Tarik Skubal
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 3" 240LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 9, #255, Detroit Tigers | Seattle University
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 7 8 3.52 21 21 0 117.2 117 1.16
2023 7 3 2.80 15 15 0 80.1 102 0.90
2024 18 4 2.39 31 31 0 192 228 0.92
5 Seasons 41 31 3.37 106 103 0 571.1 648 1.07
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 21 7-8 3.52 117.2 117 1.16
2023 15 7-3 2.80 80.1 102 0.90
2024 31 18-4 2.39 192 228 0.92
5 Seasons 106 41-31 3.37 571.1 648 1.07
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 591 84 9 10.7 6.7 89.6 111.9 21.0 38.1 .222 .461 .337 .324 .408 39.3 27.6 8.2 5.63 4.48
2021 24 2547 417 58 13.9 9.1 90.5 115.7 14.1 35.3 .267 .508 .332 .357 .454 45.1 25.9 7.4 4.34 5.58
2022 25 1914 327 18 5.5 3.8 89.3 113.1 11.3 31.2 .231 .357 .289 .285 .346 39.4 24.5 6.7 3.52 3.34
2023 26 1218 191 8 4.2 2.6 88.5 110.2 8.7 24.6 .197 .290 .238 .236 .321 40.3 32.9 4.5 2.80 2.30
2024 27 2866 481 32 6.7 4.2 87.5 113.0 12.0 33.1 .210 .334 .246 .258 .342 33.9 30.3 4.6 2.39 2.68
Player 9136 1500 125 8.3 5.4 89.0 115.7 12.5 32.5 .229 .387 .283 .292 .375 39.3 28.1 6.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Skubal relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.2%) ,
Changeup
(27.2%) ,
Sinker
(20.5%) ,
Slider
(14.9%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(4.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 28.6 40.5 22.6 8.3 38.1 29.8 32.1 8.3 17.9 35.7 16.7 10.7 10.7 6.7
2021 39.3 30.0 23.7 7.0 36.7 39.6 23.7 4.6 28.3 24.2 23.0 6.0 13.9 9.1
2022 47.1 24.8 23.2 4.9 29.4 43.4 27.2 3.7 33.0 25.7 25.7 5.5 5.5 3.8
2023 51.8 19.4 19.9 8.9 40.3 41.9 17.8 6.3 39.8 23.0 20.4 6.3 4.2 2.6
2024 46.4 24.7 21.8 7.1 37.0 36.4 26.6 4.2 37.2 25.2 22.0 4.2 6.7 4.2
Player 44.3 26.4 22.5 6.9 35.7 39.1 25.1 4.7 33.1 25.3 22.6 5.6 8.3 5.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2024 Changeup DET L 765 86.3 30.8 0.2 14.9ARM 1.0 6.0 -0.1 14.9ARM 0.8
2024 Curveball DET L 120 78.5 52.2 -2.6 5.6GLV -2.9 -7.8 -0.2 5.6GLV -1.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball DET L 934 96.9 13.0 0.0 6.5ARM -0.8 16.2 0.7 6.5ARM -1.7
2024 Slider DET L 419 88.8 28.5 -3.8 2.3GLV -1.5 6.1 -4.5 2.3GLV -2.8
2024 Sinker DET L 576 96.6 17.1 -2.9 14.5ARM -0.2 12.3 -4.2 14.5ARM -0.7
2023 Curveball DET L 83 76.4 57.9 -0.6 7.1GLV -1.9 -11.0 2.6 7.1GLV -0.6
2023 Changeup DET L 297 84.3 33.8 2.5 12.9ARM -0.9 4.8 1.5 12.9ARM -1.1
2023 Slider DET L 252 87.6 30.1 -3.4 2.0GLV -2.2 5.3 -3.6 2.0GLV -3.3
2023 Sinker DET L 148 95.9 18.5 -1.7 14.9ARM -0.1 11.3 -3.0 14.9ARM -0.1
2023 4-Seam Fastball DET L 438 95.8 14.0 -0.2 7.1ARM -0.2 15.8 0.5 7.1ARM -0.8
2022 Curveball DET L 123 76.9 55.3 -3.1 6.4GLV -2.2 -8.8 0.0 6.4GLV -1.9
2022 Changeup DET L 286 83.6 32.5 2.0 13.4ARM -0.2 6.8 0.0 13.4ARM -0.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball DET L 510 94.1 15.1 -0.8 8.3ARM 1.6 15.9 -0.1 8.3ARM 0.7
2022 Slider DET L 591 89.3 25.9 -5.3 1.1GLV -2.5 8.2 -6.3 1.1GLV -3.8
2022 Sinker DET L 404 94.8 19.3 -1.1 15.2ARM 0.4 11.2 -2.3 15.2ARM 0.0
2021 Slider DET L 581 86.5 32.6 -1.7 1.8GLV -2.3 4.0 -2.4 1.8GLV -3.0
2021 Sinker DET L 329 94.5 19.1 -1.1 15.1ARM 0.4 11.6 -2.1 15.1ARM 0.4
2021 Split-Finger DET L 59 85.1 28.2 -4.9 9.9ARM -0.7 9.8 -5.8 9.9ARM 1.2
2021 Curveball DET L 172 73.8 63.9 1.1 7.9GLV -2.3 -13.2 4.5 7.9GLV 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball DET L 1090 94.3 14.8 -0.7 8.3ARM 1.6 16.1 0.0 8.3ARM 0.7
2021 Changeup DET L 308 82.1 28.5 -1.7 8.7ARM -3.9 12.2 -4.4 8.7ARM -5.2
2021 Cutter DET L 8 94.2 13.6 6.7 2.2ARM -4.8 17.5 9.5 2.2ARM -3.9
2020 4-Seam Fastball DET L 348 94.4 13.8 0.3 11.1ARM 4.4 17.1 1.1 11.1ARM 3.6
2020 Cutter DET L 7 95.4 13.5 4.2 3.7ARM -5.3 16.6 8.9 3.7ARM -5.6
2020 Slider DET L 93 86.1 34.3 -0.5 2.4GLV -1.7 2.5 -1.2 2.4GLV -2.7
2020 Curveball DET L 46 76.6 58.6 -0.6 4.4GLV -4.1 -11.8 3.0 4.4GLV -3.8
2020 Changeup DET L 97 83.2 24.9 -4.4 9.4ARM -2.5 14.7 -6.9 9.4ARM -4.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 2.0 19 943 32.9 233 .197 .286 .250 27.7 32.2 24.5 .203 .329 .265 36.7
2024 Changeup 0.9 7 771 26.9 235 .216 .322 .261 46.1 34.9 30.6 .209 .314 .235 28.6
2024 Sinker 1.2 7 582 20.3 174 .207 .305 .245 16.0 24.7 23.6 .215 .314 .252 36.9
2024 Slider 0.9 4 422 14.7 87 .169 .364 .309 34.0 28.7 22.9 .207 .403 .307 34.6
2024 Curveball 0.9 1 120 4.2 19 .158 .316 .200 17.5 5.3 8.3 .277 .546 .345 33.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball 2.3 10 438 36.0 112 .206 .299 .248 25.6 37.5 25.6 .190 .289 .226 43.1
2023 Changeup 2.2 6 297 24.4 81 .167 .205 .183 50.6 43.2 31.3 .177 .227 .195 39.5
2023 Slider -1.5 -4 252 20.7 66 .224 .448 .336 24.0 22.7 19.0 .206 .321 .278 40.9
2023 Sinker 2.3 3 148 12.2 36 .229 .286 .239 17.3 16.7 20.0 .236 .289 .242 37.9
2023 Curveball -2.0 -2 83 6.8 15 .143 .214 .237 36.0 26.7 21.1 .233 .522 .386 30.0
2022 Slider 0.7 4 591 30.9 145 .228 .368 .273 23.7 18.6 14.8 .231 .368 .277 39.8
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -2 510 26.6 109 .265 .490 .374 25.4 24.8 18.8 .227 .394 .308 47.9
2022 Sinker 0.4 1 404 21.1 123 .229 .312 .292 13.9 22.0 17.4 .263 .389 .321 38.1
2022 Changeup 0.7 2 286 14.9 74 .200 .243 .222 47.5 39.2 27.6 .186 .227 .210 26.8
2022 Curveball -3.0 -4 123 6.4 26 .320 .560 .387 30.9 26.9 12.7 .243 .383 .286 38.9
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -9 1,090 42.8 283 .291 .611 .420 24.0 24.7 19.2 .306 .625 .429 52.5
2021 Slider 1.1 7 581 22.8 153 .204 .327 .248 29.1 33.3 22.6 .206 .339 .247 35.1
2021 Sinker 1.6 5 329 12.9 105 .216 .433 .308 15.2 12.4 18.6 .310 .593 .399 48.2
2021 Changeup 0.4 1 308 12.1 53 .176 .294 .220 50.0 39.6 25.9 .189 .264 .215 43.3
2021 Curveball -1.2 -2 172 6.8 25 .250 .375 .288 31.1 28.0 11.1 .214 .412 .280 23.5
2021 Split-Finger -2.8 -2 59 2.3 14 .333 .917 .539 31.6 14.3 11.1 .285 .643 .431 20.0
2021 Cutter 1.9 0 8 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .451 1.656 .859 100.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 0 348 58.9 73 .250 .547 .372 28.3 28.8 20.0 .201 .441 .305 42.2
2020 Changeup -2.6 -3 97 16.4 27 .231 .538 .333 32.1 25.9 18.9 .259 .582 .362 47.4
2020 Slider -0.4 0 93 15.7 31 .185 .333 .282 26.5 25.8 17.4 .217 .387 .315 26.3
2020 Curveball -1.4 -1 46 7.8 2 .500 .500 .450 44.4 50.0 10.0 .454 .547 .441 0.0
2020 Cutter -0.9 0 7 1.2 1 -- -- .700 100.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 698 86.3 82 16.4 10:30 9:30 60
2024 Curveball 118 78.5 63 11.9 4:45 5:00 -15
2024 4-Seam Fastball 902 96.8 95 17.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2024 Sinker 553 96.6 92 19.0 11:00 10:15 45
2024 Slider 400 88.8 37 5.8 11:30 1:00 -90
2023 Changeup 249 84.2 74 14.3 10:30 9:30 60
2023 Curveball 79 76.5 75 15.6 5:00 5:00 0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 437 95.8 96 16.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Sinker 141 95.8 92 18.8 10:45 10:15 30
2023 Slider 245 87.6 33 5.0 11:45 1:00 -75
2022 Changeup 271 83.6 81 15.2 10:30 9:45 45
2022 Curveball 123 76.9 64 13.4 5:00 5:00 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 506 94.1 96 17.6 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Sinker 394 94.8 95 18.9 10:45 10:00 45
2022 Slider 571 89.4 48 7.8 11:15 12:30 -75
2021 Changeup 306 82.1 98 14.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 172 73.8 83 18.3 5:15 5:00 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,086 94.3 94 17.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Split-Finger 57 85.1 94 14.2 10:30 10:15 15
2021 Sinker 328 94.5 94 19.1 10:45 10:15 30
2021 Slider 571 86.5 27 4.0 12:00 1:15 -75
2020 Changeup 96 83.2 99 16.9 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Curveball 46 76.6 72 15.3 5:15 5:30 -15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 341 94.4 98 20.2 10:45 10:45 0
2020 Slider 89 86.1 20 4.1 12:15 2:15 -120
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 134 591 2 1 -5 -2 -4
2021 634 2,547 -3 30 -15 -10 1
2022 477 1,914 2 14 -7 -6 2
2023 310 1,218 3 18 -5 -3 14
2024 820 3,102 28 31 -14 -5 40
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 591 47.5 72.2 76.4 30.0 57.0 42.3 57.5 50.1 29.4 8.5 80.0
2021 2,547 54.1 70.1 77.5 23.8 55.8 42.5 64.2 48.9 26.7 8.8 77.7
2022 1,914 52.8 69.0 80.6 30.2 54.6 42.4 65.0 50.7 26.4 8.1 80.0
2023 1,218 54.2 69.4 76.0 33.5 48.1 44.9 62.6 53.0 31.3 7.6 81.5
2024 2,866 55.3 68.3 74.7 31.1 49.0 43.1 68.7 51.8 31.9 8.9 79.8
Player 9,136 53.8 69.3 77.0 29.1 52.2 43.0 65.2 50.8 29.1 8.5 79.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 41 67 22 9 69 28 13 27 36 71 55 69 71 69 84 42
2021 9 17 3 2 32 1 1 13 8 65 63 54 9 67 32 17 39
2022 71 57 66 69 75 47 78 28 34 63 65 58 57 59 21 17 38
2023 100 94 96 95 100 87 94 61 41 96 96 85 91 80 30 28 30
2024 95 87 87 81 96 21 70 81 84 91 95 90 77 89 33 22 40
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 24.9 9 8.5 1 4 3 6 66.7
2021 23.3 35 38.3 -3 8 27 16 45.7
2022 24.2 9 10.6 -2 3 8 5 55.6
2023 24.5 4 3.3 1 1 4 1 25.0
2024 22.7 16 21.3 -5 7 16 8 50.0
Player 23.5 73 81.9 -9 23 58 36 49.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2020 9 9 9 10 8 9 8 9 7 8 9 10 9 8 8 8 10 9 9 8 9 7 11 8 8 7 8 8 9 8 7
2021 35 41 33 36 43 39 44 37 30 29 37 41 35 32 40 44 36 35 40 41 38 40 46 44 36 34 43 42 40 38 35
2022 9 11 10 10 11 9 12 9 7 6 8 12 12 11 11 12 10 11 11 12 12 12 13 11 9 8 12 13 12 10 10
2023 4 2 3 3 5 3 5 2 5 2 3 5 4 2 4 3 2 2 4 5 2 3 5 3 2 2 5 5 3 4 1
2024 16 15 21 17 22 22 23 23 17 17 21 22 24 19 22 21 19 16 24 26 22 20 30 26 17 21 22 24 23 23 19
Player 73 78 76 76 89 82 92 80 66 62 78 90 84 72 85 88 77 73 88 92 83 82 105 92 72 72 90 92 87 83 72
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.4 94.4 0.0 94.4 0.0 95.8 1.4 ↑ 96.8 1.0 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 83.2 82.6 -0.6 ↓ 83.6 1.0 ↑ 84.3 0.7 ↑ 86.3 2.0 ↑
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.6 0.7 ↑ 87.2 3.6 ↑ 84.9 -2.3 ↓ 86.5 1.6 ↑
Exit Velocity 89.6 90.5 0.9 ↑ 89.3 -1.2 ↓ 88.5 -0.8 ↓ 87.5 -1.0 ↓
Launch Angle 21.0 14.1 -6.9 ↓ 11.3 -2.8 ↓ 8.7 -2.6 ↓ 12.0 3.3 ↑
Barrel % 10.7 13.9 3.2 ↑ 5.5 -8.4 ↓ 4.2 -1.3 ↓ 6.7 2.5 ↑
Hard Hit % 39.3 45.1 5.8 ↑ 39.4 -5.7 ↓ 40.3 0.9 ↑ 33.9 -6.4 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 38.1 35.3 -2.8 ↓ 31.2 -4.1 ↓ 24.6 -6.6 ↓ 33.1 8.5 ↑
xBA .222 .267 0.045 ↑ .231 -0.036 ↓ .197 -0.034 ↓ .210 0.013 ↑
BA .235 .245 0.010 ↑ .237 -0.008 ↓ .199 -0.038 ↓ .201 0.002 ↑
xwOBA .324 .357 0.033 ↑ .285 -0.072 ↓ .236 -0.049 ↓ .258 0.022 ↑
wOBA .337 .332 -0.005 ↓ .289 -0.043 ↓ .238 -0.051 ↓ .246 0.008 ↑
xSLG .461 .508 0.047 ↑ .357 -0.151 ↓ .290 -0.067 ↓ .334 0.044 ↑
SLG .496 .476 -0.020 ↓ .372 -0.104 ↓ .298 -0.074 ↓ .311 0.013 ↑
K% 27.6 25.9 -1.7 ↓ 24.5 -1.4 ↓ 32.9 8.4 ↑ 30.3 -2.6 ↓
BB% 8.2 7.4 -0.8 ↓ 6.7 -0.7 ↓ 4.5 -2.2 ↓ 4.6 0.1 ↑
Swing % 50.1 48.9 -1.2 ↓ 50.7 1.8 ↑ 53.0 2.3 ↑ 51.8 -1.2 ↓
Whiff% 29.4 26.7 -2.7 ↓ 26.4 -0.3 ↓ 31.3 4.9 ↑ 31.9 0.6 ↑
In Zone % 47.5 54.1 6.6 ↑ 52.8 -1.3 ↓ 54.2 1.4 ↑ 55.3 1.1 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.5 45.9 -6.6 ↓ 47.2 1.3 ↑ 45.8 -1.4 ↓ 44.7 -1.1 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 30.0 23.8 -6.2 ↓ 30.2 6.4 ↑ 33.5 3.3 ↑ 31.1 -2.4 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 23.9 30.6 6.7 ↑ 32.3 1.7 ↑ 32.9 0.6 ↑ 36.8 3.9 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.5 64.2 6.7 ↑ 65.0 0.8 ↑ 62.6 -2.4 ↓ 68.7 6.1 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 134 .337 110 51 46.4 24 15 62.5
2021 Shifts 634 .332 514 128 24.9 120 79 65.8
2022 Shifts 477 .289 373 84 22.5 104 64 61.5
2023 Shades 310 .238 268 18 6.7 42 15 35.7
2024 Shades 729 .247 611 94 15.4 118 53 44.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 180 14.9 52.2% 0.0% 77 21.5 0.0% 6.5%
2021 786 14.7 53.3% 0.5% 356 21.5 0.8% 3.4%
2022 554 15.8 37.4% 0.5% 289 22.4 0.3% 4.5%
2023 315 13.2 78.1% 0.6% 171 18.0 5.8% 0.0%
2024 814 12.9 80.3% 0.2% 352 18.1 2.0% 0.6%

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Pitch Distribution

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