Seth Lugo
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 35
Draft: 2011 | Rd: 34, #1032, New York Mets | Centenary College of Louisiana
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 2 3.60 62 0 3 65 69 1.17
2023 8 7 3.57 26 26 0 146.1 140 1.20
2024 16 9 3.00 33 33 0 206.2 181 1.09
9 Seasons 56 40 3.38 334 97 16 847.2 829 1.15
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 62 3-2 3.60 65 69 1.17
2023 26 8-7 3.57 146.1 140 1.20
2024 33 16-9 3.00 206.2 181 1.09
9 Seasons 334 56-40 3.38 847.2 829 1.15
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 26 961 190 18 9.5 6.9 89.3 109.9 12.1 31.6 .271 .471 .285 .354 .401 35.3 17.3 8.1 2.67 5.45
2017 27 1641 324 19 5.9 4.4 87.1 110.0 12.1 34.9 .268 .437 .327 .326 .382 35.5 19.5 5.7 4.71 4.61
2018 28 1614 277 16 5.8 3.9 87.1 111.8 9.8 32.1 .222 .349 .258 .273 .336 30.7 25.1 6.8 2.66 3.11
2019 29 1275 189 10 5.3 3.2 88.2 111.8 14.5 29.6 .184 .320 .237 .237 .327 33.9 33.1 5.1 2.70 2.43
2020 30 610 101 9 8.9 5.6 90.0 113.6 7.5 37.6 .265 .450 .346 .331 .445 42.6 29.4 6.3 5.16 4.70
2021 31 730 120 10 8.3 5.1 89.2 109.8 9.7 37.5 .249 .404 .305 .315 .403 38.3 28.2 9.7 3.50 4.21
2022 32 1079 182 15 8.2 5.5 88.5 109.0 10.9 30.2 .231 .369 .292 .290 .356 33.0 25.4 6.6 3.60 3.46
2023 33 2377 425 41 9.6 6.8 90.7 113.9 9.9 34.6 .260 .444 .306 .323 .395 44.2 23.2 6.0 3.57 4.42
2024 34 3112 598 48 8.0 5.7 88.5 115.1 10.7 32.8 .243 .389 .278 .300 .354 39.0 21.7 5.7 3.00 3.75
Player 13399 2406 186 7.7 5.3 88.7 115.1 10.9 33.2 .244 .401 .289 .304 .371 37.4 23.8 6.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lugo relies on 9 pitches.
Four Seamer
(24.0%) ,
Sinker
(18.5%) ,
Curveball
(16.1%) ,
Slurve
(10.1%) ,
Slider
(9.5%) ,
Cutter
(8.2%) ,
Changeup
(6.9%) ,
Sweeper
(4.0%) ,
Split Finger
(2.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 45.8 25.3 23.7 5.3 36.3 38.9 24.7 2.1 29.5 24.2 24.2 5.8 9.5 6.9
2017 42.6 24.7 26.9 5.9 35.5 41.7 21.9 4.3 31.2 24.1 27.5 5.9 5.9 4.4
2018 47.3 24.2 23.1 5.4 34.7 40.4 24.9 3.2 37.9 24.2 24.9 2.5 5.8 3.9
2019 43.9 28.6 21.2 6.3 40.2 37.0 22.8 2.1 34.9 29.1 18.5 9.5 5.3 3.2
2020 50.5 19.8 26.7 3.0 46.5 32.7 20.8 2.0 38.6 16.8 29.7 4.0 8.9 5.6
2021 41.7 24.2 29.2 5.0 39.2 37.5 23.3 5.0 30.8 22.5 27.5 5.0 8.3 5.1
2022 46.2 27.5 20.3 6.0 36.3 37.4 26.4 6.0 30.8 25.3 28.0 1.6 8.2 5.5
2023 45.4 24.2 26.4 4.0 41.2 37.4 21.4 3.1 32.9 21.6 24.7 7.5 9.6 6.8
2024 44.8 25.8 24.9 4.5 37.0 41.5 21.6 5.4 33.1 25.1 22.1 6.2 8.0 5.7
Player 45.1 25.1 24.8 5.0 37.9 39.2 22.7 3.9 33.2 24.0 24.5 5.7 7.7 5.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider KC R 296 86.7 31.5 -3.4 4.2GLV -0.5 4.6 -3.0 4.2GLV -0.9
2024 Sinker KC R 577 92.1 23.6 -1.6 15.3ARM -0.1 8.6 -1.3 15.3ARM 0.5
2024 Split-Finger KC R 82 85.8 32.4 -2.4 10.7ARM -0.1 4.5 -1.9 10.7ARM 0.1
2024 Slurve KC R 315 78.7 52.1 1.8 17.8GLV 1.7 -7.4 2.8 17.8GLV 2.6
2024 Cutter KC R 255 90.1 21.8 3.6 0.4GLV -1.5 11.8 3.5 0.4GLV -2.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball KC R 746 92.2 16.6 0.0 6.7ARM -1.4 15.4 -0.4 6.7ARM -0.8
2024 Changeup KC R 216 87.4 31.3 -0.3 14.9ARM 0.1 4.5 0.4 14.9ARM 0.7
2024 Curveball KC R 502 79.8 58.0 6.1 14.6GLV 4.1 -14.5 4.6 14.6GLV 5.2
2024 Sweeper KC R 123 81.7 38.7 -1.4 14.1GLV -0.6 2.4 -0.8 14.1GLV -0.2
2023 Curveball SD R 681 79.5 60.2 7.2 12.3GLV 3.1 -16.2 6.3 12.3GLV 3.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball SD R 757 93.4 14.5 1.2 6.5ARM -1.2 16.9 1.1 6.5ARM -0.9
2023 Slurve SD R 64 80.6 48.8 2.5 18.4GLV 2.6 -6.1 2.7 18.4GLV 4.0
2023 Sweeper SD R 47 82.3 37.0 -2.8 13.6GLV -0.6 3.7 -2.2 13.6GLV -0.5
2023 Sinker SD R 472 93.2 21.4 -2.5 15.6ARM 0.3 10.1 -2.5 15.6ARM 0.6
2023 Changeup SD R 139 86.3 31.1 -0.2 10.0ARM -4.5 5.5 -0.1 10.0ARM -4.4
2023 Slider SD R 216 85.8 34.2 -1.6 4.9GLV -0.6 3.0 -1.5 4.9GLV -0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 5 746 24.0 188 .234 .392 .306 17.6 21.8 18.6 .250 .438 .330 43.1
2024 Sinker 0.9 5 577 18.5 184 .274 .381 .334 12.9 13.0 18.6 .287 .426 .336 39.7
2024 Curveball 1.9 9 502 16.1 127 .178 .271 .231 33.9 39.4 28.2 .193 .298 .240 39.1
2024 Slurve 1.8 6 315 10.1 98 .215 .280 .236 28.5 22.4 25.0 .211 .295 .244 26.4
2024 Slider 1.1 3 296 9.5 80 .213 .387 .277 20.0 15.0 18.8 .273 .454 .330 51.6
2024 Cutter 2.3 6 255 8.2 60 .228 .228 .233 23.0 20.0 16.7 .210 .274 .235 30.4
2024 Changeup -0.7 -1 216 6.9 51 .208 .333 .295 29.1 21.6 19.6 .245 .420 .310 32.4
2024 Sweeper -3.0 -4 123 4.0 28 .375 .750 .505 10.9 10.7 6.8 .299 .616 .431 42.9
2024 Split-Finger 0.1 0 82 2.6 19 .105 .421 .211 35.1 31.6 17.6 .163 .386 .232 38.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 7 757 31.8 193 .246 .464 .330 21.4 31.6 23.5 .255 .497 .340 55.5
2023 Curveball -0.8 -6 681 28.6 173 .287 .384 .327 26.8 20.2 16.9 .293 .454 .336 40.8
2023 Sinker 2.2 10 472 19.9 138 .208 .360 .294 8.9 19.6 21.4 .224 .377 .296 36.7
2023 Slider -0.8 -2 216 9.1 33 .303 .515 .348 24.4 12.1 12.9 .278 .439 .304 34.5
2023 Changeup -2.1 -3 139 5.8 34 .303 .576 .406 34.3 14.7 15.2 .338 .509 .373 53.6
2023 Slurve 6.4 4 64 2.7 18 .000 .000 .039 22.6 22.2 13.3 .120 .221 .173 30.8
2023 Sweeper -3.1 -1 47 2.0 15 .250 .417 .367 28.6 26.7 23.5 .203 .346 .324 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 194 87.4 86 16.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 Curveball 469 79.8 84 23.3 7:30 7:30 0
2024 Cutter 250 90.1 65 11.0 12:45 12:00 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 735 92.2 84 16.4 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Split-Finger 71 85.8 82 12.0 1:15 2:30 -75
2024 Sinker 572 92.1 81 17.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 292 86.7 32 6.1 11:00 10:15 45
2024 Sweeper 120 81.8 49 15.1 8:30 9:15 -45
2024 Slurve 307 78.7 77 21.4 7:45 8:00 -15
2023 Changeup 124 86.2 74 11.7 1:00 2:15 -75
2023 Curveball 669 79.5 84 23.5 7:15 7:15 0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 745 93.4 89 17.7 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Sinker 464 93.2 84 18.8 1:00 2:00 -60
2023 Slider 210 85.8 37 6.7 10:30 9:45 45
2023 Sweeper 46 82.3 50 15.1 8:30 9:15 -45
2023 Slurve 63 80.6 73 21.3 7:45 8:15 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 257 948 9 13 -7 -4 11
2017 435 1,634 1 16 -10 -6 1
2018 405 1,611 13 21 -12 -4 18
2019 310 1,275 10 21 -11 -4 16
2020 159 610 -4 8 -4 -2 -3
2021 193 730 4 4 -5 -3 -1
2022 280 1,116 8 11 -6 -4 9
2023 604 2,376 8 25 -15 -9 10
2024 877 3,281 16 43 -17 -13 29
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 961 50.1 70.5 82.6 25.0 59.2 43.7 63.5 47.8 21.1 7.6 78.1
2017 1,641 51.5 66.8 82.6 26.9 66.7 41.7 59.2 47.3 20.6 8.5 76.3
2018 1,614 50.6 63.5 83.6 28.8 59.8 44.4 64.2 46.3 23.3 8.8 73.9
2019 1,275 52.8 64.2 79.2 25.9 56.4 44.1 58.7 46.1 26.5 7.4 72.3
2020 610 46.9 67.5 78.8 30.6 50.5 42.6 60.0 47.9 30.1 7.4 80.0
2021 730 49.0 64.5 77.9 30.4 49.6 40.3 68.4 47.1 31.1 7.5 78.2
2022 1,079 50.6 62.6 85.4 22.1 51.7 43.2 61.6 42.6 23.3 9.1 68.4
2023 2,377 52.3 64.8 85.0 25.9 57.5 42.4 63.1 46.3 21.9 9.0 74.3
2024 3,112 50.4 65.1 85.4 27.9 56.8 42.2 64.4 46.7 22.5 7.2 75.4
Player 13,399 50.9 65.2 83.3 27.0 57.5 42.7 62.7 46.4 23.4 8.1 74.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 9 18 12 11 13 41 3 28 42 22 44 31 11 47 74 100 77
2017 35 23 30 40 56 37 50 52 30 34 91 21 42 28 59 99 68
2018 86 71 78 76 84 49 63 81 86 67 74 38 59 65 53 99 52
2019 98 95 94 82 98 74 81 61 72 91 92 58 15 68 44 100 47
2020 35 25 27 32 48 28 26 20 19 78 78 73 75 51 48 98 29
2021 55 56 100 33
2022 67 57 57 56 69 55 33 50 86 67 68 28 1 59 64 99 24
2023 39 27 25 27 61 10 23 10 15 49 83 19 16 38 66 99 21
2024 59 42 50 54 71 2 43 58 47 39 86 25 41 21 83 100 24
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 7 8.5 -2 3 9 3 42.9
2017 22.8 13 13.5 -1 12 6 8 61.5
2018 23.1 9 9.6 -1 3 5 6 66.7
2019 23.5 8 9.2 -1 7 9 3 37.5
2020 23.1 8 7.0 1 2 3 5 62.5
2021 22.4 6 5.9 0 2 1 5 83.3
2022 22.7 9 7.0 2 1 7 2 22.2
2023 23.6 19 20.1 -1 9 20 6 31.6
2024 22.1 17 21.1 -4 16 20 6 35.3
Player 22.9 96 101.8 -6 55 80 44 45.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 7 11 6 9 6 6 9 9 7 6 6 11 8 7 6 10 6 7 9 11 9 7 12 11 9 7 10 14 11 8 6
2017 13 14 10 16 13 11 14 13 11 10 14 19 15 12 13 13 12 12 14 14 13 15 18 16 13 11 11 19 17 13 9
2018 9 11 8 11 9 8 12 10 10 8 8 13 9 9 10 10 8 9 9 12 9 9 13 11 8 8 9 10 9 11 7
2019 8 10 7 12 13 11 12 8 11 3 8 14 8 4 9 9 6 8 6 13 5 10 16 13 5 8 9 13 10 8 6
2020 8 7 8 10 7 6 7 6 7 6 6 7 8 6 7 8 7 7 7 8 6 7 8 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 5
2021 6 6 6 6 7 5 6 6 5 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 5 5 7 5 6 6 6
2022 9 7 6 7 8 7 8 7 5 5 5 7 7 8 8 8 6 6 9 8 8 5 9 9 6 5 8 8 8 6 6
2023 19 15 15 21 20 18 24 19 21 16 15 23 19 17 25 24 25 16 23 23 22 22 28 30 11 15 20 20 24 18 13
2024 17 18 19 21 18 20 25 19 13 14 21 25 25 18 20 15 21 15 23 30 24 22 33 30 18 22 17 21 26 20 21
Player 96 99 85 113 101 92 117 97 90 73 89 125 106 87 104 103 97 85 106 125 102 103 144 132 81 87 99 118 119 97 79
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.