Lance McCullers Jr.
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 1" 202LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2012 | Rd: C-A, #41, Houston Astros | Jesuit HS (FL)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 13 5 3.16 28 28 0 162.1 185 1.22
6 Seasons 45 30 3.57 122 119 0 671.0 750 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 13-5 3.16 162.1 185 1.22
6 Seasons 122 45-30 3.57 671.0 750 1.25

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 21 2109 343 23 6.7 4.4 88.5 111.6 9.5 32.1 .232 .376 .289 .300 .362 32.1 24.8 8.3 3.22 3.69
2016 22 1342 201 11 5.5 3.1 88.5 111.5 2.7 29.4 .214 .326 .325 .289 .353 35.3 30.1 12.8 3.22 3.48
2017 23 2014 329 15 4.6 2.9 87.4 114.9 1.0 30.4 .231 .346 .305 .292 .348 32.8 25.8 7.8 4.25 3.63
2018 24 2108 328 27 8.2 5.1 89.2 112.7 5.4 32.0 .220 .362 .289 .299 .361 35.1 26.9 9.5 3.86 3.76
2020 26 884 146 15 10.3 6.6 89.3 111.3 3.8 30.8 .243 .409 .308 .327 .388 34.9 24.7 8.8 3.93 4.58
2021 27 2788 413 22 5.3 3.2 89.8 117.3 5.1 25.9 .208 .315 .283 .285 .327 40.7 27.0 11.1 3.16 3.39
Player 11245 1760 113 6.4 4 88.8 117.3 4.9 29.9 .222 .350 .296 .295 .352 35.4 26.6 9.7
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

McCullers relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(34%) ,
Slider
(25.8%) ,
Curveball
(25%) ,
Changeup
(13.7%) ,
Cutter
(1.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 48.4 19.5 26.2 5.8 32.7 42.0 25.4 1.2 39.4 22.7 24.8 4.1 6.7 4.4
2016 58.7 15.4 23.4 2.5 26.9 41.8 31.3 2.5 49.3 12.4 23.4 6.0 5.5 3.1
2017 62.3 11.9 23.4 2.4 38.0 42.2 19.8 4.6 47.7 12.2 24.6 4.3 4.6 2.9
2018 55.5 17.4 24.4 2.7 41.2 38.4 19.5 2.4 45.1 18.6 19.5 5.5 8.2 5.1
2020 60.3 15.8 19.9 4.1 44.5 34.9 20.5 2.1 47.9 12.3 22.6 4.8 10.3 6.6
2021 56.9 19.9 19.9 3.4 35.1 37.0 27.8 1.9 44.8 19.9 22.8 5.3 5.3 3.2
Player 56.5 17.0 23.0 3.5 36.1 39.6 24.1 2.4 45.1 17.3 23.0 4.9 6.4 4.0
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Curveball HOU R 694 84.1 49.2 3.2 7 11.9 2.3 24
2021 Slider HOU R 720 86.0 32.5 -3.0 -8 13.7 6.8 99
2021 Sinker HOU R 948 93.9 24.9 2.1 9 13.7 -1.5 -10
2021 Cutter HOU R 40 89.8 27.9 -1.9 -7 2.9 1.4 91
2021 Changeup HOU R 383 85.8 37.6 5.3 16 17.2 2.1 14
2020 Changeup HOU R 163 86.3 35.2 4.0 13 16.6 2.4 17
2020 Cutter HOU R 16 91.6 23.5 -0.1 -1 0.9 -2.4 -158
2020 Curveball HOU R 332 83.4 50.2 3.3 7 11.7 2.4 26
2020 4-Seamer HOU R 4 93.0 19.5 -3.4 -21 9.1 1.1 14
2020 Sinker HOU R 369 93.8 23.9 2.0 9 14.8 -0.2 -1
2018 Curveball HOU R 982 85.8 45.6 0.6 1 7.4 -1.0 -12
2018 Sinker HOU R 767 94.2 22.5 0.6 3 15.6 0.5 3
2018 Changeup HOU R 339 87.3 34.4 2.9 9 17.4 3.1 22
2018 4-Seamer HOU R 18 93.8 17.1 -0.8 -5 5.6 -2.7 -33
2017 4-Seamer HOU R 491 94.2 20.4 -5.6 -38 13.4 4.6 52
2017 Curveball HOU R 952 85.6 48.5 4.8 11 7.2 -1.0 -12
2017 Changeup HOU R 230 88.7 32.1 4.0 14 17.3 2.9 20
2017 Sinker HOU R 326 94.1 23.9 2.8 13 15.0 -0.3 -2
2016 Changeup HOU R 102 89.3 32.5 4.5 16 12.7 -1.7 -12
2016 4-Seamer HOU R 564 94.4 20.2 -5.5 -37 5.6 -4.0 -41
2016 Curveball HOU R 661 85.7 48.7 6.2 14 11.3 3.0 37
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -0.4 -4 949 34.0 239 .293 .476 .389 16.6 15.1 18.6 .277 .423 .352 52.3
2021 Slider -1.8 -13 720 25.8 188 .150 .244 .260 35.9 36.7 24.6 .144 .231 .237 25.0
2021 Curveball -1.9 -13 696 25.0 179 .149 .214 .244 36.7 30.7 26.8 .186 .275 .273 40.0
2021 Changeup 0.5 2 383 13.7 75 .183 .282 .239 38.5 32.0 24.0 .203 .272 .233 29.8
2021 Cutter 2.9 1 40 1.4 3 .333 .667 .417 42.9 33.3 8.3 .192 .366 .231 50.0
2020 Sinker -0.2 -1 369 41.7 101 .224 .388 .326 14.6 13.9 17.9 .269 .412 .353 34.7
2020 Curveball 0.8 3 332 37.6 83 .224 .461 .332 42.1 33.7 28.0 .235 .477 .333 33.3
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 163 18.4 34 .200 .300 .278 35.2 26.5 23.1 .213 .271 .271 36.4
2020 Cutter -0.6 0 16 1.8 6 .167 .333 .208 50.0 83.3 55.6 .122 .150 .117 0.0
2020 4-Seamer 9.9 0 4 0.5 3 .333 .667 .417 0.0 0.0 0.0 .279 .465 .306 66.7
2018 Curveball -0.3 -3 982 46.6 278 .206 .354 .292 36.7 34.9 24.7 .209 .345 .273 34.0
2018 Sinker 0.4 3 767 36.4 173 .264 .429 .368 16.6 13.9 17.6 .256 .430 .370 37.3
2018 Changeup -1.5 -5 339 16.1 73 .136 .182 .183 41.5 28.8 26.9 .182 .274 .236 32.6
2018 4-Seamer 5.1 1 18 0.9 3 .500 1.000 .650 0.0 0.0 0.0 .390 .630 .520 50.0
2017 Curveball -1.8 -17 952 47.3 296 .201 .305 .272 36.5 36.1 28.4 .193 .300 .253 34.1
2017 4-Seamer 0.4 2 491 24.4 86 .243 .429 .374 15.0 11.6 13.7 .277 .479 .386 29.5
2017 Sinker 2.4 8 326 16.2 77 .357 .471 .433 11.0 9.1 14.0 .302 .402 .340 39.7
2017 Changeup 3.2 7 230 11.4 48 .400 .556 .443 30.8 14.6 13.0 .285 .333 .295 21.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 160 86.3 89 17.7 2:15 3:00 -45
2020 Curveball 329 83.4 72 18.1 7:30 7:30 0
2020 Cutter 16 91.6 49 8.4 12:30 12:00 30
2020 Sinker 337 93.9 79 16.8 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Changeup 380 85.8 94 18.5 2:45 3:15 -30
2021 Curveball 675 84.1 70 18.0 7:45 7:30 15
2021 Cutter 40 89.8 26 6.8 11:15 11:00 15
2021 Sinker 945 93.9 75 15.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Slider 712 86.0 43 15.0 8:30 9:30 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 543 2,209 -14 -23 14 9 -15
2016 351 1,338 -1 -13 1 3 -10
2017 589 2,320 -9 -15 8 11 -5
2018 547 2,197 -10 -17 11 11 -5
2020 292 1,134 5 -10 5 7 7
2021 726 2,965 -33 -35 21 17 -30
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,109 48.5 61.8 86.7 26.6 50.7 39.0 57.1 43.5 24.5 8.0 71.0
2016 1,342 46.8 59.3 83.6 30.3 42.6 42.5 56.3 43.8 31.3 7.2 72.9
2017 2,014 45.4 63.7 86.5 30.5 46.2 41.8 55.7 45.6 28.0 6.5 63.8
2018 2,108 47.2 64.8 78.6 28.4 45.6 42.4 59.8 45.5 31.3 8.0 67.5
2020 884 47.4 56.6 83.1 26.2 44.3 45.0 58.1 40.6 29.5 5.7 72.0
2021 2,788 46.7 59.4 83.3 26.0 42.2 38.7 55.6 41.6 30.2 7.6 69.0
Player 11,245 46.9 61.4 83.6 27.9 45.3 40.9 56.9 43.6 29.0 7.4 68.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 61 63 56 47 59 25 15 34 57 77 33 64 61 84 86 93
2016 76 86 89 85 49 65 61 51 42 92 2 93 76 75 77 97
2017 74 70 84 85 62 47 74 43 54 74 59 77 74 72 67 95
2018 59 73 68 58 56 24 20 23 52 75 29 84 59 74 57 88
2020 39 46 47 46 40 6 14 31 61 56 47 70 39 62 13 79
2021 78 84 92 91 58 36 86 25 32 72 17 78 78 61 26 93
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.2 5 6.5 -2 4 5 3 60.0
2017 22.4 9 8.9 0 9 7 3 33.3
2018 22.7 12 12.0 0 6 9 5 41.7
2020 22.3 12 12.1 0 3 15 3 25.0
2021 23.7 14 10.8 3 7 8 6 42.9

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 5 8 6 6 6 7 5 6 6 5 7 7 5 4 5 6 5 10 6 7 9 5 5 6 7 5 10 7 6 8 10
2017 9 9 14 7 8 9 8 8 10 8 8 9 7 5 8 10 8 11 6 11 12 7 7 10 9 10 9 7 12 9 12
2018 12 15 11 10 12 15 11 16 12 8 11 12 10 8 10 13 9 15 9 12 14 12 11 12 13 13 14 10 14 13 15
2020 12 14 10 10 14 10 0 16 11 10 10 15 6 6 6 14 7 15 12 16 13 17 14 10 15 15 10 8 11 14 18
2021 14 11 15 7 13 16 11 11 10 9 15 14 7 9 7 11 12 9 12 8 13 11 10 10 9 10 10 8 10 10 16
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.1 94.4 -0.7 ↓ 94.2 -0.2 ↓ 0 93.7 93.8 0.1 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 89.3 -0.2 ↓ 88.7 -0.6 ↓ -1.4 ↓ 86.3 85.8 -0.5 ↓
Breaking Velocity 84.7 85.7 1 ↑ 85.6 -0.1 ↓ 0.2 ↑ 83.4 85.1 1.7 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.5 88.5 0 87.4 -1.1 ↓ 1.8 ↑ 89.3 89.8 0.5 ↑
Launch Angle 9.5 2.7 -6.8 ↓ 1 -1.7 ↓ 4.4 ↑ 3.8 5.1 1.3 ↑
Barrel % 6.7 5.5 -1.2 ↓ 4.6 -0.9 ↓ 3.6 ↑ 10.3 5.3 -5 ↓
Hard Hit % 32.1 35.3 3.2 ↑ 32.8 -2.5 ↓ 2.3 ↑ 34.9 40.7 5.8 ↑
Sweet Spot % 32.1 29.4 -2.7 ↓ 30.4 1 ↑ 1.6 ↑ 30.8 25.9 -4.9 ↓
xBA .232 .214 -0.018 ↓ .231 0.017 ↑ -0.011 ↓ .243 .208 -0.035 ↓
BA .226 .261 0.035 ↑ .249 -0.012 ↓ -0.034 ↓ .22 .205 -0.015 ↓
xwOBA .3 .289 -0.011 ↓ .292 0.003 ↑ 0.007 ↑ .327 .285 -0.042 ↓
wOBA .289 .325 0.036 ↑ .305 -0.02 ↓ -0.016 ↓ .308 .283 -0.025 ↓
xSLG .376 .326 -0.05 ↓ .346 0.02 ↑ 0.016 ↑ .409 .315 -0.094 ↓
SLG .362 .381 0.019 ↑ .372 -0.009 ↓ -0.017 ↓ .405 .324 -0.081 ↓
K% 24.8 30.1 5.3 ↑ 25.8 -4.3 ↓ 1.1 ↑ 24.7 27 2.3 ↑
BB% 8.3 12.8 4.5 ↑ 7.8 -5 ↓ 1.7 ↑ 8.8 11.1 2.3 ↑
Swing % 43.5 43.8 0.3 ↑ 45.6 1.8 ↑ -0.1 ↓ 40.6 41.6 1 ↑
Whiff% 24.5 31.3 6.8 ↑ 28 -3.3 ↓ 3.3 ↑ 29.5 30.2 0.7 ↑
In Zone % 48.5 46.8 -1.7 ↓ 45.4 -1.4 ↓ 1.8 ↑ 47.4 46.7 -0.7 ↓
Out of Zone % 51.5 53.2 1.7 ↑ 54.6 1.4 ↑ -1.8 ↓ 52.6 53.3 0.7 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 26.6 30.3 3.7 ↑ 30.5 0.2 ↑ -2.1 ↓ 26.2 26 -0.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 26.7 2.3 ↑ 27 0.3 ↑ 0.7 ↑ 22.5 22.8 0.3 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 56.3 -0.8 ↓ 55.7 -0.6 ↓ 4.1 ↑ 58.1 55.6 -2.5 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 336 .330 177 24 13.6 159 94 59.1
2017 509 .306 292 62 21.2 217 102 47.0
2018 527 .289 272 87 32.0 255 139 54.5
2020 227 .308 109 18 16.5 118 75 63.6
2021 684 .283 349 62 17.8 335 285 85.1

Pitch Tempo