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Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 23
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 8 2.67 24 24 0 128.0 151 1.17
2 Seasons 8 10 3.29 31 31 0 156.0 190 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 24 7-8 2.67 128.0 151 1.17
2 Seasons 31 8-10 3.29 156.0 190 1.25

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 568 76 4 5.3 87.3 109.9 10 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .290 .357 39.5 30 10 6.11 3.55
2021 24 2080 330 17 5.2 87.7 116.9 12.2 34.2 .221 .340 .273 .284 .354 37.3 28.3 8.6 2.67 3.44
2648 406 21 5.2 87.6 116.9 11.8 33.5 .220 .340 .292 .285 .355 37.7 28.7 8.9
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(57.5%) ,
Changeup
(27.3%) ,
Slider
(15.2%) ,
Sinker
(0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1196 888 308 57.5 94.5 315 269 61 37 19 0 5 94 179 .227 .220 .353 .362 .307 .309 87.9 17 2372 6.6 26.8 26.2
2021 Changeup 567 462 105 27.3 84.8 166 160 31 23 7 0 1 47 114 .194 .204 .256 .276 .208 .224 84.6 1 1333 6.8 33.6 21.3
2021 Slider 316 192 124 15.2 81.8 49 43 12 8 4 0 0 9 37 .279 .294 .372 .450 .285 .340 85.7 12 2115 6.7 41.9 17.0
2021 Sinker 1 1 0 0.0 94.9 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 2647 6.5 100.0 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 308 186 122 54.2 93.6 66 51 16 8 4 0 4 21 32 .314 .195 .627 .344 .440 .315 88.8 26 2426 6.8 29.7 22.1
2020 Slider 124 76 48 21.8 81.0 28 27 9 4 4 0 1 6 21 .333 .248 .593 .410 .399 .295 86.0 1 2021 6.9 30.9 12.8
2020 Changeup 103 82 21 18.1 84.4 31 30 5 3 2 0 0 11 19 .167 .202 .233 .256 .188 .219 84.1 -5 1455 7.0 35.3 26.2
2020 Sinker 33 26 7 5.8 93.8 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 1 4 .400 .396 .400 .439 .353 .370 96.7 4 2474 6.8 6.7 11.1


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2020 46.1 17.1 30.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3
2021 42.1 26.1 27 4.8 34.8 38.2 27 6.7 30 26.1 24.5 7.6 5.2
42.9 24.4 27.6 5.2 35.7 36.7 27.6 6.4 30.8 25.4 25.4 6.9 5.2
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 1194 94.5 16 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 51
2021 Changeup MIA L 567 84.8 36.5 5.4 17 13.4 -0.4 -3
2021 Slider MIA L 316 81.8 37.4 -2.9 -7 1.7 -6.6 -79
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15 -5.3 -26 17.3 2.5 17
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38 5.3 16 15 1.8 13
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.5 17
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81 38.6 -2.9 -7 1.4 -7.3 -84
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 83
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -18.8 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 100 100 100 0
2021 Slider 0.1 0 316 15.2 49 .279 .372 .313 41.9 18.4 17 .294 .45 .361 32.4
2021 Changeup -1 -6 567 27.3 166 .194 .256 .234 33.6 28.3 21.3 .204 .276 .224 32.5
2021 4-Seamer -1.1 -13 1196 57.5 315 .227 .353 .313 26.8 29.8 26.2 .22 .362 .309 41.3
2020 Sinker -0.8 0 33 5.8 5 .4 .4 .36 6.7 20 11.1 .396 .439 .37 75
2020 Slider 2.5 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .248 .41 .295 28.6
2020 Changeup -1 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .202 .256 .219 42.1
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4 1:00 1:15 -15
2021 Changeup 498 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1192 94.5 88 18.2 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 315 81.8 20 4 12:30 1:30 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 0 3 3 5
2021 531 2080 -5 -31 10 8 -19
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.9 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2080 51.2 67.4 75.3 29.6 51.3 43.6 57 48.9 30.8 7.6 81
2648 50.8 66.4 75.8 30 52.1 44.8 58.4 48.5 30.7 7.6 79.5
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 70 71 77 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 70 59 84
2021 78 69 78 82 68 49 86 74 60 81 44 81 78 70 79
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.3 1 4 1 3 60
2021 23.5 6 8.7 -3 6 6 4 66.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 4 6 4 6 4 4 4 5 5 7 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4
2021 6 14 9 8 10 7 8 10 7 12 8 10 5 7 9 9 5 10 11 11 6 7 6 10 9 9 8 8 11 6 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 ↑
Breaking Velocity 81 81.8 0.8 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 ↑
Launch Angle 10 12.2 2.2 ↑
Barrel % 5.3 5.2 -0.1 ↓
Hard Hit % 39.5 37.3 -2.2 ↓
Sweet Spot % 30.3 34.2 3.9 ↑
xBA .218 .221 0.003 ↑
BA .283 .22 -0.063 ↓
xwOBA .29 .284 -0.006 ↓
wOBA .368 .273 -0.095 ↓
xSLG .34 .34 0
SLG .504 .321 -0.183 ↓
K% 30 28.3 -1.7 ↓
BB% 10 8.6 -1.4 ↓
Swing % 46.8 48.9 2.1 ↑
Whiff% 30.1 30.8 0.7 ↑
In Zone % 49.5 51.2 1.7 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.8 -1.7 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.6 -1.8 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.5 -8.1 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 57 -6.8 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 531 .273 402 119 29.6 129 27 20.9

Pitch Distribution

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