Lucas Giolito
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 6" 245LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 1, #16, Washington Nationals | Harvard-Westlake HS (CA)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 1 2.70 5 5 0 26.2 37 1.13
7 Seasons 44 39 4.13 122 120 0 694.1 733 1.19
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 5 2-1 2.70 26.2 37 1.13
7 Seasons 122 44-39 4.13 694.1 733 1.19

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 21 398 77 7 9.1 6.9 91.4 113.6 12.5 39.0 .336 .575 .415 .425 .441 42.9 10.9 11.9 6.75 8.60
2017 22 704 130 5 3.8 2.8 86.9 109.3 14.0 28.5 .243 .393 .277 .306 .342 34.1 19.0 6.7 2.38 4.01
2018 23 3007 545 38 7 4.9 88.7 114.4 13.3 30.5 .256 .432 .345 .348 .362 37.1 16.1 11.6 6.13 5.26
2019 24 2814 416 39 9.4 5.5 88.1 117.0 17.7 37.5 .215 .370 .275 .284 .381 34.4 32.3 8.1 3.41 3.51
2020 25 1214 161 9 5.6 3.1 87.0 111.9 15.2 33.5 .196 .323 .257 .270 .353 35.4 33.7 9.7 3.48 3.02
2021 26 2970 465 31 6.7 4.3 87.7 116.7 18.3 37.4 .221 .362 .288 .280 .355 34.2 28.0 7.1 3.53 3.27
2022 27 428 59 7 11.9 6.7 87.8 108.3 13.0 40.7 .223 .434 .308 .312 .456 40.7 35.2 8.6 2.70 3.41
Player 11535 1853 136 7.3 4.7 88.1 117.0 15.7 34.6 .231 .390 .302 .306 .369 35.8 25.5 9.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .369 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Giolito relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(48.6%) ,
Changeup
(23.6%) ,
Slider
(19.9%) ,
Curveball
(7.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2022 4-Seam Fastball 208 118 90 48.6 93.1 50 45 9 5 1 0 3 14 32 .200 .238 .422 .523 .298 .357 89.8 12 2170 7.0 25.8 24.1
2022 Changeup 101 39 62 23.6 82.0 29 25 3 2 1 0 0 15 10 .120 .110 .160 .127 .202 .184 72.7 12 1426 6.9 56.6 38.5
2022 Slider 85 68 17 19.9 84.5 20 20 8 5 2 0 1 6 14 .400 .326 .650 .557 .459 .370 92.6 15 1986 6.8 32.4 16.7
2022 Curveball 34 7 27 7.9 79.5 5 5 1 0 0 0 1 2 3 .200 .243 .800 .666 .426 .370 94.1 17 2370 6.6 41.7 40.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,303 648 655 43.9 93.8 270 239 60 40 9 0 11 60 180 .251 .255 .427 .450 .330 .342 91.2 20 2345 6.8 25.6 17.2
2021 Changeup 944 391 553 31.8 81.5 283 261 57 33 14 1 9 90 174 .218 .202 .383 .296 .281 .245 82.2 19 1492 6.7 35.4 26.3
2021 Slider 638 496 142 21.5 85.6 153 150 26 14 3 3 6 44 106 .173 .200 .353 .332 .228 .235 88.1 12 2028 6.6 38.3 18.5
2021 Curveball 85 20 65 2.9 80.6 12 12 2 0 1 0 1 7 5 .167 .208 .500 .426 .271 .263 91.5 29 2382 6.4 40.0 17.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 41.6 22.1 27.3 9.1 36.4 37.7 26.0 3.9 27.3 19.5 33.8 6.5 9.1 6.9
2017 46.9 17.7 23.8 11.5 44.6 33.1 22.3 4.6 32.3 27.7 23.8 6.2 3.8 2.8
2018 45.1 24.8 22.4 7.7 37.4 37.1 25.5 2.2 35.2 26.2 23.7 4.8 7.0 4.9
2019 36.3 23.8 28.1 11.8 39.2 33.7 27.2 3.6 27.4 30.0 25.5 3.4 9.4 5.5
2020 44.1 26.7 21.7 7.5 41.6 31.7 26.7 7.5 24.8 29.8 25.5 6.2 5.6 3.1
2021 34.2 26.9 27.7 11.2 42.2 34.0 23.9 5.4 24.3 30.8 24.9 7.3 6.7 4.3
2022 32.2 37.3 25.4 5.1 39.0 37.3 23.7 3.4 28.8 27.1 23.7 5.1 11.9 6.7
Player 39.9 25.0 25.4 9.7 39.9 34.8 25.3 4.0 29.1 28.4 25.0 5.4 7.3 4.7
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball CWS R 34 79.5 55.9 2.3 4 7.5 0.2 3
2022 Changeup CWS R 101 82.0 28.6 -2.1 -7 10.3 -2.7 -21
2022 Slider CWS R 85 84.5 38.1 1.3 4 4.2 -1.7 -29
2022 4-Seamer CWS R 208 93.1 12.7 1.3 9 3.9 -2.1 -35
2021 4-Seamer CWS R 1,303 93.8 12.0 1.8 13 6.7 0.4 7
2021 Slider CWS R 638 85.6 32.4 -3.0 -8 2.7 -1.8 -40
2021 Changeup CWS R 944 81.5 28.2 -2.5 -8 10.2 -1.9 -16
2021 Curveball CWS R 85 80.6 52.4 -0.2 0 6.4 -0.2 -3
2020 Slider CWS R 178 84.9 34.2 -2.4 -7 3.5 -1.1 -23
2020 4-Seamer CWS R 614 94.0 12.5 1.4 10 7.1 0.5 8
2020 Changeup CWS R 409 80.9 28.9 -2.1 -7 8.8 -2.6 -23
2020 Curveball CWS R 12 77.3 61.1 3.2 5 5.0 -2.6 -34
2019 4-Seamer CWS R 1,548 94.2 12.3 1.9 13 7.6 1.3 20
2019 Slider CWS R 414 84.6 32.3 -4.2 -11 2.6 -1.4 -35
2019 Changeup CWS R 736 81.7 27.9 -2.1 -7 10.2 -1.5 -13
2019 Curveball CWS R 116 79.4 59.6 5.9 11 6.8 0.6 9
2018 Slider CWS R 444 83.9 36.9 -1.0 -3 2.8 -2.1 -42
2018 4-Seamer CWS R 1,172 92.4 16.5 -0.8 -5 8.1 1.8 28
2018 Sinker CWS R 615 92.4 20.7 -0.4 -2 14.7 0.7 5
2018 Changeup CWS R 469 81.7 32.0 0.0 0 10.9 -1.6 -13
2018 Curveball CWS R 303 78.6 59.2 3.7 7 8.3 1.0 14
2017 Changeup CWS R 115 81.6 28.6 -1.0 -3 9.5 -3.1 -25
2017 4-Seamer CWS R 347 92.4 13.9 0.0 0 8.4 1.9 29
2017 Curveball CWS R 80 78.3 61.5 7.4 14 1.9 -5.8 -76
2017 Sinker CWS R 72 91.7 18.4 -0.9 -5 15.9 1.9 14
2017 Slider CWS R 87 83.9 38.1 2.3 6 0.0 -4.1 -100
2016 Changeup WSH R 44 84.2 25.9 -0.8 -3 9.2 -3.3 -26
2016 4-Seamer WSH R 276 94.0 13.0 -0.3 -2 9.3 1.6 21
2016 Sinker WSH R 7 94.3 17.0 0.1 0 14.6 0.0 0
2016 Curveball WSH R 71 80.6 57.1 6.1 12 4.4 -1.5 -25
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -2.4 -5 208 48.6 50 .200 .422 .291 25.8 28.0 24.1 .238 .523 .358 43.8
2022 Changeup -2.4 -2 101 23.6 29 .120 .160 .202 56.6 51.7 38.5 .110 .127 .185 10.0
2022 Slider 3.6 3 85 19.9 20 .400 .650 .450 32.4 30.0 16.7 .326 .557 .370 50.0
2022 Curveball 0.3 0 34 7.9 5 .200 .800 .400 41.7 40.0 40.0 .243 .666 .370 66.7
2021 4-Seamer 0.0 0 1,303 43.9 270 .251 .427 .339 25.6 22.2 17.2 .255 .450 .342 42.8
2021 Changeup -1.1 -11 944 31.8 283 .218 .383 .287 35.4 31.8 26.3 .202 .296 .248 24.7
2021 Slider -1.5 -9 638 21.5 153 .173 .353 .245 38.3 28.8 18.5 .200 .332 .235 34.0
2021 Curveball 1.7 1 85 2.9 12 .167 .500 .271 40.0 58.3 17.9 .208 .426 .263 60.0
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -6 614 50.6 152 .201 .306 .263 29.0 31.6 22.5 .222 .362 .290 46.1
2020 Changeup -0.4 -2 409 33.7 104 .157 .270 .285 41.4 32.7 24.8 .163 .242 .251 20.0
2020 Slider 0.2 0 179 14.7 30 .200 .467 .277 52.6 50.0 19.2 .173 .369 .227 26.7
2020 Curveball -1.8 0 12 1.0 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .293 .516 .331 50.0
2019 4-Seamer -1.0 -16 1,548 55.0 374 .203 .364 .290 26.0 31.0 25.0 .211 .371 .290 39.8
2019 Changeup -1.5 -11 736 26.2 211 .190 .360 .274 41.2 34.1 29.4 .190 .312 .258 24.4
2019 Slider -0.2 -1 414 14.7 96 .213 .362 .255 41.8 38.5 26.8 .233 .400 .275 31.6
2019 Curveball 4.1 5 116 4.1 23 .318 .682 .430 17.6 13.0 7.9 .408 .722 .480 42.1
2018 4-Seamer 1.9 22 1,172 39.0 323 .274 .524 .425 14.2 12.7 13.7 .276 .498 .411 41.9
2018 Sinker 0.4 3 615 20.5 160 .274 .445 .346 11.9 11.3 12.7 .285 .475 .358 31.8
2018 Changeup 1.2 5 471 15.7 121 .215 .355 .300 34.6 22.3 21.6 .238 .372 .313 36.6
2018 Slider 0.1 0 444 14.8 116 .179 .330 .234 36.3 26.7 20.7 .206 .332 .248 35.8
2018 Curveball 2.9 9 303 10.1 52 .300 .500 .373 20.8 15.4 7.2 .215 .333 .256 33.3
2017 4-Seamer -1.1 -4 347 49.3 86 .189 .514 .374 21.8 16.3 14.1 .242 .464 .348 36.1
2017 Changeup -3.3 -4 115 16.3 30 .172 .310 .222 31.0 23.3 22.6 .217 .368 .265 27.3
2017 Slider -2.0 -2 87 12.4 21 .095 .143 .145 25.6 38.1 24.2 .241 .268 .224 38.5
2017 Curveball 1.9 2 80 11.4 19 .333 .500 .376 6.9 10.5 5.9 .315 .408 .329 43.8
2017 Sinker -1.6 -1 72 10.2 22 .200 .200 .227 17.5 13.6 16.7 .223 .283 .262 23.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 388 80.9 99 15.2 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Curveball 12 77.3 90 18.8 6:30 6:30 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 584 94.0 99 19.6 12:45 12:45 0
2020 Slider 172 84.9 29 5.0 11:15 10:00 75
2021 Changeup 921 81.5 99 16.0 1:30 1:30 0
2021 Curveball 83 80.6 76 14.4 6:30 7:00 -30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,292 93.8 99 19.9 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 631 85.6 28 5.3 11:45 10:30 75
2022 Changeup 100 82.0 97 15.4 1:15 1:30 -15
2022 Curveball 32 79.5 81 17.4 6:30 7:00 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 207 93.1 97 18.9 12:30 12:30 0
2022 Slider 84 84.5 22 5.2 9:45 8:15 90
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 101 398 0 1 4 2 7
2017 178 701 -4 -11 3 3 -9
2018 772 3,005 -6 2 23 20 39
2019 704 2,814 -24 -25 18 9 -22
2020 312 1,314 -9 -15 6 7 -10
2021 739 3,060 -17 -27 11 14 -18
2022 104 428 -1 -6 1 2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 398 49.5 67.5 90.2 24.4 75.5 42.2 55.4 45.7 13.7 7.8 90.3
2017 704 47.4 68.1 85.4 33.3 60.2 41.7 62.0 49.7 22.3 6.6 78.3
2018 3,007 48.7 63.1 85.0 24.8 60.7 42.3 55.4 43.4 21.4 7.7 67.4
2019 2,814 54.3 68.0 73.7 27.6 48.7 43.6 62.1 49.6 32.4 9.1 81.6
2020 1,214 50.0 73.1 71.6 28.2 41.5 40.5 59.4 50.7 36.6 8.4 87.3
2021 2,970 50.5 71.7 75.5 28.9 47.5 41.6 59.9 50.5 32.2 8.7 77.1
2022 428 48.6 62.5 75.4 29.5 38.5 43.9 65.7 45.6 36.4 7.7 63.6
Player 11,535 50.6 68.1 77.9 27.6 51.8 42.3 59.4 48.1 29.1 8.3 77.1
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016 70 14 62
2017 44 23 60
2018 11 25 23 22 4 7 39 37 34 10 10 27 11 46 15 34
2019 79 80 73 64 82 7 13 65 68 90 50 88 79 69 66 49
2020 86 86 81 74 82 28 66 73 59 92 38 94 86 68 68
2021 83 72 71 67 85 19 66 74 83 80 69 87 83 61 73 36
2022 59 72 45 28 74 20 14 66 40 94 44 94 59 45 34
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.7 24 22.6 1.0 5 16 12 50.0
2020 22.3 8 8.7 -1.0 4 5 5 62.5
2021 23.3 27 25.1 2.0 12 28 7 25.9
2022 21.8 5 4.8 0.0 0 5 1 20.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 24 26 26 21 28 21 21 26 19 23 25 22 16 22 19 24 19 28 20 24 16 19 18 24 24 26 24 22 23 20 31
2020 8 9 8 10 10 9 0 9 8 7 10 8 6 7 7 9 8 9 8 9 5 10 9 10 9 9 9 8 10 10 10
2021 27 20 35 21 34 19 29 32 23 25 31 28 11 27 22 34 16 24 27 31 10 22 23 25 22 35 23 21 29 18 35
2022 5 4 6 4 6 4 5 3 5 6 6 4 3 5 5 6 5 6 5 5 2 3 4 6 4 6 4 5 6 4 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94 92.3 -1.7 ↓ 92.4 0.1 ↑ 94.2 1.8 ↑ 94 -0.2 ↓ 93.8 -0.2 ↓ 93.1 -0.7 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 84.2 81.6 -2.6 ↓ 81.7 0.1 ↑ 81.7 0 80.9 -0.8 ↓ 81.5 0.6 ↑ 82 0.5 ↑
Breaking Velocity 80.6 81.2 0.6 ↑ 81.7 0.5 ↑ 83.4 1.7 ↑ 84.4 1 ↑ 85 0.6 ↑ 83.1 -1.9 ↓
Exit Velocity 91.4 86.9 -4.5 ↓ 88.7 1.8 ↑ 88.1 -0.6 ↓ 87 -1.1 ↓ 87.7 0.7 ↑ 87.8 0.1 ↑
Launch Angle 12.5 14 1.5 ↑ 13.3 -0.7 ↓ 17.7 4.4 ↑ 15.2 -2.5 ↓ 18.3 3.1 ↑ 13 -5.3 ↓
Barrel % 9.1 3.8 -5.3 ↓ 7 3.2 ↑ 9.4 2.4 ↑ 5.6 -3.8 ↓ 6.7 1.1 ↑ 11.9 5.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 42.9 34.1 -8.8 ↓ 37.1 3 ↑ 34.4 -2.7 ↓ 35.4 1 ↑ 34.2 -1.2 ↓ 40.7 6.5 ↑
Sweet Spot % 39 28.5 -10.5 ↓ 30.5 2 ↑ 37.5 7 ↑ 33.5 -4 ↓ 37.4 3.9 ↑ 40.7 3.3 ↑
xBA .336 .243 -0.093 ↓ .256 0.013 ↑ .215 -0.041 ↓ .196 -0.019 ↓ .221 0.025 ↑ .223 0.002 ↑
BA .295 .19 -0.105 ↓ .25 0.06 ↑ .205 -0.045 ↓ .184 -0.021 ↓ .219 0.035 ↑ .221 0.002 ↑
xwOBA .425 .306 -0.119 ↓ .348 0.042 ↑ .284 -0.064 ↓ .27 -0.014 ↓ .28 0.01 ↑ .312 0.032 ↑
wOBA .415 .277 -0.138 ↓ .345 0.068 ↑ .275 -0.07 ↓ .257 -0.018 ↓ .288 0.031 ↑ .308 0.02 ↑
xSLG .575 .393 -0.182 ↓ .432 0.039 ↑ .37 -0.062 ↓ .323 -0.047 ↓ .362 0.039 ↑ .434 0.072 ↑
SLG .602 .387 -0.215 ↓ .444 0.057 ↑ .373 -0.071 ↓ .31 -0.063 ↓ .394 0.084 ↑ .421 0.027 ↑
K% 10.9 19 8.1 ↑ 16.1 -2.9 ↓ 32.3 16.2 ↑ 33.7 1.4 ↑ 28 -5.7 ↓ 35.2 7.2 ↑
BB% 11.9 6.7 -5.2 ↓ 11.6 4.9 ↑ 8.1 -3.5 ↓ 9.7 1.6 ↑ 7.1 -2.6 ↓ 8.6 1.5 ↑
Swing % 45.7 49.7 4 ↑ 43.4 -6.3 ↓ 49.6 6.2 ↑ 50.7 1.1 ↑ 50.5 -0.2 ↓ 45.6 -4.9 ↓
Whiff% 13.7 22.3 8.6 ↑ 21.4 -0.9 ↓ 32.4 11 ↑ 36.6 4.2 ↑ 32.2 -4.4 ↓ 36.4 4.2 ↑
In Zone % 49.5 47.4 -2.1 ↓ 48.7 1.3 ↑ 54.3 5.6 ↑ 50 -4.3 ↓ 50.5 0.5 ↑ 48.6 -1.9 ↓
Out of Zone % 50.5 52.6 2.1 ↑ 51.3 -1.3 ↓ 45.7 -5.6 ↓ 50 4.3 ↑ 49.5 -0.5 ↓ 51.4 1.9 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 24.4 33.3 8.9 ↑ 24.8 -8.5 ↓ 27.6 2.8 ↑ 28.2 0.6 ↑ 28.9 0.7 ↑ 29.5 0.6 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 28.7 35.8 7.1 ↑ 25.3 -10.5 ↓ 32.2 6.9 ↑ 32.3 0.1 ↑ 34.8 2.5 ↑ 30.5 -4.3 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 55.4 62 6.6 ↑ 55.4 -6.6 ↓ 62.1 6.7 ↑ 59.4 -2.7 ↓ 59.9 0.5 ↑ 65.7 5.8 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 101 .415 47 1 2.1 54 10 18.5
2017 179 .277 94 2 2.1 85 27 31.8
2018 773 .345 372 43 11.6 401 182 45.4
2019 704 .275 368 41 11.1 336 139 41.4
2020 288 .257 118 10 8.5 170 75 44.1
2021 718 .288 373 24 6.4 345 163 47.2
2022 104 .308 56 9 16.1 48 29 60.4

Pitch Distribution

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