P | Seattle Mariners
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 1" 233 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 0 3.38 31 0 1 32 25 1.03
2025 4 4 4.48 72 0 11 76.1 71 1.27
2026 4 2 3.35 51 0 3 45.2 38 1.36
4 Seasons 12 6 4.12 193 0 15 188 159 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 31 1-0 3.38 32 25 1.03
2025 72 4-4 4.48 76.1 71 1.27
2026 51 4-2 3.35 45.2 38 1.36
4 Seasons 193 12-6 4.12 188 159 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 559 103 3 2.9 2.1 87.8 113.1 5.4 29.1 .253 .361 .338 .301 .328 36.9 17.6 9.2 5.03 3.79
2024 24 476 96 1 1.1 0.8 90.7 110.3 5.4 21.9 .230 .296 .245 .263 .296 47.9 19.4 4.7 3.38 2.77
2025 25 1208 230 11 4.8 3.4 89.1 112.6 0.8 28.3 .252 .353 .310 .294 .347 42.2 21.9 4.9 4.48 3.56
2026 26 744 146 9 6.2 4.5 86.6 110.7 4.1 26.7 .231 .362 .319 .290 .321 35.6 18.9 6.5 3.35 3.48
Player 2987 575 24 4.2 3.0 88.5 113.1 3.3 27.0 .243 .347 .307 .289 .328 40.5 20.0 6.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferrer relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(71.0%) ,
Changeup
(16.9%) ,
Slider
(12.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(0.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 55.3 44.7 17.5 22.3 4.9 38.8 38.8 22.3 27.2 24.3 3.9 11.7 14.6 18.4
2024 57.3 42.7 16.7 18.8 7.3 29.2 47.9 22.9 19.8 30.2 7.3 9.4 17.7 15.6
2025 64.3 35.7 13.9 20.4 1.3 37.8 33.0 29.1 27.8 24.3 12.2 10.0 8.7 17.0
2026 55.5 44.5 24.7 16.4 3.4 26.0 44.5 29.5 18.5 25.3 11.6 7.5 19.2 17.8
Player 59.3 40.7 17.7 19.5 3.5 33.6 39.5 27.0 24.0 25.6 9.7 9.6 13.9 17.2
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 6.8 44.7 14.6 22.3 8.7 2.9 2.1
2024 2.1 39.6 25.0 28.1 3.1 1.1 0.8
2025 8.7 44.3 11.7 27.0 3.0 4.8 3.4
2026 6.8 40.4 21.2 22.6 2.1 6.2 4.5
Player 6.8 42.6 16.9 25.2 3.8 4.2 3.0
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker SEA L 528 97.4 22.8 1.8 18.5ARM 2.8 6.2 1.4 18.5ARM 3.2
2026 Changeup SEA L 126 87.0 31.8 -0.5 19.1ARM 4.5 4.6 0.1 19.1ARM 5.2
2026 Slider SEA L 89 87.9 35.4 1.4 2.8GLV 0.2 0.0 1.5 2.8GLV -1.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball SEA L 1 95.7 22.7 -8.2 18.3ARM 10.1 7.4 -8.2 18.3ARM 10.3
2025 Changeup WSH L 265 87.8 35.2 3.8 18.0ARM 3.3 0.6 4.6 18.0ARM 3.8
2025 Slider WSH L 90 89.7 30.6 -1.1 0.3GLV -2.6 3.4 -1.3 0.3GLV -3.7
2025 Sinker WSH L 747 97.7 22.2 1.4 18.3ARM 2.7 6.5 1.0 18.3ARM 2.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH L 106 97.9 20.6 -7.1 16.5ARM 8.4 8.1 -7.8 16.5ARM 8.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker 0.4 2 528 71.0 144 .287 .434 .365 14.2 14.6 17.4 .249 .407 .321 38.5
2026 Changeup 0.4 0 126 16.9 32 .156 .188 .180 38.5 31.3 15.4 .189 .259 .192 27.3
2026 Slider -2.7 -2 89 12.0 23 .350 .450 .382 30.0 26.1 14.3 .197 .256 .242 26.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball 6.3 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 Sinker 1.0 8 747 61.8 206 .288 .391 .333 16.1 12.6 17.8 .275 .384 .319 44.5
2025 Changeup -0.7 -2 265 21.9 74 .221 .324 .276 47.0 39.2 25.4 .203 .268 .245 25.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -5.0 -5 106 8.8 23 .478 .652 .491 8.0 17.4 7.1 .325 .513 .358 47.4
2025 Slider 0.9 1 90 7.5 20 .105 .158 .143 52.5 60.0 26.7 .115 .166 .150 71.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 125 87.0 95 20.3 9:00 9:15 -15
2026 Sinker 514 97.4 98 20.1 9:45 9:30 15
2026 Slider 89 87.9 17 3.8 2:15 3:45 -90
2025 Changeup 264 87.8 93 19.0 9:00 9:00 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 106 97.9 99 18.7 9:45 9:45 0
2025 Sinker 744 97.7 99 19.9 9:45 9:30 15
2025 Slider 90 89.7 16 3.4 11:15 1:00 -105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 140 559 2 2 -2 -3 -2
2024 129 476 9 0 0 -2 7
2025 323 1,208 9 1 -3 -5 1
2026 199 744 6 0 -2 -4 0
Player 791 2,987 25 3 -8 25 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 559 51.0 67.0 85.9 26.3 70.8 38.8 56.3 47.0 18.3 10.7 71.7
2024 476 56.7 63.7 86.6 29.1 53.3 44.1 68.2 48.7 22.0 10.9 84.6
2025 1,208 54.4 67.7 82.9 28.5 53.5 39.1 67.0 49.8 24.8 9.8 76.3
2026 744 54.2 70.0 85.5 29.0 63.6 39.7 67.5 51.2 20.2 9.3 78.3
Player 2,987 54.1 67.5 84.7 28.3 59.3 40.0 65.4 49.5 22.0 10.0 77.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 76 19 10
2024 97 19 23
2025 42 55 54 31 71 94 13 54 49 48 45 95 93 35 99 18
2026 43 54 28 59 70 91 16 89 34 11 25 81 72 70 95 12
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.46 4 2.8 1 2 2 1 25.0
2024 23.67 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
2025 22.11 5 4.5 1 2 4 2 40.0
2026 25.23 5 4.1 1 1 2 3 60.0
Player 23.88 15 12.3 3 5 9 6 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 4 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 1 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
2024 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2025 5 5 3 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 5 5 8 4 4 5 3 5 7 4 5 6 6 4 2 5 6 6 3 3
2026 5 5 3 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 4 5 4 3 5 4 4 5 5 4 3 3 4 4 3 4
Player 15 13 8 14 13 13 12 12 10 10 9 14 12 16 14 13 15 11 12 16 12 11 17 15 12 8 11 13 13 10 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .269 -.007 .276 +.049 .227 -.062 .289
xBA .231 -.021 .252 +.022 .230 -.023 .253
OBP .332 +.006 .326 +.055 .271 -.088 .359
xOBP .297 -.009 .306 +.025 .281 -.046 .327
SLG .390 +.009 .381 +.104 .277 -.145 .422
xSLG .362 +.009 .353 +.057 .296 -.065 .361
ISO .121 +.016 .105 +.055 .050 -.083 .133
xISO .131 +.029 .102 +.036 .066 -.042 .108
BABIP .317 -.028 .345 +.071 .274 -.059 .333
wOBA .319 +.009 .310 +.065 .245 -.093 .338
xwOBA .290 -.004 .294 +.031 .263 -.038 .301
wOBAcon .361 -.008 .369 +.098 .271 -.107 .378
xwOBAcon .321 -.026 .347 +.051 .296 -.032 .328
BACON .340 -.020 .360 +.079 .281 -.078 .359
xBACON .292 -.040 .332 +.038 .294 -.021 .315
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 35.6 -6.6 42.2 -5.7 47.9 +11.0 36.9
Avg Exit Velocity 86.6 -2.5 89.1 -1.6 90.7 +2.9 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 26.7 -1.6 28.3 +6.4 21.9 -7.2 29.1
Barrel % 6.2 +1.4 4.8 +3.7 1.1 -1.8 2.9
Avg Launch Angle 4.1 +3.3 0.8 -4.6 5.4 0.0 5.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.2 +0.1 71.1 -0.1 71.2 +0.2 71.0
Attack Angle -1° -1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 33.6 -3.3 36.9 -6.0 42.9 +5.2 37.7
Attack Direction +1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +1° 33° 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.1 0.0 7.1 -0.1 7.2 +0.1 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.4 -0.3 97.7 -0.3 98.0 +2.8 95.2
Breaking Velocity 87.9 -1.8 89.7 +1.7 88.0 +5.7 82.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.0 -0.8 87.8 -0.5 88.3 +2.9 85.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -2 11 +10 1 -2 3
Popup % 3.4 +2.1 1.3 -6.0 7.3 +2.4 4.9
Flyball % 24.7 +10.8 13.9 -2.8 16.7 -0.8 17.5
Line Drive % 16.4 -4.0 20.4 +1.6 18.8 -3.5 22.3
Groundball % 55.5 -8.8 64.3 +7.0 57.3 +2.0 55.3
Pull % 26.0 -11.8 37.8 +8.6 29.2 -9.6 38.8
Straight Away % 44.5 +11.5 33.0 -14.9 47.9 +9.1 38.8
Opposite Field % 29.5 +0.4 29.1 +6.2 22.9 +0.6 22.3
Weak Contact % 6.8 -1.9 8.7 +6.6 2.1 -4.7 6.8
Pull Airball % 7.5 -2.5 10.0 +0.6 9.4 -2.3 11.7
Topped Contact % 40.4 -3.9 44.3 +4.7 39.6 -5.1 44.7
Under Contact % 21.2 +9.5 11.7 -13.3 25.0 +10.4 14.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.6 -4.4 27.0 -1.1 28.1 +5.8 22.3
Solid Contact % 2.1 -0.9 3.0 -0.1 3.1 -5.6 8.7
HR/FB % 13.9 -1.7 15.6 +9.3 6.3 -15.9 22.2
Popups 5 +2 3 -4 7 +2 5
Flyballs 36 +4 32 +16 16 -2 18
Line Drives 24 -23 47 +29 18 -5 23
Groundballs 81 -67 148 +93 55 -2 57
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 54.2 -0.2 54.4 -2.3 56.7 +5.7 51.0
Out of Zone % 45.8 +0.2 45.6 +2.3 43.3 -5.7 49.0
Edge % 39.7 +0.6 39.1 -5.0 44.1 +5.3 38.8
Zone Swing % 70.0 +2.3 67.7 +4.0 63.7 -3.3 67.0
Out of Zone Swing % 29.0 +0.5 28.5 -0.6 29.1 +2.8 26.3
In Zone Contact % 85.5 +2.6 82.9 -3.7 86.6 +0.7 85.9
Out of Zone Contact % 63.6 +10.1 53.5 +0.2 53.3 -17.5 70.8
Whiff % 20.2 -4.6 24.8 +2.8 22.0 +3.7 18.3
First Strike % 67.5 +0.5 67.0 -1.2 68.2 +11.9 56.3
First Pitch Swing % 42.0 +7.4 34.6 +2.8 31.8 +4.3 27.5
Swing % 51.2 +1.4 49.8 +1.1 48.7 +1.7 47.0
Meatball Swing % 78.3 +2.0 76.3 -8.3 84.6 +12.9 71.7
Meatball % 9.3 -0.5 9.8 -1.1 10.9 +0.2 10.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.5 -2.6 17.1 +3.7 13.4 -0.7 14.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 36.4 -10.1 46.5 -0.2 46.7 +17.5 29.2
In Zone 403 -254 657 +387 270 -15 285
Out of Zone 341 -210 551 +345 206 -68 274
Edge 295 -177 472 +262 210 -7 217
In Zone Swings 282 -163 445 +273 172 -19 191
Out of Zone Swings 99 -58 157 +97 60 -12 72
In Zone Swing & Misses 41 -35 76 +53 23 -4 27
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 36 -37 73 +45 28 +7 21
Basic
Pitches 744 -464 1,208 +732 476 -83 559
PA 201 -123 324 +195 129 -13 142
AB 182 -112 294 +175 119 -9 128
Hits 49 -32 81 +54 27 -10 37
Singles 37 -25 62 +38 24 -4 28
Doubles 7 -5 12 +11 1 -4 5
Triples 0 -2 2 +1 1 +1 0
Home Runs 5 0 5 +4 1 -3 4
Walks 13 -3 16 +10 6 -7 13
Strikeouts 38 -33 71 +46 25 0 25
K% 18.9 -3.0 21.9 +2.5 19.4 +1.8 17.6
BB% 6.5 +1.6 4.9 +0.2 4.7 -4.5 9.2
HBP 4 -3 7 +5 2 +1 1
Batted Balls 146 -84 230 +134 96 -7 103
Fastball Percent 71.1 +0.5 70.6 -4.8 75.4 +1.0 74.4
Offspeed Percent 16.9 -5.0 21.9 +2.8 19.1 -4.7 23.8
Breaking Percent 12.0 +4.5 7.5 +2.0 5.5 +3.7 1.8
Number of Fastballs 529 -324 853 +494 359 -57 416
Number of Offspeed 126 -139 265 +174 91 -42 133
Number of Breaking 89 -1 90 +64 26 +16 10
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 140 .338 79 0 0.0 61 1 1.6
2024 Shades 129 .245 83 0 0.0 46 4 8.7
2025 Shades 323 .310 213 0 0.0 110 28 25.5
2026 Shades 199 .321 99 7 7.1 100 20 20.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 154 15.7 40.9% 0.6% 97 17.9 14.4% 1.0%
2024 130 15.9 36.2% 0.8% 79 16.8 16.5% 0.0%
2025 283 16.5 20.5% 0.4% 220 17.9 4.5% 1.4%
2026 162 15.6 32.1% 3.7% 128 17.4 9.4% 3.1%

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Pitch Distribution