Joe Musgrove
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2011 | Rd: C-A, #46, Toronto Blue Jays | Grossmont (CA) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 10 7 2.93 30 30 0 181 184 1.08
2023 10 3 3.05 17 17 0 97.1 97 1.14
2024 2 2 6.29 5 5 0 24.1 20 1.77
9 Seasons 62 59 3.78 192 166 2 980.2 969 1.18
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 30 10-7 2.93 181 184 1.08
2023 17 10-3 3.05 97.1 97 1.14
2024 5 2-2 6.29 24.1 20 1.77
9 Seasons 192 62-59 3.78 980.2 969 1.18
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 23 980 182 11 6.0 4.3 89.3 111.8 11.4 35.7 .253 .422 .324 .315 .371 40.7 21.5 6.3 4.07 4.19
2017 24 1760 331 20 6.0 4.3 86.7 112.1 9.9 36.3 .256 .432 .338 .319 .379 32.7 21.3 6.1 4.77 4.39
2018 25 1628 355 18 5.1 3.7 87.8 111.2 10.6 32.7 .231 .365 .295 .283 .331 34.1 20.6 4.7 4.06 3.35
2019 26 2657 512 33 6.4 4.6 88.9 112.0 11.7 31.6 .250 .424 .309 .308 .367 38.7 21.9 5.4 4.44 4.17
2020 27 673 93 5 5.4 3.0 85.1 107.1 12.4 32.3 .195 .309 .308 .275 .358 32.3 33.1 9.6 3.86 3.16
2021 28 2938 473 34 7.2 4.5 87.8 109.9 11.6 33.8 .236 .387 .284 .304 .378 38.5 27.1 7.2 3.18 3.89
2022 29 2834 499 30 6.0 4.1 86.4 111.2 11.7 34.7 .225 .350 .292 .282 .341 32.5 24.9 5.7 2.93 3.27
2023 30 1550 272 14 5.1 3.5 87.5 111.9 11.1 32.4 .225 .342 .295 .274 .326 33.5 24.3 5.3 3.05 3.11
2024 31 411 76 5 6.6 4.5 89.7 109.3 13.3 43.4 .348 .526 .397 .426 .478 38.2 17.9 9.8 6.29 8.09
Player 15431 2793 170 6.1 4.2 87.7 112.1 11.3 33.9 .239 .388 .305 .300 .360 35.6 23.7 6.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Musgrove relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(23.6%) ,
Curveball
(21.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(19.7%) ,
Cutter
(18.5%) ,
Changeup
(9.2%) ,
Sinker
(7.3%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 42.9 23.1 28.0 6.0 35.2 41.2 22.5 2.2 35.2 24.2 25.3 7.1 6.0 4.3
2017 46.5 21.5 26.9 5.1 38.4 36.9 24.5 4.8 34.7 23.3 23.3 5.7 6.0 4.3
2018 47.9 22.5 22.3 7.3 40.3 35.5 24.2 4.5 35.8 24.5 23.4 5.4 5.1 3.7
2019 44.9 24.6 24.2 6.3 38.7 39.3 22.1 2.7 35.0 25.0 23.8 6.6 6.4 4.6
2020 47.3 19.4 24.7 8.6 36.6 38.7 24.7 6.5 35.5 20.4 22.6 7.5 5.4 3.0
2021 45.0 26.8 22.0 6.1 39.1 38.3 22.6 4.2 31.3 24.1 27.5 5.1 7.2 4.5
2022 45.9 22.8 22.8 8.4 38.9 36.7 24.4 6.8 32.9 24.0 23.0 6.6 6.0 4.1
2023 46.0 24.6 23.9 5.5 43.0 35.3 21.7 4.4 36.4 25.4 23.2 5.5 5.1 3.5
2024 39.5 23.7 32.9 3.9 46.1 31.6 22.4 1.3 28.9 19.7 38.2 5.3 6.6 4.5
Player 45.6 23.7 24.1 6.6 39.3 37.4 23.2 4.4 34.0 24.1 24.6 6.0 6.1 4.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Changeup SD R 38 86.4 34.1 3.6 12 14.8 0.4 3
2024 Curveball SD R 89 81.1 58.3 6.3 12 11.5 4.9 74
2024 4-Seam Fastball SD R 81 92.2 18.6 -3.5 -23 4.4 -2.1 -33
2024 Slider SD R 97 81.4 46.3 5.2 13 17.1 10.3 150
2024 Cutter SD R 76 89.8 23.8 1.6 6 2.3 -0.8 -26
2024 Sinker SD R 30 92.4 24.3 3.0 14 9.6 -4.7 -33
2023 Slider SD R 225 82.2 46.1 5.7 14 11.7 4.8 70
2023 Sinker SD R 84 92.8 25.2 4.1 19 10.5 -3.7 -26
2023 Changeup SD R 176 87.1 32.0 2.2 7 13.0 -1.1 -8
2023 Curveball SD R 370 81.3 56.4 4.4 9 11.1 4.7 73
2023 4-Seam Fastball SD R 379 93.1 18.8 -3.7 -24 3.6 -2.9 -45
2023 Cutter SD R 316 90.1 25.7 0.1 0 2.7 0.2 8
2022 Cutter SD R 552 90.1 24.5 1.0 4 1.5 -0.7 -32
2022 Changeup SD R 178 86.5 32.8 3.7 13 11.4 -2.2 -16
2022 Slider SD R 696 82.9 41.9 2.6 7 12.7 6.4 101
2022 4-Seam Fastball SD R 679 92.9 18.3 -3.5 -24 4.2 -2.3 -35
2022 Sinker SD R 192 92.4 22.9 1.9 9 12.4 -1.3 -9
2022 Curveball SD R 536 81.3 55.5 3.4 7 9.6 3.3 52
2021 Curveball SD R 698 82.1 54.7 4.4 9 11.0 4.3 64
2021 Slider SD R 816 84.1 40.5 3.1 8 14.0 8.9 173
2021 Sinker SD R 150 93.2 24.8 4.1 20 10.5 -3.7 -26
2021 4-Seam Fastball SD R 597 93.3 18.6 -3.8 -26 5.0 -1.8 -26
2021 Changeup SD R 142 87.1 31.5 2.5 9 9.2 -4.7 -34
2021 Cutter SD R 535 90.6 24.9 -0.1 0 1.7 -0.8 -31
2020 Cutter PIT R 43 88.2 28.2 -1.1 -4 2.7 -0.3 -9
2020 Curveball PIT R 134 80.9 54.6 2.9 6 10.7 4.4 71
2020 Sinker PIT R 80 92.0 26.6 5.4 26 11.3 -2.7 -19
2020 Changeup PIT R 72 86.4 31.8 3.3 12 13.1 -0.1 -1
2020 Slider PIT R 163 82.5 41.9 2.2 5 13.5 7.9 140
2020 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 181 92.7 19.1 -4.1 -27 5.6 -0.8 -12
2019 Slider PIT R 586 83.2 40.4 0.9 2 11.6 6.5 130
2019 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 997 92.7 19.7 -3.9 -25 5.2 -1.6 -23
2019 Curveball PIT R 252 82.1 52.4 0.4 1 6.9 0.9 16
2019 Sinker PIT R 316 91.5 26.7 4.8 22 10.6 -3.0 -22
2019 Changeup PIT R 280 85.3 33.0 2.7 9 7.1 -5.6 -44
2019 Cutter PIT R 223 88.7 28.0 -0.2 -1 3.1 0.9 44
2018 Curveball PIT R 35 82.3 51.0 0.2 0 5.6 -0.7 -12
2018 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 521 93.5 18.4 -3.1 -20 4.5 -2.4 -35
2018 Changeup PIT R 227 85.4 32.7 2.5 8 9.7 -3.3 -26
2018 Sinker PIT R 289 92.0 26.3 4.7 22 10.5 -3.7 -26
2018 Cutter PIT R 251 89.4 27.3 -0.8 -3 3.2 1.0 48
2018 Slider PIT R 304 84.0 41.3 3.4 9 6.3 1.6 34
2017 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 713 93.1 18.5 -4.4 -31 6.2 -1.5 -20
2017 Cutter HOU R 83 90.4 25.6 -2.1 -9 1.6 -0.3 -15
2017 Changeup HOU R 170 84.3 33.8 5.3 19 13.0 -0.3 -2
2017 Sinker HOU R 143 91.6 27.6 7.1 35 13.1 -1.3 -9
2017 Curveball HOU R 166 81.1 55.3 4.4 9 7.9 1.5 24
2017 Slider HOU R 484 83.2 42.1 4.7 13 9.8 4.8 97
2016 Changeup HOU R 82 82.9 36.3 4.5 14 8.2 -4.1 -33
2016 Slider HOU R 349 82.3 42.9 3.7 9 15.7 9.4 148
2016 Sinker HOU R 75 90.6 28.2 5.9 27 8.8 -4.5 -34
2016 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 396 92.4 18.2 -2.1 -13 1.6 -5.4 -77
2016 Curveball HOU R 77 78.6 58.5 2.9 5 12.7 3.8 43
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Slider -0.9 -1 97 23.6 32 .200 .240 .305 29.7 21.9 24.1 .199 .266 .310 33.3
2024 Curveball -0.9 -1 89 21.7 18 .333 .556 .381 27.5 22.2 12.5 .400 .776 .497 57.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball -4.8 -4 81 19.7 18 .385 .615 .506 26.5 11.1 10.0 .390 .619 .505 36.4
2024 Cutter -0.2 0 76 18.5 23 .400 .400 .404 27.0 21.7 45.5 .393 .483 .422 26.7
2024 Changeup 0.4 0 38 9.2 12 .364 .636 .392 36.8 16.7 14.3 .365 .605 .443 50.0
2024 Sinker 1.9 1 30 7.3 9 .500 .500 .478 11.8 0.0 0.0 .497 .616 .503 25.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 8 379 24.5 101 .205 .273 .265 22.2 22.8 16.5 .217 .296 .277 27.3
2023 Curveball -0.1 0 370 23.9 88 .207 .329 .262 34.0 36.4 21.1 .198 .318 .254 37.3
2023 Cutter 2.1 7 316 20.4 69 .302 .429 .341 13.0 5.8 16.0 .298 .466 .349 31.7
2023 Slider -2.5 -6 225 14.5 66 .281 .594 .377 33.9 31.8 22.3 .191 .365 .247 39.5
2023 Changeup 1.2 2 176 11.4 47 .267 .333 .301 40.6 34.0 22.9 .214 .282 .234 34.5
2023 Sinker 2.7 2 84 5.4 27 .261 .261 .278 12.5 3.7 9.1 .275 .318 .299 34.8
2022 Slider 0.1 1 696 24.6 184 .222 .359 .290 35.9 31.5 21.4 .224 .345 .286 27.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 8 679 24.0 188 .222 .347 .273 24.1 30.3 23.6 .240 .374 .293 36.1
2022 Cutter 1.9 10 552 19.5 105 .229 .469 .330 14.9 5.7 15.0 .216 .381 .288 36.3
2022 Curveball 0.1 1 536 18.9 141 .198 .372 .308 32.4 34.8 22.5 .198 .290 .276 42.5
2022 Sinker 0.9 2 192 6.8 68 .313 .478 .366 8.1 5.9 14.8 .255 .413 .293 22.2
2022 Changeup -0.4 -1 178 6.3 53 .212 .327 .245 25.8 18.9 20.8 .213 .290 .229 23.8
2021 Slider 1.5 12 816 27.8 253 .160 .258 .234 36.6 36.0 25.1 .195 .305 .261 29.2
2021 Curveball 2.4 17 698 23.8 168 .126 .199 .196 35.9 37.5 28.0 .172 .252 .225 40.7
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -2 597 20.3 137 .319 .571 .419 20.8 21.2 19.2 .268 .495 .368 46.2
2021 Cutter 0.1 1 535 18.2 116 .294 .523 .358 21.9 10.3 18.5 .333 .558 .393 39.8
2021 Sinker -1.5 -2 150 5.1 36 .290 .484 .382 15.3 8.3 10.7 .276 .496 .382 39.3
2021 Changeup -1.6 -2 142 4.8 35 .250 .469 .317 27.1 14.3 11.9 .338 .512 .375 46.4
2020 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -2 181 26.9 43 .324 .676 .463 17.0 14.0 12.0 .293 .486 .380 37.5
2020 Slider 1.6 3 163 24.2 51 .178 .289 .259 50.6 54.9 32.6 .118 .169 .191 23.5
2020 Curveball 2.7 4 134 19.9 22 .050 .050 .105 53.2 59.1 31.7 .079 .136 .146 14.3
2020 Sinker 1.0 1 80 11.9 25 .250 .417 .336 10.9 12.0 15.8 .273 .382 .300 42.9
2020 Changeup -3.3 -2 72 10.7 15 .231 .462 .347 33.3 26.7 33.3 .215 .478 .346 22.2
2020 Cutter 1.2 0 43 6.4 10 .429 .571 .445 42.9 10.0 33.3 .221 .247 .390 28.6
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -9 997 37.5 235 .300 .536 .401 14.9 9.8 9.1 .295 .546 .379 39.7
2019 Slider 1.8 10 586 22.1 180 .174 .240 .215 39.1 40.6 26.9 .163 .246 .204 24.0
2019 Sinker -1.7 -5 316 11.9 87 .361 .542 .414 14.9 6.9 16.2 .343 .511 .378 51.9
2019 Changeup 0.7 2 280 10.5 81 .235 .432 .293 32.3 24.7 22.2 .237 .415 .273 42.6
2019 Curveball 0.3 1 252 9.5 68 .203 .422 .288 39.6 42.6 27.1 .187 .350 .253 48.6
2019 Cutter 0.0 0 223 8.4 65 .254 .525 .375 17.6 7.7 14.7 .295 .482 .359 31.5
2018 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 3 521 32.0 149 .225 .364 .307 15.7 16.8 19.4 .276 .452 .359 37.7
2018 Slider 0.5 1 304 18.7 94 .230 .345 .253 37.1 36.2 26.4 .172 .295 .228 33.9
2018 Sinker -1.1 -3 289 17.8 79 .355 .434 .380 11.1 3.8 10.0 .245 .335 .265 35.1
2018 Cutter -0.3 -1 251 15.4 73 .296 .493 .360 14.5 6.8 11.4 .281 .471 .331 30.3
2018 Changeup 1.8 4 227 13.9 83 .190 .342 .259 41.5 38.6 35.2 .162 .236 .191 28.6
2018 Curveball -1.1 0 35 2.1 5 .200 .400 .250 31.3 20.0 11.1 .191 .271 .203 50.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball -1.4 -10 713 40.5 182 .341 .641 .438 20.8 19.2 18.2 .301 .561 .384 42.5
2017 Slider 1.6 8 484 27.5 127 .183 .258 .227 29.4 26.8 18.7 .190 .279 .227 23.3
2017 Changeup -2.8 -5 170 9.7 42 .389 .667 .451 36.8 19.0 16.0 .302 .427 .340 18.8
2017 Curveball -0.7 -1 166 9.4 42 .211 .368 .318 35.1 35.7 19.2 .195 .311 .266 29.2
2017 Sinker 0.5 1 143 8.1 42 .263 .421 .333 14.3 7.1 9.4 .296 .563 .393 42.9
2017 Cutter 2.0 2 83 4.7 24 .273 .318 .272 23.4 12.5 14.3 .241 .280 .269 15.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 27 86.1 68 15.1 1:30 2:45 -75
2024 Curveball 75 81.0 83 22.0 7:15 7:00 15
2024 Cutter 66 89.6 47 9.7 12:15 11:30 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 70 92.1 66 14.0 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 27 92.5 67 13.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2024 Slider 78 81.3 67 19.1 7:45 8:15 -30
2023 Changeup 165 87.1 65 14.3 1:30 2:30 -60
2023 Curveball 362 81.3 83 21.0 7:30 7:15 15
2023 Cutter 298 90.1 45 7.7 12:15 11:15 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 359 93.0 66 12.9 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 84 92.8 66 12.4 1:00 2:15 -75
2023 Slider 207 82.1 66 14.8 8:00 8:00 0
2022 Changeup 174 86.5 67 12.4 1:30 2:30 -60
2022 Curveball 531 81.3 74 19.4 7:30 7:00 30
2022 Cutter 552 90.1 47 8.4 12:30 11:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 677 92.9 66 13.4 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Sinker 188 92.4 65 15.5 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 694 82.9 55 14.2 7:45 8:30 -45
2021 Changeup 140 87.1 62 10.6 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Curveball 682 82.1 77 20.1 7:30 7:15 15
2021 Cutter 526 90.6 39 7.7 12:30 11:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 593 93.3 63 13.3 1:15 12:45 30
2021 Sinker 149 93.2 64 12.7 1:00 2:15 -75
2021 Slider 804 84.1 57 15.3 7:45 8:30 -45
2020 Changeup 66 86.5 76 14.2 1:30 2:30 -60
2020 Curveball 132 80.9 75 18.9 7:30 7:15 15
2020 Cutter 39 88.2 33 6.6 12:30 11:00 90
2020 4-Seam Fastball 168 92.6 72 13.2 1:30 12:45 45
2020 Sinker 77 92.0 69 12.7 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Slider 155 82.5 57 14.7 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 256 980 5 0 -3 -2 0
2017 485 1,849 2 4 -6 -8 -8
2018 483 1,627 -1 15 -2 -8 5
2019 716 2,654 -11 27 -11 -7 -2
2020 166 673 0 9 -3 -3 3
2021 745 2,938 21 22 -7 -14 23
2022 813 3,120 4 47 -17 -11 23
2023 398 1,550 4 22 -7 -6 13
2024 112 411 3 1 -5 -4 -5
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 980 50.3 62.3 87.3 30.2 56.5 42.4 61.7 46.3 22.7 8.2 76.3
2017 1,760 51.7 68.5 80.9 31.9 57.9 43.6 64.1 50.9 25.5 9.3 79.9
2018 1,628 55.7 70.1 81.9 33.1 56.5 45.0 68.6 53.7 23.2 8.4 81.8
2019 2,657 51.2 70.1 83.7 32.8 54.1 45.3 65.6 51.9 24.5 8.0 78.2
2020 673 48.0 61.0 79.7 32.9 45.2 40.1 68.7 46.4 33.0 8.8 64.4
2021 2,938 49.1 63.4 81.1 30.9 46.8 41.2 60.8 46.9 29.3 7.6 65.0
2022 2,834 50.1 61.0 82.9 32.0 57.6 43.6 64.5 46.5 25.5 6.6 72.2
2023 1,550 48.5 64.2 84.2 35.5 55.6 44.3 64.7 49.4 26.0 6.8 72.6
2024 411 47.0 65.8 82.7 26.1 49.1 35.5 67.0 44.8 27.2 7.8 75.0
Player 15,431 50.6 65.5 82.6 32.2 53.8 43.2 64.5 49.0 26.0 7.8 74.1
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 46 41 36 35 60 65 49 28 6 56 75 46 66 36 73 60 40
2017 43 36 33 33 62 34 49 63 55 46 85 59 88 50 76 60 29
2018 77 59 66 69 81 44 74 65 63 40 94 39 93 50 71 38
2019 56 42 41 45 68 16 61 42 29 43 89 45 84 35 79 58 16
2020 81 86 88 82 76 56 70 93 79 90 39 84 88 37 79 71 14
2021 58 54 55 57 56 13 58 72 51 73 67 73 78 46 98 87 17
2022 75 66 69 69 76 21 74 90 89 65 82 51 75 31 99 81 23
2023 90 73 84 85 88 62 87 80 84 56 90 48 99 32 98 84 22
2024 2 1 10 30 2 15 53 32 50 25 40 61 37 23 97 82 12
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.7 9 10.3 -1 1 13 2 22.2
2017 22.8 21 17.3 4 12 9 10 47.6
2018 22.4 12 14.4 -2 6 11 6 50.0
2019 22.7 21 23.0 -2 11 22 7 33.3
2020 23.1 5 4.7 0 2 1 4 80.0
2021 23.8 22 22.9 -1 5 17 10 45.5
2022 23.0 23 21.9 1 7 21 6 26.1
2023 22.5 10 6.0 4 5 6 1 10.0
2024 22.1 3 2.2 1 3 3 0 0.0
Player 23.0 126 122.7 3 52 103 46 36.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 9 12 8 9 8 8 11 11 7 6 9 10 12 9 9 15 6 7 11 11 11 6 14 16 11 13 10 15 14 12 8
2017 21 18 16 19 19 15 19 18 16 14 18 22 15 16 16 17 17 15 19 18 18 18 21 18 16 14 18 21 18 17 12
2018 12 16 8 16 16 15 16 15 13 11 16 18 15 10 14 16 15 14 13 16 14 12 22 17 13 11 14 17 14 13 13
2019 21 30 20 22 24 24 25 22 14 15 19 21 29 22 24 25 20 20 21 26 26 26 32 28 23 20 16 25 29 24 18
2020 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 4
2021 22 24 18 22 23 22 26 25 17 19 20 23 24 21 25 26 22 22 25 24 23 22 27 26 22 22 26 25 24 21 21
2022 23 20 15 20 24 23 27 20 16 16 20 24 21 20 27 25 21 23 20 24 21 22 29 26 17 19 28 23 23 23 19
2023 10 6 4 5 7 6 7 5 7 4 6 10 4 5 8 6 6 5 7 8 5 5 8 6 4 4 6 6 6 7 8
2024 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 1 1 2 3 2 3 3 1 3 2 1 5 2 1 3 3 2 1 2 1 2 3 1
Player 126 133 96 119 127 121 138 124 95 90 114 136 127 111 131 135 115 113 122 137 125 117 162 145 113 108 124 138 135 125 104
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
+View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2016 2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.1 92.7 0.6 92.1 -0.6 91.9 -0.2 91.8 -0.1 92.2 0.4 91.8 -0.4 91.9 0.1 91.2 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 82.9 84.3 1.4 85.4 1.1 85.3 -0.1 86.4 1.1 87.1 0.7 86.5 -0.6 87.1 0.6 86.4 -0.7
Breaking Velocity 81.7 82.7 1.0 83.8 1.1 82.9 -0.9 81.8 -1.1 83.1 1.3 82.2 -0.9 81.7 -0.5 81.3 -0.4
Exit Velocity 89.3 86.7 -2.6 87.8 1.1 88.9 1.1 85.1 -3.8 87.8 2.7 86.4 -1.4 87.5 1.1 89.7 2.2
Launch Angle 11.4 9.9 -1.5 10.6 0.7 11.7 1.1 12.4 0.7 11.6 -0.8 11.7 0.1 11.1 -0.6 13.3 2.2
Barrel % 6.0 6.0 0.0 5.1 -0.9 6.4 1.3 5.4 -1.0 7.2 1.8 6.0 -1.2 5.1 -0.9 6.6 1.5
Hard Hit % 40.7 32.7 -8.0 34.1 1.4 38.7 4.6 32.3 -6.4 38.5 6.2 32.5 -6.0 33.5 1.0 38.2 4.7
Sweet Spot % 35.7 36.3 0.6 32.7 -3.6 31.6 -1.1 32.3 0.7 33.8 1.5 34.7 0.9 32.4 -2.3 43.4 11.0
xBA .253 .256 0.003 .231 -0.025 .250 0.019 .195 -0.055 .236 0.041 .225 -0.011 .225 0.000 .348 0.123
BA .250 .277 0.027 .253 -0.024 .254 0.001 .226 -0.028 .213 -0.013 .227 0.014 .247 0.020 .337 0.090
xwOBA .315 .319 0.004 .283