Bailey Ober
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 9" 260LBS | Age: 27

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 12, #346, Minnesota Twins | College of Charleston

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 2 2.68 7 7 0 40.1 37 1.02
3 Seasons 8 8 3.58 38 38 0 188.2 184 1.12
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 7 3-2 2.68 40.1 37 1.02
3 Seasons 38 8-8 3.58 188.2 184 1.12

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 1476 263 25 9.5 6.6 89.1 111.3 19.7 36.1 .252 .460 .330 .326 .417 42.2 25.3 5.0 4.19 4.54
2022 26 854 163 19 11.7 8.4 90.1 112.3 19.5 38.0 .262 .464 .272 .334 .410 36.8 22.5 4.8 3.21 4.71
2023 27 637 108 11 10.2 7.1 89.2 111.2 22.4 37.0 .224 .418 .267 .301 .364 33.3 23.7 7.1 2.68 3.66
Player 2967 534 55 10.3 7.2 89.4 112.3 20.2 36.9 .249 .453 .300 .323 .404 38.8 24.1 5.4
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ober relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(47.6%) ,
Changeup
(22.3%) ,
Slider
(21.8%) ,
Curveball
(8.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 34.2 22.4 9.1 36.1 36.9 27.0 5.3 20.5 26.6 25.9 12.2 9.5 6.6
2022 29.4 31.9 30.1 8.6 38.0 36.2 25.8 0.6 21.5 34.4 26.4 5.5 11.7 8.4
2023 28.7 38.0 25.0 8.3 45.4 35.2 19.4 3.7 21.3 38.9 16.7 9.3 10.2 7.1
Player 31.6 34.3 25.3 8.8 38.6 36.3 25.1 3.6 21.0 31.5 24.2 9.6 10.3 7.2
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seamer MIN R 299 91.5 15.7 -0.1 -1 7.2 1.1 18
2023 Curveball MIN R 53 78.2 54.3 -0.4 -1 9.6 0.7 8
2023 Slider MIN R 138 81.8 37.2 -2.3 -6 10.5 2.9 39
2023 Changeup MIN R 142 83.8 32.2 -0.2 -1 17.3 2.6 18
2022 Changeup MIN R 133 84.3 30.7 -0.8 -3 16.4 2.2 15
2022 Curveball MIN R 102 76.7 57.2 -0.1 0 9.5 -0.5 -5
2022 Slider MIN R 200 82.9 40.1 1.7 4 5.4 -1.0 -16
2022 4-Seamer MIN R 419 91.5 15.3 0.6 4 8.5 1.9 30
2021 Slider MIN R 272 81.5 39.8 -0.3 -1 8.6 1.4 19
2021 Changeup MIN R 192 84.7 29.5 -1.6 -5 15.8 2.0 14
2021 Curveball MIN R 156 75.0 60.8 1.2 2 10.3 0.1 1
2021 4-Seamer MIN R 856 92.3 16.2 -0.6 -4 6.4 -0.2 -3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.4 -1 303 47.6 72 .215 .385 .298 26.9 23.6 18.1 .217 .498 .337 39.6
2023 Changeup -3.0 -4 142 22.3 35 .176 .235 .194 24.7 22.9 19.0 .234 .305 .246 23.1
2023 Slider -0.4 -1 139 21.8 38 .222 .389 .307 32.4 26.3 17.5 .214 .408 .285 30.8
2023 Curveball -1.3 -1 53 8.3 11 .200 .300 .259 17.6 18.2 11.1 .262 .323 .296 37.5
2022 4-Seamer 0.3 1 419 49.1 98 .256 .433 .332 22.7 13.3 10.5 .268 .539 .368 33.3
2022 Slider -1.4 -3 200 23.4 71 .188 .261 .213 37.0 35.2 30.5 .242 .384 .283 44.4
2022 Changeup 0.5 1 133 15.6 34 .323 .452 .368 29.9 23.5 17.8 .320 .547 .403 39.1
2022 Curveball -2.4 -2 102 11.9 24 .095 .143 .148 26.3 20.8 26.3 .216 .281 .249 29.4
2021 4-Seamer -1.0 -9 856 58.0 208 .251 .466 .326 24.8 28.4 18.6 .235 .444 .322 48.9
2021 Slider 2.6 7 272 18.4 74 .264 .542 .394 27.5 23.0 18.7 .254 .446 .318 38.2
2021 Changeup 0.5 1 192 13.0 64 .258 .419 .318 18.4 14.1 14.8 .300 .490 .348 26.4
2021 Curveball 1.0 2 156 10.6 33 .290 .645 .409 28.1 33.3 22.0 .252 .538 .353 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 192 84.7 99 18.2 2:15 2:15 0
2021 Curveball 155 75.0 83 18.4 7:30 7:15 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 854 92.3 87 16.6 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 271 81.5 44 9.7 9:00 8:45 15
2022 Changeup 133 84.3 98 18.5 2:30 2:15 15
2022 Curveball 101 76.7 74 16.6 7:30 7:15 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 418 91.5 92 19.1 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 196 82.9 28 6.6 9:45 8:30 75
2023 Changeup 142 83.8 99 19.0 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 Curveball 53 78.2 74 15.8 7:30 7:15 15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 301 91.5 88 17.9 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Slider 134 81.8 37 12.0 8:15 9:30 -75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 379 1,476 -5 -10 12 3 1
2022 227 854 5 -13 5 0 -3
2023 156 637 -3 -7 2 1 -7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,476 49.3 69.6 83.8 31.8 56.3 44.0 67.3 50.4 24.6 8.1 78.2
2022 854 48.6 72.5 80.4 34.4 55.6 43.0 67.8 52.9 27.7 7.5 81.3
2023 637 47.7 73.0 78.4 32.7 61.5 47.4 66.0 52.0 27.2 6.0 78.9
Player 2,967 48.7 71.2 81.6 32.7 57.2 44.4 67.2 51.5 26.1 7.4 79.2
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 32 31 18 10 74 31 20 41 24 61 94 38 85 34 36 26 99
2022 17 18 6 4 55 44 3 12 61 47 91 66 92 22 65 19 95
2023 64 69 42 23 85 26 22 46 80 54 65 59 84 21 67 10 99
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.6 20 17.9 2 11 17 7 35.0
2022 24.3 4 7.8 -4 2 9 1 25.0
2023 22.3 3 4.9 -2 7 5 1 33.3
Player 23.6 27 30.6 -4 20 31 9 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 20 20 15 21 20 18 23 19 12 11 13 21 20 11 18 25 16 16 18 18 16 18 26 23 17 13 22 21 15 14 17
2022 4 7 7 7 8 7 10 4 5 5 6 8 8 8 10 10 6 9 9 8 9 7 10 9 6 7 9 10 10 7 8
2023 3 3 3 4 6 5 4 2 2 4 3 9 6 5 5 5 5 3 7 9 5 6 7 5 4 3 6 7 6 5 3
Player 27 30 25 32 34 30 37 25 19 20 22 38 34 24 33 40 27 28 34 35 30 31 43 37 27 23 37 38 31 26 28
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.3 91.5 -0.8 91.5 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.3 -0.4 83.8 -0.5
Breaking Velocity 79.1 80.8 1.7 80.8 0.0
Exit Velocity 89.1 90.1 1.0 89.2 -0.9
Launch Angle 19.7 19.5 -0.2 22.4 2.9
Barrel % 9.5 11.7 2.2 10.2 -1.5
Hard Hit % 42.2 36.8 -5.4 33.3 -3.5
Sweet Spot % 36.1 38.0 1.9 37.0 -1.0
xBA .252 .262 0.010 .224 -0.038
BA .258 .227 -0.031 .207 -0.020
xwOBA .326 .334 0.008 .301 -0.033
wOBA .330 .272 -0.058 .267 -0.005
xSLG .460 .464 0.004 .418 -0.046
SLG .489 .351 -0.138 .345 -0.006
K% 25.3 22.5 -2.8 23.7 1.2
BB% 5.0 4.8 -0.2 7.1 2.3
Swing % 50.4 52.9 2.5 52.0 -0.9
Whiff% 24.6 27.7 3.1 27.2 -0.5
In Zone % 49.3 48.6 -0.7 47.7 -0.9
Out of Zone % 50.7 51.4 0.7 52.3 0.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.8 34.4 2.6 32.7 -1.7
First Pitch Swing % 32.7 35.2 2.5 35.9 0.7
First Pitch Strike % 67.3 67.8 0.5 66.0 -1.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 363 .326 195 20 10.3 168 111 66.1
2022 227 .272 127 14 11.0 100 72 72.0
2023 156 .267 69 0 0.0 87 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 453 15.7 40.6% 0.7% 209 23.9 0.0% 7.7%
2022 255 16.0 38.0% 0.0% 111 24.2 0.0% 7.2%
2023 53 12.9 88.7% 0.0% 28 19.1 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution