Bailey Ober
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 9" 260LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 12, #346, Minnesota Twins | College of Charleston
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 3 3.21 11 11 0 56 51 1.05
2023 8 6 3.43 26 26 0 144.1 146 1.07
2024 12 9 3.98 31 31 0 178.2 191 1.00
4 Seasons 25 21 3.76 88 88 0 471.1 484 1.07
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 11 2-3 3.21 56 51 1.05
2023 26 8-6 3.43 144.1 146 1.07
2024 31 12-9 3.98 178.2 191 1.00
4 Seasons 88 25-21 3.76 471.1 484 1.07
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 1476 263 25 9.5 6.6 89.1 111.3 19.7 36.1 .251 .460 .330 .326 .417 42.2 25.3 5.0 4.19 4.54
2022 26 854 163 19 11.7 8.4 90.1 112.3 19.5 38.0 .262 .464 .272 .334 .410 36.8 22.5 4.8 3.21 4.71
2023 27 2327 395 38 9.6 6.6 88.2 112.1 20.0 33.4 .226 .412 .294 .295 .367 35.7 25.3 5.0 3.43 3.63
2024 28 2696 469 39 8.3 5.5 87.5 113.8 20.4 34.8 .209 .371 .282 .279 .350 34.3 26.9 6.1 3.98 3.22
Player 7353 1290 121 9.4 6.4 88.4 113.8 20.0 35.0 .229 .413 .294 .300 .376 36.7 25.6 5.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ober relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.1%) ,
Changeup
(29.4%) ,
Cutter
(19.5%) ,
Slider
(11.8%) ,
Curveball
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 34.2 22.4 9.1 36.1 36.9 27.0 5.3 20.5 26.6 25.9 12.2 9.5 6.6
2022 29.4 31.9 30.1 8.6 38.0 36.2 25.8 0.6 21.5 34.4 26.4 5.5 11.7 8.4
2023 34.7 35.2 20.8 9.4 43.5 33.7 22.8 3.8 25.1 35.7 20.0 5.8 9.6 6.6
2024 34.3 35.2 20.3 10.2 42.6 34.3 23.0 5.5 21.3 36.0 21.3 7.5 8.3 5.5
Player 33.8 34.6 22.1 9.5 41.0 34.9 24.1 4.3 22.3 33.8 22.5 7.7 9.4 6.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Cutter MIN R 525 86.2 30.1 0.1 3.6GLV -0.1 6.5 -1.9 3.6GLV 0.9
2024 Slider MIN R 319 80.3 44.8 2.6 12.4GLV 4.4 -2.3 3.9 12.4GLV 7.3
2024 Curveball MIN R 31 76.0 56.8 -1.4 8.3GLV -0.4 -9.4 -0.5 8.3GLV -1.1
2024 Changeup MIN R 791 83.4 33.7 0.8 17.0ARM 2.4 5.7 -0.8 17.0ARM 2.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 1025 91.7 15.7 0.0 7.9ARM 1.7 16.8 1.0 7.9ARM 0.4
2023 Changeup MIN R 651 83.7 33.7 0.8 17.2ARM 2.7 5.4 0.0 17.2ARM 2.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 1057 91.3 16.2 0.2 7.5ARM 0.9 16.5 0.7 7.5ARM 0.1
2023 Curveball MIN R 154 77.5 54.9 -1.6 8.8GLV -0.3 -9.5 -0.5 8.8GLV -0.1
2023 Slider MIN R 456 81.0 39.7 -1.1 11.5GLV 4.1 1.9 -0.4 11.5GLV 6.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 1 1,028 38.1 262 .258 .506 .355 22.2 22.1 19.7 .247 .484 .350 47.2
2024 Changeup 1.0 8 792 29.4 223 .154 .285 .212 39.5 37.7 26.0 .164 .263 .206 22.1
2024 Cutter -1.4 -7 526 19.5 140 .279 .504 .356 22.9 16.4 20.2 .256 .434 .321 37.4
2024 Slider 1.8 6 319 11.8 79 .095 .162 .147 30.7 31.6 16.7 .138 .227 .191 16.3
2024 Curveball 1.6 0 31 1.1 5 .000 .000 .180 37.5 20.0 100.0 .274 .301 .249 0.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 6 1,063 45.7 252 .232 .425 .314 27.7 25.8 18.3 .210 .437 .306 41.8
2023 Changeup 1.2 8 652 28.0 185 .226 .350 .268 29.8 24.9 19.6 .225 .346 .263 26.7
2023 Slider -0.9 -4 457 19.6 103 .255 .480 .338 32.9 30.1 17.6 .249 .463 .319 37.3
2023 Curveball 1.7 3 155 6.7 37 .194 .306 .228 16.1 10.8 9.5 .270 .438 .311 37.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 790 83.4 99 18.4 2:15 2:30 -15
2024 Curveball 31 76.0 79 14.9 7:15 7:15 0
2024 Cutter 526 86.2 51 6.8 12:00 10:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1,020 91.7 92 18.1 1:00 1:00 0
2024 Slider 318 80.3 45 14.0 7:45 8:30 -45
2023 Changeup 651 83.7 99 18.5 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Curveball 155 77.5 76 15.2 7:30 7:15 15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,056 91.3 91 17.7 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Slider 451 81.0 41 12.7 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 379 1,476 5 10 -12 -3 -1
2022 227 854 -5 13 -5 0 3
2023 600 2,408 5 21 -12 -6 8
2024 709 2,696 9 14 -9 -6 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,476 49.3 69.6 83.8 31.8 56.3 44.0 67.3 50.4 24.6 8.1 78.2
2022 854 48.6 72.5 80.4 34.4 55.6 43.0 67.8 52.9 27.7 7.5 81.3
2023 2,327 49.2 73.2 77.2 33.5 58.8 46.4 66.0 53.1 28.7 6.4 79.7
2024 2,696 49.8 71.5 76.9 33.5 58.3 44.4 67.4 52.4 29.0 7.1 77.0
Player 7,353 49.4 71.8 78.7 33.3 57.8 44.8 67.0 52.3 27.9 7.1 78.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 32 33 18 10 74 31 20 41 24 61 94 37 85 27 37 26 99
2022 17 17 6 4 55 44 3 12 61 47 91 66 92 17 69 19 95
2023 73 72 41 25 94 13 23 67 73 64 93 68 91 13 71 12 98
2024 84 85 62 32 93 11 37 81 83 78 80 76 93 16 64 97
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.6 20 16.6 3 13 15 7 35.0
2022 24.3 4 7.8 -4 2 9 1 25.0
2023 23.6 26 25.7 0 9 18 10 38.5
2024 24.9 27 26.5 1 10 12 17 63.0
Player 24.1 77 76.5 1 34 54 35 45.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 20 18 15 19 18 16 21 18 12 9 13 19 18 10 16 23 15 15 17 17 15 18 24 22 15 12 20 19 14 13 16
2022 4 7 7 7 8 7 10 4 5 5 6 8 8 8 10 10 6 9 9 8 9 7 10 9 6 7 9 10 10 7 8
2023 26 20 18 25 25 26 27 23 21 24 24 29 27 24 26 27 27 26 29 31 25 27 31 28 27 25 25 28 28 26 22
2024 27 25 25 28 24 28 29 27 23 24 26 30 27 23 29 23 26 25 27 30 26 26 31 28 24 26 25 27 29 26 27
Player 77 70 65 79 75 77 87 72 61 62 69 86 80 65 81 83 74 75 82 86 75 78 96 87 72 70 79 84 81 72 73
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.2 91.5 -0.7 91.3 -0.2 89.9 -1.4
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.3 -0.4 83.7 -0.6 83.4 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 79.0 80.8 1.8 80.1 -0.7 79.9 -0.2
Exit Velocity 89.1 90.1 1.0 88.2 -1.9 87.5 -0.7
Launch Angle 19.7 19.5 -0.2 20.0 0.5 20.4 0.4
Barrel % 9.5 11.7 2.2 9.6 -2.1 8.3 -1.3
Hard Hit % 42.2 36.8 -5.4 35.7 -1.1 34.3 -1.4
LA Sweet-Spot % 36.1 38.0 1.9 33.4 -4.6 34.8 1.4
xBA .251 .262 0.011 .226 -0.036 .209 -0.017
BA .258 .227 -0.031 .232 0.005 .208 -0.024
xwOBA .326 .334 0.008 .295 -0.039 .279 -0.016
wOBA .330 .272 -0.058 .294 0.022 .282 -0.012
xSLG .460 .464 0.004 .412 -0.052 .371 -0.041
SLG .489 .351 -0.138 .403 0.052 .391 -0.012
K% 25.3 22.5 -2.8 25.3 2.8 26.9 1.6
BB% 5.0 4.8 -0.2 5.0 0.2 6.1 1.1
Swing % 50.4 52.9 2.5 53.1 0.2 52.4 -0.7
Whiff% 24.6 27.7 3.1 28.7 1.0 29.0 0.3
In Zone % 49.3 48.6 -0.7 49.2 0.6 49.8 0.6
Out of Zone % 50.7 51.4 0.7 50.8 -0.6 50.2 -0.6
Out of Zone Swing % 31.8 34.4 2.6 33.5 -0.9 33.5 0.0
First Pitch Swing % 32.7 35.2 2.5 34.5 -0.7 37.9 3.4
First Pitch Strike % 67.3 67.8 0.5 66.0 -1.8 67.4 1.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 379 .330 205 20 9.8 174 117 67.2
2022 Shifts 227 .272 127 14 11.0 100 72 72.0
2023 Shades 577 .294 284 30 10.6 293 225 76.8
2024 Shades 709 .282 383 23 6.0 326 223 68.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 453 15.7 40.6% 0.7% 209 23.9 0.0% 7.7%
2022 255 16.0 38.0% 0.0% 111 24.2 0.0% 7.2%
2023 692 13.5 73.6% 0.4% 252 20.4 0.0% 0.4%
2024 824 13.8 68.7% 0.1% 291 20.4 0.0% 1.4%

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Pitch Distribution