Pablo López
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 5 5 3.07 20 20 0 102.2 115 1.12
2022 10 10 3.75 32 32 0 180 174 1.17
2023 11 8 3.61 31 31 0 189.2 228 1.15
6 Seasons 39 39 3.85 125 125 0 699.2 717 1.18
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 20 5-5 3.07 102.2 115 1.12
2022 32 10-10 3.75 180 174 1.17
2023 31 11-8 3.61 189.2 228 1.15
6 Seasons 125 39-39 3.85 699.2 717 1.18
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 950 179 13 7.3 5.3 86.2 117.3 8.8 30.2 .239 .414 .315 .309 .352 29.6 18.6 7.3 4.14 4.04
2019 23 1796 336 25 7.4 5.3 88.2 114.2 10.0 32.4 .254 .432 .318 .319 .370 36.9 20.3 5.8 5.09 4.50
2020 24 903 161 7 4.3 2.9 85.7 110.3 6.7 31.1 .217 .338 .278 .276 .327 32.3 24.6 7.5 3.61 3.18
2021 25 1669 270 20 7.4 4.8 86.7 112.1 9.2 33.0 .229 .373 .293 .290 .366 33.3 27.5 6.2 3.07 3.52
2022 26 2910 501 45 9.0 6.1 87.9 115.0 11.0 33.7 .239 .378 .305 .301 .359 35.1 23.6 7.2 3.75 3.75
2023 27 2947 497 32 6.4 4.1 87.2 112.8 13.0 32.6 .213 .339 .293 .269 .345 34.8 29.2 6.0 3.61 2.98
Player 11175 1944 142 7.3 4.9 87.3 117.3 10.5 32.6 .231 .375 .301 .292 .355 34.4 24.8 6.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lopez relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(34.8%) ,
Changeup
(21%) ,
Sweeper
(21%) ,
Curveball
(12.7%) ,
Sinker
(10.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 49.7 19.6 24.6 6.1 45.8 30.7 23.5 5.0 39.1 20.7 21.8 5.6 7.3 5.3
2019 49.1 19.3 23.8 7.7 35.4 37.5 27.1 3.6 39.0 20.8 22.6 5.7 7.4 5.3
2020 52.8 16.1 23.6 7.5 37.9 32.9 29.2 6.2 41.6 21.7 20.5 5.0 4.3 2.9
2021 47.0 20.7 26.7 5.6 40.7 36.3 23.0 6.3 34.8 20.7 23.0 7.4 7.4 4.8
2022 47.1 23.8 23.6 5.6 41.5 35.9 22.6 4.8 34.3 23.2 24.6 4.0 9.0 6.1
2023 44.9 26.0 22.7 6.6 41.0 36.8 22.1 5.2 32.8 25.6 24.1 5.8 6.4 4.1
Player 47.6 22.1 23.9 6.4 40.3 35.8 23.9 5.0 35.9 22.7 23.3 5.5 7.3 4.9
MLB 44.6 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup MIN R 618 88.4 29.2 -0.4 -1 16.5 2.0 14
2023 Sweeper MIN R 610 84.4 38.7 2.2 6 13.1 0.3 3
2023 4-Seamer MIN R 1,026 94.9 16.0 -1.0 -7 5.0 -2.8 -36
2023 Curveball MIN R 371 82.5 50.6 2.0 4 9.0 1.8 26
2023 Sinker MIN R 307 94.4 22.4 0.2 1 14.2 -1.0 -7
2022 Changeup MIA R 1,028 87.5 32.3 1.8 6 17.3 2.8 19
2022 Curveball MIA R 234 80.9 51.7 1.0 2 11.0 1.5 16
2022 Sweeper MIA R 14 88.1 29.8 -2.0 -6 2.1 -9.6 -82
2022 Sinker MIA R 235 93.4 25.3 3.0 13 14.7 -0.4 -3
2022 4-Seamer MIA R 1,128 93.6 17.9 -2.4 -16 4.5 -3.6 -45
2022 Cutter MIA R 268 88.8 28.7 -2.0 -8 2.2 -0.1 -5
2021 Cutter MIA R 225 91.6 23.5 -0.7 -3 2.1 -3.4 -255
2021 Curveball MIA R 160 80.2 48.2 -3.8 -7 12.6 2.3 22
2021 4-Seamer MIA R 530 94.1 17.2 -2.0 -13 7.0 -1.1 -14
2021 Sinker MIA R 211 93.7 24.5 3.0 14 15.9 1.0 7
2021 Changeup MIA R 543 88.0 32.4 2.6 9 17.4 3.1 22
2020 Cutter MIA R 76 90.7 24.8 0.1 1 0.2 -1.9 -112
2020 4-Seamer MIA R 291 93.9 17.7 -2.3 -15 6.6 -1.4 -18
2020 Changeup MIA R 270 87.2 33.0 2.6 9 16.7 3.2 24
2020 Curveball MIA R 63 78.7 51.6 -1.5 -3 14.7 4.1 39
2020 Sinker MIA R 203 93.4 24.2 2.7 13 15.7 1.0 7
2019 4-Seamer MIA R 760 93.6 18.6 -2.7 -17 9.8 2.0 26
2019 Curveball MIA R 345 79.8 45.4 -6.3 -12 10.8 0.4 4
2019 Changeup MIA R 395 85.7 33.7 3.4 11 17.2 3.3 24
2019 Sinker MIA R 293 93.3 25.1 3.3 15 16.3 1.9 13
2018 4-Seamer MIA R 324 92.6 18.9 -2.5 -15 7.4 0.0 0
2018 Sinker MIA R 250 92.0 26.6 4.1 18 15.0 0.7 5
2018 Curveball MIA R 193 78.5 50.2 -3.2 -6 11.6 1.6 16
2018 Changeup MIA R 182 85.3 34.0 3.2 10 16.9 3.0 22
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.8 8 1,026 34.8 254 .262 .463 .344 32.0 33.9 26.9 .216 .384 .297 44.4
2023 Sweeper 0.9 5 620 21.0 152 .172 .283 .213 36.7 36.2 23.0 .176 .266 .210 22.0
2023 Changeup 0.6 4 620 21.0 193 .256 .409 .336 27.7 22.3 20.6 .218 .332 .280 35.8
2023 Curveball -0.1 0 373 12.7 95 .204 .333 .248 36.3 40.0 23.9 .208 .331 .247 36.4
2023 Sinker 1.7 5 308 10.5 86 .289 .355 .320 12.4 5.8 16.1 .271 .376 .319 28.8
2022 4-Seamer 0.2 3 1,129 38.8 289 .254 .423 .324 23.1 26.3 22.2 .247 .395 .315 33.2
2022 Changeup 0.4 4 1,029 35.4 265 .220 .374 .289 33.8 27.5 21.1 .233 .367 .288 33.9
2022 Cutter -0.4 -1 269 9.2 58 .333 .722 .458 24.6 6.9 9.1 .281 .502 .361 46.0
2022 Sinker 0.5 1 235 8.1 78 .224 .388 .333 22.3 2.6 5.7 .273 .374 .339 40.0
2022 Curveball 0.7 2 234 8.0 42 .095 .095 .086 39.0 42.9 15.5 .133 .195 .143 20.8
2022 Sweeper -0.5 0 14 0.5 3 .000 .000 .233 25.0 33.3 25.0 .075 .076 .280 100.0
2021 Changeup 0.2 1 543 32.5 179 .235 .361 .300 31.3 34.1 25.0 .205 .311 .252 32.1
2021 4-Seamer 1.6 9 530 31.8 120 .219 .447 .300 22.6 33.3 19.1 .218 .421 .287 38.7
2021 Cutter 0.8 2 225 13.5 47 .214 .333 .323 18.3 6.4 10.7 .282 .479 .364 35.9
2021 Sinker 0.4 1 211 12.6 51 .326 .465 .399 21.2 9.8 21.7 .280 .384 .354 26.3
2021 Curveball 0.4 1 160 9.6 20 .118 .118 .160 36.4 30.0 21.4 .279 .377 .314 25.0
2020 4-Seamer 0.2 0 291 32.2 88 .227 .360 .324 28.4 33.0 23.8 .206 .384 .311 40.4
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 270 29.9 77 .216 .351 .260 32.9 32.5 24.0 .197 .292 .230 34.7
2020 Sinker 1.6 3 203 22.5 49 .244 .267 .252 13.5 2.0 7.7 .287 .327 .298 22.2
2020 Cutter 0.2 0 76 8.4 18 .250 .313 .308 21.6 5.6 7.7 .107 .148 .162 25.0
2020 Curveball -1.3 -1 63 7.0 7 .286 .714 .414 28.6 42.9 33.3 .324 .851 .482 50.0
2019 4-Seamer 0.7 6 760 42.3 197 .277 .429 .326 20.0 20.3 17.3 .242 .416 .308 37.1
2019 Changeup -0.2 -1 395 22.0 119 .226 .409 .307 29.5 26.1 20.5 .243 .401 .284 32.1
2019 Curveball -1.9 -7 345 19.2 69 .213 .393 .308 32.2 24.6 20.0 .248 .459 .340 36.4
2019 Sinker -0.4 -1 293 16.3 80 .324 .535 .416 15.3 8.8 18.9 .310 .503 .383 43.8
2018 4-Seamer -0.1 0 324 34.1 90 .277 .542 .365 16.0 22.2 18.3 .263 .528 .363 35.9
2018 Sinker -0.4 -1 250 26.3 68 .311 .492 .390 16.0 10.3 16.3 .268 .438 .339 34.5
2018 Curveball 0.1 0 193 20.3 39 .237 .368 .272 40.0 25.6 17.2 .173 .293 .213 21.4
2018 Changeup 1.5 3 182 19.2 45 .125 .150 .190 33.7 20.0 16.4 .210 .257 .244 15.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 602 88.3 87 17.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Curveball 369 82.5 72 15.9 7:30 7:15 15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,023 94.9 75 14.7 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Sinker 298 94.4 79 16.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2023 Sweeper 607 84.4 46 14.2 7:45 8:45 -60
2022 Changeup 1,006 87.6 87 18.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2022 Curveball 234 80.9 75 16.9 7:30 7:30 0
2022 Cutter 265 88.8 35 5.7 12:15 11:00 75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,121 93.5 71 13.5 1:15 12:45 30
2022 Sinker 227 93.4 77 16.4 1:15 2:30 -75
2022 Sweeper 14 88.1 45 6.2 12:45 11:15 90
2021 Changeup 534 88.0 90 18.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2021 Curveball 160 80.2 69 15.5 7:45 8:00 -15
2021 Cutter 225 91.6 57 8.7 1:15 12:30 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 530 94.1 80 14.9 1:30 1:00 30
2021 Sinker 208 93.7 84 17.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2020 Changeup 243 87.2 86 17.8 2:00 2:45 -45
2020 Curveball 61 78.7 77 18.4 7:30 8:00 -30
2020 Cutter 74 90.7 52 7.6 1:00 12:00 60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 285 93.9 80 14.4 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 191 93.3 82 17.7 1:15 2:15 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 242 949 -2 15 -6 -5 2
2019 466 1,794 3 11 -7 -11 -3
2020 258 993 6 5 -3 -4 3
2021 417 1,669 14 9 -4 -7 13
2022 735 2,910 7 25 -12 -12 9
2023 780 2,947 6 31 -6 -9 22
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 950 49.8 64.7 82.4 32.8 60.3 43.4 63.0 48.6 24.0 7.3 68.1
2019 1,796 49.2 68.6 82.3 29.6 60.7 42.6 55.7 48.8 23.4 7.7 78.4
2020 903 47.5 70.6 75.9 32.7 66.5 45.8 60.0 50.7 26.2 7.1 84.4
2021 1,669 50.1 68.1 79.6 33.5 61.6 44.3 62.4 50.8 25.7 5.8 75.0
2022 2,910 47.8 69.5 78.8 31.4 56.4 44.3 62.9 49.6 28.1 6.3 83.5
2023 2,947 49.7 69.3 77.7 34.3 52.6 44.9 68.9 51.7 30.3 7.5 75.6
Player 11,175 49.0 68.8 79.2 32.4 57.9 44.3 63.1 50.2 27.1 6.9 78.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2018 47 51 32 26 51 60 32 92 90 24 66 44 92 42 8 33 94
2019 43 37 37 42 50 32 41 61 47 27 83 34 55 53 12 29 93
2020 80 73 78 78 80 38 84 90 79 55 63 47 86 57 15 38 87
2021 74 63 64 64 76 42 54 87 88 77 80 46 94 60 19 55 84
2022 55 49 51 54 57 3 19 63 71 55 57 69 70 43 33 49 92
2023 93 83 86 81 97 20 76 83 79 86 85 79 95 64 49 72 96
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 22.7 8 8.0 0 3 8 2 25.0
2019 22.4 15 16.5 -2 5 17 6 40.0
2020 22.7 6 5.3 1 3 3 3 50.0
2021 24.0 11 11.8 -1 4 9 5 45.5
2022 23.1 21 19.0 2 11 14 9 42.9
2023 22.9 24 20.0 4 11 17 7 29.2
Player 23.0 85 80.6 4 37 68 32 37.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 8 11 5 5 8 9 10 8 6 6 8 8 10 8 8 8 8 7 8 11 9 7 11 8 6 7 5 9 11 9 6
2019 15 19 17 14 19 16 19 16 14 10 15 16 19 17 15 16 13 13 19 20 18 19 23 22 15 12 13 21 21 17 8
2020 6 6 5 7 5 6 6 6 4 4 5 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 3 6 6 4
2021 11 12 9 12 13 11 13 11 9 10 12 17 11 10 13 14 11 10 11 15 10 11 16 12 10 10 14 15 10 12 11
2022 21 20 17 21 18 18 23 15 14 13 14 22 24 19 21 21 21 19 19 18 19 20 24 21 15 15 21 22 24 18 14
2023 24 18 16 21 21 20 21 21 19 15 20 20 19 18 24 21 24 20 19 25 21 18 30 23 15 14 19 21 22 17 17
Player 85 86 69 80 84 80 92 77 66 58 74 87 89 78 87 85 83 75 82 95 83 80 110 91 65 62 77 91 94 79 60
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 93.5 1.1 ↑ 93.3 -0.2 ↓ 93.4 0.1 ↑ 92.7 -0.7 ↓ 94.8 2.1 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 85.3 85.7 0.4 ↑ 87.2 1.5 ↑ 88.0 0.8 ↑ 87.5 -0.5 ↓ 88.4 0.9 ↑
Breaking Velocity 78.5 79.8 1.3 ↑ 78.7 -1.1 ↓ 80.2 1.5 ↑ 81.3 1.1 ↑ 83.7 2.4 ↑
Exit Velocity 86.2 88.2 2.0 ↑ 85.7 -2.5 ↓ 86.7 1.0 ↑ 87.9 1.2 ↑ 87.2 -0.7 ↓
Launch Angle 8.8 10.0 1.2 ↑ 6.7 -3.3 ↓ 9.2 2.5 ↑ 11.0 1.8 ↑ 13.0 2.0 ↑
Barrel % 7.3 7.4 0.1 ↑ 4.3 -3.1 ↓ 7.4 3.1 ↑ 9.0 1.6 ↑ 6.4 -2.6 ↓
Hard Hit % 29.6 36.9 7.3 ↑ 32.3 -4.6 ↓ 33.3 1.0 ↑ 35.1 1.8 ↑ 34.8 -0.3 ↓
Sweet Spot % 30.2 32.4 2.2 ↑ 31.1 -1.3 ↓ 33.0 1.9 ↑ 33.7 0.7 ↑ 32.6 -1.1 ↓
xBA .239 .254 0.015 ↑ .217 -0.037 ↓ .229 0.012 ↑ .239 0.010 ↑ .213 -0.026 ↓
BA .252 .261 0.009 ↑ .230 -0.031 ↓ .233 0.003 ↑ .234 0.001 ↑ .237 0.003 ↑
xwOBA .309 .319 0.010 ↑ .276 -0.043 ↓ .290 0.014 ↑ .301 0.011 ↑ .269 -0.032 ↓
wOBA .315 .318 0.003 ↑ .278 -0.040 ↓ .293 0.015 ↑ .305 0.012 ↑ .293 -0.012 ↓
xSLG .414 .432 0.018 ↑ .338 -0.094 ↓ .373 0.035 ↑ .378 0.005 ↑ .339 -0.039 ↓
SLG .428 .435 0.007 ↑ .346 -0.089 ↓ .385 0.039 ↑ .404 0.019 ↑ .385 -0.019 ↓
K% 18.6 20.3 1.7 ↑ 24.6 4.3 ↑ 27.5 2.9 ↑ 23.6 -3.9 ↓ 29.2 5.6 ↑
BB% 7.3 5.8 -1.5 ↓ 7.5 1.7 ↑ 6.2 -1.3 ↓ 7.2 1.0 ↑ 6.0 -1.2 ↓
Swing % 48.6 48.8 0.2 ↑ 50.7 1.9 ↑ 50.8 0.1 ↑ 49.6 -1.2 ↓ 51.7 2.1 ↑
Whiff% 24.0 23.4 -0.6 ↓ 26.2 2.8 ↑ 25.7 -0.5 ↓ 28.1 2.4 ↑ 30.3 2.2 ↑
In Zone % 49.8 49.2 -0.6 ↓ 47.5 -1.7 ↓ 50.1 2.6 ↑ 47.8 -2.3 ↓ 49.7 1.9 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.2 50.8 0.6 ↑ 52.5 1.7 ↑ 49.9 -2.6 ↓ 52.2 2.3 ↑ 50.3 -1.9 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 32.8 29.6 -3.2 ↓ 32.7 3.1 ↑ 33.5 0.8 ↑ 31.4 -2.1 ↓ 34.3 2.9 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 27.9 -3.4 ↓ 32.1 4.2 ↑ 28.5 -3.6 ↓ 33.7 5.2 ↑ 38.7 5.0 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 55.7 -7.3 ↓ 60.0 4.3 ↑ 62.4 2.4 ↑ 62.9 0.5 ↑ 68.9 6.0 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2018 Shifts 242 .315 122 38 31.1 120 37 30.8
2019 Shifts 465 .319 225 51 22.7 240 160 66.7
2020 Shifts 239 .278 110 35 31.8 129 56 43.4
2021 Shifts 417 .293 209 60 28.7 208 130 62.5
2022 Shifts 731 .305 338 123 36.4 393 281 71.5
2023 Shades 780 .294 385 78 20.3 395 273 69.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo