P | Cleveland Guardians
Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 6" 250 lbs | Age: 26
Draft: 2021 | Rd. 1, No. 23, Cleveland Indians | East Carolina
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 3 10 4.86 16 16 0 76 79 1.37
2025 12 5 3.06 31 31 0 167.2 173 1.27
2026 9 4 3.82 16 16 0 96.2 111 1.14
4 Seasons 27 24 3.60 79 79 0 422.1 444 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 16 3-10 4.86 76 79 1.37
2025 31 12-5 3.06 167.2 173 1.27
2026 16 9-4 3.82 96.2 111 1.14
4 Seasons 79 27-24 3.60 422.1 444 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 23 1386 223 12 5.4 3.5 88.0 112.1 14.6 34.1 .241 .385 .299 .317 .364 38.6 23.5 10.7 3.29 4.24
2024 24 1368 218 15 6.9 4.5 90.8 110.8 13.2 32.1 .245 .394 .315 .318 .374 44.0 23.8 9.6 4.86 4.14
2025 25 2925 445 40 9.0 5.7 90.4 115.0 9.8 35.3 .231 .405 .299 .321 .374 44.3 24.6 11.8 3.06 4.30
2026 26 1512 245 31 13.0 8.0 91.4 116.0 9.9 33.9 .247 .449 .306 .330 .433 49.0 28.5 8.0 3.82 4.52
Player 7191 1131 98 8.7 5.5 90.2 116.0 11.4 34.1 .239 .409 .303 .322 .385 44.1 25.1 10.3
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .316 .316 .369 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Williams relies on 5 pitches.
Sweeper
(25.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(22.9%) ,
Curveball
(22.8%) ,
Sinker
(19.1%) ,
Cutter
(9.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2023 38.6 61.4 26.5 28.7 6.3 32.7 41.3 26.0 15.7 15.7 7.2 17.0 25.6 18.8
2024 40.8 59.2 26.1 26.1 6.9 34.9 32.6 32.6 18.3 15.6 6.9 16.5 17.0 25.7
2025 46.1 53.9 26.7 22.2 4.9 38.0 39.6 22.5 22.2 19.8 4.0 15.7 19.8 18.4
2026 46.1 53.9 23.3 24.5 6.1 42.4 33.1 24.5 26.1 17.1 2.9 16.3 15.9 21.6
Player 43.6 56.4 25.8 24.8 5.8 37.3 37.1 25.6 21.0 17.6 5.0 16.3 19.5 20.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.8 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 4.0 27.4 28.7 27.8 6.7 5.4 3.5
2024 2.8 30.7 28.9 24.3 6.4 6.9 4.5
2025 3.1 33.9 23.4 23.8 6.5 9.0 5.7
2026 4.1 31.8 19.6 22.9 6.5 13.0 8.0
Player 3.4 31.6 24.7 24.5 6.5 8.7 5.5
MLB 4.0 32.3 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker CLE R 283 96.4 20.4 -0.3 16.0ARM 0.8 9.2 -1.6 16.0ARM 0.8
2026 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 339 96.7 15.0 -1.9 11.3ARM 4.1 14.5 -1.3 11.3ARM 3.5
2026 Cutter CLE R 140 92.2 25.7 -2.2 1.9ARM -3.8 6.5 -1.6 1.9ARM -4.2
2026 Curveball CLE R 338 82.7 54.0 3.3 10.5GLV 3.1 -13.6 3.4 10.5GLV 1.3
2026 Sweeper CLE R 381 87.2 36.1 0.4 10.2GLV -2.0 0.0 1.1 10.2GLV -3.6
2025 Sweeper CLE R 583 86.5 37.8 1.7 10.0GLV -2.0 -1.2 2.1 10.0GLV -3.9
2025 Cutter CLE R 410 91.8 25.4 -2.0 2.3ARM -4.1 7.1 -1.3 2.3ARM -4.5
2025 Changeup CLE R 2 87.6 30.7 -0.7 5.4ARM -9.0 5.0 -0.9 5.4ARM -9.0
2025 Curveball CLE R 644 82.0 54.4 2.6 10.0GLV 2.9 -13.3 3.1 10.0GLV 1.0
2025 Sinker CLE R 192 95.9 20.1 -0.7 15.1ARM 0.2 9.7 -2.3 15.1ARM 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball CLE R 1094 96.6 14.2 -1.2 10.9ARM 3.9 15.2 -0.6 10.9ARM 3.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sweeper 0.3 1 381 25.7 88 .185 .321 .254 42.7 39.8 23.6 .193 .275 .241 26.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.2 -1 339 22.9 84 .205 .384 .308 31.8 29.8 21.2 .249 .472 .357 45.8
2026 Curveball -0.4 -1 338 22.8 94 .209 .407 .284 29.7 29.8 20.4 .233 .456 .305 55.6
2026 Sinker 1.2 3 283 19.1 73 .258 .394 .321 14.0 19.2 29.2 .314 .567 .405 67.3
2026 Cutter -1.7 -2 140 9.5 40 .294 .735 .459 24.3 12.5 21.7 .306 .624 .430 43.3
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -8 1,094 37.4 247 .268 .498 .383 23.3 18.6 14.5 .272 .521 .384 50.9
2025 Curveball 0.9 6 644 22.0 156 .116 .181 .201 34.4 37.2 18.9 .170 .256 .238 33.3
2025 Sweeper 0.9 5 583 19.9 139 .181 .283 .242 44.0 42.4 25.9 .179 .319 .251 38.6
2025 Cutter 0.4 2 410 14.0 112 .233 .433 .381 18.1 6.3 10.0 .267 .441 .380 49.4
2025 Sinker 1.7 3 192 6.6 50 .277 .383 .312 8.2 6.0 10.0 .293 .477 .351 38.6
2025 Changeup 0.3 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Curveball 338 82.7 88 19.7 7:15 7:00 15
2026 Cutter 140 92.2 56 6.1 1:00 12:30 30
2026 4-Seam Fastball 339 96.7 95 18.2 1:30 1:15 15
2026 Sinker 283 96.4 98 18.6 1:45 2:00 -15
2026 Sweeper 381 87.2 51 11.1 8:00 8:45 -45
2025 Curveball 642 82.0 87 19.1 7:15 7:00 15
2025 Cutter 406 91.8 59 6.8 12:45 12:45 0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1,078 96.6 96 18.5 1:15 1:15 0
2025 Sinker 189 95.9 99 18.2 1:45 2:00 -15
2025 Sweeper 578 86.6 52 11.2 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 344 1,386 9 14 -11 -5 6
2024 332 1,368 5 7 -9 -6 -3
2025 704 2,925 22 18 -19 -13 8
2026 379 1,481 4 10 -7 -6 0
Player 1,759 7,160 40 48 -46 40 12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,386 50.4 68.2 76.9 26.6 60.1 44.6 63.2 47.5 27.8 6.4 75.3
2024 1,368 50.2 69.1 80.8 29.1 61.6 43.1 62.7 49.2 24.8 8.2 75.9
2025 2,925 49.6 65.6 82.0 26.1 48.3 41.9 57.7 45.7 27.7 7.2 75.2
2026 1,512 49.6 64.0 79.6 32.3 50.2 41.1 63.2 48.1 30.5 8.7 69.0
Player 7,191 49.9 66.5 80.3 28.1 53.5 42.5 60.9 47.2 27.7 7.5 73.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 57.9 42.7 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2023 67 67 79 18 47 79 46 22 72 22 63 50 20 85 53 27 99
2024 32 51 36 18 39 88 67 27 5 54 44 56 27 68 11 42 96
2025 72 24 96 56 34 84 45 30 19 22 70 65 7 39 19 70 90
2026 44 44 43 31 82 24 29 5 71 85 86 58 3 3 69 93
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 22.86 8 9.0 -1 4 10 1 12.5
2024 23.71 9 9.5 -1 3 9 2 22.2
2025 25.13 23 20.5 3 12 13 12 52.2
2026 24.96 15 14.7 0 3 10 7 46.7
Player 24.51 55 53.7 1 22 42 22 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 8 9 5 8 10 9 10 7 7 8 9 7 10 8 11 10 10 9 9 10 9 10 12 11 9 8 9 9 10 9 8
2024 9 10 7 10 8 9 11 10 6 7 9 11 11 9 9 9 10 8 11 12 9 6 12 12 9 10 9 11 10 10 9
2025 23 23 16 19 21 19 17 19 19 16 18 27 21 31 20 18 25 18 19 25 21 20 24 24 19 16 17 22 23 19 19
2026 15 15 11 14 16 17 16 12 17 15 14 16 10 15 17 16 15 16 13 18 11 17 17 18 11 11 15 17 16 12 13
Player 55 57 39 51 55 54 54 48 49 46 50 61 52 63 57 53 60 51 52 65 50 53 65 65 48 45 50 59 59 50 49
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023
Results
BA .223 +.012 .211 -.035 .246 +.027 .219
xBA .247 +.016 .231 -.014 .245 +.004 .241
OBP .289 -.018 .307 -.016 .323 +.013 .310
xOBP .312 -.013 .325 .000 .325 -.006 .331
SLG .408 +.044 .364 -.032 .396 +.028 .368
xSLG .449 +.044 .405 +.011 .394 +.009 .385
ISO .186 +.033 .153 +.003 .150 +.001 .149
xISO .203 +.029 .174 +.025 .149 +.005 .144
BABIP .279 +.025 .254 -.056 .310 +.040 .270
wOBA .306 +.007 .299 -.016 .315 +.016 .299
xwOBA .330 +.009 .321 +.003 .318 +.001 .317
wOBAcon .392 +.053 .339 -.030 .369 +.034 .335
xwOBAcon .433 +.059 .374 .000 .374 +.010 .364
BACON .324 +.031 .293 -.039 .332 +.036 .296
xBACON .362 +.042 .320 -.014 .334 +.006 .328
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 49.0 +4.7 44.3 +0.3 44.0 +5.4 38.6
Avg Exit Velocity 91.4 +1.0 90.4 -0.4 90.8 +2.8 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 33.9 -1.4 35.3 +3.2 32.1 -2.0 34.1
Barrel % 13.0 +4.0 9.0 +2.1 6.9 +1.5 5.4
Avg Launch Angle 9.9 +0.1 9.8 -3.4 13.2 -1.4 14.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.7 -0.1 71.8 +0.7 71.1 0.0 71.1
Attack Angle 10° 10° +2° -2°
Ideal Attack Angle % 48.6 0.0 48.6 -1.5 50.1 +7.7 42.4
Attack Direction -1° -1° -4° +2°
Swing Path - Tilt 31° 32° +1° 31° -2° 32°
Swing Length 7.3 0.0 7.3 +0.2 7.1 -0.1 7.2
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.8 +0.5 95.3 -0.4 95.7 0.0 95.7
Breaking Velocity 85.1 +0.9 84.2 +1.4 82.8 +1.7 81.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 87.6 -1.6 89.2 +0.7 88.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 31 -9 40 +25 15 +3 12
Popup % 6.1 +1.2 4.9 -2.0 6.9 +0.6 6.3
Flyball % 23.3 -3.4 26.7 +0.6 26.1 -0.4 26.5
Line Drive % 24.5 +2.3 22.2 -3.9 26.1 -2.6 28.7
Groundball % 46.1 0.0 46.1 +5.3 40.8 +2.2 38.6
Pull % 42.4 +4.4 38.0 +3.1 34.9 +2.2 32.7
Straight Away % 33.1 -6.5 39.6 +7.0 32.6 -8.7 41.3
Opposite Field % 24.5 +2.0 22.5 -10.1 32.6 +6.6 26.0
Weak Contact % 4.1 +1.0 3.1 +0.3 2.8 -1.2 4.0
Pull Airball % 16.3 +0.6 15.7 -0.8 16.5 -0.5 17.0
Topped Contact % 31.8 -2.1 33.9 +3.2 30.7 +3.3 27.4
Under Contact % 19.6 -3.8 23.4 -5.5 28.9 +0.2 28.7
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.9 -0.9 23.8 -0.5 24.3 -3.5 27.8
Solid Contact % 6.5 0.0 6.5 +0.1 6.4 -0.3 6.7
HR/FB % 26.3 +7.0 19.3 +7.0 12.3 -1.3 13.6
Popups 15 -7 22 +7 15 +1 14
Flyballs 57 -62 119 +62 57 -2 59
Line Drives 60 -39 99 +42 57 -7 64
Groundballs 113 -92 205 +116 89 +3 86
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 49.6 0.0 49.6 -0.6 50.2 -0.2 50.4
Out of Zone % 50.4 0.0 50.4 +0.6 49.8 +0.2 49.6
Edge % 41.1 -0.8 41.9 -1.2 43.1 -1.5 44.6
Zone Swing % 64.0 -1.6 65.6 -3.5 69.1 +0.9 68.2
Out of Zone Swing % 32.3 +6.2 26.1 -3.0 29.1 +2.5 26.6
In Zone Contact % 79.6 -2.4 82.0 +1.2 80.8 +3.9 76.9
Out of Zone Contact % 50.2 +1.9 48.3 -13.3 61.6 +1.5 60.1
Whiff % 30.5 +2.8 27.7 +2.9 24.8 -3.0 27.8
First Strike % 63.2 +5.5 57.7 -5.0 62.7 -0.5 63.2
First Pitch Swing % 33.9 +3.9 30.0 -5.5 35.5 +0.7 34.8
Swing % 48.1 +2.4 45.7 -3.5 49.2 +1.7 47.5
Meatball Swing % 69.0 -6.2 75.2 -0.7 75.9 +0.6 75.3
Meatball % 8.7 +1.5 7.2 -1.0 8.2 +1.8 6.4
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.4 +2.4 18.0 -1.2 19.2 -3.9 23.1
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 49.8 -1.9 51.7 +13.3 38.4 -1.5 39.9
In Zone 734 -718 1,452 +765 687 -11 698
Out of Zone 747 -726 1,473 +792 681 -7 688
Edge 609 -617 1,226 +637 589 -29 618
In Zone Swings 470 -482 952 +477 475 -1 476
Out of Zone Swings 241 -144 385 +187 198 +15 183
In Zone Swing & Misses 96 -75 171 +80 91 -19 110
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 120 -79 199 +123 76 +3 73
Basic
Pitches 1,512 -1,413 2,925 +1,557 1,368 -18 1,386
PA 389 -315 704 +372 332 -13 345
AB 355 -260 615 +322 293 -9 302
Hits 79 -51 130 +58 72 +6 66
Singles 44 -39 83 +38 45 +6 39
Doubles 19 -4 23 +6 17 0 17
Triples 1 0 1 -2 3 +1 2
Home Runs 15 -8 23 +16 7 -1 8
Walks 31 -52 83 +51 32 -5 37
Strikeouts 111 -62 173 +94 79 -2 81
K% 28.5 +3.9 24.6 +0.8 23.8 +0.3 23.5
BB% 8.0 -3.8 11.8 +2.2 9.6 -1.1 10.7
HBP 2 -1 3 0 3 -1 4
Batted Balls 245 -200 445 +227 218 -5 223
Fastball Percent 50.4 -7.6 58.0 -5.6 63.6 +8.3 55.3
Offspeed Percent 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -5.3 5.4 -0.2 5.6
Breaking Percent 47.6 +5.7 41.9 +10.9 31.0 -8.0 39.0
Number of Fastballs 762 -934 1,696 +826 870 +103 767
Number of Offspeed 0 -2 2 -72 74 -3 77
Number of Breaking 719 -508 1,227 +803 424 -117 541
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 344 .299 162 0 0.0 182 87 47.8
2024 Shades 332 .315 158 5 3.2 174 43 24.7
2025 Shades 704 .299 341 33 9.7 363 205 56.5
2026 Shades 389 .306 147 4 2.7 242 81 33.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 405 15.9 30.6% 0.5% 202 20.9 1.0% 0.0%
2024 366 14.4 59.8% 0.3% 187 19.3 0.0% 0.5%
2025 822 15.8 34.1% 0.1% 450 20.0 0.0% 0.4%
2026 406 15.2 47.3% 0.7% 182 19.5 0.0% 4.4%

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Pitch Distribution