Trevor Rogers
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 11 5.47 23 23 0 107 106 1.50
2023 1 2 4.00 4 4 0 18 19 1.22
2024 1 6 5.79 9 9 0 42 37 1.76
5 Seasons 14 29 4.34 68 68 0 328 358 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 23 4-11 5.47 107 106 1.50
2023 4 1-2 4.00 18 19 1.22
2024 9 1-6 5.79 42 37 1.76
5 Seasons 68 14-29 4.34 328 358 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 568 76 4 5.3 3.1 87.3 109.9 10.0 30.3 .217 .340 .368 .289 .356 39.5 30.0 10.0 6.11 3.50
2021 23 2169 341 17 5.0 3.1 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .223 .343 .270 .284 .356 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2022 24 1940 321 24 7.5 5.0 88.4 113.8 12.1 35.5 .262 .425 .354 .338 .395 37.4 22.2 9.4 5.47 4.84
2023 25 330 51 4 7.8 5.1 86.3 108.2 7.5 35.3 .216 .397 .292 .308 .353 33.3 24.1 7.6 4.00 3.98
2024 26 775 144 12 8.3 6.0 91.6 110.6 9.4 29.9 .289 .466 .378 .355 .404 45.8 18.4 9.5 5.79 5.10
Player 5782 933 61 6.5 4.2 88.5 116.9 11.4 34.0 .244 .390 .323 .314 .377 38.4 24.9 9.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(32.6%) ,
Changeup
(27.2%) ,
Sinker
(21.3%) ,
Slider
(18.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.1 21.1 26.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3 3.1
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5.0 35.2 37.8 27.0 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5.0 3.1
2022 43.0 26.2 25.5 5.3 38.6 38.3 23.1 4.7 28.7 24.0 28.7 5.9 7.5 5.0
2023 52.9 25.5 19.6 2.0 49.0 37.3 13.7 9.8 37.3 21.6 17.6 5.9 7.8 5.1
2024 50.0 20.8 22.9 6.3 35.4 36.1 28.5 4.9 33.3 20.1 29.2 4.2 8.3 6.0
Player 44.4 24.9 25.5 5.3 37.5 37.1 25.4 5.7 30.7 24.0 26.9 6.0 6.5 4.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Sinker MIA L 165 91.6 26.2 2.1 9 17.6 2.5 16
2024 Changeup MIA L 211 85.8 38.0 5.9 18 14.0 -0.2 -2
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 253 92.0 18.1 -1.8 -11 11.5 4.1 56
2024 Slider MIA L 146 82.7 35.5 -3.6 -9 3.6 -3.6 -50
2023 Sinker MIA L 62 92.6 25.5 2.3 10 18.5 3.5 23
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 142 93.2 16.9 -1.3 -8 11.1 4.2 61
2023 Changeup MIA L 84 85.7 37.1 5.6 18 14.5 0.1 0
2023 Slider MIA L 42 82.6 37.9 -1.4 -4 3.3 -3.3 -50
2022 Slider MIA L 346 80.7 36.2 -4.6 -11 7.6 -1.5 -16
2022 Sinker MIA L 5 93.7 26.9 4.5 20 18.8 3.5 23
2022 Changeup MIA L 565 85.7 35.6 4.0 13 14.6 0.1 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 1,022 94.6 16.7 -2.0 -14 12.6 5.0 65
2021 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 1,251 94.5 16.0 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 50
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15.0 -5.5 -27 17.3 2.4 16
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.7 -7 1.7 -5.1 -75
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 17 13.4 -0.5 -4
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.9 -19 16.9 2.3 16
2020 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -8 13.5 6.0 81
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38.0 5.3 16 15.0 1.7 13
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81.0 38.6 -3.1 -7 1.4 -5.9 -81
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -3 253 32.6 66 .304 .571 .408 26.4 27.3 20.7 .255 .571 .387 53.8
2024 Changeup -2.5 -5 211 27.2 63 .323 .468 .376 25.6 22.2 16.5 .260 .348 .269 41.7
2024 Sinker -0.7 -1 165 21.3 42 .314 .429 .370 14.3 2.4 3.7 .417 .558 .465 51.4
2024 Slider -3.3 -5 146 18.8 28 .269 .538 .396 30.0 14.3 14.8 .259 .399 .310 31.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 142 43.0 29 .217 .348 .338 26.1 24.1 17.5 .228 .545 .398 50.0
2023 Changeup -2.1 -2 84 25.5 26 .320 .480 .394 37.8 23.1 19.4 .226 .412 .284 31.6
2023 Sinker 1.4 1 62 18.8 16 .133 .133 .156 12.5 25.0 25.0 .206 .230 .222 27.3
2023 Slider 0.4 0 42 12.7 8 .143 .143 .200 25.0 25.0 9.1 .159 .219 .232 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -11 1,023 52.7 247 .312 .553 .409 22.8 21.9 18.6 .300 .535 .402 49.1
2022 Changeup -0.3 -2 566 29.2 146 .246 .408 .336 26.0 15.1 12.9 .243 .343 .300 30.0
2022 Slider -0.9 -3 346 17.8 83 .208 .325 .246 33.8 36.1 21.4 .188 .255 .218 14.3
2022 Sinker -11.2 -1 5 0.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .451 .489 .413 100.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 16 1,251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .218 .362 .306 40.2
2021 Changeup 0.9 6 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .213 .285 .230 32.8
2021 Slider 0.0 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18.0 16.1 .294 .452 .359 31.6
2021 Sinker 18.6 0 1 0.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
2020 Slider -2.2 -3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .247 .409 .294 28.6
2020 Changeup 1.0 1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .200 .254 .217 42.1
2020 Sinker 0.7 0 33 5.8 5 .400 .400 .360 6.7 20.0 11.1 .392 .434 .366 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 176 85.8 86 15.0 9:45 8:45 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 250 91.9 88 18.2 10:15 10:30 -15
2024 Sinker 160 91.6 87 19.2 10:15 9:30 45
2024 Slider 145 82.7 25 5.5 12:15 1:45 -90
2023 Changeup 68 85.6 90 15.6 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 142 93.2 84 18.3 10:30 10:45 -15
2023 Sinker 62 92.6 85 20.2 10:30 9:30 60
2023 Slider 42 82.6 21 3.8 1:45 2:45 -60
2022 Changeup 521 85.6 94 15.7 9:45 9:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,020 94.6 89 18.9 10:15 10:30 -15
2022 Slider 336 80.7 24 10.4 1:45 1:45 0
2021 Changeup 521 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,247 94.6 88 18.3 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 321 81.8 20 4.0 12:30 1:30 -60
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16.0 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4.0 1:00 1:15 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 1 -3 -3 -5
2021 548 2,169 8 32 -11 -8 21
2022 477 1,940 0 2 -10 -8 -16
2023 79 330 3 -1 -3 -1 -1
2024 199 775 -5 1 -8 -2 -14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.8 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2,169 51.1 68.1 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.3 81.8
2022 1,940 49.7 69.6 78.1 28.6 63.4 45.6 61.4 49.0 25.7 7.0 72.1
2023 330 45.8 60.9 81.5 36.9 60.6 47.9 63.3 47.9 27.2 4.2 71.4
2024 775 46.1 67.5 85.9 30.9 56.6 48.8 60.2 47.7 24.3 6.5 84.0
Player 5,782 49.5 67.6 78.0 30.1 57.4 45.8 59.8 48.7 27.9 6.9 77.6
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 72 73 77 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 81 54 85 86
2021 78 70 81 85 71 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 67 68 83 73
2022 13 17 20 26 13 34 44 52 55 45 28 53 41 63 91 74
2023 32 74 77
2024 17 10 19 31 16 12 38 5 13 24 35 43 72 17 84 63
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.4 1 4 2 2 40.0
2021 23.5 6 8.2 -2 5 6 4 66.7
2022 24.2 15 14.0 1 4 10 7 46.7
2023 25.3 2 2.9 -1 1 2 2 100.0
2024 22.9 5 6.3 -1 2 6 1 20.0
Player 23.8 33 35.8 -3 16 26 16 48.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 5 6 7 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 6 4 4 4 5 6 4 5 5 4 5 7 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 2
2021 6 11 8 5 8 8 9 9 6 5 8 8 12 6 9 9 7 6 9 8 8 9 12 10 5 7 9 9 10 8 9
2022 15 10 14 14 15 15 16 12 12 11 14 16 14 13 15 17 12 12 14 13 16 13 19 14 9 10 17 18 15 14 15
2023 2 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 4 3 3 3 4 2 3 2 3 5 3 4 3 2 2 3 4 3 3
2024 5 6 6 5 5 6 7 6 5 6 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 8 7 5
Player 33 35 38 33 35 35 39 33 29 27 35 39 40 33 38 41 36 29 38 35 38 38 47 39 27 28 38 40 41 36 34
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 94.6 0.1 93.0 -1.6 91.8 -1.2
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 85.7 0.9 85.7 0.0 85.8 0.1
Breaking Velocity 81.0 81.8 0.8 80.7 -1.1 82.6 1.9 82.7 0.1
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 88.4 0.7 86.3 -2.1 91.6 5.3
Launch Angle 10.0 12.5 2.5 12.1 -0.4 7.5 -4.6 9.4 1.9
Barrel % 5.3 5.0 -0.3 7.5 2.5 7.8 0.3 8.3 0.5
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8 37.4 0.7 33.3 -4.1 45.8 12.5
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6 35.5 0.6 35.3 -0.2 29.9 -5.4
xBA .217 .223 0.006 .262 0.039 .216 -0.046 .289 0.073
BA .283 .218 -0.065 .274 0.056 .229 -0.045 .307 0.078
xwOBA .289 .284 -0.005 .338 0.054 .308 -0.030 .355 0.047
wOBA .368 .270 -0.098 .354 0.084 .292 -0.062 .378 0.086
xSLG .340 .343 0.003 .425 0.082 .397 -0.028 .466 0.069
SLG .504 .318 -0.186 .468 0.150 .329 -0.139 .503 0.174
K% 30.0 28.5 -1.5 22.2 -6.3 24.1 1.9 18.4 -5.7
BB% 10.0 8.4 -1.6 9.4 1.0 7.6 -1.8 9.5 1.9
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6 49.0 -0.4 47.9 -1.1 47.7 -0.2
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6 25.7 -5.0 27.2 1.5 24.3 -2.9
In Zone % 49.5 51.1 1.6 49.7 -1.4 45.8 -3.9 46.1 0.3
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.9 -1.6 50.3 1.4 54.2 3.9 53.9 -0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6 28.6 -1.2 36.9 8.3 30.9 -6.0
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2 32.7 6.3 27.8 -4.9 28.4 0.6
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9 61.4 4.5 63.3 1.9 60.2 -3.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 130 .368 87 44 50.6 43 10 23.3
2021 Shifts 548 .270 415 142 34.2 133 45 33.8
2022 Shifts 477 .354 366 129 35.2 111 64 57.7
2023 Shades 79 .292 62 8 12.9 17 2 11.8
2024 Shades 199 .378 154 15 9.7 45 7 15.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 151 15.9 41.1% 0.0% 106 22.1 0.0% 4.7%
2021 600 17.0 21.7% 1.0% 349 24.0 0.0% 9.5%
2022 532 17.3 15.6% 0.6% 311 25.3 0.0% 15.8%
2023 82 14.3 63.4% 0.0% 62 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2024 174 13.2 84.5% 0.6% 173 18.6 2.9% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution