Kevin Kelly
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 19, #580, Cleveland Indians | James Madison University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 5 2 3.09 57 0 1 67 56 1.01
2024 5 2 2.67 68 0 1 70.2 63 0.96
2 Seasons 10 4 2.88 125 0 2 137.2 119 0.99
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 57 5-2 3.09 67 56 1.01
2024 68 5-2 2.67 70.2 63 0.96
2 Seasons 125 10-4 2.88 137.2 119 0.99
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 25 1066 195 7 3.6 2.5 87.0 110.0 10.3 32.3 .233 .331 .264 .282 .310 32.8 20.3 5.4 3.09 3.30
2024 26 1033 201 10 5.0 3.6 86.9 114.9 4.7 29.4 .243 .367 .268 .284 .347 37.0 22.7 3.2 2.67 3.34
Player 2099 396 17 4.3 3.1 87.0 114.9 7.5 30.8 .238 .349 .266 .283 .329 34.9 21.5 4.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelly relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(61.5%) ,
Sweeper
(27.8%) ,
Cutter
(8.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(2.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 48.2 19.0 25.1 7.7 40.5 38.5 21.0 2.6 37.4 24.6 25.1 6.7 3.6 2.5
2024 56.2 17.4 21.9 4.5 34.3 42.8 22.9 7.5 38.8 18.4 24.4 4.5 5.0 3.6
Player 52.3 18.2 23.5 6.1 37.4 40.7 22.0 5.1 38.1 21.5 24.7 5.6 4.3 3.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker TB R 634 90.8 34.4 -1.1 17.7ARM 0.8 -1.0 8.3 17.7ARM 2.9
2024 Cutter TB R 87 87.8 27.5 -0.1 0.4GLV 0.2 7.9 -0.4 0.4GLV -2.3
2024 Sweeper TB R 287 77.3 39.2 -0.3 19.6GLV 0.8 7.2 -5.6 19.6GLV 5.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball TB R 23 92.0 20.3 0.8 9.8ARM -1.8 12.2 -3.6 9.8ARM 2.3
2023 Sinker TB R 505 90.6 33.7 -0.5 17.7ARM 0.7 -0.2 7.8 17.7ARM 2.8
2023 Sweeper TB R 430 76.3 41.0 -0.4 20.2GLV 0.6 6.6 -5.0 20.2GLV 6.1
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 12 91.8 19.7 0.4 10.1ARM 0.0 12.8 -3.0 10.1ARM 2.6
2023 Cutter TB R 105 87.0 28.8 0.2 1.2GLV 1.0 7.4 -0.5 1.2GLV -1.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker 2.1 13 635 61.5 179 .255 .376 .304 13.9 16.8 18.8 .263 .398 .311 43.5
2024 Sweeper 0.8 2 287 27.8 70 .174 .275 .201 31.1 32.9 16.1 .193 .265 .206 17.4
2024 Cutter -1.2 -1 87 8.4 20 .158 .316 .237 20.9 30.0 17.1 .245 .359 .282 30.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball -3.2 -1 23 2.2 7 .286 .714 .414 40.0 57.1 20.0 .250 .676 .389 66.7
2023 Sinker 2.0 10 510 47.8 134 .192 .267 .299 17.3 17.2 20.0 .243 .333 .294 41.2
2023 Sweeper 0.0 0 436 40.9 109 .212 .288 .248 27.5 22.0 14.6 .198 .278 .226 22.5
2023 Cutter -4.0 -4 106 9.9 30 .320 .600 .440 21.2 23.3 17.5 .347 .568 .439 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball 2.9 0 14 1.3 2 .000 .000 .000 40.0 100.0 14.3 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 87 87.8 45 7.2 1:00 11:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 22 91.9 78 15.2 1:45 1:30 15
2024 Sinker 610 90.8 82 18.9 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Sweeper 286 77.3 74 21.5 9:00 9:30 -30
2023 Cutter 103 86.9 44 7.5 12:30 11:30 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 14 91.9 84 15.9 1:45 1:15 30
2023 Sinker 483 90.5 82 18.8 2:15 3:15 -60
2023 Sweeper 431 76.3 77 21.8 9:00 9:30 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 275 1,066 6 14 -5 -8 6
2024 276 1,032 5 15 -2 -4 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,066 51.8 62.3 82.8 25.9 64.7 40.6 63.0 44.7 22.2 9.1 72.2
2024 1,033 55.8 59.5 85.1 26.1 61.3 42.7 70.1 44.8 20.1 8.4 64.4
Player 2,099 53.8 60.9 84.0 26.0 63.1 41.7 66.6 44.8 21.2 8.8 68.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 85 65 88 94 69 92 95 87 87 29 89 21 16 9 30 98
2024 77 42 66 78 84 83 89 89 65 48 99 9 20 10 30 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 25.5 2 2.2 0 2 1 1 50.0
2024 23.4 7 6.6 0 3 5 3 42.9
Player 23.8 9 8.7 0 5 6 4 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
2024 7 5 7 9 7 7 8 6 5 5 6 9 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 9 6 6 10 8 6 5 7 8 7 6 4
Player 9 6 9 11 9 9 10 8 7 7 8 12 9 8 8 8 8 7 8 12 8 8 13 11 8 7 9 11 9 8 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.0 90.5 0.5
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.3 77.3 1.0
Exit Velocity 87.0 86.9 -0.1
Launch Angle 10.3 4.7 -5.6
Barrel % 3.6 5.0 1.4
Hard Hit % 32.8 37.0 4.2
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.3 29.4 -2.9
xBA .233 .243 0.010
BA .211 .226 0.015
xwOBA .282 .284 0.002
wOBA .264 .268 0.004
xSLG .331 .367 0.036
SLG .307 .352 0.045
K% 20.3 22.7 2.4
BB% 5.4 3.2 -2.2
Swing % 44.7 44.8 0.1
Whiff% 22.2 20.1 -2.1
In Zone % 51.8 55.8 4.0
Out of Zone % 48.2 44.2 -4.0
Out of Zone Swing % 25.9 26.1 0.2
First Pitch Swing % 25.0 25.5 0.5
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 70.1 7.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 275 .264 172 8 4.7 103 39 37.9
2024 Shades 276 .269 169 21 12.4 107 64 59.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 284 15.2 45.1% 0.7% 238 17.9 7.1% 0.4%
2024 305 15.1 44.6% 0.3% 193 17.9 6.2% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution