The Port St. Lucie, Fla., area is known mostly in baseball circles for being the Spring Training home of the New York Mets. Richardson, a rapidly rising right-hander from nearby Jensen Beach High School, could help put that part of Florida's east coast on the map for more than that. Making his name primarily as an outfielder for much of his high school career, the 6-foot-2 Richardson has taken off on the mound this spring.
He's been seen up to 96-to-97 mph with his fastball at times, sitting comfortably in the 93-to-94 range. His breaking ball can be inconsistent; some scouts have seen two distinct pitches, others have seen them blurring into one slurvy offering. But he's shown enough glimpses of an above-average 78-to-83 mph breaker to think he'll get there consistently with more reps. He'll show a usable changeup in the bullpen, but doesn't throw it much in games.
Richardson's athleticism should allow him to continue to throw strikes and repeat his delivery. He's still learning to pitch, and the Florida commit's upside potential could interest teams in the top two or three rounds.
It hasn’t been the most linear path for Richardson, the Reds’ second-round pick in 2018 who got an over-slot $2 million bonus to sign, but he’s on the cusp of a full-time role in the big leagues. He had a solid first full season back in 2019 and his stuff continued to improve during the shutdown, but things got derailed with a rough 2021 that ended with Tommy John surgery in September. He got added to the 40-man roster after throwing well at instructs in 2022, his first action back, then surprisingly pitched his way to the big leagues, where things didn’t go so well, in 2023. He touched the Major Leagues again in 2024, but was moved to the bullpen after being sent back down.
It seems like the velocity gains Richardson was showing in bullpens have carried over into game action. The fastball averaged 96 mph a year ago and touched 99. Both his mid-80s slider and upper-70s curve are capable of missing bats, but he especially had trouble landing the slider for strikes. He sells his upper-80s changeup with good arm speed very well and that has become his best secondary offering, both missing bats and getting ground-ball outs with it.
With the elbow surgery further in his rearview mirror, the hope is Richardson will be able to take another step in terms of harnessing his electric stuff. The hope had been that he might gain more consistency with his stuff in the zone and trust his secondary offerings more to give him the chance to start, but it looks now like he’ll get the chance for his power stuff to play in shorter relief stints.
Richardson skyrocketed up 2018 Draft boards during his senior year at his high school in the Port St. Lucie area in Florida when the two-way player saw his velocity and stuff spike on the mound. The Reds went over slot to sign him for $2 million in the second round of the Draft that June, and after he was slowed by elbow soreness that summer, he had a healthy first full year in 2019, then showed off more velocity gains at the alternate site in 2020. After scuffling for much of 2021, Richardson had Tommy John surgery in September of that year, and even though he missed all of 2022, he was added to the 40-man roster this past offseason because he was throwing so well at instructs.
Early reports of Richardson’s return to the mound early this year have been very promising. He was touching 97-98 mph with his fastball in bullpen sessions, though he was more of a low-to-mid-90s guy with fluctuating velocity as a pro. He’ll throw two distinct breaking pitches, though they’ve blurred together in the past, with a mid-80s slider and a slightly slower curve thrown around 80 mph. He’ll show feel for a mid-to-upper-80s changeup with good arm speed as well.
A former outfielder, Richardson is athletic on the mound, which should help him repeat his delivery and find the strike zone more consistently. The most important thing now is to turn in a healthy season and allow him to put TJ surgery in his rearview; then the Reds can really see if Richardson can resume reaching his ceiling as a big league starter.
Richardson rose up Draft boards in 2018 as an athletic two-way player whose velocity spike as a senior at his Port St. Lucie high school in Florida. He had a commitment to Florida for college, but the Reds bought him out of that by going over slot in the second round of that June’s Draft, giving the right-hander $2 million to sign. He had an uneven first full season in 2019 and started out strongly in 2021, but struggled the rest of the way. The culprit was a bad elbow that required Tommy John surgery this past offseason and will keep him out for the 2022 season.
Richardson’s velocity had fluctuated during his first couple of years in the Reds system, sitting more in the low-90s in 2019, but back up to the mid-90s at the alternate site in 2020 and he was throwing hard at the outset of the 2021 season as the Reds pitching coordinator stressed power stuff. That also meant that Richardson really focused on his fastball and slider and shelved his curve, which at times was a separate pitch and at times ran into the slider in the past. He had shown some feel for a changeup previously as well.
A former outfielder, Richardson’s athleticism will only help him on the mound in terms of repeating his delivery and finding the strike zone more consistently. For now, though, he’ll rehab from elbow surgery with an eye towards a 2023 return.
A two-way player known mostly as an outfielder at his Port St. Lucie high school in Florida, Richardson jumped up Draft boards as a pitcher when his velocity and stuff spiked as a senior. That led to the Reds taking him in the second round of the 2018 Draft and giving him an above-slot $2 million bonus to sign him away from his commitment to the University of Florida. After being shut down with elbow soreness during his debut summer, he had a healthy, albeit uneven, first full season in 2019, then went to the Reds’ alternate training site in 2020.
After working at Cressey Sports Performance during the offseason, Richardson showed up at the alternate training site in terrific shape and started showing velocity closer to what put him on the Draft map in 2018. He was more of a low-90s guy during his first full season after touching 97 mph as a high school senior, but his fastball ticked back up to the mid-90s in Dayton over the summer, albeit in a smaller sample size. He’ll throw both a curve and a slider, though the two can run into each other at times, and he's displayed some feel for a changeup, and all of his secondary stuff was crisper at the alternate training site.
The former outfielder’s athleticism should continue to help him repeat his delivery and throw strikes. Richardson had thrown enough over the summer to not head to instructional league play last fall. Showing he can maintain the gains on display in 2020 over the course of an entire season’s workload could shoot him up this list.
At only 20 years of age, Richardson doesn’t have much mileage on his right arm. While a senior in high school near Port St. Lucie, Fla., he was converted from the outfield to pitching and reached 97 mph in his pre-Draft workouts. A second-round pick, he signed for just below $2 million. But a sore elbow developed at rookie-level Greeneville led to him being shut down early as the organization demonstrated caution.
Health was not an issue in 2019, as Richardson made 26 starts with 112 2/3 innings for Class A Dayton. He has three pitches -- fastball, changeup and breaking ball -- and a repeatable delivery. The right-hander had a satisfying season even as he endured the ups and downs that are often expected from players in their age 19 season for the first time out of rookie ball.
Richardson still has the velocity and often reached 95 mph with the ability to touch 96. He’s also demonstrated some swagger on the mound with no fear. That, and another healthy season, should help him keep moving up the ladder and reach his ceiling as a starter.
By signing first-round Draft selection Jonathan India at below slot value in 2018, there was some extra money that enabled the Reds to aggressively go after high school talent with larger bonsuses. One of those who benefited was Richardson, who signed for just below $2 million in the second round.
Converted from outfielder to pitcher during his senior year in the Port St. Lucie area of Florida, Richardson hit 97 mph with his fastball ahead of the 2018 Draft. But during his first pro exposure at Rookie-level Greeneville, the right-hander did not display his best velocity on his fastball or breaking ball and rarely threw his slider. After he was looked over by doctors and being diagnosed with a sore elbow, the organization used maximum caution to shut him down just ahead of season's end. When healthy, he's shown two distinct breaking balls, though they run together at times, and he has a feel for a changeup he'll need to start using more in games.
With his athleticism and an ability to repeat his delivery, the Reds like Richardson's upside well enough to still feel confident that he can find his way, though his first order of business will be to stay healthy.
The Reds have been about as good as anyone using the bonus pool to their advantage. In 2018, like they did in 2016 with Nick Senzel in the first round, they took a college bat in Jonathan India and signed him for below pick value. Those savings allowed the club to aggressively go after high school talent, including Richardson, the second rounder who signed for just under $2 million.
The Port St. Lucie area prepster was primarily known as an outfielder before emerging on the mound in his senior year. The 6-foot-2 right-hander was up to 96-97 mph with his fastball at times, sitting comfortably in the 93-94 range. His breaking ball can be inconsistent; some scouts have seen two distinct pitches, others have seen them blurring into one slurvy offering. But he's shown enough glimpses of an above-average 78-83 mph breaker to think he'll get there consistently with more reps. He'll show a usable changeup in the bullpen but doesn't throw it much in games.
Richardson's athleticism helps him on the mound and he should continue to repeat his delivery and find the strike zone consistently as he develops. Still learning how to pitch, there's a good amount of upside potential for him to tap into.
How this works:
This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement.
On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown.
Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release.
On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
Standard
Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2023
24.6
6
5.3
1
1
4
2
33.3
2024
28.5
1
0.2
1
1
0
0
0.0
Player
25.2
7
5.5
2
2
4
2
28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
Standard
Year
HR
2023
6
5
4
5
4
6
7
6
6
4
4
5
5
6
7
5
4
5
5
7
6
5
7
6
5
5
4
4
6
6
5
2024
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Player
7
6
4
6
4
7
7
6
7
4
4
6
5
6
7
5
4
5
5
8
6
5
8
6
5
5
4
4
6
6
5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift:
three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of
their typical responsible slices of the field. Learn more about
how positioning is defined here