Justin Miller
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 225LBS | Age: 36
Draft: 2008 | Rd: 16, #483, Texas Rangers | Fresno State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2018 7 1 3.61 51 0 2 52.1 60 1.13
2019 1 0 4.02 17 0 0 15.2 11 1.28
2021 1 0 6.16 23 0 1 19 13 1.37
6 Seasons 14 5 4.62 173 0 4 175.1 172 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2018 51 7-1 3.61 52.1 60 1.13
2019 17 1-0 4.02 15.2 11 1.28
2021 23 1-0 6.16 19 13 1.37
6 Seasons 173 14-5 4.62 175.1 172 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 527 80 5 6.3 3.9 88.4 108.9 15.6 38.8 .190 .330 .246 .264 .334 37.5 29.5 8.5 4.05 2.83
2016 29 771 126 8 6.3 4.1 90.5 112.0 15.6 37.3 .255 .448 .375 .344 .410 42.9 23.3 10.4 5.70 5.10
2018 31 885 136 14 10.3 6.5 88.1 110.9 19.0 32.4 .195 .395 .301 .286 .358 31.6 27.9 7.9 3.61 3.42
2019 32 275 48 6 12.5 9.2 89.0 114.3 25.8 29.2 .250 .505 .367 .346 .382 35.4 16.9 6.2 4.02 5.41
2021 34 295 62 6 9.7 7.2 91.7 113.5 19.1 38.7 .311 .590 .369 .407 .457 43.5 15.7 7.2 6.16 7.67
Player 2753 452 39 8.6 5.7 89.4 114.3 18.2 35.4 .230 .431 .326 .318 .384 37.8 24.4 8.5
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.5%) ,
Slider
(27.8%) ,
Sinker
(19.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 37.5 20.0 31.3 11.3 33.8 37.5 28.7 2.5 27.5 32.5 20.0 7.5 6.3 3.9
2016 34.9 23.8 35.7 5.6 34.9 37.3 27.8 4.0 26.2 28.6 24.6 5.6 6.3 4.1
2018 35.3 38.2 18.4 8.1 36.0 43.4 20.6 2.2 25.0 39.7 17.6 4.4 10.3 6.5
2019 22.9 39.6 20.8 16.7 33.3 35.4 31.3 4.2 16.7 43.8 10.4 10.4 12.5 9.2
2021 33.9 33.9 24.2 8.1 50.0 35.5 14.5 8.1 17.7 30.6 25.8 8.1 9.7 7.2
Player 34.1 30.5 26.5 8.8 36.9 38.7 24.3 3.8 23.9 34.5 20.4 6.4 8.6 5.7
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider STL R 82 82.9 39.8 0.9 2 9.3 3.6 64
2021 Sinker STL R 58 93.1 19.0 -1.8 -9 12.8 -1.6 -11
2021 4-Seam Fastball STL R 155 92.8 15.7 -0.7 -5 3.6 -3.1 -46
2019 Changeup WSH R 3 88.3 20.5 -8.0 -28 12.5 -1.4 -10
2019 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 175 92.1 14.7 1.4 9 7.2 0.3 5
2019 Sinker WSH R 43 92.4 16.6 -5.2 -24 13.5 -0.8 -5
2019 Slider WSH R 54 85.8 33.5 -1.8 -5 7.1 3.0 74
2018 Sinker WSH R 70 94.3 17.4 -2.6 -13 13.2 -1.0 -7
2018 Slider WSH R 241 86.1 37.1 2.4 7 7.5 3.3 81
2018 4-Seam Fastball WSH R 558 93.9 14.3 0.9 6 4.4 -2.6 -37
2018 Changeup WSH R 16 89.5 22.4 -4.4 -16 13.5 -0.1 -1
2016 Slider COL R 244 86.1 33.9 -0.4 -1 7.0 2.4 54
2016 Sinker COL R 7 95.4 18.6 -1.3 -7 10.8 -3.0 -22
2016 4-Seam Fastball COL R 473 93.8 15.8 -0.3 -2 5.1 -1.8 -26
2016 Changeup COL R 1 88.2 24.3 -4.8 -16 11.1 -1.4 -11
2015 Sinker COL R 2 95.4 26.0 5.5 27 6.4 -7.3 -53
2015 Changeup COL R 10 88.8 28.3 -0.2 -1 11.4 -0.8 -7
2015 Slider COL R 196 87.1 33.4 0.3 1 4.7 0.3 6
2015 4-Seam Fastball COL R 283 94.8 17.5 -2.5 -17 5.3 -1.4 -20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seam Fastball -4.9 -8 155 52.5 49 .326 .698 .448 19.5 18.4 17.3 .349 .750 .475 51.4
2021 Slider 1.7 1 82 27.8 14 .250 .250 .262 23.5 14.3 11.8 .199 .241 .231 18.2
2021 Sinker 5.2 3 58 19.7 20 .176 .294 .253 12.9 10.0 18.2 .293 .433 .354 43.8
2019 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 175 63.6 46 .308 .538 .407 25.8 17.4 17.0 .228 .398 .317 37.5
2019 Slider -0.8 0 54 19.6 10 .200 .500 .290 16.7 10.0 5.9 .289 .783 .433 33.3
2019 Sinker 0.6 0 43 15.6 8 .250 .625 .363 12.5 25.0 18.2 .338 .739 .443 33.3
2019 Changeup 5.5 0 3 1.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 0.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1.4 8 558 63.1 125 .221 .469 .323 29.1 36.0 22.3 .184 .445 .300 39.1
2018 Slider 0.4 1 241 27.2 70 .242 .419 .328 25.2 18.6 16.0 .231 .370 .294 27.5
2018 Sinker 4.7 3 70 7.9 13 .000 .000 .054 11.8 15.4 11.8 .095 .122 .142 20.0
2018 Changeup -5.1 -1 16 1.8 6 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .241 .270 .229 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 4-Seam Fastball 155 92.8 81 16.0 12:45 12:30 15
2021 Sinker 56 93.1 81 18.0 12:45 1:30 -45
2021 Slider 82 82.9 50 10.2 9:00 8:45 15
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 53 193 0 -3 0 0 -4
2015 129 527 7 4 -3 -2 6
2016 193 771 -5 4 -7 -4 -12
2018 214 885 10 11 -7 -3 11
2019 65 275 2 0 -3 -2 -3
2021 83 295 -1 2 -3 -1 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 527 55.2 72.5 76.3 26.7 55.6 39.7 62.0 52.0 28.1 9.5 80.0
2016 771 51.1 69.8 78.5 22.3 60.7 41.6 60.1 46.6 25.3 9.2 84.5
2018 885 53.3 73.3 75.1 30.8 66.1 42.0 60.7 53.4 26.4 9.2 79.0
2019 275 46.9 70.5 78.0 22.6 75.8 40.0 58.5 45.1 22.6 9.8 81.5
2021 295 48.8 72.2 88.5 28.5 62.8 42.0 59.0 49.8 19.0 10.8 90.6
Player 2,753 51.9 71.8 77.9 26.5 63.4 41.3 60.4 50.0 25.3 9.5 82.4
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 79 85 84
2016 65 69 74
2018 74 93 47 8 92 56 4 56 79 82 55 61 82 66 91 66
2019 33 81 73
2021 38 61 58
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.9 6 4.1 2 2 3 2 33.3
2018 23.0 10 9.2 1 4 2 8 80.0
2019 23.0 5 4.8 0 0 3 2 40.0
2021 25.1 5 5.0 0 2 2 3 60.0
Player 23.2 26 23.1 3 8 10 15 57.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 6 5 3 5 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 6 3 3 4 4 3 3 5 5 3 3 6 5 3 4 4 5 5 5 3
2018 10 10 9 9 9 8 9 10 9 8 9 10 9 10 9 9 9 8 10 10 10 9 11 10 8 8 9 9 10 9 9
2019 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 4
2021 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4
Player 26 25 22 24 23 22 24 24 19 20 23 28 22 23 23 23 22 21 25 25 23 22 27 25 21 22 22 24 25 23 20
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 -- -1.1 ↓ -- -- 93.9 -- 92.2 -1.7 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 88.8 -- -0.6 ↓ -- -- 89.5 -- 88.3 -1.2 ↓
Breaking Velocity 87.2 -- -1.2 ↓ -- -- 86.1 -- 85.8 -0.3 ↓
Exit Velocity 88.4 -- 2.1 ↑ -- -- 88.1 -- 89.0 0.9 ↑
Launch Angle 15.6 -- 0.0 -- -- 19.0 -- 25.8 6.8 ↑
Barrel % 6.3 -- 0.0 -- -- 10.3 -- 12.5 2.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 37.5 -- 5.4 ↑ -- -- 31.6 -- 35.4 3.8 ↑
Sweet Spot % 38.8 -- -1.5 ↓ -- -- 32.4 -- 29.2 -3.2 ↓
xBA .190 -- 0.065 ↑ -- -- .195 -- .250 0.055 ↑
BA .178 -- 0.120 ↑ -- -- .218 -- .276 0.058 ↑
xwOBA .264 -- 0.080 ↑ -- -- .286 -- .346 0.060 ↑
wOBA .246 -- 0.129 ↑ -- -- .301 -- .367 0.066 ↑
xSLG .330 -- 0.118 ↑ -- -- .395 -- .505 0.110 ↑
SLG .305 -- 0.207 ↑ -- -- .420 -- .534 0.114 ↑
K% 29.5 -- -6.2 ↓ -- -- 27.9 -- 16.9 -11.0 ↓
BB% 8.5 -- 1.9 ↑ -- -- 7.9 -- 6.2 -1.7 ↓
Swing % 52.0 -- -5.4 ↓ -- -- 53.4 -- 45.1 -8.3 ↓
Whiff% 28.1 -- -2.8 ↓ -- -- 26.4 -- 22.6 -3.8 ↓
In Zone % 55.2 -- -4.1 ↓ -- -- 53.3 -- 46.9 -6.4 ↓
Out of Zone % 44.8 -- 4.1 ↑ -- -- 46.7 -- 53.1 6.4 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 26.7 -- -4.4 ↓ -- -- 30.8 -- 22.6 -8.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 27.1 -- 3.0 ↑ -- -- 34.1 -- 27.7 -6.4 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 62.0 -- -1.9 ↓ -- -- 60.7 -- 58.5 -2.2 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 186 .353 118 12 10.2 68 32 47.1
2018 Shifts 214 .301 129 5 3.9 85 26 30.6
2019 Shifts 65 .367 44 2 4.5 21 12 57.1
2021 Shifts 83 .369 51 4 7.8 32 13 40.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2014 55 23.1 0.0% 0.0% 34 24.1 0.0% 8.8%
2015 153 24.9 4.6% 15.0% 78 27.7 5.1% 34.6%
2016 210 23.5 5.2% 12.9% 144 27.1 1.4% 31.3%
2018 222 22.6 0.0% 3.2% 141 25.4 0.0% 9.9%
2019 106 22.0 0.0% 2.8% 34 25.5 0.0% 14.7%
2021 69 20.8 0.0% 2.9% 62 24.6 0.0% 11.3%
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Pitch Distribution

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