.7 53.4 40.2 66.9 45.9 22.9 7.8 81.3
2026 220 44.5 72.4 76.1 36.1 56.8 44.5 58.9 52.3 31.3 5.9 84.6
Player 1,125 50.0 69.4 81.5 27.9 57.3 41.5 67.2 48.6 25.4 7.6 84.9
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 70 83 86
2025 75 78 86
2026 48 35 59 66 69 57 75 66 90 84 75 51 73 51 6 91
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 25.58 2 2.0 0 0 1 1 50.0
2025 23.89 3 4.1 -1 5 3 2 66.7
2026 24.97 3 2.9 0 0 1 2 66.7
Player 24.72 8 9.0 -1 5 5 5 62.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
2025 3 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 7 5 3 5 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 3 4 3 3 5 4 6
2026 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
Player 8 9 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 9 10 8 12 10 8 10 8 9 10 9 10 10 10 7 9 8 8 10 9 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .220 +.053 .167 -.094 .261
xBA .207 -.009 .216 -.062 .278
OBP .286 +.011 .275 -.050 .325
xOBP .284 -.037 .321 -.024 .345
SLG .420 +.123 .297 -.094 .391
xSLG .382 -.025 .407 -.063 .470
ISO .200 +.070 .130 .000 .130
xISO .174 -.017 .191 -.001 .192
BABIP .242 +.044 .198 -.098 .296
wOBA .310 +.055 .255 -.060 .315
xwOBA .297 -.021 .318 -.038 .356
wOBAcon .384 +.124 .260 -.085 .345
xwOBAcon .364 +.009 .355 -.047 .402
BACON .306 +.085 .221 -.100 .321
xBACON .304 +.013 .291 -.058 .349
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 38.9 -9.2 48.1 +7.0 41.1
Avg Exit Velocity 88.1 -3.3 91.4 +1.5 89.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 27.8 -1.4 29.2 -11.9 41.1
Barrel % 5.6 -4.8 10.4 -0.3 10.7
Avg Launch Angle 17.1 +6.7 10.4 -3.9 14.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 -0.3 72.6 +1.4 71.2
Attack Angle 10° +2° -1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 55.0 +5.8 49.2 +2.0 47.2
Attack Direction -1° +3° -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° -1° 32° +1° 31°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 0.0 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.9 -1.7 94.6 -0.7 95.3
Breaking Velocity 85.0 -0.9 85.9 -1.4 87.3
Offspeed Velocity 86.6 -1.2 87.8 +1.0 86.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 2 -9 11 +5 6
Popup % 5.6 +1.8 3.8 +0.2 3.6
Flyball % 47.2 +18.9 28.3 -0.3 28.6
Line Drive % 19.4 -0.4 19.8 -10.6 30.4
Groundball % 27.8 -20.3 48.1 +10.6 37.5
Pull % 38.9 +5.9 33.0 +6.2 26.8
Straight Away % 27.8 -13.7 41.5 -4.9 46.4
Opposite Field % 33.3 +7.8 25.5 -1.3 26.8
Weak Contact % 5.6 +0.9 4.7 +4.7 0.0
Pull Airball % 25.0 +12.7 12.3 -0.2 12.5
Topped Contact % 16.7 -21.0 37.7 +7.3 30.4
Under Contact % 41.7 +19.1 22.6 -0.6 23.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 19.4 +1.5 17.9 -14.2 32.1
Solid Contact % 11.1 +5.4 5.7 +2.1 3.6
HR/FB % 17.6 +7.6 10.0 -2.5 12.5
Popups 2 -2 4 +2 2
Flyballs 17 -13 30 +14 16
Line Drives 7 -14 21 +4 17
Groundballs 10 -41 51 +30 21
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.5 -5.7 50.2 -3.3 53.5
Out of Zone % 55.5 +5.7 49.8 +3.3 46.5
Edge % 44.5 +4.3 40.2 -1.8 42.0
Zone Swing % 72.4 +4.6 67.8 -2.8 70.6
Out of Zone Swing % 36.1 +12.4 23.7 -6.4 30.1
In Zone Contact % 76.1 -9.2 85.3 +7.5 77.8
Out of Zone Contact % 56.8 +3.4 53.4 -11.6 65.0
Whiff % 31.3 +8.4 22.9 -2.8 25.7
First Strike % 58.9 -8.0 66.9 -7.1 74.0
First Pitch Swing % 33.9 -3.0 36.9 -4.7 41.6
Swing % 52.3 +6.4 45.9 -5.8 51.7
Meatball Swing % 84.6 +3.3 81.3 -10.7 92.0
Meatball % 5.9 -1.9 7.8 -0.9 8.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 23.9 +9.2 14.7 -7.5 22.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.2 -3.4 46.6 +11.6 35.0
In Zone 98 -213 311 +158 153
Out of Zone 122 -186 308 +175 133
Edge 98 -151 249 +129 120
In Zone Swings 71 -140 211 +103 108
Out of Zone Swings 44 -29 73 +33 40
In Zone Swing & Misses 17 -14 31 +7 24
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 19 -15 34 +20 14
Basic
Pitches 220 -399 619 +333 286
PA 56 -106 162 +85 77
AB 50 -88 138 +69 69
Hits 11 -12 23 +5 18
Singles 7 -5 12 -1 13
Doubles 1 -6 7 +4 3
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0
Home Runs 3 0 3 +1 2
Walks 5 -12 17 +13 4
Strikeouts 15 -20 35 +21 14
K% 26.8 +5.2 21.6 +3.4 18.2
BB% 8.9 -1.6 10.5 +5.3 5.2
HBP 0 -4 4 +1 3
Batted Balls 36 -70 106 +50 56
Number of Fastballs 142 -277 419 +277 142
Number of Offspeed 32 -43 75 +15 60
Number of Breaking 46 -79 125 +41 84
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 77 .315 51 0 0.0 26 18 69.2
2025 Shades 160 .255 99 3 3.0 61 39 63.9
2026 Shades 56 .310 29 6 20.7 27 23 85.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 72 15.7 30.6% 0.0% 44 17.9 11.4% 0.0%
2025 167 16.4 23.4% 1.8% 110 19.0 3.6% 0.9%
2026 45 16.2 22.2% 2.2% 33 18.7 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution