P | Houston Astros
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 220 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 5, No. 166, Houston Astros | Wayne State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 11 9 3.49 31 30 0 170 179 1.27
2025 12 9 2.43 31 31 0 185.1 206 1.03
2026 5 3 3.31 16 16 0 87 93 1.30
5 Seasons 41 34 3.46 116 108 0 618.1 678 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 31 11-9 3.49 170 179 1.27
2025 31 12-9 2.43 185.1 206 1.03
2026 16 5-3 3.31 87 93 1.30
5 Seasons 116 41-34 3.46 618.1 678 1.22
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 309 51 3 5.9 3.8 93.2 109.6 2.9 25.5 .203 .312 .254 .262 .316 47.1 27.5 8.8 0.89 2.75
2023 24 2720 423 46 10.9 6.9 90.8 113.6 6.9 30.0 .235 .417 .340 .318 .394 44.4 26.8 8.3 5.09 4.27
2024 25 2889 468 21 4.5 2.9 86.2 114.0 9.6 28.0 .223 .338 .296 .286 .339 30.3 25.1 8.4 3.49 3.29
2025 26 2962 459 27 5.9 3.7 86.1 114.3 10.1 31.4 .217 .339 .262 .278 .345 32.2 28.3 7.8 2.43 3.16
2026 27 1401 206 13 6.3 3.8 85.9 112.0 5.2 28.2 .202 .329 .303 .293 .320 37.4 25.3 12.9 3.33 3.58
Player 10281 1607 110 6.8 4.4 87.6 114.3 8.2 29.4 .221 .357 .297 .292 .352 36.0 26.6 8.8
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .244 .407 .316 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Brown relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(32.4%) ,
Sinker
(29.7%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(19.7%) ,
Changeup
(9.6%) ,
Slider
(8.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 64.7 35.3 13.7 13.7 7.8 37.3 39.2 23.5 29.4 27.5 7.8 7.8 11.8 15.7
2023 52.2 47.8 22.2 20.8 4.7 32.4 39.0 28.6 21.0 23.4 7.8 11.3 15.6 20.8
2024 48.5 51.5 22.0 22.4 7.1 34.2 38.9 26.9 23.5 18.8 6.2 10.7 20.1 20.7
2025 48.1 51.9 23.3 22.2 6.3 37.0 37.5 25.5 23.5 18.3 6.3 13.5 19.2 19.2
2026 55.3 44.7 22.3 16.5 5.8 38.3 38.3 23.3 26.7 20.4 8.3 11.7 18.0 15.0
Player 50.8 49.2 22.2 20.9 6.1 35.2 38.5 26.4 23.5 20.3 7.0 11.7 18.1 19.4
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 2.0 47.1 15.7 23.5 5.9 5.9 3.8
2023 1.9 41.4 17.5 24.3 4.0 10.9 6.9
2024 5.1 39.3 21.4 23.3 6.4 4.5 2.9
2025 6.3 34.6 23.1 24.8 5.0 5.9 3.7
2026 7.8 42.2 18.9 18.9 5.8 6.3 3.8
Player 4.9 39.1 20.3 23.5 5.3 6.8 4.4
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Changeup HOU R 134 87.6 30.4 -1.2 13.1ARM -0.7 5.2 -1.4 13.1ARM -1.1
2026 Slider HOU R 121 90.7 28.5 -2.1 3.9GLV 0.6 4.7 -3.3 3.9GLV 0.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 454 96.2 12.9 0.4 7.8ARM 0.9 16.8 1.2 7.8ARM 0.0
2026 Sinker HOU R 416 96.0 18.6 -1.6 15.0ARM 0.2 11.2 -3.6 15.0ARM 0.0
2026 Curveball HOU R 276 83.4 56.3 6.3 6.3GLV -0.8 -16.5 6.3 6.3GLV -2.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 1110 96.6 12.2 0.8 6.8ARM 0.0 17.3 1.5 6.8ARM -0.8
2025 Slider HOU R 252 91.4 27.1 -1.9 3.7GLV 0.4 5.7 -3.9 3.7GLV -0.5
2025 Curveball HOU R 530 83.5 55.7 5.6 5.1GLV -1.6 -15.9 5.7 5.1GLV -3.9
2025 Changeup HOU R 356 88.2 27.3 -3.5 14.4ARM 0.0 7.9 -3.8 14.4ARM -0.1
2025 Cutter HOU R 42 93.4 20.8 0.8 3.0GLV 1.2 10.6 2.3 3.0GLV 0.8
2025 Sinker HOU R 672 95.7 16.9 -3.8 13.9ARM -0.8 13.2 -5.8 13.9ARM -1.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 2 454 32.4 87 .162 .311 .277 20.6 29.9 20.0 .154 .251 .244 49.0
2026 Sinker 1.2 5 416 29.7 109 .200 .356 .334 18.8 18.3 22.0 .196 .321 .304 28.6
2026 Curveball -0.2 -1 276 19.7 76 .225 .282 .255 34.5 35.5 22.5 .209 .320 .258 45.5
2026 Changeup -2.0 -3 134 9.6 32 .320 .600 .456 39.7 12.5 14.8 .300 .540 .432 33.3
2026 Slider -0.9 -1 121 8.6 36 .226 .323 .328 27.1 25.0 18.4 .240 .387 .328 27.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 16 1,110 37.5 221 .178 .264 .247 29.8 37.1 22.7 .183 .300 .256 42.2
2025 Sinker 0.9 6 672 22.7 181 .268 .369 .334 17.7 12.7 19.3 .252 .336 .310 19.9
2025 Curveball 1.7 9 530 17.9 140 .150 .218 .188 39.2 42.1 28.8 .203 .301 .237 44.0
2025 Changeup 0.6 2 356 12.0 95 .186 .349 .274 27.2 21.1 18.2 .211 .333 .278 22.7
2025 Slider 1.2 3 252 8.5 81 .188 .338 .229 27.7 25.9 28.0 .247 .432 .292 33.9
2025 Cutter -16.0 -7 42 1.4 9 .714 2.000 1.022 23.5 0.0 0.0 .429 1.262 .695 57.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 128 87.6 91 14.4 1:45 2:30 -45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 453 96.2 95 18.2 1:00 1:00 0
2026 Knuckle Curve 275 83.4 85 20.4 6:45 6:45 0
2026 Sinker 415 96.0 87 18.9 1:00 2:00 -60
2026 Slider 121 90.7 35 5.7 11:45 10:15 90
2025 Changeup 356 88.2 97 16.6 1:45 2:15 -30
2025 Cutter 42 93.4 59 10.3 12:00 11:15 45
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,110 96.6 95 18.2 12:45 12:45 0
2025 Knuckle Curve 529 83.5 81 19.6 6:45 6:30 15
2025 Sinker 671 95.7 88 19.2 1:00 1:45 -45
2025 Slider 252 91.4 45 6.2 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 80 309 4 6 -3 -1 6
2023 664 2,720 4 11 -17 -10 -12
2024 712 2,889 18 26 -21 -10 13
2025 727 2,962 28 31 -19 -10 30
2026 340 1,401 16 6 -12 -8 3
Player 2,523 10,281 70 80 -71 70 40
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 309 51.8 60.6 88.7 28.9 51.2 41.7 63.7 45.3 22.9 8.1 76.0
2023 2,720 49.9 65.3 85.2 27.6 51.6 41.9 58.3 46.4 24.8 7.7 74.3
2024 2,889 49.1 66.1 81.3 27.3 60.0 42.2 60.3 46.3 25.1 7.6 70.0
2025 2,962 46.9 62.1 80.6 29.4 56.4 44.7 55.8 44.8 27.8 6.8 69.7
2026 1,401 45.3 60.1 84.0 26.2 56.7 39.7 57.9 41.5 25.4 5.9 77.1
Player 10,281 48.2 63.8 82.8 27.9 56.0 42.5 58.3 45.2 25.8 7.2 72.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 88 60 45 71
2023 12 28 6 49 46 79 53 48 8 33 40 75 50 9 13 87 78
2024 86 88 47 83 79 78 50 44 95 32 46 67 44 93 97 81 64
2025 98 94 97 72 84 80 36 52 97 63 71 85 53 85 97 77 73
2026 54 78 34 17 71 76 30 47 96 9 51 70 7 70 57 95 79
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.9 -1 2 1 0 --
2023 24.67 27 22.7 4 8 18 10 37.0
2024 23.89 19 16.4 3 8 10 7 36.8
2025 24.98 17 16.1 1 6 15 5 29.4
2026 26.80 10 9.6 0 3 4 6 60.0
Player 24.83 73 65.6 7 27 48 28 38.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 0
2023 27 22 16 21 24 25 27 18 20 16 23 23 23 20 26 27 26 19 28 27 22 24 31 29 21 17 22 23 23 21 16
2024 19 15 18 16 16 16 17 17 14 15 16 19 19 16 15 16 16 14 18 17 18 15 19 20 15 15 17 16 17 16 13
2025 17 17 13 16 17 18 14 14 12 13 13 19 20 21 16 15 18 14 16 21 16 13 20 19 16 14 13 19 18 14 13
2026 10 12 8 9 10 9 10 9 10 9 8 10 9 11 10 10 11 8 10 12 9 11 11 11 8 8 9 10 11 8 8
Player 73 68 56 63 67 68 69 59 56 53 60 71 74 69 68 69 72 57 73 78 66 63 83 80 61 54 62 69 71 59 50
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .210 +.009 .201 -.041 .242 -.020 .262 +.057 .205
xBA .202 -.015 .217 -.006 .223 -.012 .235 +.032 .203
OBP .321 +.050 .271 -.039 .310 -.022 .332 +.057 .275
xOBP .314 +.029 .285 -.010 .295 -.014 .309 +.036 .273
SLG .344 +.026 .318 -.039 .357 -.099 .456 +.168 .288
xSLG .329 -.010 .339 +.001 .338 -.079 .417 +.105 .312
ISO .134 +.018 .116 +.001 .115 -.079 .194 +.112 .082
xISO .127 +.005 .122 +.007 .115 -.067 .182 +.073 .109
BABIP .260 -.004 .264 -.043 .307 -.023 .330 +.036 .294
wOBA .303 +.041 .262 -.034 .296 -.044 .340 +.086 .254
xwOBA .293 +.015 .278 -.008 .286 -.032 .318 +.056 .262
wOBAcon .336 +.015 .321 -.034 .355 -.074 .429 +.125 .304
xwOBAcon .320 -.025 .345 +.006 .339 -.055 .394 +.078 .316
BACON .296 +.005 .291 -.042 .333 -.038 .371 +.077 .294
xBACON .285 -.030 .315 +.005 .310 -.024 .334 +.043 .291
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.4 +5.2 32.2 +1.9 30.3 -14.1 44.4 -2.7 47.1
Avg Exit Velocity 85.9 -0.2 86.1 -0.1 86.2 -4.6 90.8 -2.4 93.2
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 28.2 -3.2 31.4 +3.4 28.0 -2.0 30.0 +4.5 25.5
Barrel % 6.3 +0.4 5.9 +1.4 4.5 -6.4 10.9 +5.0 5.9
Avg Launch Angle 5.2 -4.9 10.1 +0.5 9.6 +2.7 6.9 +4.0 2.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 -0.1 71.7 +0.4 71.3 +0.5 70.8 -- --
Attack Angle -1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.1 -0.3 48.4 -0.4 48.8 -2.8 51.6 -- --
Attack Direction -1° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 32° 31° 32° -1° 32° -- --
Swing Length 7.1 0.0 7.1 +0.1 7.0 0.0 7.0 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.1 -0.1 96.2 +1.1 95.1 +0.7 94.4 -1.5 95.9
Breaking Velocity 85.6 -0.5 86.1 +0.7 85.4 +2.4 83.0 -0.3 83.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.6 -0.6 88.2 -0.2 88.4 +0.2 88.2 -1.0 89.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 13 -14 27 +6 21 -25 46 +43 3
Popup % 5.8 -0.5 6.3 -0.8 7.1 +2.4 4.7 -3.1 7.8
Flyball % 22.3 -1.0 23.3 +1.3 22.0 -0.2 22.2 +8.5 13.7
Line Drive % 16.5 -5.7 22.2 -0.2 22.4 +1.6 20.8 +7.1 13.7
Groundball % 55.3 +7.2 48.1 -0.4 48.5 -3.7 52.2 -12.5 64.7
Pull % 38.3 +1.3 37.0 +2.8 34.2 +1.8 32.4 -4.9 37.3
Straight Away % 38.3 +0.8 37.5 -1.4 38.9 -0.1 39.0 -0.2 39.2
Opposite Field % 23.3 -2.2 25.5 -1.4 26.9 -1.7 28.6 +5.1 23.5
Weak Contact % 7.8 +1.5 6.3 +1.2 5.1 +3.2 1.9 -0.1 2.0
Pull Airball % 11.7 -1.8 13.5 +2.8 10.7 -0.6 11.3 +3.5 7.8
Topped Contact % 42.2 +7.6 34.6 -4.7 39.3 -2.1 41.4 -5.7 47.1
Under Contact % 18.9 -4.2 23.1 +1.7 21.4 +3.9 17.5 +1.8 15.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 18.9 -5.9 24.8 +1.5 23.3 -1.0 24.3 +0.8 23.5
Solid Contact % 5.8 +0.8 5.0 -1.4 6.4 +2.4 4.0 -1.9 5.9
HR/FB % 21.7 +5.8 15.9 -1.6 17.5 -10.2 27.7 +27.7 0.0
Popups 12 -17 29 -4 33 +13 20 +16 4
Flyballs 46 -61 107 +4 103 +9 94 +87 7
Line Drives 34 -68 102 -3 105 +17 88 +81 7
Groundballs 114 -107 221 -6 227 +6 221 +188 33
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.3 -1.6 46.9 -2.2 49.1 -0.8 49.9 -1.9 51.8
Out of Zone % 54.7 +1.6 53.1 +2.2 50.9 +0.8 50.1 +1.9 48.2
Edge % 39.7 -5.0 44.7 +2.5 42.2 +0.3 41.9 +0.2 41.7
Zone Swing % 60.1 -2.0 62.1 -4.0 66.1 +0.8 65.3 +4.7 60.6
Out of Zone Swing % 26.2 -3.2 29.4 +2.1 27.3 -0.3 27.6 -1.3 28.9
In Zone Contact % 84.0 +3.4 80.6 -0.7 81.3 -3.9 85.2 -3.5 88.7
Out of Zone Contact % 56.7 +0.3 56.4 -3.6 60.0 +8.4 51.6 +0.4 51.2
Whiff % 25.4 -2.4 27.8 +2.7 25.1 +0.3 24.8 +1.9 22.9
First Strike % 57.9 +2.1 55.8 -4.5 60.3 +2.0 58.3 -5.4 63.7
First Pitch Swing % 28.5 +1.5 27.0 -3.2 30.2 -1.7 31.9 +4.4 27.5
Swing % 41.5 -3.3 44.8 -1.5 46.3 -0.1 46.4 +1.1 45.3
Meatball Swing % 77.1 +7.4 69.7 -0.3 70.0 -4.3 74.3 -1.7 76.0
Meatball % 5.9 -0.9 6.8 -0.8 7.6 -0.1 7.7 -0.4 8.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.0 -3.4 19.4 +0.7 18.7 +3.9 14.8 +3.5 11.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 43.3 -0.3 43.6 +3.6 40.0 -8.4 48.4 -0.4 48.8
In Zone 634 -755 1,389 -29 1,418 +62 1,356 +1,196 160
Out of Zone 767 -806 1,573 +102 1,471 +107 1,364 +1,215 149
Edge 556 -767 1,323 +105 1,218 +78 1,140 +1,011 129
In Zone Swings 381 -482 863 -74 937 +51 886 +789 97
Out of Zone Swings 201 -262 463 +61 402 +26 376 +333 43
In Zone Swing & Misses 61 -106 167 -8 175 +44 131 +120 11
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 87 -115 202 +41 161 -21 182 +161 21
Basic
Pitches 1,401 -1,561 2,962 +73 2,889 +169 2,720 +2,411 309
PA 340 -389 729 +17 712 +47 665 +585 80
AB 291 -370 661 +16 645 +46 599 +526 73
Hits 61 -72 133 -23 156 -1 157 +142 15
Singles 42 -51 93 -27 120 +25 95 +85 10
Doubles 9 -11 20 +4 16 -18 34 +30 4
Triples 0 -3 3 +1 2 0 2 +1 1
Home Runs 10 -7 17 -1 18 -8 26 +26 0
Walks 44 -13 57 -3 60 +5 55 +48 7
Strikeouts 86 -120 206 +27 179 +1 178 +156 22
K% 25.3 -3.0 28.3 +3.2 25.1 -1.7 26.8 -0.7 27.5
BB% 12.9 +5.1 7.8 -0.6 8.4 +0.1 8.3 -0.5 8.8
HBP 4 -3 7 +2 5 -4 9 +9 0
Batted Balls 206 -253 459 -9 468 +45 423 +372 51
Fastball Percent 62.1 +0.5 61.6 -6.5 68.1 -1.7 69.8 +3.5 66.3
Offspeed Percent 9.6 -2.4 12.0 -0.5 12.5 +7.7 4.8 +2.5 2.3
Breaking Percent 28.3 +1.9 26.4 +7.1 19.3 -6.1 25.4 -6.0 31.4
Number of Fastballs 870 -954 1,824 -144 1,968 +69 1,899 +1,694 205
Number of Offspeed 134 -222 356 -6 362 +232 130 +123 7
Number of Breaking 397 -385 782 +223 559 -132 691 +594 97
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 80 .254 31 3 9.7 49 40 81.6
2023 Shades 664 .341 355 16 4.5 309 182 58.9
2024 Shades 712 .296 333 104 31.2 379 196 51.7
2025 Shades 727 .262 351 26 7.4 376 218 58.0
2026 Shades 336 .304 145 36 24.8 191 111 58.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 101 20.1 9.9% 3.0% 41 24.9 0.0% 9.8%
2023 834 16.2 31.7% 0.5% 384 19.5 2.6% 0.8%
2024 830 17.6 19.6% 0.8% 464 18.8 3.4% 0.4%
2025 939 17.9 18.0% 0.3% 385 19.6 2.1% 1.0%
2026 438 18.6 11.0% 2.3% 219 20.5 0.0% 5.9%

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Pitch Distribution