Lucas Giolito
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 245LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 1, #16, Washington Nationals | Harvard-Westlake HS (CA)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 11 9 3.53 31 31 0 178.2 201 1.10
2022 11 9 4.90 30 30 0 161.2 177 1.44
2023 8 15 4.88 33 33 0 184.1 204 1.31
8 Seasons 61 62 4.43 180 178 0 1,013.2 1,077 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 31 11-9 3.53 178.2 201 1.10
2022 30 11-9 4.90 161.2 177 1.44
2023 33 8-15 4.88 184.1 204 1.31
8 Seasons 180 61-62 4.43 1,013.2 1,077 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 21 398 77 7 9.1 6.9 91.4 113.6 12.5 39.0 .336 .575 .415 .425 .440 42.9 10.9 11.9 6.75 8.54
2017 22 704 130 5 3.8 2.8 86.9 109.3 14.0 28.5 .243 .393 .277 .306 .341 34.1 19.0 6.7 2.38 4.01
2018 23 3007 545 38 7.0 4.9 88.7 114.4 13.3 30.5 .256 .432 .345 .348 .362 37.1 16.1 11.6 6.13 5.26
2019 24 2814 416 39 9.4 5.5 88.1 117.0 17.7 37.3 .215 .368 .275 .283 .380 34.6 32.3 8.1 3.41 3.48
2020 25 1214 161 9 5.6 3.1 87.0 111.9 15.2 33.5 .196 .323 .257 .270 .353 35.4 33.7 9.7 3.48 3.04
2021 26 2970 465 31 6.7 4.3 87.7 116.7 18.3 37.4 .221 .362 .288 .280 .355 34.2 28.0 7.1 3.53 3.27
2022 27 2753 456 34 7.5 4.9 88.8 117.4 12.6 37.9 .249 .397 .344 .318 .390 39.0 25.4 8.7 4.90 4.23
2023 28 3190 507 56 11.0 7.1 89.2 115.1 18.5 33.3 .240 .445 .339 .329 .403 41.6 25.7 9.2 4.88 4.61
Player 17050 2757 219 7.9 5.1 88.4 117.4 15.8 34.7 .236 .400 .315 .312 .377 37.3 25.3 9.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Giolito relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(41.9%) ,
Changeup
(28.3%) ,
Slider
(28.2%) ,
Curveball
(1.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 41.6 22.1 27.3 9.1 36.4 37.7 26.0 3.9 27.3 19.5 33.8 6.5 9.1 6.9
2017 46.9 17.7 23.8 11.5 44.6 33.1 22.3 4.6 32.3 27.7 23.8 6.2 3.8 2.8
2018 45.1 24.8 22.4 7.7 37.4 37.1 25.5 2.2 35.2 26.2 23.7 4.8 7.0 4.9
2019 36.3 23.8 28.1 11.8 39.2 33.7 27.2 3.6 27.4 30.0 25.5 3.4 9.4 5.5
2020 44.1 26.7 21.7 7.5 41.6 31.7 26.7 7.5 24.8 29.8 25.5 6.2 5.6 3.1
2021 34.2 26.9 27.7 11.2 42.2 34.0 23.9 5.4 24.3 30.8 24.9 7.3 6.7 4.3
2022 39.0 28.7 27.0 5.3 35.1 37.9 27.0 3.9 28.9 25.4 28.1 6.1 7.5 4.9
2023 36.1 29.0 23.1 11.8 40.6 32.9 26.4 3.6 25.2 30.0 23.1 6.9 11.0 7.1
Player 39.2 26.1 25.2 9.5 39.2 34.9 25.8 4.0 28.4 28.2 25.2 5.8 7.9 5.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup CLE R 902 80.9 30.7 -2.1 -6 12.8 -0.5 -3
2023 Slider CLE R 901 84.0 38.3 0.5 1 1.6 -3.6 -69
2023 4-Seamer CLE R 1,337 93.1 13.5 1.4 9 5.5 -0.3 -6
2023 Curveball CLE R 49 77.9 60.3 3.7 7 6.2 -2.0 -24
2022 Slider CWS R 649 84.4 37.2 0.4 1 3.5 -1.9 -35
2022 Changeup CWS R 702 81.0 30.5 -1.2 -4 11.3 -1.3 -10
2022 Curveball CWS R 89 79.2 56.3 1.7 3 7.2 -0.4 -5
2022 4-Seamer CWS R 1,312 92.6 13.9 0.6 4 5.4 -0.4 -7
2021 Curveball CWS R 85 80.6 52.4 -0.3 0 6.4 -0.2 -3
2021 Changeup CWS R 944 81.5 28.2 -2.5 -8 10.2 -1.9 -16
2021 Slider CWS R 638 85.6 32.4 -3.0 -8 2.7 -1.7 -39
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1,303 93.8 12.0 1.8 13 6.7 0.4 6
2020 Curveball CWS R 12 77.3 61.1 3.2 5 5.0 -2.6 -34
2020 Slider CWS R 178 84.9 34.2 -2.5 -7 3.5 -1.0 -22
2020 4-Seamer CWS R 614 94.0 12.5 1.4 10 7.1 0.5 8
2020 Changeup CWS R 409 80.9 28.9 -2.1 -7 8.8 -2.6 -23
2019 Changeup CWS R 736 81.7 27.9 -2.1 -7 10.2 -1.5 -13
2019 4-Seamer CWS R 1,548 94.2 12.3 1.9 13 7.6 1.3 20
2019 Slider CWS R 414 84.6 32.3 -4.1 -11 2.6 -1.4 -35
2019 Curveball CWS R 116 79.4 59.6 5.9 11 6.8 0.6 9
2018 Slider CWS R 444 83.9 36.9 -1.0 -3 2.8 -1.9 -41
2018 Curveball CWS R 303 78.6 59.2 3.8 7 8.3 1.0 14
2018 Changeup CWS R 469 81.7 32.0 0.0 0 10.9 -1.6 -13
2018 4-Seamer CWS R 1,172 92.4 16.5 -0.8 -5 8.1 1.8 28
2018 Sinker CWS R 615 92.4 20.7 -0.4 -2 14.7 0.7 5
2017 Curveball CWS R 80 78.3 61.5 7.5 14 1.9 -5.8 -76
2017 Sinker CWS R 72 91.7 18.4 -0.9 -5 15.9 1.9 14
2017 Changeup CWS R 115 81.6 28.6 -1.0 -3 9.5 -3.1 -25
2017 4-Seamer CWS R 347 92.4 13.9 0.0 0 8.4 1.9 29
2017 Slider CWS R 87 83.9 38.1 2.4 7 0.0 -4.1 -100
2016 Sinker WSH R 7 94.3 17.0 -0.2 -1 12.8 -0.6 -4
2016 4-Seamer WSH R 276 94.0 13.0 -0.3 -2 6.8 0.6 10
2016 Changeup WSH R 44 84.2 25.9 -0.8 -3 6.9 -4.5 -39
2016 Curveball WSH R 71 80.6 57.1 5.7 11 7.9 -0.6 -7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.6 -8 1,338 41.9 325 .262 .546 .381 20.0 24.9 20.5 .264 .512 .369 50.2
2023 Changeup 0.1 1 902 28.3 242 .209 .442 .330 35.2 26.9 21.0 .213 .403 .306 30.5
2023 Slider -0.9 -8 901 28.2 218 .236 .438 .319 34.5 25.7 20.1 .234 .400 .295 40.5
2023 Curveball -4.4 -2 49 1.5 4 .500 .500 .450 20.0 25.0 7.7 .326 .410 .318 66.7
2022 4-Seamer 0.0 0 1,313 47.7 320 .283 .449 .359 21.3 21.6 18.9 .254 .422 .337 43.1
2022 Changeup -1.0 -7 702 25.5 189 .248 .418 .337 38.5 33.9 25.8 .218 .313 .291 19.8
2022 Slider -0.8 -5 649 23.6 171 .280 .488 .338 30.8 23.4 21.5 .269 .423 .311 46.4
2022 Curveball -1.8 -2 89 3.2 17 .250 .625 .382 25.0 23.5 19.0 .270 .572 .378 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 0.0 0 1,303 43.9 270 .251 .427 .339 25.6 22.2 17.2 .255 .450 .342 42.8
2021 Changeup 1.2 11 944 31.8 283 .218 .383 .287 35.4 31.8 26.3 .202 .296 .248 24.7
2021 Slider 1.5 9 638 21.5 153 .173 .353 .245 38.3 28.8 18.5 .200 .332 .235 34.0
2021 Curveball -1.7 -1 85 2.9 12 .167 .500 .271 40.0 58.3 17.9 .208 .426 .263 60.0
2020 4-Seamer 0.9 6 614 50.6 152 .201 .306 .263 29.0 31.6 22.5 .222 .362 .290 46.1
2020 Changeup 0.4 2 409 33.7 104 .157 .270 .285 41.4 32.7 24.8 .163 .242 .251 20.0
2020 Slider -0.2 0 179 14.7 30 .200 .467 .277 52.6 50.0 19.2 .173 .370 .227 26.7
2020 Curveball 1.8 0 12 1.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .293 .516 .331 50.0
2019 4-Seamer 1.0 15 1,548 55.0 374 .203 .364 .290 26.0 31.0 25.0 .211 .371 .290 39.8
2019 Changeup 1.5 11 736 26.2 211 .190 .360 .274 41.2 34.1 29.4 .190 .312 .258 24.4
2019 Slider 0.2 1 414 14.7 96 .213 .362 .255 41.8 38.5 26.8 .230 .389 .270 33.3
2019 Curveball -4.1 -5 116 4.1 23 .318 .682 .430 17.6 13.0 7.9 .408 .721 .480 42.1
2018 4-Seamer -1.9 -22 1,172 39.0 323 .274 .524 .425 14.2 12.7 13.7 .276 .498 .411 41.9
2018 Sinker -0.4 -3 615 20.5 160 .274 .445 .346 11.9 11.3 12.7 .285 .477 .358 31.8
2018 Changeup -1.2 -5 471 15.7 121 .215 .355 .300 34.6 22.3 21.6 .238 .372 .313 36.6
2018 Slider -0.1 0 444 14.8 116 .179 .330 .234 36.3 26.7 20.7 .206 .331 .248 35.8
2018 Curveball -2.9 -9 303 10.1 52 .300 .500 .373 20.8 15.4 7.2 .215 .333 .256 33.3
2017 4-Seamer 1.1 4 347 49.3 86 .189 .514 .374 21.8 16.3 14.1 .242 .464 .348 36.1
2017 Changeup 3.3 4 115 16.3 30 .172 .310 .222 31.0 23.3 22.6 .216 .366 .264 27.3
2017 Slider 2.0 2 87 12.4 21 .095 .143 .145 25.6 38.1 24.2 .241 .268 .224 38.5
2017 Curveball -1.9 -2 80 11.4 19 .333 .500 .376 6.9 10.5 5.9 .315 .408 .329 43.8
2017 Sinker 1.6 1 72 10.2 22 .200 .200 .227 17.5 13.6 16.7 .223 .283 .262 23.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 887 80.9 98 16.6 1:30 1:45 -15
2023 Curveball 49 77.9 91 19.0 6:30 6:45 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,327 93.1 98 18.5 12:45 12:30 15
2023 Slider 880 84.0 17 3.3 9:30 8:00 90
2022 Changeup 697 81.0 98 15.6 1:30 1:45 -15
2022 Curveball 87 79.2 83 17.2 6:45 6:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,310 92.6 98 18.4 12:45 12:30 15
2022 Slider 641 84.4 21 4.5 10:15 8:45 90
2021 Changeup 921 81.5 99 16.0 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Curveball 83 80.6 76 14.4 6:30 7:00 -30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,292 93.8 99 19.9 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 631 85.6 28 5.3 11:45 10:30 75
2020 Changeup 388 80.9 99 15.2 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Curveball 12 77.3 90 18.8 6:30 6:30 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 584 94.0 99 19.6 12:45 12:45 0
2020 Slider 172 84.9 29 5.0 11:15 10:00 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 101 398 -1 0 -4 -2 -7
2017 178 701 4 11 -3 -3 9
2018 772 3,005 6 -2 -22 -21 -39
2019 704 2,814 24 25 -19 -9 22
2020 312 1,314 9 15 -6 -7 10
2021 739 3,060 17 27 -12 -14 18
2022 697 2,753 -4 19 -17 -11 -13
2023 788 3,189 -6 26 -25 -13 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 398 49.7 67.7 90.3 24.0 75.0 42.5 55.4 45.7 13.7 7.8 90.3
2017 704 47.4 68.1 85.4 33.3 60.2 41.9 62.0 49.7 22.3 6.6 78.3
2018 3,007 48.6 63.2 85.0 24.8 60.8 42.3 55.4 43.4 21.4 7.7 67.5
2019 2,814 54.3 68.0 73.6 27.7 48.9 43.5 62.1 49.6 32.4 9.1 81.6
2020 1,214 49.9 73.1 71.6 28.3 41.9 40.6 59.4 50.7 36.6 8.4 87.3
2021 2,970 50.6 71.8 75.6 28.7 47.2 41.6 59.9 50.5 32.2 8.6 77.0
2022 2,753 47.7 67.5 82.5 29.0 47.8 43.4 61.3 47.4 28.5 7.2 77.3
2023 3,190 48.6 67.6 81.1 27.0 47.2 41.3 61.3 46.8 28.8 7.5 77.5
Player 17,050 49.8 68.0 79.2 27.6 50.6 42.2 59.9 47.8 28.8 8.0 77.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2016 68 15 62 94
2017 41 25 60 90
2018 11 26 23 23 4 7 38 37 34 10 10 27 15 42 16 34 75
2019 80 80 74 64 82 7 14 65 67 90 50 88 33 67 69 48 91
2020 85 86 81 74 81 28 66 73 59 92 38 94 55 63 71 85
2021 83 72 71 67 85 19 66 74 83 80 69 87 57 55 77 36 89
2022 33 35 37 43 34 13 44 41 41 67 38 71 45 28 35 30 91
2023 32 56 25 12 47 1 8 43 32 67 37 70 25 34 33 86
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.2 7 6.6 0 0 5 3 42.9
2017 23.4 8 5.5 3 1 5 2 25.0
2018 23.5 27 26.6 0 11 21 11 40.7
2019 23.8 24 22.7 1 8 16 11 45.8
2020 22.3 8 7.5 1 6 4 4 50.0
2021 23.3 27 26.2 1 12 29 5 18.5
2022 23.6 24 26.3 -2 9 20 11 45.8
2023 23.9 41 36.9 4 4 26 17 41.5
Player 23.5 166 158.3 8 51 126 64 38.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 7 8 6 8 7 6 8 7 5 5 7 6 7 6 7 8 5 5 7 7 7 5 8 8 8 6 7 8 7 6 4
2017 8 5 3 5 5 6 8 7 3 4 5 6 7 5 6 6 4 6 6 6 7 5 8 7 5 4 4 7 7 5 3
2018 27 35 21 26 25 24 30 26 20 19 25 30 32 22 23 31 27 27 24 31 30 24 35 29 26 23 22 30 33 29 20
2019 24 27 18 24 23 22 24 23 21 16 20 24 27 23 23 21 21 19 21 25 23 23 31 25 21 22 20 28 26 23 18
2020 8 7 7 9 9 7 8 7 7 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 8 7 7 8 8 8 7
2021 27 34 20 26 33 30 33 23 19 16 24 31 23 16 30 30 24 24 27 31 23 26 38 24 23 22 32 31 21 26 27
2022 24 24 19 23 25 26 28 23 19 19 26 29 29 25 30 31 25 24 28 28 26 26 35 31 24 25 28 30 30 27 25
2023 41 34 29 33 38 39 40 35 33 34 35 34 38 34 41 40 37 34 41 39 36 38 44 43 31 36 37 41 39 38 35
Player 166 174 123 154 165 160 179 151 127 119 149 167 170 139 167 174 151 147 161 174 160 155 207 174 146 145 157 183 171 162 139
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2016 2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.0 92.3 -1.7 ↓ 92.4 0.1 ↑ 94.2 1.8 ↑ 94.0 -0.2 ↓ 93.8 -0.2 ↓ 92.6 -1.2 ↓ 93.1 0.5 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 84.2 81.6 -2.6 ↓ 81.7 0.1 ↑ 81.7 0.0 80.9 -0.8 ↓ 81.5 0.6 ↑ 81.0 -0.5 ↓ 80.9 -0.1 ↓
Breaking Velocity 80.6 81.2 0.6 ↑ 81.7 0.5 ↑ 83.4 1.7 ↑ 84.4 1.0 ↑ 85.0 0.6 ↑ 83.8 -1.2 ↓ 83.7 -0.1 ↓
Exit Velocity 91.4 86.9 -4.5 ↓ 88.7 1.8 ↑ 88.1 -0.6 ↓ 87.0 -1.1 ↓ 87.7 0.7 ↑ 88.8 1.1 ↑ 89.2 0.4 ↑
Launch Angle 12.5 14.0 1.5 ↑ 13.3 -0.7 ↓ 17.7 4.4 ↑ 15.2 -2.5 ↓ 18.3 3.1 ↑ 12.6 -5.7 ↓ 18.5 5.9 ↑
Barrel % 9.1 3.8 -5.3 ↓ 7.0 3.2 ↑ 9.4 2.4 ↑ 5.6 -3.8 ↓ 6.7 1.1 ↑ 7.5 0.8 ↑ 11.0 3.5 ↑
Hard Hit % 42.9 34.1 -8.8 ↓ 37.1 3.0 ↑ 34.6 -2.5 ↓ 35.4 0.8 ↑ 34.2 -1.2 ↓ 39.0 4.8 ↑ 41.6 2.6 ↑
Sweet Spot % 39.0 28.5 -10.5 ↓ 30.5 2.0 ↑ 37.3 6.8 ↑ 33.5 -3.8 ↓ 37.4 3.9 ↑ 37.9 0.5 ↑ 33.3 -4.6 ↓
xBA .336 .243 -0.093 ↓ .256 0.013 ↑ .215 -0.041 ↓ .196 -0.019 ↓ .221 0.025 ↑ .249 0.028 ↑ .240 -0.009 ↓
BA .295 .190 -0.105 ↓ .250 0.060 ↑ .205 -0.045 ↓ .184 -0.021 ↓ .219 0.035 ↑ .272 0.053 ↑ .240 -0.032 ↓
xwOBA .425 .306 -0.119 ↓ .348 0.042 ↑ .283 -0.065 ↓