P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 225 lbs | Age: 32
Draft: 2015 | Rd. 6, No. 168, Texas Rangers | Vanderbilt
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 4 2 3.68 48 0 2 51.1 62 1.09
2025 4 2 4.66 56 0 2 58 54 1.33
2026 0 1 6.94 12 0 0 11.2 15 0.94
3 Seasons 8 5 4.46 116 0 4 121 131 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 48 4-2 3.68 51.1 62 1.09
2025 56 4-2 4.66 58 54 1.33
2026 12 0-1 6.94 11.2 15 0.94
3 Seasons 116 8-5 4.46 121 131 1.19
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 30 819 119 10 8.4 4.8 88.2 116.3 17.3 31.9 .209 .374 .262 .301 .380 38.7 30.0 11.6 3.68 3.67
2025 31 990 154 10 6.5 4.1 87.5 112.6 19.3 33.1 .209 .341 .296 .301 .315 31.8 22.0 13.8 4.66 3.74
2026 32 173 31 7 22.6 14.3 91.5 109.2 16.3 35.5 .239 .541 .377 .351 .485 51.6 30.6 0.0 6.94 5.31
Player 1982 304 27 8.9 5.4 88.2 116.3 18.2 32.9 .212 .376 .290 .306 .358 36.5 26.1 11.6
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(46.2%) ,
Sweeper
(22.5%) ,
Sinker
(9.8%) ,
Cutter
(9.2%) ,
Slider
(7.5%) ,
Changeup
(4.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 37.8 62.2 31.1 21.8 9.2 40.3 31.9 27.7 19.3 16.0 2.5 21.0 16.0 25.2
2025 38.3 61.7 33.1 20.8 7.8 41.6 36.4 22.1 21.4 13.0 3.9 20.1 23.4 18.2
2026 38.7 61.3 48.4 9.7 3.2 45.2 41.9 12.9 22.6 16.1 0.0 22.6 25.8 12.9
Player 38.2 61.8 33.9 20.1 7.9 41.4 35.2 23.4 20.7 14.5 3.0 20.7 20.7 20.4
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 3.4 30.3 32.8 20.2 5.0 8.4 4.8
2025 7.8 25.3 33.8 19.5 7.1 6.5 4.1
2026 0.0 25.8 25.8 19.4 6.5 22.6 14.3
Player 5.3 27.3 32.6 19.7 6.3 8.9 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Changeup CHC R 8 86.4 36.3 4.2 13.8ARM -0.2 0.4 3.5 13.8ARM -0.5
2026 Slider CHC R 13 83.1 43.8 5.0 8.1GLV 3.7 -4.3 5.7 8.1GLV 4.4
2026 Sweeper CHC R 39 83.8 37.3 -0.9 14.3GLV 0.8 1.7 -0.7 14.3GLV 0.6
2026 Sinker CHC R 17 95.5 23.5 2.0 15.4ARM 0.2 6.5 1.1 15.4ARM 0.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 80 95.5 16.6 -2.4 6.9ARM -0.7 13.3 -2.4 6.9ARM -0.9
2026 Cutter CHC R 16 87.3 35.3 -7.0 4.3GLV 1.6 0.3 -7.8 4.3GLV 2.0
2025 Cutter ATH R 111 89.8 27.7 -2.1 1.6GLV -0.4 6.2 -2.2 1.6GLV -0.6
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 380 94.8 16.2 -1.6 8.5ARM 1.2 14.5 -1.3 8.5ARM 0.9
2025 Sweeper ATH R 312 83.7 38.2 -0.9 11.1GLV -2.2 1.2 -0.3 11.1GLV -2.8
2025 Changeup ATH R 40 86.3 35.1 3.1 15.9ARM 1.6 1.9 2.2 15.9ARM 1.4
2025 Sinker ATH R 147 94.2 25.7 3.2 16.2ARM 1.1 5.4 2.0 16.2ARM 1.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -3.3 -3 80 46.2 20 .300 .950 .508 26.2 35.0 26.9 .262 .687 .394 69.2
2026 Sweeper 0.0 0 39 22.5 12 .182 .455 .300 50.0 58.3 38.9 .174 .448 .296 25.0
2026 Sinker 0.7 0 17 9.8 7 .200 .200 .329 11.1 14.3 25.0 .223 .262 .352 0.0
2026 Cutter 3.2 1 16 9.2 4 .250 .250 .225 11.1 0.0 0.0 .211 .234 .196 50.0
2026 Slider -3.9 -1 13 7.5 3 .333 .667 .417 0.0 0.0 0.0 .261 .614 .363 66.7
2026 Changeup 9.0 1 8 4.6 3 .000 .000 .000 33.3 0.0 0.0 .363 .710 .458 66.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 0 380 38.4 123 .219 .406 .340 22.9 21.1 20.3 .208 .396 .332 33.8
2025 Sweeper 0.4 1 312 31.5 61 .259 .328 .256 28.8 24.6 16.7 .220 .332 .248 22.2
2025 Sinker 0.9 1 147 14.8 37 .138 .172 .271 25.8 21.6 22.9 .175 .219 .275 36.4
2025 Cutter 1.4 2 111 11.2 21 .188 .188 .295 25.0 19.0 19.0 .238 .280 .338 50.0
2025 Changeup -0.6 0 40 4.0 2 .000 .000 .000 60.0 50.0 5.6 .204 .210 .183 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 16 87.3 31 5.2 10:00 8:45 75
2026 4-Seam Fastball 80 95.5 83 14.6 1:15 1:00 15
2026 Sinker 17 95.5 83 17.1 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Slider 13 83.1 57 10.6 8:15 7:45 30
2026 Sweeper 39 83.8 50 15.2 8:15 9:00 -45
2025 Changeup 35 86.4 93 17.3 2:00 3:00 -60
2025 Cutter 111 89.8 32 5.8 12:45 11:15 90
2025 4-Seam Fastball 380 94.8 84 16.4 1:30 1:00 30
2025 Sinker 146 94.2 83 17.7 1:45 2:30 -45
2025 Sweeper 312 83.7 36 12.0 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 205 819 10 7 -5 -4 6
2025 244 990 11 8 -10 -6 3
2026 49 173 0 -1 0 -1 -2
Player 498 1,982 20 14 -15 20 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 819 52.4 65.5 77.6 28.5 62.2 42.5 62.9 47.9 26.8 7.7 74.6
2025 990 47.0 67.5 79.3 28.2 62.8 39.6 64.3 46.7 26.0 7.8 79.2
2026 173 50.9 64.8 78.9 35.3 60.0 44.5 63.3 50.3 27.6 6.9 58.3
Player 1,982 49.5 66.4 78.5 28.9 62.3 41.2 63.7 47.5 26.5 7.7 75.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2024 69 72 53 66 62 76 55 68 48 61 91 10 35 50 23 17
2025 50 55 57 51 61 53 43 89 45 55 45 1 80 97 29 27
2026 68 61 32
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 24.52 4 5.0 -1 5 2 3 75.0
2025 24.84 4 4.5 -1 2 2 3 75.0
2026 27.59 5 4.0 1 0 2 3 60.0
Player 25.80 13 13.5 -1 7 6 9 69.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2024 4 5 4 6 4 4 6 4 5 4 4 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 7 5 4 8 7 5 5 3 5 5 5 5
2025 4 5 4 4 4 5 5 3 4 3 5 6 4 5 4 4 4 3 5 6 3 5 5 5 4 3 5 6 6 5 4
2026 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 4 5 3 3 4 5 5 4 5
Player 13 15 12 13 12 13 15 10 13 11 13 17 12 15 13 12 13 11 13 18 11 13 17 17 12 11 12 16 16 14 14
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024
Results
BA .239 +.025 ↑ .214 +.036 ↑ .178
xBA .239 +.030 ↑ .209 .000 .209
OBP .286 -.046 ↓ .332 +.050 ↑ .282
xOBP .285 -.045 ↓ .330 +.021 ↑ .309
SLG .609 +.281 ↑ .328 +.022 ↑ .306
xSLG .541 +.200 ↑ .341 -.033 ↓ .374
ISO .370 +.256 ↑ .114 -.014 ↓ .128
xISO .302 +.170 ↑ .132 -.033 ↓ .165
BABIP .231 -.033 ↓ .264 +.018 ↑ .246
wOBA .377 +.081 ↑ .296 +.034 ↑ .262
xwOBA .351 +.050 ↑ .301 .000 .301
wOBAcon .525 +.219 ↑ .306 -.007 ↓ .313
xwOBAcon .485 +.170 ↑ .315 -.065 ↓ .380
BACON .355 +.072 ↑ .283 +.012 ↑ .271
xBACON .354 +.075 ↑ .279 -.039 ↓ .318
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 51.6 +19.8 ↑ 31.8 -6.9 ↓ 38.7
Avg Exit Velocity 91.5 +4.0 ↑ 87.5 -0.7 ↓ 88.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.5 +2.4 ↑ 33.1 +1.2 ↑ 31.9
Barrel % 22.6 +16.1 ↑ 6.5 -1.9 ↓ 8.4
Avg Launch Angle 16.3 -3.0 ↓ 19.3 +2.0 ↑ 17.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 73.0 +1.7 ↑ 71.3 0.0 71.3
Attack Angle 10° 0° ↑ 10° +2° ↑ 8°
Ideal Attack Angle % 65.8 +14.2 ↑ 51.6 -3.1 ↓ 54.7
Attack Direction -1° +1° ↑ -2° -4° ↓ 2°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° -1° ↓ 33° 0° ↑ 33°
Swing Length 7.4 +0.1 ↑ 7.3 +0.1 ↑ 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.3 +0.5 ↑ 93.8 -1.0 ↓ 94.8
Breaking Velocity 83.6 -0.1 ↓ 83.7 -0.9 ↓ 84.6
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 +0.1 ↑ 86.3 -2.0 ↓ 88.3
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -3 ↓ 10 0 10
Popup % 3.2 -4.6 ↓ 7.8 -1.4 ↓ 9.2
Flyball % 48.4 +15.3 ↑ 33.1 +2.0 ↑ 31.1
Line Drive % 9.7 -11.1 ↓ 20.8 -1.0 ↓ 21.8
Groundball % 38.7 +0.4 ↑ 38.3 +0.5 ↑ 37.8
Pull % 45.2 +3.6 ↑ 41.6 +1.3 ↑ 40.3
Straight Away % 41.9 +5.5 ↑ 36.4 +4.5 ↑ 31.9
Opposite Field % 12.9 -9.2 ↓ 22.1 -5.6 ↓ 27.7
Weak Contact % 0.0 -7.8 ↓ 7.8 +4.4 ↑ 3.4
Pull Airball % 22.6 +2.5 ↑ 20.1 -0.9 ↓ 21.0
Topped Contact % 25.8 +0.5 ↑ 25.3 -5.0 ↓ 30.3
Under Contact % 25.8 -8.0 ↓ 33.8 +1.0 ↑ 32.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 19.4 -0.1 ↓ 19.5 -0.7 ↓ 20.2
Solid Contact % 6.5 -0.6 ↓ 7.1 +2.1 ↑ 5.0
HR/FB % 33.3 +25.5 ↑ 7.8 -3.0 ↓ 10.8
Popups 1 -11 ↓ 12 +1 ↑ 11
Flyballs 15 -36 ↓ 51 +14 ↑ 37
Line Drives 3 -29 ↓ 32 +6 ↑ 26
Groundballs 12 -47 ↓ 59 +14 ↑ 45
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.9 +3.9 ↑ 47.0 -5.4 ↓ 52.4
Out of Zone % 49.1 -3.9 ↓ 53.0 +5.4 ↑ 47.6
Edge % 44.5 +4.9 ↑ 39.6 -2.9 ↓ 42.5
Zone Swing % 64.8 -2.7 ↓ 67.5 +2.0 ↑ 65.5
Out of Zone Swing % 35.3 +7.1 ↑ 28.2 -0.3 ↓ 28.5
In Zone Contact % 78.9 -0.4 ↓ 79.3 +1.7 ↑ 77.6
Out of Zone Contact % 60.0 -2.8 ↓ 62.8 +0.6 ↑ 62.2
Whiff % 27.6 +1.6 ↑ 26.0 -0.8 ↓ 26.8
First Strike % 63.3 -1.0 ↓ 64.3 +1.4 ↑ 62.9
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 -4.2 ↓ 32.8 +3.5 ↑ 29.3
Swing % 50.3 +3.6 ↑ 46.7 -1.2 ↓ 47.9
Meatball Swing % 58.3 -20.9 ↓ 79.2 +4.6 ↑ 74.6
Meatball % 6.9 -0.9 ↓ 7.8 +0.1 ↑ 7.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 21.1 +0.4 ↑ 20.7 -1.7 ↓ 22.4
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 40.0 +2.8 ↑ 37.2 -0.6 ↓ 37.8
In Zone 88 -377 ↓ 465 +36 ↑ 429
Out of Zone 85 -440 ↓ 525 +135 ↑ 390
Edge 77 -315 ↓ 392 +44 ↑ 348
In Zone Swings 57 -257 ↓ 314 +33 ↑ 281
Out of Zone Swings 30 -118 ↓ 148 +37 ↑ 111
In Zone Swing & Misses 12 -53 ↓ 65 +2 ↑ 63
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 12 -43 ↓ 55 +13 ↑ 42
Basic
Pitches 173 -817 ↓ 990 +171 ↑ 819
PA 49 -197 ↓ 246 +39 ↑ 207
AB 46 -155 ↓ 201 +21 ↑ 180
Hits 11 -32 ↓ 43 +11 ↑ 32
Singles 4 -27 ↓ 31 +12 ↑ 19
Doubles 2 -3 ↓ 5 -2 ↓ 7
Triples 0 -3 ↓ 3 +1 ↑ 2
Home Runs 5 +1 ↑ 4 0 4
Walks 0 -34 ↓ 34 +10 ↑ 24
Strikeouts 15 -39 ↓ 54 -8 ↓ 62
K% 30.6 +8.6 ↑ 22.0 -8.0 ↓ 30.0
BB% 0.0 -13.8 ↓ 13.8 +2.2 ↑ 11.6
HBP 3 -1 ↓ 4 +2 ↑ 2
Batted Balls 31 -123 ↓ 154 +35 ↑ 119
Fastball Percent 65.3 +0.9 ↑ 64.4 -9.1 ↓ 73.5
Offspeed Percent 4.6 +0.6 ↑ 4.0 +1.8 ↑ 2.2
Breaking Percent 30.1 -1.4 ↓ 31.5 +7.2 ↑ 24.3
Number of Fastballs 113 -525 ↓ 638 +36 ↑ 602
Number of Offspeed 8 -32 ↓ 40 +22 ↑ 18
Number of Breaking 52 -260 ↓ 312 +113 ↑ 199
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 205 .262 118 2 1.7 87 45 51.7
2025 Shades 244 .296 171 1 0.6 73 42 57.5
2026 Shades 49 .377 30 0 0.0 19 14 73.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 221 15.7 33.5% 0.5% 136 17.8 5.1% 1.5%
2025 219 16.2 27.4% 0.5% 193 18.2 2.6% 0.0%
2026 47 15.0 51.1% 6.4% 16 18.0 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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