Chase Burns Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics

Chase Burns

P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 210LBS | Age: 22

Draft: 2024 | Rd: 1, #2, Cincinnati Reds | Wake Forest

MLB Pipeline Rank

TOP 100: No. 2 | Reds: No. 1

	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	0	1	6.19	4	4	0	16	25	1.63
1 Season	0	1	6.19	4	4	0	16	25	1.63

	G	W-L	ERA	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	4	0-1	6.19	16	25	1.63
1 Season	4	0-1	6.19	16	25	1.63

Player Apps

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Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs

Standard MLB Batting Statistics

No MLB Hitting Statistics.

Standard MLB Pitching Statistics

	Season	Tm	LG	BF	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
	2025	CIN	NL	74	0	1	6.19	4	4	0	16.0	17	13	11	3	9	25	1.63
	1 Season	CIN	NL	74	0	1	6.19	4	4	0	16.0	17	13	11	3	9	25	1.63

*: All Star Season, Rankings AL/NL: Top 5 10 15 20, Click for Chart.

Standard MLB Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	E	DP	RF	FPCT%
2025	CIN	NL	P	4	4	16.0	2	1	1	0	0		1.000
1 Season	CIN	NL	P	4	4	16.0	2	1	1	0	0		1.000

Spray Chart

Season	Tm	LG	L	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025	3 Teams		Minors	7	3	1.77	13	13	66.0	38	14	13	5	13	89	0.77
2025	Dayton Dragons	MID	A+	0	2	3.09	3	3	11.2	5	4	4	2	5	20	0.86
2025	Chattanooga Lookouts	SOU	AA	6	1	1.29	8	8	42.0	26	7	6	3	4	55	0.71
2025	Louisville Bats	INT	AAA	1	0	2.19	2	2	12.1	7	3	3	0	4	14	0.89
	Louisville Bats	INT	AAA	1	0	2.19	2	2	12.1	7	3	3	0	4	14	0.89
	Chattanooga Lookouts	SOU	AA	6	1	1.29	8	8	42.0	26	7	6	3	4	55	0.71
	Dayton Dragons	MID	A+	0	2	3.09	3	3	11.2	5	4	4	2	5	20	0.86
Career Minors	3 Teams			7	3	1.77	13	13	66.0	38	14	13	5	13	89	0.77

Season	Tm	LG	L	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	FPCT%
2025	3 Teams		Minors	P	13	13	66.0	7	2	5	1.000
2025	Dayton Dragons	MID	A+	P	3	3	11.2	0	0	0	.000
2025	Chattanooga Lookouts	SOU	AA	P	8	8	42.0	7	2	5	1.000
2025	Louisville Bats	INT	AAA	P	2	2	12.1	0	0	0	.000
	Louisville Bats	INT	AAA	P	2	2	12.1	0	0	0	.000
	Chattanooga Lookouts	SOU	AA	P	8	8	42.0	7	2	5	1.000
	Dayton Dragons	MID	A+	P	3	3	11.2	0	0	0	.000
Career Minors	3 Teams			P	13	13	66.0	7	2	5	1.000

Scouting Report

2025

Video scouting report »

A solid high school performer in Tennessee, Burns might have generated more Draft interest in 2021 if it hadn't been for his strong desire to play college ball for his home state Volunteers. After pitching very well in the rotation as a freshman, he lost his starting spot as a sophomore in 2023, though he threw very well in long relief. He entered the transfer portal and chose to head to Wake Forest’s pitching lab, where he thrived and broke the Demon Deacons’ single-season strikeout mark, surpassing Rhett Lowder, who might be his big league rotation-mate soon after the Reds took Burns No. 2 overall in the 2024 Draft and signed him to a $9.25 million bonus, tying a record with No. 3 overall pick Charlie Condon.

There are no questions about Burns’ velocity. His fastball sits in the upper 90s and touches 102 mph, but it did get hit a fair amount at Wake and he allowed 10 homers off the pitch in 2024, according to Synergy, because it tends to straighten out with a lack of deception. His upper-80s slider is one of the best secondary pitches in any system, one that elicited a 64 percent miss rate last year. His slightly slower, low-80s curve gives him a second plus breaking pitch.

The athletic right-hander doesn’t use his upper-80s changeup as much, but it will flash plus with fade when he’s really clicking. His biggest area of improvement post-transfer was with his overall command, but he’s always been a solid strike-thrower. Lowder made it to the big leagues the season after being drafted, and while Burns isn’t as polished as his organization-mate, the Reds hope he can ride on a similar fast track.

2024

Video scouting report »

Though Burns reached 100 mph with his fastball and drew some first-round interest as a Tennessee high schooler, he fell to the Padres in the 20th round of the 2021 Draft because he was set on pitching at Tennessee. He starred in the Volunteers' rotation as a freshman but logged a 6.10 ERA in eight starts in 2023, prompting a move to a long-relief role in which he thrived. He ranked third in NCAA Division I in strikeout rate (14.3 per nine innings) and helped Tennessee reach the College World Series, then opted to transfer to Wake Forest. He parlayed a spectacular junior season into being the No. 2 overall pick in the Draft, tying a record with fellow 2024 draftee Charlie Condon with his $9.25 million bonus.

Burns operates at 97-99 mph and reaches 102 with his heater, but it's fairly straight and batters get a good look at it coming out of his high arm slot, so it gets hit harder than it should at times. His tight slider is a true beast that sits in the upper 80s and has generated a 60 percent swing-and-miss rate during the last two seasons. He also owns a plus low-80s curveball.

Burns rarely uses his upper-80s changeup but it can be a plus pitch with significant fade when it's on. He has a history of throwing strikes and has improved his overall command this spring, though he's still going to need to locate his fastball with more precision at the next level. He has the ceiling of a frontline starter, even if there is a little bit of reliever risk.

2021

Video scouting report »

Burns fits in the group of prep pitchers jockeying for position behind the consensus top arm, Jackson Jobe. He helped his cause by hitting 100 mph with his fastball, showed a pair of solid secondary pitches and demonstrated improved strike-throwing on the showcase circuit last summer. He has shown similar stuff this spring, giving him a chance to become the rare high school right-hander who sneaks into the first round.

Burns pitches at 92-96 mph, regularly touches 98 and peaks in the triple digits with his fastball, which has outstanding induced vertical break and some natural cutting action. He uses both an upper-70s curveball and a mid-80s cutter/slider that both grade as solid offerings, with scouts split as to which is better. His upper-80s changeup lacks consistency and resembles more of a batting-practice fastball at times.

Burns has a strong 6-foot-4 build but is more physical than athletic. The Tennessee recruit has a long arm action and some effort in his delivery, so he presents some reliever risk. He's trending up, however, and has the upside to pitch in the front half of a rotation.

Draft

Video scouting report »

Though Burns reached 100 mph with his fastball and drew some first-round interest as a Tennessee high schooler, he fell to the Padres in the 20th round of the 2021 Draft because he was set on pitching at Tennessee. He starred in the Volunteers' rotation as a freshman but logged a 6.10 ERA in eight starts in 2023, prompting a move to a long-relief role in which he thrived. He ranked third in NCAA Division I in strikeout rate (14.3 per nine innings) and helped Tennessee reach the College World Series, then opted to transfer to Wake Forest. He could be the first pitcher selected in a July following a spectacular junior season that has included Atlantic Coast Conference Pitcher of the Year accolades and the D-I lead in strikeouts (191 in 100 innings).

Awards

SOU Pitcher of the Week

Week	Team
06/01/2025

Transactions

Team	Date	Transaction
	06/24/2025	Cincinnati Reds selected the contract of RHP Chase Burns from Louisville Bats.
	06/24/2025	Cincinnati Reds activated RHP Chase Burns.
	06/23/2025	RHP Chase Burns roster status changed by Louisville Bats.
	06/09/2025	RHP Chase Burns assigned to Louisville Bats from Chattanooga Lookouts.
	06/09/2025	Louisville Bats activated RHP Chase Burns.
	04/22/2025	RHP Chase Burns assigned to Chattanooga Lookouts from Dayton Dragons.
	04/01/2025	RHP Chase Burns assigned to Dayton Dragons from ACL Reds.
	03/06/2025	activated RHP Chase Burns.
	01/21/2025	RHP Chase Burns roster status changed by Cincinnati Reds.
	08/05/2024	RHP Chase Burns assigned to ACL Reds.
	07/18/2024	Cincinnati Reds signed RHP Chase Burns.
	06/16/2024	College Workout activated RHP Chase Burns.
	03/01/2024	RHP Chase Burns assigned to Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
	02/03/2023	RHP Chase Burns assigned to Tennessee Volunteers.
	03/01/2022	RHP Chase Burns and assigned to Tennessee Volunteers.
	06/15/2020	RHP Chase Burns assigned to PG National 9 - Purple.
	06/15/2020	RHP Chase Burns assigned to PG National 9 - Purple.

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	vs Left				4			7.0	37	10			2	6	10	2.29
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	vs Right				4			9.0	37	7			1	3	15	1.11

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	June	1	13.50	2	2	5.1	30	11	10	8	2	2	8	2.44
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	July	0	2.53	2	2	10.2	44	6	3	3	1	7	17	1.22
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Pre All-Star	1	6.19	4	4	16.0	74	17	13	11	3	9	25	1.63

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Bases Empty	4	9.1	42	9	1	5	15	1.50
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Bases Loaded	1	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0.00
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Runner at 1st	4	3.0	14	3	1	2	4	1.67
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Runners at 1st & 2nd	3	1.2	7	2	0	0	4	1.20
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Runners at 1st & 3rd	2	0.0	2	1	0	1	0	-.--
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Runner at 2nd	2	0.2	4	1	0	1	1	3.00
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	1	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	3.00
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Runner at 3rd	1	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	0.00
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Scoring Position	4	3.2	18	5	1	2	6	1.91

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Home Games	0	0	4.09	2	2	0	11.0	46	10	5	5	2	3	18	1.18
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Away Games	0	1	10.80	2	2	0	5.0	28	7	8	6	1	6	7	2.60
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Day Games	0	0	1.93	1	1	0	4.2	19	2	1	1	0	4	7	1.29
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Night Games	0	1	7.94	3	3	0	11.1	55	15	12	10	3	5	18	1.76
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Leading Off				4			3.2	17	3			1	3	6	1.64

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	No Outs	4	5.2	29	7	2	4	10	1.94
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	One Out	4	5.1	23	4	1	3	8	1.31
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Two Outs	3	5.0	22	6	0	2	7	1.60

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	First Inning	13.50	4	3.1	20	6	7	5	1	3	8	2.70
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Second Inning	0.00	3	3.0	13	2	0	0	0	2	7	1.33
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Third Inning	0.00	3	3.0	12	1	0	0	0	2	4	1.00
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Fourth Inning	15.00	3	3.0	16	7	5	5	2	1	4	2.67
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Fifth Inning	3.38	3	2.2	10	1	1	1	0	1	1	0.75
Cincinnati Reds	MLB	Sixth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.00

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	vs Left				13			35.2	139	25			3	8	36	0.93
3 Teams	Minors	vs Right				13			29.0	103	13			2	5	53	0.62

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2 Teams	Minors	April	0	2	2.87	4	4	15.2	61	10	5	5	2	6	25	1.02
Chattanooga Lookouts	Double-A	May	5	1	1.45	6	6	31.0	111	18	6	5	3	3	44	0.68
2 Teams	Minors	June	2	0	1.40	3	3	19.1	70	10	3	3	0	4	20	0.72
3 Teams	Minors	First Half	7	3	1.77	13	13	66.0	242	38	14	13	5	13	89	0.77

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	Bases Empty	13	44.1	171	27	4	10	58	0.83
3 Teams	Minors	Runner at 1st	12	8.2	32	7	1	2	13	1.04
3 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 2nd	5	2.2	7	1	0	0	4	0.38
2 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 3rd	2	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0.00
3 Teams	Minors	Runner at 2nd	9	5.2	21	2	0	1	10	0.53
2 Teams	Minors	Runner at 3rd	5	3.0	10	1	0	0	3	0.33
3 Teams	Minors	Scoring Position	11	12.1	39	4	0	1	18	0.41

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	Home Games	5	1	1.51	7	7	0	35.2	129	21	7	6	2	6	48	0.76
3 Teams	Minors	Away Games	2	2	2.08	6	6	0	30.1	113	17	7	7	3	7	41	0.79
2 Teams	Minors	Day Games	2	1	2.01	4	4	0	22.1	81	12	5	5	1	4	31	0.72
2 Teams	Minors	Night Games	5	2	1.65	9	9	0	43.2	161	26	9	8	4	9	58	0.80
3 Teams	Minors	Leading Off				13			16.0	67	13			4	6	21	1.19

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	No Outs	13	22.1	91	20	5	8	30	1.25
3 Teams	Minors	One Out	13	22.1	76	9	0	1	28	0.45
3 Teams	Minors	Two Outs	13	20.2	75	9	0	4	31	0.63

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	First Inning	5.54	13	13.0	54	11	8	8	2	7	18	1.38
3 Teams	Minors	Second Inning	1.38	13	13.0	46	5	2	2	0	2	22	0.54
3 Teams	Minors	Third Inning	0.69	13	13.0	46	8	1	1	1	1	11	0.69
3 Teams	Minors	Fourth Inning	0.00	13	12.2	42	3	1	0	0	0	17	0.24
2 Teams	Minors	Fifth Inning	2.00	9	9.0	33	6	2	2	2	2	15	0.89
2 Teams	Minors	Sixth Inning	0.00	4	3.1	14	4	0	0	0	1	5	1.50
2 Teams	Minors	Seventh Inning	0.00	2	2.0	7	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.50

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-06-24	Cincinnati Reds	New York Yankees	0	5.40	1	1	5.0	6	3	3	1	0	8	1.20
2025-06-30	Boston Red Sox	Cincinnati Reds	1	13.50	1	1	0.1	5	7	5	1	2	0	2.44
June	Cincinnati Reds		1	13.50	2	2	5.1	11	10	8	2	2	8	2.44
2025-07-06	Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	0	8.10	1	1	4.2	2	1	1	0	4	7	1.90
2025-07-11	Cincinnati Reds	Colorado Rockies	0	6.19	1	1	6.0	4	2	2	1	3	10	1.63
July	Cincinnati Reds		0	2.53	2	2	10.2	6	3	3	1	7	17	1.22

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-04-04	West Michigan Whitecaps	Dayton Dragons	0	0	0.00	1	1	4.0	1	0	0	0	1	6	0.50
2025-04-11	Dayton Dragons	Fort Wayne TinCaps	0	1	1.17	1	1	3.2	2	1	1	0	2	7	0.78
2025-04-18	Great Lakes Loons	Dayton Dragons	0	1	3.09	1	1	4.0	2	3	3	2	2	7	0.86
2025-04-26	Chattanooga Lookouts	Columbus Clingstones	0	0	2.25	1	1	4.0	5	1	1	0	1	5	1.50
April	Chattanooga Lookouts		0	0	2.25	1	1	4.0	5	1	1	0	1	5	1.50
April	Dayton Dragons		0	2	3.09	3	3	11.2	5	4	4	2	5	20	0.86
2025-05-02	Montgomery Biscuits	Chattanooga Lookouts	1	0	2.00	1	1	5.0	5	1	1	0	0	8	1.22
2025-05-08	Chattanooga Lookouts	Knoxville Smokies	1	0	1.93	1	1	5.0	4	2	1	1	1	8	1.14
2025-05-14	Birmingham Barons	Chattanooga Lookouts	0	1	1.89	1	1	5.0	2	1	1	1	0	7	0.95
2025-05-20	Chattanooga Lookouts	Rocket City Trash Pandas	1	0	1.88	1	1	5.0	2	1	1	1	1	7	0.88
2025-05-25	Chattanooga Lookouts	Rocket City Trash Pandas	1	0	1.86	1	1	5.0	3	1	1	0	0	10	0.83
2025-05-31	Chattanooga Lookouts	Columbus Clingstones	1	0	1.54	1	1	6.0	2	0	0	0	1	4	0.77
May	Chattanooga Lookouts		5	1	1.45	6	6	31.0	18	6	5	3	3	44	0.68
2025-06-07	Knoxville Smokies	Chattanooga Lookouts	1	0	1.29	1	1	7.0	3	0	0	0	0	6	0.71
2025-06-12	Louisville Bats	Iowa Cubs	0	0	3.38	1	1	5.1	4	2	2	0	4	7	1.50
2025-06-18	Louisville Bats	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	1	0	2.19	1	1	7.0	3	1	1	0	0	7	0.89
June	Louisville Bats		1	0	2.19	2	2	12.1	7	3	3	0	4	14	0.89
June	Chattanooga Lookouts		1	0	0.00	1	1	7.0	3	0	0	0	0	6	0.43

Statcast Statistics

Season	Age	Pitches	Batted Balls	Barrels	Barrel %	Barrel/PA	Exit Velocity	Max EV	Launch Angle	LA Sweet- Spot %	XBA	XSLG	WOBA	XWOBA	XWOBACON	HardHit%	K%	BB%	ERA	xERA
2025	22	205	28	3	10.7	6.1	91.7	107.9	14.2	46.4	.295	.505	.398	.383	.523	57.1	30.6	12.2	8.10	5.93
Player		205	28	3	10.7	6.1	91.7	107.9	14.2	46.4	.295	.505	.398	.383	.523	57.1	30.6	12.2
MLB					7.1	4.8	88.5	122.9	12.4	33.2	.245	.406	.316	.316	.369	36.8	22.2	8.4

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Burns relies on 4 pitches.

Four Seamer

(59.5%) ,

Slider

(31.7%) ,

Changeup

(6.8%) ,

Curveball

(2.0%) ,

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.

+ View Chase Burns's Pitches in 3d

Pitch Tracking

Batted Ball Profile

Season	GB %	AIR %	FB %	LD %	PU %	Pull %	Straight %	Oppo %	Pull GB %	Straight GB %	Oppo GB %	Pull AIR %	Straight AIR %	Oppo AIR %
		AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups				All Batted Balls			Batted Ball Breakdown
2025	35.7	64.3	25.0	28.6	10.7	35.7	39.3	25.0	17.9	14.3	3.6	17.9	25.0	21.4
Player	35.7	64.3	25.0	28.6	10.7	35.7	39.3	25.0	17.9	14.3	3.6	17.9	25.0	21.4
MLB	44.3	55.7	23.9	24.7	7.1	37.3	37.4	25.2	20.6	17.7	5.9	16.6	19.7	19.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season	Weak %	Topped %	Under %	Flare/Burner %	Solid %	Barrel %	Barrel/PA
2025	7.1	17.9	14.3	35.7	14.3	10.7	6.1
Player	7.1	17.9	14.3	35.7	14.3	10.7	6.1
MLB	4.0	32.5	24.9	24.4	5.9	7.1	4.8

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.

						Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)				Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year	Pitch	Team	Hand	#	MPH	Vertical Drop	vs. Comparable	Horizontal Break	vs. Comparable	Vertical Break	vs. Avg	Horizontal Break	vs. Avg
2025	4-Seam Fastball	CIN	R	122	98.2	10.0	1.7	3.9ARM	-2.5	18.4	2.6	3.9ARM	-3.8
2025	Changeup	CIN	R	14	90.6	26.8	-2.2	13.4ARM	-1.6	6.4	-2.4	13.4ARM	-1.2
2025	Slider	CIN	R	65	89.8	32.7	2.2	5.3GLV	2.1	1.3	0.4	5.3GLV	0.5
2025	Curveball	CIN	R	4	83.8	43.3	-6.0	2.2GLV	-3.9	-4.6	-5.2	2.2GLV	-7.1

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year	Pitch Type	RV/100	Run Value	Pitches	%	PA	BA	SLG	wOBA	Whiff%	K%	PutAway %	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Hard Hit %
2025	4-Seam Fastball	-0.2	0	122	59.5	26	.350	.350	.404	22.0	23.1	20.0	.344	.465	.430	71.4
2025	Slider	-3.6	-2	65	31.7	15	.267	.867	.457	39.4	46.7	26.9	.250	.617	.360	50.0
2025	Changeup	-4.5	-1	14	6.8	7	.286	.429	.436	0.0	28.6	33.3	.268	.423	.296	20.0
2025	Curveball	3.4	0	4	2.0	1	.000	.000	.000	0.0	0.0	--	.195	.208	.180	100.0

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

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Spin Direction

Year	Pitch Type	Pitches	MPH	Active Spin %	Total Movement (In.)	Spin-Based	Observed	Deviation
2025	Changeup	14	90.6	93	15.1	1:30	2:15	-45
2025	4-Seam Fastball	122	98.2	92	18.4	12:30	12:30	0
2025	Slider	65	89.8	24	6.6	9:45	9:00	45

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.

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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.

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Statcast Pitching Run Value

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All
2025		49	205	1	-2	-1	-1	-3
Player		49	205	1	-2	-1	1	-3

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Statcast Pitching Run Value (Leveraged)

These run values are leveraged, meaning the base/out situation at the time of the event does impact the run value (thus introducing context outside the batter's own contribution).

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All	+/- Due To Leverage
2025		49	205	0	-1	-2	-1	-4	-1
Player		49	205	0	-1	-2	0	-4	-1

Plate Discipline

Season	Pitches	Zone %	Zone Swing %	Zone Contact %	Chase %	Chase Contact %	Edge %	1st Pitch Strike %	Swing %	Whiff %	Meatball %	Meatball Swing %
2025	205	52.2	72.0	80.5	23.5	52.2	46.3	59.2	48.8	26.0	9.3	84.2
Player	205	52.2	72.0	80.5	23.5	52.2	46.3	59.2	48.8	26.0	9.3	84.2
MLB		48.8	67.0	82.1	28.4	57.6	42.7	61.1	47.3	25.0	7.3	76.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year	xwOBA / xERA	xBA	xSLG	xISO	xOBP	Brl	Brl%	EV	Hard Hit%	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Chase Rate	FB Velo	FB Spin	CB Spin	Extension
2025														96	99		43

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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year	Team	Avg HR Trot	Actual HR	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubters	No Doubter %
2025		22.83	2	2.1	0	1	2	1	50.0
Player		22.83	2	2.1	0	1	2	1	50.0

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.

Standard

Year	Team	Avg HR Trot	Actual HR	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubters	No Doubter %
2025		22.83	2	1.7	0	1	1	1	50.0
Player		22.83	2	1.7	0	1	1	1	50.0

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.

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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year	HR
2025	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	2	3	2	1	2	2	1	3	2	4	3	3	2	2	2	3	2	3	2
Player	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	2	3	2	1	2	2	1	3	2	4	3	3	2	2	2	3	2	3	2

Standard

Year	HR
2025	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	1	3	1	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	2	3	2
Player	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	2	2	1	3	1	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	2	3	2

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Statcast Fielder Positioning

				vs RHH			vs LHH
Year	Alignment Type	PA	wOBA	PA	Total	%	PA	Total	%
2025	Shades	49	.398	21	5	23.8	28	11	39.3

! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

		Bases Empty				Runners On Base
Season	Team	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %
2025		32	13.8	78.1%	0.0%	12	17.0	16.7%	0.0%

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MLB Pipeline Rank

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Scouting Report

SOU Pitcher of the Week