Seth Lugo
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 32

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 34, #1032, New York Mets | Centenary College of Louisiana
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 1 3.93 19 0 2 18.1 19 1.20
7 Seasons 29 23 3.48 232 38 15 448.0 458 1.17
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 19 0-1 3.93 18.1 19 1.20
7 Seasons 232 29-23 3.48 448.0 458 1.17

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 26 961 190 18 9.5 6.9 89.3 109.9 12.1 31.6 .271 .471 .285 .354 .401 35.3 17.3 8.1 2.67 5.45
2017 27 1641 324 19 5.9 4.4 87.1 110.0 12.1 34.9 .268 .437 .327 .326 .382 35.5 19.5 5.7 4.71 4.61
2018 28 1614 277 16 5.8 3.9 87.1 111.8 10.2 32.1 .221 .349 .258 .273 .337 30.8 25.1 6.8 2.66 3.11
2019 29 1275 189 10 5.3 3.2 88.2 111.8 14.5 29.6 .184 .320 .237 .237 .327 33.9 33.1 5.1 2.70 2.43
2020 30 610 101 9 8.9 5.6 90.0 113.6 7.5 37.6 .265 .450 .346 .331 .444 42.6 29.4 6.3 5.16 4.70
2021 31 730 120 10 8.3 5.1 89.2 109.8 9.7 37.5 .249 .404 .305 .315 .403 38.3 28.2 9.7 3.50 4.21
2022 32 296 52 2 3.8 2.6 87.5 105.3 14.4 28.8 .233 .354 .292 .280 .342 25.0 25.0 6.6 3.93 2.77
Player 7127 1253 84 6.7 4.5 88.0 113.6 11.5 33.2 .240 .396 .288 .300 .372 34.6 24.7 6.7
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lugo relies on 5 pitches.
Curveball
(34.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(27.4%) ,
Sinker
(22%) ,
Slider
(12.8%) ,
Changeup
(3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 45.8 25.3 23.7 5.3 36.3 38.9 24.7 2.1 29.5 24.2 24.2 5.8 9.5 6.9
2017 42.6 24.7 26.9 5.9 35.5 41.7 21.9 4.3 31.2 24.1 27.5 5.9 5.9 4.4
2018 47.3 24.2 23.1 5.4 35.0 40.4 24.5 3.2 36.8 24.2 24.5 2.5 5.8 3.9
2019 43.9 28.6 21.2 6.3 40.2 37.0 22.8 2.1 34.9 29.1 18.5 9.5 5.3 3.2
2020 50.5 19.8 26.7 3.0 46.5 32.7 20.8 2.0 38.6 16.8 29.7 4.0 8.9 5.6
2021 41.7 24.2 29.2 5.0 39.2 37.5 23.3 5.0 30.8 22.5 27.5 5.0 8.3 5.1
2022 40.4 26.9 23.1 9.6 36.5 36.5 26.9 1.9 30.8 30.8 30.8 1.9 3.8 2.6
Player 44.8 24.9 24.7 5.6 37.5 38.9 23.3 3.2 33.3 24.4 25.3 5.3 6.7 4.5
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 4-Seamer NYM R 81 94.3 13.4 1.3 9 7.5 -0.2 -2
2022 Curveball NYM R 103 79.1 62.4 9.0 17 10.9 1.6 18
2022 Sinker NYM R 65 93.9 18.8 -3.6 -16 15.5 -0.1 -1
2022 Changeup NYM R 9 88.4 25.6 -4.2 -14 15.4 0.5 3
2022 Slider NYM R 38 88.6 27.5 -4.3 -13 2.0 -1.4 -41
2021 Sinker NYM R 182 93.4 19.7 -2.7 -12 16.1 1.2 8
2021 Slider NYM R 105 88.2 28.5 -3.8 -12 3.5 -0.4 -10
2021 4-Seamer NYM R 212 94.2 13.6 1.6 10 7.5 -0.3 -4
2021 Curveball NYM R 208 79.2 61.7 9.0 17 12.1 2.8 30
2021 Changeup NYM R 23 86.8 28.7 -1.6 -5 14.3 -0.1 -1
2020 Slider NYM R 92 87.7 28.6 -4.5 -14 2.9 -0.9 -23
2020 Sinker NYM R 136 93.2 19.4 -2.9 -13 15.7 0.7 5
2020 Changeup NYM R 65 87.4 27.1 -3.2 -11 14.9 0.9 6
2020 4-Seamer NYM R 199 93.5 14.5 1.2 8 8.1 0.3 4
2020 Curveball NYM R 118 78.4 63.1 10.0 19 12.3 3.0 33
2019 Changeup NYM R 83 87.9 26.7 -2.5 -9 15.2 0.6 4
2019 Slider NYM R 165 88.1 29.1 -3.5 -11 3.5 -0.2 -6
2019 Curveball NYM R 302 79.6 61.9 8.7 16 12.7 2.7 28
2019 4-Seamer NYM R 441 94.5 14.4 1.3 8 7.5 -0.7 -9
2019 Sinker NYM R 283 94.1 19.2 -2.7 -12 15.8 0.7 5
2018 Changeup NYM R 120 87.0 27.1 -3.8 -12 15.5 1.1 8
2018 Curveball NYM R 507 79.9 59.1 6.3 12 12.3 2.7 28
2018 Slider NYM R 186 87.8 29.9 -3.2 -10 3.5 -0.6 -15
2018 Sinker NYM R 377 93.3 20.2 -2.6 -11 15.7 0.7 5
2018 4-Seamer NYM R 396 94.3 15.0 0.9 6 7.5 -0.8 -10
2017 Cutter NYM R 34 88.5 19.9 6.1 24 2.8 -4.7 -256
2017 Changeup NYM R 276 85.9 26.3 -3.7 -12 14.7 0.4 3
2017 4-Seamer NYM R 364 91.9 15.3 1.0 6 9.7 1.1 13
2017 Sinker NYM R 430 91.1 21.3 -2.1 -9 17.4 2.0 13
2017 Slider NYM R 245 85.7 30.1 -3.8 -11 1.0 -2.7 -73
2017 Curveball NYM R 285 76.3 61.8 6.2 11 12.1 1.0 9
2016 Changeup NYM R 83 86.5 24.6 -4.3 -15 14.1 0.2 1
2016 4-Seamer NYM R 233 93.3 14.9 0.2 1 9.0 -0.1 -1
2016 Sinker NYM R 296 92.5 19.6 -1.3 -6 15.4 0.4 3
2016 Slider NYM R 179 87.1 29.6 -0.9 -3 0.3 -1.5 -85
2016 Curveball NYM R 157 78.5 63.3 10.7 20 10.0 1.6 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Curveball -2.4 -2 103 34.8 14 .071 .143 .089 28.6 42.9 19.4 .116 .132 .109 12.5
2022 4-Seamer -1.6 -1 81 27.4 30 .222 .370 .298 17.9 20.0 18.8 .267 .399 .327 28.6
2022 Sinker 0.5 0 65 22.0 21 .450 .650 .488 6.9 14.3 30.0 .300 .469 .344 23.5
2022 Slider -2.4 -1 38 12.8 10 .111 .111 .160 40.0 40.0 36.4 .188 .329 .264 40.0
2022 Changeup -0.7 0 9 3.0 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .049 .172 .090 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -3.2 -7 212 29.0 63 .164 .200 .229 41.7 42.9 30.3 .178 .241 .246 39.3
2021 Curveball -1.9 -4 208 28.5 50 .188 .271 .195 30.4 24.0 19.0 .251 .367 .254 36.8
2021 Sinker 2.4 4 182 24.9 44 .286 .457 .417 18.1 22.7 21.7 .274 .404 .376 44.0
2021 Slider 2.5 3 105 14.4 29 .357 .714 .459 33.3 20.7 28.6 .314 .543 .375 27.3
2021 Changeup 20.0 5 23 3.2 7 .429 1.286 .700 9.1 0.0 0.0 .416 1.379 .737 57.1
2020 4-Seamer 2.2 4 199 32.6 57 .269 .673 .417 33.0 45.6 29.2 .264 .581 .381 53.8
2020 Sinker 0.5 1 136 22.3 33 .333 .481 .395 22.2 24.2 26.7 .326 .470 .401 60.0
2020 Curveball -1.3 -2 118 19.3 31 .241 .379 .273 31.5 29.0 27.3 .238 .391 .276 33.3
2020 Slider 0.6 1 92 15.1 24 .333 .458 .344 31.6 16.7 20.0 .261 .334 .259 40.0
2020 Changeup -1.3 -1 65 10.7 14 .143 .214 .218 28.2 0.0 0.0 .213 .249 .204 14.3
2019 4-Seamer -2.4 -10 441 34.6 119 .147 .248 .203 29.5 45.4 29.3 .167 .305 .228 49.1
2019 Curveball 0.6 2 302 23.7 70 .214 .300 .259 27.6 32.9 26.1 .189 .277 .209 25.5
2019 Sinker -3.9 -11 283 22.2 72 .167 .258 .226 20.1 30.6 28.9 .165 .289 .233 29.5
2019 Slider 2.8 5 165 12.9 33 .344 .656 .459 30.5 15.2 22.7 .280 .570 .360 37.0
2019 Changeup -0.3 0 83 6.5 16 .214 .429 .322 20.5 0.0 0.0 .176 .226 .238 7.1
2018 Curveball -1.9 -9 507 31.4 134 .184 .240 .205 25.1 26.1 24.0 .199 .297 .241 28.0
2018 4-Seamer -2.1 -8 396 24.5 110 .175 .262 .217 25.4 42.7 26.6 .158 .251 .204 28.1
2018 Sinker -1.1 -4 377 23.4 83 .278 .403 .344 13.9 9.6 11.9 .305 .483 .381 41.5
2018 Slider 2.4 4 186 11.5 46 .372 .605 .432 28.3 15.2 17.5 .315 .524 .367 27.0
2018 Changeup 0.6 1 120 7.4 27 .120 .320 .319 24.6 14.8 14.8 .208 .359 .278 23.8
2017 Sinker -1.5 -7 430 26.2 111 .232 .333 .288 21.4 20.7 24.2 .236 .369 .303 35.1
2017 4-Seamer -0.2 -1 364 22.2 85 .227 .387 .313 17.0 22.4 15.7 .283 .562 .390 43.9
2017 Curveball 0.7 2 285 17.4 82 .291 .367 .296 20.8 24.4 18.5 .258 .381 .283 35.0
2017 Changeup 1.0 3 276 16.8 75 .397 .647 .467 15.9 4.0 7.0 .313 .462 .358 26.5
2017 Slider 0.7 2 245 14.9 71 .314 .543 .360 28.3 22.5 28.1 .285 .466 .328 38.2
2017 Cutter -1.6 -1 34 2.1 11 .182 .545 .295 29.4 36.4 30.8 .154 .269 .176 42.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 63 87.4 97 17.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2020 Curveball 114 78.4 89 24.8 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 195 93.5 94 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 127 93.1 93 19.8 1:15 1:45 -30
2020 Slider 91 87.7 45 6.6 12:15 11:00 75
2021 Changeup 23 86.8 95 16.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2021 Curveball 208 79.2 85 24.3 7:15 7:00 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 212 94.2 94 18.4 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 181 93.3 92 20.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Slider 105 88.2 40 6.6 12:00 10:45 75
2022 Curveball 103 79.1 82 24.2 7:00 7:00 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 81 94.3 93 18.7 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Sinker 65 93.9 93 19.9 1:00 1:45 -45
2022 Slider 38 88.6 44 6.7 12:15 11:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 257 948 -9 -12 7 4 -11
2017 435 1,634 -1 -16 10 6 -1
2018 400 1,586 -12 -21 13 4 -17
2019 310 1,275 -10 -21 11 3 -16
2020 159 610 4 -8 4 2 3
2021 193 730 -4 -4 5 3 1
2022 76 296 -1 -6 2 1 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 961 50.2 70.5 82.6 24.8 58.8 43.7 63.5 47.8 21.1 7.6 78.1
2017 1,641 51.5 66.8 82.6 26.9 66.7 41.7 59.2 47.3 20.5 8.5 76.3
2018 1,614 50.7 63.7 83.4 28.3 59.7 44.5 64.2 46.3 23.1 9.1 73.6
2019 1,275 52.8 64.2 79.2 25.9 56.4 43.9 58.7 46.1 26.5 7.4 72.3
2020 610 47.0 67.6 78.4 30.3 51.0 42.6 60.0 47.9 29.8 7.5 80.4
2021 730 48.9 64.7 77.9 30.3 49.6 40.3 68.4 47.1 31.1 7.5 78.2
2022 296 47.3 62.9 86.4 21.2 60.6 42.9 59.2 40.9 20.7 6.4 63.2
Player 7,127 50.5 65.8 81.5 27.2 58.6 43.0 61.8 46.7 24.2 8.0 75.3
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016 9 18 12 11 13 41 3 28 42 22 44 32 9 51 74 100
2017 35 23 30 40 54 37 50 52 30 34 91 21 35 32 56 99
2018 86 71 78 75 85 49 63 81 85 67 74 38 86 68 50 99
2019 99 96 94 82 98 74 81 61 72 91 92 59 99 70 42 100
2020 35 25 27 32 48 28 26 20 19 78 78 72 35 58 45 99
2021 61 52 100
2022 82 68 83 86 81 80 87 72 98 63 67 16 82 63 61 100
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 7 8.3 -1 6 7 3 42.9
2017 22.8 13 13.1 0 11 6 8 61.5
2018 23.1 9 10.0 -1 1 5 7 77.8
2019 23.5 8 10.1 -2 8 9 3 37.5
2020 23.1 8 7.3 1 2 3 5 62.5
2021 22.4 6 6.0 0 3 2 5 83.3
2022 23.3 2 0.9 1 0 2 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 7 9 11 8 6 9 6 10 8 7 9 8 5 5 6 9 9 11 6 7 14 6 6 9 9 11 11 7 7 9 12
2017 13 13 18 12 13 13 11 13 13 11 16 14 10 11 12 14 11 16 9 12 18 12 12 14 13 14 15 11 14 13 16
2018 9 9 12 9 10 10 10 12 11 10 11 10 8 10 9 12 10 9 8 11 10 9 9 9 9 13 11 8 9 8 13
2019 8 10 17 5 11 11 12 13 12 7 13 10 5 13 9 12 11 11 7 8 14 8 10 7 4 14 12 9 10 6 13
2020 8 8 9 6 7 8 0 7 7 8 10 7 6 6 6 7 8 8 6 7 8 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 7 7 9
2021 6 6 7 6 6 7 5 6 8 6 6 7 5 5 5 7 7 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 7 5 7
2022 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 1 1 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 0 1 0 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.8 91.4 -1.4 93.8 2.4 94.3 0.5 93.4 -0.9 93.8 0.4 94.2 0.4
Offspeed Velocity 86.5 85.9 -0.6 87 1.1 87.9 0.9 87.4 -0.5 86.8 -0.6 88.4 1.6
Breaking Velocity 83.1 80.7 -2.4 82 1.3 82.6 0.6 82.5 -0.1 82.2 -0.3 81.6 -0.6
Exit Velocity 89.3 87.1 -2.2 87.1 0 88.2 1.1 90 1.8 89.2 -0.8 87.5 -1.7
Launch Angle 12.1 12.1 0 10.2 -1.9 14.5 4.3 7.5 -7 9.7 2.2 14.4 4.7
Barrel % 9.5 5.9 -3.6 5.8 -0.1 5.3 -0.5 8.9 3.6 8.3 -0.6 3.8 -4.5
Hard Hit % 35.3 35.5 0.2 30.8 -4.7 33.9 3.1 42.6 8.7 38.3 -4.3 25 -13.3
Sweet Spot % 31.6 34.9 3.3 32.1 -2.8 29.6 -2.5 37.6 8 37.5 -0.1 28.8 -8.7
xBA .271 .268 -0.003 .221 -0.047 .184 -0.037 .265 0.081 .249 -0.016 .233 -0.016
BA .22 .284 0.064 .217 -0.067 .192 -0.025 .274 0.082 .237 -0.037 .239 0.002
xwOBA .354 .326 -0.028 .273 -0.053 .237 -0.036 .331 0.094 .315 -0.016 .28 -0.035
wOBA .285 .327 0.042 .258 -0.069 .237 -0.021 .346 0.109 .305 -0.041 .292 -0.013
xSLG .471 .437 -0.034 .349 -0.088 .32 -0.029 .45 0.13 .404 -0.046 .354 -0.05
SLG .372 .445 0.073 .324 -0.121 .316 -0.008 .5 0.184 .399 -0.101 .366 -0.033
K% 17.3 19.5 2.2 25.1 5.6 33.1 8 29.4 -3.7 28.2 -1.2 25 -3.2
BB% 8.1 5.7 -2.4 6.8 1.1 5.1 -1.7 6.3 1.2 9.7 3.4 6.6 -3.1
Swing % 47.8 47.3 -0.5 46.3 -1 46.1 -0.2 47.9 1.8 47.1 -0.8 40.9 -6.2
Whiff% 21.1 20.5 -0.6 23.1 2.6 26.5 3.4 29.8 3.3 31.1 1.3 20.7 -10.4
In Zone % 50.2 51.5 1.3 50.7 -0.8 52.8 2.1 47 -5.8 48.9 1.9 47.3 -1.6
Out of Zone % 49.8 48.5 -1.3 49.3 0.8 47.2 -2.1 53 5.8 51.1 -1.9 52.7 1.6
Out of Zone Swing % 24.8 26.9 2.1 28.3 1.4 25.9 -2.4 30.3 4.4 30.3 0 21.2 -9.1
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 27.3 -3.5 23 -4.3 26 3 28.7 2.7 30.6 1.9 23.7 -6.9
First Pitch Strike % 63.5 59.2 -4.3 64.2 5 58.7 -5.5 60 1.3 68.4 8.4 59.2 -9.2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 256 .286 141 7 5.0 115 17 14.8
2017 434 .326 201 4 2.0 233 33 14.2
2018 399 .260 210 13 6.2 189 52 27.5
2019 310 .237 184 6 3.3 126 43 34.1
2020 159 .346 82 7 8.5 77 31 40.3
2021 193 .305 102 39 38.2 91 43 47.3
2022 76 .292 41 23 56.1 35 18 51.4

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2016 294 17.1 31.3% 2.0% 141 23.4 3.5% 18.4%
2017 512 16.6 29.5% 2.7% 266 21.3 2.3% 9.8%
2018 492 17.2 22.8% 1.6% 286 21.0 1.7% 12.2%
2019 408 17.1 20.8% 2.0% 211 22.7 0.0% 15.2%
2020 188 17.4 20.2% 2.7% 88 22.9 0.0% 13.6%
2021 206 18.3 11.2% 1.5% 122 22.4 0.0% 9.0%
2022 92 17.0 25.0% 2.2% 59 20.0 1.7% 10.2%

Pitch Distribution