Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 1 2 4.00 4 4 0 18.0 19 1.22
4 Seasons 13 23 4.12 59 59 0 286.0 321 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 4 1-2 4.00 18.0 19 1.22
4 Seasons 59 13-23 4.12 286.0 321 1.33

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 568 76 4 5.3 3.1 87.3 109.9 10.0 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .289 .356 39.5 30.0 10.0 6.11 3.50
2021 23 2169 341 17 5.0 3.1 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .223 .343 .270 .284 .357 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2022 24 1940 321 24 7.5 5.0 88.4 113.8 12.1 35.5 .263 .425 .354 .338 .395 37.4 22.2 9.4 5.47 4.84
2023 25 330 51 4 7.8 5.1 86.3 108.2 7.5 35.3 .217 .398 .294 .312 .359 33.3 24.1 7.6 4.00 3.96
Player 5007 789 49 6.2 4.0 87.9 116.9 11.8 34.7 .237 .378 .315 .307 .373 37.0 26.0 8.9
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43%) ,
Changeup
(25.5%) ,
Sinker
(18.8%) ,
Slider
(12.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.1 21.1 26.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3 3.1
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5.0 35.2 37.8 27.0 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5.0 3.1
2022 43.0 26.2 25.5 5.3 38.6 38.3 23.1 4.7 28.7 24.0 28.7 5.9 7.5 5.0
2023 52.9 25.5 19.6 2.0 49.0 37.3 13.7 9.8 37.3 21.6 17.6 5.9 7.8 5.1
Player 43.3 25.6 26.0 5.1 37.9 37.3 24.8 5.8 30.2 24.7 26.5 6.3 6.2 4.0
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.9 37.6 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider MIA L 42 82.6 37.9 -1.0 -3 3.3 -3.8 -54
2023 Changeup MIA L 84 85.7 37.1 5.4 17 14.5 -0.3 -2
2023 4-Seamer MIA L 142 93.2 16.9 -1.6 -10 11.1 4.1 59
2023 Sinker MIA L 62 92.6 25.5 2.8 12 18.5 3.2 21
2022 Sinker MIA L 4 94.9 25.8 4.3 20 19.0 3.6 23
2022 Changeup MIA L 566 85.7 35.6 4.0 13 14.6 0.1 0
2022 4-Seamer MIA L 1,022 94.6 16.7 -2.0 -14 12.6 5.0 65
2022 Slider MIA L 346 80.7 36.2 -4.5 -11 7.6 -1.6 -18
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15.0 -5.3 -26 17.3 2.5 17
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.7 -7 1.7 -5.2 -75
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 1,251 94.5 16.0 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 50
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 17 13.4 -0.5 -4
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38.0 5.3 16 15.0 1.7 13
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 82
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.4 17
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81.0 38.6 -3.1 -7 1.4 -6.0 -81
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.6 1 142 43.0 29 .217 .348 .338 26.1 24.1 17.5 .232 .542 .402 50.0
2023 Changeup 2.2 2 84 25.5 26 .320 .480 .394 37.8 23.1 19.4 .228 .420 .292 31.6
2023 Sinker -1.3 -1 62 18.8 16 .133 .133 .156 12.5 25.0 25.0 .208 .233 .225 27.3
2023 Slider -0.9 0 42 12.7 8 .143 .143 .200 25.0 25.0 9.1 .153 .195 .222 0.0
2022 4-Seamer 1.0 11 1,023 52.7 247 .312 .553 .409 22.8 21.9 18.6 .300 .535 .402 49.1
2022 Changeup 0.3 2 567 29.2 146 .246 .408 .336 26.2 15.1 12.9 .244 .343 .301 30.0
2022 Slider 0.9 3 346 17.8 83 .208 .325 .246 33.8 36.1 21.4 .189 .255 .218 14.3
2022 Sinker 14.4 1 4 0.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .451 .489 .413 100.0
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -16 1,251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .218 .362 .306 40.2
2021 Changeup -1.0 -6 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .213 .285 .230 32.8
2021 Slider 0.0 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18.0 16.1 .294 .451 .359 31.6
2021 Sinker -18.6 0 1 0.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
2020 Slider 2.2 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .247 .409 .294 28.6
2020 Changeup -1.0 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .200 .254 .217 42.1
2020 Sinker -0.7 0 33 5.8 5 .400 .400 .360 6.7 20.0 11.1 .396 .439 .370 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16.0 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4.0 1:00 1:15 -15
2021 Changeup 521 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,247 94.6 88 18.3 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 321 81.8 20 4.0 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Changeup 522 85.7 94 15.7 9:45 9:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,020 94.6 89 18.9 10:15 10:30 -15
2022 Slider 336 80.7 24 10.4 1:45 1:45 0
2023 Changeup 68 85.6 90 15.6 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 142 93.2 84 18.3 10:30 10:45 -15
2023 Sinker 62 92.6 85 20.2 10:30 9:30 60
2023 Slider 42 82.6 21 3.8 1:45 2:45 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 -1 3 3 5
2021 548 2,169 -8 -32 11 8 -21
2022 477 1,940 0 -2 10 8 16
2023 79 330 -3 1 2 1 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.8 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2,169 51.1 68.1 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.3 81.8
2022 1,940 49.7 69.6 78.1 28.6 63.4 45.6 61.4 49.0 25.7 7.0 72.1
2023 330 45.8 60.9 81.5 36.9 60.6 47.9 63.3 47.9 27.2 4.2 71.4
Player 5,007 50.0 67.6 76.9 30.0 57.5 45.3 59.8 48.8 28.5 7.0 76.6
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 72 72 77 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 81 60 85 87
2021 78 70 81 85 71 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 67 72 80 73
2022 13 15 20 26 13 34 44 52 55 45 28 53 41 68 90 74
2023 56 77 54 32 60 75 53 88 81 55 61 60 97 44 70 77
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.4 1 4 2 2 40.0
2021 23.5 6 8.2 -2 5 6 4 66.7
2022 24.2 15 14.0 1 4 10 7 46.7
2023 25.3 2 2.9 -1 0 2 2 100.0
Player 24.0 28 29.6 -2 13 20 15 53.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 5 6 7 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 6 4 4 4 5 6 4 5 5 4 5 7 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 2
2021 6 11 8 5 8 8 9 9 6 5 8 8 12 6 9 9 7 6 9 8 8 9 12 10 5 7 9 9 10 8 9
2022 15 10 14 14 15 15 16 12 12 11 14 16 14 13 15 17 12 12 14 13 16 13 19 14 9 10 17 18 15 14 15
2023 2 3 3 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 3 2 4 3 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 3 3 4 3 3
Player 28 29 31 28 31 31 32 27 24 21 28 32 34 26 31 34 29 24 31 29 31 31 41 32 20 22 33 34 33 29 29
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 94.6 0.1 93.0 -1.6
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 85.7 0.9 85.7 0.0
Breaking Velocity 81.0 81.8 0.8 80.7 -1.1 82.6 1.9
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 88.4 0.7 86.3 -2.1
Launch Angle 10.0 12.5 2.5 12.1 -0.4 7.5 -4.6
Barrel % 5.3 5.0 -0.3 7.5 2.5 7.8 0.3
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8 37.4 0.7 33.3 -4.1
Sweet Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6 35.5 0.6 35.3 -0.2
xBA .218 .223 0.005 .263 0.040 .217 -0.046
BA .283 .218 -0.065 .274 0.056 .229 -0.045
xwOBA .289 .284 -0.005 .338 0.054 .312 -0.026
wOBA .368 .270 -0.098 .354 0.084 .294 -0.060
xSLG .340 .343 0.003 .425 0.082 .398 -0.027
SLG .504 .318 -0.186 .468 0.150 .329 -0.139
K% 30.0 28.5 -1.5 22.2 -6.3 24.1 1.9
BB% 10.0 8.4 -1.6 9.4 1.0 7.6 -1.8
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6 49.0 -0.4 47.9 -1.1
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6 25.7 -5.0 27.2 1.5
In Zone % 49.5 51.1 1.6 49.7 -1.4 45.8 -3.9
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.9 -1.6 50.3 1.4 54.2 3.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6 28.6 -1.2 36.9 8.3
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2 32.7 6.3 27.8 -4.9
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9 61.4 4.5 63.3 1.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 528 .266 405 121 29.9 123 28 22.8
2022 477 .354 366 121 33.1 111 47 42.3
2023 79 .294 62 0 0.0 17 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo