P | Chicago Cubs
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 200 lbs | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 7 6 3.73 29 29 0 147 124 1.40
2025 4 1 3.65 8 7 0 37 23 1.22
2026 3 1 6.00 7 3 0 24 13 1.25
5 Seasons 21 13 3.60 85 57 0 355 284 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 29 7-6 3.73 147 124 1.40
2025 8 4-1 3.65 37 23 1.22
2026 7 3-1 6.00 24 13 1.25
5 Seasons 85 21-13 3.60 355 284 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 690 116 6 5.2 3.6 87.5 113.0 17.8 32.8 .255 .401 .314 .331 .355 33.6 18.1 12.0 3.11 4.52
2023 25 1710 311 28 9.0 6.2 87.6 112.4 11.4 31.2 .255 .418 .303 .330 .379 41.2 20.9 9.1 3.05 4.64
2024 26 2538 445 39 8.8 6.1 89.1 114.7 13.3 36.0 .259 .445 .330 .344 .387 39.8 19.4 9.9 3.73 4.93
2025 27 567 114 4 3.5 2.6 88.5 111.0 9.6 32.5 .281 .413 .310 .339 .357 40.4 15.0 7.8 3.65 4.86
2026 28 379 80 4 5.0 4.0 91.3 111.5 12.6 35.0 .288 .442 .314 .345 .370 53.8 13.0 7.0 6.00 4.84
Player 5884 1066 81 7.6 5.4 88.6 114.7 12.8 33.8 .261 .429 .317 .338 .376 40.6 18.9 9.5
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Assad relies on 7 pitches.
Sinker
(43.5%) ,
Cutter
(17.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(10.6%) ,
Changeup
(9.2%) ,
Curveball
(7.1%) ,
Slider
(6.3%) ,
Sweeper
(5.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 41.4 58.6 23.3 21.6 13.8 40.5 30.2 29.3 23.3 14.7 3.4 17.2 15.5 25.9
2023 47.3 52.7 22.8 21.9 8.0 30.9 40.5 28.6 19.9 22.5 4.8 10.9 18.0 23.8
2024 43.8 56.2 27.6 22.9 5.6 34.2 39.6 26.3 20.0 18.0 5.8 14.2 21.6 20.4
2025 46.5 53.5 20.2 27.2 6.1 32.5 37.7 29.8 20.2 20.2 6.1 12.3 17.5 23.7
2026 46.3 53.8 25.0 21.3 7.5 27.5 46.3 26.3 17.5 23.8 5.0 10.0 22.5 21.3
Player 45.0 55.0 24.8 22.8 7.4 33.2 39.1 27.7 20.2 19.6 5.3 13.0 19.5 22.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.2 30.2 30.2 25.9 3.4 5.2 3.6
2023 7.1 34.1 20.6 23.5 5.8 9.0 6.2
2024 5.6 29.4 25.4 25.6 4.7 8.8 6.1
2025 7.0 31.6 21.9 30.7 5.3 3.5 2.6
2026 5.0 31.3 22.5 25.0 11.3 5.0 4.0
Player 6.1 31.2 23.9 25.5 5.4 7.6 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider CHC R 24 84.7 38.3 1.1 6.0GLV 1.7 -0.2 1.7 6.0GLV 1.9
2026 Changeup CHC R 35 86.4 34.9 2.9 13.0ARM -1.2 1.9 2.1 13.0ARM -1.7
2026 Curveball CHC R 27 78.1 54.7 -1.5 11.8GLV 2.5 -9.5 -0.8 11.8GLV 2.5
2026 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 40 93.1 14.8 0.2 4.8ARM -2.6 17.0 0.9 4.8ARM -2.9
2026 Cutter CHC R 67 87.8 29.9 -2.2 5.7GLV 2.9 5.5 -2.8 5.7GLV 3.4
2026 Sinker CHC R 165 92.9 20.4 -1.7 14.7ARM -0.2 11.4 -3.7 14.7ARM -0.8
2026 Sweeper CHC R 21 80.5 43.6 2.2 15.8GLV 1.3 -1.0 2.2 15.8GLV 1.9
2025 Sinker CHC R 230 92.2 21.4 -1.7 13.4ARM -1.2 10.8 -3.4 13.4ARM -1.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 72 92.2 15.8 -0.2 5.2ARM -1.9 16.5 0.7 5.2ARM -2.4
2025 Sweeper CHC R 73 80.9 39.6 -1.6 13.3GLV -1.3 2.2 -1.3 13.3GLV -0.6
2025 Slider CHC R 8 83.8 37.7 0.4 6.2GLV 1.7 1.3 0.5 6.2GLV 1.9
2025 Cutter CHC R 124 89.0 25.2 1.5 2.8GLV 0.5 9.1 0.7 2.8GLV 0.6
2025 Curveball CHC R 36 76.9 53.5 -4.1 10.8GLV 1.2 -7.3 -2.9 10.8GLV 1.8
2025 Changeup CHC R 24 85.2 34.5 2.2 13.6ARM -0.4 3.2 0.9 13.6ARM -0.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker -0.9 -2 165 43.5 51 .340 .489 .366 8.1 7.8 11.4 .344 .505 .384 60.0
2026 Cutter 1.4 1 67 17.7 8 .167 .333 .331 16.7 0.0 0.0 .193 .371 .354 83.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 40 10.6 12 .200 .500 .358 17.6 16.7 11.8 .347 .584 .448 62.5
2026 Changeup -1.3 0 35 9.2 10 .200 .500 .290 31.3 30.0 20.0 .246 .489 .312 42.9
2026 Curveball -0.1 0 27 7.1 4 .000 .000 .175 11.1 0.0 0.0 .119 .141 .261 33.3
2026 Slider 8.2 2 24 6.3 9 .111 .111 .100 18.2 11.1 25.0 .214 .257 .209 25.0
2026 Sweeper 0.5 0 21 5.5 6 .167 .167 .150 44.4 50.0 30.0 .117 .134 .110 0.0
2025 Sinker 1.5 3 230 40.6 67 .224 .276 .311 17.6 16.4 17.2 .247 .312 .306 36.2
2025 Cutter 0.8 1 124 21.9 28 .333 .417 .357 14.9 0.0 0.0 .389 .556 .428 48.0
2025 Sweeper 2.7 2 73 12.9 21 .000 .000 .067 22.2 14.3 9.7 .222 .339 .285 25.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -1 72 12.7 18 .294 .588 .389 14.7 33.3 26.1 .239 .369 .285 54.5
2025 Curveball -2.8 -1 36 6.3 9 .375 .750 .500 6.7 11.1 7.7 .372 .729 .488 57.1
2025 Changeup -2.3 -1 24 4.2 6 .333 .667 .417 27.3 33.3 16.7 .353 .426 .339 25.0
2025 Slider -16.2 -1 8 1.4 4 .500 1.500 .813 0.0 0.0 0.0 .276 .887 .473 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 29 86.4 73 14.0 1:30 3:00 -90
2026 Curveball 27 78.1 78 17.5 7:30 7:30 0
2026 Cutter 67 87.8 45 7.9 11:15 10:00 75
2026 4-Seam Fastball 40 93.1 88 17.1 1:00 12:30 30
2026 Sinker 162 92.9 85 18.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2026 Slider 24 84.7 44 6.7 9:30 8:30 60
2026 Sweeper 21 80.5 64 17.3 8:00 8:30 -30
2025 Changeup 22 85.4 83 14.5 1:45 2:45 -60
2025 Curveball 36 76.9 69 15.0 7:45 7:45 0
2025 Cutter 124 89.0 60 8.8 12:00 11:15 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 72 92.2 90 16.8 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 227 92.2 88 17.2 12:45 1:45 -60
2025 Sweeper 73 80.9 53 14.0 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 166 690 5 5 -6 -3 1
2023 448 1,710 13 16 -14 -8 8
2024 638 2,538 3 20 -17 -10 -4
2025 153 567 4 6 -6 -3 2
2026 100 379 5 0 -3 -1 1
Player 1,505 5,884 30 48 -46 30 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 690 44.2 68.5 83.7 28.6 63.6 44.9 59.6 46.2 23.2 6.2 62.8
2023 1,710 47.5 64.7 86.3 23.2 61.1 42.7 57.0 42.9 20.8 6.6 76.1
2024 2,538 49.0 62.3 87.4 23.5 68.8 41.5 58.8 42.5 17.9 7.9 74.5
2025 567 53.8 67.2 88.3 21.4 66.1 41.8 67.3 46.0 16.5 6.7 84.2
2026 379 50.1 64.7 91.1 22.8 65.1 40.6 62.0 43.8 15.7 8.2 71.0
Player 5,884 48.5 64.4 87.0 23.8 65.3 42.2 59.4 43.5 19.1 7.2 74.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 28 18 69
2023 69 89 43 18 30 30 4 27 78 4 11 33 38 30 36 74 46
2024 29 45 23 37 11 13 2 37 41 4 3 21 24 26 39 56 60
2025 18 1 57
2026 54 41 81 35 28 26 8 11 4 4 5 75 79 1 64 52
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 21.71 4 4.1 0 0 4 1 25.0
2023 22.82 13 10.9 2 4 7 6 46.2
2024 24.13 20 21.1 -1 5 16 9 45.0
2025 25.61 3 3.9 -1 0 6 0 0.0
2026 23.50 3 2.3 1 0 3 0 0.0
Player 23.61 43 42.3 1 9 36 16 37.2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 4 4
2023 13 11 9 12 11 11 10 11 9 10 10 10 12 11 12 11 13 12 10 11 11 12 13 12 11 9 9 10 12 12 11
2024 20 20 16 23 23 23 24 21 18 16 22 23 20 17 21 20 18 20 21 27 23 15 28 24 20 20 21 24 22 22 20
2025 3 2 3 3 4 5 4 3 5 2 4 5 3 6 5 2 4 3 3 6 2 4 6 6 2 4 4 4 4 5 3
2026 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 1
Player 43 39 34 43 44 46 44 41 37 34 42 43 42 41 44 40 41 41 40 51 43 39 55 50 39 39 41 45 46 45 39
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .253 +.010 .243 -.011 .254 +.023 .231 -.009 .240
xBA .288 +.007 .281 +.022 .259 +.004 .255 .000 .255
OBP .303 -.017 .320 -.013 .333 +.027 .306 -.025 .331
xOBP .341 -.013 .354 +.016 .338 +.009 .329 -.016 .345
SLG .407 +.025 .382 -.040 .422 +.034 .388 +.018 .370
xSLG .442 +.029 .413 -.032 .445 +.027 .418 +.017 .401
ISO .154 +.014 .140 -.027 .167 +.010 .157 +.027 .130
xISO .154 +.022 .132 -.054 .186 +.023 .163 +.017 .146
BABIP .263 -.007 .270 -.021 .291 +.022 .269 -.008 .277
wOBA .314 +.004 .310 -.020 .330 +.027 .303 -.011 .314
xwOBA .345 +.006 .339 -.005 .344 +.014 .330 -.001 .331
wOBAcon .331 +.014 .317 -.050 .367 +.028 .339 +.009 .330
xwOBAcon .370 +.013 .357 -.030 .387 +.008 .379 +.024 .355
BACON .291 +.002 .289 -.035 .324 +.024 .300 -.002 .302
xBACON .338 +.003 .335 +.004 .331 -.003 .334 +.013 .321
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 53.8 +13.4 40.4 +0.6 39.8 -1.4 41.2 +7.6 33.6
Avg Exit Velocity 91.3 +2.8 88.5 -0.6 89.1 +1.5 87.6 +0.1 87.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.0 +2.5 32.5 -3.5 36.0 +4.8 31.2 -1.6 32.8
Barrel % 5.0 +1.5 3.5 -5.3 8.8 -0.2 9.0 +3.8 5.2
Avg Launch Angle 12.6 +3.0 9.6 -3.7 13.3 +1.9 11.4 -6.4 17.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 -0.2 72.2 +0.2 72.0 +0.2 71.8 -- --
Attack Angle -2° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.5 -1.8 48.3 -0.8 49.1 +3.3 45.8 -- --
Attack Direction -3° +4° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° -1° 33° 33° 33° -- --
Swing Length 7.2 +0.2 7.0 -0.2 7.2 +0.1 7.1 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 91.7 +0.4 91.3 +0.9 90.4 -1.1 91.5 +0.4 91.1
Breaking Velocity 81.0 +1.1 79.9 +1.5 78.4 -1.1 79.5 -0.1 79.6
Offspeed Velocity 86.4 +1.2 85.2 +1.5 83.7 -1.3 85.0 -0.4 85.4
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 0 4 -35 39 +11 28 +22 6
Popup % 7.5 +1.4 6.1 +0.5 5.6 -2.4 8.0 -5.8 13.8
Flyball % 25.0 +4.8 20.2 -7.4 27.6 +4.8 22.8 -0.5 23.3
Line Drive % 21.3 -5.9 27.2 +4.3 22.9 +1.0 21.9 +0.3 21.6
Groundball % 46.3 -0.2 46.5 +2.7 43.8 -3.5 47.3 +5.9 41.4
Pull % 27.5 -5.0 32.5 -1.7 34.2 +3.3 30.9 -9.6 40.5
Straight Away % 46.3 +8.6 37.7 -1.9 39.6 -0.9 40.5 +10.3 30.2
Opposite Field % 26.3 -3.5 29.8 +3.5 26.3 -2.3 28.6 -0.7 29.3
Weak Contact % 5.0 -2.0 7.0 +1.4 5.6 -1.5 7.1 +1.9 5.2
Pull Airball % 10.0 -2.3 12.3 -1.9 14.2 +3.3 10.9 -6.3 17.2
Topped Contact % 31.3 -0.3 31.6 +2.2 29.4 -4.7 34.1 +3.9 30.2
Under Contact % 22.5 +0.6 21.9 -3.5 25.4 +4.8 20.6 -9.6 30.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 25.0 -5.7 30.7 +5.1 25.6 +2.1 23.5 -2.4 25.9
Solid Contact % 11.3 +6.0 5.3 +0.6 4.7 -1.1 5.8 +2.4 3.4
HR/FB % 15.0 +2.0 13.0 -3.3 16.3 -2.0 18.3 +3.5 14.8
Popups 6 -1 7 -18 25 0 25 +9 16
Flyballs 20 -3 23 -100 123 +52 71 +44 27
Line Drives 17 -14 31 -71 102 +34 68 +43 25
Groundballs 37 -16 53 -142 195 +48 147 +99 48
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 50.1 -3.7 53.8 +4.8 49.0 +1.5 47.5 +3.3 44.2
Out of Zone % 49.9 +3.7 46.2 -4.8 51.0 -1.5 52.5 -3.3 55.8
Edge % 40.6 -1.2 41.8 +0.3 41.5 -1.2 42.7 -2.2 44.9
Zone Swing % 64.7 -2.5 67.2 +4.9 62.3 -2.4 64.7 -3.8 68.5
Out of Zone Swing % 22.8 +1.4 21.4 -2.1 23.5 +0.3 23.2 -5.4 28.6
In Zone Contact % 91.1 +2.8 88.3 +0.9 87.4 +1.1 86.3 +2.6 83.7
Out of Zone Contact % 65.1 -1.0 66.1 -2.7 68.8 +7.7 61.1 -2.5 63.6
Whiff % 15.7 -0.8 16.5 -1.4 17.9 -2.9 20.8 -2.4 23.2
First Strike % 62.0 -5.3 67.3 +8.5 58.8 +1.8 57.0 -2.6 59.6
First Pitch Swing % 28.0 -7.3 35.3 +8.3 27.0 -3.1 30.1 +0.6 29.5
Swing % 43.8 -2.2 46.0 +3.5 42.5 -0.4 42.9 -3.3 46.2
Meatball Swing % 71.0 -13.2 84.2 +9.7 74.5 -1.6 76.1 +13.3 62.8
Meatball % 8.2 +1.5 6.7 -1.2 7.9 +1.3 6.6 +0.4 6.2
Zone Swing & Miss % 8.9 -2.8 11.7 -0.9 12.6 -1.1 13.7 -2.6 16.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 34.9 +1.0 33.9 +2.6 31.3 -7.6 38.9 +2.5 36.4
In Zone 190 -115 305 -938 1,243 +430 813 +508 305
Out of Zone 189 -73 262 -1,033 1,295 +398 897 +512 385
Edge 154 -83 237 -816 1,053 +323 730 +420 310
In Zone Swings 123 -82 205 -570 775 +249 526 +317 209
Out of Zone Swings 43 -13 56 -248 304 +96 208 +98 110
In Zone Swing & Misses 11 -13 24 -74 98 +26 72 +38 34
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 15 -4 19 -76 95 +14 81 +41 40
Basic
Pitches 379 -188 567 -1,971 2,538 +828 1,710 +1,020 690
PA 100 -53 153 -485 638 +189 449 +283 166
AB 91 -45 136 -426 562 +160 402 +256 146
Hits 23 -10 33 -110 143 +50 93 +58 35
Singles 15 -8 23 -68 91 +32 59 +34 25
Doubles 5 +1 4 -26 30 +12 18 +13 5
Triples 0 -3 3 +1 2 -1 3 +2 1
Home Runs 3 0 3 -17 20 +7 13 +9 4
Walks 7 -5 12 -51 63 +22 41 +21 20
Strikeouts 13 -10 23 -101 124 +30 94 +64 30
K% 13.0 -2.0 15.0 -4.4 19.4 -1.5 20.9 +2.8 18.1
BB% 7.0 -0.8 7.8 -2.1 9.9 +0.8 9.1 -2.9 12.0
HBP 0 -4 4 -1 5 +2 3 +3 0
Batted Balls 80 -34 114 -331 445 +134 311 +195 116
Number of Fastballs 272 -154 426 -1,430 1,856 +532 1,324 +776 548
Number of Offspeed 35 +11 24 -93 117 +48 69 +23 46
Number of Breaking 72 -45 117 -448 565 +248 317 +221 96
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 166 .314 93 15 16.1 73 34 46.6
2023 Shades 448 .303 239 6 2.5 209 38 18.2
2024 Shades 638 .330 292 7 2.4 346 135 39.0
2025 Shades 153 .310 91 1 1.1 62 39 62.9
2026 Shades 100 .314 49 2 4.1 51 29 56.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 198 17.7 16.2% 3.0% 113 24.8 0.0% 10.6%
2023 507 17.0 23.1% 0.4% 285 20.5 1.1% 1.1%
2024 678 14.5 55.6% 0.3% 470 18.5 4.7% 1.1%
2025 178 13.4 74.2% 0.0% 71 17.5 9.9% 4.2%
2026 119 14.7 53.8% 0.0% 60 18.7 5.0% 3.3%

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Pitch Distribution