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Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 23

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 3 1.87 14 14 0 81.2 95 1.02
2 Seasons 8 5 2.95 21 21 0 109.2 134 1.17
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 14 7-3 1.87 81.2 95 1.02
2 Seasons 21 8-5 2.95 109.2 134 1.17

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 568 76 4 5.3 87.3 109.9 10 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .290 .357 39.5 30 10 6.11 3.55
2021 24 1220 196 9 4.6 87.9 113.8 13 30.6 .205 .324 .253 .268 .339 37.2 29.7 8.1 1.87 2.86
1788 272 13 4.8 87.7 113.8 12.1 30.5 .209 .329 .286 .274 .344 37.9 29.8 8.7
6.5 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .317 .312 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(58.7%) ,
Changeup
(26.7%) ,
Slider
(14.5%) ,
Sinker
(0.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 716 536 180 58.7 94.6 195 167 33 21 8 0 4 61 108 .198 .194 .317 .340 .283 .288 87.6 18 2376 6.6 29.1 27.9
2021 Changeup 326 271 55 26.7 85.5 100 98 18 13 5 0 0 28 71 .184 .208 .235 .269 .186 .213 85.4 3 1415 6.8 33.8 21.4
2021 Slider 177 119 58 14.5 82.1 24 21 6 4 2 0 0 5 17 .286 .286 .381 .472 .294 .349 86.4 13 2126 6.7 45.6 20.8
2021 Sinker 1 1 0 0.1 94.9 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 2647 6.5 100.0 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 308 186 122 54.2 93.6 66 51 16 8 4 0 4 21 32 .314 .195 .627 .344 .440 .315 88.8 26 2426 6.8 29.7 22.1
2020 Slider 124 76 48 21.8 81.0 28 27 9 4 4 0 1 6 21 .333 .248 .593 .410 .399 .295 86.0 1 2021 6.9 30.9 12.8
2020 Changeup 103 82 21 18.1 84.4 31 30 5 3 2 0 0 11 19 .167 .202 .233 .256 .188 .219 84.1 -5 1455 7.0 35.3 26.2
2020 Sinker 33 26 7 5.8 93.8 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 1 4 .400 .396 .400 .439 .353 .370 96.7 4 2474 6.8 6.7 11.1


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2020 46.1 17.1 30.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3
2021 43.4 27 24 5.6 34.7 41.3 24 5.6 31.1 27 23.5 8.2 4.6
44.1 24.3 25.7 5.9 36 38.2 25.7 5.5 32 25.7 25 7 4.8
45.2 22.2 25.5 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.4 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 714 94.6 15.8 -1.7 -12 10.9 3.3 44
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15 -5.1 -25 17.3 2.2 14
2021 Slider MIA L 177 82.1 36.8 -3.3 -8 1.4 -6.5 -83
2021 Changeup MIA L 326 85.5 36 5.5 18 14.1 -0.2 -1
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.5 17
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 83
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81 38.6 -2.9 -7 1.4 -7.3 -84
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38 5.3 16 15 1.8 14
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -19.1 0 1 0.1 1 0 0 0 100 100 100 0
2021 Slider 0.2 0 177 14.5 24 .286 .381 .313 45.6 20.8 20.8 .286 .472 .363 35.3
2021 Changeup -1.6 -5 326 26.7 100 .184 .235 .207 33.8 28 21.4 .208 .269 .213 33.8
2021 4-Seamer -1.6 -11 716 58.7 195 .198 .317 .285 29.1 31.3 27.9 .194 .34 .29 39.8
2020 Sinker -0.8 0 33 5.8 5 .4 .4 .36 6.7 20 11.1 .396 .439 .37 75
2020 Slider 2.5 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .248 .41 .295 28.6
2020 Changeup -1 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .202 .256 .219 42.1
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4 1:00 1:15 -15
2021 Changeup 284 85.5 89 15 10:00 9:00 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 712 94.6 88 18.2 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 177 82.1 20 4.1 12:45 1:15 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 0 3 3 5
2021 320 1220 -10 -17 6 4 -16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.9 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 1220 51.6 68.7 73.2 30 49.7 43 56.9 50 32.6 7.7 81.9
1788 51 66.8 74.5 30.4 51.3 44.9 58.9 49 31.8 7.6 79.4
48.4 66.7 82.1 28.4 58.7 42.6 60.5 46.9 24.5 7.2 75.8

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 70 71 78 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 70 58 84
2021 87 81 85 82 85 42 86 69 62 79 53 83 87 69 69
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.3 1 4 1 3 60
2021 24.1 4 5 -1 3 3 3 75

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 4 6 4 6 4 4 4 5 5 7 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4
2021 4 8 5 4 5 4 4 5 5 7 5 7 4 4 5 5 4 5 6 6 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 4 5 4 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.6 1
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 85.5 1.1
Breaking Velocity 81 82.1 1.1
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.9 0.6
Launch Angle 10 13 3
Barrel % 5.3 4.6 -0.7
Hard Hit % 39.5 37.2 -2.3
Sweet Spot % 30.3 30.6 0.3
xBA .218 .205 -0.013
BA .283 .199 -0.084
xwOBA .29 .268 -0.022
wOBA .368 .253 -0.115
xSLG .34 .324 -0.016
SLG .504 .293 -0.211
K% 30 29.7 -0.3
BB% 10 8.1 -1.9
Swing % 46.8 50 3.2
Whiff% 30.1 32.6 2.5
In Zone % 49.5 51.6 2.1
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.4 -2.1
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 30 -1.4
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 28.1 -6.5
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 320 .253 246 75 30.5 74 14 18.9

Pitch Distribution