P | Kansas City Royals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 195 lbs | Age: 24
MLB Pipeline Rank
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 1 1 1.29 13 0 0 14 16 0.93
2026 0 1 9.00 2 1 0 6 6 3.00
2 Seasons 1 2 3.60 15 1 0 20 22 1.55
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 13 1-1 1.29 14 16 0.93
2026 2 0-1 9.00 6 6 3.00
2 Seasons 15 1-2 3.60 20 22 1.55
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 23 217 34 1 2.9 1.8 86.9 106.8 11.3 35.3 .164 .222 .204 .226 .250 29.4 28.6 10.7 1.29 2.09
2026 24 135 23 3 13.0 9.1 90.9 109.9 6.3 39.1 .318 .599 .579 .428 .492 47.8 18.2 12.1 9.00 8.23
Player 352 57 4 7.0 4.5 88.5 109.9 9.3 36.8 .221 .362 .343 .301 .347 36.8 24.7 11.2
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Avila relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(32.6%) ,
Sinker
(25.2%) ,
Curveball
(17.0%) ,
Slider
(13.3%) ,
Changeup
(11.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 50.0 50.0 14.7 26.5 8.8 44.1 29.4 26.5 29.4 8.8 11.8 14.7 20.6 14.7
2026 47.8 52.2 26.1 26.1 0.0 30.4 52.2 17.4 17.4 30.4 0.0 13.0 21.7 17.4
Player 49.1 50.9 19.3 26.3 5.3 38.6 38.6 22.8 24.6 17.5 7.0 14.0 21.1 15.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 2.9 41.2 32.4 20.6 0.0 2.9 1.8
2026 4.3 26.1 13.0 39.1 4.3 13.0 9.1
Player 3.5 35.1 24.6 28.1 1.8 7.0 4.5
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker KC R 34 95.6 19.1 -1.3 12.1ARM -3.2 10.9 -3.1 12.1ARM -3.5
2026 Changeup KC R 16 88.6 29.5 -1.2 14.0ARM -0.2 5.7 -1.8 14.0ARM -0.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball KC R 44 95.9 14.0 -1.0 1.9ARM -4.9 15.7 -0.6 1.9ARM -5.9
2026 Slider KC R 18 87.3 36.9 2.5 7.7GLV 3.4 -1.0 2.4 7.7GLV 3.4
2026 Curveball KC R 23 82.3 47.0 -4.7 12.5GLV 4.9 -6.4 -4.1 12.5GLV 3.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball KC R 63 95.8 16.0 -2.8 0.6ARM -6.1 13.6 -2.2 0.6ARM -7.0
2025 Sinker KC R 52 95.8 19.3 -1.0 12.1ARM -2.4 10.6 -3.2 12.1ARM -3.0
2025 Curveball KC R 71 82.7 47.5 -3.5 12.2GLV 5.3 -7.3 -2.9 12.2GLV 3.2
2025 Changeup KC R 6 86.9 29.8 -1.5 15.1ARM 0.9 6.5 -2.4 15.1ARM 0.6
2025 Slider KC R 25 85.1 39.6 3.7 6.5GLV 2.3 -1.9 3.7 6.5GLV 2.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -1.5 -1 44 32.6 8 .286 .429 .356 22.2 25.0 25.0 .266 .451 .357 20.0
2026 Sinker -9.4 -3 34 25.2 12 .778 1.111 .788 15.4 16.7 28.6 .388 .758 .540 71.4
2026 Curveball -12.0 -3 23 17.0 5 .600 1.600 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .422 1.097 .633 80.0
2026 Slider 1.2 0 18 13.3 4 .250 .250 .225 28.6 25.0 20.0 .267 .286 .242 0.0
2026 Changeup 1.6 0 16 11.9 4 .250 .250 .225 42.9 25.0 50.0 .171 .188 .160 33.3
2025 Curveball 3.9 3 71 32.7 19 .111 .111 .095 40.5 52.6 27.8 .132 .160 .136 22.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball 3.1 2 63 29.0 11 .000 .000 .145 17.9 18.2 13.3 .160 .189 .204 37.5
2025 Sinker 1.2 1 52 24.0 19 .250 .375 .337 10.7 5.3 16.7 .228 .348 .319 33.3
2025 Slider 0.2 0 25 11.5 5 .000 .000 .280 100.0 60.0 42.9 -- -- .280 --
2025 Changeup -10.7 -1 6 2.8 2 .500 1.000 .625 0.0 0.0 0.0 .211 .261 .205 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 16 88.6 76 15.6 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Curveball 23 82.3 62 15.9 7:45 8:00 -15
2026 4-Seam Fastball 43 95.9 74 15.3 12:30 12:15 15
2026 Sinker 34 95.6 72 16.2 12:45 1:45 -60
2026 Slider 18 87.3 46 8.6 9:00 8:30 30
2025 Curveball 70 82.7 66 16.0 7:30 7:45 -15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 63 95.8 72 13.1 12:30 12:00 30
2025 Sinker 47 95.7 71 15.9 12:30 1:45 -75
2025 Slider 25 85.1 46 8.0 8:30 8:15 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 56 217 3 3 0 -1 5
2026 33 135 -1 -4 -1 -1 -6
Player 89 352 2 0 -1 2 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 217 44.7 71.1 84.1 28.3 44.1 48.8 51.8 47.5 29.1 6.5 92.9
2026 135 48.1 63.1 87.8 17.1 50.0 40.0 51.5 39.3 20.8 8.9 83.3
Player 352 46.0 67.9 85.5 24.2 45.7 45.5 51.7 44.3 26.3 7.4 88.5
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 75 86 90 86
2026 2 4 4 59 7 70 84 28 4 25 30 33 22 22 63 74
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2026 23.44 1 1.6 -1 1 2 0 0.0
Player 23.44 1 1.6 -1 2 2 0 0.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2026 1 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
Player 1 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .483 +.340 .143
xBA .318 +.154 .164
OBP .545 +.313 .232
xOBP .401 +.146 .255
SLG .793 +.589 .204
xSLG .599 +.377 .222
ISO .310 +.249 .061
xISO .281 +.224 .057
BABIP .591 +.385 .206
wOBA .579 +.375 .204
xwOBA .428 +.202 .226
wOBAcon .708 +.494 .214
xwOBAcon .492 +.242 .250
BACON .609 +.403 .206
xBACON .401 +.158 .243
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 47.8 +18.4 29.4
Avg Exit Velocity 90.9 +4.0 86.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 39.1 +3.8 35.3
Barrel % 13.0 +10.1 2.9
Avg Launch Angle 6.3 -5.0 11.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.2 -1.3 72.5
Attack Angle -5° 12°
Ideal Attack Angle % 34.0 -19.2 53.2
Attack Direction +9° -6°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 33°
Swing Length 7.3 -0.1 7.4
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.8 0.0 95.8
Breaking Velocity 84.5 +1.2 83.3
Offspeed Velocity 88.6 +1.7 86.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 +2 1
Popup % 0.0 -8.8 8.8
Flyball % 26.1 +11.4 14.7
Line Drive % 26.1 -0.4 26.5
Groundball % 47.8 -2.2 50.0
Pull % 30.4 -13.7 44.1
Straight Away % 52.2 +22.8 29.4
Opposite Field % 17.4 -9.1 26.5
Weak Contact % 4.3 +1.4 2.9
Pull Airball % 13.0 -1.7 14.7
Topped Contact % 26.1 -15.1 41.2
Under Contact % 13.0 -19.4 32.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 39.1 +18.5 20.6
Solid Contact % 4.3 +4.3 0.0
HR/FB % 16.7 +16.7 0.0
Popups 0 -3 3
Flyballs 6 +1 5
Line Drives 6 -3 9
Groundballs 11 -6 17
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.1 +3.4 44.7
Out of Zone % 51.9 -3.4 55.3
Edge % 40.0 -8.8 48.8
Zone Swing % 63.1 -8.0 71.1
Out of Zone Swing % 17.1 -11.2 28.3
In Zone Contact % 87.8 +3.7 84.1
Out of Zone Contact % 50.0 +5.9 44.1
Whiff % 20.8 -8.3 29.1
First Strike % 51.5 -0.3 51.8
First Pitch Swing % 24.2 -4.4 28.6
Swing % 39.3 -8.2 47.5
Meatball Swing % 83.3 -9.6 92.9
Meatball % 8.9 +2.4 6.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.2 -3.7 15.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 50.0 -5.9 55.9
In Zone 65 -32 97
Out of Zone 70 -50 120
Edge 54 -52 106
In Zone Swings 41 -28 69
Out of Zone Swings 12 -22 34
In Zone Swing & Misses 5 -6 11
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 6 -13 19
Basic
Pitches 135 -82 217
PA 33 -23 56
AB 29 -20 49
Hits 14 +7 7
Singles 7 +3 4
Doubles 6 +3 3
Triples 0 0 0
Home Runs 1 +1 0
Walks 4 -2 6
Strikeouts 6 -10 16
K% 18.2 -10.4 28.6
BB% 12.1 +1.4 10.7
HBP 0 0 0
Batted Balls 23 -11 34
Number of Fastballs 78 -37 115
Number of Offspeed 16 +10 6
Number of Breaking 41 -55 96
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 56 .204 31 0 0.0 25 19 76.0
2026 Shades 33 .579 9 5 55.6 24 5 20.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 55 15.1 49.1% 0.0% 34 16.7 11.8% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution