Michael Kopech
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 220LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #33, Boston Red Sox | Mt Pleasant (TX) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 9 3.54 25 25 0 119.1 105 1.19
2023 5 12 5.43 30 27 0 129.1 134 1.59
2024 6 8 3.46 67 0 15 67.2 88 1.15
5 Seasons 21 33 4.19 170 60 15 400 445 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 25 5-9 3.54 119.1 105 1.19
2023 30 5-12 5.43 129.1 134 1.59
2024 67 6-8 3.46 67.2 88 1.15
5 Seasons 170 21-33 4.19 400 445 1.32
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 256 46 6 13.0 8.8 91.9 109.7 22.1 41.3 .317 .611 .427 .423 .517 47.8 22.1 2.9 5.02 8.47
2021 25 1154 157 14 8.9 4.9 88.3 110.3 18.6 31.2 .185 .331 .280 .260 .368 35.7 36.1 8.4 3.50 2.81
2022 26 2011 329 29 8.8 5.9 89.9 113.7 18.3 28.9 .215 .375 .286 .308 .336 41.6 21.3 11.5 3.54 3.94
2023 27 2430 354 45 12.7 7.6 90.3 115.8 17.8 31.6 .240 .454 .363 .363 .403 42.4 22.7 15.4 5.43 5.77
2024 28 1143 152 16 10.5 5.7 89.0 110.3 16.9 34.2 .192 .346 .277 .290 .360 40.8 31.5 12.2 3.46 3.49
Player 6994 1038 110 10.6 6.4 89.8 115.8 18.1 31.5 .219 .399 .316 .321 .376 41.2 25.9 12.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kopech relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(78.4%) ,
Slider
(10.9%) ,
Cutter
(10.5%) ,
Fastball
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 28.3 26.1 32.6 13.0 39.1 34.8 26.1 0.0 23.9 26.1 26.1 10.9 13.0 8.8
2021 39.5 27.4 22.3 10.8 37.6 33.1 29.3 3.8 28.7 29.3 22.3 4.5 8.9 4.9
2022 35.9 35.3 18.8 10.0 37.4 38.3 24.3 3.6 24.9 35.3 20.4 6.4 8.8 5.9
2023 35.6 35.0 20.3 9.0 39.8 34.7 25.4 3.4 25.1 31.1 20.9 6.8 12.7 7.6
2024 38.8 38.2 17.1 5.9 36.8 36.8 26.3 5.3 28.3 32.2 19.7 3.9 10.5 5.7
Player 36.4 34.0 20.2 9.3 38.2 35.9 25.8 3.7 26.0 32.1 21.0 6.1 10.6 6.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider LAD R 125 87.1 37.2 3.2 5.6GLV 1.3 -1.2 2.8 5.6GLV 0.5
2024 Cutter LAD R 120 91.2 30.0 -5.8 4.1GLV 1.8 2.7 -5.6 4.1GLV 1.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball LAD R 896 98.7 10.0 2.4 9.7ARM 1.6 18.2 2.4 9.7ARM 2.2
2023 Changeup CWS R 181 88.7 27.2 -2.4 14.6ARM 0.0 7.5 -2.1 14.6ARM 0.2
2023 4-Seam Fastball CWS R 1492 95.2 13.1 1.5 9.0ARM 1.4 17.2 1.4 9.0ARM 1.6
2023 Slider CWS R 660 84.8 38.0 1.3 5.4GLV 0.2 0.0 1.5 5.4GLV 0.1
2023 Curveball CWS R 97 80.6 49.4 -2.2 6.4GLV -2.3 -7.1 -2.8 6.4GLV -2.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 6 896 78.4 209 .183 .326 .291 34.0 34.0 26.7 .184 .333 .289 42.1
2024 Slider -1.9 -2 125 10.9 41 .222 .389 .320 23.1 26.8 20.4 .226 .476 .335 38.5
2024 Cutter 1.9 2 120 10.5 27 .174 .174 .219 33.3 22.2 14.0 .201 .244 .236 36.8
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -4 1,492 61.4 369 .244 .462 .396 26.4 21.1 20.7 .240 .446 .391 43.8
2023 Slider -1.1 -7 660 27.2 169 .258 .516 .359 27.4 26.6 21.3 .248 .471 .322 43.5
2023 Changeup -1.3 -2 181 7.4 32 .133 .300 .213 33.9 21.9 14.0 .215 .426 .295 34.8
2023 Curveball -0.4 0 97 4.0 21 .158 .474 .300 19.4 19.0 15.4 .209 .473 .323 26.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 120 91.2 31 5.9 10:45 9:30 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 895 98.7 95 20.5 1:00 1:00 0
2024 Slider 124 87.1 36 7.4 8:45 8:15 30
2023 Changeup 171 88.7 92 16.7 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Curveball 95 80.7 62 11.8 7:45 7:15 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1,479 95.2 93 19.2 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Slider 649 84.8 33 6.5 8:30 8:30 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 68 256 2 -1 -1 -3 -2
2021 295 1,199 -2 16 -6 -3 5
2022 494 2,010 11 23 -17 -10 6
2023 591 2,430 5 20 -20 -18 -14
2024 315 1,316 18 8 -12 -6 7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 256 53.9 68.1 85.1 30.5 61.1 43.0 70.6 50.8 21.5 8.2 90.5
2021 1,154 53.7 63.9 72.9 26.4 51.4 45.1 63.0 46.5 32.8 7.6 70.9
2022 2,011 48.6 65.0 82.4 25.7 59.6 39.3 56.7 44.8 24.2 7.6 79.1
2023 2,430 45.1 63.4 80.0 24.6 58.5 38.7 53.5 42.1 26.9 6.3 73.0
2024 1,143 50.8 64.4 74.1 28.8 50.6 42.5 63.4 46.9 32.8 8.2 68.1
Player 6,994 48.8 64.3 78.6 26.0 56.5 40.7 58.3 44.7 27.9 7.3 74.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2018 85 98 76
2021 93 95 86 62 94 61 30 60 72 97 47 88 34 95 99 77
2022 45 75 53 30 43 23 24 15 18 40 8 37 11 68 99 34 78
2023 6 56 20 8 3 5 1 17 24 43 1 57 9 71 96 36 84
2024 72 95 77 44 61 50 7 42 33 93 7 92 51 98 99 86
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 22.5 4 4.9 -1 1 2 3 75.0
2021 24.1 10 9.3 1 3 8 4 40.0
2022 24.1 15 13.5 2 9 11 6 40.0
2023 23.1 29 25.0 4 9 22 8 27.6
2024 26.0 10 10.3 0 6 6 6 60.0
Player 23.8 68 63.0 5 28 49 27 39.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2018 4 5 4 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 4
2021 10 11 9 9 9 9 10 7 8 6 8 11 9 7 9 11 9 8 9 10 8 11 13 10 8 8 11 12 10 9 9
2022 15 13 15 17 12 12 13 11 10 10 10 16 16 12 13 14 12 11 14 13 14 11 21 16 10 11 16 21 17 12 13
2023 29 22 18 26 28 24 26 23 23 22 24 31 21 24 29 25 28 24 26 33 25 24 35 27 20 22 27 25 24 23 20
2024 10 9 10 13 9 10 11 11 9 7 9 13 13 8 9 10 10 7 11 14 11 10 15 13 9 9 11 12 12 8 7
Player 68 60 56 70 62 60 65 57 54 50 56 77 64 56 65 65 64 55 65 75 63 61 90 71 52 55 69 75 68 57 53
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.3 94.9 -2.4 95.2 0.3 97.8 2.6
Offspeed Velocity 89.7 85.2 -4.5 88.7 3.5 56.2 -32.5
Breaking Velocity 83.5 82.7 -0.8 84.3 1.6 87.1 2.8
Exit Velocity 88.3 89.9 1.6 90.3 0.4 89.0 -1.3
Launch Angle 18.6 18.3 -0.3 17.8 -0.5 16.9 -0.9
Barrel % 8.9 8.8 -0.1 12.7 3.9 10.5 -2.2
Hard Hit % 35.7 41.6 5.9 42.4 0.8 40.8 -1.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.2 28.9 -2.3 31.6 2.7 34.2 2.6
xBA .185 .215 0.030 .240 0.025 .192 -0.048
BA .210 .198 -0.012 .238 0.040 .188 -0.050
xwOBA .260 .308 0.048 .363 0.055 .290 -0.073
wOBA .280 .286 0.006 .363 0.077 .277 -0.086
xSLG .331 .375 0.044 .454 0.079 .346 -0.108
SLG .374 .347 -0.027 .470 0.123 .321 -0.149
K% 36.1 21.3 -14.8 22.7 1.4 31.5 8.8
BB% 8.4 11.5 3.1 15.4 3.9 12.2 -3.2
Swing % 46.5 44.8 -1.7 42.1 -2.7 46.9 4.8
Whiff% 32.8 24.2 -8.6 26.9 2.7 32.8 5.9
In Zone % 53.7 48.6 -5.1 45.1 -3.5 50.8 5.7
Out of Zone % 46.3 51.4 5.1 54.9 3.5 49.2 -5.7
Out of Zone Swing % 26.4 25.7 -0.7 24.6 -1.1 28.8 4.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.5 26.5 -2.0 24.2 -2.3 33.3 9.1
First Pitch Strike % 63.0 56.7 -6.3 53.5 -3.2 63.4 9.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2018 Shifts 68 .427 34 0 0.0 34 11 32.4
2021 Shifts 278 .280 164 6 3.7 114 46 40.4
2022 Shifts 492 .285 277 60 21.7 215 141 65.6
2023 Shades 589 .364 299 7 2.3 290 27 9.3
2024 Shades 277 .277 138 17 12.3 139 24 17.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 55 15.0 50.9% 1.8% 49 23.2 0.0% 10.2%
2021 391 21.3 1.0% 5.4% 137 23.5 0.0% 11.7%
2022 639 21.1 1.3% 5.5% 303 23.5 0.0% 8.9%
2023 698 14.9 51.0% 0.4% 410 19.7 0.5% 0.5%
2024 291 14.8 51.9% 0.3% 195 19.0 1.0% 1.5%

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Pitch Distribution