Tarik Skubal
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 3" 240LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 9, #255, Detroit Tigers | Seattle University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 8 12 4.34 31 29 0 149.1 164 1.26
2022 7 8 3.52 21 21 0 117.2 117 1.16
2023 7 3 2.80 15 15 0 80.1 102 0.90
4 Seasons 23 27 3.87 75 72 0 379.1 420 1.15
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 31 8-12 4.34 149.1 164 1.26
2022 21 7-8 3.52 117.2 117 1.16
2023 15 7-3 2.80 80.1 102 0.90
4 Seasons 75 23-27 3.87 379.1 420 1.15
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 591 84 9 10.7 6.7 89.6 111.9 21.0 38.1 .222 .461 .337 .324 .408 39.3 27.6 8.2 5.63 4.48
2021 24 2547 417 58 13.9 9.1 90.5 115.7 14.1 35.3 .267 .508 .332 .357 .454 45.1 25.9 7.4 4.34 5.58
2022 25 1914 327 18 5.5 3.8 89.3 113.1 11.3 31.2 .231 .357 .289 .284 .346 39.4 24.5 6.7 3.52 3.31
2023 26 1218 191 8 4.2 2.6 88.5 110.2 8.7 24.6 .195 .288 .237 .235 .320 40.3 32.9 4.5 2.80 2.27
Player 6270 1019 93 9.1 6.0 89.7 115.7 12.8 32.2 .237 .413 .301 .308 .391 41.9 27.0 6.7
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skubal relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(36%) ,
Changeup
(24.5%) ,
Slider
(20.6%) ,
Sinker
(12.2%) ,
Curveball
(6.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 28.6 40.5 22.6 8.3 38.1 29.8 32.1 8.3 17.9 35.7 16.7 10.7 10.7 6.7
2021 39.3 30.0 23.7 7.0 36.7 39.6 23.7 4.6 28.3 24.2 23.0 6.0 13.9 9.1
2022 47.1 24.8 23.2 4.9 29.4 43.4 27.2 3.7 33.0 25.7 25.7 5.5 5.5 3.8
2023 51.8 19.4 19.9 8.9 40.3 41.9 17.8 6.3 39.8 23.0 20.4 6.3 4.2 2.6
Player 43.3 27.2 22.8 6.8 35.1 40.4 24.4 4.9 31.1 25.4 22.9 6.3 9.1 6.0
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider DET L 251 87.6 30.1 -3.3 -10 2.0 -2.2 -53
2023 Curveball DET L 83 76.4 57.9 -0.6 -1 7.1 -2.0 -22
2023 4-Seamer DET L 438 95.8 14.0 -0.2 -2 7.1 -0.2 -3
2023 Sinker DET L 148 95.9 18.5 -1.7 -8 14.9 0.0 0
2023 Changeup DET L 298 84.3 33.8 2.5 8 12.9 -1.0 -7
2022 Slider DET L 591 89.3 25.9 -5.3 -17 1.1 -2.5 -69
2022 Sinker DET L 404 94.8 19.3 -1.1 -5 15.2 0.4 3
2022 Curveball DET L 123 76.9 55.3 -3.1 -5 6.4 -2.2 -26
2022 Changeup DET L 286 83.6 32.5 2.0 6 13.4 -0.2 -2
2022 4-Seamer DET L 510 94.1 15.1 -0.8 -6 8.3 1.6 25
2021 Changeup DET L 308 82.1 28.5 -1.7 -6 8.7 -3.9 -31
2021 Slider DET L 581 86.5 32.6 -1.7 -5 1.8 -2.4 -56
2021 Curveball DET L 172 73.8 63.9 1.1 2 7.9 -2.3 -23
2021 Cutter DET L 8 94.2 13.6 6.7 33 2.2 -4.8 -182
2021 4-Seamer DET L 1,090 94.3 14.8 -0.7 -5 8.3 1.6 23
2021 Splitter DET L 59 85.1 28.2 -4.9 -15 9.9 -0.7 -7
2021 Sinker DET L 329 94.5 19.1 -1.1 -6 15.1 0.4 3
2020 Cutter DET L 7 95.4 13.5 4.2 24 3.7 -5.3 -321
2020 Slider DET L 93 86.1 34.3 -0.5 -1 2.4 -1.7 -42
2020 Changeup DET L 97 83.2 24.9 -4.4 -15 9.4 -2.5 -21
2020 4-Seamer DET L 348 94.4 13.8 0.3 2 11.1 4.4 65
2020 Curveball DET L 46 76.6 58.6 -0.6 -1 4.4 -4.1 -48
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 2.3 10 438 36.0 112 .206 .299 .248 25.6 37.5 25.6 .187 .288 .225 43.1
2023 Changeup 2.1 6 298 24.5 81 .167 .205 .183 50.6 43.2 31.3 .175 .226 .194 39.5
2023 Slider -1.5 -4 251 20.6 66 .224 .448 .336 24.0 22.7 19.0 .201 .315 .275 40.9
2023 Sinker 2.3 3 148 12.2 36 .229 .286 .239 17.3 16.7 20.0 .237 .292 .247 37.9
2023 Curveball -2.1 -2 83 6.8 15 .143 .214 .237 36.0 26.7 21.1 .228 .513 .381 30.0
2022 Slider 0.7 4 591 30.9 145 .228 .368 .273 23.7 18.6 14.8 .231 .367 .276 39.8
2022 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 510 26.6 109 .265 .490 .374 25.4 24.8 18.8 .227 .394 .308 47.9
2022 Sinker 0.4 1 404 21.1 123 .229 .312 .292 13.9 22.0 17.4 .263 .389 .321 38.1
2022 Changeup 0.7 2 286 14.9 74 .200 .243 .222 47.5 39.2 27.6 .186 .227 .210 26.8
2022 Curveball -3.0 -4 123 6.4 26 .320 .560 .387 30.9 26.9 12.7 .243 .383 .286 38.9
2021 4-Seamer -0.8 -9 1,090 42.8 283 .291 .611 .420 24.0 24.7 19.2 .306 .625 .429 52.5
2021 Slider 1.1 7 581 22.8 153 .204 .327 .248 29.1 33.3 22.6 .206 .340 .247 35.1
2021 Sinker 1.6 5 329 12.9 105 .216 .433 .308 15.2 12.4 18.6 .310 .593 .399 48.2
2021 Changeup 0.4 1 308 12.1 53 .176 .294 .220 50.0 39.6 25.9 .190 .265 .216 43.3
2021 Curveball -1.2 -2 172 6.8 25 .250 .375 .288 31.1 28.0 11.1 .214 .412 .280 23.5
2021 Splitter -2.8 -2 59 2.3 14 .333 .917 .539 31.6 14.3 11.1 .285 .643 .431 20.0
2021 Cutter 1.9 0 8 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .451 1.656 .859 100.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.1 0 348 58.9 73 .250 .547 .372 28.3 28.8 20.0 .201 .441 .305 42.2
2020 Changeup -2.6 -3 97 16.4 27 .231 .538 .333 32.1 25.9 18.9 .259 .582 .362 47.4
2020 Slider -0.4 0 93 15.7 31 .185 .333 .282 26.5 25.8 17.4 .217 .387 .315 26.3
2020 Curveball -1.4 -1 46 7.8 2 .500 .500 .450 44.4 50.0 10.0 .454 .547 .441 0.0
2020 Cutter -0.9 0 7 1.2 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 250 84.2 74 14.2 10:30 9:30 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 437 95.8 96 16.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Knuckle Curve 79 76.5 75 15.6 5:00 5:00 0
2023 Sinker 141 95.8 92 18.8 10:45 10:15 30
2023 Slider 244 87.6 33 5.0 11:45 1:00 -75
2022 Changeup 271 83.6 81 15.2 10:30 9:45 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 506 94.1 96 17.6 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Knuckle Curve 123 76.9 64 13.4 5:00 5:00 0
2022 Sinker 394 94.8 95 18.9 10:45 10:00 45
2022 Slider 571 89.4 48 7.8 11:15 12:30 -75
2021 Changeup 306 82.1 98 14.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,086 94.3 94 17.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Splitter 57 85.1 94 14.2 10:30 10:15 15
2021 Knuckle Curve 172 73.8 83 18.3 5:15 5:00 15
2021 Sinker 328 94.5 94 19.1 10:45 10:15 30
2021 Slider 571 86.5 27 4.0 12:00 1:15 -75
2020 Changeup 96 83.2 99 16.9 10:45 10:45 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 341 94.4 98 20.2 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Knuckle Curve 46 76.6 72 15.3 5:15 5:30 -15
2020 Slider 89 86.1 20 4.1 12:15 2:15 -120
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 134 591 2 1 -5 -2 -4
2021 634 2,547 -3 30 -15 -10 1
2022 477 1,914 2 14 -7 -6 2
2023 310 1,218 3 19 -5 -3 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 591 47.5 72.2 76.4 30.0 57.0 42.3 57.5 50.1 29.4 8.5 80.0
2021 2,547 54.1 70.1 77.5 23.8 55.8 42.5 64.2 48.9 26.7 8.8 77.7
2022 1,914 52.8 69.0 80.6 30.2 54.6 42.4 65.0 50.7 26.4 8.1 80.0
2023 1,218 54.2 69.4 76.0 33.5 48.1 44.9 62.6 53.0 31.3 7.6 81.5
Player 6,270 53.1 69.8 78.0 28.3 53.8 42.9 63.5 50.3 27.8 8.3 79.3
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 41 67 22 9 69 28 13 27 36 71 55 69 71 69 85 41
2021 9 17 4 2 32 1 1 13 8 65 63 54 9 67 32 18 39
2022 71 57 66 69 75 47 78 28 34 63 65 58 57 59 21 18 38
2023 100 95 97 95 100 87 94 61 41 96 96 85 91 80 30 28 31
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.9 9 9.5 -1 3 3 7 77.8
2021 23.3 35 38.3 -3 8 27 16 45.7
2022 24.2 9 10.6 -2 3 8 5 55.6
2023 24.5 4 4.0 0 1 5 1 25.0
Player 23.7 57 62.3 -5 15 43 29 50.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 9 10 10 11 9 10 9 10 8 9 9 11 10 9 9 9 11 10 10 9 10 8 12 9 9 8 9 9 10 9 8
2021 35 41 33 36 43 39 44 37 30 29 37 41 35 32 40 44 36 35 40 41 39 40 46 44 36 34 43 42 40 38 35
2022 9 11 10 10 11 9 12 9 7 6 8 12 12 11 11 12 10 11 11 12 12 12 13 11 9 8 12 13 12 10 10
2023 4 2 3 4 6 5 6 3 5 3 3 6 4 3 5 4 3 2 4 6 2 4 6 4 3 2 6 6 4 4 1
Player 57 64 56 61 69 63 71 59 50 47 57 70 61 55 65 69 60 58 65 68 63 64 77 68 57 52 70 70 66 61 54
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.4 94.4 0.0 94.4 0.0 95.8 1.4 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 83.2 82.6 -0.6 ↓ 83.6 1.0 ↑ 84.3 0.7 ↑
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.6 0.7 ↑ 87.2 3.6 ↑ 84.9 -2.3 ↓
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.5 0.9 ↑ 89.3 -1.2 ↓ 88.5 -0.8 ↓
Launch Angle 21.0 14.1 -6.9 ↓ 11.3 -2.8 ↓ 8.7 -2.6 ↓
Barrel % 10.7 13.9 3.2 ↑ 5.5 -8.4 ↓ 4.2 -1.3 ↓
Hard Hit % 39.3 45.1 5.8 ↑ 39.4 -5.7 ↓ 40.3 0.9 ↑
Sweet Spot % 38.1 35.3 -2.8 ↓ 31.2 -4.1 ↓ 24.6 -6.6 ↓
xBA .222 .267 0.045 ↑ .231 -0.036 ↓ .195 -0.036 ↓
BA .235 .245 0.010 ↑ .237 -0.008 ↓ .199 -0.038 ↓
xwOBA .324 .357 0.033 ↑ .284 -0.073 ↓ .235 -0.049 ↓
wOBA .337 .332 -0.005 ↓ .289 -0.043 ↓ .237 -0.052 ↓
xSLG .461 .508 0.047 ↑ .357 -0.151 ↓ .288 -0.069 ↓
SLG .496 .476 -0.020 ↓ .372 -0.104 ↓ .298 -0.074 ↓
K% 27.6 25.9 -1.7 ↓ 24.5 -1.4 ↓ 32.9 8.4 ↑
BB% 8.2 7.4 -0.8 ↓ 6.7 -0.7 ↓ 4.5 -2.2 ↓
Swing % 50.1 48.9 -1.2 ↓ 50.7 1.8 ↑ 53.0 2.3 ↑
Whiff% 29.4 26.7 -2.7 ↓ 26.4 -0.3 ↓ 31.3 4.9 ↑
In Zone % 47.5 54.1 6.6 ↑ 52.8 -1.3 ↓ 54.2 1.4 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.5 45.9 -6.6 ↓ 47.2 1.3 ↑ 45.8 -1.4 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 30.0 23.8 -6.2 ↓ 30.2 6.4 ↑ 33.5 3.3 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 30.6 6.7 ↑ 32.3 1.7 ↑ 32.9 0.6 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.5 64.2 6.7 ↑ 65.0 0.8 ↑ 62.6 -2.4 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 134 .337 110 51 46.4 24 15 62.5
2021 Shifts 621 .332 504 130 25.8 117 90 76.9
2022 Shifts 477 .289 373 86 23.1 104 69 66.3
2023 Shades 310 .237 268 18 6.7 42 15 35.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 180 14.9 52.2% 0.0% 77 21.5 0.0% 6.5%
2021 786 14.7 53.3% 0.5% 356 21.5 0.8% 3.4%
2022 554 15.8 37.4% 0.5% 289 22.4 0.3% 4.5%
2023 315 13.2 78.1% 0.6% 171 18.0 5.8% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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