P | Cincinnati Reds
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 248 lbs | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd. 6, No. 174, Cincinnati Reds | Alabama - Birmingham
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 7 9 4.76 26 26 0 145.2 111 1.37
2024 5 5 5.24 15 15 0 77.1 57 1.50
2025 8 5 3.99 62 0 0 65.1 64 1.42
4 Seasons 25 25 4.76 122 60 0 393.1 303 1.42
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 26 7-9 4.76 145.2 111 1.37
2024 15 5-5 5.24 77.1 57 1.50
2025 62 8-5 3.99 65.1 64 1.42
4 Seasons 122 25-25 4.76 393.1 303 1.42
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 24 1756 355 17 4.8 3.7 86.9 115.9 3.8 31.0 .262 .375 .326 .310 .332 36.3 15.3 6.5 4.89 4.00
2023 25 2324 450 31 6.9 5.0 88.4 112.3 8.1 34.0 .272 .428 .339 .339 .374 38.9 17.8 8.3 4.76 4.93
2024 26 1342 260 20 7.7 5.7 90.6 113.7 8.8 31.9 .278 .437 .342 .346 .378 42.7 16.3 7.7 5.24 5.14
2025 27 1039 195 8 4.1 2.8 84.8 112.8 4.7 30.3 .245 .333 .309 .290 .334 32.3 22.5 8.8 4.00 3.48
Player 6461 1260 76 6.0 4.4 87.9 115.9 6.5 32.1 .266 .400 .331 .325 .357 37.9 17.6 7.8
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ashcraft relies on 2 pitches.
Cutter
(54.1%) ,
Slider
(45.9%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 54.6 45.4 18.9 22.5 3.9 35.2 37.7 27.0 25.6 20.0 9.0 9.6 17.7 18.0
2023 48.0 52.0 22.4 24.4 5.1 34.2 41.1 24.7 21.6 20.0 6.4 12.7 21.1 18.2
2024 49.2 50.8 22.7 22.7 5.4 34.6 37.7 27.7 22.3 20.4 6.5 12.3 17.3 21.2
2025 58.5 41.5 12.8 23.6 5.1 33.3 32.8 33.8 23.6 20.5 14.4 9.7 12.3 19.5
Player 51.7 48.3 20.0 23.4 4.8 34.4 38.2 27.4 23.2 20.2 8.4 11.3 18.0 19.0
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 5.6 42.3 16.3 27.0 3.7 4.8 3.7
2023 5.3 36.2 20.7 26.0 4.4 6.9 5.0
2024 1.9 38.1 20.8 24.6 5.8 7.7 5.7
2025 8.7 42.1 13.3 27.2 4.1 4.1 2.8
Player 5.2 39.2 18.3 26.2 4.4 6.0 4.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Cutter CIN R 562 97.1 19.1 0.1 2.5GLV 0.0 9.7 1.4 2.5GLV 0.3
2025 Slider CIN R 477 89.8 36.2 4.0 10.1GLV 6.1 -2.2 3.9 10.1GLV 5.5
2024 Slider CIN R 429 88.4 33.6 1.0 9.3GLV 6.2 1.3 0.4 9.3GLV 4.5
2024 Cutter CIN R 649 95.6 19.7 0.5 1.0GLV 0.1 10.0 1.7 1.0GLV -1.7
2024 Sinker CIN R 214 94.8 21.1 -1.3 8.4ARM -6.5 9.3 -2.1 8.4ARM -6.5
2024 Changeup CIN R 50 91.0 28.3 -0.6 12.1ARM -2.8 4.7 0.2 12.1ARM -2.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Cutter -1.3 -8 562 54.1 164 .328 .438 .401 18.2 10.4 15.3 .311 .434 .377 34.7
2025 Slider 1.5 7 477 45.9 120 .197 .274 .228 41.8 39.2 26.6 .168 .215 .175 28.2
2024 Cutter -1.5 -10 649 48.4 197 .329 .520 .436 16.2 11.2 14.9 .316 .492 .391 44.4
2024 Slider 1.3 6 429 32.0 88 .145 .217 .189 37.0 34.1 20.8 .190 .319 .249 38.9
2024 Sinker -2.4 -5 214 15.9 55 .314 .490 .405 11.5 5.5 7.1 .274 .446 .337 45.8
2024 Changeup -5.5 -3 50 3.7 10 .444 .444 .430 20.0 20.0 12.5 .390 .437 .397 14.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Cutter 560 97.1 48 9.5 12:15 11:30 45
2025 Slider 474 89.8 38 11.6 7:30 8:15 -45
2024 Changeup 50 91.0 72 13.3 1:15 2:30 -75
2024 Cutter 645 95.6 57 9.5 12:30 11:45 45
2024 Sinker 213 94.8 55 12.4 1:00 1:30 -30
2024 Slider 423 88.4 32 10.1 8:15 9:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 463 1,756 -1 12 -9 -8 -6
2023 623 2,324 6 16 -17 -13 -8
2024 350 1,342 1 4 -11 -7 -12
2025 284 1,039 0 5 -3 -3 0
Player 1,720 6,461 6 38 -40 6 -26
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 1,756 50.5 70.1 88.3 28.2 64.1 42.6 58.4 49.4 18.6 7.0 82.9
2023 2,324 51.3 68.0 86.4 27.3 54.4 43.0 59.8 48.2 22.3 8.3 75.0
2024 1,342 50.0 72.3 86.8 26.2 53.4 42.3 56.0 49.3 22.1 7.6 86.3
2025 1,039 47.0 63.3 83.5 38.3 50.7 42.2 61.6 50.0 29.8 7.1 56.8
Player 6,461 50.1 68.8 86.6 29.2 55.9 42.6 58.9 49.0 22.5 7.6 76.6
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 42 16 53 83 30 49 88 83 63 6 70 6 34 93 38 3
2023 21 15 32 53 16 22 68 64 51 14 50 22 29 89 76 2
2024 8 6 15 37 7 40 49 7 16 6 53 22 22 62 79 1
2025 72 44 86 98 51 93 96 99 97 49 36 82 100
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 24.64 11 9.2 2 5 8 3 27.3
2023 23.35 23 17.2 6 6 14 7 30.4
2024 22.78 11 8.6 2 6 11 1 9.1
2025 23.80 2 2.4 0 4 2 1 50.0
Player 23.54 47 37.3 10 21 35 12 25.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 11 7 9 8 9 10 10 6 6 8 8 9 11 9 10 12 9 8 10 8 10 10 13 11 7 9 10 10 9 11 10
2023 23 15 14 16 21 17 18 14 15 13 16 18 17 15 20 19 22 15 18 22 15 15 25 21 14 14 14 19 20 18 15
2024 11 10 6 11 6 9 11 10 6 5 6 11 10 5 8 8 7 8 10 15 9 5 15 9 7 7 7 12 10 9 5
2025 2 2 3 4 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 3 5 1 2 2 2 2 4 1 2 4 4 2 2 1 2 3 2 2
Player 47 34 32 39 40 38 41 32 28 28 32 39 41 34 39 41 40 33 40 49 35 32 57 45 30 32 32 43 42 40 32
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .268 -.014 .282 +.017 .265 -.016 .281
xBA .245 -.033 .278 +.006 .272 +.010 .262
OBP .333 -.016 .349 +.011 .338 .000 .338
xOBP .313 -.034 .347 +.002 .345 +.023 .322
SLG .362 -.072 .434 -.010 .444 +.040 .404
xSLG .333 -.104 .437 +.009 .428 +.053 .375
ISO .094 -.058 .152 -.027 .179 +.056 .123
xISO .088 -.071 .159 +.002 .157 +.044 .113
BABIP .351 +.038 .313 +.020 .293 -.021 .314
wOBA .309 -.033 .342 +.003 .339 +.013 .326
xwOBA .290 -.056 .346 +.007 .339 +.029 .310
wOBACON .363 -.010 .373 .000 .373 +.020 .353
xwOBACON .334 -.044 .378 +.004 .374 +.042 .332
BACON .358 +.016 .342 +.012 .330 -.005 .335
xBACON .328 -.012 .340 .000 .340 +.026 .314
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 32.3 -10.4 42.7 +3.8 38.9 +2.6 36.3
Avg Exit Velocity 84.8 -5.8 90.6 +2.2 88.4 +1.5 86.9
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 30.3 -1.6 31.9 -2.1 34.0 +3.0 31.0
Barrel % 4.1 -3.6 7.7 +0.8 6.9 +2.1 4.8
Avg Launch Angle 4.7 -4.1 8.8 +0.7 8.1 +4.3 3.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 -0.5 71.5 +0.5 71.0 -- --
Attack Angle +1° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 43.5 -5.2 48.7 +2.5 46.2 -- --
Attack Direction -2° +1° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 33° 33° -- --
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 7.1 +0.1 7.0 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.1 +1.7 95.4 -0.5 95.9 -1.3 97.2
Breaking Velocity 89.8 +1.4 88.4 +0.1 88.3 +2.5 85.8
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 91.0 +0.6 90.4 +0.6 89.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 8 -12 20 -11 31 +14 17
Popup % 5.1 -0.3 5.4 +0.3 5.1 +1.2 3.9
Flyball % 12.8 -9.9 22.7 +0.3 22.4 +3.5 18.9
Line Drive % 23.6 +0.9 22.7 -1.7 24.4 +1.9 22.5
Groundball % 58.5 +9.3 49.2 +1.2 48.0 -6.6 54.6
Pull % 33.3 -1.3 34.6 +0.4 34.2 -1.0 35.2
Straight Away % 32.8 -4.9 37.7 -3.4 41.1 +3.4 37.7
Opposite Field % 33.8 +6.1 27.7 +3.0 24.7 -2.3 27.0
Weak Contact % 8.7 +6.8 1.9 -3.4 5.3 -0.3 5.6
Pull Airball % 9.7 -2.6 12.3 -0.4 12.7 +3.1 9.6
Topped Contact % 42.1 +4.0 38.1 +1.9 36.2 -6.1 42.3
Under Contact % 13.3 -7.5 20.8 +0.1 20.7 +4.4 16.3
Flare/Burner Contact % 27.2 +2.6 24.6 -1.4 26.0 -1.0 27.0
Solid Contact % 4.1 -1.7 5.8 +1.4 4.4 +0.7 3.7
HR/FB % 8.0 -10.6 18.6 -4.2 22.8 +6.4 16.4
Popups 10 -4 14 -9 23 +9 14
Flyballs 25 -34 59 -42 101 +34 67
Line Drives 46 -13 59 -51 110 +30 80
Groundballs 114 -14 128 -88 216 +22 194
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 47.0 -3.0 50.0 -1.3 51.3 +0.8 50.5
Out of Zone % 53.0 +3.0 50.0 +1.3 48.7 -0.8 49.5
Edge % 42.2 -0.1 42.3 -0.7 43.0 +0.4 42.6
Zone Swing % 63.3 -9.0 72.3 +4.3 68.0 -2.1 70.1
Out of Zone Swing % 38.3 +12.1 26.2 -1.1 27.3 -0.9 28.2
In Zone Contact % 83.5 -3.3 86.8 +0.4 86.4 -1.9 88.3
Out of Zone Contact % 50.7 -2.7 53.4 -1.0 54.4 -9.7 64.1
Whiff % 29.8 +7.7 22.1 -0.2 22.3 +3.7 18.6
First Strike % 61.6 +5.6 56.0 -3.8 59.8 +1.4 58.4
First Pitch Swing % 35.2 +1.5 33.7 +4.9 28.8 -0.3 29.1
Swing % 50.0 +0.7 49.3 +1.1 48.2 -1.2 49.4
Meatball Swing % 56.8 -29.5 86.3 +11.3 75.0 -7.9 82.9
Meatball % 7.1 -0.5 7.6 -0.7 8.3 +1.3 7.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.5 +3.3 13.2 -0.2 13.4 +1.7 11.7
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 49.3 +2.7 46.6 +1.0 45.6 +9.7 35.9
In Zone 488 -183 671 -522 1,193 +306 887
Out of Zone 551 -120 671 -460 1,131 +262 869
Edge 438 -130 568 -431 999 +251 748
In Zone Swings 309 -176 485 -326 811 +189 622
Out of Zone Swings 211 +35 176 -133 309 +64 245
In Zone Swing & Misses 51 -13 64 -45 109 +36 73
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 104 +22 82 -59 141 +53 88
Basic
Pitches 1,039 -303 1,342 -982 2,324 +568 1,756
PA 284 -66 350 -274 624 +160 464
AB 254 -62 316 -242 558 +135 423
Hits 68 -21 89 -59 148 +29 119
Singles 48 -15 63 -35 98 +9 89
Doubles 18 +3 15 -8 23 +4 19
Triples 0 0 0 -4 4 +4 0
Home Runs 2 -9 11 -12 23 +12 11
Walks 25 -2 27 -25 52 +22 30
Strikeouts 64 +7 57 -54 111 +40 71
K% 22.5 +6.2 16.3 -1.5 17.8 +2.5 15.3
BB% 8.8 +1.1 7.7 -0.6 8.3 +1.8 6.5
HBP 0 -6 6 -4 10 +2 8
Batted Balls 195 -65 260 -190 450 +95 355
Number of Fastballs 562 -301 863 -592 1,455 +187 1,268
Number of Offspeed 0 -50 50 +49 1 -11 12
Number of Breaking 477 +48 429 -439 868 +392 476
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 463 .326 251 15 6.0 212 105 49.5
2023 Shades 623 .339 326 43 13.2 297 176 59.3
2024 Shades 350 .342 188 22 11.7 162 120 74.1
2025 Shades 284 .309 158 24 15.2 126 77 61.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 486 18.4 6.8% 1.0% 288 21.8 0.3% 3.1%
2023 642 15.7 33.3% 0.8% 374 17.5 8.6% 0.3%
2024 337 16.2 13.1% 1.2% 222 17.6 3.6% 0.9%
2025 231 15.6 38.5% 0.4% 191 17.2 8.9% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution