Trevor Kelley
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 210LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2015 | Rd: 36, #1071, Boston Red Sox | North Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 0 0 10.80 4 0 0 3.1 5 2.70
2022 1 0 6.08 18 0 0 23.2 23 1.44
2023 0 1 5.87 10 3 0 15.1 11 1.43
4 Seasons 1 4 6.75 42 3 0 50.2 45 1.56
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 4 0-0 10.80 3.1 5 2.70
2022 18 1-0 6.08 23.2 23 1.44
2023 10 0-1 5.87 15.1 11 1.43
4 Seasons 42 1-4 6.75 50.2 45 1.56
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 26 163 29 4 13.8 10.0 91.0 109.4 26.3 44.8 .272 .615 .370 .430 .474 44.8 15.0 12.5 8.64 9.21
2020 27 77 13 1 7.7 5.3 87.8 106.6 12.4 38.5 .330 .618 .543 .414 .551 38.5 26.3 5.3 10.80 8.02
2022 29 460 73 9 12.3 8.4 85.0 111.8 19.6 39.7 .217 .429 .373 .317 .361 23.3 21.5 8.4 6.08 4.20
2023 30 272 50 5 10.0 7.2 87.5 107.3 14.3 40.0 .256 .479 .373 .351 .379 46.0 15.9 8.7 5.87 5.34
Player 972 165 19 11.5 8.1 87.0 111.8 18.6 40.6 .247 .488 .386 .354 .401 35.2 19.1 8.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelley relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(52.9%) ,
Sweeper
(40.8%) ,
Slider
(5.1%) ,
Changeup
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 17.2 51.7 24.1 6.9 34.5 41.4 24.1 3.4 13.8 34.5 17.2 17.2 13.8 10.0
2020 30.8 30.8 30.8 7.7 53.8 23.1 23.1 0.0 30.8 15.4 30.8 15.4 7.7 5.3
2022 35.6 30.1 23.3 11.0 42.5 28.8 28.8 8.2 26.0 35.6 13.7 4.1 12.3 8.4
2023 34.0 36.0 22.0 8.0 42.0 26.0 32.0 2.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 16.0 10.0 7.2
Player 31.5 35.8 23.6 9.1 41.8 29.7 28.5 4.8 23.6 30.3 18.8 10.9 11.5 8.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker TB R 144 89.1 32.4 -3.7 -10 20.0 3.4 20
2023 Changeup TB R 3 79.3 45.3 0.9 2 21.1 2.3 13
2023 Slider TB R 14 81.5 36.2 -1.9 -5 1.6 -4.0 -72
2023 Sweeper TB R 111 76.0 40.3 -0.6 -1 14.8 -2.0 -12
2022 Sinker MIL R 295 89.9 28.9 -6.7 -19 17.5 1.3 8
2022 Changeup MIL R 29 80.7 44.5 -1.5 -3 17.7 1.0 6
2022 Curveball MIL R 117 78.6 45.8 0.0 0 8.9 -0.1 -1
2022 Slider MIL R 19 83.8 34.0 -1.9 -5 0.0 -3.4 -100
2020 Slider PHI R 22 85.1 33.2 -1.1 -3 1.0 -1.9 -199
2020 Sinker PHI R 42 90.2 26.0 -7.4 -22 18.6 1.2 7
2020 Changeup PHI R 1 81.4 41.9 -1.5 -4 18.1 1.8 11
2020 Curveball PHI R 12 78.3 49.5 2.8 6 11.7 -2.6 -18
2019 Curveball BOS R 34 78.8 49.5 -0.2 0 8.9 -0.8 -9
2019 Changeup BOS R 2 81.8 36.4 -5.5 -13 19.6 1.1 6
2019 Sinker BOS R 98 88.6 26.8 -8.2 -23 17.6 -0.3 -2
2019 Slider BOS R 29 83.1 35.1 -1.1 -3 0.3 -2.9 -113
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker -0.6 -1 144 52.9 41 .250 .389 .327 16.4 9.8 11.1 .289 .511 .383 43.8
2023 Sweeper -1.0 -1 111 40.8 23 .238 .524 .350 32.0 30.4 17.1 .202 .362 .279 42.9
2023 Slider -2.8 0 14 5.1 3 .333 1.333 .667 25.0 0.0 -- .253 .864 .450 66.7
2023 Changeup -34.6 -1 3 1.1 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 -- .254 .634 .373 100.0
2022 Sinker 1.0 3 295 64.1 76 .231 .415 .336 16.2 18.4 15.1 .220 .405 .329 19.6
2022 Curveball -2.9 -3 117 25.4 21 .238 .619 .352 43.5 33.3 16.7 .153 .346 .210 21.4
2022 Changeup -5.1 -1 29 6.3 7 .429 .857 .543 33.3 28.6 12.5 .282 .653 .399 20.0
2022 Slider -4.6 -1 19 4.1 3 .667 1.667 .967 8.3 0.0 0.0 .451 .990 .607 100.0
2020 Sinker -3.0 -1 42 54.5 9 .500 .875 .600 17.6 33.3 25.0 .309 .485 .376 40.0
2020 Slider 4.2 1 22 28.6 7 .286 .286 .257 16.7 14.3 11.1 .293 .354 .286 16.7
2020 Curveball -19.7 -2 12 15.6 3 .667 2.000 1.083 25.0 33.3 33.3 .471 1.589 .826 100.0
2020 Changeup -5.1 0 1 1.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker -1.3 -1 98 60.1 29 .318 .636 .400 17.4 13.8 11.4 .247 .578 .413 38.1
2019 Curveball -0.2 0 34 20.9 6 .200 .200 .417 12.5 16.7 11.1 .277 .312 .332 25.0
2019 Slider 0.3 0 29 17.8 5 .250 1.000 .400 13.3 20.0 12.5 .402 1.198 .658 100.0
2019 Changeup 1.3 0 2 1.2 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Sinker 143 89.1 96 21.1 2:30 3:00 -30
2023 Slider 14 81.5 18 5.1 10:45 11:15 -30
2023 Sweeper 111 76.0 54 16.9 9:15 9:45 -30
2022 Changeup 28 80.7 98 19.0 3:30 3:30 0
2022 Curveball 114 78.6 48 10.2 9:15 8:15 60
2022 Sinker 286 89.9 94 18.8 2:45 2:30 15
2022 Slider 19 83.8 20 4.8 12:45 11:45 60
2020 Curveball 12 78.3 59 14.0 8:45 8:00 45
2020 Sinker 40 90.2 99 20.6 2:30 2:15 15
2020 Slider 21 84.9 28 3.6 12:45 12:15 30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 40 163 0 1 -1 -1 -1
2022 107 460 4 -3 -2 -2 -3
2023 68 272 -2 1 -1 -1 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 163 52.1 64.7 89.1 19.2 60.0 41.1 70.0 42.9 15.7 8.6 64.3
2020 77 57.1 59.1 88.5 21.2 57.1 44.2 63.2 42.9 18.2 13.0 70.0
2022 460 46.7 63.3 87.5 26.1 54.7 41.5 55.1 43.5 23.0 5.7 80.8
2023 272 43.8 52.9 74.6 34.6 79.2 42.6 66.7 42.6 23.3 7.0 42.1
Player 972 47.6 60.5 85.0 27.3 64.7 42.0 61.7 43.1 21.5 7.1 65.2
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 4 51 83
2022 6 47 59 83
2023 4 30 77
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.0 2 2.1 0 1 1 1 50.0
2020 25.3 2 1.9 0 0 1 1 50.0
2022 23.3 7 7.3 0 3 6 2 28.6
2023 22.8 4 3.5 1 2 3 1 25.0
Player 23.6 15 14.8 0 6 11 5 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 1
2020 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
2022 7 6 4 9 8 8 8 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 9 8 6 7 7 8 6 8 8 7 6 8 9 8 8 6
2023 4 1 3 5 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3
Player 15 12 10 18 15 15 16 13 14 13 14 16 16 14 15 17 16 14 15 15 15 14 17 17 14 13 15 16 17 15 12
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 88.6 -- 1.6 -- -- 89.9 -- 89.1 -0.8
Offspeed Velocity 81.8 -- -0.4 -- -- 80.7 -- 79.3 -1.4
Breaking Velocity 80.8 -- 1.9 -- -- 79.3 -- 76.6 -2.7
Exit Velocity 91.0 -- -3.2 -- -- 85.0 -- 87.5 2.5
Launch Angle 26.3 -- -13.9 -- -- 19.6 -- 14.3 -5.3
Barrel % 13.8 -- -6.1 -- -- 12.3 -- 10.0 -2.3
Hard Hit % 44.8 -- -6.3 -- -- 23.3 -- 46.0 22.7
Sweet Spot % 44.8 -- -6.3 -- -- 39.7 -- 40.0 0.3
xBA .272 -- 0.058 -- -- .217 -- .256 0.039
BA .290 -- 0.154 -- -- .260 -- .262 0.002
xwOBA .430 -- -0.016 -- -- .317 -- .351 0.034
wOBA .370 -- 0.173 -- -- .373 -- .373 0.000
xSLG .615 -- 0.003 -- -- .429 -- .479 0.050
SLG .613 -- 0.220 -- -- .531 -- .541 0.010
K% 15.0 -- 11.3 -- -- 21.5 -- 15.9 -5.6
BB% 12.5 -- -7.2 -- -- 8.4 -- 8.7 0.3
Swing % 42.9 -- 0.0 -- -- 43.5 -- 42.6 -0.9
Whiff% 15.7 -- 2.5 -- -- 23.0 -- 23.3 0.3
In Zone % 52.1 -- 5.0 -- -- 46.7 -- 43.8 -2.9
Out of Zone % 47.9 -- -5.0 -- -- 53.3 -- 56.3 3.0
Out of Zone Swing % 19.2 -- 2.0 -- -- 26.1 -- 34.6 8.5
First Pitch Swing % 35.0 -- -8.7 -- -- 22.4 -- 21.7 -0.7
First Pitch Strike % 70.0 -- -6.8 -- -- 55.1 -- 66.7 11.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 40 .370 29 1 3.4 11 10 90.9
2020 Shifts 19 .543 11 6 54.5 8 4 50.0
2022 Shifts 107 .373 67 17 25.4 40 23 57.5
2023 Shades 68 .373 50 14 28.0 18 8 44.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 52 16.1 28.8% 0.0% 30 21.8 0.0% 10.0%
2020 17 17.9 5.9% 0.0% 24 20.9 4.2% 4.2%
2022 143 16.0 30.1% 0.0% 98 19.4 4.1% 5.1%
2023 94 14.4 57.4% 1.1% 46 16.5 23.9% 2.2%
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Pitch Distribution


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