Tarik Skubal
P | B/T: R/L | 6' 3" 240LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 9, #255, Detroit Tigers | Seattle University

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 7 8 3.52 21 21 0 117.2 117 1.16
3 Seasons 16 24 4.15 60 57 0 299.0 318 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 21 7-8 3.52 117.2 117 1.16
3 Seasons 60 16-24 4.15 299.0 318 1.21

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 591 84 9 10.7 6.7 89.6 111.9 21.0 38.1 .222 .461 .337 .324 .408 39.3 27.6 8.2 5.63 4.48
2021 24 2547 417 58 13.9 9.1 90.5 115.7 14.1 35.3 .267 .508 .332 .357 .454 45.1 25.9 7.4 4.34 5.58
2022 25 1914 327 18 5.5 3.8 89.3 113.1 11.3 31.2 .231 .357 .289 .285 .346 39.4 24.5 6.7 3.52 3.34
Player 5052 828 85 10.3 6.8 89.9 115.7 13.7 33.9 .249 .445 .316 .326 .407 42.3 25.5 7.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skubal relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(30.9%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(26.6%) ,
Sinker
(21.1%) ,
Changeup
(14.9%) ,
Curveball
(6.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 28.6 40.5 22.6 8.3 38.1 29.8 32.1 8.3 17.9 35.7 16.7 10.7 10.7 6.7
2021 39.3 30.0 23.7 7.0 36.7 39.6 23.7 4.6 28.3 24.2 23.0 6.0 13.9 9.1
2022 47.1 24.8 23.2 4.9 29.4 43.4 27.2 3.7 33.0 25.7 25.7 5.5 5.5 3.8
Player 41.3 29.0 23.4 6.3 33.9 40.1 26.0 4.6 29.1 26.0 23.4 6.3 10.3 6.8
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider DET L 592 89.3 25.9 -5.1 -17 1.1 -2.6 -71
2022 Curveball DET L 123 76.9 55.3 -2.9 -5 6.4 -2.3 -27
2022 Changeup DET L 285 83.6 32.6 2.0 6 13.4 -0.2 -1
2022 4-Seamer DET L 510 94.1 15.1 -0.8 -6 8.3 1.7 25
2022 Sinker DET L 404 94.8 19.3 -1.0 -5 15.2 0.5 3
2021 Splitter DET L 59 85.1 28.2 -5.1 -15 9.9 -0.5 -5
2021 Curveball DET L 172 73.8 63.9 1.1 2 7.9 -2.3 -23
2021 Sinker DET L 329 94.5 19.1 -1.1 -5 15.1 0.5 3
2021 Cutter DET L 8 94.2 13.6 6.5 32 2.2 -4.6 -187
2021 Slider DET L 581 86.5 32.6 -1.7 -5 1.8 -2.4 -57
2021 4-Seamer DET L 1,090 94.3 14.8 -0.7 -5 8.3 1.6 23
2021 Changeup DET L 308 82.1 28.5 -1.7 -6 8.7 -3.9 -31
2020 4-Seamer DET L 348 94.4 13.8 0.3 2 11.1 4.4 66
2020 Changeup DET L 97 83.2 24.9 -4.4 -15 9.4 -2.5 -21
2020 Curveball DET L 46 76.6 58.6 -0.6 -1 4.4 -4.1 -48
2020 Cutter DET L 7 95.4 13.5 4.1 23 3.7 -5.3 -323
2020 Slider DET L 93 86.1 34.3 -0.4 -1 2.4 -1.8 -42
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider -0.7 -4 592 30.9 145 .228 .368 .273 23.7 18.6 14.7 .231 .368 .276 39.8
2022 4-Seamer 0.3 2 510 26.6 109 .265 .490 .374 25.4 24.8 18.8 .227 .394 .308 47.9
2022 Sinker -0.4 -1 404 21.1 123 .229 .312 .292 13.9 22.0 17.4 .263 .389 .321 38.1
2022 Changeup -0.7 -2 285 14.9 74 .200 .243 .222 47.5 39.2 27.9 .186 .227 .210 26.8
2022 Curveball 3.0 4 123 6.4 26 .320 .560 .387 30.9 26.9 12.7 .243 .383 .286 38.9
2021 4-Seamer 0.8 9 1,090 42.8 283 .291 .611 .420 24.0 24.7 19.2 .306 .625 .429 52.5
2021 Slider -1.1 -7 581 22.8 153 .204 .327 .248 29.1 33.3 22.6 .207 .340 .247 35.1
2021 Sinker -1.6 -5 329 12.9 105 .216 .433 .308 15.2 12.4 18.6 .310 .593 .399 48.2
2021 Changeup -0.4 -1 308 12.1 53 .176 .294 .220 50.0 39.6 25.9 .190 .265 .216 43.3
2021 Curveball 1.2 2 172 6.8 25 .250 .375 .288 31.1 28.0 11.1 .214 .412 .280 23.5
2021 Splitter 2.8 2 59 2.3 14 .333 .917 .539 31.6 14.3 11.1 .285 .643 .431 20.0
2021 Cutter -1.9 0 8 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .451 1.656 .859 100.0
2020 4-Seamer 0.1 0 348 58.9 73 .250 .547 .372 28.3 28.8 20.0 .201 .441 .305 42.2
2020 Changeup 2.6 3 97 16.4 27 .231 .538 .333 32.1 25.9 18.9 .259 .582 .362 47.4
2020 Slider 0.4 0 93 15.7 31 .185 .333 .282 26.5 25.8 17.4 .217 .387 .315 26.3
2020 Curveball 1.4 1 46 7.8 2 .500 .500 .450 44.4 50.0 10.0 .454 .547 .441 0.0
2020 Cutter 0.9 0 7 1.2 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 96 83.2 99 16.9 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Curveball 46 76.6 72 15.3 5:15 5:30 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 341 94.4 98 20.2 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Slider 89 86.1 20 4.1 12:15 2:15 -120
2021 Changeup 306 82.1 98 14.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 172 73.8 83 18.3 5:15 5:00 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,086 94.3 94 17.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Splitter 57 85.1 94 14.2 10:30 10:15 15
2021 Sinker 328 94.5 94 19.1 10:45 10:15 30
2021 Slider 571 86.5 27 4.0 12:00 1:15 -75
2022 Changeup 271 83.6 81 15.2 10:30 9:45 45
2022 Curveball 123 76.9 64 13.4 5:00 5:00 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 506 94.1 96 17.6 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Sinker 394 94.8 95 18.9 10:45 10:00 45
2022 Slider 571 89.4 48 7.8 11:15 12:30 -75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 134 591 -2 -1 5 2 4
2021 634 2,547 3 -30 15 10 -1
2022 477 1,914 -2 -14 7 6 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 591 47.5 72.2 76.4 30.0 57.0 42.1 57.5 50.1 29.4 8.3 81.6
2021 2,547 54.1 70.1 77.5 23.9 55.6 42.5 64.2 48.9 26.7 8.9 77.9
2022 1,914 52.8 68.9 80.6 30.2 54.6 42.4 65.0 50.7 26.4 8.1 80.0
Player 5,052 52.9 69.9 78.6 27.1 55.3 42.4 63.8 49.7 26.9 8.5 79.1
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 41 67 22 9 69 28 13 27 36 71 55 69 71 73 84 43
2021 9 17 4 2 32 1 1 13 8 65 63 54 9 71 30 18 39
2022 71 57 66 69 75 47 78 28 34 63 65 58 57 64 19 18 38
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.9 9 9.5 -1 3 3 7 77.8
2021 23.3 35 39.5 -5 6 29 16 45.7
2022 24.2 9 10.8 -2 4 7 5 55.6
Player 23.7 53 59.7 -7 13 39 28 52.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 9 10 10 9 10 10 0 10 9 10 11 10 9 8 9 10 9 10 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 10 8 8 10 10
2021 35 38 43 33 42 46 41 45 43 36 36 40 31 30 38 45 43 40 37 39 43 38 35 38 38 41 45 36 40 37 47
2022 9 12 12 11 12 12 10 11 10 10 10 8 7 7 10 12 13 12 11 10 13 10 10 12 12 12 12 7 12 9 14
Player 53 60 65 53 64 68 51 66 62 56 57 58 47 45 57 67 65 62 56 58 65 58 55 60 60 62 67 51 60 56 71
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.4 94.4 0 94.4 0
Offspeed Velocity 83.2 82.6 -0.6 ↓ 83.6 1 ↑
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.6 0.7 ↑ 87.2 3.6 ↑
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.5 0.9 ↑ 89.3 -1.2 ↓
Launch Angle 21 14.1 -6.9 ↓ 11.3 -2.8 ↓
Barrel % 10.7 13.9 3.2 ↑ 5.5 -8.4 ↓
Hard Hit % 39.3 45.1 5.8 ↑ 39.4 -5.7 ↓
Sweet Spot % 38.1 35.3 -2.8 ↓ 31.2 -4.1 ↓
xBA .222 .267 0.045 ↑ .231 -0.036 ↓
BA .235 .245 0.01 ↑ .237 -0.008 ↓
xwOBA .324 .357 0.033 ↑ .285 -0.072 ↓
wOBA .337 .332 -0.005 ↓ .289 -0.043 ↓
xSLG .461 .508 0.047 ↑ .357 -0.151 ↓
SLG .496 .476 -0.02 ↓ .372 -0.104 ↓
K% 27.6 25.9 -1.7 ↓ 24.5 -1.4 ↓
BB% 8.2 7.4 -0.8 ↓ 6.7 -0.7 ↓
Swing % 50.1 48.9 -1.2 ↓ 50.7 1.8 ↑
Whiff% 29.4 26.7 -2.7 ↓ 26.4 -0.3 ↓
In Zone % 47.5 54.1 6.6 ↑ 52.8 -1.3 ↓
Out of Zone % 52.5 45.9 -6.6 ↓ 47.2 1.3 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 30 23.9 -6.1 ↓ 30.2 6.3 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 30.6 6.7 ↑ 32.3 1.7 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.5 64.2 6.7 ↑ 65 0.8 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 134 .337 110 51 46.4 24 15 62.5
2021 634 .332 514 128 24.9 120 79 65.8
2022 475 .289 371 84 22.6 104 64 61.5

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 180 14.9 52.2% 0.0% 79 21.5 0.0% 8.9%
2021 787 14.7 53.2% 0.6% 369 21.6 0.8% 6.0%
2022 557 15.8 37.2% 1.1% 297 22.4 0.3% 7.1%
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Pitch Distribution

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