Lucas Gilbreath
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 1" 185LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 7, #206, Colorado Rockies | Minnesota
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 3 2 3.38 47 1 1 42.2 44 1.31
2022 2 0 4.19 47 0 0 43 49 1.47
2 Seasons 5 2 3.78 94 1 1 85.2 93 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 47 3-2 3.38 42.2 44 1.31
2022 47 2-0 4.19 43 49 1.47
2 Seasons 94 5-2 3.78 85.2 93 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 731 117 5 4.3 2.7 84.2 109.2 13.6 28.2 .196 .310 .285 .283 .306 23.1 23.8 12.4 3.38 3.35
2022 26 796 108 3 2.8 1.6 88.5 110.3 13.5 30.6 .236 .327 .313 .316 .356 40.7 26.2 13.9 4.19 4.17
Player 1527 225 8 3.6 2.2 86.3 110.3 13.5 29.3 .215 .318 .299 .300 .330 31.6 25.0 13.2
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Gilbreath relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(73.2%) ,
Slider
(25.6%) ,
Split Finger
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 45.3 29.1 18.8 6.8 32.5 39.3 28.2 6.8 35.0 27.4 22.2 4.3 4.3 2.7
2022 46.3 18.5 27.8 7.4 26.9 46.3 26.9 4.6 28.7 24.1 35.2 4.6 2.8 1.6
Player 45.8 24.0 23.1 7.1 29.8 42.7 27.6 5.8 32.0 25.8 28.4 4.4 3.6 2.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seam Fastball COL L 583 93.8 15.1 -0.1 -1 0.6 -6.9 -92
2022 Split-Finger COL L 9 85.0 28.8 -3.9 -12 6.4 -5.7 -47
2022 Slider COL L 204 82.7 42.7 3.4 9 3.8 -3.4 -47
2021 Slider COL L 258 81.8 42.6 2.3 6 7.2 0.0 1
2021 4-Seam Fastball COL L 461 93.3 16.1 -0.8 -5 0.2 -7.2 -97
2021 Split-Finger COL L 12 84.4 26.9 -7.7 -22 7.6 -3.6 -32
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -10 583 73.2 128 .284 .353 .366 26.8 17.2 16.1 .269 .355 .351 34.9
2022 Slider 0.1 0 204 25.6 59 .157 .255 .236 36.6 45.8 27.8 .168 .271 .246 60.0
2022 Split-Finger -4.7 0 9 1.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 5 461 63.1 129 .187 .290 .291 26.0 20.9 21.1 .199 .307 .294 21.0
2021 Slider 1.1 3 258 35.3 54 .220 .380 .293 36.8 31.5 21.0 .169 .298 .248 26.5
2021 Split-Finger -9.0 -1 12 1.6 2 1.000 1.000 .900 28.6 0.0 0.0 .689 .782 .638 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2022 4-Seam Fastball 581 93.8 89 15.4 11:45 12:00 -15
2022 Slider 199 82.7 35 6.9 4:15 4:45 -30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 460 93.3 85 14.6 11:45 12:00 -15
2021 Splitter 12 84.4 93 13.0 11:00 10:45 15
2021 Slider 256 81.7 39 9.1 4:30 4:00 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 185 731 6 13 -8 -4 6
2022 187 796 4 0 -9 -5 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 731 49.1 67.7 77.8 23.9 48.3 40.8 54.1 45.4 29.8 7.1 84.6
2022 796 45.5 64.9 75.3 24.7 59.8 39.1 59.4 43.0 29.2 7.3 72.4
Player 1,527 47.2 66.3 76.6 24.3 54.6 39.9 56.7 44.1 29.5 7.2 78.2
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 46 90 50
2022 48 84 38
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.0 5 3.4 2 1 5 0 0.0
2022 29.1 2 2.2 0 2 0 2 100.0
Player 25.7 7 5.6 1 3 5 2 28.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 5 4 3 4 4 2 5 4 1 1 1 3 5 4 4 6 3 4 5 4 4 2 5 4 3 2 5 5 4 1 1
2022 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
Player 7 6 5 6 6 4 7 6 3 3 3 6 7 6 6 8 5 6 7 6 7 5 7 7 5 4 7 8 6 3 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.3 93.8 0.5
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 85.0 0.6
Breaking Velocity 81.8 82.7 0.9
Exit Velocity 84.2 88.5 4.3
Launch Angle 13.6 13.5 -0.1
Barrel % 4.3 2.8 -1.5
Hard Hit % 23.1 40.7 17.6
Sweet Spot % 28.2 30.6 2.4
xBA .196 .236 0.040
BA .208 .242 0.034
xwOBA .283 .316 0.033
wOBA .285 .313 0.028
xSLG .310 .327 0.017
SLG .327 .320 -0.007
K% 23.8 26.2 2.4
BB% 12.4 13.9 1.5
Swing % 45.4 43.0 -2.4
Whiff% 29.8 29.2 -0.6
In Zone % 49.1 45.5 -3.6
Out of Zone % 50.9 54.5 3.6
Out of Zone Swing % 23.9 24.7 0.8
First Pitch Swing % 27.0 26.7 -0.3
First Pitch Strike % 54.1 59.4 5.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 185 .285 90 12 13.3 95 24 25.3
2022 Shifts 187 .313 113 12 10.6 74 18 24.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 182 18.3 7.7% 4.4% 156 22.5 0.6% 7.1%
2022 202 18.4 5.9% 2.0% 182 23.0 0.0% 8.8%
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Pitch Distribution


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