Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 24

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 6 5.86 14 14 0 63.0 58 1.63
3 Seasons 11 16 3.98 46 46 0 224.0 254 1.34
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 14 3-6 5.86 63.0 58 1.63
3 Seasons 46 11-16 3.98 224.0 254 1.34

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 568 76 4 5.3 3.1 87.3 109.9 10.0 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .289 .356 39.5 30.0 10.0 6.11 3.50
2021 23 2169 341 17 5 3.1 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .223 .343 .270 .284 .356 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2022 24 1217 200 17 8.5 5.9 88.1 113.8 12.5 38.0 .272 .475 .362 .356 .406 33.5 20.0 10.7 5.86 4.79
Player 3954 617 38 6.2 3.9 87.8 116.9 12.2 35.3 .237 .382 .311 .306 .373 36.0 26.2 9.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.7%) ,
Changeup
(29.5%) ,
Slider
(17.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.1 21.1 26.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3 3.1
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5.0 35.2 37.8 27.0 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5.0 3.1
2022 40.5 29.0 26.5 4.0 36.0 40.0 24.0 4.5 29.0 27.5 26.0 4.0 8.5 5.9
Player 41.8 26.4 26.9 4.9 36.0 37.6 26.4 5.7 30.0 26.3 25.9 5.8 6.2 3.9
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seamer MIA L 640 94.7 16.6 -2.1 -15 11.9 4.5 62
2022 Changeup MIA L 358 85.7 35.6 4.0 13 14.2 -0.3 -2
2022 Slider MIA L 217 80.5 36.3 -5.0 -12 8.2 -3.2 -28
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.8 -7 1.7 -6.6 -79
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 1,251 94.5 16.0 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 50
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 17 13.4 -0.5 -4
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15.0 -5.3 -26 17.3 2.5 17
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81.0 38.6 -3.1 -7 1.4 -7.3 -84
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.4 17
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 82
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38.0 5.3 16 15.0 1.7 13
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 1.1 7 641 52.7 154 .323 .600 .439 25.0 21.4 17.9 .312 .613 .434 45.4
2022 Changeup -0.6 -2 359 29.5 90 .222 .309 .295 26.0 14.4 11.8 .241 .340 .291 25.7
2022 Slider 2.0 4 217 17.8 46 .279 .419 .297 33.0 26.1 15.6 .209 .307 .227 15.2
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -15 1,251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .218 .362 .306 40.2
2021 Changeup -1.0 -6 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .212 .285 .229 32.8
2021 Slider 0.0 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18.0 16.1 .294 .452 .359 31.6
2021 Sinker -18.6 0 1 0.0 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
2020 Slider 2.2 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .248 .410 .295 28.6
2020 Changeup -1.0 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .201 .255 .218 42.1
2020 Sinker -0.7 0 33 5.8 5 .400 .400 .360 6.7 20.0 11.1 .396 .439 .370 75.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16.0 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4.0 1:00 1:15 -15
2021 Changeup 521 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,247 94.6 88 18.3 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 321 81.8 20 4.0 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Changeup 328 85.7 93 15.2 9:45 9:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 638 94.7 88 18.4 10:15 10:30 -15
2022 Slider 210 80.5 25 11.0 2:00 1:45 15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 -1 3 3 5
2021 548 2,169 -8 -32 11 8 -21
2022 290 1,217 0 -4 9 4 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.9 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2,169 51.2 68.0 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.4 80.7
2022 1,217 47.6 70.8 76.1 27.1 65.9 44.5 59.3 47.9 26.6 7.2 75.0
Player 3,954 49.8 68.1 75.8 29.2 56.8 44.7 58.6 48.6 29.4 7.4 78.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 72 72 77 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 72 60 85
2021 78 70 81 85 71 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 78 72 80
2022 23 27 25 31 20 11 35 64 82 32 20 57 23 70 87
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.2 1 4 1 3 60.0
2021 23.5 6 8.8 -3 6 5 4 66.7
2022 23.7 10 10.7 -1 5 7 6 60.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 4 6 4 4 4 0 4 5 5 7 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 5
2021 6 12 9 7 9 9 9 9 9 11 6 9 6 6 9 9 9 11 11 9 10 7 6 9 8 9 9 7 10 6 13
2022 10 12 16 9 10 12 12 9 9 9 11 11 8 7 10 12 13 12 11 11 13 11 9 11 9 9 11 9 11 9 15
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9 94.7 0.2
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4 85.7 0.9
Breaking Velocity 81 81.8 0.8 80.5 -1.3
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4 88.1 0.4
Launch Angle 10 12.5 2.5 12.5 0
Barrel % 5.3 5 -0.3 8.5 3.5
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8 33.5 -3.2
Sweet Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6 38 3.1
xBA .218 .223 0.005 .272 0.049
BA .283 .218 -0.065 .283 0.065
xwOBA .29 .284 -0.006 .356 0.072
wOBA .368 .27 -0.098 .362 0.092
xSLG .34 .343 0.003 .475 0.132
SLG .504 .318 -0.186 .476 0.158
K% 30 28.5 -1.5 20 -8.5
BB% 10 8.4 -1.6 10.7 2.3
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6 47.9 -1.5
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6 26.6 -4.1
In Zone % 49.5 51.2 1.7 47.6 -3.6
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.8 -1.7 52.4 3.6
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6 27.1 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2 32.1 5.7
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9 59.3 2.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 548 .270 415 124 29.9 133 29 21.8
2022 290 .362 223 77 34.5 67 25 37.3

Pitch Tempo