P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 5" 188 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2023 | Rd. 4, No. 122, St. Louis Cardinals | Stanford
MLB Pipeline Rank
Cardinals: No. 8
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2026 2 4 3.83 9 9 0 49.1 46 1.38
1 Season 2 4 3.83 9 9 0 49.1 46 1.38
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2026 9 2-4 3.83 49.1 46 1.38
1 Season 9 2-4 3.83 49.1 46 1.38
Player Apps
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Team Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2026 25 867 144 7 4.9 3.3 89.1 111.6 14.7 32.6 .246 .359 .317 .302 .341 36.8 21.8 9.5 3.83 3.84
Player 867 144 7 4.9 3.3 89.1 111.6 14.7 32.6 .246 .359 .317 .302 .341 36.8 21.8 9.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.6 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mathews relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(38.6%) ,
Slider
(22.5%) ,
Changeup
(15.9%) ,
Curveball
(13.4%) ,
Sinker
(9.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2026 43.1 56.9 25.7 25.0 6.3 39.6 32.6 27.8 24.3 12.5 6.3 15.3 20.1 21.5
Player 43.1 56.9 25.7 25.0 6.3 39.6 32.6 27.8 24.3 12.5 6.3 15.3 20.1 21.5
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.0 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2026 4.9 29.2 25.7 29.2 6.3 4.9 3.3
Player 4.9 29.2 25.7 29.2 6.3 4.9 3.3
MLB 4.1 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
SeasonPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball L 335 93.4 15.0 1.2 5.1ARM -3.4 16.3 0.8 5.1ARM -2.8
2026 Sinker L 83 92.9 19.2 -5.3 10.8ARM -4.6 12.5 -4.8 10.8ARM -4.5
2026 Changeup L 138 83.0 35.2 -1.3 11.0ARM -3.5 4.4 0.4 11.0ARM -2.9
2026 Slider L 195 84.8 36.5 -0.3 3.5GLV -1.1 1.3 0.3 3.5GLV -0.9
2026 Curveball L 116 75.8 60.0 1.6 9.9GLV -1.4 -12.1 2.0 9.9GLV 1.8
! Note: Seasons are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Season Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -2 335 38.6 80 .300 .429 .360 23.5 17.5 15.1 .262 .396 .330 43.9
2026 Slider 0.7 1 195 22.5 61 .185 .370 .276 26.0 27.9 18.9 .216 .369 .290 39.5
2026 Changeup -0.7 -1 138 15.9 35 .290 .323 .301 43.1 20.0 12.3 .246 .279 .273 20.0
2026 Curveball -0.9 -1 116 13.4 19 .294 .471 .366 20.9 21.1 16.0 .213 .278 .264 23.1
2026 Sinker 2.2 2 83 9.6 16 .231 .231 .227 20.0 25.0 25.0 .324 .411 .324 45.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Season Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 138 83.0 94 12.1 9:45 9:30 15
2026 Curveball 116 75.8 78 18.3 4:45 4:45 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 335 93.4 86 16.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2026 Sinker 82 92.8 74 16.4 11:30 10:30 60
2026 Slider 195 84.8 30 4.5 2:15 3:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Season Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2026 211 867 0 7 -3 -5 -1
Player 211 867 0 7 -3 0 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2026 867 48.1 66.9 83.5 26.0 48.7 39.1 63.5 45.7 26.8 6.1 75.5
Player 867 48.1 66.9 83.5 26.0 48.7 39.1 63.5 45.7 26.8 6.1 75.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Season Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2026 36 40 50 36 62 31 40 31 38 7 62 43 37 89 64 51 65
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Season Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2026 23.65 5 5.0 0 2 3 2 40.0
Player 23.65 5 5.0 0 2 3 2 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Season HR
2026 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 4 5 4 5 5 5 5
Player 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 4 5 4 5 5 5 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
SeasonAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2026 Shades 211 .317 151 2 1.3 60 30 50.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2026 257 16.0 30.7% 0.4% 130 19.1 0.8% 1.5%

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Pitch Distribution

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