Kevin Kelly
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 19, #580, Cleveland Indians | James Madison University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 5 2 3.09 57 0 1 67 56 1.01
2024 1 0 7.71 4 0 0 4.2 4 1.50
2 Seasons 6 2 3.39 61 0 1 71.2 60 1.05
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 57 5-2 3.09 67 56 1.01
2024 4 1-0 7.71 4.2 4 1.50
2 Seasons 61 6-2 3.39 71.2 60 1.05
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 25 1066 195 7 3.6 2.5 87.0 110.0 10.3 32.3 .233 .331 .264 .282 .310 32.8 20.3 5.4 3.09 3.30
2024 26 71 16 1 6.3 4.8 83.5 108.1 11.2 25.0 .223 .444 .456 .302 .352 31.3 19.0 4.8 7.71 3.59
Player 1137 211 8 3.8 2.7 86.8 110.0 10.4 31.8 .232 .340 .277 .283 .313 32.7 20.2 5.4
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelly relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(49.3%) ,
Sweeper
(38.0%) ,
Cutter
(12.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 48.2 19.0 25.1 7.7 40.5 38.5 21.0 2.6 37.4 24.6 25.1 6.7 3.6 2.5
2024 50.0 31.3 12.5 6.3 18.8 43.8 37.5 6.3 31.3 31.3 18.8 6.3 6.3 4.8
Player 48.3 19.9 24.2 7.6 38.9 38.9 22.3 2.8 37.0 25.1 24.6 6.6 3.8 2.7
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Sinker TB R 35 90.6 35.0 -0.6 -2 18.0 0.7 4
2024 Cutter TB R 9 87.8 28.4 0.0 0 1.0 0.5 115
2024 Sweeper TB R 27 77.1 40.2 -0.4 -1 20.8 1.0 5
2023 Sweeper TB R 430 76.3 41.0 -0.3 -1 20.2 0.6 3
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 10 92.0 19.5 0.2 1 10.2 0.3 3
2023 Sinker TB R 505 90.6 33.7 -0.3 -1 17.7 0.6 3
2023 Cutter TB R 107 87.0 28.6 0.2 1 1.0 0.8 360
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker -4.1 -1 35 49.3 11 .500 1.100 .668 23.1 9.1 12.5 .356 .693 .468 33.3
2024 Sweeper 0.5 0 27 38.0 8 .125 .500 .250 23.1 25.0 15.4 .095 .220 .130 33.3
2024 Cutter 4.5 0 9 12.7 2 .000 .000 .000 33.3 50.0 33.3 .077 .090 .070 0.0
2023 Sinker 2.0 10 510 47.8 134 .192 .267 .299 17.3 17.2 20.0 .243 .334 .294 41.2
2023 Sweeper 0.0 0 436 40.9 109 .212 .288 .248 27.5 22.0 14.6 .198 .278 .226 22.5
2023 Cutter -4.0 -4 108 10.1 30 .320 .600 .440 21.2 23.3 16.7 .347 .568 .439 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball 4.1 0 12 1.1 2 .000 .000 .000 40.0 100.0 16.7 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Sinker 34 90.6 83 19.2 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Sweeper 27 77.1 77 22.4 9:00 9:30 -30
2023 Cutter 105 87.0 45 7.6 12:30 11:30 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 12 92.1 84 16.0 1:45 1:15 30
2023 Sinker 483 90.5 82 18.8 2:15 3:15 -60
2023 Sweeper 431 76.3 77 21.8 9:00 9:30 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 275 1,066 6 14 -5 -8 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,066 51.8 62.3 82.8 25.9 64.7 40.6 63.0 44.7 22.2 9.1 72.2
2024 71 52.1 48.6 83.3 41.2 57.1 38.0 71.4 45.1 25.0 5.6 50.0
Player 1,137 51.8 61.5 82.9 26.8 63.9 40.5 63.6 44.8 22.4 8.9 71.3
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 85 65 88 94 67 92 95 87 87 29 89 22 16 9 30 98
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 25.5 2 2.2 0 2 1 1 50.0
2024 25.1 2 1.0 1 0 2 0 0.0
Player 25.3 4 3.2 1 2 3 1 25.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2023 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
2024 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 2 0
Player 4 1 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 5 3 2 4 4 4 2 3 4 4 4 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.0 90.0 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.3 77.1 0.8
Exit Velocity 87.0 83.5 -3.5
Launch Angle 10.3 11.2 0.9
Barrel % 3.6 6.3 2.7
Hard Hit % 32.8 31.3 -1.5
Sweet Spot % 32.3 25.0 -7.3
xBA .233 .223 -0.010
BA .211 .300 0.089
xwOBA .282 .302 0.020
wOBA .264 .456 0.192
xSLG .331 .444 0.113
SLG .307 .750 0.443
K% 20.3 19.0 -1.3
BB% 5.4 4.8 -0.6
Swing % 44.7 45.1 0.4
Whiff% 22.2 25.0 2.8
In Zone % 51.8 52.1 0.3
Out of Zone % 48.2 47.9 -0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 25.9 41.2 15.3
First Pitch Swing % 25.0 23.8 -1.2
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 71.4 8.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 275 .264 172 8 4.7 103 39 37.9
2024 Shades 21 .456 14 0 0.0 7 3 42.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 284 15.2 45.1% 0.7% 238 17.9 7.1% 0.4%
2024 4 14.3 50.0% 0.0% 4 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution


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