P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 185 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 8, No. 226, Boston Red Sox | Texas Tech
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 1 4.13 13 11 0 61 45 1.28
2026 2 1 3.74 7 4 1 33.2 32 1.34
2 Seasons 6 2 3.99 20 15 1 94.2 77 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 13 4-1 4.13 61 45 1.28
2026 7 2-1 3.74 33.2 32 1.34
2 Seasons 20 6-2 3.99 94.2 77 1.30
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 931 192 13 6.8 5.1 89.3 111.3 9.5 31.8 .241 .415 .310 .308 .345 41.7 17.6 6.6 4.13 3.93
2026 26 569 99 7 7.1 4.9 89.4 109.8 13.0 35.4 .242 .371 .323 .299 .347 44.4 22.4 7.7 3.74 3.72
Player 1500 291 20 6.9 5.0 89.3 111.3 10.7 33.0 .242 .399 .315 .305 .345 42.6 19.3 7.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dobbins relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.6%) ,
Sweeper
(17.4%) ,
Slider
(17.4%) ,
Sinker
(14.6%) ,
Split Finger
(10.5%) ,
Curveball
(8.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 48.4 51.6 19.8 25.5 6.3 33.3 34.4 32.3 22.4 19.3 6.8 10.9 15.1 25.5
2026 45.5 54.5 24.2 24.2 6.1 45.5 35.4 19.2 17.2 23.2 5.1 28.3 12.1 14.1
Player 47.4 52.6 21.3 25.1 6.2 37.5 34.7 27.8 20.6 20.6 6.2 16.8 14.1 21.6
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.2 34.9 20.8 24.0 8.3 6.8 5.1
2026 2.0 34.3 27.3 26.3 3.0 7.1 4.9
Player 3.4 34.7 23.0 24.7 6.5 6.9 5.0
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Split-Finger STL R 60 88.8 29.9 -1.6 14.2ARM 2.3 4.8 -1.8 14.2ARM 2.9
2026 Sinker STL R 83 94.9 20.7 -0.4 11.9ARM -2.9 9.7 -2.1 11.9ARM -3.2
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 180 95.2 16.2 -2.2 0.9ARM -6.2 13.8 -1.9 0.9ARM -6.9
2026 Sweeper STL R 99 82.2 40.0 0.4 15.6GLV 1.4 0.6 0.4 15.6GLV 1.9
2026 Slider STL R 99 88.3 31.9 -1.2 5.4GLV 2.0 3.0 -1.6 5.4GLV 1.7
2026 Curveball STL R 48 79.7 53.7 -0.3 6.0GLV -2.7 -10.6 0.4 6.0GLV -3.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 377 95.5 14.2 -0.5 2.1ARM -4.9 15.8 0.0 2.1ARM -5.5
2025 Split-Finger BOS R 81 90.5 28.4 -1.4 12.6ARM 0.4 5.1 -2.0 12.6ARM 1.3
2025 Slider BOS R 252 87.7 34.5 1.2 6.4GLV 2.6 1.0 0.8 6.4GLV 2.2
2025 Sinker BOS R 13 95.0 20.4 -0.8 14.3ARM -0.5 10.0 -2.6 14.3ARM -0.8
2025 Sweeper BOS R 96 81.3 40.6 -0.1 14.7GLV 0.5 1.1 -0.2 14.7GLV 0.8
2025 Curveball BOS R 112 78.7 55.9 0.6 7.0GLV -1.7 -11.5 1.3 7.0GLV -2.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -1 180 31.6 45 .395 .500 .440 16.7 15.6 16.7 .313 .444 .384 48.4
2026 Sweeper -2.1 -2 99 17.4 28 .259 .556 .354 23.5 28.6 18.6 .152 .259 .194 26.3
2026 Slider 1.4 1 99 17.4 18 .167 .389 .231 20.9 22.2 16.0 .228 .368 .253 35.7
2026 Sinker 2.8 2 83 14.6 27 .208 .208 .244 23.1 18.5 22.7 .275 .316 .307 73.7
2026 Split-Finger 0.9 1 60 10.5 13 .083 .333 .208 25.0 23.1 16.7 .189 .514 .323 44.4
2026 Curveball 2.3 1 48 8.4 12 .250 .333 .254 47.6 41.7 31.3 .230 .359 .253 14.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 377 40.5 108 .316 .453 .398 11.9 12.0 15.3 .277 .480 .366 46.3
2025 Slider 0.3 1 252 27.1 66 .234 .422 .292 29.2 16.7 21.2 .293 .530 .360 52.8
2025 Curveball -0.5 -1 112 12.0 31 .258 .452 .302 38.2 35.5 20.0 .165 .332 .208 25.0
2025 Sweeper 0.3 0 96 10.3 30 .185 .222 .262 21.4 20.0 14.6 .139 .181 .196 14.3
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 0 81 8.7 19 .158 .263 .239 20.6 21.1 17.4 .164 .185 .155 33.3
2025 Sinker 1.8 0 13 1.4 1 .000 .000 .000 40.0 0.0 0.0 .067 .067 .064 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 48 79.7 64 14.5 7:30 6:45 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 180 95.2 72 13.4 12:30 12:00 30
2026 Split-Finger 60 88.8 75 15.4 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Sinker 81 94.9 78 15.4 12:45 1:45 -60
2026 Slider 99 88.3 39 6.4 10:00 9:30 30
2026 Sweeper 99 82.2 53 16.6 8:15 8:45 -30
2025 Curveball 112 78.7 66 16.0 7:15 7:00 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 377 95.5 77 15.4 12:15 12:15 0
2025 Split-Finger 71 90.5 86 14.2 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 Sinker 13 95.0 83 17.6 12:45 2:00 -75
2025 Slider 252 87.7 39 6.9 10:00 9:00 60
2025 Sweeper 95 81.3 48 15.7 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 255 931 3 4 -4 -4 0
2026 143 569 2 5 -3 -3 2
Player 398 1,500 6 9 -6 6 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 931 50.6 64.5 88.5 28.0 53.5 43.4 60.5 46.5 21.9 9.0 81.0
2026 569 49.9 67.6 83.9 26.7 60.5 40.8 62.2 47.1 22.8 6.5 83.8
Player 1,500 50.3 65.7 86.7 27.5 56.1 42.4 61.2 46.7 22.3 8.1 81.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2025 38 35 51 60 52 69 72 34 47 42 22 14 74 75 40 78 49
2026 54 52 53 61 64 60 64 36 13 30 47 61 55 12 67 31
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.54 6 6.8 -1 4 3 5 83.3
2026 23.07 4 5.6 -2 0 6 2 50.0
Player 23.35 10 12.4 -2 4 9 7 70.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2025 6 6 5 9 9 6 6 7 7 5 6 9 6 10 7 6 8 5 5 8 5 7 9 7 5 5 7 7 6 7 8
2026 4 8 5 6 5 6 4 7 6 6 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 6 6 8 4 5 7 7 3 3 4 4 8 5 5
Player 10 14 10 15 14 12 10 14 13 11 10 14 11 17 13 13 14 11 11 16 9 12 16 14 8 8 11 11 14 12 13
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .260 +.003 ↑ .257
xBA .242 +.001 ↑ .241
OBP .322 +.009 ↑ .313
xOBP .306 +.008 ↑ .298
SLG .412 +.011 ↑ .401
xSLG .371 -.044 ↓ .415
ISO .153 +.010 ↑ .143
xISO .129 -.045 ↓ .174
BABIP .316 +.020 ↑ .296
wOBA .323 +.013 ↑ .310
xwOBA .299 -.009 ↓ .308
wOBAcon .382 +.035 ↑ .347
xwOBAcon .347 +.002 ↑ .345
BACON .343 +.025 ↑ .318
xBACON .321 +.023 ↑ .298
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 44.4 +2.7 ↑ 41.7
Avg Exit Velocity 89.4 +0.1 ↑ 89.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.4 +3.6 ↑ 31.8
Barrel % 7.1 +0.3 ↑ 6.8
Avg Launch Angle 13.0 +3.5 ↑ 9.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.2 +1.1 ↑ 71.1
Attack Angle 11° +1° ↑ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 50.6 0.0 50.6
Attack Direction -2° -1° ↓ -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +2° ↑ 31°
Swing Length 7.2 -0.1 ↓ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.1 -0.4 ↓ 95.5
Breaking Velocity 84.2 +0.1 ↑ 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 88.8 -1.7 ↓ 90.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -6 ↓ 13
Popup % 6.1 -0.2 ↓ 6.3
Flyball % 24.2 +4.4 ↑ 19.8
Line Drive % 24.2 -1.3 ↓ 25.5
Groundball % 45.5 -2.9 ↓ 48.4
Pull % 45.5 +12.2 ↑ 33.3
Straight Away % 35.4 +1.0 ↑ 34.4
Opposite Field % 19.2 -13.1 ↓ 32.3
Weak Contact % 2.0 -2.2 ↓ 4.2
Pull Airball % 28.3 +17.4 ↑ 10.9
Topped Contact % 34.3 -0.6 ↓ 34.9
Under Contact % 27.3 +6.5 ↑ 20.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 26.3 +2.3 ↑ 24.0
Solid Contact % 3.0 -5.3 ↓ 8.3
HR/FB % 16.7 +0.9 ↑ 15.8
Popups 6 -6 ↓ 12
Flyballs 24 -14 ↓ 38
Line Drives 24 -25 ↓ 49
Groundballs 45 -48 ↓ 93
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.9 -0.7 ↓ 50.6
Out of Zone % 50.1 +0.7 ↑ 49.4
Edge % 40.8 -2.6 ↓ 43.4
Zone Swing % 67.6 +3.1 ↑ 64.5
Out of Zone Swing % 26.7 -1.3 ↓ 28.0
In Zone Contact % 83.9 -4.6 ↓ 88.5
Out of Zone Contact % 60.5 +7.0 ↑ 53.5
Whiff % 22.8 +0.9 ↑ 21.9
First Strike % 62.2 +1.7 ↑ 60.5
First Pitch Swing % 27.3 -0.8 ↓ 28.1
Swing % 47.1 +0.6 ↑ 46.5
Meatball Swing % 83.8 +2.8 ↑ 81.0
Meatball % 6.5 -2.5 ↓ 9.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.1 +4.6 ↑ 11.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 39.5 -7.0 ↓ 46.5
In Zone 284 -187 ↓ 471
Out of Zone 285 -175 ↓ 460
Edge 232 -172 ↓ 404
In Zone Swings 192 -112 ↓ 304
Out of Zone Swings 76 -53 ↓ 129
In Zone Swing & Misses 31 -4 ↓ 35
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 30 -30 ↓ 60
Basic
Pitches 569 -362 ↓ 931
PA 143 -113 ↓ 256
AB 131 -106 ↓ 237
Hits 34 -27 ↓ 61
Singles 23 -17 ↓ 40
Doubles 6 -8 ↓ 14
Triples 1 0 1
Home Runs 4 -2 ↓ 6
Walks 11 -6 ↓ 17
Strikeouts 32 -13 ↓ 45
K% 22.4 +4.8 ↑ 17.6
BB% 7.7 +1.1 ↑ 6.6
HBP 1 -1 ↓ 2
Batted Balls 99 -93 ↓ 192
Fastball Percent 46.2 +4.3 ↑ 41.9
Offspeed Percent 10.5 +1.8 ↑ 8.7
Breaking Percent 43.2 -6.2 ↓ 49.4
Number of Fastballs 263 -127 ↓ 390
Number of Offspeed 60 -21 ↓ 81
Number of Breaking 246 -214 ↓ 460
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 252 .306 130 19 14.6 122 81 66.4
2026 Shades 143 .323 72 1 1.4 71 37 52.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 265 13.4 75.1% 0.8% 151 17.2 13.2% 0.7%
2026 143 14.4 65.0% 1.4% 72 18.9 2.8% 2.8%

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Pitch Distribution

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