P | Seattle Mariners
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 1" 233 lbs | Age: 26
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 1 0 3.38 31 0 1 32 25 1.03
2025 4 4 4.48 72 0 11 76.1 71 1.27
2026 0 0 4.50 5 0 0 4 5 1.75
4 Seasons 8 4 4.37 147 0 12 146.1 126 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 31 1-0 3.38 32 25 1.03
2025 72 4-4 4.48 76.1 71 1.27
2026 5 0-0 4.50 4 5 1.75
4 Seasons 147 8-4 4.37 146.1 126 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 559 103 3 2.9 2.1 87.8 113.1 5.4 29.1 .254 .361 .338 .301 .328 36.9 17.6 9.2 5.03 3.79
2024 24 476 96 1 1.0 0.8 90.7 110.3 5.4 21.9 .230 .296 .245 .263 .296 47.9 19.4 4.7 3.38 2.77
2025 25 1208 230 11 4.8 3.4 89.1 112.6 0.8 28.3 .252 .354 .310 .294 .348 42.2 21.9 4.9 4.48 3.56
2026 26 58 14 0 0.0 0.0 85.0 105.2 8.2 21.4 .275 .319 .420 .259 .318 28.6 17.6 0.0 6.00 2.68
Player 2301 443 15 3.4 2.5 89.0 113.1 3.2 26.9 .249 .342 .305 .288 .331 41.8 20.3 5.7
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferrer relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(68.6%) ,
Changeup
(17.1%) ,
Slider
(14.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 55.3 44.7 17.5 22.3 4.9 38.8 38.8 22.3 27.2 24.3 3.9 11.7 14.6 18.4
2024 57.3 42.7 16.7 18.8 7.3 29.2 47.9 22.9 19.8 30.2 7.3 9.4 17.7 15.6
2025 64.3 35.7 13.9 20.4 1.3 37.8 33.0 29.1 27.8 24.3 12.2 10.0 8.7 17.0
2026 50.0 50.0 28.6 21.4 0.0 35.7 35.7 28.6 21.4 14.3 14.3 14.3 21.4 14.3
Player 60.3 39.7 15.8 20.5 3.4 36.1 37.7 26.2 25.7 25.3 9.3 10.4 12.4 16.9
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 6.8 44.7 14.6 22.3 8.7 2.9 2.1
2024 2.1 39.6 25.0 28.1 3.1 1.0 0.8
2025 8.7 44.3 11.7 27.0 3.0 4.8 3.4
2026 7.1 42.9 21.4 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Player 6.8 43.3 15.6 26.2 4.3 3.4 2.5
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker SEA L 48 96.7 21.9 0.4 18.8ARM 2.6 7.6 -0.2 18.8ARM 3.1
2026 Changeup SEA L 12 87.2 31.5 -1.4 19.8ARM 4.3 5.0 -0.9 19.8ARM 5.5
2026 Slider SEA L 10 87.2 35.8 0.0 2.2GLV -0.6 0.3 0.9 2.2GLV -2.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball WSH L 106 97.9 20.6 -7.1 16.5ARM 8.4 8.1 -7.8 16.5ARM 8.4
2025 Sinker WSH L 747 97.7 22.2 1.2 18.3ARM 2.8 6.5 1.0 18.3ARM 2.9
2025 Changeup WSH L 265 87.8 35.2 3.8 18.0ARM 3.3 0.6 4.6 18.0ARM 3.8
2025 Slider WSH L 90 89.7 30.6 -1.2 0.3GLV -2.7 3.4 -1.4 0.3GLV -3.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker -2.4 -1 48 68.6 12 .545 .545 .491 11.5 16.7 25.0 .289 .339 .275 30.0
2026 Changeup -5.1 -1 12 17.1 6 .167 .333 .358 42.9 33.3 28.6 .203 .230 .185 25.0
2026 Slider 5.8 1 10 14.3 2 .000 .000 .000 33.3 50.0 33.3 .093 .111 .086 0.0
2025 Sinker 1.0 8 747 61.8 206 .288 .391 .333 16.1 12.6 17.8 .276 .385 .320 44.5
2025 Changeup -0.7 -2 265 21.9 74 .221 .324 .276 47.0 39.2 25.4 .203 .268 .245 25.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -5.0 -5 106 8.8 23 .478 .652 .491 8.0 17.4 7.1 .327 .515 .360 47.4
2025 Slider 0.9 1 90 7.5 20 .105 .158 .143 52.5 60.0 26.7 .115 .166 .150 71.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 12 87.2 94 21.2 9:00 9:15 -15
2026 Sinker 48 96.7 99 20.8 9:45 9:30 15
2026 Slider 10 87.2 12 3.3 2:15 3:30 -75
2025 Changeup 264 87.8 93 19.0 9:00 9:00 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 106 97.9 99 18.7 9:45 9:45 0
2025 Sinker 744 97.7 99 19.9 9:45 9:30 15
2025 Slider 90 89.7 16 3.4 11:15 1:00 -105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 140 559 2 2 -2 -3 -2
2024 129 476 9 0 0 -2 7
2025 323 1,208 9 1 -3 -5 1
2026 20 70 1 -1 -1 0 -1
Player 612 2,313 20 2 -7 20 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 559 51.0 67.0 85.9 26.3 70.8 38.8 56.3 47.0 18.3 10.7 71.7
2024 476 57.1 63.2 86.6 29.4 53.3 44.1 68.2 48.7 22.0 10.9 84.6
2025 1,208 54.6 67.5 82.9 28.6 53.5 39.1 67.0 49.8 24.8 9.8 76.3
2026 58 60.3 74.3 84.6 26.1 66.7 43.1 64.7 55.2 18.8 10.3 66.7
Player 2,301 54.4 66.7 84.4 28.1 58.0 40.2 64.7 49.1 22.5 10.3 76.7
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 76 19 10
2024 97 19 23
2025 42 55 54 31 71 94 13 54 51 48 45 95 93 35 99 18
2026 16 17 54 12 75 83 32 17 26 91 70 77 63
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 24.46 4 2.8 1 2 2 1 25.0
2024 23.67 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
2025 22.11 5 4.5 1 2 4 2 40.0
Player 23.21 10 8.3 2 4 7 3 30.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 4 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 1 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
2024 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2025 5 5 3 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 5 5 8 4 4 5 3 5 7 4 5 6 6 4 2 5 6 6 3 3
Player 10 8 5 10 9 8 8 8 6 6 5 9 9 12 9 9 10 7 9 11 8 7 12 10 8 5 8 9 9 7 7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .438 +.162 .276 +.049 .227 -.062 .289
xBA .275 +.023 .252 +.022 .230 -.024 .254
OBP .438 +.112 .326 +.055 .271 -.088 .359
xOBP .275 -.032 .307 +.026 .281 -.046 .327
SLG .500 +.119 .381 +.104 .277 -.145 .422
xSLG .319 -.035 .354 +.058 .296 -.065 .361
ISO .063 -.042 .105 +.055 .050 -.083 .133
xISO .045 -.057 .102 +.036 .066 -.042 .108
BABIP .538 +.193 .345 +.071 .274 -.059 .333
wOBA .420 +.110 .310 +.065 .245 -.093 .338
xwOBA .259 -.035 .294 +.031 .263 -.038 .301
wOBAcon .517 +.148 .369 +.098 .271 -.107 .378
xwOBAcon .318 -.030 .348 +.052 .296 -.032 .328
BACON .538 +.178 .360 +.079 .281 -.078 .359
xBACON .338 +.005 .333 +.039 .294 -.021 .315
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 28.6 -13.6 42.2 -5.7 47.9 +11.0 36.9
Avg Exit Velocity 85.0 -4.1 89.1 -1.6 90.7 +2.9 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 21.4 -6.9 28.3 +6.4 21.9 -7.2 29.1
Barrel % 0.0 -4.8 4.8 +3.8 1.0 -1.9 2.9
Avg Launch Angle 8.2 +7.4 0.8 -4.6 5.4 0.0 5.4
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.8 71.2 0.0 71.2 0.0 71.2
Attack Angle +3° -1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 40.0 +3.4 36.6 -6.5 43.1 +4.5 38.6
Attack Direction -1° -6° +1° -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 35° +1° 33° 34° +1° 33°
Swing Length 7.5 +0.4 7.1 -0.1 7.2 +0.1 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.7 -1.0 97.7 -0.3 98.0 +2.8 95.2
Breaking Velocity 86.9 -2.8 89.7 +1.7 88.0 +5.7 82.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.4 -0.4 87.8 -0.5 88.3 +2.9 85.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 -11 11 +10 1 -2 3
Popup % 0.0 -1.3 1.3 -6.0 7.3 +2.4 4.9
Flyball % 28.6 +14.7 13.9 -2.8 16.7 -0.8 17.5
Line Drive % 21.4 +1.0 20.4 +1.6 18.8 -3.5 22.3
Groundball % 50.0 -14.3 64.3 +7.0 57.3 +2.0 55.3
Pull % 35.7 -2.1 37.8 +8.6 29.2 -9.6 38.8
Straight Away % 35.7 +2.7 33.0 -14.9 47.9 +9.1 38.8
Opposite Field % 28.6 -0.5 29.1 +6.2 22.9 +0.6 22.3
Weak Contact % 7.1 -1.6 8.7 +6.6 2.1 -4.7 6.8
Pull Airball % 14.3 +4.3 10.0 +0.6 9.4 -2.3 11.7
Topped Contact % 42.9 -1.4 44.3 +4.7 39.6 -5.1 44.7
Under Contact % 21.4 +9.7 11.7 -13.3 25.0 +10.4 14.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 28.6 +1.6 27.0 -1.1 28.1 +5.8 22.3
Solid Contact % 0.0 -3.0 3.0 -0.1 3.1 -5.6 8.7
HR/FB % 0.0 -15.6 15.6 +9.3 6.3 -15.9 22.2
Popups 0 -3 3 -4 7 +2 5
Flyballs 4 -28 32 +16 16 -2 18
Line Drives 3 -44 47 +29 18 -5 23
Groundballs 7 -141 148 +93 55 -2 57
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 60.3 +5.7 54.6 -2.5 57.1 +6.1 51.0
Out of Zone % 39.7 -5.7 45.4 +2.5 42.9 -6.1 49.0
Edge % 43.1 +4.0 39.1 -5.0 44.1 +5.3 38.8
Zone Swing % 74.3 +6.8 67.5 +4.3 63.2 -3.8 67.0
Out of Zone Swing % 26.1 -2.5 28.6 -0.8 29.4 +3.1 26.3
In Zone Contact % 84.6 +1.7 82.9 -3.7 86.6 +0.7 85.9
Out of Zone Contact % 66.7 +13.2 53.5 +0.2 53.3 -17.5 70.8
Whiff % 18.8 -6.0 24.8 +2.8 22.0 +3.7 18.3
First Strike % 64.7 -2.3 67.0 -1.2 68.2 +11.9 56.3
First Pitch Swing % 52.9 +18.3 34.6 +2.8 31.8 +4.3 27.5
Swing % 55.2 +5.4 49.8 +1.1 48.7 +1.7 47.0
Meatball Swing % 66.7 -9.6 76.3 -8.3 84.6 +12.9 71.7
Meatball % 10.3 +0.5 9.8 -1.1 10.9 +0.2 10.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.4 -1.7 17.1 +3.7 13.4 -0.7 14.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.3 -13.2 46.5 -0.2 46.7 +17.5 29.2
In Zone 35 -624 659 +387 272 -13 285
Out of Zone 23 -526 549 +345 204 -70 274
Edge 25 -447 472 +262 210 -7 217
In Zone Swings 26 -419 445 +273 172 -19 191
Out of Zone Swings 6 -151 157 +97 60 -12 72
In Zone Swing & Misses 4 -72 76 +53 23 -4 27
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 2 -71 73 +45 28 +7 21
Basic
Pitches 58 -1,150 1,208 +732 476 -83 559
PA 17 -307 324 +195 129 -13 142
AB 16 -278 294 +175 119 -9 128
Hits 7 -74 81 +54 27 -10 37
Singles 6 -56 62 +38 24 -4 28
Doubles 1 -11 12 +11 1 -4 5
Triples 0 -2 2 +1 1 +1 0
Home Runs 0 -5 5 +4 1 -3 4
Walks 0 -16 16 +10 6 -7 13
Strikeouts 3 -68 71 +46 25 0 25
K% 17.6 -4.3 21.9 +2.5 19.4 +1.8 17.6
BB% 0.0 -4.9 4.9 +0.2 4.7 -4.5 9.2
HBP 0 -7 7 +5 2 +1 1
Batted Balls 14 -216 230 +134 96 -7 103
Number of Fastballs 42 -811 853 +494 359 -57 416
Number of Offspeed 10 -255 265 +174 91 -42 133
Number of Breaking 6 -84 90 +64 26 +16 10
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 140 .338 79 0 0.0 61 1 1.6
2024 Shades 129 .245 83 0 0.0 46 4 8.7
2025 Shades 323 .310 213 0 0.0 110 28 25.5
2026 Shades 20 .354 10 1 10.0 10 2 20.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 154 15.7 40.9% 0.6% 97 17.9 14.4% 1.0%
2024 130 15.9 36.2% 0.8% 79 16.8 16.5% 0.0%
2025 283 16.5 20.5% 0.4% 220 17.9 4.5% 1.4%
2026 9 14.5 77.8% 0.0% 6 16.8 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution