Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 11 5.47 23 23 0 107.0 106 1.50
3 Seasons 12 21 4.13 55 55 0 268.0 302 1.34
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 23 4-11 5.47 107.0 106 1.50
3 Seasons 55 12-21 4.13 268.0 302 1.34

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 568 76 4 5.3 3.1 87.3 109.9 10.0 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .290 .357 39.5 30.0 10.0 6.11 3.53
2021 23 2169 341 17 5.0 3.1 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .223 .343 .270 .284 .357 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2022 24 1940 321 24 7.5 5.0 88.4 113.8 12.1 35.5 .263 .425 .354 .338 .395 37.4 22.2 9.4 5.47 4.84
Player 4677 738 45 6.1 3.9 88.0 116.9 12.1 34.7 .239 .377 .316 .307 .374 37.3 26.1 9.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.7%) ,
Changeup
(29.3%) ,
Slider
(17.8%) ,
Sinker
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.1 21.1 26.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3 3.1
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5.0 35.2 37.8 27.0 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5.0 3.1
2022 43.0 26.2 25.5 5.3 38.6 38.3 23.1 4.7 28.7 24.0 28.7 5.9 7.5 5.0
Player 42.7 25.6 26.4 5.3 37.1 37.3 25.6 5.6 29.7 24.9 27.1 6.4 6.1 3.9
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Sinker MIA L 4 94.9 25.8 4.4 20 19.0 3.7 24
2022 4-Seamer MIA L 1,022 94.6 16.7 -2.0 -14 12.6 5.0 66
2022 Slider MIA L 345 80.7 36.3 -4.7 -12 7.6 -3.9 -34
2022 Changeup MIA L 567 85.7 35.6 4.0 13 14.6 0.2 1
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.8 -7 1.7 -6.6 -79
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15.0 -5.3 -26 17.3 2.5 17
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 1,251 94.5 16.0 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 50
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 17 13.4 -0.5 -4
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.4 17
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81.0 38.6 -3.1 -7 1.4 -7.3 -84
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38.0 5.3 16 15.0 1.7 13
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 82
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 1.0 11 1,023 52.7 247 .312 .553 .409 22.8 21.9 18.6 .300 .535 .402 49.1
2022 Changeup 0.3 2 568 29.3 146 .246 .408 .336 26.1 15.1 12.9 .244 .343 .301 30.0
2022 Slider 0.9 3 345 17.8 83 .208 .325 .246 34.0 36.1 21.4 .189 .255 .218 14.3
2022 Sinker 14.4 1 4 0.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 0.0 .451 .489 .413 100.0
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -16 1,251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .218 .362 .306 40.2
2021 Changeup -1.0 -6 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .213 .285 .230 32.8
2021 Slider 0.0 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18.0 16.1 .294 .452 .359 31.6
2021 Sinker -18.6 0 1 0.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
2020 Slider 2.2 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .248 .410 .295 28.6
2020 Changeup -1.0 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .200 .254 .217 42.1
2020 Sinker -0.7 0 33 5.8 5 .400 .400 .360 6.7 20.0 11.1 .396 .439 .370 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 -1 3 3 5
2021 548 2,169 -8 -32 11 8 -21
2022 477 1,940 0 -2 10 8 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.8 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2,169 51.2 68.0 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.4 80.7
2022 1,940 49.7 69.6 78.1 28.6 63.4 45.6 61.4 49.0 25.7 7.0 72.1
Player 4,677 50.4 68.0 76.7 29.5 57.2 45.1 59.6 48.9 28.6 7.2 76.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 71 72 77 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 81 60 85 87
2021 78 70 81 85 71 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 68 72 80 73
2022 13 16 20 27 13 34 44 52 55 45 28 53 41 68 90 74
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.2 1 4 1 3 60.0
2021 23.5 6 8.8 -3 6 5 4 66.7
2022 24.2 15 13.9 1 6 11 6 40.0
Player 23.9 26 26.9 -1 16 17 13 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 4 6 4 4 4 0 4 5 5 7 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 5
2021 6 12 9 7 9 9 9 9 9 11 6 9 6 6 9 9 9 11 11 9 10 7 6 9 8 9 9 7 10 6 13
2022 15 14 19 13 15 16 15 9 15 16 12 12 10 11 13 16 18 15 15 15 17 13 11 13 16 14 14 10 13 9 19
Player 26 30 34 24 28 29 24 22 29 32 25 25 19 21 25 29 31 30 29 28 31 24 21 26 28 27 27 20 28 19 37
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 94.6 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 85.7 0.9
Breaking Velocity 81 81.8 0.8 80.7 -1.1
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 88.4 0.7
Launch Angle 10 12.5 2.5 12.1 -0.4
Barrel % 5.3 5 -0.3 7.5 2.5
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8 37.4 0.7
Sweet Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6 35.5 0.6
xBA .218 .223 0.005 .263 0.04
BA .283 .218 -0.065 .274 0.056
xwOBA .29 .284 -0.006 .338 0.054
wOBA .368 .27 -0.098 .354 0.084
xSLG .34 .343 0.003 .425 0.082
SLG .504 .318 -0.186 .468 0.15
K% 30 28.5 -1.5 22.2 -6.3
BB% 10 8.4 -1.6 9.4 1
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6 49 -0.4
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6 25.7 -5
In Zone % 49.5 51.2 1.7 49.7 -1.5
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.8 -1.7 50.3 1.5
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6 28.6 -1.2
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2 32.7 6.3
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9 61.4 4.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 528 .266 405 121 29.9 123 28 22.8
2022 477 .354 366 121 33.1 111 47 42.3

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty