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Seth Lugo
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 31

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 34, #1032, New York Mets | Centenary College of Louisiana
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 3 4 5.15 16 7 3 36.2 47 1.36
5 Seasons 25 19 3.45 167 38 12 383.1 384 1.15
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 16 3-4 5.15 36.2 47 1.36
5 Seasons 167 25-19 3.45 383.1 384 1.15

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 961 190 18 9.5 89.3 109.9 12.1 31.6 .269 .467 .285 .352 .397 35.3 17.3 8.1 2.67 5.57
2017 1641 324 19 5.9 87.1 110 12.1 34.9 .267 .433 .327 .323 .379 35.5 19.5 5.7 4.71 4.57
2018 1614 277 16 5.8 86.9 111.8 10.3 32.1 .214 .338 .259 .267 .324 30.4 25.1 6.8 2.66 2.99
2019 1275 189 10 5.3 88.2 111.8 14.9 29.1 .182 .316 .239 .237 .322 33.7 33.1 5.1 2.70 2.48
2020 610 101 9 8.9 90 113.6 7.5 37.6 .265 .450 .346 .331 .444 42.6 29.4 6.3 5.16 4.74
6101 1081 72 6.7 87.9 113.6 11.7 32.8 .236 .391 .287 .297 .364 34.5 24.3 6.3
6.4 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .402 .318 .313 .362 35.1 21.8 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lugo relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(32.3%) ,
Sinker
(22.6%) ,
Curveball
(19.3%) ,
Slider
(15.1%) ,
Changeup
(10.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 197 92 105 32.3 93.5 56 51 14 5 3 0 6 26 25 .275 .255 .686 .574 .420 .375 92.8 15 2241 6.1 33.3 29.2
2020 Sinker 138 75 63 22.6 93.2 34 28 9 7 1 0 1 8 21 .321 .340 .464 .485 .381 .411 93.3 2 2251 6.1 21.8 26.7
2020 Curveball 118 45 73 19.3 78.4 31 29 7 5 1 0 1 9 21 .241 .238 .379 .391 .269 .276 87.9 11 3213 5.7 31.5 27.3
2020 Slider 92 85 7 15.1 87.7 24 24 8 6 1 1 0 4 20 .333 .261 .458 .334 .337 .259 89.4 7 2346 6.0 31.6 20.0
2020 Changeup 65 3 62 10.7 87.4 14 14 2 1 1 0 0 0 14 .143 .214 .214 .250 .151 .205 84.3 -2 1703 6.0 28.2 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 433 228 205 34.5 94.5 118 109 16 11 2 0 3 54 57 .147 .167 .248 .305 .194 .224 91.3 22 2220 6.1 30.2 30.0
2019 Curveball 296 158 138 23.6 79.6 67 67 15 11 3 0 1 22 45 .224 .188 .313 .271 .237 .206 87.4 6 3286 5.5 27.5 25.9
2019 Sinker 280 160 120 22.3 94.1 72 66 11 7 3 0 1 22 44 .167 .165 .258 .289 .220 .233 85.4 13 2241 6.1 20.3 29.3
2019 Slider 164 155 9 13.1 88.0 33 32 11 7 1 0 3 5 27 .344 .280 .656 .570 .419 .359 88.9 14 2435 5.9 30.9 22.7
2019 Changeup 81 10 71 6.5 87.9 16 14 3 1 1 1 0 0 14 .214 .176 .429 .226 .312 .237 85.8 18 1734 6.2 21.1 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 45.8 25.3 23.7 5.3 36.3 38.9 24.7 2.1 29.5 24.2 24.2 5.8 9.5
2017 42.6 24.7 26.9 5.9 35.5 41.7 21.9 4.3 31.2 24.1 27.5 5.9 5.9
2018 47.3 24.2 23.1 5.4 35 40.4 24.5 3.2 36.1 24.2 24.2 2.5 5.8
2019 43.9 28.6 21.2 6.3 40.7 36.5 22.8 2.1 34.4 29.1 18.5 9 5.3
2020 50.5 18.8 27.7 3 46.5 32.7 20.8 2 38.6 16.8 29.7 4 8.9
45.3 24.8 24.4 5.5 37.5 39.1 23.1 3.1 33.4 24.3 24.7 5.4 6.7
45.3 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.5 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.4

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Changeup NYM R 65 87.4 27.1 -3.3 -11 14.9 0.9 6
2020 4-Seamer NYM R 197 93.5 14.4 1.2 8 8.1 0.3 4
2020 Curveball NYM R 118 78.4 63.1 10.1 19 12.3 3.1 34
2020 Sinker NYM R 138 93.2 19.3 -2.9 -13 15.6 0.7 5
2020 Slider NYM R 92 87.7 28.6 -4.5 -14 2.9 -0.9 -23
2019 Sinker NYM R 280 94.1 19.2 -2.8 -13 15.8 0.6 4
2019 Slider NYM R 164 88 29.1 -3.5 -11 3.5 -0.2 -6
2019 Curveball NYM R 296 79.6 61.9 8.7 16 12.7 2.8 28
2019 4-Seamer NYM R 433 94.5 14.4 1.3 8 7.5 -0.7 -9
2019 Changeup NYM R 81 87.9 26.6 -2.6 -9 15.1 0.6 4
2018 Curveball NYM R 504 79.9 59.1 6.3 12 12.3 2.6 28
2018 Sinker NYM R 376 93.3 20.2 -2.7 -12 15.7 0.6 4
2018 Changeup NYM R 119 87 27.1 -3.8 -12 15.5 1.1 8
2018 Slider NYM R 184 87.8 29.9 -3.2 -10 3.5 -0.6 -15
2018 4-Seamer NYM R 392 94.3 15 0.9 6 7.5 -0.9 -10
2017 4-Seamer NYM R 364 91.9 15.3 1 6 9.7 1.1 12
2017 Changeup NYM R 276 85.9 26.3 -3.7 -12 14.7 0.4 3
2017 Slider NYM R 245 85.7 30.1 -3.8 -11 1 -2.6 -73
2017 Curveball NYM R 285 76.3 61.8 6.2 11 12.1 0.9 9
2017 Sinker NYM R 430 91.1 21.3 -2.1 -9 17.4 1.9 13
2017 Cutter NYM R 34 88.5 19.9 6.1 23 2.8 -4.7 -252
2016 Sinker NYM R 296 92.5 19.6 -1.3 -6 15.4 0.4 3
2016 Slider NYM R 179 87.1 29.6 -0.9 -3 0.3 -1.5 -85
2016 Changeup NYM R 83 86.5 24.6 -4.3 -15 14.1 0.2 1
2016 4-Seamer NYM R 233 93.3 14.9 0.2 1 9 -0.1 -1
2016 Curveball NYM R 157 78.5 63.3 10.7 20 10 1.6 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Changeup -2.4 -2 65 10.7 14 .143 .214 .154 28.2 0 0 .214 .25 .205 14.3
2020 Slider 0.7 1 92 15.1 24 .333 .458 .344 31.6 16.7 20 .261 .334 .259 40
2020 Curveball -1.2 -1 118 19.3 31 .241 .379 .273 31.5 29 27.3 .238 .391 .276 33.3
2020 Sinker 0.4 1 138 22.6 34 .321 .464 .384 21.8 23.5 26.7 .34 .485 .41 57.1
2020 4-Seamer 2.3 5 197 32.3 56 .275 .686 .424 33.3 46.4 29.2 .255 .574 .375 56
2019 Changeup -0.5 0 81 6.4 16 .214 .429 .322 21.1 0 0 .176 .226 .238 7.1
2019 Slider 2.1 3 164 12.9 33 .344 .656 .432 30.9 15.2 22.7 .28 .57 .36 37
2019 Curveball 0.9 3 296 23.2 67 .224 .313 .271 27.5 32.8 25.9 .188 .271 .206 24.4
2019 Sinker -3.8 -11 280 22 72 .167 .258 .226 20.3 30.6 29.3 .165 .289 .233 29.5
2019 4-Seamer -2.5 -11 433 34 118 .147 .248 .199 30.2 45.8 30 .167 .305 .224 49.1
2018 Changeup 0.4 1 119 7.4 27 .12 .32 .319 24.6 14.8 14.8 .209 .36 .279 23.8
2018 Slider 2.4 4 184 11.4 46 .372 .605 .442 28.3 15.2 17.5 .308 .512 .359 27
2018 Sinker -1.1 -4 376 23.3 83 .278 .403 .344 13.9 9.6 11.9 .305 .483 .381 41.5
2018 4-Seamer -2 -8 392 24.3 108 .178 .267 .227 25.6 43.5 26.6 .152 .245 .2 25.5
2018 Curveball -1.8 -9 504 31.2 133 .185 .242 .212 25 26.3 24.1 .194 .289 .236 28.3
2018 N/A 1 0.1 0
2017 Cutter -1.6 -1 34 2.1 11 .182 .545 .295 29.4 36.4 30.8 .154 .269 .176 42.9
2017 Slider 0.8 2 245 14.9 71 .314 .543 .36 28.3 22.5 28.1 .284 .46 .324 38.2
2017 Changeup 1.1 3 276 16.8 75 .397 .647 .473 15.9 4 7 .307 .453 .352 26.5
2017 Curveball 0.8 2 285 17.4 82 .291 .367 .296 20.8 24.4 18.5 .258 .381 .283 35
2017 4-Seamer -0.5 -2 364 22.2 85 .227 .387 .309 17 22.4 15.7 .28 .554 .385 43.9
2017 Sinker -1.5 -6 430 26.2 111 .232 .333 .288 21.4 20.7 24.2 .236 .369 .303 35.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 63 87.4 97 17.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2020 Curveball 114 78.4 89 24.8 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 193 93.5 94 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 129 93.2 93 19.8 1:15 1:45 -30
2020 Slider 91 87.7 45 6.6 12:15 11:00 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 257 948 -8 -12 7 4 -10
2017 435 1634 0 -17 10 6 -2
2018 397 1575 -11 -21 13 4 -16
2019 306 1255 -10 -20 11 3 -16
2020 159 610 4 -8 4 2 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 961 50.2 70.5 82.6 24.9 58.8 43.8 63.5 47.8 21.1 7.6 78.1
2017 1641 51.5 66.8 82.6 26.9 66.7 41.7 59.2 47.3 20.5 8.5 76.3
2018 1614 50.7 63.6 83.5 28.4 59.7 44.4 63.9 46.3 23.1 9.1 73.4
2019 1275 52.8 63.8 78.7 26 56.5 44.1 58.3 46.1 26.5 7.3 71.7
2020 610 47 67.6 78.4 30.3 51 42.6 60 47.9 29.8 7.5 80.4
6101 50.9 66 81.6 27.2 59.8 43.3 61 46.9 23.5 8.2 75.3
48.4 66.6 82.2 28.4 58.9 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.7

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016 7 15 10 11 10 41 3 28 47 22 44 32 7 50 74 100
2017 34 21 30 40 54 37 50 52 30 34 91 21 34 31 55 99
2018 90 77 81 77 89 49 64 86 86 67 74 38 90 68 50 99
2019 98 95 94 83 98 74 81 61 73 91 92 59 98 72 43 100
2020 34 23 25 31 47 28 26 20 19 78 78 72 34 56 41 99
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.5 8 8.9 -1 8 8 3 37.5
2020 23.1 8 7.2 1 2 2 6 75

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 8 9 16 5 13 9 9 10 12 8 13 9 4 10 9 11 7 6 7 10 5 8 8 7 5 14 9 9 9 5 12
2020 8 8 7 8 7 8 7 7 8 7 10 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 8
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.8 91.4 -1.4 93.8 2.4 94.3 0.5 93.4 -0.9 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 86.5 85.9 -0.6 87 1.1 87.9 0.9 87.4 -0.5 undefined
Breaking Velocity 83.1 80.7 -2.4 82 1.3 82.6 0.6 82.5 -0.1 undefined
Exit Velocity 89.3 87.1 -2.2 86.9 -0.2 88.2 1.3 90 1.8 undefined
Launch Angle 12.1 12.1 0 10.3 -1.8 14.9 4.6 7.5 -7.4 undefined
Barrel % 9.5 5.9 -3.6 5.8 -0.1 5.3 -0.5 8.9 3.6 undefined
Hard Hit % 35.3 35.5 0.2 30.4 -5.1 33.7 3.3 42.6 8.9 undefined
Sweet Spot % 31.6 34.9 3.3 32.1 -2.8 29.1 -3 37.6 8.5 undefined
xBA .269 .267 -0.002 .214 -0.053 .182 -0.032 .265 0.083 undefined
BA .22 .284 0.064 .217 -0.067 .192 -0.025 .274 0.082 undefined
xwOBA .352 .323 -0.029 .267 -0.056 .237 -0.03 .331 0.094 undefined
wOBA .285 .327 0.042 .259 -0.068 .239 -0.02 .346 0.107 undefined
xSLG .467 .433 -0.034 .338 -0.095 .316 -0.022 .45 0.134 undefined
SLG .372 .445 0.073 .324 -0.121 .316 -0.008 .5 0.184 undefined
K% 17.3 19.5 2.2 25.1 5.6 33.1 8 29.4 -3.7 undefined
BB% 8.1 5.7 -2.4 6.8 1.1 5.1 -1.7 6.3 1.2 undefined
Swing % 47.8 47.3 -0.5 46.3 -1 46.1 -0.2 47.9 1.8 undefined
Whiff% 21.1 20.5 -0.6 23.1 2.6 26.5 3.4 29.8 3.3 undefined
In Zone Swing % 50.2 51.5 1.3 50.7 -0.8 52.8 2.1 47 -5.8 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 49.8 48.5 -1.3 49.3 0.8 47.2 -2.1 53 5.8 undefined
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 27.3 -3.5 22.9 -4.4 25.8 2.9 28.7 2.9 undefined
First Pitch Strike % 63.5 59.2 -4.3 63.9 4.7 58.3 -5.6 60 1.7 undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 256 .286 141 7 5.0 115 17 14.8
2017 434 .326 201 4 2.0 233 33 14.2
2018 396 .264 209 13 6.2 187 51 27.3
2019 306 .240 182 6 3.3 124 41 33.1
2020 158 .348 81 7 8.6 77 31 40.3

Pitch Distribution