Bailey Ober
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 9" 260LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 12, #346, Minnesota Twins | College of Charleston
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 3 3.21 11 11 0 56 51 1.05
2023 8 6 3.43 26 26 0 144.1 146 1.07
2024 8 5 4.24 19 19 0 102 106 1.10
4 Seasons 21 17 3.79 76 76 0 394.2 399 1.10
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 11 2-3 3.21 56 51 1.05
2023 26 8-6 3.43 144.1 146 1.07
2024 19 8-5 4.24 102 106 1.10
4 Seasons 76 21-17 3.79 394.2 399 1.10
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 1476 263 25 9.5 6.6 89.1 111.3 19.7 36.1 .251 .460 .330 .326 .417 42.2 25.3 5.0 4.19 4.54
2022 26 854 163 19 11.7 8.4 90.1 112.3 19.5 38.0 .262 .464 .272 .334 .410 36.8 22.5 4.8 3.21 4.71
2023 27 2327 395 38 9.6 6.6 88.2 112.1 20.0 33.4 .226 .412 .294 .295 .367 35.7 25.3 5.0 3.43 3.63
2024 28 1559 267 25 9.4 6.3 87.7 111.8 20.0 39.3 .229 .408 .304 .301 .381 36.3 26.5 6.0 4.14 3.63
Player 6216 1088 107 9.8 6.8 88.6 112.3 19.8 36.2 .238 .430 .302 .309 .389 37.6 25.2 5.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ober relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.9%) ,
Changeup
(25.1%) ,
Cutter
(22.0%) ,
Slider
(12.8%) ,
Curveball
(1.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 34.2 22.4 9.1 36.1 36.9 27.0 5.3 20.5 26.6 25.9 12.2 9.5 6.6
2022 29.4 31.9 30.1 8.6 38.0 36.2 25.8 0.6 21.5 34.4 26.4 5.5 11.7 8.4
2023 34.7 35.2 20.8 9.4 43.5 33.7 22.8 3.8 25.1 35.7 20.0 5.8 9.6 6.6
2024 33.3 32.2 23.6 10.9 46.4 33.7 19.9 4.9 21.3 32.6 23.2 8.6 9.4 6.3
Player 33.5 33.7 23.3 9.6 41.6 34.8 23.5 4.0 22.5 32.5 23.2 8.0 9.8 6.8
MLB 44.5 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.8 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Curveball MIN R 18 76.0 56.8 -0.7 -1 8.7 0.1 1
2024 Changeup MIN R 391 83.4 33.4 0.7 2 16.9 2.7 19
2024 Cutter MIN R 342 86.5 29.8 0.0 0 3.5 0.1 4
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 604 91.9 15.4 0.2 2 7.9 1.4 22
2024 Slider MIN R 199 80.5 44.8 2.8 7 11.8 4.1 53
2023 Curveball MIN R 154 77.5 54.9 -1.6 -3 8.8 -0.3 -4
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 1,057 91.3 16.2 0.2 1 7.5 1.0 15
2023 Slider MIN R 456 81.0 39.7 -1.1 -3 11.5 4.0 54
2023 Changeup MIN R 651 83.7 33.7 0.8 2 17.2 2.7 19
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 419 91.5 15.3 0.6 4 8.5 1.9 29
2022 Curveball MIN R 102 76.7 57.2 -0.1 0 9.5 -0.5 -5
2022 Slider MIN R 200 82.9 40.1 1.5 4 5.4 -0.8 -13
2022 Changeup MIN R 133 84.3 30.7 -0.8 -3 16.4 2.2 15
2021 Slider MIN R 271 81.5 39.8 -0.2 0 8.6 1.5 21
2021 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 856 92.3 16.2 -0.6 -4 6.4 -0.2 -3
2021 Changeup MIN R 192 84.7 29.5 -1.6 -5 15.8 2.0 14
2021 Cutter MIN R 1 84.7 34.4 -8.4 -32 3.5 2.3 190
2021 Curveball MIN R 156 75.0 60.8 1.2 2 10.3 0.1 1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -8 607 38.9 143 .307 .606 .410 24.7 22.4 17.3 .293 .587 .410 50.5
2024 Changeup 0.8 3 392 25.1 108 .173 .337 .239 37.0 35.2 23.5 .174 .272 .216 24.2
2024 Cutter 0.3 1 343 22.0 91 .256 .430 .308 22.4 19.8 20.2 .239 .382 .280 37.7
2024 Slider 1.7 3 199 12.8 56 .098 .196 .175 31.9 32.1 18.0 .162 .280 .233 18.2
2024 Curveball 3.4 1 18 1.2 2 .000 .000 .000 33.3 0.0 -- .348 .402 .333 0.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 6 1,063 45.7 252 .232 .425 .314 27.7 25.8 18.3 .210 .437 .306 41.8
2023 Changeup 1.2 8 652 28.0 185 .226 .350 .268 29.8 24.9 19.6 .225 .346 .263 26.7
2023 Slider -0.9 -4 457 19.6 103 .255 .480 .338 32.9 30.1 17.6 .249 .463 .319 37.3
2023 Curveball 1.7 3 155 6.7 37 .194 .306 .228 16.1 10.8 9.5 .270 .438 .311 37.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 419 49.1 98 .256 .433 .332 22.7 13.3 10.5 .268 .539 .368 33.3
2022 Slider 1.4 3 200 23.4 71 .188 .261 .213 37.0 35.2 30.5 .242 .384 .283 44.4
2022 Changeup -0.5 -1 133 15.6 34 .323 .452 .368 29.9 23.5 17.8 .320 .548 .403 39.1
2022 Curveball 2.4 2 102 11.9 24 .095 .143 .148 26.3 20.8 26.3 .216 .281 .249 29.4
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 9 856 58.0 208 .251 .466 .326 24.8 28.4 18.6 .235 .443 .322 48.9
2021 Slider -2.7 -7 271 18.4 73 .268 .549 .399 27.5 21.9 17.8 .258 .453 .322 38.2
2021 Changeup -0.5 -1 192 13.0 64 .258 .419 .318 18.4 14.1 14.8 .300 .490 .348 26.4
2021 Curveball -1.0 -2 156 10.6 33 .290 .645 .409 28.1 33.3 22.0 .252 .538 .353 50.0
2021 Cutter 26.9 0 1 0.1 1 .000 .000 .000 -- 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 391 83.4 98 18.5 2:30 2:30 0
2024 Curveball 18 76.0 79 15.2 7:15 7:15 0
2024 Cutter 343 86.5 52 6.9 12:00 10:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 601 91.9 93 18.3 1:00 1:00 0
2024 Slider 199 80.5 45 13.5 7:45 8:15 -30
2023 Changeup 651 83.7 99 18.5 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Curveball 155 77.5 76 15.2 7:30 7:15 15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,056 91.3 91 17.7 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Slider 451 81.0 41 12.7 8:15 9:00 -45
2022 Changeup 133 84.3 98 18.5 2:30 2:15 15
2022 Curveball 101 76.7 74 16.6 7:30 7:15 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 418 91.5 92 19.1 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 196 82.9 28 6.6 9:45 8:30 75
2021 Changeup 192 84.7 99 18.2 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 155 75.0 83 18.4 7:30 7:15 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 854 92.3 87 16.6 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 270 81.5 44 9.7 9:00 8:45 15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 379 1,476 5 10 -12 -3 -1
2022 227 854 -5 13 -5 0 3
2023 600 2,408 5 21 -12 -6 8
2024 400 1,559 1 9 -7 -3 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,476 49.3 69.6 83.8 31.8 56.3 44.0 67.3 50.4 24.6 8.1 78.2
2022 854 48.6 72.5 80.4 34.4 55.6 43.0 67.8 52.9 27.7 7.5 81.3
2023 2,327 49.2 73.2 77.2 33.5 58.8 46.4 66.0 53.1 28.7 6.4 79.7
2024 1,559 50.3 70.5 76.9 32.8 59.4 45.0 69.5 51.8 28.5 7.2 69.6
Player 6,216 49.4 71.6 79.1 33.0 57.9 45.0 67.5 52.1 27.5 7.1 77.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 32 33 18 10 74 31 20 41 24 61 94 38 85 27 38 26 99
2022 17 17 6 4 55 44 3 12 61 47 91 66 92 17 69 19 95
2023 73 72 41 25 94 13 23 67 73 64 93 69 91 13 71 12 98
2024 62 68 44 25 83 10 20 77 66 76 79 74 88 17 63 96
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.3 91.5 -0.8 91.3 -0.2 90.0 -1.3
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.3 -0.4 83.7 -0.6 83.4 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 79.1 80.8 1.7 80.1 -0.7 80.1 0.0
Exit Velocity 89.1 90.1 1.0 88.2 -1.9 87.7 -0.5
Launch Angle 19.7 19.5 -0.2 20.0 0.5 20.0 0.0
Barrel % 9.5 11.7 2.2 9.6 -2.1 9.4 -0.2
Hard Hit % 42.2 36.8 -5.4 35.7 -1.1 36.3 0.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 36.1 38.0 1.9 33.4 -4.6 39.3 5.9
xBA .251 .262 0.011 .226 -0.036 .229 0.003
BA .258 .227 -0.031 .232 0.005 .227 -0.005
xwOBA .326 .334 0.008 .295 -0.039 .301 0.006
wOBA .330 .272 -0.058 .294 0.022 .304 0.010
xSLG .460 .464 0.004 .412 -0.052 .408 -0.004
SLG .489 .351 -0.138 .403 0.052 .430 0.027
K% 25.3 22.5 -2.8 25.3 2.8 26.5 1.2
BB% 5.0 4.8 -0.2 5.0 0.2 6.0 1.0
Swing % 50.4 52.9 2.5 53.1 0.2 51.8 -1.3
Whiff% 24.6 27.7 3.1 28.7 1.0 28.5 -0.2
In Zone % 49.3 48.6 -0.7 49.2 0.6 50.3 1.1
Out of Zone % 50.7 51.4 0.7 50.8 -0.6 49.7 -1.1
Out of Zone Swing % 31.8 34.4 2.6 33.5 -0.9 32.8 -0.7
First Pitch Swing % 32.7 35.2 2.5 34.5 -0.7 39.3 4.8
First Pitch Strike % 67.3 67.8 0.5 66.0 -1.8 69.5 3.5
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 379 .330 205 23 11.2 174 139 79.9
2022 Shifts 227 .272 127 15 11.8 100 79 79.0
2023 Shades 577 .294 284 30 10.6 293 225 76.8
2024 Shades 400 .304 224 11 4.9 176 154 87.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 453 15.7 40.6% 0.7% 209 23.9 0.0% 7.7%
2022 255 16.0 38.0% 0.0% 111 24.2 0.0% 7.2%
2023 692 13.5 73.6% 0.4% 252 20.4 0.0% 0.4%
2024 469 13.8 69.5% 0.2% 189 20.5 0.0% 0.5%
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Pitch Distribution