Josiah Gray
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 1" 210LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2018 | Rd: CB-B, #72, Cincinnati Reds | Le Moyne College

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 5 3.09 12 12 0 67.0 55 1.42
3 Seasons 13 17 4.68 54 53 0 286.1 285 1.37
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 12 4-5 3.09 67.0 55 1.42
3 Seasons 54 13-17 4.68 286.1 285 1.37

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 23 1213 196 24 12.2 7.8 88.3 110.9 22.1 32.1 .219 .454 .348 .325 .393 36.2 24.8 10.7 5.48 4.51
2022 24 2597 420 45 10.7 6.9 87.4 111.4 19.7 33.6 .219 .419 .350 .319 .372 36.9 23.7 10.2 5.03 4.25
2023 25 1148 200 16 8.0 5.5 87.9 111.0 12.1 32.5 .251 .407 .321 .330 .358 37.0 19.0 11.4 3.09 4.49
Player 4958 816 85 10.4 6.8 87.8 111.4 18.3 33.0 .226 .425 .342 .323 .374 36.8 22.9 10.6
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Gray relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(29.6%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(28%) ,
Cutter
(19.5%) ,
Curveball
(19.2%) ,
Sinker
(3.6%) ,
Changeup
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 32.7 33.2 19.4 14.8 35.2 34.7 30.1 8.2 20.4 35.7 15.3 8.2 12.2 7.8
2022 34.0 33.6 21.7 10.7 41.9 34.5 23.6 7.1 22.9 33.1 19.3 6.4 10.7 6.9
2023 43.5 25.5 24.0 7.0 45.0 28.0 27.0 4.5 31.0 28.0 23.5 4.5 8.0 5.5
Player 36.0 31.5 21.7 10.8 41.1 33.0 26.0 6.7 24.3 32.5 19.4 6.4 10.4 6.8
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.6 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker WSH R 41 93.5 18.5 -6.2 -25 16.3 0.7 5
2023 Cutter WSH R 224 89.0 25.6 0.5 2 0.0 -1.2 -102
2023 Curveball WSH R 220 82.5 44.3 -1.9 -4 1.1 -6.8 -86
2023 Changeup WSH R 2 89.2 26.6 -5.2 -16 14.6 -1.9 -11
2023 4-Seamer WSH R 321 93.6 15.8 -0.1 -1 11.7 2.3 25
2023 Slider WSH R 340 86.1 30.5 -4.5 -13 0.7 -3.4 -82
2022 Curveball WSH R 641 82.7 45.4 -1.7 -4 2.0 -4.7 -70
2022 4-Seamer WSH R 1,015 94.4 13.0 2.1 14 10.0 1.4 17
2022 Changeup WSH R 72 88.1 25.3 -6.6 -21 16.2 0.3 2
2022 Sinker WSH R 95 94.7 17.0 -6.9 -29 15.7 0.1 0
2022 Slider WSH R 764 85.8 31.6 -3.4 -10 1.6 -2.6 -63
2021 4-Seamer WSH R 625 94.6 12.8 2.9 19 9.5 1.0 12
2021 Changeup WSH R 40 89.2 22.2 -8.6 -28 14.2 -1.6 -10
2021 Slider WSH R 240 85.7 31.8 -3.7 -10 1.3 -4.3 -77
2021 Curveball WSH R 307 83.8 42.0 -3.7 -8 1.5 -6.3 -80
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Slider -1.6 -5 340 29.6 101 .213 .337 .292 31.8 21.8 19.6 .244 .366 .313 29.9
2023 4-Seamer 0.8 3 321 28.0 65 .308 .558 .430 21.8 12.3 12.9 .279 .503 .401 42.2
2023 Cutter -1.9 -4 224 19.5 53 .255 .447 .331 23.9 18.9 14.7 .255 .486 .348 47.4
2023 Curveball -1.5 -3 220 19.2 56 .226 .302 .255 25.3 23.2 17.8 .230 .338 .269 35.0
2023 Sinker -0.9 0 41 3.6 13 .273 .273 .315 14.3 7.7 9.1 .279 .320 .328 30.0
2023 Changeup -12.3 0 2 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 -- 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2022 4-Seamer 2.1 22 1,019 39.2 234 .304 .738 .485 17.1 8.5 10.1 .260 .629 .429 45.1
2022 Slider -1.4 -11 765 29.5 225 .189 .316 .256 38.0 35.6 28.3 .179 .261 .221 28.0
2022 Curveball -0.1 -1 645 24.8 150 .185 .326 .257 32.2 34.7 21.7 .195 .330 .273 27.1
2022 Sinker 1.3 1 95 3.7 27 .333 .524 .417 10.0 7.4 8.3 .300 .491 .403 60.0
2022 Changeup 7.2 5 72 2.8 12 .600 1.500 .838 4.8 0.0 0.0 .421 .826 .560 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 1.2 8 626 51.6 172 .282 .620 .423 17.8 14.5 15.2 .270 .606 .409 41.5
2021 Curveball 0.6 2 307 25.3 70 .185 .415 .293 47.1 47.1 31.1 .149 .282 .230 31.3
2021 Slider -1.4 -3 240 19.8 53 .176 .314 .227 45.7 34.0 18.6 .154 .263 .198 27.3
2021 Changeup 2.1 1 40 3.3 9 .286 .429 .356 9.1 0.0 0.0 .304 .367 .349 12.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 40 89.2 99 18.7 1:45 1:45 0
2021 Curveball 307 83.8 24 5.5 7:30 6:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 626 94.6 100 19.9 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 240 85.7 25 4.5 12:30 11:15 75
2022 Changeup 72 88.1 99 19.3 2:00 2:00 0
2022 Curveball 633 82.7 38 8.1 7:30 6:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,008 94.4 99 20.2 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Sinker 95 94.7 98 20.9 1:15 1:45 -30
2022 Slider 743 85.8 25 5.0 12:15 11:15 60
2023 Curveball 192 82.4 34 6.7 7:45 6:15 90
2023 Cutter 200 89.0 59 8.0 12:45 12:00 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 310 93.6 99 19.2 1:15 1:15 0
2023 Sinker 39 93.5 98 20.7 1:15 1:45 -30
2023 Slider 318 86.1 32 5.4 12:45 11:45 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 304 1,213 4 -9 4 7 7
2022 648 2,596 -3 -11 20 11 17
2023 289 1,148 -13 -12 8 6 -11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,213 44.7 72.0 81.0 31.1 45.9 40.0 63.5 49.4 30.2 6.8 75.9
2022 2,597 46.3 64.8 80.8 27.5 56.1 41.7 57.8 44.8 26.9 6.7 75.3
2023 1,148 46.5 69.1 80.5 27.2 59.9 42.3 56.6 46.7 25.7 6.7 79.2
Player 4,958 46.0 67.5 80.8 28.3 54.2 41.4 58.9 46.3 27.5 6.7 76.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 33 75 21 3 58 32 3 60 68 59 20 78 80 73 53 44 2
2022 32 72 24 5 47 3 6 75 60 57 17 61 26 64 44 48 4
2023 39 41 48 53 27 10 50 70 62 24 20 49 37 26 12 32 5
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.5 19 20.5 -2 3 21 6 31.6
2022 23.8 38 33.0 5 9 26 12 31.6
2023 23.9 8 7.7 0 3 8 2 25.0
Player 23.7 65 61.1 4 15 55 20 30.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 19 24 18 19 21 22 25 20 13 13 17 24 19 15 22 25 18 19 23 23 19 19 29 20 20 16 26 24 20 21 20
2022 38 30 28 33 35 33 34 31 25 30 30 35 36 32 34 35 32 33 30 33 33 31 43 37 29 29 35 41 38 34 30
2023 8 4 6 8 7 9 7 6 7 5 7 8 10 6 8 9 8 6 11 9 9 8 11 10 4 6 8 10 11 7 6
Player 65 58 52 60 63 64 66 57 45 48 54 67 65 53 64 69 58 58 64 65 61 58 83 67 53 51 69 75 69 62 56
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.6 94.4 -0.2 ↓ 91.9 -2.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 89.2 88.1 -1.1 ↓ 89.2 1.1 ↑
Breaking Velocity 84.6 84.4 -0.2 ↓ 84.7 0.3 ↑
Exit Velocity 88.3 87.4 -0.9 ↓ 87.9 0.5 ↑
Launch Angle 22.1 19.7 -2.4 ↓ 12.1 -7.6 ↓
Barrel % 12.2 10.7 -1.5 ↓ 8.0 -2.7 ↓
Hard Hit % 36.2 36.9 0.7 ↑ 37.0 0.1 ↑
Sweet Spot % 32.1 33.6 1.5 ↑ 32.5 -1.1 ↓
xBA .219 .219 0.000 .251 0.032 ↑
BA .238 .239 0.001 ↑ .245 0.006 ↑
xwOBA .325 .319 -0.006 ↓ .330 0.011 ↑
wOBA .348 .350 0.002 ↑ .321 -0.029 ↓
xSLG .454 .419 -0.035 ↓ .407 -0.012 ↓
SLG .506 .489 -0.017 ↓ .391 -0.098 ↓
K% 24.8 23.7 -1.1 ↓ 19.0 -4.7 ↓
BB% 10.7 10.2 -0.5 ↓ 11.4 1.2 ↑
Swing % 49.4 44.8 -4.6 ↓ 46.7 1.9 ↑
Whiff% 30.2 26.9 -3.3 ↓ 25.7 -1.2 ↓
In Zone % 44.7 46.3 1.6 ↑ 46.5 0.2 ↑
Out of Zone % 55.3 53.7 -1.6 ↓ 53.5 -0.2 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 31.1 27.5 -3.6 ↓ 27.2 -0.3 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 36.5 30.0 -6.5 ↓ 31.7 1.7 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 63.5 57.8 -5.7 ↓ 56.6 -1.2 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 287 .334 157 32 20.4 130 87 66.9
2022 648 .350 369 52 14.1 279 174 62.4
2023 289 .321 142 0 0.0 147 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 379 19.8 4.7% 4.0% 151 27.9 0.0% 29.8%
2022 835 19.7 4.7% 2.8% 398 26.9 0.0% 20.9%
2023 128 15.7 36.7% 0.0% 93 20.8 0.0% 1.1%
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Pitch Distribution