P | Cincinnati Reds
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 248 lbs | Age: 28
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 6, No. 174, Cincinnati Reds | Alabama - Birmingham
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 5 5 5.24 15 15 0 77.1 57 1.50
2025 8 5 3.99 62 0 0 65.1 64 1.42
2026 1 1 3.86 23 0 1 23.1 25 1.37
5 Seasons 26 26 4.71 145 60 1 416.2 328 1.42
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 15 5-5 5.24 77.1 57 1.50
2025 62 8-5 3.99 65.1 64 1.42
2026 23 1-1 3.86 23.1 25 1.37
5 Seasons 145 26-26 4.71 416.2 328 1.42
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1756 355 17 4.8 3.7 86.9 115.9 3.8 31.0 .263 .386 .326 .313 .336 36.3 15.3 6.5 4.89 3.99
2023 25 2324 450 31 6.9 5.0 88.4 112.3 8.1 34.0 .268 .430 .339 .339 .373 38.9 17.8 8.3 4.76 4.93
2024 26 1342 260 20 7.8 5.7 90.6 113.7 8.8 31.9 .275 .443 .342 .349 .382 42.7 16.3 7.7 5.24 5.10
2025 27 1039 195 8 4.1 2.8 84.8 112.8 4.7 30.3 .243 .337 .309 .290 .335 32.3 22.5 8.8 4.00 3.46
2026 28 398 56 4 8.0 4.1 90.1 107.1 12.7 26.8 .216 .335 .308 .314 .354 37.5 25.8 16.5 3.86 3.93
Player 6859 1316 80 6.1 4.4 88.0 115.9 6.8 31.9 .261 .402 .330 .326 .359 37.9 18.0 8.2
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ashcraft relies on 2 pitches.
Cutter
(50.5%) ,
Slider
(49.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 54.6 45.4 18.9 22.5 3.9 35.2 37.7 27.0 25.6 20.0 9.0 9.6 17.7 18.0
2023 48.0 52.0 22.4 24.4 5.1 34.2 41.1 24.7 21.6 20.0 6.4 12.7 21.1 18.2
2024 49.2 50.8 22.7 22.7 5.4 34.6 37.7 27.7 22.3 20.4 6.5 12.3 17.3 21.2
2025 58.5 41.5 12.8 23.6 5.1 33.3 32.8 33.8 23.6 20.5 14.4 9.7 12.3 19.5
2026 53.6 46.4 23.2 21.4 1.8 48.2 33.9 17.9 26.8 23.2 3.6 21.4 10.7 14.3
Player 51.8 48.2 20.1 23.3 4.7 35.0 38.0 27.0 23.3 20.3 8.2 11.7 17.7 18.8
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.6 42.3 16.3 27.0 3.7 4.8 3.7
2023 5.3 36.2 20.7 26.0 4.4 6.9 5.0
2024 1.9 38.1 20.8 24.6 5.8 7.8 5.7
2025 8.7 42.1 13.3 27.2 4.1 4.1 2.8
2026 3.6 26.8 25.0 23.2 3.6 8.0 4.1
Player 5.2 38.7 18.6 26.1 4.4 6.1 4.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slider CIN R 197 90.7 33.7 2.1 7.8GLV 4.9 -0.4 1.8 7.8GLV 3.7
2026 Cutter CIN R 201 98.0 16.1 0.0 0.6GLV 0.1 12.2 3.9 0.6GLV -1.7
2025 Slider CIN R 477 89.8 36.2 3.8 10.1GLV 6.0 -2.2 4.0 10.1GLV 5.8
2025 Cutter CIN R 562 97.1 19.1 0.1 2.5GLV 0.1 9.7 1.3 2.5GLV 0.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Cutter -1.4 -3 201 50.5 48 .324 .500 .495 17.2 6.3 6.4 .299 .488 .452 38.7
2026 Slider 1.5 3 197 49.5 48 .106 .234 .180 44.4 45.8 34.9 .161 .233 .181 36.0
2025 Cutter -1.3 -8 562 54.1 164 .328 .438 .401 18.2 10.4 15.3 .309 .442 .379 34.7
2025 Slider 1.5 7 477 45.9 120 .197 .274 .228 41.8 39.2 26.6 .165 .215 .173 28.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Cutter 201 98.0 60 11.7 12:30 11:45 45
2026 Slider 195 90.7 30 9.0 7:30 8:30 -60
2025 Cutter 560 97.1 48 9.5 12:15 11:30 45
2025 Slider 474 89.8 38 11.6 7:30 8:15 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 463 1,756 -2 12 -9 -8 -6
2023 623 2,324 6 16 -17 -13 -8
2024 350 1,342 1 5 -11 -7 -12
2025 284 1,039 0 5 -3 -3 0
2026 96 398 6 -1 -4 -1 0
Player 1,816 6,859 12 37 -44 12 -26
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,756 50.5 70.1 88.4 28.3 63.8 42.7 58.4 49.4 18.6 7.0 82.9
2023 2,324 51.2 68.0 86.5 27.4 54.3 43.1 59.8 48.2 22.3 8.3 75.0
2024 1,342 50.0 72.3 86.8 26.2 53.4 42.5 56.0 49.3 22.1 7.6 86.3
2025 1,039 47.1 63.4 83.5 38.2 50.5 42.2 61.6 50.0 29.8 7.1 56.8
2026 398 46.5 60.0 84.7 31.0 42.4 41.7 54.6 44.5 31.1 6.5 57.7
Player 6,859 49.9 68.3 86.6 29.3 54.9 42.7 58.7 48.8 22.9 7.5 75.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 24 54 11 32 42 93 38 83 36 6 6 70 88 63 92 3
2023 18 45 5 47 21 89 76 64 30 22 14 50 69 51 77 2
2024 10 4 86 20 8 63 81 7 21 22 6 53 48 16 82 1
2025 37 11 86 74 99 100 82 49 36 97 97 96
2026 45 21 86 50 27 55 86 74 3 45 61 89
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.64 11 9.2 2 5 8 3 27.3
2023 23.35 23 17.2 6 6 14 7 30.4
2024 22.78 11 8.6 2 6 11 1 9.1
2025 23.80 2 2.4 0 4 2 1 50.0
2026 25.31 2 1.1 1 2 1 0 0.0
Player 23.61 49 38.4 11 23 36 12 24.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 11 7 9 8 9 10 10 6 6 8 8 9 11 9 10 12 9 8 10 8 10 10 13 11 7 9 10 10 9 11 10
2023 23 15 14 16 21 17 18 14 15 13 16 18 17 15 20 19 22 15 18 22 15 15 25 21 14 14 14 19 20 18 15
2024 11 10 6 11 6 9 11 10 6 5 6 11 10 5 8 8 7 8 10 15 9 5 15 9 7 7 7 12 10 9 5
2025 2 2 3 4 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 5 1 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 4 4 2 2 1 2 3 2 2
2026 2 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 1
Player 49 37 32 40 41 39 42 33 29 29 33 40 41 35 40 42 41 34 42 50 35 34 58 48 31 32 32 44 44 41 33
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .198 -.070 .268 -.014 .282 +.017 .265 -.016 .281
xBA .216 -.027 .243 -.032 .275 +.007 .268 +.005 .263
OBP .330 -.003 .333 -.016 .349 +.011 .338 .000 .338
xOBP .354 +.043 .311 -.033 .344 +.003 .341 +.019 .322
SLG .346 -.016 .362 -.072 .434 -.010 .444 +.040 .404
xSLG .335 -.002 .337 -.106 .443 +.013 .430 +.044 .386
ISO .148 +.054 .094 -.058 .152 -.027 .179 +.056 .123
xISO .119 +.025 .094 -.075 .169 +.007 .162 +.039 .123
BABIP .259 -.092 .351 +.038 .313 +.020 .293 -.021 .314
wOBA .308 -.001 .309 -.033 .342 +.003 .339 +.013 .326
xwOBA .314 +.024 .290 -.059 .349 +.010 .339 +.026 .313
wOBAcon .339 -.024 .363 -.010 .373 .000 .373 +.020 .353
xwOBAcon .354 +.019 .335 -.047 .382 +.009 .373 +.037 .336
BACON .286 -.072 .358 +.016 .342 +.012 .330 -.005 .335
xBACON .324 -.001 .325 -.011 .336 +.001 .335 +.021 .314
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 37.5 +5.2 32.3 -10.4 42.7 +3.8 38.9 +2.6 36.3
Avg Exit Velocity 90.1 +5.3 84.8 -5.8 90.6 +2.2 88.4 +1.5 86.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 26.8 -3.5 30.3 -1.6 31.9 -2.1 34.0 +3.0 31.0
Barrel % 8.0 +3.9 4.1 -3.7 7.8 +0.9 6.9 +2.1 4.8
Avg Launch Angle 12.7 +8.0 4.7 -4.1 8.8 +0.7 8.1 +4.3 3.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.6 +0.6 71.0 -0.5 71.5 +0.5 71.0 -- --
Attack Angle +2° +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.8 +3.3 43.5 -5.2 48.7 +2.3 46.4 -- --
Attack Direction -2° -2° +1° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° 33° 33° -- --
Swing Length 7.2 0.0 7.2 +0.1 7.1 +0.1 7.0 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 98.0 +0.9 97.1 +1.7 95.4 -0.5 95.9 -1.3 97.2
Breaking Velocity 90.7 +0.9 89.8 +1.4 88.4 +0.1 88.3 +2.5 85.8
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- 91.5 +1.1 90.4 +0.6 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 -4 8 -12 20 -11 31 +14 17
Popup % 1.8 -3.3 5.1 -0.3 5.4 +0.3 5.1 +1.2 3.9
Flyball % 23.2 +10.4 12.8 -9.9 22.7 +0.3 22.4 +3.5 18.9
Line Drive % 21.4 -2.2 23.6 +0.9 22.7 -1.7 24.4 +1.9 22.5
Groundball % 53.6 -4.9 58.5 +9.3 49.2 +1.2 48.0 -6.6 54.6
Pull % 48.2 +14.9 33.3 -1.3 34.6 +0.4 34.2 -1.0 35.2
Straight Away % 33.9 +1.1 32.8 -4.9 37.7 -3.4 41.1 +3.4 37.7
Opposite Field % 17.9 -15.9 33.8 +6.1 27.7 +3.0 24.7 -2.3 27.0
Weak Contact % 3.6 -5.1 8.7 +6.8 1.9 -3.4 5.3 -0.3 5.6
Pull Airball % 21.4 +11.7 9.7 -2.6 12.3 -0.4 12.7 +3.1 9.6
Topped Contact % 26.8 -15.3 42.1 +4.0 38.1 +1.9 36.2 -6.1 42.3
Under Contact % 25.0 +11.7 13.3 -7.5 20.8 +0.1 20.7 +4.4 16.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.2 -4.0 27.2 +2.6 24.6 -1.4 26.0 -1.0 27.0
Solid Contact % 3.6 -0.5 4.1 -1.7 5.8 +1.4 4.4 +0.7 3.7
HR/FB % 15.4 +7.4 8.0 -10.6 18.6 -4.2 22.8 +6.4 16.4
Popups 1 -9 10 -4 14 -9 23 +9 14
Flyballs 13 -12 25 -34 59 -42 101 +34 67
Line Drives 12 -34 46 -13 59 -51 110 +30 80
Groundballs 30 -84 114 -14 128 -88 216 +22 194
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.5 -0.6 47.1 -2.9 50.0 -1.2 51.2 +0.7 50.5
Out of Zone % 53.5 +0.6 52.9 +2.9 50.0 +1.2 48.8 -0.7 49.5
Edge % 41.7 -0.5 42.2 -0.3 42.5 -0.6 43.1 +0.4 42.7
Zone Swing % 60.0 -3.4 63.4 -8.9 72.3 +4.3 68.0 -2.1 70.1
Out of Zone Swing % 31.0 -7.2 38.2 +12.0 26.2 -1.2 27.4 -0.9 28.3
In Zone Contact % 84.7 +1.2 83.5 -3.3 86.8 +0.3 86.5 -1.9 88.4
Out of Zone Contact % 42.4 -8.1 50.5 -2.9 53.4 -0.9 54.3 -9.5 63.8
Whiff % 31.1 +1.3 29.8 +7.7 22.1 -0.2 22.3 +3.7 18.6
First Strike % 54.6 -7.0 61.6 +5.6 56.0 -3.8 59.8 +1.4 58.4
First Pitch Swing % 25.8 -9.4 35.2 +1.5 33.7 +4.9 28.8 -0.3 29.1
Swing % 44.5 -5.5 50.0 +0.7 49.3 +1.1 48.2 -1.2 49.4
Meatball Swing % 57.7 +0.9 56.8 -29.5 86.3 +11.3 75.0 -7.9 82.9
Meatball % 6.5 -0.6 7.1 -0.5 7.6 -0.7 8.3 +1.3 7.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 15.3 -1.2 16.5 +3.3 13.2 -0.1 13.3 +1.7 11.6
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 57.6 +8.1 49.5 +2.9 46.6 +0.9 45.7 +9.5 36.2
In Zone 185 -304 489 -182 671 -519 1,190 +304 886
Out of Zone 213 -337 550 -121 671 -463 1,134 +264 870
Edge 166 -272 438 -132 570 -432 1,002 +252 750
In Zone Swings 111 -199 310 -175 485 -324 809 +188 621
Out of Zone Swings 66 -144 210 +34 176 -135 311 +65 246
In Zone Swing & Misses 17 -34 51 -13 64 -44 108 +36 72
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 38 -66 104 +22 82 -60 142 +53 89
Basic
Pitches 398 -641 1,039 -303 1,342 -982 2,324 +568 1,756
PA 97 -187 284 -66 350 -274 624 +160 464
AB 81 -173 254 -62 316 -242 558 +135 423
Hits 16 -52 68 -21 89 -59 148 +29 119
Singles 9 -39 48 -15 63 -35 98 +9 89
Doubles 4 -14 18 +3 15 -8 23 +4 19
Triples 1 +1 0 0 0 -4 4 +4 0
Home Runs 2 0 2 -9 11 -12 23 +12 11
Walks 16 -9 25 -2 27 -25 52 +22 30
Strikeouts 25 -39 64 +7 57 -54 111 +40 71
K% 25.8 +3.3 22.5 +6.2 16.3 -1.5 17.8 +2.5 15.3
BB% 16.5 +7.7 8.8 +1.1 7.7 -0.6 8.3 +1.8 6.5
HBP 0 0 0 -6 6 -4 10 +2 8
Batted Balls 56 -139 195 -65 260 -190 450 +95 355
Number of Fastballs 201 -361 562 -291 853 -602 1,455 +187 1,268
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 -60 60 +59 1 -11 12
Number of Breaking 197 -280 477 +48 429 -439 868 +392 476
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 463 .326 251 15 6.0 212 105 49.5
2023 Shades 623 .339 326 43 13.2 297 176 59.3
2024 Shades 350 .342 188 22 11.7 162 120 74.1
2025 Shades 284 .309 158 24 15.2 126 77 61.1
2026 Shades 96 .308 49 5 10.2 47 34 72.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 486 18.4 6.8% 1.0% 288 21.8 0.3% 3.1%
2023 642 15.7 33.3% 0.8% 374 17.5 8.6% 0.3%
2024 337 16.2 13.1% 1.2% 222 17.6 3.6% 0.9%
2025 231 15.6 38.5% 0.4% 191 17.2 8.9% 0.5%
2026 106 15.7 31.1% 3.8% 68 17.1 7.4% 5.9%

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Pitch Distribution