P | Boston Red Sox
Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 250 lbs | Age: 23
Draft: 2024 | Rd. 2, No. 50, Boston Red Sox | TCU
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 0 1 6.06 7 3 0 16.1 19 1.59
2026 9 6 3.15 24 24 0 137 159 1.08
2 Seasons 9 7 3.46 31 27 0 153.1 178 1.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 7 0-1 6.06 16.1 19 1.59
2026 24 9-6 3.15 137 159 1.08
2 Seasons 31 9-7 3.46 153.1 178 1.13
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 22 304 47 3 6.4 4.1 88.5 111.9 15.2 36.2 .253 .426 .377 .333 .407 38.3 25.7 10.8 6.06 4.67
2026 23 2095 351 23 6.6 4.2 87.8 112.6 18.1 31.1 .198 .317 .285 .255 .320 35.0 28.9 6.7 3.15 2.69
Player 2399 398 26 6.6 4.2 87.9 112.6 17.7 31.7 .204 .330 .296 .264 .331 35.4 28.5 7.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Tolle relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(44.9%) ,
Sinker
(23.2%) ,
Cutter
(19.5%) ,
Curveball
(9.5%) ,
Changeup
(3.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 31.9 68.1 25.5 36.2 6.4 29.8 36.2 34.0 12.8 17.0 2.1 17.0 19.1 31.9
2026 37.0 63.0 27.9 23.1 12.0 38.5 35.3 26.2 18.2 14.2 4.6 20.2 21.1 21.7
Player 36.4 63.6 27.6 24.6 11.3 37.4 35.4 27.1 17.6 14.6 4.3 19.8 20.9 22.9
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.3 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.9 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 6.4 21.3 23.4 31.9 10.6 6.4 4.1
2026 6.3 24.8 35.6 19.9 6.0 6.6 4.2
Player 6.3 24.4 34.2 21.4 6.5 6.6 4.2
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball BOS L 940 96.1 14.2 0.0 9.7ARM 1.2 15.5 0.0 9.7ARM 1.8
2026 Curveball BOS L 198 83.0 44.2 -6.2 6.8GLV -1.3 -4.5 -5.6 6.8GLV -1.3
2026 Changeup BOS L 63 88.6 33.3 1.3 10.8ARM -2.6 1.4 3.4 10.8ARM -3.1
2026 Cutter BOS L 408 88.6 27.5 -0.5 2.5GLV 0.4 7.0 -0.6 2.5GLV 0.6
2026 Sinker BOS L 486 95.0 20.7 -1.4 16.8ARM 1.4 9.8 -2.2 16.8ARM 1.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS L 195 96.7 12.7 0.7 6.8ARM -0.8 16.7 0.8 6.8ARM -1.3
2025 Cutter BOS L 42 89.5 24.5 0.3 2.7GLV 1.3 9.5 1.7 2.7GLV 0.8
2025 Slider BOS L 29 88.6 31.1 -1.4 0.9GLV -2.4 3.8 -1.7 0.9GLV -3.1
2025 Curveball BOS L 18 83.0 45.1 -5.8 5.4GLV -1.6 -5.6 -4.1 5.4GLV -2.4
2025 Changeup BOS L 20 89.8 32.9 2.4 8.0ARM -6.6 0.8 4.4 8.0ARM -6.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 6 940 44.9 238 .192 .346 .283 29.6 34.0 24.8 .181 .304 .252 36.3
2026 Sinker -0.1 0 486 23.2 129 .299 .462 .376 17.1 11.6 22.1 .253 .370 .304 37.9
2026 Cutter 1.8 7 408 19.5 103 .224 .347 .268 28.5 23.3 20.7 .217 .332 .258 28.4
2026 Curveball 0.8 2 198 9.5 67 .169 .292 .211 43.4 55.2 31.4 .116 .189 .146 35.7
2026 Changeup -0.8 -1 63 3.0 13 .154 .615 .308 17.9 15.4 11.8 .234 .596 .348 36.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -2 195 64.1 53 .283 .565 .420 28.3 26.4 23.3 .252 .423 .342 28.1
2025 Cutter -3.8 -2 42 13.8 5 .500 1.250 .720 33.3 20.0 50.0 .206 .597 .404 100.0
2025 Slider 4.2 1 29 9.5 9 .125 .125 .100 33.3 22.2 18.2 .230 .333 .258 28.6
2025 Changeup -5.9 -1 20 6.6 3 .667 1.000 .717 44.4 33.3 11.1 .354 .648 .422 100.0
2025 Curveball 1.9 0 18 5.9 4 .000 .000 .000 16.7 25.0 7.7 .285 .312 .258 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 58 88.7 92 11.6 9:45 9:00 45
2026 Curveball 198 83.0 46 9.7 3:30 4:30 -60
2026 Cutter 408 88.6 42 6.9 11:45 12:45 -60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 937 96.1 94 18.0 10:30 10:45 -15
2026 Sinker 482 95.0 93 19.7 10:30 10:00 30
2025 Changeup 15 89.7 67 9.1 10:15 9:00 75
2025 Curveball 18 83.0 45 9.4 4:00 4:45 -45
2025 Cutter 42 89.5 54 9.3 11:30 12:45 -75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 195 96.7 92 17.7 11:00 11:15 -15
2025 Slider 29 88.6 29 3.5 1:00 1:00 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 74 304 -2 2 -2 -1 -3
2026 550 2,095 15 14 -10 -6 14
Player 624 2,399 14 17 -12 14 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 304 56.9 78.6 75.0 20.6 44.4 42.1 62.2 53.6 30.1 12.5 92.1
2026 2,095 52.8 71.9 79.3 36.2 57.0 43.1 65.7 55.1 27.6 7.9 81.8
Player 2,399 53.4 72.8 78.6 34.4 56.1 43.0 65.3 54.9 27.9 8.5 83.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 86 67 99
2026 86 94 62 43 96 71 47 27 70 94 69 89 80 66 77 19 98
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 24.67 5 3.1 2 2 3 1 20.0
2026 23.87 15 14.2 1 7 11 6 40.0
Player 24.07 20 17.3 3 9 14 7 35.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 5 2 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 3 5 2 5 3 3 4 2 2 5 2 3 5 3 3 2 3 5 3 3 2
2026 15 14 14 13 16 15 13 11 16 16 11 17 11 18 14 18 14 12 12 19 11 15 18 15 11 11 11 15 16 14 15
Player 20 16 17 16 19 19 16 13 18 18 14 22 13 23 17 21 18 14 14 24 13 18 23 18 14 13 14 20 19 17 17
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .219 -.058 .277
xBA .198 -.055 .253
OBP .276 -.075 .351
xOBP .256 -.080 .336
SLG .373 -.165 .538
xSLG .317 -.109 .426
ISO .154 -.108 .262
xISO .120 -.053 .173
BABIP .287 -.023 .310
wOBA .285 -.092 .377
xwOBA .255 -.078 .333
wOBAcon .367 -.110 .477
xwOBAcon .320 -.087 .407
BACON .317 -.066 .383
xBACON .287 -.071 .358
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 35.0 -3.3 38.3
Avg Exit Velocity 87.8 -0.7 88.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 31.1 -5.1 36.2
Barrel % 6.6 +0.2 6.4
Avg Launch Angle 18.1 +2.9 15.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 -0.8 72.7
Attack Angle +1°
Ideal Attack Angle % 45.1 0.0 45.1
Attack Direction -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° -1° 32°
Swing Length 7.2 0.0 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.2 -1.2 95.4
Breaking Velocity 83.0 -3.5 86.5
Offspeed Velocity 88.6 -1.2 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 23 +20 3
Popup % 12.0 +5.6 6.4
Flyball % 27.9 +2.4 25.5
Line Drive % 23.1 -13.1 36.2
Groundball % 37.0 +5.1 31.9
Pull % 38.5 +8.7 29.8
Straight Away % 35.3 -0.9 36.2
Opposite Field % 26.2 -7.8 34.0
Weak Contact % 6.3 -0.1 6.4
Pull Airball % 20.2 +3.2 17.0
Topped Contact % 24.8 +3.5 21.3
Under Contact % 35.6 +12.2 23.4
Flare/Burner Contact % 19.9 -12.0 31.9
Solid Contact % 6.0 -4.6 10.6
HR/FB % 15.3 -26.4 41.7
Popups 42 +39 3
Flyballs 98 +86 12
Line Drives 81 +64 17
Groundballs 130 +115 15
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 52.8 -4.1 56.9
Out of Zone % 47.2 +4.1 43.1
Edge % 43.1 +1.0 42.1
Zone Swing % 71.9 -6.7 78.6
Out of Zone Swing % 36.2 +15.6 20.6
In Zone Contact % 79.3 +4.3 75.0
Out of Zone Contact % 57.0 +12.6 44.4
Whiff % 27.6 -2.5 30.1
First Strike % 65.7 +3.5 62.2
First Pitch Swing % 39.9 -3.3 43.2
Swing % 55.1 +1.5 53.6
Meatball Swing % 81.8 -10.3 92.1
Meatball % 7.9 -4.6 12.5
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.7 -4.3 25.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.0 -12.6 55.6
In Zone 1,107 +934 173
Out of Zone 988 +857 131
Edge 903 +775 128
In Zone Swings 796 +660 136
Out of Zone Swings 358 +331 27
In Zone Swing & Misses 165 +131 34
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 154 +139 15
Basic
Pitches 2,095 +1,791 304
PA 551 +477 74
AB 507 +442 65
Hits 111 +93 18
Singles 64 +53 11
Doubles 31 +29 2
Triples 1 +1 0
Home Runs 15 +10 5
Walks 37 +29 8
Strikeouts 159 +140 19
K% 28.9 +3.2 25.7
BB% 6.7 -4.1 10.8
HBP 4 +4 0
Batted Balls 351 +304 47
Fastball Percent 87.5 +9.5 78.0
Offspeed Percent 3.0 -3.6 6.6
Breaking Percent 9.5 -6.0 15.5
Number of Fastballs 1,834 +1,597 237
Number of Offspeed 63 +43 20
Number of Breaking 198 +151 47
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 74 .377 59 0 0.0 15 8 53.3
2026 Shades 550 .285 394 20 5.1 156 6 3.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 75 15.6 36.0% 0.0% 45 17.9 0.0% 0.0%
2026 513 14.5 56.9% 0.6% 269 18.7 0.7% 1.9%

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Pitch Distribution