P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 185 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 8, No. 226, Boston Red Sox | Texas Tech
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 4 1 4.13 13 11 0 61 45 1.28
2026 1 1 4.03 5 3 1 22.1 23 1.39
2 Seasons 5 2 4.10 18 14 1 83.1 68 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 13 4-1 4.13 61 45 1.28
2026 5 1-1 4.03 22.1 23 1.39
2 Seasons 18 5-2 4.10 83.1 68 1.31
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Pitch Usage
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 25 931 192 13 6.8 5.1 89.3 111.3 9.5 31.8 .241 .415 .310 .308 .345 41.7 17.6 6.6 4.13 3.93
2026 26 398 62 7 11.3 7.4 90.3 109.3 11.1 43.5 .269 .447 .330 .346 .418 48.4 24.2 10.5 4.03 5.10
Player 1329 254 20 7.9 5.7 89.5 111.3 9.9 34.6 .249 .424 .316 .319 .363 43.3 19.4 7.7
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dobbins relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(34.9%) ,
Slider
(19.6%) ,
Sinker
(13.1%) ,
Sweeper
(12.6%) ,
Split Finger
(11.3%) ,
Curveball
(8.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 48.4 51.6 19.8 25.5 6.3 33.3 34.4 32.3 22.4 19.3 6.8 10.9 15.1 25.5
2026 43.5 56.5 21.0 30.6 4.8 43.5 33.9 22.6 17.7 19.4 6.5 25.8 14.5 16.1
Player 47.2 52.8 20.1 26.8 5.9 35.8 34.3 29.9 21.3 19.3 6.7 14.6 15.0 23.2
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 4.2 34.9 20.8 24.0 8.3 6.8 5.1
2026 3.2 33.9 21.0 27.4 3.2 11.3 7.4
Player 3.9 34.6 20.9 24.8 7.1 7.9 5.7
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2026 Sinker STL R 52 95.4 20.6 -0.3 12.7ARM -2.3 9.4 -1.8 12.7ARM -2.5
2026 Split-Finger STL R 45 89.2 29.6 -1.7 15.1ARM 3.0 4.7 -1.7 15.1ARM 3.7
2026 4-Seam Fastball STL R 139 95.5 15.5 -1.7 1.0ARM -6.2 14.4 -1.4 1.0ARM -6.8
2026 Slider STL R 78 88.6 31.2 -1.6 5.1GLV 1.8 3.4 -2.0 5.1GLV 1.3
2026 Curveball STL R 34 80.0 53.3 -0.2 6.2GLV -2.4 -10.7 0.5 6.2GLV -3.0
2026 Sweeper STL R 50 82.5 38.5 -0.7 15.7GLV 1.5 1.7 -0.7 15.7GLV 2.0
2025 Sweeper BOS R 96 81.3 40.6 -0.1 14.7GLV 0.5 1.1 -0.2 14.7GLV 0.8
2025 Sinker BOS R 13 95.0 20.4 -0.8 14.3ARM -0.5 10.0 -2.6 14.3ARM -0.8
2025 Slider BOS R 252 87.7 34.5 1.2 6.4GLV 2.6 1.0 0.8 6.4GLV 2.2
2025 Split-Finger BOS R 81 90.5 28.4 -1.4 12.6ARM 0.4 5.1 -2.0 12.6ARM 1.3
2025 Curveball BOS R 112 78.7 55.9 0.6 7.0GLV -1.7 -11.5 1.3 7.0GLV -2.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 377 95.5 14.2 -0.5 2.1ARM -4.9 15.8 0.0 2.1ARM -5.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -1 139 34.9 34 .370 .519 .450 17.1 14.7 15.6 .313 .473 .411 45.5
2026 Slider -0.5 0 78 19.6 12 .250 .583 .346 25.0 33.3 16.7 .256 .443 .295 50.0
2026 Sinker 6.5 3 52 13.1 18 .059 .059 .089 23.1 22.2 26.7 .271 .319 .280 69.2
2026 Sweeper -2.4 -1 50 12.6 13 .250 .500 .346 21.1 38.5 21.7 .195 .389 .280 28.6
2026 Split-Finger 0.2 0 45 11.3 11 .100 .400 .245 21.1 18.2 13.3 .222 .611 .378 50.0
2026 Curveball 0.1 0 34 8.5 7 .429 .571 .436 53.3 42.9 25.0 .315 .531 .362 25.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 377 40.5 108 .316 .453 .398 11.9 12.0 15.3 .277 .480 .366 46.3
2025 Slider 0.3 1 252 27.1 66 .234 .422 .292 29.2 16.7 21.2 .293 .530 .360 52.8
2025 Curveball -0.5 -1 112 12.0 31 .258 .452 .302 38.2 35.5 20.0 .165 .331 .207 25.0
2025 Sweeper 0.3 0 96 10.3 30 .185 .222 .262 21.4 20.0 14.6 .139 .181 .196 14.3
2025 Split-Finger 0.4 0 81 8.7 19 .158 .263 .239 20.6 21.1 17.4 .164 .185 .155 33.3
2025 Sinker 1.8 0 13 1.4 1 .000 .000 .000 40.0 0.0 0.0 .067 .067 .064 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 34 80.0 64 14.6 7:30 7:00 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 139 95.5 74 14.0 12:30 12:00 30
2026 Split-Finger 45 89.2 79 16.3 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 Sinker 52 95.4 81 15.8 12:45 2:00 -75
2026 Slider 78 88.6 39 6.3 10:15 9:45 30
2026 Sweeper 50 82.5 52 16.6 8:15 9:00 -45
2025 Curveball 112 78.7 66 16.0 7:15 7:00 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 377 95.5 77 15.4 12:15 12:15 0
2025 Split-Finger 71 90.5 86 14.2 1:15 2:30 -75
2025 Sinker 13 95.0 83 17.6 12:45 2:00 -75
2025 Slider 252 87.7 39 6.9 10:00 9:00 60
2025 Sweeper 95 81.3 48 15.7 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 255 931 3 4 -4 -4 0
2026 95 398 1 3 -1 -2 1
Player 350 1,329 4 7 -5 4 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 931 50.6 64.5 88.5 28.0 53.5 43.4 60.5 46.5 21.9 9.0 81.0
2026 398 51.3 66.7 83.1 25.3 59.2 36.4 62.1 46.5 23.2 7.5 86.7
Player 1,329 50.8 65.2 86.8 27.2 55.1 41.3 61.0 46.5 22.3 8.6 82.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.6 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed 		xERA Fastball
MPH 		Fastball
Spin 		Curve
Spin 		Avg
EV 		Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit% 		GB% Extension
2025 38 35 51 60 52 69 72 34 47 42 22 14 74 75 40 78 49
2026 68 63 33
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.54 6 6.8 -1 4 3 5 83.3
2026 23.60 3 4.6 -2 0 6 1 33.3
Player 23.56 9 11.4 -2 4 9 6 66.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2025 6 6 5 9 9 6 6 7 7 5 6 9 6 10 7 6 8 5 5 8 5 7 9 7 5 5 7 7 6 7 8
2026 3 7 4 5 4 5 3 6 5 5 3 4 4 6 5 6 5 5 6 7 2 4 6 6 2 2 3 3 7 4 4
Player 9 13 9 14 13 11 9 13 12 10 9 13 10 16 12 12 13 10 11 15 7 11 15 13 7 7 10 10 13 11 12
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .247 -.010 ↓ .257
xBA .269 +.028 ↑ .241
OBP .326 +.013 ↑ .313
xOBP .346 +.048 ↑ .298
SLG .424 +.023 ↑ .401
xSLG .447 +.032 ↑ .415
ISO .176 +.033 ↑ .143
xISO .178 +.004 ↑ .174
BABIP .305 +.009 ↑ .296
wOBA .330 +.020 ↑ .310
xwOBA .346 +.038 ↑ .308
wOBAcon .392 +.045 ↑ .347
xwOBAcon .418 +.073 ↑ .345
BACON .339 +.021 ↑ .318
xBACON .369 +.071 ↑ .298
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 48.4 +6.7 ↑ 41.7
Avg Exit Velocity 90.3 +1.0 ↑ 89.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 43.5 +11.7 ↑ 31.8
Barrel % 11.3 +4.5 ↑ 6.8
Avg Launch Angle 11.1 +1.6 ↑ 9.5
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.4 +1.2 ↑ 71.2
Attack Angle 9° -1° ↓ 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 51.5 +0.8 ↑ 50.7
Attack Direction 1° +2° ↑ -1°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° ↑ 31°
Swing Length 7.1 -0.2 ↓ 7.3
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.5 0.0 95.5
Breaking Velocity 84.9 +0.8 ↑ 84.1
Offspeed Velocity 89.2 -1.3 ↓ 90.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 7 -6 ↓ 13
Popup % 4.8 -1.5 ↓ 6.3
Flyball % 21.0 +1.2 ↑ 19.8
Line Drive % 30.6 +5.1 ↑ 25.5
Groundball % 43.5 -4.9 ↓ 48.4
Pull % 43.5 +10.2 ↑ 33.3
Straight Away % 33.9 -0.5 ↓ 34.4
Opposite Field % 22.6 -9.7 ↓ 32.3
Weak Contact % 3.2 -1.0 ↓ 4.2
Pull Airball % 25.8 +14.9 ↑ 10.9
Topped Contact % 33.9 -1.0 ↓ 34.9
Under Contact % 21.0 +0.2 ↑ 20.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.4 +3.4 ↑ 24.0
Solid Contact % 3.2 -5.1 ↓ 8.3
HR/FB % 23.1 +7.3 ↑ 15.8
Popups 3 -9 ↓ 12
Flyballs 13 -25 ↓ 38
Line Drives 19 -30 ↓ 49
Groundballs 27 -66 ↓ 93
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 51.3 +0.7 ↑ 50.6
Out of Zone % 48.7 -0.7 ↓ 49.4
Edge % 36.4 -7.0 ↓ 43.4
Zone Swing % 66.7 +2.2 ↑ 64.5
Out of Zone Swing % 25.3 -2.7 ↓ 28.0
In Zone Contact % 83.1 -5.4 ↓ 88.5
Out of Zone Contact % 59.2 +5.7 ↑ 53.5
Whiff % 23.2 +1.3 ↑ 21.9
First Strike % 62.1 +1.6 ↑ 60.5
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 -1.8 ↓ 28.1
Swing % 46.5 0.0 46.5
Meatball Swing % 86.7 +5.7 ↑ 81.0
Meatball % 7.5 -1.5 ↓ 9.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.9 +5.4 ↑ 11.5
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 40.8 -5.7 ↓ 46.5
In Zone 204 -267 ↓ 471
Out of Zone 194 -266 ↓ 460
Edge 145 -259 ↓ 404
In Zone Swings 136 -168 ↓ 304
Out of Zone Swings 49 -80 ↓ 129
In Zone Swing & Misses 23 -12 ↓ 35
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 20 -40 ↓ 60
Basic
Pitches 398 -533 ↓ 931
PA 95 -161 ↓ 256
AB 85 -152 ↓ 237
Hits 21 -40 ↓ 61
Singles 13 -27 ↓ 40
Doubles 4 -10 ↓ 14
Triples 1 0 1
Home Runs 3 -3 ↓ 6
Walks 10 -7 ↓ 17
Strikeouts 23 -22 ↓ 45
K% 24.2 +6.6 ↑ 17.6
BB% 10.5 +3.9 ↑ 6.6
HBP 0 -2 ↓ 2
Batted Balls 62 -130 ↓ 192
Fastball Percent 48.0 +6.1 ↑ 41.9
Offspeed Percent 11.3 +2.6 ↑ 8.7
Breaking Percent 40.7 -8.7 ↓ 49.4
Number of Fastballs 191 -199 ↓ 390
Number of Offspeed 45 -36 ↓ 81
Number of Breaking 162 -298 ↓ 460
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 252 .306 130 19 14.6 122 81 66.4
2026 Shades 95 .330 42 0 0.0 53 28 52.8
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 265 13.4 75.1% 0.8% 151 17.2 13.2% 0.7%
2026 89 14.6 59.6% 2.2% 45 19.1 2.2% 4.4%

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Pitch Distribution

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