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Trevor Rogers
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 5" 217LBS | Age: 23

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 1, #13, Miami Marlins | Carlsbad (NM) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 8 2.64 25 25 0 133.0 157 1.15
2 Seasons 8 10 3.24 32 32 0 161.0 196 1.23
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 25 7-8 2.64 133.0 157 1.15
2 Seasons 32 8-10 3.24 161.0 196 1.23

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 568 76 4 5.3 87.3 109.9 10 30.3 .218 .340 .368 .290 .357 39.5 30 10 6.11 3.55
2021 24 2169 341 17 5 87.7 116.9 12.5 34.9 .221 .337 .270 .282 .354 36.7 28.5 8.4 2.64 3.37
2737 417 21 5 87.6 116.9 12.1 34.1 .221 .338 .289 .283 .354 37.2 28.8 8.7
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Rogers relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(57.7%) ,
Changeup
(27.4%) ,
Slider
(14.8%) ,
Sinker
(0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1251 928 323 57.7 94.5 325 279 62 38 19 0 5 99 184 .222 .218 .344 .356 .300 .304 87.9 17 2375 6.6 26.8 26.1
2021 Changeup 595 488 107 27.4 84.8 172 166 33 24 8 0 1 48 119 .199 .210 .265 .282 .213 .228 84.9 1 1323 6.8 33.7 20.5
2021 Slider 322 196 126 14.8 81.8 50 44 12 8 4 0 0 9 38 .273 .287 .364 .440 .279 .333 85.5 14 2115 6.7 40.8 16.1
2021 Sinker 1 1 0 0.0 94.9 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 2647 6.5 100.0 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 308 186 122 54.2 93.6 66 51 16 8 4 0 4 21 32 .314 .195 .627 .344 .440 .315 88.8 26 2426 6.8 29.7 22.1
2020 Slider 124 76 48 21.8 81.0 28 27 9 4 4 0 1 6 21 .333 .248 .593 .410 .399 .295 86.0 1 2021 6.9 30.9 12.8
2020 Changeup 103 82 21 18.1 84.4 31 30 5 3 2 0 0 11 19 .167 .202 .233 .256 .188 .219 84.1 -5 1455 7.0 35.3 26.2
2020 Sinker 33 26 7 5.8 93.8 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 1 4 .400 .396 .400 .439 .353 .370 96.7 4 2474 6.8 6.7 11.1


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2020 46.1 17.1 30.3 6.6 39.5 30.3 30.3 5.3 34.2 22.4 28.9 3.9 5.3
2021 41.6 26.1 27.3 5 35.2 37.8 27 6.5 29.6 26.4 25.2 7.3 5
42.4 24.5 27.8 5.3 36 36.5 27.6 6.2 30.5 25.7 25.9 6.7 5
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider MIA L 322 81.8 37.5 -2.9 -7 1.7 -6.6 -79
2021 Changeup MIA L 595 84.8 36.6 5.4 17 13.4 -0.5 -3
2021 4-Seamer MIA L 1249 94.5 16 -1.6 -11 11.1 3.7 51
2021 Sinker MIA L 1 94.9 15 -5.3 -26 17.3 2.5 17
2020 Changeup MIA L 103 84.4 38 5.3 16 15 1.8 13
2020 Sinker MIA L 33 93.8 17.2 -3.7 -18 16.9 2.5 17
2020 4-Seamer MIA L 308 93.6 16.6 -1.3 -9 13.5 6.1 83
2020 Slider MIA L 124 81 38.6 -2.9 -7 1.4 -7.3 -84
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -18.6 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 100 100 100 0
2021 Slider 0.1 0 322 14.8 50 .273 .364 .306 40.8 18 16.1 .287 .44 .354 31.6
2021 Changeup -0.9 -5 595 27.4 172 .199 .265 .238 33.7 27.9 20.5 .21 .282 .228 32.8
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -15 1251 57.7 325 .222 .344 .306 26.8 30.5 26.1 .218 .356 .305 40.2
2020 Sinker -0.8 0 33 5.8 5 .4 .4 .36 6.7 20 11.1 .396 .439 .37 75
2020 Slider 2.5 3 124 21.8 28 .333 .593 .404 30.9 21.4 12.8 .248 .41 .295 28.6
2020 Changeup -1 -1 103 18.1 31 .167 .233 .219 35.3 35.5 26.2 .202 .256 .219 42.1
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 308 54.2 66 .314 .627 .444 29.7 31.8 22.1 .195 .344 .314 40.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 84.3 91 16 9:45 9:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 299 93.5 94 20.1 10:15 10:30 -15
2020 Sinker 33 93.8 96 22.1 10:15 10:15 0
2020 Slider 110 81.1 17 4 1:00 1:15 -15
2021 Changeup 521 84.8 91 14.4 9:45 9:00 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1247 94.6 88 18.3 10:15 10:45 -30
2021 Slider 321 81.8 20 4 12:30 1:30 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 140 612 0 0 3 3 5
2021 548 2169 -8 -31 11 8 -21
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 568 49.5 62.6 77.8 31.4 54.4 48.9 63.8 46.8 30.1 7.4 73.8
2021 2169 51.2 68 75.1 29.8 52.5 43.7 56.9 49.4 30.7 7.4 80.7
2737 50.8 66.9 75.6 30.2 53 44.8 58.2 48.8 30.6 7.4 79.3
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 70 71 77 78 62 65 72 68 35 80 34 74 70 59 84
2021 79 69 81 86 70 50 89 74 65 81 47 81 79 71 80
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.9 5 4.3 1 4 1 3 60
2021 23.5 6 8.7 -3 6 6 4 66.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 5 4 6 4 6 4 4 4 5 5 7 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4
2021 6 14 9 8 10 7 8 10 7 12 8 10 5 7 9 9 5 10 11 11 6 7 6 10 9 9 8 8 11 6 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 94.5 0.9
Offspeed Velocity 84.4 84.8 0.4
Breaking Velocity 81 81.8 0.8
Exit Velocity 87.3 87.7 0.4
Launch Angle 10 12.5 2.5
Barrel % 5.3 5 -0.3
Hard Hit % 39.5 36.7 -2.8
Sweet Spot % 30.3 34.9 4.6
xBA .218 .221 0.003
BA .283 .218 -0.065
xwOBA .29 .282 -0.008
wOBA .368 .27 -0.098
xSLG .34 .337 -0.003
SLG .504 .318 -0.186
K% 30 28.5 -1.5
BB% 10 8.4 -1.6
Swing % 46.8 49.4 2.6
Whiff% 30.1 30.7 0.6
In Zone % 49.5 51.2 1.7
Out of Zone % 50.5 48.8 -1.7
Out of Zone Swing % 31.4 29.8 -1.6
First Pitch Swing % 34.6 26.4 -8.2
First Pitch Strike % 63.8 56.9 -6.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 130 .368 87 36 41.4 43 8 18.6
2021 548 .270 415 124 29.9 133 29 21.8

Pitch Distribution