P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 200 lbs | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 7 6 3.73 29 29 0 147 124 1.40
2025 4 1 3.65 8 7 0 37 23 1.22
2026 2 1 7.58 5 3 0 19 11 1.47
5 Seasons 20 13 3.65 83 57 0 350 282 1.34
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 29 7-6 3.73 147 124 1.40
2025 8 4-1 3.65 37 23 1.22
2026 5 2-1 7.58 19 11 1.47
5 Seasons 83 20-13 3.65 350 282 1.34
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 690 116 6 5.2 3.6 87.5 113.0 17.8 32.8 .255 .401 .314 .331 .355 33.6 18.1 12.0 3.11 4.52
2023 25 1710 311 28 9.0 6.2 87.6 112.4 11.4 31.2 .255 .418 .303 .330 .378 41.2 20.9 9.1 3.05 4.64
2024 26 2538 445 39 8.8 6.1 89.1 114.7 13.3 36.0 .259 .445 .330 .344 .387 39.8 19.4 9.9 3.73 4.93
2025 27 567 114 4 3.5 2.6 88.5 111.0 9.6 32.5 .281 .413 .310 .339 .357 40.4 15.0 7.8 3.65 4.86
2026 28 321 67 4 6.0 4.8 90.9 111.5 10.6 35.8 .308 .461 .356 .362 .391 52.2 13.1 7.1 7.58 5.39
Player 5826 1053 81 7.7 5.4 88.6 114.7 12.7 33.8 .262 .430 .319 .339 .378 40.4 18.9 9.5
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Assad relies on 7 pitches.
Sinker
(42.4%) ,
Cutter
(17.8%) ,
Changeup
(10.6%) ,
Four Seamer
(10.3%) ,
Curveball
(8.1%) ,
Slider
(5.9%) ,
Sweeper
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 41.4 58.6 23.3 21.6 13.8 40.5 30.2 29.3 23.3 14.7 3.4 17.2 15.5 25.9
2023 47.3 52.7 22.8 21.9 8.0 30.9 40.5 28.6 19.9 22.5 4.8 10.9 18.0 23.8
2024 43.8 56.2 27.6 22.9 5.6 34.2 39.6 26.3 20.0 18.0 5.8 14.2 21.6 20.4
2025 46.5 53.5 20.2 27.2 6.1 32.5 37.7 29.8 20.2 20.2 6.1 12.3 17.5 23.7
2026 49.3 50.7 23.9 20.9 6.0 28.4 44.8 26.9 16.4 26.9 6.0 11.9 17.9 20.9
Player 45.2 54.8 24.7 22.8 7.3 33.3 38.9 27.7 20.1 19.8 5.3 13.2 19.2 22.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.2 30.2 30.2 25.9 3.4 5.2 3.6
2023 7.1 34.1 20.6 23.5 5.8 9.0 6.2
2024 5.6 29.4 25.4 25.6 4.7 8.8 6.1
2025 7.0 31.6 21.9 30.7 5.3 3.5 2.6
2026 6.0 31.3 19.4 29.9 7.5 6.0 4.8
Player 6.2 31.2 23.7 25.8 5.1 7.7 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker CHC R 136 93.0 20.3 -1.7 15.0ARM 0.0 11.5 -3.7 15.0ARM -0.5
2026 Changeup CHC R 34 86.4 35.0 2.9 13.0ARM -1.2 1.8 2.2 13.0ARM -1.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 33 93.0 14.5 0.4 5.1ARM -2.4 17.3 1.1 5.1ARM -2.6
2026 Cutter CHC R 57 87.8 29.6 -1.7 5.6GLV 2.9 5.8 -2.5 5.6GLV 3.3
2026 Slider CHC R 19 84.9 38.2 1.2 6.0GLV 1.5 -0.3 1.8 6.0GLV 1.8
2026 Curveball CHC R 26 78.2 54.6 -1.6 11.8GLV 2.6 -9.5 -0.8 11.8GLV 2.7
2026 Sweeper CHC R 16 80.8 42.8 1.7 15.8GLV 1.4 -0.5 1.8 15.8GLV 1.8
2025 Changeup CHC R 24 85.2 34.5 2.2 13.6ARM -0.4 3.2 0.9 13.6ARM -0.9
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 72 92.2 15.8 -0.2 5.2ARM -1.9 16.5 0.7 5.2ARM -2.4
2025 Cutter CHC R 124 89.0 25.2 1.5 2.8GLV 0.5 9.1 0.7 2.8GLV 0.6
2025 Slider CHC R 8 83.8 37.7 0.4 6.2GLV 1.7 1.3 0.5 6.2GLV 1.9
2025 Curveball CHC R 36 76.9 53.5 -4.1 10.8GLV 1.2 -7.3 -2.9 10.8GLV 1.8
2025 Sweeper CHC R 73 80.9 39.6 -1.6 13.3GLV -1.3 2.2 -1.2 13.3GLV -0.7
2025 Sinker CHC R 230 92.2 21.4 -1.7 13.4ARM -1.2 10.8 -3.4 13.4ARM -1.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker -2.1 -3 136 42.4 44 .375 .550 .405 8.1 9.1 15.4 .359 .526 .401 57.9
2026 Cutter 0.8 0 57 17.8 6 .250 .500 .442 15.4 0.0 0.0 .235 .345 .399 75.0
2026 Changeup -1.5 -1 34 10.6 10 .200 .500 .290 31.3 30.0 20.0 .246 .489 .312 42.9
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 0 33 10.3 9 .250 .625 .400 7.7 11.1 7.7 .365 .579 .437 57.1
2026 Curveball -0.4 0 26 8.1 4 .000 .000 .175 0.0 0.0 0.0 .121 .143 .262 33.3
2026 Slider 7.8 1 19 5.9 7 .143 .143 .129 22.2 14.3 33.3 .251 .286 .240 33.3
2026 Sweeper -1.2 0 16 5.0 4 .250 .250 .225 42.9 50.0 28.6 .152 .175 .144 0.0
2025 Sinker 1.5 3 230 40.6 67 .224 .276 .311 17.6 16.4 17.2 .247 .312 .306 36.2
2025 Cutter 0.8 1 124 21.9 28 .333 .417 .357 14.9 0.0 0.0 .389 .556 .428 48.0
2025 Sweeper 2.7 2 73 12.9 21 .000 .000 .067 22.2 14.3 9.7 .222 .339 .285 25.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -1 72 12.7 18 .294 .588 .389 14.7 33.3 26.1 .239 .369 .285 54.5
2025 Curveball -2.8 -1 36 6.3 9 .375 .750 .500 6.7 11.1 7.7 .372 .729 .488 57.1
2025 Changeup -2.3 -1 24 4.2 6 .333 .667 .417 27.3 33.3 16.7 .353 .426 .339 25.0
2025 Slider -16.2 -1 8 1.4 4 .500 1.500 .813 0.0 0.0 0.0 .276 .887 .473 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 28 86.4 73 13.9 1:30 3:00 -90
2026 Curveball 26 78.2 78 17.6 7:30 7:30 0
2026 Cutter 57 87.8 46 8.0 11:15 10:15 60
2026 4-Seam Fastball 33 93.0 88 17.5 1:00 12:30 30
2026 Sinker 133 93.0 86 18.9 12:45 1:45 -60
2026 Slider 19 84.9 44 6.7 9:45 8:30 75
2026 Sweeper 16 80.8 63 17.3 8:15 8:45 -30
2025 Changeup 22 85.4 83 14.5 1:45 2:45 -60
2025 Curveball 36 76.9 69 15.0 7:45 7:45 0
2025 Cutter 124 89.0 60 8.8 12:00 11:15 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 72 92.2 90 16.8 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 227 92.2 88 17.2 12:45 1:45 -60
2025 Sweeper 73 80.9 53 14.0 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 166 690 5 5 -6 -3 1
2023 448 1,710 13 16 -14 -8 8
2024 638 2,538 3 20 -17 -10 -4
2025 153 567 4 6 -6 -3 2
2026 84 321 3 -2 -2 -1 -2
Player 1,489 5,826 29 46 -45 29 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 690 44.3 68.6 83.3 28.4 64.2 44.9 59.6 46.2 23.2 6.2 62.8
2023 1,710 47.7 64.7 86.2 23.0 61.2 42.7 57.0 42.9 20.8 6.6 76.1
2024 2,538 49.0 62.4 87.4 23.4 68.6 41.5 58.8 42.5 17.9 7.9 74.5
2025 567 54.0 67.3 87.9 21.1 67.3 41.8 67.3 46.0 16.5 6.7 84.2
2026 321 49.2 65.2 93.2 23.3 65.8 42.1 58.3 43.9 14.2 7.5 70.8
Player 5,826 48.6 64.4 86.9 23.7 65.5 42.3 59.2 43.5 19.1 7.2 74.4
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 28 18 69
2023 69 89 43 18 30 30 4 27 78 4 11 33 38 29 36 74 46
2024 29 45 23 37 11 13 2 37 41 4 3 21 24 26 39 56 60
2025 18 1 57
2026 28 18 72 29 19 27 8 20 10 3 7 70 69 6 72 54
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 21.71 4 4.1 0 0 4 1 25.0
2023 22.82 13 10.9 2 4 7 6 46.2
2024 24.13 20 21.1 -1 5 16 9 45.0
2025 25.61 3 3.9 -1 0 6 0 0.0
2026 23.50 3 2.2 1 0 3 0 0.0
Player 23.61 43 42.2 1 9 36 16 37.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 4
2023 13 11 9 12 11 11 10 11 9 10 10 10 12 11 12 11 13 12 10 11 11 12 13 12 11 9 9 10 12 12 11
2024 20 20 16 23 23 23 24 21 18 16 22 23 20 17 21 20 18 20 21 27 23 15 28 24 20 20 21 24 22 22 20
2025 3 2 3 3 4 5 4 3 5 2 4 5 3 6 5 2 4 3 3 6 2 4 6 6 2 4 4 4 4 5 3
2026 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 1
Player 43 39 34 43 44 46 44 41 37 34 40 42 41 41 44 40 41 41 40 51 43 39 55 50 39 40 41 45 46 45 39
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .289 +.046 .243 -.011 .254 +.023 .231 -.009 .240
xBA .308 +.027 .281 +.022 .259 +.004 .255 .000 .255
OBP .337 +.017 .320 -.013 .333 +.027 .306 -.025 .331
xOBP .360 +.006 .354 +.016 .338 +.009 .329 -.016 .345
SLG .474 +.092 .382 -.040 .422 +.034 .388 +.018 .370
xSLG .461 +.048 .413 -.032 .445 +.027 .418 +.017 .401
ISO .184 +.044 .140 -.027 .167 +.010 .157 +.027 .130
xISO .153 +.021 .132 -.054 .186 +.023 .163 +.017 .146
BABIP .302 +.032 .270 -.021 .291 +.022 .269 -.008 .277
wOBA .356 +.046 .310 -.020 .330 +.027 .303 -.011 .314
xwOBA .362 +.023 .339 -.005 .344 +.014 .330 -.001 .331
wOBAcon .383 +.066 .317 -.050 .367 +.028 .339 +.009 .330
xwOBAcon .391 +.034 .357 -.030 .387 +.009 .378 +.023 .355
BACON .333 +.044 .289 -.035 .324 +.024 .300 -.002 .302
xBACON .362 +.027 .335 +.004 .331 -.003 .334 +.013 .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 52.2 +11.8 40.4 +0.6 39.8 -1.4 41.2 +7.6 33.6
Avg Exit Velocity 90.9 +2.4 88.5 -0.6 89.1 +1.5 87.6 +0.1 87.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.8 +3.3 32.5 -3.5 36.0 +4.8 31.2 -1.6 32.8
Barrel % 6.0 +2.5 3.5 -5.3 8.8 -0.2 9.0 +3.8 5.2
Avg Launch Angle 10.6 +1.0 9.6 -3.7 13.3 +1.9 11.4 -6.4 17.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.1 -0.1 72.2 +0.2 72.0 +0.2 71.8 -- --
Attack Angle +1° -2° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.2 -2.1 48.3 -0.8 49.1 +3.3 45.8 -- --
Attack Direction -3° +4° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 33° 33° 33° -- --
Swing Length 7.3 +0.3 7.0 -0.2 7.2 +0.1 7.1 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.7 +0.4 91.3 +0.9 90.4 -1.1 91.5 +0.4 91.1
Breaking Velocity 80.9 +1.0 79.9 +1.5 78.4 -1.1 79.5 -0.1 79.6
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 +1.2 85.2 +1.5 83.7 -1.3 85.0 -0.4 85.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 0 4 -35 39 +11 28 +22 6
Popup % 6.0 -0.1 6.1 +0.5 5.6 -2.4 8.0 -5.8 13.8
Flyball % 23.9 +3.7 20.2 -7.4 27.6 +4.8 22.8 -0.5 23.3
Line Drive % 20.9 -6.3 27.2 +4.3 22.9 +1.0 21.9 +0.3 21.6
Groundball % 49.3 +2.8 46.5 +2.7 43.8 -3.5 47.3 +5.9 41.4
Pull % 28.4 -4.1 32.5 -1.7 34.2 +3.3 30.9 -9.6 40.5
Straight Away % 44.8 +7.1 37.7 -1.9 39.6 -0.9 40.5 +10.3 30.2
Opposite Field % 26.9 -2.9 29.8 +3.5 26.3 -2.3 28.6 -0.7 29.3
Weak Contact % 6.0 -1.0 7.0 +1.4 5.6 -1.5 7.1 +1.9 5.2
Pull Airball % 11.9 -0.4 12.3 -1.9 14.2 +3.3 10.9 -6.3 17.2
Topped Contact % 31.3 -0.3 31.6 +2.2 29.4 -4.7 34.1 +3.9 30.2
Under Contact % 19.4 -2.5 21.9 -3.5 25.4 +4.8 20.6 -9.6 30.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 29.9 -0.8 30.7 +5.1 25.6 +2.1 23.5 -2.4 25.9
Solid Contact % 7.5 +2.2 5.3 +0.6 4.7 -1.1 5.8 +2.4 3.4
HR/FB % 18.8 +5.8 13.0 -3.3 16.3 -2.0 18.3 +3.5 14.8
Popups 4 -3 7 -18 25 0 25 +9 16
Flyballs 16 -7 23 -100 123 +52 71 +44 27
Line Drives 14 -17 31 -71 102 +34 68 +43 25
Groundballs 33 -20 53 -142 195 +48 147 +99 48
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.2 -4.8 54.0 +5.0 49.0 +1.3 47.7 +3.4 44.3
Out of Zone % 50.8 +4.8 46.0 -5.0 51.0 -1.3 52.3 -3.4 55.7
Edge % 42.1 +0.3 41.8 +0.3 41.5 -1.2 42.7 -2.2 44.9
Zone Swing % 65.2 -2.1 67.3 +4.9 62.4 -2.3 64.7 -3.9 68.6
Out of Zone Swing % 23.3 +2.2 21.1 -2.3 23.4 +0.4 23.0 -5.4 28.4
In Zone Contact % 93.2 +5.3 87.9 +0.5 87.4 +1.2 86.2 +2.9 83.3
Out of Zone Contact % 65.8 -1.5 67.3 -1.3 68.6 +7.4 61.2 -3.0 64.2
Whiff % 14.2 -2.3 16.5 -1.4 17.9 -2.9 20.8 -2.4 23.2
First Strike % 58.3 -9.0 67.3 +8.5 58.8 +1.8 57.0 -2.6 59.6
First Pitch Swing % 27.4 -7.9 35.3 +8.3 27.0 -3.1 30.1 +0.6 29.5
Swing % 43.9 -2.1 46.0 +3.5 42.5 -0.4 42.9 -3.3 46.2
Meatball Swing % 70.8 -13.4 84.2 +9.7 74.5 -1.6 76.1 +13.3 62.8
Meatball % 7.5 +0.8 6.7 -1.2 7.9 +1.3 6.6 +0.4 6.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 6.8 -5.3 12.1 -0.5 12.6 -1.2 13.8 -2.9 16.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 34.2 +1.5 32.7 +1.3 31.4 -7.4 38.8 +3.0 35.8
In Zone 158 -148 306 -938 1,244 +428 816 +510 306
Out of Zone 163 -98 261 -1,033 1,294 +400 894 +510 384
Edge 135 -102 237 -816 1,053 +323 730 +420 310
In Zone Swings 103 -103 206 -570 776 +248 528 +318 210
Out of Zone Swings 38 -17 55 -248 303 +97 206 +97 109
In Zone Swing & Misses 7 -18 25 -73 98 +25 73 +38 35
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 13 -5 18 -77 95 +15 80 +41 39
Basic
Pitches 321 -246 567 -1,971 2,538 +828 1,710 +1,020 690
PA 84 -69 153 -485 638 +189 449 +283 166
AB 76 -60 136 -426 562 +160 402 +256 146
Hits 22 -11 33 -110 143 +50 93 +58 35
Singles 14 -9 23 -68 91 +32 59 +34 25
Doubles 5 +1 4 -26 30 +12 18 +13 5
Triples 0 -3 3 +1 2 -1 3 +2 1
Home Runs 3 0 3 -17 20 +7 13 +9 4
Walks 6 -6 12 -51 63 +22 41 +21 20
Strikeouts 11 -12 23 -101 124 +30 94 +64 30
K% 13.1 -1.9 15.0 -4.4 19.4 -1.5 20.9 +2.8 18.1
BB% 7.1 -0.7 7.8 -2.1 9.9 +0.8 9.1 -2.9 12.0
HBP 0 -4 4 -1 5 +2 3 +3 0
Batted Balls 67 -47 114 -331 445 +134 311 +195 116
Number of Fastballs 226 -200 426 -1,430 1,856 +532 1,324 +776 548
Number of Offspeed 34 +10 24 -93 117 +48 69 +23 46
Number of Breaking 45 +1 44 -293 337 +200 137 +83 54
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 166 .314 93 15 16.1 73 34 46.6
2023 Shades 448 .303 239 6 2.5 209 38 18.2
2024 Shades 638 .330 292 7 2.4 346 135 39.0
2025 Shades 153 .310 91 1 1.1 62 39 62.9
2026 Shades 84 .356 37 2 5.4 47 26 55.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 198 17.7 16.2% 3.0% 113 24.8 0.0% 10.6%
2023 507 17.0 23.1% 0.4% 285 20.5 1.1% 1.1%
2024 678 14.5 55.6% 0.3% 470 18.5 4.7% 1.1%
2025 178 13.4 74.2% 0.0% 71 17.5 9.9% 4.2%
2026 91 14.9 51.6% 0.0% 28 18.7 3.6% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution