Justin Lawrence
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 213LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2015 | Rd: 12, #347, Colorado Rockies | Daytona State

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 2 2 3.07 24 0 0 29.1 32 1.13
3 Seasons 6 3 5.38 81 0 1 88.2 97 1.57
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 24 2-2 3.07 29.1 32 1.13
3 Seasons 81 6-3 5.38 88.2 97 1.57

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 26 326 50 2 4.0 2.3 91.2 112.6 6.9 36.0 .247 .339 .390 .354 .352 42.0 19.8 22.1 8.64 5.47
2022 27 763 120 5 4.2 2.6 87.8 109.2 5.9 30.0 .223 .325 .327 .293 .335 39.2 25.1 11.5 5.70 3.54
2023 28 424 75 3 4.0 2.5 90.9 107.5 6.3 25.3 .200 .297 .262 .263 .308 38.7 26.9 10.1 3.07 2.76
Player 1513 245 10 4.1 2.5 89.4 112.6 6.2 29.8 .220 .319 .321 .297 .330 39.6 24.5 13.4
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lawrence relies on 2 pitches.
Sweeper
(51.9%) ,
Sinker
(48.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 52.0 16.0 30.0 2.0 34.0 44.0 22.0 6.0 40.0 16.0 26.0 8.0 4.0 2.3
2022 51.7 20.8 23.3 4.2 40.0 38.3 21.7 6.7 39.2 18.3 22.5 9.2 4.2 2.6
2023 54.7 18.7 21.3 5.3 26.7 34.7 38.7 5.3 40.0 21.3 21.3 6.7 4.0 2.5
Player 52.7 19.2 24.1 4.1 34.7 38.4 26.9 6.1 39.6 18.8 22.9 8.2 4.1 2.5
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker COL R 204 95.2 31.6 1.2 4 15.6 -0.7 -4
2023 Sweeper COL R 220 84.3 33.1 0.5 2 13.8 0.6 4
2022 Sinker COL R 421 95.1 29.3 1.7 6 16.5 0.3 2
2022 Sweeper COL R 341 82.3 36.1 -0.3 -1 14.5 -0.2 -1
2021 Sweeper COL R 113 81.8 42.4 2.8 7 14.2 -0.9 -6
2021 Sinker COL R 212 97.4 26.1 3.6 16 16.6 0.0 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sweeper -3.7 -8 220 51.9 62 .102 .136 .123 36.7 45.2 34.1 .140 .220 .172 25.0
2023 Sinker 1.5 3 204 48.1 57 .333 .511 .441 7.2 7.0 15.4 .276 .395 .365 48.8
2022 Sinker -0.1 -1 421 55.2 99 .337 .410 .384 13.1 8.1 11.1 .306 .426 .371 49.4
2022 Sweeper 1.5 5 341 44.7 92 .193 .361 .280 37.2 43.5 24.5 .139 .224 .212 20.9
2021 Sinker 3.4 7 212 65.0 54 .412 .500 .469 11.8 5.6 13.6 .318 .448 .448 45.7
2021 Sweeper 0.5 1 114 35.0 31 .241 .310 .271 46.7 45.2 35.0 .164 .211 .197 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Sinker 209 97.4 85 17.5 2:00 2:45 -45
2021 Sweeper 110 81.9 65 15.2 8:15 8:30 -15
2022 Sinker 409 95.1 88 17.3 2:15 3:00 -45
2022 Sweeper 334 82.3 51 15.8 8:45 9:30 -45
2023 Sinker 198 95.2 85 16.5 2:30 3:15 -45
2023 Sweeper 212 84.3 45 15.2 8:45 9:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 85 326 2 2 2 2 8
2022 191 762 -1 -2 3 3 5
2023 119 424 -4 -5 3 1 -5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 326 42.3 55.8 87.0 19.1 44.4 40.8 56.5 34.7 25.7 7.1 73.9
2022 763 50.5 62.1 84.1 24.6 49.5 42.3 61.3 43.5 24.4 8.4 68.8
2023 424 54.7 54.3 87.3 24.5 51.1 43.2 70.6 40.8 22.5 9.7 75.6
Player 1,513 49.9 58.5 85.5 23.2 48.9 42.2 63.0 40.8 24.1 8.5 71.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 96 74 45
2022 74 62 28
2023 90 87 90 87 83 76 88 17 52 71 31 26 18 77 58 22
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 26.2 3 3.1 0 3 3 1 33.3
2023 21.5 1 0.9 0 1 2 0 0.0
Player 25.0 4 4.0 0 4 5 1 25.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2022 3 1 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 2 2 7 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 2 5 4 2 1 5 4 3 2 2
2023 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 0 3 0 0 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 1
Player 4 1 3 5 5 4 5 3 5 2 2 10 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 6 3 3 8 4 2 1 7 5 3 3 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.4 95.1 -2.3 ↓ 95.2 0.1 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 81.8 82.3 0.5 ↑ 84.3 2.0 ↑
Exit Velocity 91.2 87.8 -3.4 ↓ 90.9 3.1 ↑
Launch Angle 6.9 5.9 -1.0 ↓ 6.3 0.4 ↑
Barrel % 4.0 4.2 0.2 ↑ 4.0 -0.2 ↓
Hard Hit % 42.0 39.2 -2.8 ↓ 38.7 -0.5 ↓
Sweet Spot % 36.0 30.0 -6.0 ↓ 25.3 -4.7 ↓
xBA .247 .223 -0.024 ↓ .200 -0.023 ↓
BA .333 .265 -0.068 ↓ .202 -0.063 ↓
xwOBA .354 .293 -0.061 ↓ .263 -0.030 ↓
wOBA .390 .327 -0.063 ↓ .262 -0.065 ↓
xSLG .339 .325 -0.014 ↓ .297 -0.028 ↓
SLG .413 .386 -0.027 ↓ .298 -0.088 ↓
K% 19.8 25.1 5.3 ↑ 26.9 1.8 ↑
BB% 22.1 11.5 -10.6 ↓ 10.1 -1.4 ↓
Swing % 34.7 43.5 8.8 ↑ 40.8 -2.7 ↓
Whiff% 25.7 24.4 -1.3 ↓ 22.5 -1.9 ↓
In Zone % 42.3 50.5 8.2 ↑ 54.7 4.2 ↑
Out of Zone % 57.7 49.5 -8.2 ↓ 45.3 -4.2 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 19.1 24.6 5.5 ↑ 24.5 -0.1 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 23.5 28.8 5.3 ↑ 28.6 -0.2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 56.5 61.3 4.8 ↑ 70.6 9.3 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 85 .390 53 0 0.0 32 11 34.4
2022 185 .338 97 11 11.3 88 23 26.1
2023 119 .262 68 0 0.0 51 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 76 21.8 0.0% 2.6% 105 26.1 0.0% 20.0%
2022 186 18.7 7.0% 1.1% 193 22.8 0.0% 6.2%
2023 58 15.0 48.3% 0.0% 41 18.6 7.3% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution