Joe Musgrove
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 230LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2011 | Rd: C-A, #46, Toronto Blue Jays | Grossmont (CA) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 10 7 2.93 30 30 0 181 184 1.08
2023 10 3 3.05 17 17 0 97.1 97 1.14
2024 6 5 3.88 19 19 0 99.2 101 1.17
9 Seasons 66 62 3.73 206 180 2 1,056 1,050 1.17
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 30 10-7 2.93 181 184 1.08
2023 17 10-3 3.05 97.1 97 1.14
2024 19 6-5 3.88 99.2 101 1.17
9 Seasons 206 66-62 3.73 1,056 1,050 1.17
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 23 980 182 11 6.0 4.3 89.3 111.8 11.4 35.7 .253 .422 .324 .315 .371 40.7 21.5 6.3 4.07 4.19
2017 24 1760 331 20 6.0 4.3 86.7 112.1 9.9 36.3 .256 .432 .338 .319 .379 32.7 21.3 6.1 4.77 4.39
2018 25 1628 355 18 5.1 3.7 87.8 111.2 10.6 32.7 .231 .365 .295 .283 .331 34.1 20.6 4.7 4.06 3.35
2019 26 2657 512 33 6.4 4.6 88.9 112.0 11.7 31.6 .250 .424 .309 .307 .366 38.7 21.9 5.4 4.44 4.14
2020 27 673 93 5 5.4 3.0 85.1 107.1 12.4 32.3 .195 .309 .308 .275 .357 32.3 33.1 9.6 3.86 3.16
2021 28 2938 473 34 7.2 4.5 87.8 109.9 11.6 33.8 .236 .387 .284 .304 .378 38.5 27.1 7.2 3.18 3.89
2022 29 2834 499 30 6.0 4.1 86.4 111.2 11.7 34.7 .224 .350 .292 .282 .340 32.5 24.9 5.7 2.93 3.27
2023 30 1550 272 14 5.1 3.5 87.5 111.9 11.1 32.4 .225 .342 .295 .274 .326 33.5 24.3 5.3 3.05 3.11
2024 31 1582 276 29 10.5 7.1 90.3 115.8 13.8 35.5 .248 .422 .317 .321 .393 40.6 24.6 5.6 3.88 4.34
Player 16602 2993 194 6.5 4.4 87.8 115.8 11.5 33.8 .237 .388 .304 .299 .360 36.0 24.0 6.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Musgrove relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(24.6%) ,
Curveball
(22.5%) ,
Cutter
(20.4%) ,
Sweeper
(20.0%) ,
Changeup
(7.8%) ,
Sinker
(4.4%) ,
Slider
(0.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 42.9 23.1 28.0 6.0 35.2 41.2 22.5 2.2 35.2 24.2 25.3 7.1 6.0 4.3
2017 46.5 21.5 26.9 5.1 38.4 36.9 24.5 4.8 34.7 23.3 23.3 5.7 6.0 4.3
2018 47.9 22.5 22.3 7.3 40.3 35.5 24.2 4.5 35.8 24.5 23.4 5.4 5.1 3.7
2019 44.9 24.6 24.2 6.3 38.7 39.3 22.1 2.7 35.0 25.0 23.8 6.6 6.4 4.6
2020 47.3 19.4 24.7 8.6 36.6 38.7 24.7 6.5 35.5 20.4 22.6 7.5 5.4 3.0
2021 45.0 26.8 22.0 6.1 39.1 38.3 22.6 4.2 31.3 24.1 27.5 5.1 7.2 4.5
2022 45.9 22.8 22.8 8.4 38.9 36.7 24.4 6.8 32.9 24.0 23.0 6.6 6.0 4.1
2023 46.0 24.6 23.9 5.5 43.0 35.3 21.7 4.4 36.4 25.4 23.2 5.5 5.1 3.5
2024 41.7 29.7 23.2 5.4 40.9 37.7 21.4 1.4 31.2 25.7 24.6 6.2 10.5 7.1
Player 45.4 24.3 23.8 6.5 39.3 37.6 23.1 4.2 33.9 24.4 24.2 6.0 6.5 4.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Cutter SD R 323 89.7 26.5 -0.6 3.0GLV 0.1 7.2 -1.1 3.0GLV 0.3
2024 Changeup SD R 124 87.1 32.7 2.2 12.7ARM -1.4 3.6 1.3 12.7ARM -1.5
2024 Curveball SD R 356 81.6 57.0 5.8 11.4GLV 4.5 -15.3 5.4 11.4GLV 2.0
2024 Sweeper SD R 317 82.1 45.0 4.2 16.9GLV 3.0 -3.8 5.4 16.9GLV 2.6
2024 Sinker SD R 69 92.6 26.1 4.7 9.9ARM -3.8 5.7 1.6 9.9ARM -4.9
2024 Slider SD R 4 86.4 29.9 -4.8 4.0GLV -0.2 6.6 -5.0 4.0GLV -1.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball SD R 389 93.0 19.0 -4.0 3.6ARM -3.1 12.6 -3.2 3.6ARM -3.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball SD R 379 93.1 18.8 -3.7 3.6ARM -2.9 12.7 -3.1 3.6ARM -3.8
2023 Slider SD R 225 82.2 46.1 5.7 11.7GLV 5.1 -5.3 6.8 11.7GLV 6.4
2023 Curveball SD R 370 81.3 56.4 4.4 11.1GLV 4.7 -14.4 4.5 11.1GLV 2.2
2023 Changeup SD R 176 87.1 32.0 2.2 13.0ARM -1.1 4.2 1.2 13.0ARM -1.4
2023 Cutter SD R 316 90.1 25.7 0.1 2.7GLV 0.2 7.9 0.0 2.7GLV 0.1
2023 Sinker SD R 84 92.8 25.2 4.1 10.5ARM -3.7 6.5 1.1 10.5ARM -4.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -5 389 24.6 95 .253 .494 .348 23.1 24.2 18.3 .272 .529 .370 48.4
2024 Curveball 0.9 3 356 22.5 78 .203 .319 .295 32.8 32.1 18.4 .224 .373 .308 47.7
2024 Cutter 1.0 3 323 20.4 88 .298 .405 .335 25.0 14.8 22.0 .266 .416 .312 28.2
2024 Sweeper 0.9 3 317 20.0 86 .169 .351 .260 33.8 34.9 27.5 .153 .271 .230 31.3
2024 Changeup -2.3 -3 124 7.8 37 .353 .618 .416 37.9 18.9 14.9 .313 .512 .383 46.4
2024 Sinker 2.8 2 69 4.4 25 .348 .435 .372 14.6 8.0 22.2 .394 .564 .436 57.1
2024 Slider 6.3 0 4 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2023 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 8 379 24.5 101 .205 .273 .265 22.2 22.8 16.5 .217 .296 .277 27.3
2023 Curveball -0.1 0 370 23.9 88 .207 .329 .262 34.0 36.4 21.1 .198 .318 .254 37.3
2023 Cutter 2.1 7 316 20.4 69 .302 .429 .341 13.0 5.8 16.0 .298 .466 .349 31.7
2023 Slider -2.5 -6 225 14.5 66 .281 .594 .377 33.9 31.8 22.3 .191 .365 .247 39.5
2023 Changeup 1.2 2 176 11.4 47 .267 .333 .301 40.6 34.0 22.9 .213 .281 .234 34.5
2023 Sinker 2.7 2 84 5.4 27 .261 .261 .278 12.5 3.7 9.1 .275 .318 .299 34.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 108 87.1 62 13.3 1:30 2:30 -60
2024 Curveball 331 81.6 84 21.7 7:15 7:00 15
2024 Cutter 290 89.8 41 8.0 12:00 11:00 60
2024 4-Seam Fastball 353 92.9 63 12.5 1:00 12:30 30
2024 Sinker 61 92.6 65 11.5 1:00 2:15 -75
2024 Sweeper 284 82.1 67 19.0 8:00 8:15 -15
2023 Changeup 165 87.1 65 14.3 1:30 2:30 -60
2023 Curveball 362 81.3 83 21.0 7:30 7:15 15
2023 Cutter 298 90.1 45 7.7 12:15 11:15 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 359 93.0 66 12.9 1:00 12:30 30
2023 Sinker 84 92.8 66 12.4 1:00 2:15 -75
2023 Slider 207 82.1 66 14.8 8:00 8:00 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 256 980 5 0 -3 -2 0
2017 485 1,849 2 4 -6 -8 -8
2018 483 1,627 -1 15 -2 -8 5
2019 716 2,654 -11 27 -11 -7 -2
2020 166 673 0 9 -3 -3 3
2021 745 2,938 21 22 -7 -14 23
2022 813 3,120 4 47 -17 -11 23
2023 398 1,550 4 22 -7 -6 13
2024 422 1,626 7 15 -9 -8 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 980 50.3 62.3 87.3 30.2 56.5 42.4 61.7 46.3 22.7 8.2 76.3
2017 1,760 51.7 68.5 80.9 31.9 57.9 43.6 64.1 50.9 25.7 9.3 79.9
2018 1,628 55.7 70.1 81.9 33.1 56.5 45.0 68.6 53.7 23.7 8.4 81.8
2019 2,657 51.2 70.1 83.7 32.8 54.1 45.3 65.6 51.9 24.6 8.0 78.2
2020 673 48.0 61.0 79.7 32.9 45.2 40.1 68.7 46.4 33.0 8.8 64.4
2021 2,938 49.1 63.4 81.1 30.9 46.8 41.2 60.8 46.9 30.0 7.6 65.0
2022 2,834 50.1 61.0 82.9 32.0 57.6 43.6 64.5 46.5 25.5 6.6 72.2
2023 1,550 48.5 64.2 84.2 35.5 55.6 44.3 64.7 49.4 26.0 6.8 72.6
2024 1,582 52.0 66.2 80.0 27.0 49.3 40.1 68.3 47.4 28.3 8.2 73.6
Player 16,602 50.8 65.5 82.4 31.8 53.6 43.1 64.8 48.9 26.4 7.8 74.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 46 41 36 35 59 65 49 28 6 56 75 45 66 36 73 60 40
2017 43 36 33 33 62 34 49 63 55 46 85 60 88 50 76 60 29
2018 77 59 66 69 81 44 74 65 63 40 94 41 93 50 70 38
2019 56 42 41 45 68 16 61 42 29 43 89 44 84 35 79 58 16
2020 81 86 88 82 76 56 70 93 79 90 39 84 88 37 78 71 14
2021 58 54 55 57 56 13 58 72 51 73 67 76 78 45 98 87 17
2022 75 66 69 69 76 21 74 90 89 65 82 50 75 32 99 81 23
2023 90 73 84 85 89 62 87 80 84 56 90 47 99 32 98 84 22
2024 32 36 25 21 51 27 7 14 34 63 87 72 29 31 99 91 15
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.7 9 10.2 -1 0 13 2 22.2
2017 22.8 21 17.2 4 12 9 10 47.6
2018 22.4 12 14.4 -2 7 10 6 50.0
2019 22.7 21 22.7 -2 11 22 7 33.3
2020 23.1 5 4.7 0 2 1 4 80.0
2021 23.8 22 22.8 -1 5 17 10 45.5
2022 23.0 23 21.8 1 6 21 6 26.1
2023 22.5 10 6.0 4 5 6 1 10.0
2024 23.4 14 13.4 1 5 11 5 35.7
Player 23.1 137 133.3 4 53 110 51 37.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 9 12 8 9 8 8 11 11 7 6 9 10 12 9 9 15 6 7 11 10 11 6 14 15 11 13 10 15 14 12 8
2017 21 17 16 19 19 15 19 18 16 14 18 22 15 16 16 16 17 15 19 18 18 18 21 18 16 14 17 21 18 17 12
2018 12 16 8 16 16 15 16 15 13 11 16 18 15 10 14 16 14 14 13 16 14 12 22 17 13 11 14 17 14 13 13
2019 21 29 20 22 23 24 25 21 14 13 19 21 29 22 24 25 20 20 21 26 24 26 32 28 23 20 15 25 29 24 18
2020 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 4 4
2021 22 24 18 22 23 22 26 25 17 19 20 23 24 20 24 26 22 22 25 24 23 22 27 26 22 22 26 25 24 21 21
2022 23 20 15 20 24 23 27 20 16 16 20 24 21 20 27 24 21 23 20 24 21 22 29 26 17 19 28 23 23 23 19
2023 10 6 4 5 6 6 7 5 7 4 6 10 4 5 8 6 6 5 7 8 5 5 8 6 4 4 6 6 6 7 8
2024 14 9 14 12 13 16 15 13 10 10 15 15 14 11 15 12 13 10 14 19 14 13 20 15 9 13 14 13 13 15 14
Player 137 138 107 129 136 134 151 133 104 97 127 148 139 118 142 144 124 121 135 150 135 129 179 156 120 120 134 150 146 136 117
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2016 2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.1 92.7 0.6 92.1 -0.6 91.9 -0.2 91.8 -0.1 92.2 0.4 91.8 -0.4 91.9 0.1 91.6 -0.3
Offspeed Velocity 82.9 84.3 1.4 85.4 1.1 85.3 -0.1 86.4 1.1 87.1 0.7 86.5 -0.6 87.1 0.6 87.1 0.0
Breaking Velocity 81.7 82.7 1.0 83.8 1.1 82.9 -0.9 81.8 -1.1 83.1 1.3 82.2 -0.9 81.7 -0.5 81.8 0.1
Exit Velocity 89.3 86.7 -2.6 87.8 1.1 88.9 1.1 85.1 -3.8 87.8 2.7 86.4 -1.4 87.5 1.1 90.3 2.8
Launch Angle 11.4 9.9 -1.5 10.6 0.7 11.7 1.1 12.4 0.7 11.6 -0.8 11.7 0.1 11.1 -0.6 13.8 2.7
Barrel % 6.0 6.0 0.0 5.1 -0.9 6.4 1.3 5.4 -1.0 7.2 1.8 6.0 -1.2 5.1 -0.9 10.5 5.4
Hard Hit % 40.7 32.7 -8.0 34.1 1.4 38.7 4.6 32.3 -6.4 38.5 6.2 32.5 -6.0 33.5 1.0 40.6 7.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 35.7 36.3 0.6 32.7 -3.6 31.6 -1.1 32.3 0.7 33.8 1.5 34.7 0.9 32.4 -2.3 35.5 3.1
xBA .253 .256 0.003 .231 -0.025 .250 0.019 .195 -0.055 .236 0.041 .224 -0.012 .225 0.001 .248 0.023
BA .250 .277 0.027 .253 -0.024 .254 0.001 .226 -0.028 .213 -0.013 .227 0.014 .247 0.020 .251 0.004
xwOBA .315 .319 0.004 .283 -0.036 .307 0.024 .275 -0.032 .304 0.029 .282 -0.022 .274 -0.008 .321 0.047
wOBA .324 .338 0.014 .295 -0.043 .309 0.014 .308 -0.001 .284 -0.024 .292 0.008 .295 0.003 .317 0.022
xSLG .422 .432 0.010 .365 -0.067 .424 0.059 .309 -0.115 .387 0.078 .350 -0.037 .342 -0.008 .422 0.080
SLG .453 .472 0.019 .389 -0.083 .437 0.048 .404 -0.033 .364 -0.040 .383 0.019 .375 -0.008 .419 0.044
K% 21.5 21.3 -0.2 20.6 -0.7 21.9 1.3 33.1 11.2 27.1 -6.0 24.9 -2.2 24.3 -0.6 24.6 0.3
BB% 6.3 6.1 -0.2 4.7 -1.4 5.4 0.7 9.6 4.2 7.2 -2.4 5.7 -1.5 5.3 -0.4 5.6 0.3
Swing % 46.3 50.9 4.6 53.7 2.8 51.9 -1.8 46.4 -5.5 46.9 0.5 46.5 -0.4 49.4 2.9 47.4 -2.0
Whiff% 22.7 25.7 3.0 23.7 -2.0 24.6 0.9 33.0 8.4 30.0 -3.0 25.5 -4.5 26.0 0.5 28.3 2.3
In Zone % 50.3 51.7 1.4 55.7 4.0 51.2 -4.5 48.0 -3.2 49.1 1.1 50.1 1.0 48.5 -1.6 52.0 3.5
Out of Zone % 49.7 48.3 -1.4 44.3 -4.0 48.8 4.5 52.0 3.2 50.9 -1.1 49.9 -1.0 51.5 1.6 48.0 -3.5
Out of Zone Swing % 30.2 31.9 1.7 33.1 1.2 32.8 -0.3 32.9 0.1 30.9 -2.0 32.0 1.1 35.5 3.5 27.0 -8.5
First Pitch Swing % 23.8 27.2 3.4 38.4 11.2 33.4 -5.0 28.9 -4.5 28.1 -0.8 25.8 -2.3 28.8 3.0 33.7 4.9
First Pitch Strike % 61.7 64.1 2.4 68.6 4.5 65.6 -3.0 68.7 3.1 60.8 -7.9 64.5 3.7 64.7 0.2 68.3 3.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 256 .324 145 28 19.3 111 76 68.5
2017 Shifts 460 .338 248 50 20.2 212 94 44.3
2018 Shifts 481 .297 263 26 9.9 218 57 26.1
2019 Shifts 717 .309 374 84 22.5 343 149 43.4
2020 Shifts 166 .308 68 38 55.9 98 60 61.2
2021 Shifts 745 .284 361 7 1.9 384 225 58.6
2022 Shifts 739 .292 337 17 5.0 402 285 70.9
2023 Shades 380 .281 183 5 2.7 197 110 55.8
2024 Shades 393 .311 227 6 2.6 166 121 72.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2016 339 15.8 44.2% 2.1% 138 21.0 6.5% 10.1%
2017 482 16.2 31.7% 1.5% 275 23.7 0.4% 10.5%
2018 457 17.4 9.6% 1.1% 196 24.4 0.0% 18.4%
2019 768 18.6 2.7% 2.0% 352 26.9 0.0% 24.1%
2020 210 18.8 1.4% 3.3% 99 28.0 0.0% 37.4%
2021 925 18.7 1.7% 2.9% 389 26.0 0.0% 23.9%
2022 888 16.9 17.8% 1.2% 432 24.7 0.0% 18.5%
2023 445 14.6 58.9% 0.0% 232 19.4 2.2% 1.3%
2024 489 15.5 38.9% 0.4% 209 19.8 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution