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Justin Miller
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 225LBS | Age: 34

Draft: 2008 | Rd: 16, #483, Texas Rangers | Fresno State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 0 6.16 23 0 1 19.0 13 1.37
6 Seasons 14 5 4.62 173 0 4 175.1 172 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 23 1-0 6.16 19.0 13 1.37
6 Seasons 173 14-5 4.62 175.1 172 1.27

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 527 80 5 6.3 88.4 108.9 15.6 38.8 .185 .322 .246 .258 .322 37.5 29.5 8.5 4.05 2.83
2016 29 771 126 8 6.3 90.5 112 15.6 37.3 .246 .431 .375 .334 .390 42.9 23.3 10.4 5.70 4.94
2018 31 885 136 14 10.3 88.1 110.9 19 32.4 .195 .390 .301 .284 .356 31.6 27.9 7.9 3.61 3.42
2019 32 275 48 6 12.5 89 114.3 25.8 29.2 .250 .505 .367 .346 .382 35.4 16.9 6.2 4.02 5.52
2021 34 295 62 6 9.7 91.7 113.5 19.1 38.7 .311 .589 .369 .407 .456 43.5 15.7 7.2 6.16 7.73
2753 452 39 8.6 89.4 114.3 18.2 35.4 .226 .423 .326 .314 .376 37.8 24.4 8.5
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.5%) ,
Slider
(27.8%) ,
Sinker
(19.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 155 91 64 52.5 92.8 49 43 14 8 1 0 5 9 35 .326 .349 .698 .749 .444 .474 95.4 20 2296 6.4 19.5 17.3
2021 Slider 82 56 26 27.8 82.9 14 12 3 3 0 0 0 2 11 .250 .199 .250 .241 .256 .230 79.9 19 2560 6.4 23.5 11.8
2021 Sinker 58 31 27 19.7 93.1 20 17 3 1 2 0 0 2 16 .176 .293 .294 .433 .253 .357 84.5 10 2204 6.4 12.9 18.2
2019 4-Seam Fastball 175 113 62 63.6 92.1 46 39 12 9 0 0 3 8 32 .308 .228 .538 .398 .397 .317 91.5 32 2405 6.3 25.8 17.0
2019 Slider 54 49 5 19.6 85.8 10 10 2 1 0 0 1 1 9 .200 .289 .500 .783 .281 .434 84.6 8 2648 5.8 16.7 5.9
2019 Sinker 43 20 23 15.6 92.4 8 8 2 1 0 0 1 2 6 .250 .338 .625 .739 .351 .443 83.6 15 2349 6.4 12.5 18.2
2019 Changeup 3 2 1 1.1 88.3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 80.0 69 2092 6.2 0.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 37.5 20 31.3 11.3 33.8 37.5 28.7 2.5 27.5 32.5 20 7.5 6.3
2016 34.9 23.8 35.7 5.6 34.9 37.3 27.8 4 26.2 28.6 24.6 5.6 6.3
2018 35.3 38.2 18.4 8.1 36 43.4 20.6 2.2 25 39.7 17.6 4.4 10.3
2019 22.9 39.6 20.8 16.7 33.3 35.4 31.3 4.2 16.7 43.8 10.4 10.4 12.5
2021 33.9 33.9 24.2 8.1 50 35.5 14.5 8.1 17.7 30.6 25.8 8.1 9.7
34.1 30.5 26.5 8.8 36.9 38.7 24.3 3.8 23.9 34.5 20.4 6.4 8.6
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider STL R 82 82.9 39.8 0.8 2 9.3 3 48
2021 4-Seamer STL R 155 92.8 15.7 -0.7 -5 3.6 -3.1 -46
2021 Sinker STL R 58 93.1 19 -1.8 -9 12.8 -1.7 -11
2019 Sinker WSH R 43 92.4 16.6 -5.2 -24 13.5 -0.8 -5
2019 Changeup WSH R 3 88.3 20.5 -8.1 -28 12.5 -1.3 -10
2019 4-Seamer WSH R 175 92.1 14.7 1.4 9 7.2 0.3 5
2019 Slider WSH R 54 85.8 33.5 -1.8 -5 7.1 2.9 70
2018 Slider WSH R 241 86.1 37.1 2.3 7 7.5 3.3 78
2018 Sinker WSH R 70 94.3 17.4 -2.6 -13 13.2 -1 -7
2018 Changeup WSH R 16 89.5 22.4 -4.4 -16 13.5 -0.1 -1
2018 4-Seamer WSH R 558 93.9 14.3 0.9 6 4.4 -2.6 -37
2016 Changeup COL R 1 88.2 20.3 -5.4 -21 12.9 -0.4 -3
2016 Sinker COL R 7 95.4 12.5 -4.8 -28 13.1 -1.7 -11
2016 4-Seamer COL R 472 93.8 13 0.3 2 7.9 -0.4 -5
2016 Slider COL R 245 86 30.7 -0.8 -3 3.4 1.2 58
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Slider -1.6 -1 82 27.8 14 .25 .25 .262 23.5 14.3 11.8 .199 .241 .231 18.2
2021 Sinker -5.1 -3 58 19.7 20 .176 .294 .253 12.9 10 18.2 .293 .433 .354 43.8
2021 4-Seamer 5 8 155 52.5 49 .326 .698 .448 19.5 18.4 17.3 .349 .749 .475 51.4
2019 Changeup -5.5 0 3 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019 Sinker -0.5 0 43 15.6 8 .25 .625 .363 12.5 25 18.2 .338 .739 .443 33.3
2019 Slider 1 1 54 19.6 10 .2 .5 .29 16.7 10 5.9 .289 .783 .433 33.3
2019 4-Seamer 2 3 175 63.6 46 .308 .538 .407 25.8 17.4 17 .228 .398 .317 37.5
2018 Changeup 5.1 1 16 1.8 6 .333 .333 .3 0 0 0 .242 .272 .231 0
2018 Sinker -4.5 -3 70 7.9 13 0 0 .054 11.8 15.4 11.8 .095 .122 .142 20
2018 Slider -0.3 -1 241 27.2 70 .242 .419 .328 25.2 18.6 16 .23 .355 .289 27.5
2018 4-Seamer -1.4 -8 558 63.1 125 .221 .469 .323 29.1 36 22.3 .184 .445 .3 39.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 4-Seam Fastball 155 92.8 81 16 12:45 12:30 15
2021 Sinker 56 93.1 81 18 12:45 1:30 -45
2021 Slider 82 82.9 50 10.2 9:00 8:45 15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 53 193 0 3 0 0 5
2015 129 527 -7 -4 2 2 -7
2016 193 771 5 -3 7 4 12
2018 214 885 -10 -11 7 3 -11
2019 65 275 -2 0 3 2 4
2021 83 295 1 -2 3 1 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 527 55.4 72.6 76.4 26.4 54.8 39.7 62 52 28.1 9.5 80
2016 771 50.8 69.9 78.5 22.4 61.2 41.5 60.1 46.6 25.3 9.2 84.5
2018 885 53.4 73.2 75.1 30.8 66.1 42 60.5 53.4 26.4 9.3 79.3
2019 275 46.9 70.5 78 22.6 75.8 39.6 58.5 45.1 22.6 9.8 81.5
2021 295 48.8 72.2 88.5 28.5 62.8 41.7 59 49.8 19 10.8 90.6
2753 51.9 71.8 77.9 26.5 63.4 41.2 60.3 50 25.3 9.5 82.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 80 86
2016 66 70
2018 73 92 49 10 93 56 4 58 78 82 55 61 73 69 89
2019 38 80
2021 43 57
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23 5 4.3 1 0 4 1 20
2021 25.1 5 5.5 -1 1 0 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 3 3 4 5 2 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5 4 3 4 5 5
2021 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 -1.1 93.9 -1.7 undefined undefined
Offspeed Velocity 88.8 -0.6 89.5 -1.2 undefined undefined
Breaking Velocity 87.2 -1.3 86.1 -0.3 undefined undefined
Exit Velocity 88.4 2.1 88.1 0.9 undefined undefined
Launch Angle 15.6 0 19 6.8 undefined undefined
Barrel % 6.3 0 10.3 2.2 undefined undefined
Hard Hit % 37.5 5.4 31.6 3.8 undefined undefined
Sweet Spot % 38.8 -1.5 32.4 -3.2 undefined undefined
xBA .185 0.061 .195 0.055 undefined undefined
BA .178 0.12 .218 0.058 undefined undefined
xwOBA .258 0.076 .284 0.062 undefined undefined
wOBA .246 0.129 .301 0.066 undefined undefined
xSLG .322 0.109 .39 0.115 undefined undefined
SLG .305 0.207 .42 0.114 undefined undefined
K% 29.5 -6.2 27.9 -11 undefined undefined
BB% 8.5 1.9 7.9 -1.7 undefined undefined
Swing % 52 -5.4 53.4 -8.3 undefined undefined
Whiff% 28.1 -2.8 26.4 -3.8 undefined undefined
In Zone % 55.4 -4.6 53.4 -6.5 undefined undefined
Out of Zone % 44.6 4.6 46.6 6.5 undefined undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 26.4 -4 30.8 -8.2 undefined undefined
First Pitch Swing % 27.1 3 34 -6.3 undefined undefined
First Pitch Strike % 62 -1.9 60.5 -2 undefined undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 186 .353 118 10 8.5 68 28 41.2
2018 214 .301 129 3 2.3 85 20 23.5
2019 65 .367 44 2 4.5 21 12 57.1
2021 83 .369 51 4 7.8 32 10 31.3

Pitch Distribution