Bailey Ober
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 9" 260LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 12, #346, Minnesota Twins | College of Charleston
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 2 4.01 7 7 0 33.2 29 1.28
2 Seasons 4 5 4.14 27 27 0 126.0 125 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 7 1-2 4.01 33.2 29 1.28
2 Seasons 27 4-5 4.14 126.0 125 1.22

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 1476 263 25 9.5 6.6 89.1 111.3 19.7 36.1 .252 .461 .330 .326 .418 42.2 25.3 5.0 4.19 4.54
2022 26 526 106 11 10.4 7.7 89.2 111.2 19.7 39.6 .286 .525 .306 .359 .436 34.0 20.4 4.9 4.01 4.87
Player 2002 369 36 9.8 6.9 89.2 111.3 19.7 37.1 .261 .478 .324 .335 .423 39.8 24.0 5.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ober relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(50.8%) ,
Slider
(23%) ,
Changeup
(15.2%) ,
Curveball
(11%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 34.2 22.4 9.1 36.1 36.9 27.0 5.3 20.5 26.6 25.9 12.2 9.5 6.6
2022 27.4 34.9 31.1 6.6 34.9 35.8 29.2 0.9 19.8 34.0 30.2 4.7 10.4 7.7
Player 32.2 34.4 24.9 8.4 35.8 36.6 27.6 4.1 20.3 28.7 27.1 10.0 9.8 6.9
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball MIN R 58 76.3 58.8 0.5 1 9.9 -0.2 -2
2022 Slider MIN R 121 83.0 39.5 0.9 2 5.6 -1.5 -21
2022 4-Seamer MIN R 267 91.6 14.9 0.7 5 8.2 1.8 29
2022 Changeup MIN R 80 84.2 30.2 -1.2 -4 16.0 1.9 14
2021 Slider MIN R 272 81.5 39.8 -0.3 -1 8.6 0.0 0
2021 Curveball MIN R 156 75.0 60.8 1.2 2 10.3 0.1 1
2021 Changeup MIN R 192 84.7 29.5 -1.6 -5 15.8 2.0 14
2021 4-Seamer MIN R 856 92.3 16.2 -0.7 -4 6.4 -0.2 -3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 1.5 4 267 50.8 65 .322 .508 .398 24.7 13.8 10.7 .306 .602 .403 31.4
2022 Slider -1.9 -2 121 23.0 42 .175 .225 .183 31.3 31.0 26.5 .230 .403 .293 42.9
2022 Changeup 2.7 2 80 15.2 21 .450 .600 .469 28.3 19.0 14.8 .405 .714 .479 37.5
2022 Curveball -4.6 -3 58 11.0 14 .077 .154 .089 25.0 21.4 37.5 .187 .263 .181 18.2
2021 4-Seamer -1.0 -9 856 58.0 208 .251 .466 .326 24.8 28.4 18.6 .235 .444 .323 48.9
2021 Slider 2.6 7 272 18.4 74 .264 .542 .394 27.5 23.0 18.7 .255 .447 .318 38.2
2021 Changeup 0.5 1 192 13.0 64 .258 .419 .318 18.4 14.1 14.8 .300 .490 .348 26.4
2021 Curveball 1.0 2 156 10.6 33 .290 .645 .409 28.1 33.3 22.0 .252 .538 .353 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 192 84.7 99 18.2 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 155 75.0 83 18.4 7:30 7:15 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 854 92.3 87 16.6 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 271 81.5 44 9.7 9:00 8:45 15
2022 Changeup 80 84.2 98 18.4 2:15 2:15 0
2022 Curveball 57 76.3 76 17.8 7:30 7:15 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 266 91.6 92 19.3 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 117 83.0 28 6.8 9:45 8:30 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 379 1,476 -5 -10 12 3 1
2022 142 526 6 -8 3 0 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,476 49.3 69.6 83.8 31.7 56.1 44.2 67.3 50.4 24.6 7.9 77.8
2022 526 48.9 74.3 80.6 34.6 57.0 44.9 67.6 54.0 26.8 7.0 78.4
Player 2,002 49.2 70.9 83.0 32.4 56.4 44.4 67.4 51.3 25.2 7.7 77.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2021 33 31 17 10 74 31 20 41 24 61 94 38 33 34 36 26
2022 21 15 12 11 49 31 14 36 78 37 88 59 21 23 68 20
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.6 20 18.3 2 11 15 8 40.0
2022 22.6 2 4.9 -3 2 6 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 20 20 21 12 19 24 20 21 17 17 21 19 11 14 13 23 22 16 20 15 21 17 17 19 17 19 22 14 17 16 26
2022 2 7 4 5 5 5 5 3 3 4 3 5 3 2 3 6 4 7 4 4 5 6 7 5 7 4 6 6 5 6 7
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.3 91.6 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.2 -0.5
Breaking Velocity 79.1 80.8 1.7
Exit Velocity 89.1 89.2 0.1
Launch Angle 19.7 19.7 0
Barrel % 9.5 10.4 0.9
Hard Hit % 42.2 34 -8.2
Sweet Spot % 36.1 39.6 3.5
xBA .252 .286 0.034
BA .258 .273 0.015
xwOBA .326 .359 0.033
wOBA .33 .306 -0.024
xSLG .461 .525 0.064
SLG .489 .402 -0.087
K% 25.3 20.4 -4.9
BB% 5 4.9 -0.1
Swing % 50.4 54 3.6
Whiff% 24.6 26.8 2.2
In Zone % 49.3 48.9 -0.4
Out of Zone % 50.7 51.1 0.4
Out of Zone Swing % 31.7 34.6 2.9
First Pitch Swing % 32.7 39.4 6.7
First Pitch Strike % 67.3 67.6 0.3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 379 .330 205 20 9.8 174 117 67.2
2022 142 .306 75 4 5.3 67 44 65.7

Pitch Tempo