P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 6" 250 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 1, No. 23, Cleveland Indians | East Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 3 5 3.29 16 16 0 82 81 1.26
2024 3 10 4.86 16 16 0 76 79 1.37
2025 12 5 3.06 31 31 0 167.2 173 1.27
3 Seasons 18 20 3.54 63 63 0 325.2 333 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 16 3-5 3.29 82 81 1.26
2024 16 3-10 4.86 76 79 1.37
2025 31 12-5 3.06 167.2 173 1.27
3 Seasons 63 18-20 3.54 325.2 333 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 1386 223 12 5.4 3.5 88.0 112.1 14.6 34.1 .244 .380 .299 .316 .362 38.6 23.5 10.7 3.29 4.21
2024 24 1368 218 15 6.9 4.5 90.8 110.8 13.2 32.1 .248 .390 .315 .317 .372 44.0 23.8 9.6 4.86 4.22
2025 25 2925 445 40 9.0 5.7 90.4 115.0 9.8 35.3 .233 .396 .299 .319 .372 44.3 24.6 11.8 3.06 4.28
Player 5679 886 67 7.6 4.9 89.9 115.0 11.9 34.2 .239 .391 .303 .318 .369 42.8 24.1 11.0
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Williams relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(37.4%) ,
Curveball
(22.0%) ,
Sweeper
(19.9%) ,
Cutter
(14.0%) ,
Sinker
(6.6%) ,
Changeup
(0.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 38.6 61.4 26.5 28.7 6.3 32.7 41.3 26.0 15.7 15.7 7.2 17.0 25.6 18.8
2024 40.8 59.2 26.1 26.1 6.9 34.9 32.6 32.6 18.3 15.6 6.9 16.5 17.0 25.7
2025 46.1 53.9 26.7 22.2 4.9 38.0 39.6 22.5 22.2 19.8 4.0 15.7 19.8 18.4
Player 42.9 57.1 26.5 24.8 5.8 35.9 38.3 25.8 19.6 17.7 5.5 16.3 20.5 20.3
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 4.0 27.4 28.7 27.8 6.7 5.4 3.5
2024 2.8 30.7 28.9 24.3 6.4 6.9 4.5
2025 3.1 33.9 23.4 23.8 6.5 9.0 5.7
Player 3.3 31.5 26.1 24.9 6.5 7.6 4.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Sweeper CLE R 583 86.5 37.8 2.1 10.0GLV -2.0 -1.2 2.3 10.0GLV -3.9
2025 Changeup CLE R 2 87.6 30.7 -0.7 5.4ARM -9.0 5.0 -0.9 5.4ARM -9.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 1094 96.6 14.2 -1.2 10.9ARM 3.9 15.2 -0.6 10.9ARM 3.3
2025 Cutter CLE R 410 91.8 25.4 -1.9 2.3ARM -4.2 7.1 -1.2 2.3ARM -4.5
2025 Curveball CLE R 644 82.0 54.4 2.8 10.0GLV 2.9 -13.3 3.4 10.0GLV 0.9
2025 Sinker CLE R 192 95.9 20.1 -0.6 15.1ARM 0.2 9.7 -2.3 15.1ARM 0.0
2024 Cutter CLE R 166 91.6 26.0 -2.5 0.7GLV -1.7 6.5 -1.8 0.7GLV -1.9
2024 Changeup CLE R 74 89.2 25.9 -2.8 15.3ARM 0.4 8.5 -3.6 15.3ARM 1.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 704 96.6 14.0 -0.8 11.2ARM 3.9 15.3 -0.4 11.2ARM 3.6
2024 Slider CLE R 153 88.6 28.7 -3.8 2.7GLV -1.0 5.9 -4.2 2.7GLV -2.1
2024 Curveball CLE R 271 79.5 58.5 5.4 10.4GLV 2.3 -14.7 4.8 10.4GLV 1.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -8 1,094 37.4 247 .268 .498 .383 23.3 18.6 14.5 .275 .507 .382 50.9
2025 Curveball 0.9 6 644 22.0 156 .116 .181 .201 34.4 37.2 18.9 .171 .249 .236 33.3
2025 Sweeper 0.9 5 583 19.9 139 .181 .283 .242 44.0 42.4 25.9 .183 .318 .253 38.6
2025 Cutter 0.4 2 410 14.0 112 .233 .433 .381 18.1 6.3 10.0 .268 .430 .377 49.4
2025 Sinker 1.7 3 192 6.6 50 .277 .383 .312 8.2 6.0 10.0 .294 .469 .350 38.6
2025 Changeup 0.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 704 51.5 161 .286 .421 .362 22.0 18.0 14.6 .279 .456 .360 41.6
2024 Curveball -0.4 -1 271 19.8 80 .155 .310 .254 30.4 33.8 20.1 .179 .252 .240 44.4
2024 Cutter 0.6 1 166 12.1 43 .211 .342 .274 32.1 32.6 27.5 .224 .362 .290 48.0
2024 Slider 0.2 0 153 11.2 34 .250 .375 .294 26.9 20.6 16.3 .238 .340 .273 56.0
2024 Changeup -4.3 -3 74 5.4 14 .417 .833 .550 14.8 14.3 8.3 .387 .658 .481 30.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Curveball 642 82.0 87 19.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 Cutter 406 91.8 59 6.8 12:45 12:45 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,078 96.6 96 18.5 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Sinker 189 95.9 99 18.2 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Sweeper 578 86.6 52 11.2 7:45 8:30 -45
2024 Changeup 74 89.2 94 17.7 2:00 2:15 -15
2024 Curveball 271 79.5 93 20.7 7:00 7:00 0
2024 Cutter 165 91.6 49 5.9 12:15 11:45 30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 703 96.6 97 18.8 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Slider 153 88.6 39 6.3 11:45 11:00 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 344 1,386 9 14 -11 -5 6
2024 332 1,368 5 7 -9 -6 -3
2025 704 2,925 22 18 -19 -13 8
Player 1,380 5,679 36 38 -39 36 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,386 50.4 68.1 76.9 26.6 60.1 44.6 63.2 47.5 27.8 6.4 75.3
2024 1,368 50.3 69.2 80.9 29.0 61.4 43.1 62.7 49.2 24.8 8.2 75.9
2025 2,925 49.7 65.5 82.1 26.1 48.2 41.8 57.7 45.7 27.7 7.1 76.0
Player 5,679 50.0 67.1 80.5 26.9 54.5 42.8 60.2 47.0 27.0 7.2 75.8
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 47 49 65 75 29 68 85 72 53 50 20 63 22 79 46 23 99
2024 37 35 49 59 30 54 68 5 11 56 27 44 53 88 67 28 96
2025 35 63 47 34 28 15 39 19 19 65 7 70 22 84 45 30 90
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 22.86 8 9.0 -1 4 10 1 12.5
2024 23.71 9 9.5 -1 3 9 2 22.2
2025 25.13 23 20.5 3 12 13 12 52.2
Player 24.36 40 39.0 1 19 32 15 37.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 8 9 5 8 10 9 10 7 7 8 9 7 10 8 11 10 10 9 9 10 9 10 12 11 9 8 9 9 10 9 8
2024 9 10 7 10 8 9 11 10 6 7 9 11 11 9 9 9 10 8 11 12 9 6 12 12 9 10 9 11 10 10 9
2025 23 23 16 19 21 19 17 19 19 16 18 27 21 31 20 18 25 18 19 25 21 20 24 24 19 16 17 22 23 19 19
Player 40 42 28 37 39 37 38 36 32 31 36 45 42 48 40 37 45 35 39 47 39 36 48 47 37 34 35 42 43 38 36
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .211 -.035 .246 +.027 .219
xBA .233 -.015 .248 +.004 .244
OBP .307 -.016 .323 +.013 .310
xOBP .327 +.001 .326 -.007 .333
SLG .364 -.032 .396 +.028 .368
xSLG .396 +.006 .390 +.010 .380
ISO .153 +.003 .150 +.001 .149
xISO .163 +.021 .142 +.006 .136
BABIP .254 -.056 .310 +.040 .270
wOBA .299 -.016 .315 +.016 .299
xwOBA .319 +.002 .317 +.001 .316
wOBACON .339 -.030 .369 +.034 .335
xwOBACON .372 .000 .372 +.010 .362
BACON .293 -.039 .332 +.036 .296
xBACON .323 -.014 .337 +.006 .331
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 44.3 +0.3 44.0 +5.4 38.6
Avg Exit Velocity 90.4 -0.4 90.8 +2.8 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.3 +3.2 32.1 -2.0 34.1
Barrel % 9.0 +2.1 6.9 +1.5 5.4
Avg Launch Angle 9.8 -3.4 13.2 -1.4 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 +0.7 71.1 0.0 71.1
Attack Angle 10° +2° -2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.6 -1.5 50.1 +7.9 42.2
Attack Direction -1° -4° +2°
Swing Path - Tilt 32° +1° 31° -2° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 +0.2 7.1 -0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.3 -0.4 95.7 0.0 95.7
Breaking Velocity 84.2 +1.4 82.8 +1.7 81.1
Offspeed Velocity 87.6 -1.6 89.2 +0.7 88.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 40 +25 15 +3 12
Popup % 4.9 -2.0 6.9 +0.6 6.3
Flyball % 26.7 +0.6 26.1 -0.4 26.5
Line Drive % 22.2 -3.9 26.1 -2.6 28.7
Groundball % 46.1 +5.3 40.8 +2.2 38.6
Pull % 38.0 +3.1 34.9 +2.2 32.7
Straight Away % 39.6 +7.0 32.6 -8.7 41.3
Opposite Field % 22.5 -10.1 32.6 +6.6 26.0
Weak Contact % 3.1 +0.3 2.8 -1.2 4.0
Pull Airball % 15.7 -0.8 16.5 -0.5 17.0
Topped Contact % 33.9 +3.2 30.7 +3.3 27.4
Under Contact % 23.4 -5.5 28.9 +0.2 28.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 23.8 -0.5 24.3 -3.5 27.8
Solid Contact % 6.5 +0.1 6.4 -0.3 6.7
HR/FB % 19.3 +7.0 12.3 -1.3 13.6
Popups 22 +7 15 +1 14
Flyballs 119 +62 57 -2 59
Line Drives 99 +42 57 -7 64
Groundballs 205 +116 89 +3 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.7 -0.6 50.3 -0.1 50.4
Out of Zone % 50.3 +0.6 49.7 +0.1 49.6
Edge % 41.8 -1.3 43.1 -1.5 44.6
Zone Swing % 65.5 -3.7 69.2 +1.1 68.1
Out of Zone Swing % 26.1 -2.9 29.0 +2.4 26.6
In Zone Contact % 82.1 +1.2 80.9 +4.0 76.9
Out of Zone Contact % 48.2 -13.2 61.4 +1.3 60.1
Whiff % 27.7 +2.9 24.8 -3.0 27.8
First Strike % 57.7 -5.0 62.7 -0.5 63.2
First Pitch Swing % 30.0 -5.5 35.5 +0.7 34.8
Swing % 45.7 -3.5 49.2 +1.7 47.5
Meatball Swing % 76.0 +0.1 75.9 +0.6 75.3
Meatball % 7.1 -1.1 8.2 +1.8 6.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 17.9 -1.2 19.1 -4.0 23.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 51.8 +13.2 38.6 -1.3 39.9
In Zone 1,454 +766 688 -11 699
Out of Zone 1,471 +791 680 -7 687
Edge 1,223 +634 589 -29 618
In Zone Swings 953 +477 476 0 476
Out of Zone Swings 384 +187 197 +14 183
In Zone Swing & Misses 171 +80 91 -19 110
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 199 +123 76 +3 73
Basic
Pitches 2,925 +1,557 1,368 -18 1,386
PA 704 +372 332 -13 345
AB 615 +322 293 -9 302
Hits 130 +58 72 +6 66
Singles 83 +38 45 +6 39
Doubles 23 +6 17 0 17
Triples 1 -2 3 +1 2
Home Runs 23 +16 7 -1 8
Walks 83 +51 32 -5 37
Strikeouts 173 +94 79 -2 81
K% 24.6 +0.8 23.8 +0.3 23.5
BB% 11.8 +2.2 9.6 -1.1 10.7
HBP 3 0 3 -1 4
Batted Balls 445 +227 218 -5 223
Number of Fastballs 1,696 +826 870 +103 767
Number of Offspeed 2 -72 74 -3 77
Number of Breaking 644 +220 424 -117 541
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 344 .299 162 0 0.0 182 87 47.8
2024 Shades 332 .315 158 5 3.2 174 43 24.7
2025 Shades 704 .299 341 33 9.7 363 205 56.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 405 15.9 30.6% 0.5% 202 20.9 1.0% 0.0%
2024 366 14.4 59.8% 0.3% 187 19.3 0.0% 0.5%
2025 822 15.8 34.1% 0.1% 450 20.0 0.0% 0.4%

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Pitch Distribution