P | Pittsburgh Pirates
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 213 lbs | Age: 31
Draft: 2015 | Rd. 12, No. 347, Colorado Rockies | Daytona State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 7 3.72 69 0 11 75 78 1.35
2024 4 4 6.49 56 0 2 59.2 45 1.78
2025 1 0 0.51 17 0 0 17.2 23 0.96
5 Seasons 13 12 5.02 199 0 14 211.2 211 1.56
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 69 4-7 3.72 75 78 1.35
2024 56 4-4 6.49 59.2 45 1.78
2025 17 1-0 0.51 17.2 23 0.96
5 Seasons 199 13-12 5.02 211.2 211 1.56
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 26 326 50 2 4.0 2.3 91.2 112.6 6.9 36.0 .246 .338 .390 .353 .351 42.0 19.8 22.1 8.64 5.48
2022 27 763 120 5 4.2 2.6 87.8 109.2 5.9 30.0 .222 .324 .327 .293 .334 39.2 25.1 11.5 5.70 3.54
2023 28 1183 205 11 5.4 3.4 89.5 109.4 7.8 32.2 .222 .333 .303 .299 .337 39.0 23.9 11.0 3.72 3.74
2024 29 1081 194 15 7.7 5.4 90.0 115.3 5.7 32.5 .299 .454 .387 .376 .399 42.3 16.1 11.8 6.49 6.25
2025 30 270 36 5 13.9 7.2 86.2 109.7 13.0 30.6 .174 .302 .224 .263 .334 25.0 33.3 11.6 0.51 2.84
Player 3623 605 38 6.3 4.0 89.3 115.3 7.0 32.1 .243 .365 .335 .323 .357 39.5 22.2 12.4
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lawrence relies on 3 pitches.
Sweeper
(50.0%) ,
Sinker
(40.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(9.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 52.0 48.0 16.0 30.0 2.0 34.0 44.0 22.0 22.0 22.0 8.0 12.0 22.0 14.0
2022 51.7 48.3 20.8 23.3 4.2 40.0 38.3 21.7 20.8 22.5 8.3 19.2 15.8 13.3
2023 48.8 51.2 18.5 26.3 6.3 35.1 32.2 32.7 19.5 17.1 12.2 15.6 15.1 20.5
2024 52.6 47.4 18.6 27.3 1.5 41.2 33.5 25.3 24.2 19.6 8.8 17.0 13.9 16.5
2025 47.2 52.8 22.2 19.4 11.1 30.6 47.2 22.2 22.2 22.2 2.8 8.3 25.0 19.4
Player 50.7 49.3 19.0 26.0 4.3 37.7 35.7 26.6 21.7 19.7 9.4 16.0 16.0 17.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 6.0 40.0 16.0 26.0 8.0 4.0 2.3
2022 6.7 39.2 18.3 22.5 9.2 4.2 2.6
2023 4.9 36.6 20.5 23.4 8.3 5.4 3.4
2024 4.6 36.1 16.0 29.9 5.2 7.7 5.4
2025 2.8 44.4 25.0 13.9 0.0 13.9 7.2
Player 5.1 37.7 18.5 25.0 6.9 6.3 4.0
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sinker PIT R 110 95.0 31.4 3.5 17.0ARM -0.1 -0.9 8.3 17.0ARM 1.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 25 94.9 21.0 -2.6 12.7ARM 0.2 9.4 -6.4 12.7ARM 5.1
2025 Sweeper PIT R 135 83.0 36.4 -1.3 16.3GLV 2.5 3.6 -2.5 16.3GLV 2.4
2024 Sinker COL R 629 94.6 30.9 1.4 14.5ARM -1.1 -0.4 7.6 14.5ARM -0.4
2024 Sweeper COL R 444 83.0 36.0 -1.1 14.2GLV 0.3 3.6 -2.1 14.2GLV 0.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball COL R 8 95.1 25.0 -6.7 12.7ARM 0.3 5.0 -10.7 12.7ARM 5.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Sweeper 2.7 4 135 50.0 38 .086 .114 .154 40.0 44.7 27.0 .119 .139 .178 0.0
2025 Sinker 0.9 1 110 40.7 23 .263 .368 .348 18.2 17.4 50.0 .228 .366 .333 40.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 0 25 9.3 5 .250 .500 .390 23.1 20.0 10.0 .443 1.502 .780 100.0
2024 Sinker -2.8 -18 629 58.2 178 .392 .629 .493 16.5 6.2 11.0 .354 .542 .439 50.0
2024 Sweeper 0.1 0 444 41.1 98 .182 .250 .235 30.8 33.7 17.4 .215 .318 .268 22.8
2024 4-Seam Fastball -6.9 -1 8 0.7 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 20.0 .165 .184 .153 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 4-Seam Fastball 25 94.9 79 16.0 2:15 2:00 15
2025 Sinker 107 95.0 79 18.2 2:15 3:15 -60
2025 Sweeper 134 83.0 54 17.4 8:30 9:15 -45
2024 Sinker 607 94.6 79 15.4 2:15 3:15 -60
2024 Sweeper 429 82.9 51 15.3 8:45 9:15 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 85 326 2 -2 -2 -2 -4
2022 191 763 0 4 -4 -3 -3
2023 322 1,183 10 7 -7 -6 4
2024 278 1,081 -10 8 -8 -8 -18
2025 66 270 4 4 -1 -2 5
Player 942 3,623 5 21 -23 5 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 326 42.3 55.8 88.3 19.1 44.4 40.8 56.5 34.7 25.7 7.1 73.9
2022 763 50.5 62.1 84.9 24.6 50.5 42.3 61.3 43.5 24.7 8.4 68.8
2023 1,183 51.6 57.5 84.6 24.8 54.2 42.3 61.3 41.7 24.1 7.8 79.3
2024 1,081 48.1 64.4 85.1 23.9 58.2 39.8 53.8 43.4 22.6 7.6 76.8
2025 270 45.6 56.9 87.1 28.6 42.9 39.6 53.7 41.5 29.5 7.4 65.0
Player 3,623 49.0 60.4 85.3 24.2 52.8 41.2 58.1 41.9 24.3 7.8 74.7
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 96 78 46
2022 71 65 29
2023 67 76 87 87 36 74 85 37 51 53 17 36 10 75 70 20
2024 1 1 9 42 1 54 49 19 18 5 8 26 6 59 76 33
2025 62 76 47
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.16 3 3.1 0 3 3 1 33.3
2023 22.69 5 4.6 0 3 4 1 20.0
2024 23.11 9 7.0 2 2 5 3 33.3
2025 -- 0 0.3 0 1 1 0 --
Player 23.53 17 15.0 2 9 13 5 29.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 3 1 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 7 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 2 5 4 2 2 5 4 3 2 2
2023 5 2 4 6 5 4 5 4 7 4 5 6 5 3 5 4 4 4 5 6 4 5 7 4 4 4 6 5 4 5 3
2024 9 7 4 7 8 9 9 7 6 6 7 8 8 6 8 6 7 7 5 9 7 6 8 8 5 7 6 9 7 7 6
2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Player 17 10 11 16 16 16 18 15 15 12 14 21 17 14 16 14 15 15 13 18 15 13 21 17 11 13 17 18 15 14 11
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .153 -.160 .313 +.078 .235 -.030 .265 -.068 .333
xBA .174 -.125 .299 +.077 .222 .000 .222 -.024 .246
OBP .275 -.133 .408 +.074 .334 -.017 .351 -.120 .471
xOBP .294 -.105 .399 +.071 .328 +.012 .316 -.103 .419
SLG .220 -.265 .485 +.131 .354 -.032 .386 -.027 .413
xSLG .302 -.152 .454 +.121 .333 +.009 .324 -.014 .338
ISO .068 -.104 .172 +.053 .119 -.001 .120 +.041 .079
xISO .128 -.027 .155 +.043 .112 +.010 .102 +.011 .091
BABIP .250 -.100 .350 +.045 .305 -.045 .350 -.079 .429
wOBA .224 -.163 .387 +.084 .303 -.024 .327 -.063 .390
xwOBA .263 -.113 .376 +.077 .299 +.006 .293 -.060 .353
wOBACON .262 -.153 .415 +.072 .343 -.045 .388 -.026 .414
xwOBACON .334 -.065 .399 +.062 .337 +.003 .334 -.017 .351
BACON .250 -.130 .380 +.058 .322 -.045 .367 -.062 .429
xBACON .286 -.081 .367 +.056 .311 -.001 .312 -.027 .339
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 25.0 -17.3 42.3 +3.3 39.0 -0.2 39.2 -2.8 42.0
Avg Exit Velocity 86.2 -3.8 90.0 +0.5 89.5 +1.7 87.8 -3.4 91.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.6 -1.9 32.5 +0.3 32.2 +2.2 30.0 -6.0 36.0
Barrel % 13.9 +6.2 7.7 +2.3 5.4 +1.2 4.2 +0.2 4.0
Avg Launch Angle 13.0 +7.3 5.7 -2.1 7.8 +1.9 5.9 -1.0 6.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 70.8 +0.3 70.5 +0.5 70.0 -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 11° +2° 10° -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 36.7 -6.7 43.4 +2.7 40.7 -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -7° -6° +3° -3° -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 36° +1° 34° +1° 34° -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.5 +0.2 7.3 0.0 7.3 -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.0 +0.4 94.6 -0.8 95.4 +0.3 95.1 -2.3 97.4
Breaking Velocity 83.0 0.0 83.0 -0.8 83.8 +1.5 82.3 +0.5 81.8
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 5 -10 15 +4 11 +6 5 +3 2
Popup % 11.1 +9.6 1.5 -4.8 6.3 +2.1 4.2 +2.2 2.0
Flyball % 22.2 +3.6 18.6 +0.1 18.5 -2.3 20.8 +4.8 16.0
Line Drive % 19.4 -7.9 27.3 +1.0 26.3 +3.0 23.3 -6.7 30.0
Groundball % 47.2 -5.4 52.6 +3.8 48.8 -2.9 51.7 -0.3 52.0
Pull % 30.6 -10.6 41.2 +6.1 35.1 -4.9 40.0 +6.0 34.0
Straight Away % 47.2 +13.7 33.5 +1.3 32.2 -6.1 38.3 -5.7 44.0
Opposite Field % 22.2 -3.1 25.3 -7.4 32.7 +11.0 21.7 -0.3 22.0
Weak Contact % 2.8 -1.8 4.6 -0.3 4.9 -1.8 6.7 +0.7 6.0
Pull Airball % 8.3 -8.7 17.0 +1.4 15.6 -3.6 19.2 +7.2 12.0
Topped Contact % 44.4 +8.3 36.1 -0.5 36.6 -2.6 39.2 -0.8 40.0
Under Contact % 25.0 +9.0 16.0 -4.5 20.5 +2.2 18.3 +2.3 16.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 13.9 -16.0 29.9 +6.5 23.4 +0.9 22.5 -3.5 26.0
Solid Contact % 0.0 -5.2 5.2 -3.1 8.3 -0.9 9.2 +1.2 8.0
HR/FB % 0.0 -25.0 25.0 +11.8 13.2 +1.2 12.0 +12.0 0.0
Popups 4 +1 3 -10 13 +8 5 +4 1
Flyballs 8 -28 36 -2 38 +13 25 +17 8
Line Drives 7 -46 53 -1 54 +26 28 +13 15
Groundballs 17 -85 102 +2 100 +38 62 +36 26
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.6 -2.5 48.1 -3.5 51.6 +1.1 50.5 +8.2 42.3
Out of Zone % 54.4 +2.5 51.9 +3.5 48.4 -1.1 49.5 -8.2 57.7
Edge % 39.6 -0.2 39.8 -2.5 42.3 0.0 42.3 +1.5 40.8
Zone Swing % 56.9 -7.5 64.4 +6.9 57.5 -4.6 62.1 +6.3 55.8
Out of Zone Swing % 28.6 +4.7 23.9 -0.9 24.8 +0.2 24.6 +5.5 19.1
In Zone Contact % 87.1 +2.0 85.1 +0.5 84.6 -0.3 84.9 -3.4 88.3
Out of Zone Contact % 42.9 -15.3 58.2 +4.0 54.2 +3.7 50.5 +6.1 44.4
Whiff % 29.5 +6.9 22.6 -1.5 24.1 -0.6 24.7 -1.0 25.7
First Strike % 53.7 -0.1 53.8 -7.5 61.3 0.0 61.3 +4.8 56.5
First Pitch Swing % 25.4 -2.6 28.0 -0.5 28.5 -0.3 28.8 +5.3 23.5
Swing % 41.5 -1.9 43.4 +1.7 41.7 -1.8 43.5 +8.8 34.7
Meatball Swing % 65.0 -11.8 76.8 -2.5 79.3 +10.5 68.8 -5.1 73.9
Meatball % 7.4 -0.2 7.6 -0.2 7.8 -0.6 8.4 +1.3 7.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.9 -2.0 14.9 -0.5 15.4 +0.3 15.1 +3.4 11.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 57.1 +15.3 41.8 -4.0 45.8 -3.7 49.5 -6.1 55.6
In Zone 123 -397 520 -90 610 +225 385 +247 138
Out of Zone 147 -414 561 -12 573 +195 378 +190 188
Edge 107 -323 430 -71 501 +178 323 +190 133
In Zone Swings 70 -265 335 -16 351 +112 239 +162 77
Out of Zone Swings 42 -92 134 -8 142 +49 93 +57 36
In Zone Swing & Misses 9 -41 50 -4 54 +18 36 +27 9
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 24 -32 56 -9 65 +19 46 +26 20
Basic
Pitches 270 -811 1,081 -102 1,183 +420 763 +437 326
PA 69 -210 279 -47 326 +135 191 +105 86
AB 59 -174 233 -44 277 +111 166 +103 63
Hits 9 -64 73 +8 65 +21 44 +23 21
Singles 5 -47 52 +7 45 +14 31 +15 16
Doubles 4 -7 11 -1 12 +3 9 +4 5
Triples 0 -1 1 -2 3 +2 1 +1 0
Home Runs 0 -9 9 +4 5 +2 3 +3 0
Walks 8 -25 33 -3 36 +14 22 +3 19
Strikeouts 23 -22 45 -33 78 +30 48 +31 17
K% 33.3 +17.2 16.1 -7.8 23.9 -1.2 25.1 +5.3 19.8
BB% 11.6 -0.2 11.8 +0.8 11.0 -0.5 11.5 -10.6 22.1
HBP 2 -5 7 0 7 +6 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 36 -158 194 -11 205 +85 120 +70 50
Number of Fastballs 135 -502 637 +30 607 +186 421 +209 212
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Number of Breaking 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 85 .390 53 0 0.0 32 11 34.4
2022 Shifts 185 .338 97 11 11.3 88 23 26.1
2023 Shades 321 .301 176 2 1.1 145 51 35.2
2024 Shades 278 .387 164 0 0.0 114 43 37.7
2025 Shades 66 .227 39 0 0.0 27 1 3.7
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 76 21.8 0.0% 2.6% 105 26.1 0.0% 20.0%
2022 186 18.7 7.0% 1.1% 193 22.8 0.0% 6.2%
2023 308 16.1 32.1% 0.3% 274 19.6 4.7% 0.4%
2024 240 16.1 24.2% 2.1% 275 18.5 1.5% 0.4%
2025 84 17.3 6.0% 0.0% 47 18.9 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution