Josiah Gray
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 210LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2018 | Rd: CB-B, #72, Cincinnati Reds | Le Moyne College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 2 5.48 14 13 0 70.2 76 1.36
2022 7 10 5.02 28 28 0 148.2 154 1.36
2023 8 13 3.91 30 30 0 159 143 1.46
3 Seasons 17 25 4.64 72 71 0 378.1 373 1.40
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 14 2-2 5.48 70.2 76 1.36
2022 28 7-10 5.02 148.2 154 1.36
2023 30 8-13 3.91 159 143 1.46
3 Seasons 72 17-25 4.64 378.1 373 1.40
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 23 1213 196 24 12.2 7.8 88.3 110.9 22.1 32.1 .219 .454 .348 .325 .393 36.2 24.8 10.7 5.48 4.51
2022 24 2597 420 45 10.7 6.9 87.4 111.4 19.7 33.6 .219 .419 .350 .319 .372 36.9 23.7 10.2 5.03 4.25
2023 25 2812 466 44 9.4 6.3 87.6 111.6 16.8 35.0 .253 .430 .332 .342 .380 36.7 20.5 11.5 3.91 4.99
Player 6622 1082 113 10.4 6.8 87.7 111.6 18.9 33.9 .233 .430 .342 .330 .379 36.7 22.6 10.8
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Gray relies on 7 pitches.
Slider
(24.6%) ,
Cutter
(17.8%) ,
Sinker
(17.2%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(17%) ,
Curveball
(16.2%) ,
Sweeper
(5.5%) ,
Changeup
(1.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 32.7 33.2 19.4 14.8 35.2 34.7 30.1 8.2 20.4 35.7 15.3 8.2 12.2 7.8
2022 34.0 33.6 21.7 10.7 41.9 34.5 23.6 7.1 22.9 33.1 19.3 6.4 10.7 6.9
2023 38.0 27.7 24.5 9.9 43.3 30.9 25.8 4.5 27.5 30.5 23.4 4.5 9.4 6.3
Player 35.5 31.0 22.5 11.1 41.3 33.0 25.7 6.2 24.4 32.4 20.3 5.9 10.4 6.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup WSH R 45 88.6 26.1 -6.1 -19 13.4 -2.5 -16
2023 Sinker WSH R 483 93.1 18.5 -6.8 -27 14.7 -0.5 -3
2023 Slider WSH R 693 85.9 30.9 -4.7 -13 1.0 -3.7 -78
2023 Cutter WSH R 500 88.8 26.1 0.0 0 0.8 -1.5 -199
2023 Sweeper WSH R 156 81.9 38.9 -0.9 -2 9.0 -5.0 -36
2023 4-Seamer WSH R 479 93.5 15.9 0.2 1 11.3 2.5 28
2023 Curveball WSH R 455 82.2 44.1 -2.3 -5 1.7 -7.3 -82
2022 Curveball WSH R 641 82.7 45.4 -1.7 -4 2.0 -4.6 -70
2022 Changeup WSH R 72 88.1 25.3 -6.6 -21 16.2 0.3 2
2022 Slider WSH R 751 85.8 31.6 -3.4 -10 1.6 -2.7 -62
2022 Sinker WSH R 103 94.8 16.7 -7.2 -30 15.5 -0.2 -1
2022 Cutter WSH R 13 87.4 29.6 -2.5 -9 0.6 0.0 4
2022 4-Seamer WSH R 1,007 94.4 13.0 2.1 14 10.0 1.4 16
2021 4-Seamer WSH R 625 94.6 12.8 2.9 19 9.5 1.0 12
2021 Curveball WSH R 307 83.8 42.0 -3.7 -8 1.5 -6.3 -80
2021 Changeup WSH R 40 89.2 22.2 -8.6 -28 14.2 -1.6 -10
2021 Slider WSH R 240 85.7 31.8 -3.7 -10 1.3 -4.3 -77
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Slider 0.3 2 693 24.6 187 .239 .405 .330 34.8 23.5 20.8 .256 .432 .345 33.6
2023 Cutter 1.5 7 500 17.8 133 .243 .461 .349 20.5 20.3 16.1 .241 .496 .354 44.4
2023 Sinker -0.5 -3 483 17.2 116 .313 .385 .383 13.8 11.2 10.7 .313 .469 .399 38.6
2023 4-Seamer -0.5 -2 479 17.0 97 .291 .557 .418 20.2 11.3 10.8 .270 .491 .391 42.0
2023 Curveball 0.0 0 456 16.2 99 .221 .358 .266 34.9 29.3 19.3 .224 .349 .263 30.3
2023 Sweeper 2.3 4 156 5.5 50 .163 .233 .232 42.9 34.0 23.9 .173 .269 .251 25.9
2023 Changeup -0.5 0 45 1.6 15 .286 .357 .310 10.0 13.3 22.2 .251 .307 .272 25.0
2022 4-Seamer -2.1 -21 1,011 38.9 233 .300 .732 .481 17.0 8.6 10.1 .260 .630 .430 45.3
2022 Slider 1.3 10 752 29.0 221 .191 .321 .257 38.5 35.7 28.4 .181 .263 .221 28.5
2022 Curveball 0.1 1 645 24.8 150 .185 .326 .257 32.2 34.7 21.7 .195 .330 .273 27.1
2022 Sinker -2.2 -2 103 4.0 28 .364 .591 .446 11.6 7.1 8.3 .293 .488 .397 57.1
2022 Changeup -7.2 -5 72 2.8 12 .600 1.500 .838 4.8 0.0 0.0 .421 .826 .560 50.0
2022 Cutter 8.5 1 13 0.5 4 .000 .000 .175 14.3 25.0 20.0 .079 .081 .228 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -8 626 51.6 172 .282 .620 .423 17.8 14.5 15.2 .270 .606 .409 41.5
2021 Curveball -0.6 -2 307 25.3 70 .185 .415 .293 47.1 47.1 31.1 .149 .282 .230 31.3
2021 Slider 1.4 3 240 19.8 53 .176 .314 .227 45.7 34.0 18.6 .154 .263 .198 27.3
2021 Changeup -2.1 -1 40 3.3 9 .286 .429 .356 9.1 0.0 0.0 .304 .367 .349 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 45 88.6 97 16.0 1:45 2:00 -15
2023 Curveball 425 82.1 32 6.5 7:45 6:30 75
2023 Cutter 475 88.8 62 7.7 1:00 12:15 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 467 93.5 99 19.0 1:15 1:15 0
2023 Sinker 480 93.1 99 19.7 1:15 1:45 -30
2023 Slider 671 85.8 33 5.3 12:45 11:30 75
2023 Sweeper 156 81.9 35 10.0 7:45 9:00 -75
2022 Changeup 72 88.1 99 19.3 2:00 2:00 0
2022 Curveball 633 82.7 38 8.1 7:30 6:30 60
2022 Cutter 13 87.4 30 5.3 12:45 12:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,000 94.4 99 20.2 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Sinker 103 94.8 98 20.9 1:15 1:45 -30
2022 Slider 730 85.8 25 5.0 12:15 11:15 60
2021 Changeup 40 89.2 99 18.7 1:45 1:45 0
2021 Curveball 307 83.8 24 5.5 7:30 6:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 626 94.6 100 19.9 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 240 85.7 25 4.5 12:30 11:15 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 304 1,213 -4 9 -4 -7 -7
2022 648 2,596 3 11 -20 -11 -17
2023 697 2,812 14 28 -19 -15 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,213 44.7 72.0 81.0 31.1 45.9 40.0 63.5 49.4 30.2 6.8 75.9
2022 2,597 46.3 64.8 80.8 27.5 56.1 41.7 57.8 44.8 26.9 6.7 75.3
2023 2,812 45.2 69.2 81.7 27.6 56.7 42.6 59.9 46.4 26.1 6.7 78.2
Player 6,622 45.5 68.0 81.2 28.2 54.3 41.7 59.7 46.3 27.2 6.7 76.6
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 33 75 21 3 58 32 3 60 68 59 20 78 80 70 57 44 2
2022 32 71 24 5 47 3 6 75 60 57 17 61 26 59 48 49 4
2023 20 33 30 32 13 6 25 78 66 31 12 50 34 38 22 35 8
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.5 19 20.5 -2 3 21 6 31.6
2022 23.8 38 33.0 5 9 26 12 31.6
2023 24.0 22 22.9 -1 8 18 10 45.5
Player 23.8 79 76.3 3 20 65 28 35.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 19 24 18 19 21 22 25 20 13 13 17 24 19 15 22 25 18 19 23 23 19 19 29 20 20 16 26 24 20 21 20
2022 38 30 28 33 35 33 34 31 25 30 30 35 36 32 34 35 32 33 30 33 33 31 43 37 29 29 35 41 38 34 30
2023 22 19 18 21 24 23 25 19 21 18 21 24 24 19 27 27 26 20 24 26 24 23 32 28 19 18 23 24 29 23 17
Player 79 73 64 73 80 78 84 70 59 61 68 83 79 66 83 87 76 72 77 82 76 73 104 85 68 63 84 89 87 78 67
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.6 94.3 -0.3 91.8 -2.5
Offspeed Velocity 89.2 88.1 -1.1 88.6 0.5
Breaking Velocity 84.6 84.4 -0.2 84.1 -0.3
Exit Velocity 88.3 87.4 -0.9 87.6 0.2
Launch Angle 22.1 19.7 -2.4 16.8 -2.9
Barrel % 12.2 10.7 -1.5 9.4 -1.3
Hard Hit % 36.2 36.9 0.7 36.7 -0.2
Sweet Spot % 32.1 33.6 1.5 35.0 1.4
xBA .219 .219 0.000 .253 0.034
BA .238 .239 0.001 .251 0.012
xwOBA .325 .319 -0.006 .342 0.023
wOBA .348 .350 0.002 .332 -0.018
xSLG .454 .419 -0.035 .430 0.011
SLG .506 .489 -0.017 .412 -0.077
K% 24.8 23.7 -1.1 20.5 -3.2
BB% 10.7 10.2 -0.5 11.5 1.3
Swing % 49.4 44.8 -4.6 46.4 1.6
Whiff% 30.2 26.9 -3.3 26.1 -0.8
In Zone % 44.7 46.3 1.6 45.2 -1.1
Out of Zone % 55.3 53.7 -1.6 54.8 1.1
Out of Zone Swing % 31.1 27.5 -3.6 27.6 0.1
First Pitch Swing % 36.5 30.0 -6.5 32.4 2.4
First Pitch Strike % 63.5 57.8 -5.7 59.9 2.1
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 287 .334 157 35 22.3 130 94 72.3
2022 Shifts 648 .350 369 59 16.0 279 191 68.5
2023 Shades 697 .332 351 3 0.9 346 29 8.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 379 19.8 4.7% 4.0% 151 27.9 0.0% 29.8%
2022 835 19.7 4.7% 2.8% 398 26.9 0.0% 20.9%
2023 717 16.7 22.2% 0.1% 515 21.9 0.0% 0.6%
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Pitch Distribution