Justin Sterner
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 215LBS | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 0 0 2.25 2 0 0 4 4 1.50
2025 1 3 4.11 32 1 0 30.2 31 1.40
2 Seasons 1 3 3.89 34 1 0 34.2 35 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 2 0-0 2.25 4 4 1.50
2025 32 1-3 4.11 30.2 31 1.40
2 Seasons 34 1-3 3.89 34.2 35 1.41
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2024 27 64 14 0 0.0 0.0 90.0 104.7 20.3 21.4 .163 .234 .286 .162 .208 35.7 21.1 5.3 2.25 1.14
2025 28 559 84 8 9.5 6.0 92.1 112.3 24.6 33.3 .229 .416 .336 .328 .366 42.9 22.4 11.2 4.20 4.13
Player 623 98 8 8.2 5.2 91.8 112.3 24.0 31.6 .220 .392 .330 .308 .343 41.8 22.2 10.5
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.8 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Sterner relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(53.8%) ,
Cutter
(34.1%) ,
Sweeper
(12.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2024 42.9 57.1 28.6 14.3 14.3 21.4 42.9 35.7 14.3 21.4 7.1 7.1 21.4 28.6
2025 25.0 75.0 38.1 26.2 10.7 31.0 39.3 29.8 14.3 9.5 1.2 16.7 29.8 28.6
Player 27.6 72.4 36.7 24.5 11.2 29.6 39.8 30.6 14.3 11.2 2.0 15.3 28.6 28.6
MLB 44.3 55.7 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.3 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2024 7.1 35.7 35.7 7.1 14.3 0.0 0.0
2025 0.0 19.0 42.9 25.0 3.6 9.5 6.0
Player 1.0 21.4 41.8 22.4 5.1 8.2 5.2
MLB 4.0 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Cutter ATH R 190 87.3 31.4 -3.3 5.1GLV 2.6 4.5 -3.9 5.1GLV 2.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball ATH R 300 93.5 14.3 1.6 9.5ARM 1.2 17.5 1.7 9.5ARM 1.8
2025 Sweeper ATH R 68 81.1 39.9 -0.5 16.1GLV 1.6 2.1 -0.9 16.1GLV 2.2
2024 Cutter TB R 20 86.1 32.4 -2.4 5.6GLV 2.4 4.5 -3.8 5.6GLV 2.9
2024 4-Seam Fastball TB R 41 93.4 12.9 2.8 8.4ARM 0.7 18.7 3.0 8.4ARM 0.8
2024 Sweeper TB R 3 80.8 42.9 2.1 11.1GLV -3.1 -0.8 2.3 11.1GLV -3.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 300 53.7 79 .238 .444 .355 25.7 20.3 16.7 .219 .434 .345 44.9
2025 Cutter -0.8 -2 190 34.0 37 .333 .455 .382 29.7 16.2 14.6 .293 .443 .357 40.7
2025 Sweeper -0.5 0 68 12.2 17 .063 .250 .159 32.0 47.1 19.5 .133 .288 .208 37.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball -4.1 -2 41 64.1 9 .500 .750 .578 31.8 0.0 0.0 .238 .372 .229 33.3
2024 Cutter 6.8 1 20 31.3 8 .125 .125 .113 46.2 50.0 57.1 .107 .125 .106 50.0
2024 Sweeper 5.9 0 3 4.7 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .001 .001 .000 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Cutter 190 87.3 32 6.7 11:00 10:00 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 300 93.5 95 19.6 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Sweeper 68 81.1 52 17.0 8:15 9:00 -45
2024 Cutter 20 86.1 33 7.0 10:30 10:00 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 41 93.4 93 20.2 1:00 12:45 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2024 18 64 -1 1 0 0 0
2025 133 558 1 4 -5 -3 -2
Player 151 622 0 5 -5 0 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2024 64 59.4 81.6 71.0 19.2 20.0 43.8 44.4 56.3 36.1 6.3 75.0
2025 559 45.3 67.6 83.0 27.8 50.6 40.3 60.2 45.8 27.7 7.0 79.5
Player 623 46.7 69.4 81.2 27.1 48.9 40.6 58.3 46.9 28.8 6.9 79.1
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2025 38 74 46 26 30 66 30 3 34 51 13 69 43 35 75 56
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2024 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2025 21.92 6 4.6 1 2 2 3 50.0
Player 21.92 6 4.6 1 3 2 3 50.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2024 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
2025 6 5 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 5 4 6 7 5 4 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 3 4 6 4 6
Player 6 5 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 4 5 4 6 7 5 4 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 3 5 6 4 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2024 +/-   2025
Fastball Velocity 91.0 0.1 91.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 80.8 0.3 81.1
Exit Velocity 90.0 2.1 92.1
Launch Angle 20.3 4.3 24.6
Barrel % 0.0 9.5 9.5
Hard Hit % 35.7 7.2 42.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 21.4 11.9 33.3
xBA .163 0.066 .229
BA .294 -0.053 .241
xwOBA .162 0.166 .328
wOBA .286 0.050 .336
xSLG .234 0.182 .416
SLG .412 0.008 .420
K% 21.1 1.3 22.4
BB% 5.3 5.9 11.2
Swing % 56.3 -10.5 45.8
Whiff% 36.1 -8.4 27.7
In Zone % 59.4 -14.1 45.3
Out of Zone % 40.6 14.1 54.7
Out of Zone Swing % 19.2 8.6 27.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.3 -1.0 32.3
First Pitch Strike % 44.4 15.8 60.2
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2024 Shades 18 .286 9 3 33.3 9 2 22.2
2025 Shades 133 .336 81 5 6.2 52 30 57.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2024 5 15.9 20.0% 0.0% 21 16.0 19.0% 0.0%
2025 106 15.1 46.2% 0.0% 127 17.3 7.1% 0.8%

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Pitch Distribution