Lance McCullers Jr.
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 200LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2012 | Rd: C-A, #41, Houston Astros | Jesuit HS (FL)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 3 3 3.93 11 11 0 55 56 1.16
2021 13 5 3.16 28 28 0 162.1 185 1.22
2022 4 2 2.27 8 8 0 47.2 50 1.24
7 Seasons 49 32 3.48 130 127 0 718.2 800 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 11 3-3 3.93 55 56 1.16
2021 28 13-5 3.16 162.1 185 1.22
2022 8 4-2 2.27 47.2 50 1.24
7 Seasons 130 49-32 3.48 718.2 800 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 21 2109 343 23 6.7 4.4 88.5 111.6 9.5 32.1 .232 .376 .289 .300 .362 32.1 24.8 8.3 3.22 3.72
2016 22 1342 201 11 5.5 3.1 88.5 111.5 2.7 29.4 .214 .326 .325 .289 .353 35.3 30.1 12.8 3.22 3.48
2017 23 2014 329 15 4.6 2.9 87.4 114.9 1.0 30.4 .230 .345 .305 .291 .347 32.8 25.8 7.8 4.25 3.60
2018 24 2108 328 27 8.2 5.1 89.2 112.7 5.4 32.0 .220 .362 .289 .299 .361 35.1 26.9 9.5 3.86 3.76
2020 26 884 146 15 10.3 6.6 89.3 111.3 3.8 30.8 .243 .408 .308 .327 .388 34.9 24.7 8.8 3.93 4.58
2021 27 2788 413 22 5.3 3.2 89.8 117.3 5.1 25.9 .208 .314 .283 .284 .326 40.7 27.0 11.1 3.16 3.37
2022 28 759 123 6 4.9 3.1 87.7 111.3 8.0 26.8 .224 .342 .287 .294 .343 32.5 25.6 11.3 2.27 3.57
Player 12004 1883 119 6.3 3.9 88.8 117.3 5.1 29.7 .222 .349 .296 .295 .351 35.2 26.5 9.8
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

McCullers relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(25.4%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(24.9%) ,
Sinker
(24.5%) ,
Changeup
(17.4%) ,
Cutter
(7.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 48.4 19.5 26.2 5.8 32.7 42.0 25.4 1.2 39.4 22.7 24.8 4.1 6.7 4.4
2016 58.7 15.4 23.4 2.5 26.9 41.8 31.3 2.5 49.3 12.4 23.4 6.0 5.5 3.1
2017 62.3 11.9 23.4 2.4 38.0 42.2 19.8 4.6 47.7 12.2 24.6 4.3 4.6 2.9
2018 55.5 17.4 24.4 2.7 41.2 38.1 18.9 2.4 45.1 18.6 19.5 5.5 8.2 5.1
2020 60.3 15.8 19.9 4.1 44.5 34.9 20.5 2.1 47.9 12.3 22.6 4.8 10.3 6.6
2021 56.9 19.9 19.9 3.4 35.1 37.0 27.8 1.9 44.8 19.9 22.8 5.3 5.3 3.2
2022 50.4 24.4 19.5 5.7 41.5 33.3 25.2 1.6 42.3 22.8 22.0 6.5 4.9 3.1
Player 56.1 17.5 22.8 3.7 36.5 39.1 24.1 2.4 44.9 17.6 22.9 5.0 6.3 3.9
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2022 Cutter HOU R 59 88.3 29.8 -3.6 3.8GLV 2.4 5.2 -3.1 3.8GLV 1.1
2022 Sinker HOU R 186 93.1 26.1 2.1 13.4ARM -2.0 5.5 2.8 13.4ARM -1.4
2022 Changeup HOU R 132 87.0 38.0 6.2 17.3ARM 2.1 -1.7 7.6 17.3ARM 3.1
2022 Curveball HOU R 189 82.7 50.6 2.8 13.6GLV 5.0 -10.3 0.4 13.6GLV 4.5
2022 Slider HOU R 193 85.1 33.5 -2.9 13.2GLV 7.8 4.5 -2.7 13.2GLV 7.5
2021 Curveball HOU R 694 84.2 49.2 2.2 11.9GLV 2.7 -10.4 0.3 11.9GLV 2.7
2021 Cutter HOU R 46 89.5 28.4 -2.2 3.5GLV 2.0 5.7 -2.3 3.5GLV 0.6
2021 Changeup HOU R 383 85.8 37.6 5.3 17.2ARM 2.1 -0.3 6.6 17.2ARM 3.3
2021 Slider HOU R 714 86.0 32.5 -3.0 13.7GLV 7.3 4.6 -2.8 13.7GLV 8.0
2021 Sinker HOU R 948 93.9 24.9 2.0 13.7ARM -1.5 6.1 2.7 13.7ARM -1.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider 3.4 7 193 25.4 59 .185 .222 .224 31.8 33.9 29.9 .159 .210 .207 26.5
2022 Curveball 2.9 5 189 24.9 52 .116 .163 .208 37.2 36.5 30.6 .164 .208 .243 32.0
2022 Sinker -3.0 -6 186 24.5 44 .421 .842 .555 6.5 2.3 4.3 .400 .789 .536 40.5
2022 Changeup 1.5 2 132 17.4 30 .214 .250 .238 30.9 30.0 22.5 .225 .254 .242 36.8
2022 Cutter 3.0 2 59 7.8 10 .000 .000 .070 31.8 10.0 20.0 .143 .161 .193 12.5
2021 Sinker 0.4 4 949 34.0 239 .293 .476 .389 16.6 15.1 18.6 .277 .422 .351 52.3
2021 Slider 1.8 13 714 25.6 187 .151 .245 .261 35.8 36.4 24.4 .144 .232 .238 25.0
2021 Curveball 1.9 13 696 25.0 179 .149 .214 .244 36.6 30.7 27.0 .185 .274 .272 40.0
2021 Changeup -0.5 -2 383 13.7 75 .183 .282 .239 38.5 32.0 24.0 .203 .271 .232 29.8
2021 Cutter -2.1 -1 46 1.6 4 .250 .500 .313 50.0 50.0 14.3 .144 .275 .173 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2022 Changeup 132 87.0 94 18.6 2:45 3:15 -30
2022 Curveball 178 82.7 76 19.4 7:45 7:30 15
2022 Cutter 57 88.3 27 6.4 10:45 10:30 15
2022 Sinker 181 93.1 74 14.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2022 Slider 191 85.1 48 14.5 8:30 9:30 -60
2021 Changeup 380 85.8 94 18.5 2:45 3:15 -30
2021 Curveball 675 84.1 70 18.0 7:45 7:30 15
2021 Cutter 46 89.5 27 7.0 11:00 10:45 15
2021 Sinker 945 93.9 75 15.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Slider 706 86.0 43 15.1 8:30 9:30 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 543 2,209 14 23 -13 -9 15
2016 351 1,338 1 13 -1 -3 10
2017 589 2,320 8 15 -8 -11 4
2018 547 2,197 9 18 -11 -11 5
2020 292 1,134 -5 10 -5 -7 -7
2021 726 2,965 33 35 -21 -17 30
2022 262 1,025 6 10 -5 -5 7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,109 48.6 61.6 86.7 26.6 50.7 39.0 57.1 43.5 24.5 8.0 70.2
2016 1,342 46.8 59.5 83.6 30.1 42.3 42.6 56.3 43.8 31.5 7.2 73.2
2017 2,014 45.3 63.8 86.5 30.4 46.2 41.8 55.7 45.6 28.0 6.6 63.4
2018 2,108 47.2 64.7 78.7 28.5 45.4 42.2 59.8 45.5 31.8 8.0 67.9
2020 884 47.4 56.6 83.1 26.2 44.3 44.9 58.1 40.6 29.5 5.7 72.0
2021 2,788 46.6 59.4 83.3 26.1 42.5 38.6 55.6 41.6 30.2 7.6 69.2
2022 759 46.8 61.1 85.3 27.5 48.6 40.3 53.8 43.2 27.1 6.7 62.7
Player 12,004 46.9 61.3 83.7 27.9 45.5 40.9 56.7 43.6 29.0 7.3 68.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 61 63 56 47 58 25 15 35 57 77 33 63 20 83 85 93 59
2016 75 86 89 85 49 65 61 51 42 92 2 93 64 74 78 97 47
2017 74 71 84 85 62 47 74 43 54 74 59 76 76 69 70 95 43
2018 59 73 69 58 56 24 20 23 52 75 29 87 57 71 59 87 32
2020 39 46 47 46 39 6 14 31 61 56 47 69 35 59 13 79 32
2021 78 84 92 91 58 36 86 25 32 72 17 77 30 57 26 93 23
2022 36 21 97 11
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.2 5 6.6 -2 5 6 2 40.0
2017 22.4 9 8.6 0 8 6 3 33.3
2018 22.7 12 11.3 1 6 9 5 41.7
2020 22.3 12 11.7 0 5 13 3 25.0
2021 23.7 14 9.8 4 8 7 5 35.7
2022 24.0 9 7.5 2 3 5 3 33.3
Player 22.9 61 55.4 6 35 46 21 34.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 5 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 6 8 6 6 7 6 6 7 5 8 6 10 11 7 7 5 8 9 7 6
2017 9 8 7 9 10 9 10 9 5 6 8 12 8 7 8 9 7 8 8 9 8 12 10 9 8 7 8 11 10 11 6
2018 12 15 7 11 11 10 13 12 8 9 7 12 14 10 11 15 12 11 11 12 11 13 14 15 10 10 8 13 14 12 7
2020 12 16 9 12 9 15 12 14 6 7 7 10 12 9 14 9 15 14 10 15 15 11 18 10 14 9 10 9 15 14 11
2021 14 10 9 14 10 9 12 13 8 6 6 14 10 5 11 14 9 10 8 11 8 9 14 10 9 7 11 12 8 7 10
2022 9 5 6 8 8 8 8 6 7 7 8 9 6 6 8 8 6 7 8 9 8 9 9 7 6 7 9 9 8 8 6
Player 61 60 42 61 54 57 61 60 38 41 42 63 58 43 58 62 55 56 52 61 58 60 75 62 54 47 51 62 64 59 46
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.1 94.4 -0.7 ↓ 94.2 -0.2 ↓ -- 0.0 -- -- 93.7 -- 93.7 0.0 91.9 -1.8 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 89.3 -0.2 ↓ 88.7 -0.6 ↓ -- -1.4 ↓ -- -- 86.3 -- 85.8 -0.5 ↓ 87.0 1.2 ↑
Breaking Velocity 84.7 85.7 1.0 ↑ 85.6 -0.1 ↓ -- 0.2 ↑ -- -- 83.4 -- 85.1 1.7 ↑ 83.9 -1.2 ↓
Exit Velocity 88.5 88.5 0.0 87.4 -1.1 ↓ -- 1.8 ↑ -- -- 89.3 -- 89.8 0.5 ↑ 87.7 -2.1 ↓
Launch Angle 9.5 2.7 -6.8 ↓ 1.0 -1.7 ↓ -- 4.4 ↑ -- -- 3.8 -- 5.1 1.3 ↑ 8.0 2.9 ↑
Barrel % 6.7 5.5 -1.2 ↓ 4.6 -0.9 ↓ -- 3.6 ↑ -- -- 10.3 -- 5.3 -5.0 ↓ 4.9 -0.4 ↓
Hard Hit % 32.1 35.3 3.2 ↑ 32.8 -2.5 ↓ -- 2.3 ↑ -- -- 34.9 -- 40.7 5.8 ↑ 32.5 -8.2 ↓
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.1 29.4 -2.7 ↓ 30.4 1.0 ↑ -- 1.6 ↑ -- -- 30.8 -- 25.9 -4.9 ↓ 26.8 0.9 ↑
xBA .232 .214 -0.018 ↓ .230 0.016 ↑ -- -0.010 ↓ -- -- .243 -- .208 -0.035 ↓ .224 0.016 ↑
BA .226 .261 0.035 ↑ .249 -0.012 ↓ -- -0.034 ↓ -- -- .220 -- .205 -0.015 ↓ .215 0.010 ↑
xwOBA .300 .289 -0.011 ↓ .291 0.002 ↑ -- 0.008 ↑ -- -- .327 -- .284 -0.043 ↓ .294 0.010 ↑
wOBA .289 .325 0.036 ↑ .305 -0.020 ↓ -- -0.016 ↓ -- -- .308 -- .283 -0.025 ↓ .287 0.004 ↑
xSLG .376 .326 -0.050 ↓ .345 0.019 ↑ -- 0.017 ↑ -- -- .408 -- .314 -0.094 ↓ .342 0.028 ↑
SLG .362 .381 0.019 ↑ .372 -0.009 ↓ -- -0.017 ↓ -- -- .405 -- .324 -0.081 ↓ .337 0.013 ↑
K% 24.8 30.1 5.3 ↑ 25.8 -4.3 ↓ -- 1.1 ↑ -- -- 24.7 -- 27.0 2.3 ↑ 25.6 -1.4 ↓
BB% 8.3 12.8 4.5 ↑ 7.8 -5.0 ↓ -- 1.7 ↑ -- -- 8.8 -- 11.1 2.3 ↑ 11.3 0.2 ↑
Swing % 43.5 43.8 0.3 ↑ 45.6 1.8 ↑ -- -0.1 ↓ -- -- 40.6 -- 41.6 1.0 ↑ 43.2 1.6 ↑
Whiff% 24.5 31.5 7.0 ↑ 28.0 -3.5 ↓ -- 3.8 ↑ -- -- 29.5 -- 30.2 0.7 ↑ 27.1 -3.1 ↓
In Zone % 48.6 46.8 -1.8 ↓ 45.3 -1.5 ↓ -- 1.9 ↑ -- -- 47.4 -- 46.6 -0.8 ↓ 46.8 0.2 ↑
Out of Zone % 51.4 53.2 1.8 ↑ 54.7 1.5 ↑ -- -1.9 ↓ -- -- 52.6 -- 53.4 0.8 ↑ 53.2 -0.2 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 26.6 30.1 3.5 ↑ 30.4 0.3 ↑ -- -1.9 ↓ -- -- 26.2 -- 26.1 -0.1 ↓ 27.5 1.4 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 26.7 2.3 ↑ 27.0 0.3 ↑ -- 0.7 ↑ -- -- 22.5 -- 22.8 0.3 ↑ 25.6 2.8 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 56.3 -0.8 ↓ 55.7 -0.6 ↓ -- 4.1 ↑ -- -- 58.1 -- 55.6 -2.5 ↓ 53.8 -1.8 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 333 .332 177 24 13.6 156 94 60.3
2017 Shifts 509 .306 292 62 21.2 217 101 46.5
2018 Shifts 527 .289 272 87 32.0 255 139 54.5
2020 Shifts 227 .308 109 18 16.5 118 75 63.6
2021 Shifts 684 .283 349 62 17.8 335 285 85.1
2022 Shifts 195 .287 99 12 12.1 96 87 90.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2015 627 16.8 35.9% 3.3% 411 23.8 7.1% 21.7%
2016 368 16.0 42.1% 4.6% 274 23.3 8.4% 13.5%
2017 579 16.8 23.8% 2.1% 364 23.5 0.5% 14.8%
2018 677 16.8 24.8% 3.0% 304 21.7 1.0% 9.5%
2020 298 16.1 28.5% 0.3% 152 23.4 0.0% 14.5%
2021 836 16.8 27.6% 1.0% 568 25.8 0.0% 23.1%
2022 229 16.6 27.9% 1.7% 142 26.3 0.0% 25.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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