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Lucas Giolito
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 6" 245LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 1, #16, Washington Nationals | Harvard-Westlake HS (CA)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 11 9 3.58 30 30 0 173.2 198 1.12
6 Seasons 42 38 4.21 116 114 0 662.2 693 1.20
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 30 11-9 3.58 173.2 198 1.12
6 Seasons 116 42-38 4.21 662.2 693 1.20

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 22 398 77 7 9.1 91.4 113.6 12.5 39 .336 .575 .415 .425 .441 42.9 10.9 11.9 6.75 8.85
2017 23 704 130 5 3.8 86.9 109.3 14 28.5 .242 .391 .277 .305 .339 34.1 19 6.7 2.38 4.06
2018 24 3007 545 38 7 88.7 114.4 13.3 30.5 .254 .430 .345 .346 .360 37.1 16.1 11.6 6.13 5.26
2019 25 2814 416 39 9.4 88.1 117 17.7 37.5 .214 .369 .275 .283 .380 34.4 32.3 8.1 3.41 3.56
2020 26 1214 161 9 5.6 87 111.9 15.2 33.5 .195 .321 .257 .269 .351 35.4 33.7 9.7 3.48 3.04
2021 27 2898 451 29 6.4 87.9 116.7 18.9 37.3 .216 .350 .292 .275 .348 34.1 28.2 7.1 3.58 3.21
11035 1780 127 7.1 88.2 117 15.9 34.3 .230 .384 .302 .304 .363 35.6 25.2 9.1
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Giolito relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.9%) ,
Changeup
(32%) ,
Slider
(21.2%) ,
Curveball
(2.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1272 628 644 43.9 93.9 265 235 59 39 9 0 11 59 177 .251 .249 .430 .436 .331 .335 91.6 21 2347 6.8 25.6 17.4
2021 Changeup 928 385 543 32.0 81.5 278 256 56 32 14 1 9 90 169 .219 .196 .387 .287 .283 .241 82.5 20 1491 6.7 35.8 26.7
2021 Slider 613 474 139 21.2 85.6 144 141 25 14 3 3 5 42 99 .177 .196 .348 .313 .228 .229 87.5 11 2031 6.6 39.7 18.4
2021 Curveball 85 21 64 2.9 80.7 13 13 3 0 1 0 2 7 6 .231 .213 .769 .467 .404 .286 92.6 30 2378 6.4 38.5 18.4
2020 4-Seam Fastball 614 249 365 50.6 94.0 152 134 27 21 2 0 4 48 89 .201 .222 .306 .362 .260 .291 90.3 17 2349 6.8 29.0 22.5
2020 Changeup 409 132 277 33.7 80.9 104 89 14 8 4 0 2 34 55 .157 .161 .270 .239 .254 .249 80.4 11 1410 6.7 41.4 24.8
2020 Slider 179 129 50 14.7 84.9 30 30 6 2 2 0 2 15 15 .200 .173 .467 .370 .273 .227 87.2 17 2095 6.7 52.6 19.2
2020 Curveball 12 2 10 1.0 77.3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .294 .000 .517 .000 .331 95.1 21 2493 6.3 0.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 41.6 22.1 27.3 9.1 36.4 37.7 26 3.9 27.3 19.5 33.8 6.5 9.1
2017 46.9 17.7 23.8 11.5 44.6 33.1 22.3 4.6 32.3 27.7 23.8 6.2 3.8
2018 45.1 24.8 22.4 7.7 37.4 37.1 25.5 2.2 35.2 26.2 23.7 4.8 7
2019 36.3 23.8 28.1 11.8 39.2 33.7 27.2 3.6 27.4 30 25.5 3.4 9.4
2020 44.1 23 25.5 7.5 41.6 31.7 26.7 7.5 24.8 29.8 25.5 6.2 5.6
2021 34.1 26.8 27.5 11.5 42.6 33.9 23.5 4.9 24.6 31 25.1 7.3 6.4
40.2 24.3 25.6 9.9 40 34.7 25.3 3.9 29.2 28.5 25.1 5.4 7.1
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup CWS R 924 81.5 28.1 -2.5 -8 10.2 -1.9 -16
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1272 93.9 12 1.9 13 6.7 0.4 7
2021 Curveball CWS R 85 80.7 52.3 -0.3 -1 6.4 -0.2 -4
2021 Slider CWS R 613 85.6 32.3 -3.1 -9 2.7 -1.8 -40
2020 Changeup CWS R 408 80.9 28.9 -2.1 -7 8.8 -2.6 -23
2020 4-Seamer CWS R 614 94 12.5 1.4 10 7.1 0.6 8
2020 Slider CWS R 178 84.9 34.2 -2.4 -7 3.5 -1.1 -23
2020 Curveball CWS R 12 77.3 61.1 3.2 6 5 -2.6 -34
2019 Changeup CWS R 736 81.7 27.9 -2.1 -7 10.2 -1.5 -13
2019 4-Seamer CWS R 1548 94.2 12.3 1.9 13 7.6 1.3 20
2019 Slider CWS R 414 84.6 32.3 -4.2 -11 2.6 -1.4 -35
2019 Curveball CWS R 116 79.4 59.6 5.9 11 6.8 0.6 9
2018 Curveball CWS R 303 78.6 59.2 3.7 7 8.3 1 14
2018 Sinker CWS R 615 92.4 20.7 -0.4 -2 14.7 0.7 5
2018 Changeup CWS R 469 81.7 32 0 0 10.9 -1.6 -13
2018 Slider CWS R 444 83.9 36.9 -1 -3 2.8 -2.1 -42
2018 4-Seamer CWS R 1172 92.4 16.5 -0.8 -5 8.1 1.8 28
2017 Slider CWS R 87 83.9 38.1 2.3 7 0 -4.1 -100
2017 Sinker CWS R 72 91.7 18.4 -0.9 -5 15.9 1.9 14
2017 Curveball CWS R 80 78.3 61.5 7.4 14 1.9 -5.8 -76
2017 4-Seamer CWS R 347 92.4 13.9 0 0 8.4 1.9 29
2017 Changeup CWS R 115 81.6 28.6 -1 -3 9.5 -3.1 -25
2016 Curveball WSH R 71 80.6 57.1 6.1 12 4.4 -1.5 -25
2016 4-Seamer WSH R 276 94 13 -0.3 -2 9.3 1.6 21
2016 Sinker WSH R 7 94.3 17 0.1 0 14.6 0 0
2016 Changeup WSH R 44 84.2 25.9 -0.8 -3 9.2 -3.3 -26
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball 2.9 2 85 2.9 13 .231 .769 .404 38.5 53.8 18.4 .213 .467 .286 66.7
2021 Slider -1.2 -8 613 21.2 144 .177 .348 .243 39.7 29.2 18.4 .196 .313 .229 32.3
2021 4-Seamer 0 1 1272 43.9 265 .251 .43 .341 25.6 22.3 17.4 .249 .436 .336 42.9
2021 Changeup -1.1 -11 928 32 278 .219 .387 .288 35.8 32.4 26.7 .196 .287 .244 24.9
2020 Curveball -1.8 0 12 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .293 .516 .331 50
2020 Slider 0.2 0 179 14.7 30 .2 .467 .277 52.6 50 19.2 .173 .369 .227 26.7
2020 Changeup -0.7 -3 409 33.7 104 .157 .27 .283 41.4 32.7 24.8 .161 .239 .249 20
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -5 614 50.6 152 .201 .306 .263 29 31.6 22.5 .222 .362 .29 46.1
2019 Curveball 4.1 5 116 4.1 23 .318 .682 .43 17.6 13 7.9 .408 .721 .48 42.1
2019 Slider -0.1 -1 414 14.7 96 .213 .362 .255 41.8 38.5 26.8 .233 .4 .275 31.6
2019 Changeup -1.4 -10 736 26.2 211 .19 .36 .274 41.2 34.1 29.4 .19 .312 .258 24.4
2019 4-Seamer -1 -16 1548 55 374 .203 .364 .288 26 31 25 .21 .369 .288 39.8
2018 Curveball 2.9 9 303 10.1 52 .3 .5 .373 20.8 15.4 7.2 .215 .333 .256 33.3
2018 Slider 0.1 1 444 14.8 116 .179 .33 .232 36.3 26.7 20.7 .204 .329 .246 35.8
2018 Changeup 0.9 4 471 15.7 121 .215 .355 .29 34.6 22.3 21.6 .236 .368 .31 36.6
2018 Sinker 0.5 3 615 20.5 160 .274 .445 .346 11.9 11.3 12.7 .285 .475 .357 31.8
2018 4-Seamer 1.7 20 1172 39 323 .274 .524 .418 14.2 12.7 13.7 .275 .496 .41 41.9
2017 Curveball 2.1 2 80 11.4 19 .333 .5 .376 6.9 10.5 5.9 .315 .408 .329 43.8
2017 Slider -2 -2 87 12.4 21 .095 .143 .145 25.6 38.1 24.2 .241 .268 .224 38.5
2017 Sinker -1.6 -1 72 10.2 22 .2 .2 .227 17.5 13.6 16.7 .223 .283 .262 23.5
2017 Changeup -3.2 -4 115 16.3 30 .172 .31 .222 31 23.3 22.6 .217 .368 .265 27.3
2017 4-Seamer -1.4 -5 347 49.3 86 .189 .514 .363 21.8 16.3 14.1 .242 .464 .348 36.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 388 80.9 99 15.2 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Curveball 12 77.3 90 18.8 6:30 6:30 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 584 94 99 19.6 12:45 12:45 0
2020 Slider 172 84.9 29 5 11:15 10:00 75
2021 Changeup 905 81.5 99 16.1 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Curveball 83 80.6 75 14.3 6:45 7:00 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1261 93.8 99 19.9 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 606 85.6 29 5.4 11:45 10:30 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 101 398 1 1 4 2 8
2017 178 701 -5 -11 3 3 -10
2018 772 3005 -6 0 23 20 37
2019 704 2814 -23 -26 18 9 -22
2020 312 1314 -8 -16 6 7 -11
2021 700 2898 -15 -23 11 12 -15
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 398 49.5 67.5 90.2 24.4 75.5 42.2 55.4 45.7 13.7 7.8 90.3
2017 704 47.4 68.1 85.4 33.3 60.2 41.7 62 49.7 22.3 6.6 78.3
2018 3007 48.7 63.1 85 24.8 60.7 42.3 55.4 43.4 21.4 7.7 67.4
2019 2814 54.3 68 73.7 27.6 48.7 43.6 62.1 49.6 32.4 9.1 81.6
2020 1214 50 73.1 71.6 28.2 41.5 40.5 59.4 50.7 36.6 8.4 87.3
2021 2898 50.6 71.5 75.1 29.1 47.5 41.8 59.8 50.5 32.6 8.7 76.5
11035 50.7 68.2 77.8 27.5 52.4 42.2 59.1 48.1 28.9 8.3 77.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016 69 12 65
2017 45 23 63
2018 12 27 22 21 5 7 38 38 34 10 10 27 12 46 14 37
2019 78 78 71 62 81 7 13 65 68 90 50 88 78 71 66 51
2020 85 86 82 74 82 28 66 73 59 92 38 94 85 66 65 48
2021 84 75 74 70 86 22 71 71 82 80 68 88 84 61 73 38
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.7 24 22.3 2 5 16 12 50
2020 22.3 8 8.5 -1 4 5 5 62.5
2021 23.3 27 24.4 3 10 27 7 25.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 24 27 25 24 28 20 21 24 22 23 25 22 16 19 19 24 18 24 20 24 18 19 19 25 23 26 21 22 22 20 29
2020 8 9 8 10 10 9 9 9 9 7 10 8 5 7 7 9 7 9 8 9 6 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10
2021 27 22 34 22 35 19 25 28 29 25 31 26 9 26 23 32 15 22 28 30 13 20 23 25 20 33 22 21 24 17 34
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94 92.3 -1.7 ↓ 92.4 0.1 ↑ 94.2 1.8 ↑ 94 -0.2 ↓ 93.9 -0.1 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 84.2 81.6 -2.6 ↓ 81.7 0.1 ↑ 81.7 0 80.9 -0.8 ↓ 81.5 0.6 ↑
Breaking Velocity 80.6 81.2 0.6 ↑ 81.7 0.5 ↑ 83.4 1.7 ↑ 84.4 1 ↑ 85 0.6 ↑
Exit Velocity 91.4 86.9 -4.5 ↓ 88.7 1.8 ↑ 88.1 -0.6 ↓ 87 -1.1 ↓ 87.9 0.9 ↑
Launch Angle 12.5 14 1.5 ↑ 13.3 -0.7 ↓ 17.7 4.4 ↑ 15.2 -2.5 ↓ 18.9 3.7 ↑
Barrel % 9.1 3.8 -5.3 ↓ 7 3.2 ↑ 9.4 2.4 ↑ 5.6 -3.8 ↓ 6.4 0.8 ↑
Hard Hit % 42.9 34.1 -8.8 ↓ 37.1 3 ↑ 34.4 -2.7 ↓ 35.4 1 ↑ 34.1 -1.3 ↓
Sweet Spot % 39 28.5 -10.5 ↓ 30.5 2 ↑ 37.5 7 ↑ 33.5 -4 ↓ 37.3 3.8 ↑
xBA .336 .242 -0.094 ↓ .254 0.012 ↑ .214 -0.04 ↓ .195 -0.019 ↓ .216 0.021 ↑
BA .295 .19 -0.105 ↓ .25 0.06 ↑ .205 -0.045 ↓ .184 -0.021 ↓ .222 0.038 ↑
xwOBA .425 .305 -0.12 ↓ .346 0.041 ↑ .283 -0.063 ↓ .269 -0.014 ↓ .275 0.006 ↑
wOBA .415 .277 -0.138 ↓ .345 0.068 ↑ .275 -0.07 ↓ .257 -0.018 ↓ .292 0.035 ↑
xSLG .575 .391 -0.184 ↓ .43 0.039 ↑ .369 -0.061 ↓ .321 -0.048 ↓ .35 0.029 ↑
SLG .602 .387 -0.215 ↓ .444 0.057 ↑ .373 -0.071 ↓ .31 -0.063 ↓ .402 0.092 ↑
K% 10.9 19 8.1 ↑ 16.1 -2.9 ↓ 32.3 16.2 ↑ 33.7 1.4 ↑ 28.2 -5.5 ↓
BB% 11.9 6.7 -5.2 ↓ 11.6 4.9 ↑ 8.1 -3.5 ↓ 9.7 1.6 ↑ 7.1 -2.6 ↓
Swing % 45.7 49.7 4 ↑ 43.4 -6.3 ↓ 49.6 6.2 ↑ 50.7 1.1 ↑ 50.5 -0.2 ↓
Whiff% 13.7 22.3 8.6 ↑ 21.4 -0.9 ↓ 32.4 11 ↑ 36.6 4.2 ↑ 32.6 -4 ↓
In Zone % 49.5 47.4 -2.1 ↓ 48.7 1.3 ↑ 54.3 5.6 ↑ 50 -4.3 ↓ 50.6 0.6 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.5 52.6 2.1 ↑ 51.3 -1.3 ↓ 45.7 -5.6 ↓ 50 4.3 ↑ 49.4 -0.6 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 24.4 33.3 8.9 ↑ 24.8 -8.5 ↓ 27.6 2.8 ↑ 28.2 0.6 ↑ 29.1 0.9 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 28.7 35.8 7.1 ↑ 25.3 -10.5 ↓ 32.2 6.9 ↑ 32.3 0.1 ↑ 34.5 2.2 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 55.4 62 6.6 ↑ 55.4 -6.6 ↓ 62.1 6.7 ↑ 59.4 -2.7 ↓ 59.8 0.4 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 101 .415 47 1 2.1 54 10 18.5
2017 179 .277 94 2 2.1 85 27 31.8
2018 773 .345 372 43 11.6 401 182 45.4
2019 704 .275 368 41 11.1 336 139 41.4
2020 288 .257 118 10 8.5 170 75 44.1
2021 700 .292 363 24 6.6 337 158 46.9

Pitch Distribution

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