Luis Severino
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 218LBS | Age: 29
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 0 0.00 4 0 0 6 8 0.50
2022 7 3 3.18 19 19 0 102 112 1.00
2023 4 8 6.65 19 18 0 89.1 79 1.65
8 Seasons 54 37 3.79 141 125 0 727.1 788 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 1-0 0.00 6 8 0.50
2022 19 7-3 3.18 102 112 1.00
2023 19 4-8 6.65 89.1 79 1.65
8 Seasons 141 54-37 3.79 727.1 788 1.19
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 21 1025 175 10 5.7 3.9 87.0 111.8 7.9 27.4 .235 .388 .309 .309 .356 30.3 22.0 8.6 2.89 3.94
2016 22 1269 218 17 7.8 5.4 89.7 114.7 9.2 32.1 .266 .440 .348 .335 .392 41.5 21.2 8.0 5.83 4.81
2017 23 3082 495 30 6.1 3.8 87.2 111.4 8.0 29.7 .215 .339 .263 .271 .349 33.5 29.4 6.5 2.98 3.10
2018 24 3152 509 39 7.7 5.0 88.4 112.1 11.7 36.7 .240 .393 .290 .299 .389 34.7 28.2 5.9 3.39 3.76
2019 25 219 24 1 4.2 2.1 85.8 108.5 16.2 29.2 .171 .263 .217 .258 .314 29.2 35.4 12.5 1.50 2.88
2021 27 98 12 0 0.0 0.0 85.5 102.3 12.3 33.3 .162 .220 .161 .214 .275 33.3 36.4 4.5 0.00 1.92
2022 28 1639 259 18 6.9 4.4 89.4 113.8 11.0 33.6 .203 .328 .273 .268 .329 41.6 27.7 7.4 3.18 2.94
2023 29 1636 298 31 10.4 7.4 90.2 111.7 13.6 37.9 .286 .498 .390 .368 .424 45.0 18.9 8.2 6.65 5.93
Player 12120 1990 146 7.3 4.8 88.5 114.7 10.4 33.3 .235 .386 .300 .300 .372 37.1 26.1 7.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Severino relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(45.5%) ,
Changeup
(18.6%) ,
Slider
(18.5%) ,
Cutter
(15%) ,
Sinker
(2.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 51.4 17.7 24.0 6.9 37.1 35.4 26.9 2.9 42.3 17.7 24.0 6.9 5.7 3.9
2016 45.4 19.3 27.5 7.8 30.3 38.1 31.7 3.2 37.6 20.2 25.2 4.6 7.8 5.4
2017 50.5 18.4 24.2 6.9 32.7 43.2 24.0 4.6 39.0 21.4 25.1 3.2 6.1 3.8
2018 42.0 19.6 30.3 8.1 32.4 38.7 28.9 2.9 33.6 22.8 27.1 5.1 7.7 5.0
2019 37.5 25.0 25.0 12.5 45.8 45.8 8.3 4.2 25.0 33.3 29.2 4.2 4.2 2.1
2021 41.7 33.3 25.0 0.0 50.0 33.3 16.7 0.0 41.7 25.0 25.0 8.3 0.0 0.0
2022 45.2 25.9 22.4 6.6 37.1 39.0 23.9 5.0 33.2 27.0 21.2 5.4 6.9 4.4
2023 43.3 24.5 26.2 6.0 37.2 36.9 25.8 3.7 29.2 24.2 27.5 5.0 10.4 7.4
Player 45.9 20.8 26.2 7.1 34.3 39.3 26.4 3.8 35.4 22.6 25.4 4.8 7.3 4.8
MLB 44.6 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Cutter NYY R 245 90.7 28.4 -3.6 -14 4.3 1.8 74
2023 Changeup NYY R 304 86.7 27.8 -2.4 -8 13.4 -0.8 -5
2023 4-Seamer NYY R 745 96.5 13.4 0.1 1 7.5 -0.3 -4
2023 Slider NYY R 303 84.6 40.2 3.3 9 10.3 4.8 86
2023 Sinker NYY R 39 95.5 17.0 -3.3 -16 14.0 -0.8 -5
2022 4-Seamer NYY R 780 96.3 12.2 1.2 9 7.6 0.2 2
2022 Cutter NYY R 129 90.3 29.3 -4.3 -17 5.0 2.8 128
2022 Changeup NYY R 363 88.8 25.4 -3.2 -11 13.6 -0.8 -5
2022 Sinker NYY R 17 95.9 14.4 -5.8 -29 13.7 -1.4 -9
2022 Slider NYY R 331 85.1 41.0 4.8 13 10.5 5.1 95
2021 Cutter NYY R 2 92.0 20.9 2.1 9 0.5 -2.5 -126
2021 Slider NYY R 27 85.3 40.2 4.7 13 9.9 4.9 98
2021 4-Seamer NYY R 43 95.3 12.7 1.4 10 7.8 0.4 6
2021 Changeup NYY R 26 88.7 26.1 -2.4 -8 15.2 1.0 7
2019 4-Seamer NYY R 124 96.1 13.7 0.8 6 7.5 -0.4 -5
2019 Changeup NYY R 36 88.2 26.9 -1.8 -6 13.2 -1.0 -7
2019 Slider NYY R 59 84.1 43.2 4.8 13 10.9 5.2 89
2018 Changeup NYY R 427 88.1 24.6 -4.2 -15 11.8 -2.2 -16
2018 4-Seamer NYY R 1,589 97.6 12.6 1.1 8 6.4 -1.4 -18
2018 Slider NYY R 1,132 88.1 38.3 5.6 17 10.1 6.2 162
2017 4-Seamer NYY R 1,582 97.5 11.4 0.6 5 9.9 1.5 18
2017 Slider NYY R 1,081 88.3 36.8 6.2 20 6.3 3.4 119
2017 Changeup NYY R 418 87.2 23.5 -3.9 -14 13.1 -0.7 -5
2016 Slider NYY R 427 88.8 32.7 4.0 14 9.2 4.9 112
2016 Changeup NYY R 114 89.2 21.2 -5.0 -19 13.7 1.1 9
2016 4-Seamer NYY R 697 96.8 10.6 1.6 13 4.7 -2.7 -36
2016 Cutter NYY R 24 91.6 16.8 4.6 22 4.3 -6.9 -269
2015 Sinker NYY R 5 96.0 -- -- 13.3 -0.5 -4
2015 Cutter NYY R 34 92.0 -- -- 1.0 -3.8 -134
2015 Slider NYY R 320 89.6 -- -- 6.9 2.8 68
2015 4-Seamer NYY R 517 96.0 -- -- 7.0 -0.1 -1
2015 Changeup NYY R 143 88.6 -- -- 15.6 3.3 27
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -1.8 -14 745 45.5 194 .349 .680 .463 19.6 20.1 15.9 .307 .581 .406 53.3
2023 Changeup -0.8 -3 304 18.6 76 .279 .441 .364 21.6 19.7 16.3 .278 .406 .340 40.7
2023 Slider -4.0 -12 303 18.5 80 .280 .560 .398 25.6 21.3 14.0 .291 .544 .375 32.8
2023 Cutter -0.6 -1 245 15.0 56 .229 .333 .325 18.1 10.7 8.6 .217 .297 .293 42.9
2023 Sinker 2.3 1 39 2.4 10 .111 .111 .160 15.8 20.0 25.0 .246 .270 .271 28.6
2022 4-Seamer 1.4 11 784 47.8 182 .186 .377 .284 20.7 19.2 16.7 .227 .392 .300 45.1
2022 Changeup -1.9 -7 366 22.3 93 .235 .365 .305 31.5 28.0 20.6 .208 .304 .259 31.7
2022 Slider 1.7 6 338 20.6 96 .163 .302 .242 41.6 45.8 29.7 .150 .252 .220 47.6
2022 Cutter -0.3 0 130 7.9 29 .192 .308 .266 40.5 20.7 13.6 .209 .270 .261 30.0
2022 Sinker 1.5 0 17 1.0 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 33.3 25.0 .190 .205 .179 100.0
2021 4-Seamer 4.5 2 43 43.9 7 .000 .000 .100 30.0 14.3 10.0 .158 .266 .256 20.0
2021 Slider 1.0 0 27 27.6 6 .167 .167 .150 25.0 33.3 13.3 .232 .264 .216 50.0
2021 Changeup 5.0 1 26 26.5 8 .125 .250 .156 46.7 62.5 50.0 .112 .152 .114 33.3
2021 Cutter -11.0 0 2 2.0 1 -- -- .700 0.0 0.0 -- -- -- .700 --
2019 4-Seamer 3.6 4 124 56.6 23 .100 .100 .170 31.7 34.8 17.0 .122 .216 .215 8.3
2019 Slider 1.2 1 59 26.9 16 .154 .154 .244 28.0 50.0 23.5 .193 .238 .282 60.0
2019 Changeup -1.1 0 36 16.4 9 .250 .375 .317 11.8 11.1 20.0 .256 .420 .331 42.9
2018 4-Seamer 0.7 12 1,589 50.4 367 .272 .451 .341 20.2 21.8 18.3 .280 .486 .355 39.3
2018 Slider 0.9 11 1,132 35.9 305 .192 .298 .238 37.3 39.0 24.7 .187 .278 .224 28.7
2018 Changeup -0.9 -4 427 13.5 105 .260 .375 .329 25.9 20.0 19.1 .256 .422 .326 32.0
2017 4-Seamer 0.2 4 1,582 51.3 351 .252 .440 .348 24.0 24.2 21.6 .245 .435 .334 38.9
2017 Slider 1.2 13 1,081 35.1 328 .181 .267 .230 34.4 37.8 26.3 .180 .248 .206 29.3
2017 Changeup 1.9 8 418 13.6 103 .156 .240 .224 25.2 20.4 23.1 .234 .332 .272 28.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 302 86.7 99 16.1 2:00 2:00 0
2023 Cutter 241 90.6 46 7.4 11:15 10:15 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 735 96.5 92 17.3 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Sinker 39 95.5 90 19.1 1:00 1:45 -45
2023 Slider 301 84.6 61 11.6 8:45 8:30 15
2022 Changeup 363 88.8 98 16.9 2:00 2:00 0
2022 Cutter 130 90.3 42 7.3 10:45 10:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 780 96.3 93 18.7 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Sinker 17 95.9 95 20.7 1:00 1:30 -30
2022 Slider 328 85.1 59 12.3 8:30 8:15 15
2021 Changeup 26 88.7 99 17.9 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 43 95.3 91 18.8 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Slider 27 85.3 52 11.3 8:45 8:15 30
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 255 1,025 1 9 -3 -2 4
2016 310 1,264 -4 9 -8 -5 -8
2017 850 3,364 14 32 -15 -10 21
2018 815 3,306 12 30 -14 -10 17
2019 87 399 4 9 -5 -2 6
2021 28 126 1 3 0 -1 3
2022 448 1,810 18 6 -9 -7 8
2023 416 1,636 -15 1 -7 -8 -29
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,025 50.0 62.3 83.4 27.3 62.1 41.6 63.1 44.8 23.1 9.3 70.5
2016 1,269 47.9 62.8 82.7 26.5 63.4 43.9 59.3 43.9 22.6 6.3 85.0
2017 3,082 52.8 67.9 78.9 28.2 52.4 41.6 65.2 49.1 28.1 7.9 79.1
2018 3,152 52.9 67.5 79.4 29.6 56.6 43.2 69.0 49.7 26.8 8.7 76.9
2019 219 50.7 63.1 74.3 29.6 68.8 46.6 66.7 46.6 27.5 5.5 66.7
2021 98 41.8 65.9 74.1 29.8 52.9 45.9 63.6 44.9 34.1 9.2 100.0
2022 1,639 50.9 70.7 79.2 27.0 52.1 43.6 64.0 49.2 27.8 7.3 79.7
2023 1,636 52.2 72.0 83.3 29.2 67.5 43.3 65.9 51.5 20.6 7.8 80.3
Player 12,120 51.6 67.7 80.3 28.3 57.9 42.9 65.3 48.6 25.8 7.9 78.4
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 45 59 47 36 49 63 31 81 72 62 26 54 24 89 70 59
2016 23 24 26 29 28 42 14 19 4 53 47 45 21 94 76 46
2017 87 83 86 82 90 13 47 49 48 89 81 77 59 97 71 52
2018 59 50 49 45 75 6 25 46 55 82 86 64 69 98 83 51
2019 88 64 39
2022 84 86 83 71 86 47 57 25 18 79 54 67 23 87 58 36
2023 5 7 5 8 10 21 14 18 9 19 52 11 54 88 57 27
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 24.8 11 10.0 1 5 5 6 54.5
2017 23.1 26 21.0 5 12 17 8 30.8
2018 22.3 19 22.9 -4 15 23 6 31.6
2019 22.5 2 3.6 -2 0 2 2 100.0
2022 23.9 15 14.6 0 5 13 5 33.3
2023 23.8 23 23.8 -1 5 15 11 47.8
Player 23.4 96 95.8 0 42 75 38 39.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 11 11 9 13 9 8 10 10 8 8 8 11 10 10 8 11 7 8 13 10 12 9 13 14 10 8 10 13 11 10 7
2017 26 22 20 21 21 22 26 21 15 17 19 29 21 22 20 20 17 19 21 20 22 20 26 22 20 18 19 28 24 23 15
2018 19 34 10 21 27 23 28 22 23 11 21 29 26 16 19 24 19 20 20 31 21 26 38 29 17 14 24 26 27 24 16
2019 2 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 4 4 3 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
2022 15 8 11 13 18 17 18 11 15 12 15 18 11 12 17 16 12 13 14 17 16 14 18 16 10 13 18 17 16 16 15
2023 23 24 20 24 27 26 26 24 23 20 22 24 23 23 25 27 26 23 25 26 22 24 27 28 20 20 23 23 26 25 18
Player 96 103 74 95 106 100 112 92 88 70 88 115 94 87 93 101 83 86 97 108 97 97 126 113 80 76 98 111 108 101 74
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.8 96.6 0.8 ↑ 97.5 0.9 ↑ 97.6 0.1 ↑ -- -1.5 ↓ -- -- 95.2 -- 95.5 0.3 ↑ 95.1 -0.4 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 88.6 89.2 0.6 ↑ 87.2 -2.0 ↓ 88.1 0.9 ↑ -- 0.1 ↑ -- -- 88.7 -- 88.8 0.1 ↑ 86.7 -2.1 ↓
Breaking Velocity 89.6 88.8 -0.8 ↓ 88.3 -0.5 ↓ 88.1 -0.2 ↓ -- -4.0 ↓ -- -- 85.3 -- 85.1 -0.2 ↓ 84.6 -0.5 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.0 89.7 2.7 ↑ 87.2 -2.5 ↓ 88.4 1.2 ↑ -- -2.6 ↓ -- -- 85.5 -- 89.4 3.9 ↑ 90.2 0.8 ↑
Launch Angle 7.9 9.2 1.3 ↑ 8.0 -1.2 ↓ 11.7 3.7 ↑ -- 4.5 ↑ -- -- 12.3 -- 11.0 -1.3 ↓ 13.6 2.6 ↑
Barrel % 5.7 7.8 2.1 ↑ 6.1 -1.7 ↓ 7.7 1.6 ↑ -- -3.5 ↓ -- -- 0.0 -- 6.9 6.9 ↑ 10.4 3.5 ↑
Hard Hit % 30.3 41.5 11.2 ↑ 33.5 -8.0 ↓ 34.7 1.2 ↑ -- -5.5 ↓ -- -- 33.3 -- 41.6 8.3 ↑ 45.0 3.4 ↑
Sweet Spot % 27.4 32.1 4.7 ↑ 29.7 -2.4 ↓ 36.7 7.0 ↑ -- -7.5 ↓ -- -- 33.3 -- 33.6 0.3 ↑ 37.9 4.3 ↑
xBA .235 .266 0.031 ↑ .215 -0.051 ↓ .240 0.025 ↑ -- -0.069 ↓ -- -- .162 -- .203 0.041 ↑ .286 0.083 ↑
BA .229 .275 0.046 ↑ .208 -0.067 ↓ .238 0.030 ↑ -- -0.092 ↓ -- -- .100 -- .196 0.096 ↑ .301 0.105 ↑
xwOBA .309 .335 0.026 ↑ .271 -0.064 ↓ .299 0.028 ↑ -- -0.041 ↓ -- -- .214 -- .268 0.054 ↑ .368 0.100 ↑
wOBA .309 .348 0.039 ↑ .263 -0.085 ↓ .290 0.027 ↑ -- -0.073 ↓ -- -- .161 -- .273 0.112 ↑ .390 0.117 ↑
xSLG .388 .440 0.052 ↑ .339 -0.101 ↓ .393 0.054 ↑ -- -0.130 ↓ -- -- .220 -- .328 0.108 ↑ .498 0.170 ↑
SLG .403 .472 0.069 ↑ .338 -0.134 ↓ .379 0.041 ↑ -- -0.208 ↓ -- -- .150 -- .353 0.203 ↑ .555 0.202 ↑
K% 22.0 21.2 -0.8 ↓ 29.4 8.2 ↑ 28.2 -1.2 ↓ -- 7.2 ↑ -- -- 36.4 -- 27.7 -8.7 ↓ 18.9 -8.8 ↓
BB% 8.6 8.0 -0.6 ↓ 6.5 -1.5 ↓ 5.9 -0.6 ↓ -- 6.6 ↑ -- -- 4.5 -- 7.4 2.9 ↑ 8.2 0.8 ↑
Swing % 44.8 43.9 -0.9 ↓ 49.1 5.2 ↑ 49.7 0.6 ↑ -- -3.1 ↓ -- -- 44.9 -- 49.2 4.3 ↑ 51.5 2.3 ↑
Whiff% 23.1 22.6 -0.5 ↓ 28.1 5.5 ↑ 26.8 -1.3 ↓ -- 0.7 ↑ -- -- 34.1 -- 27.8 -6.3 ↓ 20.6 -7.2 ↓
In Zone % 50.0 47.9 -2.1 ↓ 52.8 4.9 ↑ 52.9 0.1 ↑ -- -2.2 ↓ -- -- 41.8 -- 50.9 9.1 ↑ 52.2 1.3 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.0 52.1 2.1 ↑ 47.2 -4.9 ↓ 47.1 -0.1 ↓ -- 2.2 ↑ -- -- 58.2 -- 49.1 -9.1 ↓ 47.8 -1.3 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 27.3 26.5 -0.8 ↓ 28.2 1.7 ↑ 29.6 1.4 ↑ -- 0.0 -- -- 29.8 -- 27.0 -2.8 ↓ 29.2 2.2 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 24.7 -1.6 ↓ 30.4 5.7 ↑ 32.2 1.8 ↑ -- -7.2 ↓ -- -- 27.3 -- 34.3 7.0 ↑ 36.0 1.7 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 63.1 59.3 -3.8 ↓ 65.2 5.9 ↑ 69.0 3.8 ↑ -- -2.3 ↓ -- -- 63.6 -- 64.0 0.4 ↑ 65.9 1.9 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 306 .348 158 3 1.9 148 75 50.7
2017 Shifts 781 .264 424 10 2.4 357 212 59.4
2018 Shifts 779 .290 429 54 12.6 350 201 57.4
2019 Shifts 48 .217 16 1 6.3 32 28 87.5
2021 Shifts 22 .161 18 4 22.2 4 1 25.0
2022 Shifts 405 .273 231 23 10.0 174 124 71.3
2023 Shades 416 .390 215 0 0.0 201 95 47.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo