Trevor Rogers
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 11 5.47 23 23 0 107 106 1.50
2023 1 2 4.00 4 4 0 18 19 1.22
2024 2 11 4.92 25 25 0 124.1 97 1.58
5 Seasons 15 34 4.36 84 84 0 410.1 418 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 23 4-11 5.47 107 106 1.50
2023 4 1-2 4.00 18 19 1.22
2024 25 2-11 4.92 124.1 97 1.58
5 Seasons 84 15-34 4.36 410.1 418 1.41
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 568 76 4 5.3 3.1 87.3 109.9 10.0 30.3 .217 .339 .368 .289 .355 39.5 30.0 10.0 6.11 3.50
2021 23 2169 341 17 5.0 3.1 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .223 .343 .270 .284 .356 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2022 24 1940 321 24 7.5 5.0 88.4 113.8 12.1 35.5 .262 .424 .354 .338 .395 37.4 22.2 9.4 5.47 4.84
2023 25 330 51 4 7.8 5.1 86.3 108.2 7.5 35.3 .216 .398 .292 .309 .354 33.3 24.1 7.6 4.00 4.01
2024 26 2243 405 34 8.4 6.0 90.7 112.1 10.4 33.3 .277 .445 .350 .349 .384 44.4 17.3 10.0 4.92 5.13
Player 7250 1194 83 7.0 4.6 88.9 116.9 11.3 34.3 .249 .398 .326 .320 .376 39.5 23.2 9.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.7%) ,
Sinker
(24.0%) ,
Changeup
(23.8%) ,
Slider
(20.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.1 21.1 26.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3 3.1
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5.0 35.2 37.8 27.0 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5.0 3.1
2022 43.0 26.2 25.5 5.3 38.6 38.3 23.1 4.7 28.7 24.0 28.7 5.9 7.5 5.0
2023 52.9 25.5 19.6 2.0 49.0 37.3 13.7 9.8 37.3 21.6 17.6 5.9 7.8 5.1
2024 46.7 24.7 23.0 5.7 38.3 40.2 21.5 4.4 30.9 22.0 29.1 5.2 8.4 6.0
Player 44.5 25.3 25.0 5.3 38.0 38.3 23.7 5.4 30.4 23.8 27.4 5.9 7.0 4.6
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider BAL L 462 82.4 35.1 -4.3 3.8GLV -3.1 5.1 -3.6 3.8GLV -1.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball BAL L 710 91.9 17.8 -1.5 11.9ARM 4.8 14.8 -0.8 11.9ARM 3.7
2024 Changeup BAL L 533 85.6 37.2 5.1 14.4ARM 0.2 0.2 5.7 14.4ARM 0.3
2024 Sinker BAL L 538 91.5 25.3 1.0 17.9ARM 3.1 7.7 0.4 17.9ARM 2.7
2023 Slider MIA L 42 82.6 37.9 -1.4 3.3GLV -3.1 2.3 -0.6 3.3GLV -2.0
2023 Changeup MIA L 84 85.7 37.1 5.6 14.5ARM 0.1 0.4 5.9 14.5ARM 0.5
2023 Sinker MIA L 62 92.6 25.5 2.3 18.5ARM 3.5 6.7 1.6 18.5ARM 3.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 142 93.2 16.9 -1.3 11.1ARM 4.2 14.9 -0.4 11.1ARM 3.2
2022 Slider MIA L 346 80.7 36.2 -4.6 7.6GLV -1.4 6.4 -4.5 7.6GLV 2.7
2022 Sinker MIA L 5 93.7 26.9 4.5 18.8ARM 3.5 4.5 4.4 18.8ARM 3.6
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 1022 94.6 16.7 -2.0 12.6ARM 5.0 14.2 -1.8 12.6ARM 5.0
2022 Changeup MIA L 565 85.7 35.6 4.0 14.6ARM 0.1 1.8 5.0 14.6ARM 0.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 1251 94.5 16.0 -1.6 11.1ARM 3.7 14.8 -1.3 11.1ARM 3.5
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15.0 -5.5 17.3ARM 2.4 15.5 -6.0 17.3ARM 2.6
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 13.4ARM -0.5 1.5 6.3 13.4ARM -0.5
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.7 1.7GLV -5.1 3.5 -1.9 1.7GLV -3.1
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.9 16.9ARM 2.3 14.3 -5.6 16.9ARM 2.4
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38.0 5.3 15.0ARM 1.7 0.5 7.3 15.0ARM 1.4
2020 4-Seam Fastball MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 13.5ARM 6.0 15.0 -1.0 13.5ARM 6.0
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81.0 38.6 -3.1 1.4GLV -5.9 3.5 -2.2 1.4GLV -3.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 710 31.7 163 .252 .467 .348 23.4 23.9 17.9 .242 .510 .361 49.0
2024 Sinker -0.7 -4 538 24.0 156 .292 .492 .374 10.0 12.2 15.3 .319 .504 .409 46.6
2024 Changeup -1.1 -6 533 23.8 158 .295 .396 .347 23.8 17.1 12.7 .267 .360 .296 45.1
2024 Slider -2.1 -10 462 20.6 83 .312 .506 .386 25.9 14.5 12.5 .285 .395 .322 32.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 142 43.0 29 .217 .348 .338 26.1 24.1 17.5 .228 .545 .398 50.0
2023 Changeup -2.1 -2 84 25.5 26 .320 .480 .394 37.8 23.1 19.4 .227 .413 .285 31.6
2023 Sinker 1.4 1 62 18.8 16 .133 .133 .156 12.5 25.0 25.0 .206 .230 .222 27.3
2023 Slider 0.4 0 42 12.7 8 .143 .143 .200 25.0 25.0 9.1 .159 .219 .232 0.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -11 1,023 52.7 247 .312 .553 .409 22.8 21.9 18.6 .300 .534 .402 49.1
2022 Changeup -0.3 -2 566 29.2 146 .246 .408 .336 26.0 15.1 12.9 .243 .342 .300 30.0
2022 Slider -0.9 -3 346 17.8 83 .208 .325 .246 33.8 36.1 21.4 .188 .255 .218 14.3
2022 Sinker -11.2 -1 5 0.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .451 .489 .413 100.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 16 1,251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .218 .362 .306 40.2
2021 Changeup 0.9 6 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .212 .285 .229 32.8
2021 Slider 0.0 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18.0 16.1 .294 .452 .359 31.6
2021 Sinker 18.6 0 1 0.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
2020 Slider -2.2 -3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .246 .408 .294 28.6
2020 Changeup 1.0 1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .200 .254 .217 42.1
2020 Sinker 0.7 0 33 5.8 5 .400 .400 .360 6.7 20.0 11.1 .392 .434 .366 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 458 85.6 86 15.4 10:00 8:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 707 91.9 90 18.7 10:15 10:30 -15
2024 Sinker 528 91.5 90 19.9 10:15 9:45 30
2024 Slider 461 82.4 26 5.9 12:15 1:30 -75
2023 Changeup 68 85.6 90 15.6 9:45 9:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 142 93.2 84 18.3 10:30 10:45 -15
2023 Sinker 62 92.6 85 20.2 10:30 9:30 60
2023 Slider 42 82.6 21 3.8 1:45 2:45 -60
2022 Changeup 521 85.6 94 15.7 9:45 9:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,020 94.6 89 18.9 10:15 10:30 -15
2022 Slider 336 80.7 24 10.4 1:45 1:45 0
2021 Changeup 521 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,247 94.6 88 18.3 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 321 81.8 20 4.0 12:30 1:30 -60
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16.0 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4.0 1:00 1:15 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 1 -3 -3 -5
2021 548 2,169 8 32 -11 -8 21
2022 477 1,940 0 2 -10 -8 -16
2023 79 330 3 -1 -3 -1 -1
2024 560 2,243 -6 12 -21 -7 -21
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.8 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2,169 51.1 68.1 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.3 81.8
2022 1,940 49.7 69.6 78.1 28.6 63.4 45.6 61.4 49.0 25.7 7.0 72.1
2023 330 45.8 60.9 81.5 36.9 60.6 47.9 63.3 47.9 27.2 4.2 71.4
2024 2,243 47.7 67.2 86.1 27.2 62.7 44.8 58.7 46.2 20.9 7.0 80.4
Player 7,250 49.3 67.5 79.6 29.1 59.1 45.1 59.5 48.0 26.2 7.0 77.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 72 73 78 78 61 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 81 54 85 86
2021 78 70 81 85 71 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 67 68 84 73
2022 13 17 21 26 13 34 44 52 55 45 28 53 41 63 91 73
2023 32 74 77
2024 7 9 16 30 4 19 35 6 9 10 23 12 31 16 86 73
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.4 1 4 2 2 40.0
2021 23.5 6 8.2 -2 5 6 4 66.7
2022 24.2 15 14.0 1 4 10 7 46.7
2023 25.3 2 2.9 -1 1 2 2 100.0
2024 22.8 14 14.9 -1 4 13 4 28.6
Player 23.6 42 44.4 -2 18 33 19 45.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2020 5 5 6 7 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 6 4 4 4 5 6 4 5 5 4 5 7 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 2
2021 6 11 8 5 8 8 9 9 6 5 8 8 12 6 9 9 7 6 9 8 8 9 12 10 5 7 9 9 10 8 9
2022 15 10 14 14 15 15 16 12 12 11 14 16 14 13 15 17 12 12 14 13 16 13 19 14 9 10 17 18 15 14 15
2023 2 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 4 3 3 3 4 2 3 2 3 5 3 4 3 2 2 3 4 3 3
2024 14 12 14 14 14 14 16 14 12 14 15 17 17 14 16 15 15 12 16 16 17 14 18 17 13 15 15 16 18 16 12
Player 42 41 46 42 44 43 48 41 36 35 43 49 51 40 47 49 44 36 47 44 48 46 59 49 34 37 47 50 51 45 41
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 94.6 0.1 93.0 -1.6 91.7 -1.3
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 85.7 0.9 85.7 0.0 85.6 -0.1
Breaking Velocity 81.0 81.8 0.8 80.7 -1.1 82.6 1.9 82.4 -0.2
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 88.4 0.7 86.3 -2.1 90.7 4.4
Launch Angle 10.0 12.5 2.5 12.1 -0.4 7.5 -4.6 10.4 2.9
Barrel % 5.3 5.0 -0.3 7.5 2.5 7.8 0.3 8.4 0.6
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8 37.4 0.7 33.3 -4.1 44.4 11.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6 35.5 0.6 35.3 -0.2 33.3 -2.0
xBA .217 .223 0.006 .262 0.039 .216 -0.046 .277 0.061
BA .283 .218 -0.065 .274 0.056 .229 -0.045 .285 0.056
xwOBA .289 .284 -0.005 .338 0.054 .309 -0.029 .349 0.040
wOBA .368 .270 -0.098 .354 0.084 .292 -0.062 .350 0.058
xSLG .339 .343 0.004 .424 0.081 .398 -0.026 .445 0.047
SLG .504 .318 -0.186 .468 0.150 .329 -0.139 .458 0.129
K% 30.0 28.5 -1.5 22.2 -6.3 24.1 1.9 17.3 -6.8
BB% 10.0 8.4 -1.6 9.4 1.0 7.6 -1.8 10.0 2.4
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6 49.0 -0.4 47.9 -1.1 46.2 -1.7
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6 25.7 -5.0 27.2 1.5 20.9 -6.3
In Zone % 49.5 51.1 1.6 49.7 -1.4 45.8 -3.9 47.7 1.9
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.9 -1.6 50.3 1.4 54.2 3.9 52.3 -1.9
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6 28.6 -1.2 36.9 8.3 27.2 -9.7
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2 32.7 6.3 27.8 -4.9 25.4 -2.4
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9 61.4 4.5 63.3 1.9 58.7 -4.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 Shifts 548 .270 415 124 29.9 133 29 21.8
2022 Shifts 477 .354 366 121 33.1 111 47 42.3
2023 Shades 79 .292 62 8 12.9 17 2 11.8
2024 Shades 560 .350 430 41 9.5 130 29 22.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 151 15.9 41.1% 0.0% 106 22.1 0.0% 4.7%
2021 600 17.0 21.7% 1.0% 349 24.0 0.0% 9.5%
2022 532 17.3 15.6% 0.6% 311 25.3 0.0% 15.8%
2023 82 14.3 63.4% 0.0% 62 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
2024 584 13.1 84.6% 0.2% 430 18.2 1.9% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution