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Lucas Giolito
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 6" 245LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2012 | Rd: 1, #16, Washington Nationals | Harvard-Westlake HS (CA)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 3 4.99 6 6 0 30.2 41 1.30
6 Seasons 32 32 4.47 92 90 0 519.2 536 1.23
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 6 1-3 4.99 30.2 41 1.30
6 Seasons 92 32-32 4.47 519.2 536 1.23

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 398 77 7 9.1 91.4 113.6 12.5 39 .336 .575 .415 .425 .441 42.9 10.9 11.9 6.75 8.85
2017 704 130 5 3.8 86.9 109.3 14 28.5 .241 .390 .277 .304 .339 34.1 19 6.7 2.38 4.01
2018 3007 545 38 7 88.7 114.4 13.3 30.5 .254 .430 .346 .347 .360 37.1 16.1 11.6 6.13 5.30
2019 2814 416 39 9.4 88.1 117 17.7 37.5 .214 .368 .275 .283 .379 34.4 32.3 8.1 3.41 3.56
2020 1214 161 9 5.6 87 111.9 15.2 33.5 .195 .321 .257 .269 .350 35.4 33.7 9.7 3.48 3.04
2021 555 80 10 12.5 89.4 110.2 17.5 37.5 .243 .449 .320 .333 .438 41.3 30.6 9.7 4.99 4.21
8692 1409 108 7.7 88.4 117 15.1 33.6 .235 .399 .307 .315 .371 36.4 24.6 9.7
6.5 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .318 .313 .363 35.2 21.9 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Giolito relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(49.7%) ,
Changeup
(35.5%) ,
Slider
(14.8%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 276 117 159 49.7 93.5 56 46 10 7 2 0 1 12 34 .217 .246 .326 .445 .316 .361 92.6 15 2418 6.9 20.9 15.2
2021 Changeup 197 67 130 35.5 81.7 58 55 12 7 2 0 3 23 32 .218 .218 .418 .386 .305 .288 82.8 15 1514 6.8 40.5 29.9
2021 Slider 82 57 25 14.8 86.0 20 20 5 2 0 1 2 6 14 .250 .305 .650 .630 .375 .387 92.2 28 2132 6.7 31.1 16.7
2020 4-Seam Fastball 614 249 365 50.6 94.0 152 134 27 21 2 0 4 48 89 .201 .221 .306 .361 .260 .290 90.3 17 2349 6.8 29.0 22.5
2020 Changeup 409 132 277 33.7 80.9 104 89 14 8 4 0 2 34 55 .157 .162 .270 .239 .254 .249 80.4 11 1414 6.7 41.4 24.8
2020 Slider 179 129 50 14.7 84.9 30 30 6 2 2 0 2 15 15 .200 .173 .467 .370 .273 .227 87.2 17 2095 6.7 52.6 19.2
2020 Curveball 12 2 10 1.0 77.3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .294 .000 .517 .000 .331 95.1 21 2493 6.3 0.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 41.6 22.1 27.3 9.1 36.4 37.7 26 3.9 27.3 19.5 33.8 6.5 9.1
2017 46.9 17.7 23.8 11.5 44.6 33.1 22.3 4.6 32.3 27.7 23.8 6.2 3.8
2018 45.1 24.8 22.4 7.7 37.4 37.1 25.5 2.2 35.2 26.2 23.7 4.8 7
2019 36.3 23.8 28.1 11.8 39.2 33.7 27.2 3.6 27.4 30 25.5 3.4 9.4
2020 44.1 23 25.5 7.5 41.6 31.7 26.7 7.5 24.8 29.8 25.5 6.2 5.6
2021 37.5 26.3 27.5 8.8 42.5 36.3 21.3 5 22.5 28.7 26.3 3.8 12.5
41.9 23.6 25.1 9.4 39.3 35.1 25.6 3.7 30.3 27.7 25.1 4.7 7.7
45.3 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup CWS R 197 81.7 29.3 -1.4 -4 10.3 -2.5 -19
2021 Slider CWS R 82 86 30.5 -4.6 -13 2.5 -2.1 -45
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 276 93.5 11.8 1.6 12 7.1 0.5 7
2020 Curveball CWS R 12 77.3 61.1 3.2 6 5 -2.6 -34
2020 Changeup CWS R 409 80.9 28.9 -2.1 -7 8.8 -2.5 -22
2020 Slider CWS R 178 84.9 34.2 -2.4 -7 3.5 -1.1 -23
2020 4-Seamer CWS R 614 94 12.5 1.4 10 7.1 0.6 9
2019 4-Seamer CWS R 1548 94.2 12.3 1.9 13 7.6 1.3 20
2019 Curveball CWS R 116 79.4 59.6 5.9 11 6.8 0.6 9
2019 Changeup CWS R 736 81.7 27.9 -2.1 -7 10.2 -1.5 -13
2019 Slider CWS R 414 84.6 32.3 -4.2 -11 2.6 -1.4 -35
2018 Changeup CWS R 469 81.7 32 0 0 10.9 -1.6 -13
2018 Sinker CWS R 615 92.4 20.7 -0.4 -2 14.7 0.7 5
2018 Curveball CWS R 303 78.6 59.2 3.7 7 8.3 1 14
2018 4-Seamer CWS R 1172 92.4 16.5 -0.8 -5 8.1 1.8 28
2018 Slider CWS R 444 83.9 36.9 -1 -3 2.8 -2.1 -42
2017 Sinker CWS R 72 91.7 18.4 -0.9 -5 15.9 1.9 13
2017 Changeup CWS R 115 81.6 28.6 -1 -3 9.5 -3.1 -25
2017 Slider CWS R 87 83.9 38.1 2.3 7 0 -4.1 -100
2017 Curveball CWS R 80 78.3 61.5 7.4 14 1.9 -5.8 -76
2017 4-Seamer CWS R 347 92.4 13.9 0 0 8.4 1.8 28
2016 4-Seamer WSH R 276 94 13 -0.3 -2 9.3 1.6 21
2016 Changeup WSH R 44 84.2 25.9 -0.8 -3 9.2 -3.3 -26
2016 Sinker WSH R 7 94.3 17 0.1 0 14.6 0 0
2016 Curveball WSH R 71 80.6 57.1 6.1 12 4.4 -1.5 -25
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Slider 2.7 2 82 14.8 20 .25 .65 .37 31.1 30 16.7 .305 .63 .387 50
2021 4-Seamer -0.3 -1 276 49.7 56 .217 .326 .334 20.9 21.4 15.2 .245 .445 .363 47.1
2021 Changeup 1 2 197 35.5 58 .218 .418 .303 40.5 39.7 29.9 .218 .386 .289 31.3
2020 Curveball -1.8 0 12 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .293 .516 .331 50
2020 Slider 0.2 0 179 14.7 30 .2 .467 .277 52.6 50 19.2 .173 .37 .227 26.7
2020 Changeup -0.7 -3 409 33.7 104 .157 .27 .283 41.4 32.7 24.8 .162 .239 .249 20
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -5 614 50.6 152 .201 .306 .263 29 31.6 22.5 .221 .361 .29 46.1
2019 Curveball 4.1 5 116 4.1 23 .318 .682 .43 17.6 13 7.9 .408 .706 .472 42.1
2019 Slider -0.1 -1 414 14.7 96 .213 .362 .255 41.8 38.5 26.8 .233 .399 .274 31.6
2019 Changeup -1.4 -10 736 26.2 211 .19 .36 .274 41.2 34.1 29.4 .19 .311 .258 24.4
2019 4-Seamer -1 -16 1548 55 374 .203 .364 .288 26 31 25 .21 .369 .288 39.8
2018 Curveball 2.9 9 303 10.1 52 .3 .5 .373 20.8 15.4 7.2 .215 .333 .256 33.3
2018 Slider 0.1 1 444 14.8 116 .179 .33 .232 36.3 26.7 20.7 .204 .329 .246 35.8
2018 Changeup 0.9 4 471 15.7 121 .215 .355 .29 34.6 22.3 21.6 .236 .368 .31 36.6
2018 Sinker 0.5 3 615 20.5 160 .274 .445 .346 11.9 11.3 12.7 .285 .475 .358 31.8
2018 4-Seamer 1.7 20 1172 39 323 .274 .524 .418 14.2 12.7 13.7 .275 .496 .41 41.9
2017 Curveball 2.1 2 80 11.4 19 .333 .5 .376 6.9 10.5 5.9 .315 .408 .329 43.8
2017 Slider -2 -2 87 12.4 21 .095 .143 .145 25.6 38.1 24.2 .241 .268 .224 38.5
2017 Sinker -1.6 -1 72 10.2 22 .2 .2 .227 17.5 13.6 16.7 .223 .283 .262 23.5
2017 Changeup -3.2 -4 115 16.3 30 .172 .31 .222 31 23.3 22.6 .217 .368 .265 27.3
2017 4-Seamer -1.4 -5 347 49.3 86 .189 .514 .363 21.8 16.3 14.1 .242 .464 .347 36.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 389 80.9 99 15.2 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Curveball 12 77.3 90 18.8 6:30 6:30 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 584 94 99 19.6 12:45 12:45 0
2020 Slider 172 84.9 29 5 11:15 10:00 75
2021 Changeup 183 81.6 97 15.4 1:30 1:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 272 93.5 99 20.5 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 80 86 33 6.7 12:00 11:00 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 101 398 1 1 4 2 8
2017 178 701 -5 -11 3 3 -10
2018 772 3005 -6 0 23 20 37
2019 704 2814 -23 -26 18 9 -22
2020 312 1314 -8 -16 6 7 -11
2021 134 555 2 -5 1 4 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 398 49.5 67.5 90.2 24.4 75.5 42.2 55.4 45.7 13.7 7.8 90.3
2017 704 47.4 68.1 85.4 33.3 60.2 41.7 62 49.7 22.3 6.6 78.3
2018 3007 48.7 63.1 85 24.8 60.7 42.3 55.4 43.4 21.4 7.7 67.4
2019 2814 54.3 68 73.7 27.6 48.7 43.6 62.1 49.6 32.4 9.1 81.6
2020 1214 50 73.1 71.6 28.2 41.5 40.5 59.4 50.7 36.6 8.4 87.3
2021 555 51.9 72.2 76.4 30.7 53.7 40 62.7 52.3 30 10.1 69.6
8692 50.8 67.4 78.7 27.2 54.3 42.3 59.1 47.6 27.7 8.3 77.1
48.4 66.6 82.1 28.4 58.8 42.6 60.5 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.8

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016 69 12 65
2017 45 23 63
2018 11 27 22 21 5 7 38 38 34 10 10 27 11 46 14 37
2019 78 79 71 63 81 7 13 65 68 90 50 88 78 71 66 51
2020 86 86 82 74 82 28 66 73 59 92 38 94 86 65 65 48
2021 41 53 40 34 54 3 14 45 39 81 39 68 41 61 79
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.7 24 22.3 2 5 16 12 50
2020 22.3 8 8.5 -1 4 5 5 62.5
2021 23.6 6 4.3 2 1 3 3 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 24 27 25 24 28 20 21 24 22 23 25 22 16 19 19 24 18 24 20 24 18 19 19 25 23 26 21 22 22 20 29
2020 8 9 8 10 10 9 9 9 9 7 10 8 5 7 7 9 7 9 8 9 6 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10
2021 6 5 4 5 6 3 4 6 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 6 3 5 5 5 3 4 5 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94 92.3 -1.7 92.4 0.1 94.2 1.8 94 -0.2 93.5 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 84.2 81.6 -2.6 81.7 0.1 81.7 0 80.9 -0.8 81.7 0.8
Breaking Velocity 80.6 81.2 0.6 81.7 0.5 83.4 1.7 84.4 1 86 1.6
Exit Velocity 91.4 86.9 -4.5 88.7 1.8 88.1 -0.6 87 -1.1 89.4 2.4
Launch Angle 12.5 14 1.5 13.3 -0.7 17.7 4.4 15.2 -2.5 17.5 2.3
Barrel % 9.1 3.8 -5.3 7 3.2 9.4 2.4 5.6 -3.8 12.5 6.9
Hard Hit % 42.9 34.1 -8.8 37.1 3 34.4 -2.7 35.4 1 41.3 5.9
Sweet Spot % 39 28.5 -10.5 30.5 2 37.5 7 33.5 -4 37.5 4
xBA .336 .241 -0.095 .254 0.013 .214 -0.04 .195 -0.019 .243 0.048
BA .295 .19 -0.105 .25 0.06 .205 -0.045 .184 -0.021 .223 0.039
xwOBA .425 .304 -0.121 .347 0.043 .283 -0.064 .269 -0.014 .333 0.064
wOBA .415 .277 -0.138 .346 0.069 .275 -0.071 .257 -0.018 .32 0.063
xSLG .575 .39 -0.185 .43 0.04 .368 -0.062 .321 -0.047 .449 0.128
SLG .602 .387 -0.215 .444 0.057 .373 -0.071 .31 -0.063 .421 0.111
K% 10.9 19 8.1 16.1 -2.9 32.3 16.2 33.7 1.4 30.6 -3.1
BB% 11.9 6.7 -5.2 11.6 4.9 8.1 -3.5 9.7 1.6 9.7 0
Swing % 45.7 49.7 4 43.4 -6.3 49.6 6.2 50.7 1.1 52.3 1.6
Whiff% 13.7 22.3 8.6 21.4 -0.9 32.4 11 36.6 4.2 30 -6.6
In Zone % 49.5 47.4 -2.1 48.7 1.3 54.3 5.6 50 -4.3 51.9 1.9
Out of Zone % 50.5 52.6 2.1 51.3 -1.3 45.7 -5.6 50 4.3 48.1 -1.9
Out of Zone Swing % 24.4 33.3 8.9 24.8 -8.5 27.6 2.8 28.2 0.6 30.7 2.5
First Pitch Swing % 28.7 35.8 7.1 25.3 -10.5 32.2 6.9 32.3 0.1 40.3 8
First Pitch Strike % 55.4 62 6.6 55.4 -6.6 62.1 6.7 59.4 -2.7 62.7 3.3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 101 .415 47 1 2.1 54 10 18.5
2017 179 .277 94 2 2.1 85 27 31.8
2018 773 .346 372 43 11.6 401 182 45.4
2019 704 .275 368 41 11.1 336 139 41.4
2020 288 .257 118 10 8.5 170 75 44.1
2021 134 .320 56 2 3.6 78 30 38.5

Pitch Distribution