Tarik Skubal
P | B/T: R/L | 6' 3" 240LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 9, #255, Detroit Tigers | Seattle University
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 7 4.06 16 16 0 88.2 90 1.20
3 Seasons 14 23 4.40 55 52 0 270.0 291 1.23
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 16 5-7 4.06 88.2 90 1.20
3 Seasons 55 14-23 4.40 270.0 291 1.23

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 591 84 9 10.7 6.7 89.6 111.9 21.0 38.1 .222 .461 .337 .324 .408 39.3 27.6 8.2 5.63 4.48
2021 24 2547 417 58 13.9 9.1 90.5 115.7 14.1 35.3 .267 .508 .332 .357 .454 45.1 25.9 7.4 4.34 5.58
2022 25 1462 246 15 6.1 4.2 89.5 113.1 10.5 30.9 .250 .412 .303 .308 .383 39.4 24.9 6.6 4.06 3.47
Player 4600 747 82 11 7.3 90.1 115.7 13.7 34.1 .256 .472 .323 .337 .426 42.6 25.8 7.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 33.0 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skubal relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(30.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(27.6%) ,
Sinker
(19.7%) ,
Changeup
(15%) ,
Curveball
(7.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 28.6 40.5 22.6 8.3 38.1 29.8 32.1 8.3 17.9 35.7 16.7 10.7 10.7 6.7
2021 39.3 30.0 23.7 7.0 36.7 39.6 23.7 4.6 28.3 24.2 23.0 6.0 13.9 9.1
2022 48.8 24.4 22.4 4.5 32.1 43.1 24.8 3.7 33.3 23.6 26.4 5.7 6.1 4.2
Player 41.2 29.3 23.2 6.3 35.3 39.6 25.0 4.7 28.8 25.3 23.4 6.4 11.0 7.3
MLB 44.9 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seamer DET L 403 94.0 15.3 -0.9 -7 8.6 2.1 31
2022 Changeup DET L 219 83.6 32.7 2.2 7 13.9 0.4 3
2022 Slider DET L 445 89.6 25.1 -5.3 -17 0.6 -2.8 -81
2022 Sinker DET L 288 94.7 19.4 -1.0 -5 15.5 0.8 6
2022 Curveball DET L 107 76.9 55.5 -2.7 -5 6.5 -2.4 -27
2021 Changeup DET L 308 82.1 28.5 -1.7 -6 8.7 -3.9 -31
2021 Cutter DET L 8 94.2 13.6 6.5 32 2.2 -4.6 -187
2021 Curveball DET L 172 73.8 63.9 1.0 2 7.9 -2.3 -23
2021 Slider DET L 581 86.5 32.6 -1.7 -5 1.8 -2.4 -57
2021 Sinker DET L 329 94.5 19.1 -1.0 -5 15.1 0.5 3
2021 Splitter DET L 59 85.1 28.2 -5.1 -15 9.9 -0.5 -5
2021 4-Seamer DET L 1,090 94.3 14.8 -0.7 -5 8.3 1.6 24
2020 Changeup DET L 97 83.2 24.9 -4.4 -15 9.4 -2.5 -21
2020 4-Seamer DET L 348 94.4 13.8 0.3 2 11.1 4.4 66
2020 Cutter DET L 7 95.4 13.5 4.1 23 3.7 -5.3 -323
2020 Curveball DET L 46 76.6 58.6 -0.6 -1 4.4 -4.1 -48
2020 Slider DET L 93 86.1 34.3 -0.4 -1 2.4 -1.8 -42
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider -0.8 -3 445 30.4 103 .222 .384 .283 22.8 18.4 14.4 .265 .453 .314 40.7
2022 4-Seamer 0.5 2 403 27.6 84 .267 .480 .379 25.8 23.8 18.9 .223 .425 .316 47.3
2022 Sinker 0.1 0 288 19.7 90 .263 .375 .308 13.3 22.2 16.5 .281 .454 .344 38.7
2022 Changeup -1.0 -2 219 15.0 59 .200 .236 .227 47.9 40.7 30.0 .208 .248 .231 22.6
2022 Curveball 3.7 4 107 7.3 25 .333 .583 .402 32.0 28.0 13.7 .269 .444 .316 41.2
2021 4-Seamer 0.8 9 1,090 42.8 283 .291 .611 .420 24.0 24.7 19.2 .306 .625 .429 52.5
2021 Slider -1.1 -7 581 22.8 153 .204 .327 .248 29.1 33.3 22.6 .207 .340 .247 35.1
2021 Sinker -1.6 -5 329 12.9 105 .216 .433 .308 15.2 12.4 18.6 .310 .593 .399 48.2
2021 Changeup -0.4 -1 308 12.1 53 .176 .294 .220 50.0 39.6 25.9 .190 .265 .216 43.3
2021 Curveball 1.2 2 172 6.8 25 .250 .375 .288 31.1 28.0 11.1 .214 .412 .280 23.5
2021 Splitter 2.8 2 59 2.3 14 .333 .917 .539 31.6 14.3 11.1 .285 .643 .431 20.0
2021 Cutter -1.9 0 8 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .451 1.656 .859 100.0
2020 4-Seamer 0.1 0 348 58.9 73 .250 .547 .372 28.3 28.8 20.0 .201 .441 .305 42.2
2020 Changeup 2.6 3 97 16.4 27 .231 .538 .333 32.1 25.9 18.9 .259 .582 .362 47.4
2020 Slider 0.4 0 93 15.7 31 .185 .333 .282 26.5 25.8 17.4 .217 .387 .315 26.3
2020 Curveball 1.4 1 46 7.8 2 .500 .500 .450 44.4 50.0 10.0 .454 .547 .441 0.0
2020 Cutter 0.9 0 7 1.2 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 96 83.2 99 16.9 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Curveball 46 76.6 72 15.3 5:15 5:30 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 341 94.4 98 20.2 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Slider 89 86.1 20 4.1 12:15 2:15 -120
2021 Changeup 306 82.1 98 14.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 172 73.8 83 18.3 5:15 5:00 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,086 94.3 94 17.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Splitter 57 85.1 94 14.2 10:30 10:15 15
2021 Sinker 328 94.5 94 19.1 10:45 10:15 30
2021 Slider 571 86.5 27 4.0 12:00 1:15 -75
2022 Changeup 210 83.6 82 15.6 10:30 9:45 45
2022 Curveball 107 76.9 64 13.6 5:00 5:00 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 402 94.0 96 17.7 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Sinker 283 94.7 96 19.3 10:45 10:00 45
2022 Slider 436 89.7 50 8.2 11:00 12:15 -75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 134 591 -2 -1 5 2 4
2021 634 2,547 3 -29 15 10 -1
2022 361 1,462 0 -9 5 5 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 591 47.7 72.0 76.4 30.1 57.0 42.1 57.5 50.1 29.4 8.3 81.6
2021 2,547 54.1 70.1 77.5 23.9 55.6 42.5 64.2 48.9 26.7 8.9 78.0
2022 1,462 53.1 68.7 80.3 30.2 55.1 43.3 64.5 50.7 26.3 7.9 81.0
Player 4,600 53.0 69.9 78.3 26.8 55.6 42.7 63.5 49.6 26.9 8.5 79.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 41 67 22 9 69 28 13 27 36 71 55 69 41 73 84
2021 9 17 4 2 32 1 1 13 8 65 63 54 9 71 30 18
2022 66 54 60 64 70 25 71 29 43 65 70 56 66 65 19 16
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.9 9 9.5 -1 3 3 7 77.8
2021 23.3 35 39.5 -5 6 29 16 45.7
2022 24.0 8 10.0 -2 3 8 4 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 9 10 10 9 10 10 0 10 9 10 11 10 9 8 9 10 9 10 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 10 8 8 10 10
2021 35 38 43 33 42 46 41 45 43 36 36 40 31 30 38 45 43 40 37 39 43 38 35 38 38 41 45 36 40 37 47
2022 8 11 11 10 11 11 10 9 10 9 9 9 6 7 9 12 12 11 9 9 12 9 8 12 10 11 11 7 13 9 13
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.4 94.4 0 94.3 -0.1 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 83.2 82.6 -0.6 ↓ 83.6 1 ↑
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.6 0.7 ↑ 87.1 3.5 ↑
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.5 0.9 ↑ 89.5 -1 ↓
Launch Angle 21 14.1 -6.9 ↓ 10.5 -3.6 ↓
Barrel % 10.7 13.9 3.2 ↑ 6.1 -7.8 ↓
Hard Hit % 39.3 45.1 5.8 ↑ 39.4 -5.7 ↓
Sweet Spot % 38.1 35.3 -2.8 ↓ 30.9 -4.4 ↓
xBA .222 .267 0.045 ↑ .25 -0.017 ↓
BA .235 .245 0.01 ↑ .246 0.001 ↑
xwOBA .324 .357 0.033 ↑ .308 -0.049 ↓
wOBA .337 .332 -0.005 ↓ .303 -0.029 ↓
xSLG .461 .508 0.047 ↑ .412 -0.096 ↓
SLG .496 .476 -0.02 ↓ .393 -0.083 ↓
K% 27.6 25.9 -1.7 ↓ 24.9 -1 ↓
BB% 8.2 7.4 -0.8 ↓ 6.6 -0.8 ↓
Swing % 50.1 48.9 -1.2 ↓ 50.7 1.8 ↑
Whiff% 29.4 26.7 -2.7 ↓ 26.3 -0.4 ↓
In Zone % 47.7 54.1 6.4 ↑ 53.1 -1 ↓
Out of Zone % 52.3 45.9 -6.4 ↓ 46.9 1 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 30.1 23.9 -6.2 ↓ 30.2 6.3 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 30.6 6.7 ↑ 32.1 1.5 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.5 64.2 6.7 ↑ 64.5 0.3 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 134 .337 110 51 46.4 24 15 62.5
2021 634 .332 514 128 24.9 120 79 65.8
2022 360 .301 287 63 22.0 73 44 60.3

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 180 14.9 52.2% 0.0% 79 21.5 0.0% 8.9%
2021 787 14.7 53.2% 0.6% 369 21.6 0.8% 6.0%
2022 417 15.6 39.8% 1.0% 231 22.3 0.4% 7.8%
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Pitch Distribution

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