Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 24

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 4 4.45 7 7 0 32.1 29 1.39
3 Seasons 10 14 3.44 39 39 0 193.1 225 1.26
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 7 2-4 4.45 32.1 29 1.39
3 Seasons 39 10-14 3.44 193.1 225 1.26

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 568 76 4 5.3 3.1 87.3 109.9 10.0 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .290 .357 39.5 30.0 10.0 6.11 3.50
2021 23 2169 341 17 5 3.1 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .223 .343 .270 .284 .357 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2022 24 597 98 4 4.1 2.8 87.8 108.4 12.9 37.8 .270 .417 .320 .332 .378 31.6 20.6 9.2 4.45 3.92
Player 3334 515 25 4.9 3 87.7 116.9 12.2 34.8 .230 .356 .294 .293 .361 36.1 27.4 8.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(27.3%) ,
Slider
(20.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2022 4-Seam Fastball 314 240 74 52.6 94.6 77 68 21 16 2 0 3 15 53 .309 .334 .471 .535 .383 .406 90.8 14 2387 6.5 24.2 17.0
2022 Changeup 163 137 26 27.3 85.1 40 35 7 3 4 0 0 6 30 .200 .220 .314 .331 .265 .285 84.8 7 1272 6.8 20.3 10.9
2022 Slider 120 75 45 20.1 79.8 24 22 4 2 2 0 0 8 15 .182 .151 .273 .189 .212 .173 74.6 22 1992 6.7 36.7 19.5
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,251 928 323 57.7 94.5 325 279 62 38 19 0 5 99 184 .222 .219 .344 .362 .300 .306 87.9 17 2375 6.6 26.8 26.1
2021 Changeup 595 488 107 27.4 84.8 172 166 33 24 8 0 1 48 119 .199 .213 .265 .285 .213 .230 84.9 1 1323 6.8 33.7 20.5
2021 Slider 322 196 126 14.8 81.8 50 44 12 8 4 0 0 9 38 .273 .294 .364 .452 .279 .338 85.5 14 2115 6.7 40.8 16.1
2021 Sinker 1 1 0 0.0 94.9 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 2647 6.5 100.0 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.1 21.1 26.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3 3.1
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5.0 35.2 37.8 27.0 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5.0 3.1
2022 40.8 23.5 28.6 7.1 31.6 44.9 23.5 5.1 26.5 27.6 32.7 4.1 4.1 2.8
Player 42.1 24.9 27.4 5.6 35.1 38.1 26.8 6.0 29.7 26.0 27.2 6.2 4.9 3.0
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Changeup MIA L 162 85.0 35.6 3.6 11 14.0 -0.7 -4
2022 Slider MIA L 120 79.8 37.3 -4.7 -11 10.6 -1.5 -12
2022 4-Seamer MIA L 313 94.6 16.2 -2.1 -15 11.8 4.5 61
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.8 -7 1.7 -6.6 -79
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15.0 -5.3 -26 17.3 2.5 17
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 1,251 94.5 16.0 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 50
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 17 13.4 -0.5 -4
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 82
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38.0 5.3 16 15.0 1.8 13
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81.0 38.6 -3.1 -7 1.4 -7.3 -84
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.5 17
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -0.9 -3 314 52.6 77 .309 .471 .379 24.2 19.5 17.0 .334 .535 .407 39.6
2022 Changeup 0.5 1 163 27.3 40 .200 .314 .308 20.3 15.0 10.9 .220 .331 .286 23.3
2022 Slider 0.2 0 120 20.1 24 .182 .273 .208 36.7 33.3 19.5 .151 .189 .172 20.0
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -15 1,251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .219 .362 .306 40.2
2021 Changeup -1.0 -6 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .213 .285 .230 32.8
2021 Slider 0.0 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18.0 16.1 .294 .452 .359 31.6
2021 Sinker -18.6 0 1 0.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
2020 Slider 2.2 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .248 .410 .295 28.6
2020 Changeup -1.0 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .202 .256 .219 42.1
2020 Sinker -0.7 0 33 5.8 5 .400 .400 .360 6.7 20.0 11.1 .396 .439 .370 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16.0 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4.0 1:00 1:15 -15
2021 Changeup 521 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,247 94.6 88 18.3 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 321 81.8 20 4.0 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Changeup 155 85.1 95 15.0 9:45 9:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 311 94.6 88 18.6 10:15 10:30 -15
2022 Slider 116 79.9 27 12.2 2:15 2:15 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 -1 3 3 5
2021 548 2,169 -8 -32 11 8 -21
2022 141 597 0 -8 4 2 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.9 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2,169 51.2 68.0 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.4 80.7
2022 597 50.3 67.0 77.6 23.9 66.2 45.1 61.0 45.6 25.4 7.4 72.7
Player 3,334 50.7 66.9 76.0 29.0 54.9 44.8 58.7 48.3 29.7 7.4 78.1
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 71 72 78 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 71 60 85
2021 79 70 81 84 71 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 79 72 80
2022 44 31 54 67 32 47 86 66 83 40 40 46 44 70 86
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.5 1.0 3 2 3 60.0
2021 23.5 6 9.1 -3.0 5 7 4 66.7
2022 24.1 3 3.5 -1.0 3 1 3 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 4 7 4 5 5 0 4 5 5 7 5 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5
2021 6 13 9 8 10 7 9 11 8 12 8 10 5 7 9 10 7 14 11 11 5 7 6 10 9 9 8 8 12 6 14
2022 3 3 6 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 94.6 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 85.1 0.3
Breaking Velocity 81 81.8 0.8 79.8 -2
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 87.8 0.1
Launch Angle 10 12.5 2.5 12.9 0.4
Barrel % 5.3 5 -0.3 4.1 -0.9
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8 31.6 -5.1
Sweet Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6 37.8 2.9
xBA .218 .223 0.005 .27 0.047
BA .283 .218 -0.065 .256 0.038
xwOBA .29 .284 -0.006 .332 0.048
wOBA .368 .27 -0.098 .32 0.05
xSLG .34 .344 0.004 .417 0.073
SLG .504 .318 -0.186 .392 0.074
K% 30 28.5 -1.5 20.6 -7.9
BB% 10 8.4 -1.6 9.2 0.8
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6 45.6 -3.8
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6 25.4 -5.3
In Zone % 49.5 51.2 1.7 50.3 -0.9
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.8 -1.7 49.7 0.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6 23.9 -5.9
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2 31.2 4.8
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9 61 4.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 548 .270 415 124 29.9 133 29 21.8
2022 141 .320 109 36 33.0 32 12 37.5

Pitch Distribution