P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 6" 250 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 1, No. 23, Cleveland Indians | East Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 3 10 4.86 16 16 0 76 79 1.37
2025 12 5 3.06 31 31 0 167.2 173 1.27
2026 1 1 2.04 3 3 0 17.2 25 1.08
4 Seasons 19 21 3.46 66 66 0 343.1 358 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 16 3-10 4.86 76 79 1.37
2025 31 12-5 3.06 167.2 173 1.27
2026 3 1-1 2.04 17.2 25 1.08
4 Seasons 66 19-21 3.46 343.1 358 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 1386 223 12 5.4 3.5 88.0 112.1 14.6 34.1 .241 .385 .299 .317 .364 38.6 23.5 10.7 3.29 4.24
2024 24 1368 218 15 6.9 4.5 90.8 110.8 13.2 32.1 .245 .394 .315 .318 .374 44.0 23.8 9.6 4.86 4.14
2025 25 2925 445 40 9.0 5.7 90.4 115.0 9.8 35.3 .231 .405 .299 .321 .374 44.3 24.6 11.8 3.06 4.30
2026 26 276 28 4 14.3 6.0 88.9 112.5 7.3 32.1 .152 .316 .263 .303 .372 35.7 37.3 20.9 2.04 3.64
Player 5955 914 71 7.8 4.9 89.9 115.0 11.7 34.1 .234 .394 .301 .319 .372 42.6 24.7 11.5
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Williams relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(30.1%) ,
Sweeper
(21.4%) ,
Curveball
(18.8%) ,
Cutter
(15.6%) ,
Sinker
(14.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 38.6 61.4 26.5 28.7 6.3 32.7 41.3 26.0 15.7 15.7 7.2 17.0 25.6 18.8
2024 40.8 59.2 26.1 26.1 6.9 34.9 32.6 32.6 18.3 15.6 6.9 16.5 17.0 25.7
2025 46.1 53.9 26.7 22.2 4.9 38.0 39.6 22.5 22.2 19.8 4.0 15.7 19.8 18.4
2026 50.0 50.0 35.7 10.7 3.6 46.4 42.9 10.7 25.0 25.0 0.0 21.4 17.9 10.7
Player 43.1 56.9 26.8 24.4 5.7 36.2 38.4 25.4 19.8 17.9 5.4 16.4 20.5 20.0
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 4.0 27.4 28.7 27.8 6.7 5.4 3.5
2024 2.8 30.7 28.9 24.3 6.4 6.9 4.5
2025 3.1 33.9 23.4 23.8 6.5 9.0 5.7
2026 10.7 32.1 21.4 17.9 3.6 14.3 6.0
Player 3.5 31.5 25.9 24.7 6.5 7.8 4.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 83 96.6 14.5 -1.7 12.1ARM 5.0 15.2 -1.1 12.1ARM 4.3
2026 Sinker CLE R 39 95.9 20.8 -0.3 17.8ARM 2.1 9.2 -1.4 17.8ARM 2.2
2026 Curveball CLE R 52 83.0 54.5 3.7 10.4GLV 3.1 -14.1 3.6 10.4GLV 1.4
2026 Cutter CLE R 43 92.3 25.1 -2.1 3.2ARM -4.7 7.2 -0.8 3.2ARM -5.4
2026 Sweeper CLE R 59 86.9 36.9 1.2 9.9GLV -2.4 -0.5 1.8 9.9GLV -4.0
2025 Sweeper CLE R 583 86.5 37.8 2.1 10.0GLV -2.0 -1.2 2.2 10.0GLV -4.0
2025 Sinker CLE R 192 95.9 20.1 -0.7 15.1ARM 0.2 9.7 -2.3 15.1ARM 0.0
2025 Changeup CLE R 2 87.6 30.7 -0.7 5.4ARM -9.0 5.0 -0.9 5.4ARM -9.1
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 1094 96.6 14.2 -1.2 10.9ARM 3.9 15.2 -0.6 10.9ARM 3.3
2025 Cutter CLE R 410 91.8 25.4 -2.0 2.3ARM -4.1 7.1 -1.2 2.3ARM -4.5
2025 Curveball CLE R 644 82.0 54.4 2.7 10.0GLV 2.9 -13.3 3.1 10.0GLV 1.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -1.1 -1 83 30.1 23 .071 .286 .361 34.3 26.1 28.6 .172 .420 .424 25.0
2026 Sweeper 0.6 0 59 21.4 11 .111 .111 .209 48.0 54.5 26.1 .199 .241 .281 66.7
2026 Curveball 4.0 2 52 18.8 12 .000 .000 .000 38.5 50.0 24.0 .050 .056 .048 16.7
2026 Cutter -0.7 0 43 15.6 13 .200 .700 .438 18.2 15.4 25.0 .163 .496 .371 25.0
2026 Sinker 3.0 1 39 14.1 8 .125 .125 .113 25.0 62.5 62.5 .205 .382 .249 100.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -8 1,094 37.4 247 .268 .498 .383 23.3 18.6 14.5 .272 .521 .384 50.9
2025 Curveball 0.9 6 644 22.0 156 .116 .181 .201 34.4 37.2 18.9 .171 .256 .239 33.3
2025 Sweeper 0.9 5 583 19.9 139 .181 .283 .242 44.0 42.4 25.9 .179 .319 .251 38.6
2025 Cutter 0.4 2 410 14.0 112 .233 .433 .381 18.1 6.3 10.0 .267 .441 .380 49.4
2025 Sinker 1.7 3 192 6.6 50 .277 .383 .312 8.2 6.0 10.0 .294 .478 .352 38.6
2025 Changeup 0.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 52 83.0 87 20.2 7:15 7:00 15
2026 Cutter 43 92.3 56 7.2 1:00 1:00 0
2026 4-Seam Fastball 83 96.6 95 19.3 1:30 1:15 15
2026 Sinker 39 95.9 98 20.4 1:45 2:15 -30
2026 Sweeper 59 86.9 50 10.9 8:00 8:30 -30
2025 Curveball 642 82.0 87 19.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 Cutter 406 91.8 59 6.8 12:45 12:45 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,078 96.6 96 18.5 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Sinker 189 95.9 99 18.2 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Sweeper 578 86.6 52 11.2 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 344 1,386 9 14 -11 -5 6
2024 332 1,368 5 7 -9 -6 -3
2025 704 2,925 22 18 -19 -13 8
2026 67 276 4 1 -1 -2 2
Player 1,447 5,955 40 39 -40 40 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,386 50.4 68.1 76.9 26.6 60.1 44.6 63.2 47.5 27.8 6.4 75.3
2024 1,368 50.3 69.2 80.9 29.0 61.4 43.1 62.7 49.2 24.8 8.2 75.9
2025 2,925 49.7 65.5 82.1 26.1 48.2 41.9 57.7 45.7 27.7 7.2 75.2
2026 276 41.7 62.6 81.9 29.8 41.7 38.4 49.3 43.5 34.2 6.9 68.4
Player 5,955 49.6 66.9 80.5 27.1 53.7 42.6 59.7 46.8 27.3 7.2 75.1
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.6 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 67 67 79 18 47 79 46 23 72 22 63 50 20 85 53 27 99
2024 32 51 36 18 39 88 67 28 5 53 44 56 27 68 11 42 96
2025 72 24 96 56 34 84 45 30 19 22 70 65 7 39 19 70 90
2026 81 45 97 53 78 27 56 47 53 84 94 7 16 61 65 93
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 22.86 8 9.0 -1 4 10 1 12.5
2024 23.71 9 9.5 -1 3 9 2 22.2
2025 25.13 23 20.5 3 12 13 12 52.2
2026 23.13 2 1.8 0 1 1 1 50.0
Player 24.30 42 40.8 1 20 33 16 38.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 8 9 5 8 10 9 10 7 7 8 9 7 10 8 11 10 10 9 9 10 9 10 12 11 9 8 9 9 10 9 8
2024 9 10 7 10 8 9 11 10 6 7 9 11 11 9 9 9 10 8 11 12 9 6 12 12 9 10 9 11 10 10 9
2025 23 23 16 19 21 19 17 19 19 16 18 27 21 31 20 18 25 18 19 25 21 20 24 24 19 16 17 22 23 19 19
2026 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 3 2 3 1 1 2 2 3 1 1
Player 42 45 29 39 41 39 40 37 34 32 38 47 43 50 42 39 46 36 42 49 40 39 50 50 38 35 37 44 46 39 37
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .094 -.117 .211 -.035 .246 +.027 .219
xBA .152 -.079 .231 -.014 .245 +.004 .241
OBP .284 -.023 .307 -.016 .323 +.013 .310
xOBP .329 +.004 .325 +.001 .324 -.007 .331
SLG .245 -.119 .364 -.032 .396 +.028 .368
xSLG .316 -.089 .405 +.011 .394 +.009 .385
ISO .151 -.002 .153 +.003 .150 +.001 .149
xISO .164 -.010 .174 +.025 .149 +.005 .144
BABIP .115 -.139 .254 -.056 .310 +.040 .270
wOBA .263 -.036 .299 -.016 .315 +.016 .299
xwOBA .303 -.018 .321 +.003 .318 +.001 .317
wOBAcon .276 -.063 .339 -.030 .369 +.034 .335
xwOBAcon .372 -.002 .374 .000 .374 +.010 .364
BACON .179 -.114 .293 -.039 .332 +.036 .296
xBACON .288 -.032 .320 -.014 .334 +.006 .328
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 35.7 -8.6 44.3 +0.3 44.0 +5.4 38.6
Avg Exit Velocity 88.9 -1.5 90.4 -0.4 90.8 +2.8 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 32.1 -3.2 35.3 +3.2 32.1 -2.0 34.1
Barrel % 14.3 +5.3 9.0 +2.1 6.9 +1.5 5.4
Avg Launch Angle 7.3 -2.5 9.8 -3.4 13.2 -1.4 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.7 -0.1 71.8 +0.7 71.1 0.0 71.1
Attack Angle 10° 10° +2° -2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 53.8 +5.2 48.6 -1.5 50.1 +7.7 42.4
Attack Direction -3° -2° -1° -4° +2°
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +1° 32° +1° 31° -2° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 +0.2 7.1 -0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.3 0.0 95.3 -0.4 95.7 0.0 95.7
Breaking Velocity 85.1 +0.9 84.2 +1.4 82.8 +1.7 81.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 87.6 -1.6 89.2 +0.7 88.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 4 -36 40 +25 15 +3 12
Popup % 3.6 -1.3 4.9 -2.0 6.9 +0.6 6.3
Flyball % 35.7 +9.0 26.7 +0.6 26.1 -0.4 26.5
Line Drive % 10.7 -11.5 22.2 -3.9 26.1 -2.6 28.7
Groundball % 50.0 +3.9 46.1 +5.3 40.8 +2.2 38.6
Pull % 46.4 +8.4 38.0 +3.1 34.9 +2.2 32.7
Straight Away % 42.9 +3.3 39.6 +7.0 32.6 -8.7 41.3
Opposite Field % 10.7 -11.8 22.5 -10.1 32.6 +6.6 26.0
Weak Contact % 10.7 +7.6 3.1 +0.3 2.8 -1.2 4.0
Pull Airball % 21.4 +5.7 15.7 -0.8 16.5 -0.5 17.0
Topped Contact % 32.1 -1.8 33.9 +3.2 30.7 +3.3 27.4
Under Contact % 21.4 -2.0 23.4 -5.5 28.9 +0.2 28.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 17.9 -5.9 23.8 -0.5 24.3 -3.5 27.8
Solid Contact % 3.6 -2.9 6.5 +0.1 6.4 -0.3 6.7
HR/FB % 20.0 +0.7 19.3 +7.0 12.3 -1.3 13.6
Popups 1 -21 22 +7 15 +1 14
Flyballs 10 -109 119 +62 57 -2 59
Line Drives 3 -96 99 +42 57 -7 64
Groundballs 14 -191 205 +116 89 +3 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 41.7 -8.0 49.7 -0.6 50.3 -0.1 50.4
Out of Zone % 58.3 +8.0 50.3 +0.6 49.7 +0.1 49.6
Edge % 38.4 -3.5 41.9 -1.2 43.1 -1.5 44.6
Zone Swing % 62.6 -2.9 65.5 -3.7 69.2 +1.1 68.1
Out of Zone Swing % 29.8 +3.7 26.1 -2.9 29.0 +2.4 26.6
In Zone Contact % 81.9 -0.2 82.1 +1.2 80.9 +4.0 76.9
Out of Zone Contact % 41.7 -6.5 48.2 -13.2 61.4 +1.3 60.1
Whiff % 34.2 +6.5 27.7 +2.9 24.8 -3.0 27.8
First Strike % 49.3 -8.4 57.7 -5.0 62.7 -0.5 63.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 -1.6 30.0 -5.5 35.5 +0.7 34.8
Swing % 43.5 -2.2 45.7 -3.5 49.2 +1.7 47.5
Meatball Swing % 68.4 -6.8 75.2 -0.7 75.9 +0.6 75.3
Meatball % 6.9 -0.3 7.2 -1.0 8.2 +1.8 6.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 18.1 +0.2 17.9 -1.2 19.1 -4.0 23.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 58.3 +6.5 51.8 +13.2 38.6 -1.3 39.9
In Zone 115 -1,339 1,454 +766 688 -11 699
Out of Zone 161 -1,310 1,471 +791 680 -7 687
Edge 106 -1,120 1,226 +637 589 -29 618
In Zone Swings 72 -881 953 +477 476 0 476
Out of Zone Swings 48 -336 384 +187 197 +14 183
In Zone Swing & Misses 13 -158 171 +80 91 -19 110
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 28 -171 199 +123 76 +3 73
Basic
Pitches 276 -2,649 2,925 +1,557 1,368 -18 1,386
PA 67 -637 704 +372 332 -13 345
AB 53 -562 615 +322 293 -9 302
Hits 5 -125 130 +58 72 +6 66
Singles 2 -81 83 +38 45 +6 39
Doubles 0 -23 23 +6 17 0 17
Triples 1 0 1 -2 3 +1 2
Home Runs 2 -21 23 +16 7 -1 8
Walks 14 -69 83 +51 32 -5 37
Strikeouts 25 -148 173 +94 79 -2 81
K% 37.3 +12.7 24.6 +0.8 23.8 +0.3 23.5
BB% 20.9 +9.1 11.8 +2.2 9.6 -1.1 10.7
HBP 0 -3 3 0 3 -1 4
Batted Balls 28 -417 445 +227 218 -5 223
Number of Fastballs 165 -1,531 1,696 +826 870 +103 767
Number of Offspeed 0 -2 2 -72 74 -3 77
Number of Breaking 52 -592 644 +220 424 -117 541
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 344 .299 162 0 0.0 182 87 47.8
2024 Shades 332 .315 158 5 3.2 174 43 24.7
2025 Shades 704 .299 341 33 9.7 363 205 56.5
2026 Shades 67 .263 26 0 0.0 41 25 61.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 405 15.9 30.6% 0.5% 202 20.9 1.0% 0.0%
2024 366 14.4 59.8% 0.3% 187 19.3 0.0% 0.5%
2025 822 15.8 34.1% 0.1% 450 20.0 0.0% 0.4%
2026 47 14.9 55.3% 0.0% 20 19.2 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution