Payton Tolle Stats: Statcast, Visuals & Advanced Metrics

Payton Tolle

P | Boston Red Sox

Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 6" 250 lbs | Age: 23

Draft: 2024 | Rd. 2, No. 50, Boston Red Sox | TCU

MLB Pipeline Rank

TOP 100: No. 28 | Red Sox: No. 2

	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	0	1	6.06	7	3	0	16.1	19	1.59
1 Season	0	1	6.06	7	3	0	16.1	19	1.59

	G	W-L	ERA	IP	SO	WHIP
2025	7	0-1	6.06	16.1	19	1.59
1 Season	7	0-1	6.06	16.1	19	1.59

Player Apps

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Pitch Usage

Statcast Standard Splits Game Logs

Standard MLB Batting Statistics

No MLB Hitting Statistics.

Standard MLB Pitching Statistics

	Season	Tm	LG	BF	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
	2025	BOS	AL	74	0	1	6.06	7	3	0	16.1	18	12	11	5	8	19	1.59
	1 Season	BOS	AL	74	0	1	6.06	7	3	0	16.1	18	12	11	5	8	19	1.59

*: All Star Season, Rankings AL/NL: Top 5 10 15 20, Click for Chart.

Standard MLB Fielding Statistics

Season	Tm	LG	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	E	DP	RF	FPCT%
2025	BOS	AL	P	7	3	16.1	1	0	1	0	1		1.000
1 Season	BOS	AL	P	7	3	16.1	1	0	1	0	1		1.000

Spray Chart

Season	Tm	LG	L	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025	3 Teams		Minors	3	5	3.04	20	18	1	91.2	68	35	31	10	23	133	0.99
2025	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	1	3	3.62	11	10	0	49.2	44	20	20	6	14	79	1.17
2025	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	1	1	1.67	6	5	1	27.0	13	8	5	2	7	37	0.74
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	1	1	3.60	3	3	0	15.0	11	7	6	2	2	17	0.87
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	1	1	3.60	3	3	0	15.0	11	7	6	2	2	17	0.87
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	1	1	1.67	6	5	1	27.0	13	8	5	2	7	37	0.74
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	1	3	3.62	11	10	0	49.2	44	20	20	6	14	79	1.17
Career Minors	3 Teams			3	5	3.04	20	18	1	91.2	68	35	31	10	23	133	0.99

Season	Tm	LG	L	POS	G	GS	INN	TC	PO	A	E	FPCT%
2025	3 Teams		Minors	P	20	18	91.2	11	1	9	1	.909
2025	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	11	10	49.2	4	0	3	1	.750
2025	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	6	5	27.0	2	0	2	0	1.000
2025	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	3	3	15.0	5	1	4	0	1.000
	Worcester Red Sox	INT	AAA	P	3	3	15.0	5	1	4	0	1.000
	Portland Sea Dogs	EAS	AA	P	6	5	27.0	2	0	2	0	1.000
	Greenville Drive	SAL	A+	P	11	10	49.2	4	0	3	1	.750
Career Minors	3 Teams			P	20	18	91.2	11	1	9	1	.909

Scouting Report

2025

Scouting grades: Fastball: 65 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 55 | Overall: 55

Tolle ranked among college baseball's best two-way players in two seasons at Wichita State, then transferred to Texas Christian and struggled at the plate in 2024. He excelled on the mound, winning Big 12 Conference Pitcher of the Year accolades while striking out 105 in 69 innings and relying heavily on his fastball. After signing for an over-slot $2 million in the second round, he has ranked among the Minor League leaders in strikeout percentage and quickly earned a promotion to Triple-A in his 2025 pro debut.

The 6-foot-6 Tolle gets down the mound very well, creating elite extension (an average of 7-foot-4 with the Horned Frogs) and a low release height that helps his fastball play well above its velocity. The Red Sox had him focus on improving his strength and athleticism after he signed, and the result is that his heater has gone from sitting at 91 mph and topping out at 96 at TCU to averaging 95 and peaking at 99 this year. His combination of velo and shape has proven unhittable so far, as his fastball generated an unfathomable 46 percent swing-and-miss rate in the first half of the season.

Tolle was a polarizing prospect in the Draft, with some scouts wowed by his fastball metrics and others seeing him as more of multi-inning reliever with just one weapon. To enhance his chances of making it as a starter, Boston has had him dial back his fastball usage (75 percent last spring) and work on improving his average mid-80s sweeping slider and fringy upper-80s changeup, both of which have added power as well. He's pounding the strike zone and has a bulldog mentality, two more reasons the Red Sox think he can become a frontline starter.

2024

One of college baseball's best two-way players in two seasons at Wichita State, Tolle transferred to Texas Christian for 2024. He surprisingly struggled at the plate and focused more on the mound this spring, winning Big 12 Conference pitcher of the year honors while striking out 105 in 69 innings. The Red Sox drafted him in the second round and signed him for an over-slot $2 million.

Tolle uses his 6-foot-6 frame to create more extension (an average of 7 feet, 4 inches) in his delivery than most pitchers in the 2024 Draft. That enables his 90-92 mph fastball to play much better than its below-average velocity, and he shows the ability to run it in on lefties or bore it in on righties. His heater tops out at 96, and he uses it nearly three-quarters of the time, complementing it with an average sweeping slider that hovers around 80 mph.

Tolle barely employs his mid-70s curveball or low-80s changeup with mild fade. He's a below-average athlete with average control at best, yet college hitters couldn't touch his heater. He's a polarizing prospect, and his proponents extol his fastball metrics while others see him as more of a multi-inning reliever than a starter.

Draft

Video scouting report »

Scouting grades: Fastball: 65 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 55 | Overall: 55

One of college baseball's best two-way players in two seasons at Wichita State, Tolle transferred to Texas Christian for 2024. While his large frame and well-above-average raw power brought to mind former Horned Frogs slugger/lefty pitcher Luken Baker, Tolle surprisingly struggled at the plate and focused more on pitching this spring. Relying primarily on his fastball, he won Big 12 Conference Pitcher of the Year honors while striking out 105 in 69 innings and working his way into the top three rounds.

Tolle uses his 6-foot-6 frame to create more extension (an average of 7 feet, 4 inches) in his delivery than most pitchers in this Draft. That enables his 90-92 mph fastball to play much better than its below-average velocity, and he shows the ability to run it in on lefties or bore it in on righties. His heater tops out at 96 and he uses it nearly three-quarters of the time, complementing it with an average sweeping slider that hovers around 80 mph.

Tolle barely employs his low-80s changeup with mild fade. He's a below-average athlete with average control at best, yet college hitters can't touch his heater. He's a polarizing prospect whose proponents extol his fastball metrics while others see him as more of a multi-inning reliever than a starter.

Awards

Baseball America Minor League All-Star

Year	Team
2025

Transactions

Team	Date	Transaction
	08/29/2025	Boston Red Sox selected the contract of LHP Payton Tolle from Worcester Red Sox.
	08/06/2025	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to Worcester Red Sox from Portland Sea Dogs.
	06/24/2025	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to Portland Sea Dogs from Greenville Drive.
	04/02/2025	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to Greenville Drive from FCL Red Sox.
	03/06/2025	activated LHP Payton Tolle.
	08/05/2024	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to FCL Red Sox.
	07/29/2024	Boston Red Sox signed LHP Payton Tolle.
	06/16/2024	College Workout activated LHP Payton Tolle.
	04/03/2024	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to Falmouth Commodores.
	02/12/2024	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to TCU Horned Frogs.
	05/19/2023	LHP Payton Tolle assigned to Wichita State Shockers.
	05/19/2023	Wichita State Shockers activated LHP Payton Tolle.
	02/17/2022	LHP Payton Tolle and assigned to Wichita State Shockers.

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Left				6			3.0	15	4			1	2	3	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	vs Right				7			13.1	59	14			4	6	16	1.50

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	August	0	3.38	1	1	5.1	21	3	2	2	0	2	8	0.94
Boston Red Sox	MLB	September	1	7.36	6	2	11.0	53	15	10	9	5	6	11	1.91
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Post All-Star	1	6.06	7	3	16.1	74	18	12	11	5	8	19	1.59

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Bases Empty	6	9.1	44	11	4	5	13	1.71
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Bases Loaded	1	0.2	3	1	0	0	0	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 1st	6	3.1	13	4	0	1	1	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 2nd	2	0.1	4	2	1	1	0	9.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 1st & 3rd	2	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 2nd	2	0.2	3	0	0	1	0	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	2	1.1	4	0	0	0	3	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Runner at 3rd	2	0.1	2	0	0	0	1	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Scoring Position	4	3.2	17	3	1	2	5	1.36

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Home Games	0	0	1.93	3	1	0	9.1	37	7	3	2	0	2	13	0.96
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Away Games	0	1	11.57	4	2	0	7.0	37	11	9	9	5	6	6	2.43
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Day Games	0	0	3.00	3	1	0	6.0	25	7	3	2	2	0	7	1.17
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Night Games	0	1	7.84	4	2	0	10.1	49	11	9	9	3	8	12	1.84
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Leading Off				6			3.2	16	4			2	1	5	1.36
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Late / Close				1			0.0	2	1			0	1	0	-.--

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	No Outs	7	5.2	26	7	2	2	9	1.59
Boston Red Sox	MLB	One Out	7	5.2	26	8	3	2	4	1.76
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Two Outs	6	5.0	22	3	0	4	6	1.40

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Boston Red Sox	MLB	First Inning	6.00	3	3.0	14	4	2	2	2	1	2	1.67
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Second Inning	6.00	3	3.0	14	4	2	2	1	2	5	2.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Third Inning	13.50	2	2.0	9	1	3	3	1	2	2	1.50
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fourth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Fifth Inning	0.00	2	2.0	6	0	0	0	0	0	5	0.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Sixth Inning	7.71	3	2.1	11	5	2	2	0	0	2	2.14
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Seventh Inning	0.00	1	1.0	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	1.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Eighth Inning	9.00	1	1.0	6	2	1	1	0	1	1	3.00
Boston Red Sox	MLB	Ninth Inning	9.00	1	1.0	5	1	1	1	1	1	1	2.00

Platoon Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	vs Left				20			31.2	134	24			4	11	45	1.11
3 Teams	Minors	vs Right				20			59.0	230	44			6	12	88	0.95

Monthly Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
Greenville Drive	High-A	April	0	1	6.52	3	3	0	9.2	45	9	7	7	2	5	17	1.45
Greenville Drive	High-A	May	1	1	2.74	5	5	0	23.0	95	23	7	7	3	4	37	1.17
2 Teams	Minors	June	0	1	2.86	4	3	0	22.0	84	13	7	7	1	7	34	0.91
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	July	1	1	2.00	4	3	1	18.0	66	11	6	4	2	3	22	0.78
2 Teams	Minors	August	1	1	2.84	4	4	0	19.0	74	12	8	6	2	4	23	0.84
Greenville Drive	High-A	First Half	1	3	3.92	10	9	0	43.2	185	39	19	19	6	13	70	1.19
3 Teams	Minors	Second Half	2	2	2.25	10	9	1	48.0	179	29	16	12	4	10	63	0.81

Baserunner Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	Bases Empty	20	58.2	238	44	6	16	86	1.02
2 Teams	Minors	Bases Loaded	3	1.2	7	2	1	1	3	1.80
3 Teams	Minors	Runner at 1st	18	10.0	42	9	1	3	15	1.20
3 Teams	Minors	Runners at 1st & 2nd	8	3.2	13	1	0	2	3	0.82
Greenville Drive	High-A	Runners at 1st & 3rd	3	0.1	3	1	0	1	0	6.00
3 Teams	Minors	Runner at 2nd	16	12.2	43	6	1	0	20	0.47
Greenville Drive	High-A	Runners at 2nd & 3rd	4	1.2	6	1	1	0	3	0.60
3 Teams	Minors	Runner at 3rd	9	2.2	12	4	0	0	3	1.50
3 Teams	Minors	Scoring Position	20	22.2	84	15	3	4	32	0.84

Game Type Splits

Team	L	Type	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	Home Games	1	2	3.27	11	10	1	52.1	205	41	21	19	7	10	76	0.97
3 Teams	Minors	Away Games	2	3	2.75	9	8	0	39.1	159	27	14	12	3	13	57	1.02
3 Teams	Minors	Day Games	1	1	2.52	5	5	0	25.0	97	20	8	7	2	4	38	0.96
3 Teams	Minors	Night Games	2	4	3.24	15	13	1	66.2	267	48	27	24	8	19	95	1.01
3 Teams	Minors	Leading Off				20			24.0	93	16			2	3	33	0.79

Outs Splits

Team	L	Type	G	IP	BF	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	No Outs	20	31.0	125	21	2	9	41	0.97
3 Teams	Minors	One Out	20	31.0	120	21	6	7	44	0.90
3 Teams	Minors	Two Outs	20	29.1	119	26	2	7	48	1.13

Inning Splits

Team	L	Type	ERA	G	IP	BF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
3 Teams	Minors	First Inning	4.50	18	18.0	83	18	12	9	2	9	30	1.50
3 Teams	Minors	Second Inning	6.27	19	18.2	79	21	13	13	4	2	32	1.23
3 Teams	Minors	Third Inning	2.50	18	18.0	69	13	6	5	2	5	20	1.00
3 Teams	Minors	Fourth Inning	1.00	18	18.0	66	10	2	2	1	2	20	0.67
3 Teams	Minors	Fifth Inning	0.75	13	12.0	44	3	1	1	0	4	18	0.58
2 Teams	Minors	Sixth Inning	0.00	4	4.0	13	2	0	0	0	1	7	0.75
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Seventh Inning	0.00	1	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.00
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Eighth Inning	0.00	1	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.00
Portland Sea Dogs	Double-A	Ninth Inning	9.00	1	1.0	4	1	1	1	1	0	2	1.00

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-08-29	Boston Red Sox	Pittsburgh Pirates	0	3.38	1	1	5.1	3	2	2	0	2	8	0.94
August	Boston Red Sox		0	3.38	1	1	5.1	3	2	2	0	2	8	0.94
2025-09-05	Arizona Diamondbacks	Boston Red Sox	1	7.56	1	1	3.0	5	5	5	2	4	2	1.68
2025-09-10	Athletics	Boston Red Sox	0	7.84	1	1	2.0	3	2	2	2	0	2	1.65
2025-09-18	Boston Red Sox	Athletics	0	6.08	1	0	3.0	3	1	0	0	0	4	1.50
2025-09-21	Tampa Bay Rays	Boston Red Sox	0	6.28	1	0	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	1	1.60
2025-09-24	Toronto Blue Jays	Boston Red Sox	0	6.46	1	0	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1.63
2025-09-27	Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	0	6.06	1	0	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1.59
September	Boston Red Sox		1	7.36	6	2	11.0	15	10	9	5	6	11	1.91

Date	Home Tm	Away Tm	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2025-04-08	Asheville Tourists	Greenville Drive	0	1	32.40	1	1	0	1.2	5	6	6	1	3	3	4.80
2025-04-15	Greenville Drive	Winston-Salem Dash	0	0	11.12	1	1	0	4.0	3	1	1	1	1	5	2.12
2025-04-27	Hub City Spartanburgers	Greenville Drive	0	0	6.52	1	1	0	4.0	1	0	0	0	1	9	1.45
April	Greenville Drive		0	1	6.52	3	3	0	9.2	9	7	7	2	5	17	1.45
2025-05-04	Greenville Drive	Asheville Tourists	1	0	4.30	1	1	0	5.0	3	0	0	0	0	12	1.16
2025-05-10	Rome Emperors	Greenville Drive	0	1	3.66	1	1	0	5.0	5	1	1	0	1	5	1.17
2025-05-17	Greenville Drive	Hub City Spartanburgers	0	0	4.56	1	1	0	4.0	6	4	4	2	1	6	1.27
2025-05-23	Bowling Green Hot Rods	Greenville Drive	0	0	4.13	1	1	0	4.2	4	1	1	1	0	9	1.20
2025-05-29	Greenville Drive	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	0	0	3.86	1	1	0	4.1	5	1	1	0	2	5	1.26
May	Greenville Drive		1	1	2.74	5	5	0	23.0	23	7	7	3	4	37	1.17
2025-06-04	Greenville Drive	Rome Emperors	0	1	4.19	1	1	0	6.0	4	4	4	1	1	8	1.19
2025-06-10	Hudson Valley Renegades	Greenville Drive	0	0	3.92	1	0	0	5.0	3	1	1	0	3	8	1.19
2025-06-22	Greenville Drive	Greensboro Grasshoppers	0	0	3.62	1	1	0	6.0	5	1	1	0	1	9	1.17
2025-06-28	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	Portland Sea Dogs	0	0	1.80	1	1	0	5.0	1	1	1	0	2	9	0.60
June	Portland Sea Dogs		0	0	1.80	1	1	0	5.0	1	1	1	0	2	9	0.60
June	Greenville Drive		0	1	3.18	3	2	0	17.0	12	6	6	1	5	25	1.00
2025-07-04	Portland Sea Dogs	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	0	0	2.00	1	0	1	4.0	2	1	1	1	0	8	0.56
2025-07-10	Portland Sea Dogs	Hartford Yard Goats	0	0	1.93	1	1	0	5.0	4	1	1	0	1	5	0.71
2025-07-19	Reading Fightin Phils	Portland Sea Dogs	0	1	2.00	1	1	0	4.0	3	3	1	1	1	5	0.78
2025-07-26	Richmond Flying Squirrels	Portland Sea Dogs	1	0	1.96	1	1	0	5.0	2	1	1	0	1	4	0.74
July	Portland Sea Dogs		1	1	2.00	4	3	1	18.0	11	6	4	2	3	22	0.78
2025-08-02	Portland Sea Dogs	Altoona Curve	0	0	1.67	1	1	0	4.0	1	1	0	0	2	6	0.74
2025-08-10	Worcester Red Sox	Buffalo Bisons	0	1	9.00	1	1	0	5.0	7	6	5	2	1	3	1.60
2025-08-16	Iowa Cubs	Worcester Red Sox	1	0	4.50	1	1	0	5.0	3	0	0	0	1	5	1.20
2025-08-22	Worcester Red Sox	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	0	0	3.60	1	1	0	5.0	1	1	1	0	0	9	0.87
August	Worcester Red Sox		1	1	3.60	3	3	0	15.0	11	7	6	2	2	17	0.87
August	Portland Sea Dogs		0	0	0.00	1	1	0	4.0	1	1	0	0	2	6	0.75

Statcast Statistics

Season	Age	Pitches	Batted Balls	Barrels	Barrel %	Barrel/PA	Exit Velocity	Max EV	Launch Angle	LA Sweet- Spot %	XBA	XSLG	WOBA	XWOBA	XWOBACON	HardHit%	K%	BB%	ERA	xERA
2025	22	304	47	3	6.4	4.1	88.5	111.9	15.2	36.2	.255	.409	.377	.329	.401	38.3	25.7	10.8	6.06	4.58
Player		304	47	3	6.4	4.1	88.5	111.9	15.2	36.2	.255	.409	.377	.329	.401	38.3	25.7	10.8
MLB					7.2	4.9	88.6	122.9	12.4	33.3	.245	.404	.315	.315	.368	37.0	22.2	8.4

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Tolle relies on 6 pitches.

Four Seamer

(64.1%) ,

Cutter

(19.7%) ,

Changeup

(6.6%) ,

Curveball

(5.9%) ,

Slider

(3.3%) ,

Sinker

(0.3%) ,

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.

+ View Payton Tolle's Pitches in 3d

Pitch Tracking

Batted Ball Profile

Season	GB %	AIR %	FB %	LD %	PU %	Pull %	Straight %	Oppo %	Pull GB %	Straight GB %	Oppo GB %	Pull AIR %	Straight AIR %	Oppo AIR %
		AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups				All Batted Balls			Batted Ball Breakdown
2025	31.9	68.1	25.5	36.2	6.4	29.8	36.2	34.0	12.8	17.0	2.1	17.0	19.1	31.9
Player	31.9	68.1	25.5	36.2	6.4	29.8	36.2	34.0	12.8	17.0	2.1	17.0	19.1	31.9
MLB	44.2	55.8	24.0	24.7	7.1	37.4	37.4	25.1	20.6	17.6	5.9	16.7	19.7	19.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season	Weak %	Topped %	Under %	Flare/Burner %	Solid %	Barrel %	Barrel/PA
2025	6.4	21.3	23.4	31.9	10.6	6.4	4.1
Player	6.4	21.3	23.4	31.9	10.6	6.4	4.1
MLB	4.0	32.4	24.9	24.4	5.9	7.2	4.9

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.

						Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)				Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
Year	Pitch	Team	Hand	#	MPH	Vertical Drop	vs. Comparable	Horizontal Break	vs. Comparable	Vertical Break	vs. Avg	Horizontal Break	vs. Avg
2025	Sinker	BOS	L	1	97.8	12.9	-5.8	10.3ARM	-4.5	15.9	-8.4	10.3ARM	-5.1
2025	Changeup	BOS	L	20	89.8	32.9	2.4	8.0ARM	-6.7	0.8	4.4	8.0ARM	-6.2
2025	4-Seam Fastball	BOS	L	195	96.6	12.8	0.7	6.7ARM	-0.8	16.7	0.9	6.7ARM	-1.4
2025	Cutter	BOS	L	60	89.4	26.6	-1.6	2.4GLV	1.0	7.6	-0.3	2.4GLV	0.5
2025	Slider	BOS	L	10	87.5	31.6	-2.1	0.0GLV	-3.6	4.1	-2.1	0.0GLV	-4.1
2025	Curveball	BOS	L	18	83.0	45.1	-4.8	5.4GLV	-2.2	-5.6	-4.0	5.4GLV	-2.4

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year	Pitch Type	RV/100	Run Value	Pitches	%	PA	BA	SLG	wOBA	Whiff%	K%	PutAway %	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Hard Hit %
2025	4-Seam Fastball	-1.1	-2	195	64.1	53	.283	.565	.420	29.2	26.4	23.3	.252	.412	.339	28.1
2025	Cutter	-0.7	0	60	19.7	10	.222	.556	.360	36.4	20.0	25.0	.203	.391	.296	71.4
2025	Changeup	-5.9	-1	20	6.6	3	.667	1.000	.717	44.4	33.3	11.1	.375	.604	.417	100.0
2025	Curveball	1.9	0	18	5.9	4	.000	.000	.000	16.7	25.0	7.7	.292	.321	.264	66.7
2025	Slider	0.1	0	10	3.3	4	.333	.333	.225	12.5	25.0	20.0	.280	.338	.298	0.0
2025	Sinker	4.3	0	1	0.3		--	--	--	0.0	--	--	--	--	--	--

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

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Spin Direction

Year	Pitch Type	Pitches	MPH	Active Spin %	Total Movement (In.)	Spin-Based	Observed	Deviation
2025	Changeup	15	89.7	67	9.1	10:15	9:00	75
2025	Curveball	18	83.0	45	9.4	4:00	4:45	-45
2025	Cutter	60	89.4	47	7.5	12:00	12:45	-45
2025	4-Seam Fastball	195	96.6	91	17.6	11:00	11:15	-15
2025	Slider	10	87.5	27	3.4	1:15	12:15	60

! Note: Years are in reverse order.

! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.

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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.

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Statcast Pitching Run Value

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All
2025		74	304	-2	2	-2	-1	-3
Player		74	304	-2	2	-2	-2	-3

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Statcast Pitching Run Value (Leveraged)

These run values are leveraged, meaning the base/out situation at the time of the event does impact the run value (thus introducing context outside the batter's own contribution).

				Runs
Year	Team	PA	Pitches	Heart	Shadow	Chase	Waste	All	+/- Due To Leverage
2025		74	304	-2	2	-1	-2	-3	0
Player		74	304	-2	2	-1	-2	-3	0

Plate Discipline

Season	Pitches	Zone %	Zone Swing %	Zone Contact %	Chase %	Chase Contact %	Edge %	1st Pitch Strike %	Swing %	Whiff %	Meatball %	Meatball Swing %
2025	304	56.9	78.6	75.0	20.6	44.4	41.8	62.2	53.6	30.1	12.5	92.1
Player	304	56.9	78.6	75.0	20.6	44.4	41.8	62.2	53.6	30.1	12.5	92.1
MLB		48.9	67.0	82.5	28.4	58.0	42.7	61.1	47.3	25.0	7.3	76.3

! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year	xwOBA / xERA	xBA	xSLG	xISO	xOBP	Brl	Brl%	EV	Hard Hit%	K%	BB%	Whiff%	Chase Rate	FB Velo	FB Spin	CB Spin	Extension
2025														85	67		99

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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year	Team	Avg HR Trot	Actual HR	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubters	No Doubter %
2025		24.67	5	3.1	2	2	3	1	20.0
Player		24.67	5	3.1	2	2	3	1	20.0

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.

Standard

Year	Team	Avg HR Trot	Actual HR	xHR	HR-xHR	Doubters	Mostly Gone	No Doubters	No Doubter %
2025		24.67	5	3.9	1	3	4	1	20.0
Player		24.67	5	3.9	1	3	4	1	20.0

Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.

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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year	HR
2025	5	2	3	3	3	4	3	2	2	2	3	5	2	5	3	3	4	2	2	5	2	3	5	3	3	2	3	5	3	3	2
Player	5	2	3	3	3	4	3	2	2	2	3	5	2	5	3	3	4	2	2	5	2	3	5	3	3	2	3	5	3	3	2

Standard

Year	HR
2025	5	2	4	5	5	5	5	3	5	3	4	6	3	4	5	3	3	3	4	5	3	5	5	4	3	3	4	1	4	4	4
Player	5	2	4	5	5	5	5	3	5	3	4	6	3	4	5	3	3	3	4	5	3	5	5	4	3	3	4	1	4	4	4

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Statcast Fielder Positioning

				vs RHH			vs LHH
Year	Alignment Type	PA	wOBA	PA	Total	%	PA	Total	%
2025	Shades	74	.377	59	0	0.0	15	8	53.3

! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

		Bases Empty				Runners On Base
Season	Team	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %	Pitches	Tempo	Fast %	Slow %
2025		75	15.6	36.0%	0.0%	45	17.9	0.0%	0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Fielding Run Value

			Infield/Outfield				Catching				Innings By Position
Year	Team	Run Value	INF/OF Runs	Range	Arm	Inf. DP	Catching Runs	Framing	Throwing	Blocking	Total Innings	C	1B	2B	3B	SS	LF	CF	RF
2025		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	16	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
Player		--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	16	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

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Statcast Fielding Breakdown

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MLB Pipeline Rank

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Scouting Report

Baseball America Minor League All-Star