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Seth Lugo
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 32

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 34, #1032, New York Mets | Centenary College of Louisiana
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 4 3 3.50 46 0 1 46.1 55 1.29
6 Seasons 29 22 3.46 213 38 13 429.2 439 1.16
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 46 4-3 3.50 46.1 55 1.29
6 Seasons 213 29-22 3.46 429.2 439 1.16

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 27 961 190 18 9.5 89.3 109.9 12.1 31.6 .269 .467 .285 .352 .397 35.3 17.3 8.1 2.67 5.57
2017 28 1641 324 19 5.9 87.1 110 12.1 34.9 .267 .433 .327 .323 .379 35.5 19.5 5.7 4.71 4.61
2018 29 1614 277 16 5.8 86.9 111.8 10.3 32.1 .213 .338 .258 .265 .323 30.4 25.1 6.8 2.66 2.96
2019 30 1275 189 10 5.3 88.2 111.8 14.9 29.1 .182 .316 .237 .235 .322 33.7 33.1 5.1 2.70 2.44
2020 31 610 101 9 8.9 90 113.6 7.5 37.6 .265 .450 .346 .331 .444 42.6 29.4 6.3 5.16 4.74
2021 32 730 120 10 8.3 89.2 109.8 9.7 37.5 .248 .402 .305 .313 .400 38.3 28.2 9.7 3.50 4.18
6831 1201 82 6.8 88 113.6 11.5 33.3 .237 .393 .288 .298 .367 34.9 24.7 6.7
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lugo relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(29.2%) ,
Curveball
(28.5%) ,
Sinker
(24.8%) ,
Slider
(14.4%) ,
Changeup
(3.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 213 104 109 29.2 94.2 63 55 9 7 2 0 0 27 28 .164 .178 .200 .241 .225 .245 87.3 16 2228 6.1 41.3 30.3
2021 Curveball 208 79 129 28.5 79.2 50 48 9 7 1 0 1 12 38 .188 .246 .271 .359 .188 .249 89.8 3 3261 5.7 30.4 19.0
2021 Sinker 181 95 86 24.8 93.3 44 35 10 7 1 1 1 10 25 .286 .274 .457 .404 .391 .375 86.5 9 2273 6.2 18.3 21.7
2021 Slider 105 103 2 14.4 88.2 29 28 10 4 4 0 2 6 22 .357 .314 .714 .543 .455 .375 87.2 13 2397 6.0 33.3 28.6
2021 Changeup 23 2 21 3.2 86.8 7 7 3 1 0 0 2 0 7 .429 .416 1.286 1.379 .699 .737 93.3 22 1678 6.1 9.1 0.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 199 94 105 32.6 93.5 57 52 14 5 3 0 6 26 26 .269 .264 .673 .580 .412 .380 92.7 15 2240 6.1 33.0 29.2
2020 Sinker 136 73 63 22.3 93.2 33 27 9 7 1 0 1 8 20 .333 .326 .481 .470 .392 .402 93.5 2 2253 6.1 22.2 26.7
2020 Curveball 118 45 73 19.3 78.4 31 29 7 5 1 0 1 9 21 .241 .238 .379 .391 .269 .276 87.9 11 3213 5.7 31.5 27.3
2020 Slider 92 85 7 15.1 87.7 24 24 8 6 1 1 0 4 20 .333 .261 .458 .334 .337 .259 89.4 7 2346 6.0 31.6 20.0
2020 Changeup 65 3 62 10.7 87.4 14 14 2 1 1 0 0 0 14 .143 .214 .214 .250 .151 .205 84.3 -2 1703 6.0 28.2 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 45.8 25.3 23.7 5.3 36.3 38.9 24.7 2.1 29.5 24.2 24.2 5.8 9.5
2017 42.6 24.7 26.9 5.9 35.5 41.7 21.9 4.3 31.2 24.1 27.5 5.9 5.9
2018 47.3 24.2 23.1 5.4 35 40.4 24.5 3.2 36.1 24.2 24.2 2.5 5.8
2019 43.9 28.6 21.2 6.3 40.7 36.5 22.8 2.1 34.4 29.1 18.5 9 5.3
2020 50.5 18.8 27.7 3 46.5 32.7 20.8 2 38.6 16.8 29.7 4 8.9
2021 41.7 24.2 29.2 5 39.2 37.5 23.3 5 30.8 22.5 27.5 5 8.3
45 24.7 24.9 5.4 37.6 39 23.1 3.2 33.1 24.1 25 5.3 6.8
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker NYM R 181 93.3 19.8 -2.7 -12 16.1 1.1 8
2021 Curveball NYM R 208 79.2 61.7 9 17 12.1 2.8 30
2021 Slider NYM R 105 88.2 28.5 -3.8 -12 3.5 -0.4 -9
2021 4-Seamer NYM R 213 94.2 13.7 1.6 10 7.6 -0.3 -3
2021 Changeup NYM R 23 86.8 28.7 -1.6 -5 14.3 -0.1 -1
2020 Slider NYM R 92 87.7 28.6 -4.5 -14 2.9 -0.9 -23
2020 Sinker NYM R 136 93.2 19.4 -2.9 -13 15.7 0.7 5
2020 Changeup NYM R 65 87.4 27.1 -3.2 -11 14.9 0.9 6
2020 4-Seamer NYM R 199 93.5 14.5 1.2 8 8.1 0.3 4
2020 Curveball NYM R 118 78.4 63.1 10 19 12.3 3.1 33
2019 4-Seamer NYM R 433 94.5 14.4 1.3 8 7.5 -0.7 -9
2019 Curveball NYM R 296 79.6 61.9 8.7 16 12.7 2.7 28
2019 Sinker NYM R 280 94.1 19.2 -2.8 -13 15.8 0.6 4
2019 Changeup NYM R 81 87.9 26.6 -2.6 -9 15.1 0.6 4
2019 Slider NYM R 164 88 29.1 -3.5 -11 3.5 -0.2 -6
2018 Slider NYM R 184 87.8 29.9 -3.2 -10 3.5 -0.6 -15
2018 Sinker NYM R 376 93.3 20.2 -2.7 -12 15.7 0.6 4
2018 Changeup NYM R 119 87 27.1 -3.8 -12 15.5 1.1 8
2018 Curveball NYM R 504 79.9 59.1 6.3 12 12.3 2.6 27
2018 4-Seamer NYM R 392 94.3 15 0.9 6 7.5 -0.9 -10
2017 Curveball NYM R 285 76.3 61.8 6.2 11 12.1 0.9 9
2017 Slider NYM R 245 85.7 30.1 -3.8 -11 1 -2.7 -73
2017 Sinker NYM R 430 91.1 21.3 -2.1 -9 17.4 1.9 13
2017 Changeup NYM R 276 85.9 26.3 -3.7 -12 14.7 0.4 3
2017 4-Seamer NYM R 364 91.9 15.3 1 6 9.7 1.1 12
2017 Cutter NYM R 34 88.5 19.9 6.1 24 2.8 -4.7 -256
2016 Sinker NYM R 296 92.5 19.6 -1.3 -6 15.4 0.4 3
2016 4-Seamer NYM R 233 93.3 14.9 0.2 1 9 -0.1 -1
2016 Changeup NYM R 83 86.5 24.6 -4.3 -15 14.1 0.2 1
2016 Slider NYM R 179 87.1 29.6 -0.9 -3 0.3 -1.5 -85
2016 Curveball NYM R 157 78.5 63.3 10.7 20 10 1.6 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup 20 5 23 3.2 7 .429 1.286 .7 9.1 0 0 .416 1.379 .737 57.1
2021 Slider 2.6 3 105 14.4 29 .357 .714 .459 33.3 20.7 28.6 .314 .543 .375 27.3
2021 Sinker 1.9 3 181 24.8 44 .286 .457 .397 18.3 22.7 21.7 .274 .404 .376 44
2021 Curveball -1.8 -4 208 28.5 50 .188 .271 .191 30.4 24 19 .246 .359 .249 36.8
2021 4-Seamer -3.3 -7 213 29.2 63 .164 .2 .229 41.3 42.9 30.3 .178 .241 .246 39.3
2020 Changeup -2.4 -2 65 10.7 14 .143 .214 .154 28.2 0 0 .214 .25 .205 14.3
2020 Slider 0.7 1 92 15.1 24 .333 .458 .344 31.6 16.7 20 .261 .334 .259 40
2020 Curveball -1.2 -1 118 19.3 31 .241 .379 .273 31.5 29 27.3 .238 .391 .276 33.3
2020 Sinker 0.5 1 136 22.3 33 .333 .481 .395 22.2 24.2 26.7 .326 .47 .401 60
2020 4-Seamer 2.2 4 199 32.6 57 .269 .673 .417 33 45.6 29.2 .264 .58 .381 53.8
2019 Changeup -0.3 0 83 6.5 16 .214 .429 .322 20.5 0 0 .176 .226 .238 7.1
2019 Slider 2 3 165 12.9 33 .344 .656 .432 30.5 15.2 22.7 .28 .57 .36 37
2019 Curveball 0.6 2 302 23.7 70 .214 .3 .259 27.6 32.9 26.1 .18 .26 .198 24.4
2019 Sinker -3.8 -11 283 22.2 72 .167 .258 .226 20.1 30.6 28.9 .164 .289 .233 29.5
2019 4-Seamer -2.4 -10 441 34.6 119 .147 .248 .203 29.5 45.4 29.3 .167 .305 .228 49.1
2018 Changeup 0.5 1 120 7.4 27 .12 .32 .319 24.6 14.8 14.8 .208 .359 .278 23.8
2018 Slider 2.4 5 186 11.5 46 .372 .605 .442 28.3 15.2 17.5 .308 .512 .359 27
2018 Sinker -1.1 -4 377 23.4 83 .278 .403 .344 13.9 9.6 11.9 .305 .483 .381 41.5
2018 4-Seamer -2.1 -8 396 24.5 110 .175 .262 .223 25.4 42.7 26.6 .149 .241 .196 25.5
2018 Curveball -1.8 -9 507 31.4 134 .184 .24 .21 25.1 26.1 24 .192 .286 .234 28.3
2018 N/A 1 0.1 0
2017 Cutter -1.6 -1 34 2.1 11 .182 .545 .295 29.4 36.4 30.8 .154 .269 .176 42.9
2017 Slider 0.8 2 245 14.9 71 .314 .543 .36 28.3 22.5 28.1 .284 .46 .324 38.2
2017 Changeup 1.1 3 276 16.8 75 .397 .647 .473 15.9 4 7 .307 .453 .352 26.5
2017 Curveball 0.8 2 285 17.4 82 .291 .367 .296 20.8 24.4 18.5 .258 .381 .283 35
2017 4-Seamer -0.5 -2 364 22.2 85 .227 .387 .309 17 22.4 15.7 .28 .554 .385 43.9
2017 Sinker -1.5 -6 430 26.2 111 .232 .333 .288 21.4 20.7 24.2 .236 .369 .303 35.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 63 87.4 97 17.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2020 Curveball 114 78.4 89 24.8 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 195 93.5 94 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 127 93.1 93 19.8 1:15 1:45 -30
2020 Slider 91 87.7 45 6.6 12:15 11:00 75
2021 Changeup 23 86.8 95 16.5 1:45 2:15 -30
2021 Curveball 208 79.2 85 24.3 7:15 7:00 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 213 94.2 94 18.5 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Sinker 180 93.3 92 20.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Slider 105 88.2 40 6.6 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 257 948 -8 -12 7 4 -10
2017 435 1634 0 -17 10 6 -2
2018 397 1575 -11 -21 13 4 -16
2019 306 1255 -10 -20 11 3 -16
2020 159 610 4 -8 4 2 3
2021 193 730 -3 -5 5 3 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 961 50.2 70.5 82.6 24.8 58.8 43.7 63.5 47.8 21.1 7.6 78.1
2017 1641 51.5 66.8 82.6 26.9 66.7 41.7 59.2 47.3 20.5 8.5 76.3
2018 1614 50.7 63.6 83.5 28.4 59.7 44.4 63.9 46.3 23.1 9.1 73.4
2019 1275 52.8 63.8 78.7 26 56.5 44.1 58.3 46.1 26.5 7.3 71.7
2020 610 47 67.6 78.4 30.3 51 42.6 60 47.9 29.8 7.5 80.4
2021 730 48.9 64.7 77.9 30.3 49.6 40.3 67.7 47.1 31.1 7.5 78.2
6831 50.7 65.9 81.2 27.5 58.5 43 61.7 47 24.3 8.1 75.5
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016 7 15 10 11 10 41 3 28 42 22 44 32 7 50 74 100
2017 34 21 30 40 54 37 50 52 30 34 91 21 34 31 55 99
2018 90 77 81 77 90 49 64 86 86 67 74 38 90 68 50 99
2019 98 95 94 84 98 74 81 61 73 91 92 59 98 72 43 100
2020 34 23 25 31 47 28 26 20 19 78 78 72 34 56 42 99
2021 60 51 100
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.5 8 9.4 -1 8 8 3 37.5
2020 23.1 8 7.5 1 2 2 0 0
2021 22.4 6 6.7 -1 4 2 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 8 7 17 5 13 10 11 11 9 8 13 9 4 13 9 13 8 9 7 11 5 8 9 7 4 15 9 8 10 6 13
2020 8 8 9 6 7 8 7 7 7 8 10 8 6 7 6 7 7 8 6 7 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 6 8
2021 6 6 7 6 7 6 5 6 6 6 6 7 5 7 6 7 4 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 5 9 5 7
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.8 91.4 -1.4 93.8 2.4 94.3 0.5 93.4 -0.9 93.8 0.4
Offspeed Velocity 86.5 85.9 -0.6 87 1.1 87.9 0.9 87.4 -0.5 86.8 -0.6
Breaking Velocity 83.1 80.7 -2.4 82 1.3 82.6 0.6 82.5 -0.1 82.2 -0.3
Exit Velocity 89.3 87.1 -2.2 86.9 -0.2 88.2 1.3 90 1.8 89.2 -0.8
Launch Angle 12.1 12.1 0 10.3 -1.8 14.9 4.6 7.5 -7.4 9.7 2.2
Barrel % 9.5 5.9 -3.6 5.8 -0.1 5.3 -0.5 8.9 3.6 8.3 -0.6
Hard Hit % 35.3 35.5 0.2 30.4 -5.1 33.7 3.3 42.6 8.9 38.3 -4.3
Sweet Spot % 31.6 34.9 3.3 32.1 -2.8 29.1 -3 37.6 8.5 37.5 -0.1
xBA .269 .267 -0.002 .213 -0.054 .182 -0.031 .265 0.083 .248 -0.017
BA .22 .284 0.064 .217 -0.067 .192 -0.025 .274 0.082 .237 -0.037
xwOBA .352 .323 -0.029 .265 -0.058 .235 -0.03 .331 0.096 .313 -0.018
wOBA .285 .327 0.042 .258 -0.069 .237 -0.021 .346 0.109 .305 -0.041
xSLG .467 .433 -0.034 .338 -0.095 .316 -0.022 .45 0.134 .402 -0.048
SLG .372 .445 0.073 .324 -0.121 .316 -0.008 .5 0.184 .399 -0.101
K% 17.3 19.5 2.2 25.1 5.6 33.1 8 29.4 -3.7 28.2 -1.2
BB% 8.1 5.7 -2.4 6.8 1.1 5.1 -1.7 6.3 1.2 9.7 3.4
Swing % 47.8 47.3 -0.5 46.3 -1 46.1 -0.2 47.9 1.8 47.1 -0.8
Whiff% 21.1 20.5 -0.6 23.1 2.6 26.5 3.4 29.8 3.3 31.1 1.3
In Zone % 50.2 51.5 1.3 50.7 -0.8 52.8 2.1 47 -5.8 48.9 1.9
Out of Zone % 49.8 48.5 -1.3 49.3 0.8 47.2 -2.1 53 5.8 51.1 -1.9
Out of Zone Swing % 24.8 26.9 2.1 28.4 1.5 26 -2.4 30.3 4.3 30.3 0
First Pitch Swing % 30.8 27.3 -3.5 22.9 -4.4 25.8 2.9 28.7 2.9 30.3 1.6
First Pitch Strike % 63.5 59.2 -4.3 63.9 4.7 58.3 -5.6 60 1.7 67.7 7.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 256 .286 141 7 5.0 115 17 14.8
2017 434 .326 201 4 2.0 233 33 14.2
2018 396 .262 209 13 6.2 187 51 27.3
2019 306 .238 182 6 3.3 124 41 33.1
2020 159 .346 82 7 8.5 77 31 40.3
2021 193 .305 102 39 38.2 91 43 47.3

Pitch Distribution