Justin Miller
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 225LBS | Age: 35

Draft: 2008 | Rd: 16, #483, Texas Rangers | Fresno State
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 15.00 5 0 0 3.0 4 2.00
6 Seasons 14 5 4.62 173 0 4 175.1 172 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 5 0-0 15.00 3.0 4 2.00
6 Seasons 173 14-5 4.62 175.1 172 1.27

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 527 80 5 6.3 3.9 88.4 108.9 15.6 38.8 .190 .330 .246 .264 .334 37.5 29.5 8.5 4.05 2.83
2016 29 771 126 8 6.3 4.1 90.5 112.0 15.6 37.3 .255 .448 .375 .344 .410 42.9 23.3 10.4 5.70 5.10
2018 31 885 136 14 10.3 6.5 88.1 110.9 19.0 32.4 .196 .395 .301 .286 .358 31.6 27.9 7.9 3.61 3.42
2019 32 275 48 6 12.5 9.2 89.0 114.3 25.8 29.2 .250 .505 .367 .346 .382 35.4 16.9 6.2 4.02 5.41
2021 34 295 62 6 9.7 7.2 91.7 113.5 19.1 38.7 .311 .590 .369 .407 .457 43.5 15.7 7.2 6.16 7.67
Player 2753 452 39 8.6 5.7 89.4 114.3 18.2 35.4 .230 .431 .326 .318 .384 37.8 24.4 8.5
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.5%) ,
Slider
(27.8%) ,
Sinker
(19.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 37.5 20.0 31.3 11.3 33.8 37.5 28.7 2.5 27.5 32.5 20.0 7.5 6.3 3.9
2016 34.9 23.8 35.7 5.6 34.9 37.3 27.8 4.0 26.2 28.6 24.6 5.6 6.3 4.1
2018 35.3 38.2 18.4 8.1 36.0 43.4 20.6 2.2 25.0 39.7 17.6 4.4 10.3 6.5
2019 22.9 39.6 20.8 16.7 33.3 35.4 31.3 4.2 16.7 43.8 10.4 10.4 12.5 9.2
2021 33.9 33.9 24.2 8.1 50.0 35.5 14.5 8.1 17.7 30.6 25.8 8.1 9.7 7.2
Player 34.1 30.5 26.5 8.8 36.9 38.7 24.3 3.8 23.9 34.5 20.4 6.4 8.6 5.7
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Sinker STL R 58 93.1 19.0 -1.8 -9 12.8 -1.6 -11
2021 4-Seamer STL R 155 92.8 15.7 -0.7 -5 3.6 -3.1 -46
2021 Slider STL R 82 82.9 39.8 0.8 2 9.3 3.0 48
2019 Sinker WSH R 43 92.4 16.6 -5.2 -24 13.5 -0.8 -5
2019 4-Seamer WSH R 175 92.1 14.7 1.4 9 7.2 0.3 5
2019 Slider WSH R 54 85.8 33.5 -1.8 -5 7.1 2.9 70
2019 Changeup WSH R 3 88.3 20.5 -8.0 -28 12.5 -1.4 -10
2018 Changeup WSH R 16 89.5 22.4 -4.4 -16 13.5 -0.1 -1
2018 Slider WSH R 241 86.1 37.1 2.3 7 7.5 3.3 78
2018 Sinker WSH R 70 94.3 17.4 -2.6 -13 13.2 -1.0 -7
2018 4-Seamer WSH R 558 93.9 14.3 0.9 6 4.4 -2.6 -37
2016 Changeup COL R 1 88.2 20.3 -5.4 -21 12.9 -0.4 -3
2016 Slider COL R 244 86.1 30.8 -0.8 -3 3.4 1.2 58
2016 4-Seamer COL R 473 93.8 13.0 0.3 2 7.9 -0.4 -5
2016 Sinker COL R 7 95.4 12.5 -4.8 -28 13.1 -1.7 -11
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer 4.9 8 155 52.5 49 .326 .698 .448 19.5 18.4 17.3 .349 .750 .475 51.4
2021 Slider -1.6 -1 82 27.8 14 .250 .250 .262 23.5 14.3 11.8 .199 .241 .231 18.2
2021 Sinker -5.2 -3 58 19.7 20 .176 .294 .253 12.9 10.0 18.2 .293 .433 .354 43.8
2019 4-Seamer 1.9 3 175 63.6 46 .308 .538 .407 25.8 17.4 17.0 .228 .398 .317 37.5
2019 Slider 0.8 0 54 19.6 10 .200 .500 .290 16.7 10.0 5.9 .289 .783 .433 33.3
2019 Sinker -0.6 0 43 15.6 8 .250 .625 .363 12.5 25.0 18.2 .338 .739 .443 33.3
2019 Changeup -5.5 0 3 1.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 0.0
2018 4-Seamer -1.4 -8 558 63.1 125 .221 .469 .323 29.1 36.0 22.3 .184 .445 .300 39.1
2018 Slider -0.4 -1 241 27.2 70 .242 .419 .328 25.2 18.6 16.0 .231 .370 .294 27.5
2018 Sinker -4.7 -3 70 7.9 13 .000 .000 .054 11.8 15.4 11.8 .095 .122 .142 20.0
2018 Changeup 5.1 1 16 1.8 6 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .243 .272 .231 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 4-Seam Fastball 155 92.8 81 16.0 12:45 12:30 15
2021 Sinker 56 93.1 81 18.0 12:45 1:30 -45
2021 Slider 82 82.9 50 10.2 9:00 8:45 15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 53 193 0 3 0 0 4
2015 129 527 -7 -4 2 2 -7
2016 193 771 5 -4 7 4 12
2018 214 885 -10 -11 7 3 -11
2019 65 275 -2 0 3 2 3
2021 83 295 1 -2 3 1 3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 527 55.4 72.6 76.4 26.4 54.8 39.7 62.0 52.0 28.1 9.5 80.0
2016 771 51.0 70.0 78.5 22.2 60.7 41.6 60.1 46.6 25.3 9.2 84.5
2018 885 53.4 73.2 75.1 30.8 66.1 42.0 60.7 53.4 26.4 9.3 79.3
2019 275 46.9 70.5 78.0 22.6 75.8 39.6 58.5 45.1 22.6 9.8 81.5
2021 295 48.8 72.2 88.5 28.5 62.8 41.7 59.0 49.8 19.0 10.8 90.6
Player 2,753 52.0 71.8 77.9 26.4 63.3 41.2 60.4 50.0 25.3 9.5 82.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 81 86
2016 67 69
2018 74 92 47 8 92 56 4 56 79 82 55 61 74 69 90
2019 38 79
2021 45 57
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.9 6 4.1 2 1 4 2 33.3
2018 23.0 10 10.2 0 4 4 7 70.0
2019 23.0 5 4.5 1 0 3 2 40.0
2021 25.1 5 5.0 0 1 2 3 60.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 6 5 5 3 5 4 3 5 4 3 5 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 3 5 5 2 3 5 4 5 5 3 3 3 6
2018 10 10 11 10 10 11 9 11 10 11 10 11 9 10 10 10 10 11 10 10 10 10 10 11 10 10 11 9 10 8 12
2019 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 4 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 3 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5
2021 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.9 -1.1 93.9 -1.7
Offspeed Velocity 88.8 -0.6 89.5 -1.2
Breaking Velocity 87.2 -1.2 86.1 -0.3
Exit Velocity 88.4 2.1 88.1 0.9
Launch Angle 15.6 0 19 6.8
Barrel % 6.3 0 10.3 2.2
Hard Hit % 37.5 5.4 31.6 3.8
Sweet Spot % 38.8 -1.5 32.4 -3.2
xBA .19 0.065 .196 0.054
BA .178 0.12 .218 0.058
xwOBA .264 0.08 .286 0.06
wOBA .246 0.129 .301 0.066
xSLG .33 0.118 .395 0.11
SLG .305 0.207 .42 0.114
K% 29.5 -6.2 27.9 -11
BB% 8.5 1.9 7.9 -1.7
Swing % 52 -5.4 53.4 -8.3
Whiff% 28.1 -2.8 26.4 -3.8
In Zone % 55.4 -4.4 53.4 -6.5
Out of Zone % 44.6 4.4 46.6 6.5
Out of Zone Swing % 26.4 -4.2 30.8 -8.2
First Pitch Swing % 27.1 3 34.1 -6.4
First Pitch Strike % 62 -1.9 60.7 -2.2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 186 .353 118 10 8.5 68 28 41.2
2018 214 .301 129 3 2.3 85 20 23.5
2019 65 .367 44 2 4.5 21 12 57.1
2021 83 .369 51 4 7.8 32 10 31.3

Pitch Tempo