P | Washington Nationals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 223 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 1, No. 22, Washington Nationals | Oklahoma
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 1 14.54 1 1 0 4.1 6 1.85
2025 3 1 4.25 10 10 0 48.2 40 1.48
2026 0 0 2.79 2 2 0 9.2 8 1.34
3 Seasons 3 2 4.74 13 13 0 62.2 54 1.48
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0-1 14.54 4.1 6 1.85
2025 10 3-1 4.25 48.2 40 1.48
2026 2 0-0 2.79 9.2 8 1.34
3 Seasons 13 3-2 4.74 62.2 54 1.48
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 99 12 2 16.7 8.7 89.1 101.4 13.3 33.3 .145 .340 .434 .311 .302 33.3 26.1 8.7 14.54 3.94
2025 26 788 158 7 4.4 3.2 87.7 109.7 3.8 29.7 .259 .393 .347 .316 .350 41.8 18.3 6.8 4.25 4.16
2026 27 159 27 1 3.7 2.4 86.5 105.5 9.4 40.7 .216 .315 .318 .308 .295 25.9 19.0 11.9 2.79 3.87
Player 1046 197 10 5.1 3.5 87.6 109.7 5.2 31.5 .245 .379 .350 .314 .339 39.1 19.0 7.7
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Cavalli relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.8%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(23.9%) ,
Sweeper
(18.2%) ,
Sinker
(14.5%) ,
Changeup
(6.3%) ,
Cutter
(1.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 50.0 50.0 41.7 8.3 0.0 8.3 50.0 41.7 8.3 25.0 16.7 0.0 25.0 25.0
2025 55.1 44.9 15.8 24.1 5.1 39.9 38.6 21.5 25.9 22.8 6.3 13.9 15.8 15.2
2026 48.1 51.9 37.0 14.8 0.0 22.2 51.9 25.9 18.5 25.9 3.7 3.7 25.9 22.2
Player 53.8 46.2 20.3 21.8 4.1 35.5 41.1 23.4 23.9 23.4 6.6 11.7 17.8 16.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 0.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 8.3 16.7 8.7
2025 7.6 38.6 13.3 27.2 8.2 4.4 3.2
2026 3.7 37.0 33.3 14.8 7.4 3.7 2.4
Player 6.6 39.1 16.8 23.9 8.1 5.1 3.5
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 57 96.3 13.8 -1.0 3.9ARM -3.1 15.7 -0.8 3.9ARM -3.7
2026 Sinker WSH R 23 95.7 21.9 1.4 12.9ARM -2.5 7.9 -0.1 12.9ARM -2.8
2026 Curveball WSH R 38 84.3 51.6 2.7 8.5GLV 1.8 -12.8 2.5 8.5GLV -0.5
2026 Changeup WSH R 10 90.1 28.7 -1.6 18.0ARM 3.3 5.3 -1.4 18.0ARM 3.2
2026 Cutter WSH R 2 93.2 19.1 2.9 2.1ARM -4.7 12.2 4.0 2.1ARM -4.5
2026 Sweeper WSH R 29 85.0 46.8 8.8 12.6GLV 0.1 -8.5 9.8 12.6GLV -0.9
2025 Sweeper WSH R 2 85.7 49.6 12.8 5.7GLV -6.7 -12.3 13.3 5.7GLV -8.3
2025 Sinker WSH R 147 96.9 21.3 1.0 13.6ARM -1.1 7.9 -0.5 13.6ARM -1.5
2025 Changeup WSH R 107 89.8 27.9 -1.5 17.7ARM 3.2 6.1 -2.0 17.7ARM 3.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 231 97.1 13.9 -1.1 4.3ARM -2.7 15.1 -0.7 4.3ARM -3.3
2025 Cutter WSH R 63 93.6 22.4 -0.9 0.4GLV -1.3 8.8 0.5 0.4GLV -1.8
2025 Curveball WSH R 238 86.2 50.0 3.5 6.3GLV 0.4 -12.8 2.6 6.3GLV -2.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -4.0 -2 57 35.8 16 .462 .692 .534 19.2 12.5 15.4 .256 .470 .382 27.3
2026 Curveball 2.1 1 38 23.9 9 .222 .222 .200 28.6 22.2 20.0 .252 .284 .235 28.6
2026 Sweeper -1.4 0 29 18.2 6 .000 .000 .267 25.0 16.7 11.1 .223 .260 .291 25.0
2026 Sinker 1.7 0 23 14.5 7 .000 .000 .200 12.5 14.3 33.3 .123 .157 .284 25.0
2026 Changeup 7.2 1 10 6.3 3 .000 .000 .000 60.0 66.7 40.0 .077 .088 .070 0.0
2026 Cutter -5.2 0 2 1.3 1 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 -- -- -- .700 --
2025 Curveball -1.5 -4 238 30.2 58 .351 .491 .387 39.6 31.0 24.7 .239 .332 .254 46.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 1 231 29.3 72 .220 .407 .335 25.6 22.2 23.5 .241 .400 .341 40.9
2025 Sinker -0.8 -1 147 18.7 45 .310 .500 .420 9.6 4.4 9.1 .315 .489 .368 50.0
2025 Changeup 0.9 1 107 13.6 29 .222 .222 .234 41.8 13.8 13.8 .250 .298 .272 26.1
2025 Cutter -3.8 -2 63 8.0 15 .417 .750 .537 12.1 0.0 0.0 .278 .543 .416 33.3
2025 Sweeper 5.4 0 2 0.3 -- -- -- 50.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 10 90.1 93 19.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 57 96.3 77 15.8 12:45 12:30 15
2026 Knuckle Curve 38 84.3 82 17.7 7:15 7:00 15
2026 Sinker 23 95.7 77 15.2 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Sweeper 29 85.0 81 17.0 7:15 7:45 -30
2025 Changeup 106 89.8 94 19.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Cutter 63 93.6 53 8.3 12:15 11:45 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 231 97.1 81 15.2 12:45 12:30 15
2025 Knuckle Curve 238 86.2 83 16.7 7:00 6:45 15
2025 Sinker 147 96.9 82 15.9 1:00 2:15 -75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 23 99 0 0 -2 0 -2
2025 219 788 4 0 -6 -3 -5
2026 42 159 0 1 -1 -1 -1
Player 284 1,046 4 2 -9 4 -8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 99 48.5 77.1 73.0 19.6 70.0 35.4 56.5 47.5 27.7 6.1 100.0
2025 788 52.4 63.9 80.3 33.9 55.1 45.4 61.2 49.6 27.9 7.2 71.9
2026 159 44.7 52.1 94.6 27.3 45.8 42.8 59.5 38.4 24.6 5.0 75.0
Player 1,046 50.9 63.5 81.1 31.3 54.7 44.1 60.6 47.7 27.5 6.8 74.6
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022
2025 25 28 22 66 39 88 53 16 85 95 72 18 71 95 38 93 59
2026 74 55 24
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
2025 24.46 7 5.8 1 1 4 3 42.9
2026 -- 0 0.2 0 1 0 0 --
Player 24.46 7 6.1 1 3 4 3 42.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2025 7 6 5 6 7 6 5 6 6 5 5 7 6 8 6 5 7 5 5 7 5 6 7 6 4 5 6 6 6 5 5
2026 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Player 7 7 5 6 7 6 5 6 6 5 5 7 8 9 6 5 7 5 5 7 5 6 9 7 4 5 6 6 8 5 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .229 -.060 .289
xBA .216 -.043 .259
OBP .357 +.007 .350
xOBP .347 +.023 .324
SLG .314 -.133 .447
xSLG .315 -.078 .393
ISO .086 -.071 .157
xISO .099 -.035 .134
BABIP .296 -.035 .331
wOBA .318 -.029 .347
xwOBA .308 -.008 .316
wOBAcon .310 -.083 .393
xwOBAcon .295 -.055 .350
BACON .296 -.065 .361
xBACON .280 -.044 .324
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 25.9 -15.9 41.8
Avg Exit Velocity 86.5 -1.2 87.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 40.7 +11.0 29.7
Barrel % 3.7 -0.7 4.4
Avg Launch Angle 9.4 +5.6 3.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 69.8 -2.2 72.0
Attack Angle
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.9 +2.2 49.7
Attack Direction +2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -2° 33°
Swing Length 7.1 -0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.1 -0.5 96.6
Breaking Velocity 84.6 -1.5 86.1
Offspeed Velocity 90.1 +0.3 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 1 -6 7
Popup % 0.0 -5.1 5.1
Flyball % 37.0 +21.2 15.8
Line Drive % 14.8 -9.3 24.1
Groundball % 48.1 -7.0 55.1
Pull % 22.2 -17.7 39.9
Straight Away % 51.9 +13.3 38.6
Opposite Field % 25.9 +4.4 21.5
Weak Contact % 3.7 -3.9 7.6
Pull Airball % 3.7 -10.2 13.9
Topped Contact % 37.0 -1.6 38.6
Under Contact % 33.3 +20.0 13.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 14.8 -12.4 27.2
Solid Contact % 7.4 -0.8 8.2
HR/FB % 0.0 -28.0 28.0
Popups 0 -8 8
Flyballs 10 -15 25
Line Drives 4 -34 38
Groundballs 13 -74 87
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.7 -7.7 52.4
Out of Zone % 55.3 +7.7 47.6
Edge % 42.8 -2.6 45.4
Zone Swing % 52.1 -11.8 63.9
Out of Zone Swing % 27.3 -6.6 33.9
In Zone Contact % 94.6 +14.3 80.3
Out of Zone Contact % 45.8 -9.3 55.1
Whiff % 24.6 -3.3 27.9
First Strike % 59.5 -1.7 61.2
First Pitch Swing % 23.8 -6.3 30.1
Swing % 38.4 -11.2 49.6
Meatball Swing % 75.0 +3.1 71.9
Meatball % 5.0 -2.2 7.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 5.4 -14.3 19.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 54.2 +9.3 44.9
In Zone 71 -342 413
Out of Zone 88 -287 375
Edge 68 -290 358
In Zone Swings 37 -227 264
Out of Zone Swings 24 -103 127
In Zone Swing & Misses 2 -50 52
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 13 -44 57
Basic
Pitches 159 -629 788
PA 42 -177 219
AB 35 -162 197
Hits 8 -49 57
Singles 5 -36 41
Doubles 3 -5 8
Triples 0 -1 1
Home Runs 0 -7 7
Walks 5 -10 15
Strikeouts 8 -32 40
K% 19.0 +0.7 18.3
BB% 11.9 +5.1 6.8
HBP 2 -2 4
Batted Balls 27 -131 158
Number of Fastballs 82 -359 441
Number of Offspeed 10 -97 107
Number of Breaking 38 -200 238
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 23 .434 17 1 5.9 6 5 83.3
2025 Shades 219 .347 95 0 0.0 124 35 28.2
2026 Shades 42 .318 20 0 0.0 22 9 40.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 17 18.7 11.8% 0.0% 23 23.0 0.0% 8.7%
2025 193 17.3 17.1% 0.5% 119 21.0 0.0% 0.8%

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Pitch Distribution