Tarik Skubal
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 3" 240LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 9, #255, Detroit Tigers | Seattle University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 7 3 2.80 15 15 0 80.1 102 0.90
2024 18 4 2.39 31 31 0 192 228 0.92
2025 4 2 2.67 9 9 0 54 71 0.93
6 Seasons 45 33 3.31 115 112 0 625.1 719 1.06
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 15 7-3 2.80 80.1 102 0.90
2024 31 18-4 2.39 192 228 0.92
2025 9 4-2 2.67 54 71 0.93
6 Seasons 115 45-33 3.31 625.1 719 1.06
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 591 84 9 10.7 6.7 89.6 111.9 21.0 38.1 .222 .461 .337 .324 .408 39.3 27.6 8.2 5.63 4.48
2021 24 2547 417 58 13.9 9.1 90.5 115.7 14.1 35.3 .267 .508 .332 .356 .454 45.1 25.9 7.4 4.34 5.59
2022 25 1914 327 18 5.5 3.8 89.3 113.1 11.3 31.2 .231 .357 .289 .284 .346 39.4 24.5 6.7 3.52 3.31
2023 26 1218 191 8 4.2 2.6 88.5 110.2 8.7 24.6 .197 .290 .238 .236 .321 40.3 32.9 4.5 2.80 2.30
2024 27 2866 481 32 6.7 4.2 87.5 113.0 12.0 33.1 .207 .328 .246 .257 .339 33.9 30.3 4.6 2.39 2.72
2025 28 797 132 7 5.3 3.3 85.7 110.2 12.1 37.9 .235 .356 .247 .269 .390 31.1 33.6 2.8 2.67 2.67
Player 9933 1632 132 8.1 5.2 88.7 115.7 12.5 32.9 .228 .383 .280 .289 .376 38.7 28.5 5.8
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skubal relies on 5 pitches.
Changeup
(32.4%) ,
Four Seamer
(30.0%) ,
Sinker
(22.6%) ,
Slider
(13.3%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(1.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2020 28.6 71.4 40.5 22.6 8.3 38.1 29.8 32.1 14.3 9.5 4.8 23.8 20.2 27.4
2021 39.3 60.7 30.0 23.7 7.0 36.7 39.6 23.7 18.7 16.5 4.1 18.0 23.0 19.7
2022 47.1 52.9 24.8 23.2 4.9 29.4 43.4 27.2 18.3 23.5 5.2 11.0 19.9 22.0
2023 51.8 48.2 19.4 19.9 8.9 40.3 41.9 17.8 23.6 22.0 6.3 16.8 19.9 11.5
2024 46.4 53.6 24.7 21.8 7.1 37.0 36.4 26.6 21.0 18.1 7.3 16.0 18.3 19.3
2025 39.4 60.6 25.8 26.5 8.3 28.0 40.2 31.8 15.9 18.2 5.3 12.1 22.0 26.5
Player 43.9 56.1 26.3 22.8 7.0 35.1 39.2 25.7 19.4 18.8 5.6 15.7 20.4 20.0
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.8 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 8.3 17.9 35.7 16.7 10.7 10.7 6.7
2021 4.6 28.3 24.2 23.0 6.0 13.9 9.1
2022 3.7 33.0 25.7 25.7 5.5 5.5 3.8
2023 6.3 39.8 23.0 20.4 6.3 4.2 2.6
2024 4.2 37.2 25.2 22.0 4.2 6.7 4.2
2025 6.8 25.8 25.8 29.5 6.1 5.3 3.3
Player 4.8 32.5 25.4 23.2 5.6 8.1 5.2
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Slider DET L 106 89.9 27.9 -2.7 3.4GLV 0.1 5.8 -4.1 3.4GLV -0.9
2025 Sinker DET L 180 97.5 14.6 -5.3 13.5ARM -1.5 14.3 -6.6 13.5ARM -1.9
2025 Curveball DET L 14 80.5 48.0 -5.4 5.7GLV -2.3 -5.7 -3.7 5.7GLV -2.5
2025 Changeup DET L 258 88.4 28.3 -2.1 15.9ARM 1.1 7.0 -1.7 15.9ARM 1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball DET L 239 97.6 11.1 1.3 4.1ARM -3.1 17.7 1.6 4.1ARM -4.0
2024 Changeup DET L 764 86.3 30.8 0.2 14.9ARM 1.0 6.0 -0.1 14.9ARM 0.8
2024 Sinker DET L 578 96.6 17.1 -3.0 14.5ARM -0.3 12.3 -4.1 14.5ARM -0.6
2024 Curveball DET L 120 78.5 52.2 -2.6 5.6GLV -2.8 -7.8 -0.7 5.6GLV -1.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball DET L 932 96.9 13.0 0.0 6.5ARM -0.9 16.2 0.6 6.5ARM -1.6
2024 Slider DET L 420 88.8 28.5 -3.9 2.3GLV -1.5 6.1 -4.6 2.3GLV -2.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Changeup 2.8 7 258 32.4 71 .174 .203 .174 48.7 45.1 32.7 .202 .272 .212 23.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 2 239 30.0 74 .254 .358 .290 34.9 35.1 24.8 .243 .399 .305 31.0
2025 Sinker 2.3 4 180 22.6 43 .238 .381 .277 25.0 14.0 25.0 .275 .431 .311 30.6
2025 Slider 1.3 1 106 13.3 21 .238 .381 .267 19.0 23.8 20.8 .266 .380 .276 50.0
2025 Curveball 1.0 0 14 1.8 2 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 66.7 -- -- .000 --
2024 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 19 941 32.8 233 .197 .286 .250 27.7 32.2 24.5 .198 .319 .261 36.7
2024 Changeup 0.8 6 770 26.9 235 .216 .322 .261 46.2 34.9 30.6 .209 .313 .236 28.6
2024 Sinker 1.5 9 584 20.4 174 .207 .305 .245 16.0 24.7 23.6 .214 .312 .251 36.9
2024 Slider 0.5 2 423 14.8 87 .169 .364 .309 34.4 28.7 22.9 .203 .395 .305 34.6
2024 Curveball 1.3 2 120 4.2 19 .158 .316 .200 17.5 5.3 8.3 .273 .523 .335 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 246 88.4 83 17.8 10:30 9:30 60
2025 Curveball 14 80.5 51 10.2 4:45 4:45 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 239 97.6 92 17.8 11:15 11:30 -15
2025 Sinker 179 97.5 90 19.7 11:15 10:30 45
2025 Slider 106 89.9 38 6.2 12:00 1:15 -75
2024 Changeup 697 86.3 82 16.4 10:30 9:30 60
2024 Curveball 118 78.5 63 11.9 4:45 5:00 -15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 900 96.8 95 17.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2024 Sinker 555 96.6 92 19.0 11:00 10:15 45
2024 Slider 401 88.7 37 5.8 11:30 1:00 -90
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 134 591 3 5 -6 -2 0
2021 634 2,547 -8 28 -17 -11 -8
2022 477 1,914 8 19 -10 -7 11
2023 310 1,218 9 19 -5 -4 18
2024 748 2,838 29 31 -16 -5 38
2025 211 797 5 17 -5 -2 15
Player 2,514 9,905 46 117 -58 46 74
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 591 47.5 72.2 76.4 30.0 57.0 42.3 57.5 50.1 29.4 8.5 80.0
2021 2,547 54.1 70.1 77.5 23.8 55.8 42.5 64.2 48.9 26.7 8.8 77.7
2022 1,914 52.8 69.0 80.6 30.2 54.6 42.4 65.0 50.7 26.4 8.1 80.0
2023 1,218 54.2 69.4 76.0 33.5 48.1 44.9 62.6 53.0 31.3 7.6 81.5
2024 2,866 55.3 68.3 74.7 31.1 49.0 43.1 68.7 51.8 31.9 8.9 79.8
2025 797 57.7 71.5 69.3 33.8 45.6 42.0 70.6 55.6 36.3 7.9 85.7
Player 9,933 54.1 69.5 76.3 29.5 51.7 42.9 65.7 51.2 29.7 8.4 79.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.7 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 41 66 22 9 69 28 13 27 36 71 55 69 71 69 84 42
2021 10 17 3 2 32 1 1 13 8 65 63 53 9 67 32 18 39
2022 71 57 66 69 75 47 78 28 34 63 65 57 57 59 21 17 38
2023 100 94 96 95 100 87 94 61 41 96 96 85 91 80 30 28 30
2024 94 87 87 81 96 21 70 81 84 91 95 90 77 89 33 22 40
2025 87 65 77 79 92 40 79 94 90 94 99 95 89 94 52 48
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.86 9 8.5 1 4 3 6 66.7
2021 23.27 35 38.3 -3 8 27 16 45.7
2022 24.16 9 10.6 -2 3 8 5 55.6
2023 24.48 4 3.3 1 1 4 1 25.0
2024 22.73 16 21.1 -5 7 16 8 50.0
2025 23.57 5 4.2 1 1 2 3 60.0
Player 23.50 78 86.0 -8 24 60 39 50.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2020 9 9 9 10 8 9 8 9 7 8 9 10 9 8 8 8 10 9 9 8 9 7 11 8 8 7 8 8 9 8 7
2021 35 41 33 36 43 39 44 37 30 29 37 41 35 32 40 44 36 35 40 41 38 40 46 44 36 34 43 42 40 38 35
2022 9 11 10 10 11 9 12 9 7 6 8 12 12 11 11 12 10 11 11 12 12 12 13 11 9 8 12 13 12 10 10
2023 4 2 3 3 5 3 5 2 5 2 3 5 4 2 4 3 2 2 4 5 2 3 5 3 2 2 5 5 3 4 1
2024 16 15 21 17 21 22 23 23 17 15 21 22 24 19 22 21 19 16 24 26 22 20 30 26 17 21 21 24 23 23 19
2025 5 6 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 3 5 5 3 4 4 5 5 6 4 4 3 4 5 4 4
Player 78 84 80 80 92 86 95 84 70 63 81 94 88 77 90 91 82 78 91 96 87 87 110 98 76 76 92 96 92 87 76
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 94.4 0.0 94.4 0.0 94.4 1.4 95.8 1.0 96.8 0.8 97.6
Offspeed Velocity 83.2 -0.6 82.6 1.0 83.6 0.7 84.3 2.0 86.3 2.1 88.4
Breaking Velocity 82.9 0.7 83.6 3.6 87.2 -2.3 84.9 1.6 86.5 2.3 88.8
Exit Velocity 89.6 0.9 90.5 -1.2 89.3 -0.8 88.5 -1.0 87.5 -1.8 85.7
Launch Angle 21.0 -6.9 14.1 -2.8 11.3 -2.6 8.7 3.3 12.0 0.1 12.1
Barrel % 10.7 3.2 13.9 -8.4 5.5 -1.3 4.2 2.5 6.7 -1.4 5.3
Hard Hit % 39.3 5.8 45.1 -5.7 39.4 0.9 40.3 -6.4 33.9 -2.8 31.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 38.1 -2.8 35.3 -4.1 31.2 -6.6 24.6 8.5 33.1 4.8 37.9
xBA .222 0.045 .267 -0.036 .231 -0.034 .197 0.010 .207 0.028 .235
BA .235 0.010 .245 -0.008 .237 -0.038 .199 0.002 .201 0.018 .219
xwOBA .324 0.032 .356 -0.072 .284 -0.048 .236 0.021 .257 0.012 .269
wOBA .337 -0.005 .332 -0.043 .289 -0.051 .238 0.008 .246 0.001 .247
xSLG .461 0.047 .508 -0.151 .357 -0.067 .290 0.038 .328 0.028 .356
SLG .496 -0.020 .476 -0.104 .372 -0.074 .298 0.013 .311 -0.003 .308
K% 27.6 -1.7 25.9 -1.4 24.5 8.4 32.9 -2.6 30.3 3.3 33.6
BB% 8.2 -0.8 7.4 -0.7 6.7 -2.2 4.5 0.1 4.6 -1.8 2.8
Swing % 50.1 -1.2 48.9 1.8 50.7 2.3 53.0 -1.2 51.8 3.8 55.6
Whiff% 29.4 -2.7 26.7 -0.3 26.4 4.9 31.3 0.6 31.9 4.4 36.3
In Zone % 47.5 6.6 54.1 -1.3 52.8 1.4 54.2 1.1 55.3 2.4 57.7
Out of Zone % 52.5 -6.6 45.9 1.3 47.2 -1.4 45.8 -1.1 44.7 -2.4 42.3
Out of Zone Swing % 30.0 -6.2 23.8 6.4 30.2 3.3 33.5 -2.4 31.1 2.7 33.8
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 6.7 30.6 1.7 32.3 0.6 32.9 3.9 36.8 4.0 40.8
First Pitch Strike % 57.5 6.7 64.2 0.8 65.0 -2.4 62.6 6.1 68.7 1.9 70.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 134 .337 110 51 46.4 24 15 62.5
2021 Shifts 634 .332 514 128 24.9 120 79 65.8
2022 Shifts 477 .289 373 84 22.5 104 64 61.5
2023 Shades 310 .238 268 18 6.7 42 15 35.7
2024 Shades 729 .247 611 94 15.4 118 53 44.9
2025 Shades 211 .247 163 22 13.5 48 19 39.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 180 14.9 52.2% 0.0% 77 21.5 0.0% 6.5%
2021 786 14.7 53.3% 0.5% 356 21.5 0.8% 3.4%
2022 554 15.8 37.4% 0.5% 289 22.4 0.3% 4.5%
2023 315 13.2 78.1% 0.6% 171 18.0 5.8% 0.0%
2024 814 12.9 80.3% 0.2% 352 18.1 2.0% 0.6%
2025 204 14.1 62.3% 0.5% 93 18.7 1.1% 3.2%

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Pitch Distribution