Pablo López
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 4" 225LBS | Age: 27

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 3 4.25 13 13 0 78.1 92 1.14
6 Seasons 31 34 3.98 107 107 0 588.1 581 1.18
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 13 3-3 4.25 78.1 92 1.14
6 Seasons 107 31-34 3.98 588.1 581 1.18

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 950 179 13 7.3 5.3 86.2 117.3 8.8 30.2 .239 .414 .315 .309 .352 29.6 18.6 7.3 4.14 4.04
2019 23 1796 336 25 7.4 5.3 88.2 114.2 10.0 32.4 .254 .432 .318 .319 .370 36.9 20.3 5.8 5.09 4.50
2020 24 903 161 7 4.3 2.9 85.7 110.3 6.7 31.1 .217 .338 .278 .276 .327 32.3 24.6 7.5 3.61 3.18
2021 25 1669 270 20 7.4 4.8 86.7 112.1 9.2 33.0 .229 .373 .293 .290 .366 33.3 27.5 6.2 3.07 3.52
2022 26 2910 501 45 9.0 6.1 87.9 115.0 11.0 33.7 .239 .378 .305 .301 .359 35.1 23.6 7.2 3.75 3.75
2023 27 1209 202 17 8.4 5.3 87.6 112.8 14.0 33.2 .219 .379 .298 .289 .368 38.6 28.6 6.8 4.25 3.36
Player 9437 1649 127 7.7 5.2 87.3 117.3 10.2 32.6 .236 .387 .303 .299 .360 34.7 23.9 6.7
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lopez relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(34.8%) ,
Sweeper
(22.7%) ,
Changeup
(21.1%) ,
Sinker
(11.6%) ,
Curveball
(9.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 49.7 19.6 24.6 6.1 45.8 30.7 23.5 5.0 39.1 20.7 21.8 5.6 7.3 5.3
2019 49.1 19.3 23.8 7.7 35.4 37.5 27.1 3.6 39.0 20.8 22.6 5.7 7.4 5.3
2020 52.8 16.1 23.6 7.5 37.9 32.9 29.2 6.2 41.6 21.7 20.5 5.0 4.3 2.9
2021 47.0 20.7 26.7 5.6 40.7 36.3 23.0 6.3 34.8 20.7 23.0 7.4 7.4 4.8
2022 47.1 23.8 23.6 5.6 41.5 35.9 22.6 4.8 34.3 23.2 24.6 4.0 9.0 6.1
2023 42.6 26.7 23.8 7.4 37.6 40.1 22.3 5.9 30.2 26.7 22.3 6.4 8.4 5.3
Player 47.8 21.5 24.3 6.5 39.8 36.0 24.3 5.1 36.1 22.3 22.9 5.5 7.7 5.2
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.9 37.6 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seamer MIN R 421 94.9 15.7 -1.1 -8 4.8 -3.2 -40
2023 Sweeper MIN R 270 84.3 37.7 1.6 4 13.4 0.1 1
2023 Sinker MIN R 140 94.6 22.3 0.5 2 14.2 -1.2 -8
2023 Changeup MIN R 254 88.4 29.6 -0.1 0 16.7 2.0 14
2023 Curveball MIN R 116 82.0 52.7 3.1 6 10.3 2.9 38
2022 4-Seamer MIA R 1,127 93.6 17.9 -2.4 -16 4.5 -3.6 -44
2022 Cutter MIA R 282 88.8 28.7 -2.0 -8 2.2 -0.1 -5
2022 Changeup MIA R 1,026 87.5 32.4 1.8 6 17.3 2.7 19
2022 Sinker MIA R 237 93.4 25.3 3.0 14 14.8 -0.4 -2
2022 Curveball MIA R 235 80.9 51.7 0.9 2 11.0 1.5 16
2021 Sinker MIA R 211 93.7 24.5 3.1 15 15.9 1.1 7
2021 Changeup MIA R 543 88.0 32.4 2.6 9 17.4 3.1 22
2021 4-Seamer MIA R 530 94.1 17.2 -2.0 -13 7.0 -1.1 -13
2021 Cutter MIA R 225 91.6 23.5 -0.7 -3 2.1 -3.4 -255
2021 Curveball MIA R 160 80.2 48.2 -3.7 -7 12.6 2.3 22
2020 4-Seamer MIA R 291 93.9 17.7 -2.3 -15 6.6 -1.4 -18
2020 Sinker MIA R 203 93.4 24.2 2.9 13 15.7 1.1 8
2020 Curveball MIA R 63 78.7 51.6 -1.5 -3 14.7 4.1 39
2020 Cutter MIA R 76 90.7 24.8 0.1 1 0.2 -1.9 -112
2020 Changeup MIA R 270 87.2 33.0 2.7 9 16.7 3.2 24
2019 4-Seamer MIA R 760 93.6 18.6 -2.7 -17 9.8 2.0 26
2019 Changeup MIA R 395 85.7 33.7 3.4 11 17.2 3.3 24
2019 Sinker MIA R 293 93.3 25.1 3.3 15 16.3 1.9 13
2019 Curveball MIA R 345 79.8 45.4 -6.2 -12 10.8 0.4 4
2018 Changeup MIA R 182 85.3 34.0 3.2 10 16.9 3.0 22
2018 Curveball MIA R 193 78.5 50.2 -3.2 -6 11.6 1.6 16
2018 4-Seamer MIA R 324 92.6 18.9 -2.5 -15 7.4 0.0 0
2018 Sinker MIA R 250 92.0 26.6 4.1 18 15.0 0.7 5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.2 1 421 34.8 99 .284 .534 .379 29.2 27.3 20.9 .262 .514 .363 50.0
2023 Sweeper 1.3 4 275 22.7 63 .186 .373 .253 39.4 39.7 22.1 .160 .300 .217 28.6
2023 Changeup -2.7 -7 255 21.1 80 .153 .208 .232 27.3 28.7 22.8 .183 .289 .260 34.7
2023 Sinker -1.2 -2 140 11.6 44 .263 .395 .325 14.7 6.8 16.7 .261 .399 .328 27.8
2023 Curveball 1.9 2 118 9.8 35 .294 .441 .349 35.7 40.0 38.9 .234 .334 .278 50.0
2022 4-Seamer -0.2 -2 1,128 38.8 289 .254 .423 .324 23.2 26.3 22.2 .247 .395 .315 33.2
2022 Changeup -0.4 -4 1,027 35.3 265 .220 .374 .289 33.9 27.5 21.2 .233 .367 .288 33.9
2022 Cutter 0.4 1 283 9.7 61 .321 .696 .447 24.4 8.2 10.6 .274 .487 .357 47.1
2022 Sinker -0.5 -1 237 8.1 78 .224 .388 .333 22.1 2.6 5.6 .273 .374 .340 40.0
2022 Curveball -0.7 -2 235 8.1 42 .095 .095 .086 39.0 42.9 15.4 .133 .195 .142 20.8
2021 Changeup -0.2 -1 543 32.5 179 .235 .361 .300 31.3 34.1 25.0 .205 .311 .252 32.1
2021 4-Seamer -1.6 -9 530 31.8 120 .219 .447 .300 22.6 33.3 19.1 .218 .421 .287 38.7
2021 Cutter -0.8 -2 225 13.5 47 .214 .333 .323 18.3 6.4 10.7 .282 .479 .364 35.9
2021 Sinker -0.4 -1 211 12.6 51 .326 .465 .399 21.2 9.8 21.7 .280 .384 .354 26.3
2021 Curveball -0.4 -1 160 9.6 20 .118 .118 .160 36.4 30.0 21.4 .279 .377 .314 25.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.2 0 291 32.2 88 .227 .360 .324 28.4 33.0 23.8 .206 .384 .311 40.4
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 270 29.9 77 .216 .351 .260 32.9 32.5 24.0 .197 .292 .230 34.7
2020 Sinker -1.6 -3 203 22.5 49 .244 .267 .252 13.5 2.0 7.7 .289 .329 .298 22.2
2020 Cutter -0.2 0 76 8.4 18 .250 .313 .308 21.6 5.6 7.7 .107 .148 .162 25.0
2020 Curveball 1.3 1 63 7.0 7 .286 .714 .414 28.6 42.9 33.3 .324 .851 .482 50.0
2019 4-Seamer -0.7 -6 760 42.3 197 .277 .429 .326 20.0 20.3 17.3 .242 .416 .308 37.1
2019 Changeup 0.2 1 395 22.0 119 .226 .409 .307 29.5 26.1 20.5 .243 .401 .284 32.1
2019 Curveball 1.9 7 345 19.2 69 .213 .393 .308 32.2 24.6 20.0 .248 .459 .340 36.4
2019 Sinker 0.4 1 293 16.3 80 .324 .535 .416 15.3 8.8 18.9 .310 .503 .383 43.8
2018 4-Seamer 0.1 0 324 34.1 90 .277 .542 .365 16.0 22.2 18.3 .263 .528 .363 35.9
2018 Sinker 0.4 1 250 26.3 68 .311 .492 .390 16.0 10.3 16.3 .268 .438 .339 34.5
2018 Curveball -0.1 0 193 20.3 39 .237 .368 .272 40.0 25.6 17.2 .173 .293 .213 21.4
2018 Changeup -1.5 -3 182 19.2 45 .125 .150 .190 33.7 20.0 16.4 .210 .257 .244 15.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 243 87.2 86 17.8 2:00 2:45 -45
2020 Curveball 61 78.7 77 18.4 7:30 8:00 -30
2020 Cutter 74 90.7 52 7.6 1:00 12:00 60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 285 93.9 80 14.4 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Sinker 191 93.3 82 17.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Changeup 534 88.0 90 18.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2021 Curveball 160 80.2 69 15.5 7:45 8:00 -15
2021 Cutter 225 91.6 57 8.7 1:15 12:30 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 530 94.1 80 14.9 1:30 1:00 30
2021 Sinker 208 93.7 84 17.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Changeup 1,004 87.5 87 18.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2022 Curveball 235 80.9 75 16.9 7:30 7:30 0
2022 Cutter 279 88.8 35 5.7 12:15 11:00 75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,120 93.6 71 13.5 1:15 12:45 30
2022 Sinker 229 93.4 77 16.4 1:15 2:30 -75
2023 Changeup 241 88.4 85 18.0 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Curveball 115 81.9 77 18.0 7:15 7:15 0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 419 94.9 74 14.8 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Sinker 133 94.5 76 16.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2023 Sweeper 269 84.2 46 14.4 8:00 9:00 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 242 949 2 -15 6 5 -2
2019 466 1,794 -3 -11 7 11 3
2020 258 993 -6 -5 3 4 -3
2021 417 1,669 -14 -9 4 7 -13
2022 735 2,910 -7 -25 12 12 -9
2023 321 1,209 5 -16 4 5 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 950 49.8 64.7 82.4 32.8 60.3 43.4 63.0 48.6 24.0 7.3 68.1
2019 1,796 49.2 68.6 82.3 29.6 60.7 42.6 55.7 48.8 23.4 7.7 78.4
2020 903 47.5 70.6 75.9 32.7 66.5 45.8 60.0 50.7 26.2 7.1 84.4
2021 1,669 50.1 68.1 79.6 33.5 61.6 44.3 62.4 50.8 25.7 5.8 75.0
2022 2,910 47.8 69.5 78.8 31.4 56.4 44.3 62.9 49.6 28.1 6.3 83.5
2023 1,209 49.5 70.1 77.1 35.1 55.6 45.5 71.1 52.4 29.7 7.9 77.9
Player 9,437 48.9 68.8 79.5 32.2 59.4 44.2 62.2 50.0 26.4 6.8 78.8
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2018 47 51 32 26 51 60 32 92 90 24 66 44 92 46 7 33 95
2019 43 38 37 42 50 32 41 61 47 27 83 34 55 57 11 29 93
2020 80 73 78 78 79 38 84 90 79 55 63 47 86 56 16 38 87
2021 74 62 64 64 76 42 54 87 88 77 80 46 94 53 23 55 84
2022 55 49 51 54 57 3 19 63 71 55 57 69 70 38 32 49 92
2023 75 78 63 52 83 10 44 75 56 81 71 76 95 72 48 69 96
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 22.7 8 8.0 0 3 8 2 25.0
2019 22.4 15 16.5 -2 5 17 6 40.0
2020 22.7 6 5.3 1 3 3 3 50.0
2021 24.0 11 11.8 -1 4 9 5 45.5
2022 23.1 21 19.0 2 11 14 9 42.9
2023 23.3 11 8.7 2 5 6 4 36.4
Player 23.0 72 69.4 3 31 57 29 40.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 8 11 5 5 8 9 10 8 6 6 8 8 10 8 8 8 8 7 8 11 9 7 11 8 6 7 5 9 11 9 6
2019 15 19 17 14 19 16 19 16 14 10 15 16 19 17 15 16 13 13 19 20 18 19 23 22 15 12 13 21 21 17 8
2020 6 6 5 7 5 6 6 6 4 4 5 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 3 6 6 4
2021 11 12 9 12 13 11 13 11 9 10 12 17 11 10 13 14 11 10 11 15 10 11 16 12 10 10 14 15 10 12 11
2022 21 20 17 21 18 18 23 15 14 13 14 22 24 19 21 21 21 19 19 18 19 20 24 21 15 15 21 22 24 18 14
2023 11 7 6 10 8 8 8 9 7 7 8 8 13 8 9 9 9 9 10 11 9 8 14 10 7 7 9 9 10 7 7
Player 72 75 59 69 71 68 79 65 54 50 62 75 83 68 72 73 68 64 73 81 71 70 94 78 57 55 67 79 82 69 50
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.4 93.5 1.1 ↑ 93.3 -0.2 ↓ 93.4 0.1 ↑ 92.7 -0.7 ↓ 94.8 2.1 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 85.3 85.7 0.4 ↑ 87.2 1.5 ↑ 88.0 0.8 ↑ 87.5 -0.5 ↓ 88.4 0.9 ↑
Breaking Velocity 78.5 79.8 1.3 ↑ 78.7 -1.1 ↓ 80.2 1.5 ↑ 80.9 0.7 ↑ 83.6 2.7 ↑
Exit Velocity 86.2 88.2 2.0 ↑ 85.7 -2.5 ↓ 86.7 1.0 ↑ 87.9 1.2 ↑ 87.6 -0.3 ↓
Launch Angle 8.8 10.0 1.2 ↑ 6.7 -3.3 ↓ 9.2 2.5 ↑ 11.0 1.8 ↑ 14.0 3.0 ↑
Barrel % 7.3 7.4 0.1 ↑ 4.3 -3.1 ↓ 7.4 3.1 ↑ 9.0 1.6 ↑ 8.4 -0.6 ↓
Hard Hit % 29.6 36.9 7.3 ↑ 32.3 -4.6 ↓ 33.3 1.0 ↑ 35.1 1.8 ↑ 38.6 3.5 ↑
Sweet Spot % 30.2 32.4 2.2 ↑ 31.1 -1.3 ↓ 33.0 1.9 ↑ 33.7 0.7 ↑ 33.2 -0.5 ↓
xBA .239 .254 0.015 ↑ .217 -0.037 ↓ .229 0.012 ↑ .239 0.010 ↑ .219 -0.020 ↓
BA .252 .261 0.009 ↑ .230 -0.031 ↓ .233 0.003 ↑ .234 0.001 ↑ .230 -0.004 ↓
xwOBA .309 .319 0.010 ↑ .276 -0.043 ↓ .290 0.014 ↑ .301 0.011 ↑ .289 -0.012 ↓
wOBA .315 .318 0.003 ↑ .278 -0.040 ↓ .293 0.015 ↑ .305 0.012 ↑ .298 -0.007 ↓
xSLG .414 .432 0.018 ↑ .338 -0.094 ↓ .373 0.035 ↑ .378 0.005 ↑ .379 0.001 ↑
SLG .428 .435 0.007 ↑ .346 -0.089 ↓ .385 0.039 ↑ .404 0.019 ↑ .392 -0.012 ↓
K% 18.6 20.3 1.7 ↑ 24.6 4.3 ↑ 27.5 2.9 ↑ 23.6 -3.9 ↓ 28.6 5.0 ↑
BB% 7.3 5.8 -1.5 ↓ 7.5 1.7 ↑ 6.2 -1.3 ↓ 7.2 1.0 ↑ 6.8 -0.4 ↓
Swing % 48.6 48.8 0.2 ↑ 50.7 1.9 ↑ 50.8 0.1 ↑ 49.6 -1.2 ↓ 52.4 2.8 ↑
Whiff% 24.0 23.4 -0.6 ↓ 26.2 2.8 ↑ 25.7 -0.5 ↓ 28.1 2.4 ↑ 29.7 1.6 ↑
In Zone % 49.8 49.2 -0.6 ↓ 47.5 -1.7 ↓ 50.1 2.6 ↑ 47.8 -2.3 ↓ 49.5 1.7 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.2 50.8 0.6 ↑ 52.5 1.7 ↑ 49.9 -2.6 ↓ 52.2 2.3 ↑ 50.5 -1.7 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 32.8 29.6 -3.2 ↓ 32.7 3.1 ↑ 33.5 0.8 ↑ 31.4 -2.1 ↓ 35.1 3.7 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 27.9 -3.4 ↓ 32.1 4.2 ↑ 28.5 -3.6 ↓ 33.7 5.2 ↑ 39.4 5.7 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 55.7 -7.3 ↓ 60.0 4.3 ↑ 62.4 2.4 ↑ 62.9 0.5 ↑ 71.1 8.2 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 242 .315 122 38 31.1 120 36 30.0
2019 465 .319 225 42 18.7 240 129 53.8
2020 239 .278 110 32 29.1 129 39 30.2
2021 417 .293 209 55 26.3 208 105 50.5
2022 731 .305 338 119 35.2 393 239 60.8
2023 321 .298 180 0 0.0 141 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 289 13.6 69.2% 0.0% 144 23.0 0.0% 7.6%
2019 521 14.8 53.7% 0.4% 277 24.4 0.0% 8.7%
2020 255 15.6 40.4% 0.8% 129 23.1 0.0% 6.2%
2021 513 16.9 29.6% 1.6% 226 24.8 0.0% 10.2%
2022 923 18.8 8.3% 2.4% 363 25.6 0.0% 20.7%
2023 145 15.2 48.3% 0.7% 73 19.5 0.0% 1.4%
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Pitch Distribution

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