P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 225 lbs | Age: 32
Draft: 2015 | Rd. 6, No. 168, Texas Rangers | Vanderbilt
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 4 2 3.68 48 0 2 51.1 62 1.09
2025 4 2 4.66 56 0 2 58 54 1.33
2026 0 0 27.00 1 0 0 1.1 1 3.00
3 Seasons 8 4 4.47 105 0 4 110.2 117 1.24
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 48 4-2 3.68 51.1 62 1.09
2025 56 4-2 4.66 58 54 1.33
2026 1 0-0 27.00 1.1 1 3.00
3 Seasons 105 8-4 4.47 110.2 117 1.24
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 30 819 119 10 8.4 4.8 88.2 116.3 17.3 31.9 .209 .374 .262 .301 .380 38.7 30.0 11.6 3.68 3.67
2025 31 990 154 10 6.5 4.1 87.5 112.6 19.3 33.1 .209 .341 .296 .301 .314 31.8 22.0 13.8 4.66 3.74
2026 32 26 7 4 57.1 50.0 97.6 107.2 15.6 42.9 .371 1.189 .793 .641 .733 71.4 12.5 0.0 27.00 30.01
Player 1835 280 24 8.6 5.2 88.1 116.3 18.4 32.9 .212 .373 .289 .307 .353 35.7 25.4 12.6
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.5%) ,
Sweeper
(30.8%) ,
Sinker
(15.4%) ,
Changeup
(11.5%) ,
Cutter
(3.8%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.8 62.2 31.1 21.8 9.2 40.3 31.9 27.7 19.3 16.0 2.5 21.0 16.0 25.2
2025 38.3 61.7 33.1 20.8 7.8 41.6 36.4 22.1 21.4 13.0 3.9 20.1 23.4 18.2
2026 28.6 71.4 57.1 14.3 0.0 28.6 71.4 0.0 0.0 28.6 0.0 28.6 42.9 0.0
Player 37.9 62.1 32.9 21.1 8.2 40.7 35.4 23.9 20.0 14.6 3.2 20.7 20.7 20.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.4 30.3 32.8 20.2 5.0 8.4 4.8
2025 7.8 25.3 33.8 19.5 7.1 6.5 4.1
2026 0.0 28.6 0.0 0.0 14.3 57.1 50.0
Player 5.7 27.5 32.5 19.3 6.4 8.6 5.2
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Cutter ATH R 1 89.2 32.5 -6.2 0.1GLV -2.2 2.1 -6.2 0.1GLV -2.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 10 95.0 17.0 -2.9 8.6ARM 1.0 13.5 -2.6 8.6ARM 0.9
2026 Sinker ATH R 4 95.0 25.6 4.0 15.8ARM 0.4 5.0 2.7 15.8ARM 0.3
2026 Changeup ATH R 3 86.6 37.7 5.4 13.9ARM -0.6 -1.1 5.1 13.9ARM -0.8
2026 Sweeper ATH R 8 83.8 41.3 2.7 12.6GLV -1.0 -2.0 3.2 12.6GLV -1.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 381 94.7 16.2 -1.7 8.5ARM 1.2 14.4 -1.4 8.5ARM 0.9
2025 Sinker ATH R 147 94.2 25.7 3.2 16.2ARM 1.1 5.4 2.0 16.2ARM 1.1
2025 Changeup ATH R 40 86.3 35.1 3.1 15.9ARM 1.6 1.9 2.2 15.9ARM 1.4
2025 Cutter ATH R 108 89.9 27.6 -2.0 1.6GLV -0.4 6.2 -2.2 1.6GLV -0.6
2025 Sweeper ATH R 314 83.7 38.2 -0.9 11.1GLV -2.3 1.2 -0.3 11.1GLV -2.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -27.1 -3 10 38.5 2 1.000 4.000 2.000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .762 2.973 1.521 100.0
2026 Sweeper -15.0 -1 8 30.8 3 .667 1.000 .717 0.0 0.0 0.0 .343 .717 .443 66.7
2026 Sinker 13.4 1 4 15.4 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 100.0 .024 .025 .021 0.0
2026 Changeup 6.2 0 3 11.5 1 .000 .000 .000 50.0 0.0 -- .371 1.364 .717 100.0
2026 Cutter -10.9 0 1 3.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 0 381 38.5 123 .219 .406 .340 22.9 21.1 20.3 .207 .396 .332 33.8
2025 Sweeper 0.4 1 314 31.7 61 .259 .328 .256 28.8 24.6 16.7 .220 .332 .248 22.2
2025 Sinker 0.9 1 147 14.8 37 .138 .172 .271 25.8 21.6 22.9 .175 .219 .275 36.4
2025 Cutter 1.5 2 108 10.9 21 .188 .188 .295 25.0 19.0 19.0 .238 .280 .338 50.0
2025 Changeup -0.6 0 40 4.0 2 .000 .000 .000 60.0 50.0 5.6 .204 .210 .183 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 10 95.0 83 15.6 1:30 1:15 15
2025 Changeup 35 86.4 93 17.3 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Cutter 108 89.9 32 5.8 12:45 11:15 90
2025 4-Seam Fastball 381 94.7 84 16.4 1:30 1:00 30
2025 Sinker 146 94.2 83 17.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Sweeper 314 83.7 36 11.9 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ Show More Seasons
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
+ View Complete Arm Angle Leaderboard

Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 205 819 10 7 -5 -4 6
2025 244 990 11 8 -10 -6 3
2026 8 26 -1 -2 0 0 -3
Player 457 1,835 20 12 -15 20 7
+ View Complete Pitching Run Value Leaderboard
+ Show Leverage-Based Run Value

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 819 52.4 65.5 77.6 28.5 62.2 42.5 62.9 47.9 26.8 7.7 74.6
2025 990 47.0 67.5 79.3 28.2 62.8 39.6 64.3 46.7 26.0 7.8 79.2
2026 26 53.8 50.0 85.7 50.0 66.7 46.2 87.5 50.0 23.1 3.8 0.0
Player 1,835 49.5 66.3 78.6 28.6 62.6 41.0 64.1 47.2 26.3 7.7 76.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2024 69 72 53 67 62 76 55 68 48 61 91 10 35 50 23 17
2025 50 56 57 51 61 53 43 89 45 55 45 1 80 97 29 27
2026
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 24.52 4 5.0 -1 5 2 3 75.0
2025 24.84 4 4.5 -1 2 2 3 75.0
2026 32.98 2 1.2 1 1 0 1 50.0
Player 26.34 10 10.7 -1 8 4 7 70.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 4 5 4 6 4 4 6 4 5 4 4 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 7 5 4 8 7 5 5 3 5 5 5 5
2025 4 5 4 4 4 5 5 3 4 3 5 6 4 5 4 4 4 3 5 6 3 5 5 5 4 3 5 6 6 5 4
2026 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 2
Player 10 12 9 11 9 10 12 8 10 8 10 14 10 11 10 9 10 9 10 15 9 10 14 14 10 9 9 13 13 11 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .500 +.286 .214 +.036 .178
xBA .371 +.162 .209 .000 .209
OBP .500 +.168 .332 +.050 .282
xOBP .371 +.041 .330 +.021 .309
SLG 1.375 +1.047 .328 +.022 .306
xSLG 1.189 +.848 .341 -.033 .374
ISO .875 +.761 .114 -.014 .128
xISO .817 +.685 .132 -.033 .165
BABIP .400 +.136 .264 +.018 .246
wOBA .793 +.497 .296 +.034 .262
xwOBA .641 +.340 .301 .000 .301
wOBAcon .907 +.601 .306 -.007 .313
xwOBAcon .733 +.419 .314 -.066 .380
BACON .571 +.288 .283 +.012 .271
xBACON .424 +.145 .279 -.040 .319
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 71.4 +39.6 31.8 -6.9 38.7
Avg Exit Velocity 97.6 +10.1 87.5 -0.7 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 42.9 +9.8 33.1 +1.2 31.9
Barrel % 57.1 +50.6 6.5 -1.9 8.4
Avg Launch Angle 15.6 -3.7 19.3 +2.0 17.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 73.0 +1.7 71.3 0.0 71.3
Attack Angle 10° 10° +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 81.8 +30.2 51.6 -3.1 54.7
Attack Direction +8° -2° -4°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 33° 33°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 +0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.6 +0.8 93.8 -1.0 94.8
Breaking Velocity 83.8 +0.1 83.7 -0.8 84.5
Offspeed Velocity 86.6 +0.3 86.3 -2.0 88.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 -6 10 0 10
Popup % 0.0 -7.8 7.8 -1.4 9.2
Flyball % 57.1 +24.0 33.1 +2.0 31.1
Line Drive % 14.3 -6.5 20.8 -1.0 21.8
Groundball % 28.6 -9.7 38.3 +0.5 37.8
Pull % 28.6 -13.0 41.6 +1.3 40.3
Straight Away % 71.4 +35.0 36.4 +4.5 31.9
Opposite Field % 0.0 -22.1 22.1 -5.6 27.7
Weak Contact % 0.0 -7.8 7.8 +4.4 3.4
Pull Airball % 28.6 +8.5 20.1 -0.9 21.0
Topped Contact % 28.6 +3.3 25.3 -5.0 30.3
Under Contact % 0.0 -33.8 33.8 +1.0 32.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 0.0 -19.5 19.5 -0.7 20.2
Solid Contact % 14.3 +7.2 7.1 +2.1 5.0
HR/FB % 50.0 +42.2 7.8 -3.0 10.8
Popups 0 -12 12 +1 11
Flyballs 4 -47 51 +14 37
Line Drives 1 -31 32 +6 26
Groundballs 2 -57 59 +14 45
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 53.8 +6.8 47.0 -5.4 52.4
Out of Zone % 46.2 -6.8 53.0 +5.4 47.6
Edge % 46.2 +6.6 39.6 -2.9 42.5
Zone Swing % 50.0 -17.5 67.5 +2.0 65.5
Out of Zone Swing % 50.0 +21.8 28.2 -0.3 28.5
In Zone Contact % 85.7 +6.4 79.3 +1.7 77.6
Out of Zone Contact % 66.7 +3.9 62.8 +0.6 62.2
Whiff % 23.1 -2.9 26.0 -0.8 26.8
First Strike % 87.5 +23.2 64.3 +1.4 62.9
First Pitch Swing % 37.5 +4.7 32.8 +3.5 29.3
Swing % 50.0 +3.3 46.7 -1.2 47.9
Meatball Swing % 0.0 -79.2 79.2 +4.6 74.6
Meatball % 3.8 -4.0 7.8 +0.1 7.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.3 -6.4 20.7 -1.7 22.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 33.3 -3.9 37.2 -0.6 37.8
In Zone 14 -451 465 +36 429
Out of Zone 12 -513 525 +135 390
Edge 12 -380 392 +44 348
In Zone Swings 7 -307 314 +33 281
Out of Zone Swings 6 -142 148 +37 111
In Zone Swing & Misses 1 -64 65 +2 63
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 2 -53 55 +13 42
Basic
Pitches 26 -964 990 +171 819
PA 8 -238 246 +39 207
AB 8 -193 201 +21 180
Hits 4 -39 43 +11 32
Singles 1 -30 31 +12 19
Doubles 1 -4 5 -2 7
Triples 0 -3 3 +1 2
Home Runs 2 -2 4 0 4
Walks 0 -34 34 +10 24
Strikeouts 1 -53 54 -8 62
K% 12.5 -9.5 22.0 -8.0 30.0
BB% 0.0 -13.8 13.8 +2.2 11.6
HBP 0 -4 4 +2 2
Batted Balls 7 -147 154 +35 119
Number of Fastballs 15 -621 636 +33 603
Number of Offspeed 3 -37 40 +22 18
Number of Breaking 8 -306 314 +116 198
+ Toggle Viewing All Player's Year to Year Stats

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 205 .262 118 2 1.7 87 45 51.7
2025 Shades 244 .296 171 1 0.6 73 42 57.5
2026 Shades 8 .793 3 0 0.0 5 3 60.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 221 15.7 33.5% 0.5% 136 17.8 5.1% 1.5%
2025 219 16.2 27.4% 0.5% 193 18.2 2.6% 0.0%
2026 5 14.6 80.0% 0.0% 5 17.1 0.0% 0.0%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution