Lucas Gilbreath
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 1" 185LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 7, #206, Colorado Rockies | Minnesota
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 3 2 3.38 47 1 1 42.2 44 1.31
2022 2 0 4.19 47 0 0 43 49 1.47
2024 0 0 54.00 3 0 0 1 0 8.00
3 Seasons 5 2 4.36 97 1 1 86.2 93 1.47
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 47 3-2 3.38 42.2 44 1.31
2022 47 2-0 4.19 43 49 1.47
2024 3 0-0 54.00 1 0 8.00
3 Seasons 97 5-2 4.36 86.2 93 1.47
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 731 117 5 4.3 2.7 84.2 109.2 13.6 28.2 .196 .309 .285 .283 .305 23.1 23.8 12.4 3.38 3.35
2022 26 796 108 3 2.8 1.6 88.5 110.3 13.5 30.6 .236 .327 .313 .316 .356 40.7 26.2 13.9 4.19 4.17
2024 28 47 10 0 0.0 0.0 86.2 103.5 8.9 20.0 .365 .473 .791 .421 .364 50.0 0.0 8.3 54.00 8.28
Player 1574 235 8 3.4 2.1 86.3 110.3 13.3 28.9 .220 .323 .314 .303 .331 32.3 24.2 13.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Gilbreath relies on 2 pitches.
Four Seamer
(66.0%) ,
Slider
(34.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 45.3 29.1 18.8 6.8 32.5 39.3 28.2 6.8 35.0 27.4 22.2 4.3 4.3 2.7
2022 46.3 18.5 27.8 7.4 26.9 46.3 26.9 4.6 28.7 24.1 35.2 4.6 2.8 1.6
2024 50.0 20.0 20.0 10.0 50.0 10.0 40.0 10.0 20.0 20.0 40.0 10.0 0.0 0.0
Player 46.0 23.8 23.0 7.2 30.6 41.3 28.1 6.0 31.5 25.5 28.9 4.7 3.4 2.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball COL L 31 92.2 17.4 -1.3 3.1ARM -4.3 14.6 -1.0 3.1ARM -5.1
2024 Slider COL L 16 81.7 44.7 4.6 2.4GLV -5.4 -4.1 5.6 2.4GLV -2.7
2022 Slider COL L 204 82.7 42.7 3.4 3.8GLV -3.2 -2.9 4.8 3.8GLV -1.1
2022 Split-Finger COL L 9 85.0 28.8 -3.9 6.4ARM -5.6 9.1 -5.0 6.4ARM -2.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball COL L 583 93.8 15.1 -0.1 0.6ARM -6.9 15.8 -0.2 0.6ARM -7.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -18.1 -6 31 66.0 8 .833 1.500 .919 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .553 .482 83.3
2024 Slider -3.0 0 16 34.0 4 .500 .750 .538 0.0 0.0 0.0 .320 .353 .297 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -10 583 73.2 128 .284 .353 .366 26.8 17.2 16.1 .269 .355 .351 34.9
2022 Slider 0.1 0 204 25.6 59 .157 .255 .236 36.6 45.8 27.8 .168 .271 .246 60.0
2022 Split-Finger -4.7 0 9 1.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 4-Seam Fastball 31 92.2 86 14.3 11:15 11:30 -15
2024 Slider 16 81.7 38 6.5 4:30 5:15 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 581 93.8 89 15.4 11:45 12:00 -15
2022 Slider 199 82.7 35 6.9 4:15 4:45 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 185 731 6 13 -8 -4 6
2022 187 796 4 0 -9 -5 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 731 49.1 67.7 77.8 23.9 48.3 40.8 54.1 45.4 29.8 7.1 84.6
2022 796 45.5 64.9 75.3 24.7 59.8 39.1 59.4 43.0 29.2 7.3 72.4
2024 47 53.2 60.0 100.0 13.6 100.0 38.3 66.7 38.3 0.0 12.8 83.3
Player 1,574 47.4 66.1 77.3 24.0 55.3 39.8 57.0 44.0 28.8 7.4 78.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 45 90 50
2022 48 84 38
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.0 5 3.4 2 1 5 0 0.0
2022 29.1 2 2.2 0 2 0 2 100.0
2024 23.1 1 0.0 1 1 0 0 0.0
Player 25.3 8 5.6 2 4 5 2 25.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 5 4 3 4 4 2 5 4 1 1 1 3 5 4 4 6 3 4 5 4 4 2 5 4 3 2 5 5 4 1 1
2022 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
2024 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 8 6 5 7 6 4 7 6 3 3 3 6 7 6 6 8 5 6 7 6 7 5 7 7 5 4 7 8 6 3 3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.3 93.8 0.5
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 85.0 0.6
Breaking Velocity 81.8 82.7 0.9
Exit Velocity 84.2 88.5 4.3
Launch Angle 13.6 13.5 -0.1
Barrel % 4.3 2.8 -1.5
Hard Hit % 23.1 40.7 17.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 28.2 30.6 2.4
xBA .196 .236 0.040
BA .208 .242 0.034
xwOBA .283 .316 0.033
wOBA .285 .313 0.028
xSLG .309 .327 0.018
SLG .327 .320 -0.007
K% 23.8 26.2 2.4
BB% 12.4 13.9 1.5
Swing % 45.4 43.0 -2.4
Whiff% 29.8 29.2 -0.6
In Zone % 49.1 45.5 -3.6
Out of Zone % 50.9 54.5 3.6
Out of Zone Swing % 23.9 24.7 0.8
First Pitch Swing % 27.0 26.7 -0.3
First Pitch Strike % 54.1 59.4 5.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 185 .285 90 9 10.0 95 17 17.9
2022 Shifts 187 .313 113 11 9.7 74 14 18.9
2024 Shades 12 .791 5 0 0.0 7 1 14.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 182 18.3 7.7% 4.4% 156 22.5 0.6% 7.1%
2022 202 18.4 5.9% 2.0% 182 23.0 0.0% 8.8%
2024 4 14.5 50.0% 0.0% 18 18.0 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution