P | St. Louis Cardinals
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 235 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 13, No. 392, Toronto Blue Jays | Lehigh
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 0 1.94 39 0 0 60.1 68 0.88
2026 2 2 6.86 39 1 0 42 40 1.69
2 Seasons 6 2 3.96 78 1 0 102.1 108 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 39 4-0 1.94 60.1 68 0.88
2026 39 2-2 6.86 42 40 1.69
2 Seasons 78 6-2 3.96 102.1 108 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 26 964 142 12 8.5 5.1 89.1 113.9 9.8 39.4 .201 .337 .225 .275 .335 35.9 29.1 8.5 1.94 3.09
2026 27 757 135 9 6.7 4.5 90.6 110.0 17.4 37.8 .293 .458 .354 .364 .414 43.7 20.2 10.6 6.86 5.77
Player 1721 277 21 7.6 4.9 89.8 113.9 13.6 38.6 .243 .392 .284 .316 .374 39.7 25.0 9.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Svanson relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(44.6%) ,
Sweeper
(32.2%) ,
Cutter
(22.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(0.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 43.0 57.0 24.6 26.1 6.3 29.6 41.5 28.9 15.5 20.4 7.0 14.1 21.1 21.8
2026 36.3 63.7 28.1 26.7 8.9 31.1 34.8 34.1 15.6 14.1 6.7 15.6 20.7 27.4
Player 39.7 60.3 26.4 26.4 7.6 30.3 38.3 31.4 15.5 17.3 6.9 14.8 20.9 24.5
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.2 35.9 24.6 19.0 7.0 8.5 5.1
2026 2.2 24.4 28.1 31.1 7.4 6.7 4.5
Player 3.2 30.3 26.4 24.9 7.2 7.6 4.9
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 6 97.0 17.0 -3.1 7.2ARM -1.2 12.0 -3.7 7.2ARM -0.6
2026 Cutter STL R 169 92.0 26.1 -2.3 2.0GLV 0.4 6.0 -2.1 2.0GLV -0.3
2026 Sweeper STL R 244 86.6 34.4 -2.2 10.7GLV -1.6 2.2 -1.2 10.7GLV -3.0
2026 Sinker STL R 338 96.3 21.9 0.2 15.4ARM -0.3 7.7 -0.1 15.4ARM 0.3
2025 Sweeper STL R 336 87.2 33.4 -2.7 10.0GLV -1.8 2.8 -1.9 10.0GLV -3.9
2025 Sinker STL R 457 96.9 19.5 -1.6 15.4ARM 0.1 9.7 -2.3 15.4ARM 0.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball STL R 13 96.5 17.1 -3.4 9.0ARM 1.3 12.1 -3.7 9.0ARM 1.4
2025 Cutter STL R 158 92.2 25.4 -2.2 1.8GLV 0.1 6.5 -1.9 1.8GLV -0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker -1.1 -4 338 44.6 108 .341 .516 .409 12.4 15.7 19.5 .316 .483 .391 44.7
2026 Sweeper 0.3 1 244 32.2 54 .196 .294 .256 28.0 31.5 20.2 .247 .400 .300 35.3
2026 Cutter -1.2 -2 169 22.3 34 .310 .448 .363 19.8 17.6 16.2 .309 .493 .377 54.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball -3.3 0 6 0.8 2 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 0.0 .011 .021 .357 0.0
2025 Sinker 2.4 11 457 47.4 123 .157 .250 .237 19.2 26.0 21.5 .212 .355 .289 33.3
2025 Sweeper 1.9 6 336 34.9 69 .127 .159 .155 26.8 37.7 18.7 .146 .238 .191 33.3
2025 Cutter 0.2 0 158 16.4 39 .219 .313 .314 27.9 23.1 25.0 .265 .398 .359 47.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball -16.1 -2 13 1.3 3 .333 1.333 .667 14.3 33.3 12.5 .280 1.088 .553 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 169 92.0 34 5.8 12:30 11:15 75
2026 Sinker 338 96.3 83 17.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2026 Sweeper 244 86.6 39 11.7 8:30 9:15 -45
2025 Cutter 158 92.2 38 6.4 12:30 11:15 75
2025 4-Seam Fastball 13 96.5 88 14.9 1:30 1:15 15
2025 Sinker 457 96.8 87 18.4 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 Sweeper 336 87.2 34 11.0 8:45 9:15 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 234 964 12 15 -6 -5 16
2026 198 757 -2 7 -7 -3 -5
Player 432 1,721 10 22 -14 10 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 964 52.9 63.3 81.4 22.5 62.7 39.9 65.4 44.1 23.1 7.9 80.3
2026 757 53.0 69.3 86.7 24.2 64.0 40.4 56.1 48.1 18.7 8.6 75.4
Player 1,721 52.9 66.0 83.9 23.2 63.3 40.2 61.1 45.8 21.0 8.2 78.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 88 84 83 86 86 43 54 2 30 88 40 48 83 56 69
2026 23 12 57 6 79 45 12 4 6 33 22 65 16 19 65
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.90 3 4.1 -1 6 4 1 33.3
2026 23.16 5 3.9 1 2 3 1 20.0
Player 23.48 8 7.9 0 8 7 2 25.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 3 3 3 7 8 3 4 4 5 2 3 7 2 7 5 4 5 2 3 7 3 3 7 5 2 2 4 4 3 3 2
2026 5 4 3 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 2
Player 8 7 6 12 12 7 8 8 10 6 6 11 5 11 9 8 9 6 7 12 6 8 11 9 5 5 8 8 7 7 4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .291 +.131 .160
xBA .293 +.092 .201
OBP .369 +.125 .244
xOBP .372 +.091 .281
SLG .436 +.188 .248
xSLG .458 +.121 .337
ISO .145 +.058 .087
xISO .165 +.029 .136
BABIP .346 +.130 .216
wOBA .354 +.129 .225
xwOBA .364 +.089 .275
wOBAcon .399 +.147 .252
xwOBAcon .414 +.079 .335
BACON .370 +.138 .232
xBACON .375 +.081 .294
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 43.7 +7.8 35.9
Avg Exit Velocity 90.6 +1.5 89.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 37.8 -1.6 39.4
Barrel % 6.7 -1.8 8.5
Avg Launch Angle 17.4 +7.6 9.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.3 +1.5 70.8
Attack Angle +2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 47.5 +3.8 43.7
Attack Direction -2°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 32°
Swing Length 7.1 +0.2 6.9
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.9 -0.8 95.7
Breaking Velocity 86.6 -0.6 87.2
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 9 -3 12
Popup % 8.9 +2.6 6.3
Flyball % 28.1 +3.5 24.6
Line Drive % 26.7 +0.6 26.1
Groundball % 36.3 -6.7 43.0
Pull % 31.1 +1.5 29.6
Straight Away % 34.8 -6.7 41.5
Opposite Field % 34.1 +5.2 28.9
Weak Contact % 2.2 -2.0 4.2
Pull Airball % 15.6 +1.5 14.1
Topped Contact % 24.4 -11.5 35.9
Under Contact % 28.1 +3.5 24.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 31.1 +12.1 19.0
Solid Contact % 7.4 +0.4 7.0
HR/FB % 13.2 +4.6 8.6
Popups 12 +3 9
Flyballs 38 +3 35
Line Drives 36 -1 37
Groundballs 49 -12 61
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 53.0 +0.1 52.9
Out of Zone % 47.0 -0.1 47.1
Edge % 40.4 +0.5 39.9
Zone Swing % 69.3 +6.0 63.3
Out of Zone Swing % 24.2 +1.7 22.5
In Zone Contact % 86.7 +5.3 81.4
Out of Zone Contact % 64.0 +1.3 62.7
Whiff % 18.7 -4.4 23.1
First Strike % 56.1 -9.3 65.4
First Pitch Swing % 32.8 +2.0 30.8
Swing % 48.1 +4.0 44.1
Meatball Swing % 75.4 -4.9 80.3
Meatball % 8.6 +0.7 7.9
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.3 -5.3 18.6
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 36.0 -1.3 37.3
In Zone 401 -109 510
Out of Zone 356 -98 454
Edge 306 -79 385
In Zone Swings 278 -45 323
Out of Zone Swings 86 -16 102
In Zone Swing & Misses 37 -23 60
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 31 -7 38
Basic
Pitches 757 -207 964
PA 198 -36 234
AB 172 -34 206
Hits 50 +17 33
Singles 35 +12 23
Doubles 10 +5 5
Triples 0 -2 2
Home Runs 5 +2 3
Walks 21 +1 20
Strikeouts 40 -28 68
K% 20.2 -8.9 29.1
BB% 10.6 +2.1 8.5
HBP 2 -2 4
Batted Balls 135 -7 142
Fastball Percent 67.8 +2.7 65.1
Offspeed Percent 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Percent 32.2 -2.7 34.9
Number of Fastballs 513 -115 628
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 244 -92 336
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 234 .225 140 1 0.7 94 57 60.6
2026 Shades 198 .354 100 0 0.0 98 36 36.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 283 15.6 39.9% 0.7% 164 17.8 5.5% 0.6%
2026 158 15.6 32.3% 0.6% 142 18.0 4.2% 2.8%

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Pitch Distribution