P | Tampa Bay Rays
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 195 lbs | Age: 31
Draft: 2016 | Rd. 3, No. 93, Minnesota Twins | Air Force
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 6 10 3.86 71 0 4 65.1 68 1.18
2024 5 5 2.03 72 0 10 71 95 0.87
2025 1 7 4.23 73 2 0 66 99 1.29
5 Seasons 23 31 4.04 299 16 15 356.2 405 1.15
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 71 6-10 3.86 65.1 68 1.18
2024 72 5-5 2.03 71 95 0.87
2025 73 1-7 4.23 66 99 1.29
5 Seasons 299 23-31 4.04 356.2 405 1.15
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 26 1394 261 33 12.6 9.2 90.8 113.3 19.8 33.0 .251 .524 .358 .358 .404 43.7 18.1 8.1 6.37 5.66
2022 27 1157 189 13 6.9 4.5 88.1 110.8 10.6 33.9 .220 .353 .265 .278 .349 37.0 26.9 6.9 3.36 3.17
2023 28 1047 183 6 3.3 2.2 86.8 109.0 6.9 29.0 .214 .310 .283 .263 .308 33.3 24.8 6.9 3.86 2.86
2024 29 1068 163 13 8.0 4.7 88.2 111.3 6.3 23.9 .186 .305 .227 .239 .335 38.7 34.4 5.4 2.03 2.35
2025 30 1093 161 15 9.3 5.3 89.2 110.9 6.7 38.5 .230 .354 .299 .282 .409 44.1 35.0 7.4 4.23 3.28
Player 5759 957 80 8.4 5.4 88.8 113.3 11.0 31.8 .222 .377 .290 .288 .364 39.6 27.3 7.0
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Jax relies on 6 pitches.
Sweeper
(43.7%) ,
Changeup
(22.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(17.8%) ,
Sinker
(11.6%) ,
Cutter
(4.0%) ,
Curveball
(0.5%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 32.2 67.8 41.8 18.8 7.3 41.8 33.7 24.5 17.2 13.0 1.9 24.5 20.7 22.6
2022 46.0 54.0 24.9 24.3 4.8 32.3 40.7 27.0 21.2 19.0 5.8 11.1 21.7 21.2
2023 56.8 43.2 17.5 19.7 6.0 39.9 32.8 27.3 26.8 20.2 9.8 13.1 12.6 17.5
2024 52.1 47.9 23.9 17.8 6.1 40.5 35.0 24.5 26.4 19.0 6.7 14.1 16.0 17.8
2025 46.6 53.4 20.5 28.6 4.3 43.5 34.8 21.7 22.4 18.6 5.6 21.1 16.1 16.1
Player 45.5 54.5 27.2 21.5 5.9 39.6 35.3 25.1 22.3 17.6 5.6 17.3 17.8 19.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 2.3 23.0 34.5 16.5 11.1 12.6 9.2
2022 3.7 39.2 23.3 20.1 6.3 6.9 4.5
2023 5.5 44.8 20.2 21.3 4.9 3.3 2.2
2024 6.7 39.9 19.0 22.7 3.7 8.0 4.7
2025 4.3 32.9 19.9 27.3 5.6 9.3 5.3
Player 4.3 34.9 24.5 21.0 6.8 8.4 5.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Changeup TB R 244 92.3 29.8 0.8 14.2ARM -1.1 2.4 1.7 14.2ARM -0.2
2025 4-Seam Fastball TB R 195 97.0 12.6 1.3 5.8ARM -2.7 16.4 0.6 5.8ARM -1.8
2025 Curveball TB R 5 86.0 47.3 1.1 8.6GLV 1.6 -10.3 0.4 8.6GLV -0.5
2025 Sweeper TB R 478 87.8 38.5 3.0 14.0GLV 2.1 -2.9 4.0 14.0GLV 0.1
2025 Cutter TB R 44 93.4 23.8 -1.4 2.2GLV 1.2 7.2 -1.1 2.2GLV 0.0
2025 Sinker TB R 127 96.5 19.0 -3.0 14.3ARM -1.3 10.4 -3.0 14.3ARM -0.8
2024 Curveball MIN R 66 86.5 50.6 5.9 4.5GLV -1.1 -14.0 4.0 4.5GLV -4.9
2024 Sweeper MIN R 400 88.8 36.3 1.6 13.0GLV 2.0 -1.6 3.1 13.0GLV -1.1
2024 Changeup MIN R 178 92.3 29.8 1.6 13.9ARM -1.3 2.3 2.6 13.9ARM -0.3
2024 Sinker MIN R 99 96.7 19.1 -2.7 15.0ARM -0.5 10.2 -3.0 15.0ARM 0.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 325 97.1 12.7 1.1 6.0ARM -2.3 16.2 0.5 6.0ARM -1.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Sweeper 0.9 5 478 43.7 120 .223 .295 .273 46.5 49.2 32.4 .196 .295 .244 39.6
2025 Changeup 1.8 4 244 22.3 70 .182 .273 .218 46.5 41.4 31.2 .177 .227 .200 39.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball -2.4 -5 195 17.8 57 .320 .620 .429 19.1 15.8 16.4 .321 .598 .423 57.1
2025 Sinker -0.3 0 127 11.6 25 .333 .524 .448 16.4 8.0 14.3 .310 .457 .377 45.0
2025 Cutter -0.5 0 44 4.0 5 .400 .800 .500 28.6 0.0 0.0 .279 .296 .254 0.0
2025 Curveball -15.5 -1 5 0.5 3 .667 .667 .600 0.0 0.0 0.0 .521 .594 .484 66.7
2024 Sweeper 0.9 4 400 37.5 96 .216 .273 .248 45.3 43.8 25.5 .168 .223 .208 25.5
2024 4-Seam Fastball 2.7 9 325 30.4 82 .154 .295 .225 29.6 29.3 27.9 .221 .422 .295 51.9
2024 Changeup 1.4 2 178 16.7 58 .173 .288 .257 47.6 32.8 28.4 .165 .286 .237 35.3
2024 Sinker 2.6 3 99 9.3 24 .217 .261 .269 20.0 8.3 22.2 .169 .193 .184 33.3
2024 Curveball 1.6 1 66 6.2 15 .133 .267 .167 33.3 53.3 17.8 .213 .419 .271 57.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 223 92.3 76 15.0 1:45 2:45 -60
2025 Cutter 44 93.4 40 7.1 12:15 11:15 60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 194 97.0 82 17.0 1:00 12:45 15
2025 Sinker 126 96.5 79 17.8 1:00 2:00 -60
2025 Sweeper 478 87.8 48 15.7 7:30 8:30 -60
2024 Changeup 162 92.3 75 14.6 1:45 2:45 -60
2024 Curveball 64 86.5 63 17.0 7:00 6:30 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 321 97.1 82 16.9 1:00 12:45 15
2024 Sinker 98 96.7 80 18.4 1:00 2:00 -60
2024 Sweeper 386 88.8 41 14.3 7:30 8:30 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 359 1,394 -3 5 -11 -8 -17
2022 287 1,157 5 9 -1 -4 8
2023 273 1,047 2 10 -5 -4 3
2024 275 1,068 9 15 -3 -3 18
2025 280 1,093 1 6 -1 -3 3
Player 1,474 5,759 15 45 -22 15 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,394 49.9 69.0 86.3 27.7 59.6 41.7 59.2 48.3 21.4 8.8 81.1
2022 1,157 50.0 64.2 82.0 33.4 48.2 42.8 64.9 48.8 29.6 6.9 56.3
2023 1,047 53.2 62.8 82.9 31.4 51.9 43.8 56.0 48.1 26.6 7.3 75.0
2024 1,068 50.1 65.8 75.6 38.3 39.2 41.3 71.3 52.1 37.8 7.4 70.9
2025 1,093 47.9 64.1 79.8 38.1 36.4 43.1 67.5 50.6 37.3 8.1 64.8
Player 5,759 50.2 65.4 81.6 33.5 46.5 42.5 63.6 49.5 30.2 7.7 70.6
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 8 32 3 1 40 16 2 9 13 15 52 16 48 32 70 79 14
2022 78 71 68 61 77 62 57 59 59 74 61 76 87 76 87 13
2023 95 83 93 94 89 95 97 88 85 60 73 55 78 89 84 39
2024 99 97 94 82 100 64 43 68 50 97 89 98 99 91 93 96 46
2025 81 66 75 77 76 62 32 50 20 98 63 98 99 86 90 45
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.98 23 23.6 -1 7 11 15 65.2
2022 25.25 7 7.8 -1 6 4 4 57.1
2023 25.69 5 5.2 0 3 3 3 60.0
2024 24.30 4 6.3 -2 5 5 2 50.0
2025 24.80 7 6.2 1 3 5 2 28.6
Player 24.54 46 49.2 -3 24 28 26 56.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 23 25 21 22 26 24 26 28 20 19 20 28 23 22 24 27 23 24 25 26 24 24 27 25 19 21 26 21 23 22 24
2022 7 6 8 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 7 9 8 8 8 7 9 7 8 9 8 9 9 6 8 7 9 9 8 9
2023 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 5 6 4 5 7 5 4 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 5 7 7 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
2024 4 6 5 7 6 6 7 7 5 4 5 6 8 6 7 5 6 6 7 6 7 7 10 8 7 7 6 5 9 5 4
2025 7 5 5 8 8 8 6 5 7 5 6 8 7 9 6 3 7 5 5 9 5 5 8 5 4 5 7 8 6 6 5
Player 46 46 43 49 53 51 52 52 45 39 44 56 52 49 51 49 49 49 49 55 49 49 61 54 40 45 51 48 52 46 47
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .249 +.065 .184 -.048 .232 +.020 .212 -.044 .256
xBA .230 +.044 .186 -.028 .214 -.006 .220 -.031 .251
OBP .307 +.073 .234 -.063 .297 +.024 .273 -.049 .322
xOBP .291 +.055 .236 -.044 .280 -.002 .282 -.038 .320
SLG .385 +.104 .281 -.063 .344 +.011 .333 -.204 .537
xSLG .354 +.049 .305 -.005 .310 -.043 .353 -.171 .524
ISO .136 +.038 .098 -.014 .112 -.009 .121 -.160 .281
xISO .124 +.005 .119 +.022 .097 -.036 .133 -.140 .273
BABIP .375 +.103 .272 -.027 .299 +.028 .271 +.023 .248
wOBA .299 +.072 .227 -.056 .283 +.018 .265 -.093 .358
xwOBA .282 +.043 .239 -.024 .263 -.015 .278 -.080 .358
wOBACON .438 +.124 .314 -.023 .337 +.008 .329 -.076 .405
xwOBACON .409 +.074 .335 +.027 .308 -.041 .349 -.055 .404
BACON .403 +.113 .290 -.029 .319 +.021 .298 -.016 .314
xBACON .374 +.079 .295 +.002 .293 -.018 .311 .000 .311
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 44.1 +5.4 38.7 +5.4 33.3 -3.7 37.0 -6.7 43.7
Avg Exit Velocity 89.2 +1.0 88.2 +1.4 86.8 -1.3 88.1 -2.7 90.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 38.5 +14.6 23.9 -5.1 29.0 -4.9 33.9 +0.9 33.0
Barrel % 9.3 +1.3 8.0 +4.7 3.3 -3.6 6.9 -5.7 12.6
Avg Launch Angle 6.7 +0.4 6.3 -0.6 6.9 -3.7 10.6 -9.2 19.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 +0.7 70.9 +0.1 70.8 -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 11° +2° +1° -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 55.6 +1.6 54.0 +2.2 51.8 -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -4° -5° -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32° 32° -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.5 +0.2 7.3 +0.2 7.1 -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 96.4 -0.6 97.0 +0.8 96.2 +0.8 95.4 +2.8 92.6
Breaking Velocity 87.8 -0.7 88.5 +1.8 86.7 +0.6 86.1 +3.6 82.5
Offspeed Velocity 92.3 0.0 92.3 +1.2 91.1 +1.3 89.8 +3.6 86.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 15 +2 13 +7 6 -7 13 -20 33
Popup % 4.3 -1.8 6.1 +0.1 6.0 +1.2 4.8 -2.5 7.3
Flyball % 20.5 -3.4 23.9 +6.4 17.5 -7.4 24.9 -16.9 41.8
Line Drive % 28.6 +10.8 17.8 -1.9 19.7 -4.6 24.3 +5.5 18.8
Groundball % 46.6 -5.5 52.1 -4.7 56.8 +10.8 46.0 +13.8 32.2
Pull % 43.5 +3.0 40.5 +0.6 39.9 +7.6 32.3 -9.5 41.8
Straight Away % 34.8 -0.2 35.0 +2.2 32.8 -7.9 40.7 +7.0 33.7
Opposite Field % 21.7 -2.8 24.5 -2.8 27.3 +0.3 27.0 +2.5 24.5
Weak Contact % 4.3 -2.4 6.7 +1.2 5.5 +1.8 3.7 +1.4 2.3
Pull Airball % 21.1 +7.0 14.1 +1.0 13.1 +2.0 11.1 -13.4 24.5
Topped Contact % 32.9 -7.0 39.9 -4.9 44.8 +5.6 39.2 +16.2 23.0
Under Contact % 19.9 +0.9 19.0 -1.2 20.2 -3.1 23.3 -11.2 34.5
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.3 +4.6 22.7 +1.4 21.3 +1.2 20.1 +3.6 16.5
Solid Contact % 5.6 +1.9 3.7 -1.2 4.9 -1.4 6.3 -4.8 11.1
HR/FB % 21.2 +10.9 10.3 -5.3 15.6 +0.7 14.9 -6.2 21.1
Popups 7 -3 10 -1 11 +2 9 -10 19
Flyballs 33 -6 39 +7 32 -15 47 -62 109
Line Drives 46 +17 29 -7 36 -10 46 -3 49
Groundballs 75 -10 85 -19 104 +17 87 +3 84
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.9 -2.2 50.1 -3.1 53.2 +3.2 50.0 +0.1 49.9
Out of Zone % 52.1 +2.2 49.9 +3.1 46.8 -3.2 50.0 -0.1 50.1
Edge % 43.1 +1.8 41.3 -2.5 43.8 +1.0 42.8 +1.1 41.7
Zone Swing % 64.1 -1.7 65.8 +3.0 62.8 -1.4 64.2 -4.8 69.0
Out of Zone Swing % 38.1 -0.2 38.3 +6.9 31.4 -2.0 33.4 +5.7 27.7
In Zone Contact % 79.8 +4.2 75.6 -7.3 82.9 +0.9 82.0 -4.3 86.3
Out of Zone Contact % 36.4 -2.8 39.2 -12.7 51.9 +3.7 48.2 -11.4 59.6
Whiff % 37.3 -0.5 37.8 +11.2 26.6 -3.0 29.6 +8.2 21.4
First Strike % 67.5 -3.8 71.3 +15.3 56.0 -8.9 64.9 +5.7 59.2
First Pitch Swing % 36.8 +0.1 36.7 +14.0 22.7 -7.5 30.2 -1.5 31.7
Swing % 50.6 -1.5 52.1 +4.0 48.1 -0.7 48.8 +0.5 48.3
Meatball Swing % 64.8 -6.1 70.9 -4.1 75.0 +18.7 56.3 -24.8 81.1
Meatball % 8.1 +0.7 7.4 +0.1 7.3 +0.4 6.9 -1.9 8.8
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.2 -4.2 24.4 +7.3 17.1 -0.9 18.0 +4.2 13.8
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 63.6 +2.8 60.8 +12.7 48.1 -3.7 51.8 +11.4 40.4
In Zone 524 -11 535 -22 557 -22 579 -117 696
Out of Zone 569 +36 533 +43 490 -88 578 -120 698
Edge 471 +30 441 -18 459 -36 495 -86 581
In Zone Swings 336 -16 352 +2 350 -22 372 -108 480
Out of Zone Swings 217 +13 204 +50 154 -39 193 0 193
In Zone Swing & Misses 68 -18 86 +26 60 -7 67 +1 66
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 138 +14 124 +50 74 -26 100 +22 78
Basic
Pitches 1,093 +25 1,068 +21 1,047 -110 1,157 -237 1,394
PA 283 +7 276 +2 274 -16 290 -70 360
AB 257 +1 256 +6 250 -14 264 -56 320
Hits 64 +17 47 -11 58 +2 56 -26 82
Singles 44 +11 33 -9 42 +2 40 +2 38
Doubles 12 +5 7 -2 9 +2 7 -14 21
Triples 1 -2 3 +1 2 0 2 +2 0
Home Runs 7 +3 4 -1 5 -2 7 -16 23
Walks 21 +6 15 -4 19 -1 20 -9 29
Strikeouts 99 +4 95 +27 68 -10 78 +13 65
K% 35.0 +0.6 34.4 +9.6 24.8 -2.1 26.9 +8.8 18.1
BB% 7.4 +2.0 5.4 -1.5 6.9 0.0 6.9 -1.2 8.1
HBP 1 -1 2 -2 4 +1 3 -2 5
Batted Balls 161 -2 163 -20 183 -6 189 -72 261
Number of Fastballs 366 -58 424 +23 401 +11 390 -230 620
Number of Offspeed 244 +66 178 +85 93 -65 158 -56 214
Number of Breaking 5 -61 66 +65 1 -48 49 -77 126
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 359 .358 215 29 13.5 144 112 77.8
2022 Shifts 286 .261 186 43 23.1 100 72 72.0
2023 Shades 273 .283 157 14 8.9 116 77 66.4
2024 Shades 275 .227 145 6 4.1 130 80 61.5
2025 Shades 280 .299 137 5 3.6 143 108 75.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 437 15.8 38.9% 0.5% 162 25.0 0.0% 8.0%
2022 289 20.1 1.4% 5.2% 213 22.7 0.0% 4.7%
2023 279 16.2 25.1% 0.4% 174 19.5 1.1% 1.1%
2024 279 15.5 40.5% 0.0% 149 18.2 4.7% 1.3%
2025 278 15.7 32.4% 0.4% 165 17.9 4.2% 1.2%

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Pitch Distribution